Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       91  58 760 586 -0.007 73.118    1  0.217    1  0.182    1  0.191    1 0.5256    5  0.636    2  0.322   14  0.061   26 -0.205
PHILLIES      89  60 725 593 -0.026 72.036    2  0.166    3  0.147    3  0.136    3 0.5212   28  0.317   16 -0.020    1  0.292    2  0.308
BLUE JAYS     86  62 738 661  0.018 74.197    3  0.165    2  0.148    7  0.107    2 0.5215   10  0.570    4  0.174   16  0.040   11  0.048
YANKEES       83  65 770 639  0.019 74.263    4  0.109    4  0.116    2  0.159    4 0.5172    2  0.693    1  0.346   18 -0.027   24 -0.125
CUBS          84  64 723 602 -0.002 72.978    5  0.102    5  0.113    4  0.132    5 0.5159   11  0.535    5  0.167    9  0.097   22 -0.061
TIGERS        84  65 727 634 -0.015 72.741    6  0.072    6  0.097    6  0.109    6 0.5139   13  0.511    9  0.122   10  0.096    7  0.116
RED SOX       81  68 730 628  0.010 74.199    7  0.047    8  0.080    5  0.113    8 0.5117   12  0.530    6  0.144   13  0.083   14  0.030
MARINERS      81  68 694 652  0.013 74.486    8  0.045    7  0.081   11  0.054    7 0.5122    4  0.686    3  0.234   24 -0.126   29 -0.407
DODGERS       83  65 752 639 -0.035 71.052    9  0.044    9  0.079    9  0.096    9 0.5110   18  0.465   12  0.068    5  0.125    3  0.260
ASTROS        81  68 632 607 -0.006 73.426   10  0.030   10  0.069   14  0.024   10 0.5103   24  0.405   22 -0.057    8  0.106   21 -0.055
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES        81  68 632 572 -0.022 72.397   11  0.023   11  0.059   10  0.055   12 0.5083   29  0.309   25 -0.107    2  0.217   23 -0.075
RANGERS       79  70 641 544  0.004 73.897   12  0.021   12  0.055    8  0.103   11 0.5085   19  0.459   11  0.069    4  0.138   30 -0.447
GUARDIANS     77  71 577 609 -0.005 73.080   13  0.009   13  0.030   18 -0.035   13 0.5040   26  0.334   28 -0.177    7  0.107   20 -0.049
METS          76  73 699 656 -0.011 73.087   14  0.004   14  0.011   13  0.030   14 0.5013   15  0.492   14  0.026   17  0.035   12  0.041
GIANTS        75  73 649 619 -0.011 72.637   15  0.002   15  0.005   17  0.018   15 0.5002   22  0.417   21 -0.054   11  0.089   19 -0.031
REDS          74  74 661 638 -0.000 73.243   16  0.001   16 -0.000   15  0.021   16 0.4998   21  0.427   19 -0.041   12  0.084    9  0.077
RAYS          73  75 664 614  0.012 73.963   17  0.000   17 -0.003   12  0.046   17 0.4998   23  0.412   18 -0.030    6  0.122   10  0.067
ROYALS        74  75 567 586 -0.002 73.740   18 -0.001   18 -0.007   19 -0.041   18 0.4983   25  0.393   26 -0.133   15  0.050   28 -0.275
DIAMONDBACKS  74  75 737 716 -0.019 72.627   19 -0.003   19 -0.019   16  0.019   19 0.4971    7  0.611    8  0.126   23 -0.087    8  0.110
CARDINALS     72  77 639 692  0.002 74.030   20 -0.007   20 -0.028   22 -0.060   20 0.4955    8  0.611   13  0.047   25 -0.166   25 -0.164
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       69  79 633 718  0.020 74.610   21 -0.013   21 -0.044   24 -0.079   21 0.4942   17  0.483   23 -0.092   21 -0.067    4  0.140
ANGELS        69  80 637 759  0.028 75.573   22 -0.013   22 -0.044   28 -0.104   22 0.4935    9  0.594   15 -0.013   27 -0.194   13  0.032
ATHLETICS     69  80 687 760  0.012 74.595   23 -0.016   23 -0.054   20 -0.052   23 0.4929    6  0.631   10  0.074   26 -0.177    6  0.127
MARLINS       70  79 655 747 -0.006 73.569   24 -0.018   24 -0.056   26 -0.095   24 0.4914    1  0.744    7  0.144   29 -0.333   27 -0.255
PIRATES       65  84 537 606  0.015 74.785   25 -0.062   25 -0.097   23 -0.063   25 0.4859   30  0.194   29 -0.317    3  0.191   17 -0.017
BRAVES        65  83 638 689  0.003 73.572   26 -0.066   26 -0.099   21 -0.053   26 0.4855   14  0.506   20 -0.045   20 -0.060   16 -0.008
TWINS         65  83 628 715  0.001 73.478   27 -0.071   27 -0.101   25 -0.091   27 0.4853   16  0.485   24 -0.102   22 -0.080    5  0.132
NATIONALS     61  87 633 808  0.003 73.785   28 -0.174   28 -0.147   29 -0.208   28 0.4790    3  0.688   17 -0.027   30 -0.390   15 -0.000
WHITE SOX     57  92 598 680  0.013 74.713   29 -0.229   29 -0.188   27 -0.103   29 0.4730   20  0.442   27 -0.153   19 -0.054   18 -0.019
ROCKIES       41 108 552 946  0.023 75.655   30 -0.383   30 -0.374   30 -0.432   30 0.4462   27  0.332   30 -0.576   28 -0.289    1  0.705
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS       83  65 752 639 -0.035 71.052    9  0.044    9  0.079    9  0.096    9 0.5110   18  0.465   12  0.068    5  0.125    3  0.260
PADRES        81  68 632 572 -0.022 72.397   11  0.023   11  0.059   10  0.055   12 0.5083   29  0.309   25 -0.107    2  0.217   23 -0.075
GIANTS        75  73 649 619 -0.011 72.637   15  0.002   15  0.005   17  0.018   15 0.5002   22  0.417   21 -0.054   11  0.089   19 -0.031
DIAMONDBACKS  74  75 737 716 -0.019 72.627   19 -0.003   19 -0.019   16  0.019   19 0.4971    7  0.611    8  0.126   23 -0.087    8  0.110
ROCKIES       41 108 552 946  0.023 75.655   30 -0.383   30 -0.374   30 -0.432   30 0.4462   27  0.332   30 -0.576   28 -0.289    1  0.705

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       91  58 760 586 -0.007 73.118    1  0.217    1  0.182    1  0.191    1 0.5256    5  0.636    2  0.322   14  0.061   26 -0.205
CUBS          84  64 723 602 -0.002 72.978    5  0.102    5  0.113    4  0.132    5 0.5159   11  0.535    5  0.167    9  0.097   22 -0.061
REDS          74  74 661 638 -0.000 73.243   16  0.001   16 -0.000   15  0.021   16 0.4998   21  0.427   19 -0.041   12  0.084    9  0.077
CARDINALS     72  77 639 692  0.002 74.030   20 -0.007   20 -0.028   22 -0.060   20 0.4955    8  0.611   13  0.047   25 -0.166   25 -0.164
PIRATES       65  84 537 606  0.015 74.785   25 -0.062   25 -0.097   23 -0.063   25 0.4859   30  0.194   29 -0.317    3  0.191   17 -0.017

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      89  60 725 593 -0.026 72.036    2  0.166    3  0.147    3  0.136    3 0.5212   28  0.317   16 -0.020    1  0.292    2  0.308
METS          76  73 699 656 -0.011 73.087   14  0.004   14  0.011   13  0.030   14 0.5013   15  0.492   14  0.026   17  0.035   12  0.041
MARLINS       70  79 655 747 -0.006 73.569   24 -0.018   24 -0.056   26 -0.095   24 0.4914    1  0.744    7  0.144   29 -0.333   27 -0.255
BRAVES        65  83 638 689  0.003 73.572   26 -0.066   26 -0.099   21 -0.053   26 0.4855   14  0.506   20 -0.045   20 -0.060   16 -0.008
NATIONALS     61  87 633 808  0.003 73.785   28 -0.174   28 -0.147   29 -0.208   28 0.4790    3  0.688   17 -0.027   30 -0.390   15 -0.000

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      81  68 694 652  0.013 74.486    8  0.045    7  0.081   11  0.054    7 0.5122    4  0.686    3  0.234   24 -0.126   29 -0.407
ASTROS        81  68 632 607 -0.006 73.426   10  0.030   10  0.069   14  0.024   10 0.5103   24  0.405   22 -0.057    8  0.106   21 -0.055
RANGERS       79  70 641 544  0.004 73.897   12  0.021   12  0.055    8  0.103   11 0.5085   19  0.459   11  0.069    4  0.138   30 -0.447
ANGELS        69  80 637 759  0.028 75.573   22 -0.013   22 -0.044   28 -0.104   22 0.4935    9  0.594   15 -0.013   27 -0.194   13  0.032
ATHLETICS     69  80 687 760  0.012 74.595   23 -0.016   23 -0.054   20 -0.052   23 0.4929    6  0.631   10  0.074   26 -0.177    6  0.127

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        84  65 727 634 -0.015 72.741    6  0.072    6  0.097    6  0.109    6 0.5139   13  0.511    9  0.122   10  0.096    7  0.116
GUARDIANS     77  71 577 609 -0.005 73.080   13  0.009   13  0.030   18 -0.035   13 0.5040   26  0.334   28 -0.177    7  0.107   20 -0.049
ROYALS        74  75 567 586 -0.002 73.740   18 -0.001   18 -0.007   19 -0.041   18 0.4983   25  0.393   26 -0.133   15  0.050   28 -0.275
TWINS         65  83 628 715  0.001 73.478   27 -0.071   27 -0.101   25 -0.091   27 0.4853   16  0.485   24 -0.102   22 -0.080    5  0.132
WHITE SOX     57  92 598 680  0.013 74.713   29 -0.229   29 -0.188   27 -0.103   29 0.4730   20  0.442   27 -0.153   19 -0.054   18 -0.019

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     86  62 738 661  0.018 74.197    3  0.165    2  0.148    7  0.107    2 0.5215   10  0.570    4  0.174   16  0.040   11  0.048
YANKEES       83  65 770 639  0.019 74.263    4  0.109    4  0.116    2  0.159    4 0.5172    2  0.693    1  0.346   18 -0.027   24 -0.125
RED SOX       81  68 730 628  0.010 74.199    7  0.047    8  0.080    5  0.113    8 0.5117   12  0.530    6  0.144   13  0.083   14  0.030
RAYS          73  75 664 614  0.012 73.963   17  0.000   17 -0.003   12  0.046   17 0.4998   23  0.412   18 -0.030    6  0.122   10  0.067
ORIOLES       69  79 633 718  0.020 74.610   21 -0.013   21 -0.044   24 -0.079   21 0.4942   17  0.483   23 -0.092   21 -0.067    4  0.140

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    392 349 0.529    1  0.092
NL CENTRAL 386 357 0.520    2  0.058
AL WEST    379 366 0.509    3  0.007
AL CENTRAL 357 386 0.480    4 -0.043
NL EAST    361 382 0.486    5 -0.050
NL WEST    354 389 0.476    6 -0.060

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.076 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Sep 14 05:30:16 2025
games through: Sat Sep 13 2025

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