Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      100  68  829  653 -0.000 82.814    1  0.182    1  0.169    1  0.179    1 0.5227    8  0.596    3  0.276   12  0.082   26 -0.190
BLUE JAYS     97  71  836  753  0.018 84.158    2  0.153    2  0.150    7  0.107    2 0.5205    9  0.593    4  0.202   16  0.013   11  0.043
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.008 83.949    3  0.141    4  0.137    2  0.165    3 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.379   20 -0.049   24 -0.184
DODGERS       99  70  858  708 -0.021 81.906    4  0.140    3  0.137    4  0.139    5 0.5186   19  0.442    9  0.096    4  0.183    2  0.277
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.019 80.654    5  0.136    5  0.136    5  0.127    4 0.5190   27  0.317   17 -0.023    1  0.278    3  0.253
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.005 84.215    6  0.102    6  0.119    3  0.148    6 0.5159   14  0.505    5  0.160    7  0.136   22 -0.048
MARINERS      95  74  798  718 -0.002 83.357    7  0.079    7  0.109    8  0.080    7 0.5153    3  0.701    2  0.279   23 -0.119   29 -0.434
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.014 82.389    8  0.051    8  0.090    6  0.113    8 0.5125   13  0.509    8  0.129    8  0.098   15 -0.002
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.586    9  0.039    9  0.081    9  0.077    9 0.5109   29  0.292   24 -0.094    2  0.247   21 -0.028
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.005 81.248   10  0.022   10  0.064   18  0.003   10 0.5080   28  0.300   28 -0.162    5  0.168   19 -0.017
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.008 83.424   11  0.021   11  0.057   10  0.072   12 0.5078   21  0.417   15  0.006    6  0.138    4  0.209
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.013 79.300   12  0.019   12  0.055   15  0.009   11 0.5079   24  0.407   20 -0.065   11  0.083   23 -0.051
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.010 81.732   13  0.007   13  0.017   13  0.031   13 0.5023   17  0.456   16  0.000   14  0.062   16 -0.006
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.367   14  0.007   14  0.015   12  0.036   14 0.5023   12  0.520   11  0.062   17  0.009   13  0.021
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.005 79.822   15  0.005   15  0.007   19 -0.012   15 0.5004   23  0.411   22 -0.083   15  0.059   27 -0.210
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.005 79.685   16  0.004   16 -0.003   11  0.065   16 0.5004   16  0.480   12  0.055   13  0.075   30 -0.483
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.224   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4984   25  0.390   23 -0.083    9  0.095   14  0.021
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.416   18  0.001   18 -0.019   16  0.006   18 0.4971    5  0.638    6  0.144   24 -0.131    8  0.073
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.015 81.187   19 -0.001   19 -0.024   22 -0.058   19 0.4963    6  0.628   10  0.070   26 -0.186   25 -0.185
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.006 79.898   20 -0.002   20 -0.028   24 -0.089   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.131   28 -0.308   28 -0.275
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.015 81.065   21 -0.003   21 -0.033   14  0.026   20 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.040   10  0.092   10  0.057
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.004 80.460   22 -0.011   23 -0.053   23 -0.064   22 0.4932    7  0.600   13  0.037   25 -0.164    6  0.153
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.021 81.681   23 -0.011   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4929   15  0.481   25 -0.110   22 -0.092    7  0.102
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.581   24 -0.016   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4921   11  0.523   14  0.015   19 -0.043   20 -0.020
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.016 81.358   25 -0.044   25 -0.088   28 -0.152   25 0.4879   10  0.570   21 -0.079   27 -0.225    9  0.058
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.013 81.076   26 -0.059   26 -0.099   21 -0.055   26 0.4862   30  0.172   29 -0.321    3  0.211   17 -0.011
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.005 80.598   27 -0.090   27 -0.116   25 -0.089   27 0.4836   20  0.435   26 -0.139   18 -0.040    5  0.208
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.444   28 -0.190   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4771    4  0.694   19 -0.046   30 -0.432   12  0.023
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.871   29 -0.224   29 -0.222   27 -0.119   29 0.4694   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.079   18 -0.015
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 81.971   30 -0.460   30 -0.413   30 -0.448   30 0.4441   26  0.351   30 -0.571   29 -0.326    1  0.661

NL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS       99  70  858  708 -0.021 81.906    4  0.140    3  0.137    4  0.139    5 0.5186   19  0.442    9  0.096    4  0.183    2  0.277
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.586    9  0.039    9  0.081    9  0.077    9 0.5109   29  0.292   24 -0.094    2  0.247   21 -0.028
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.224   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4984   25  0.390   23 -0.083    9  0.095   14  0.021
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.416   18  0.001   18 -0.019   16  0.006   18 0.4971    5  0.638    6  0.144   24 -0.131    8  0.073
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 81.971   30 -0.460   30 -0.413   30 -0.448   30 0.4441   26  0.351   30 -0.571   29 -0.326    1  0.661

NL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      100  68  829  653 -0.000 82.814    1  0.182    1  0.169    1  0.179    1 0.5227    8  0.596    3  0.276   12  0.082   26 -0.190
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.005 84.215    6  0.102    6  0.119    3  0.148    6 0.5159   14  0.505    5  0.160    7  0.136   22 -0.048
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.010 81.732   13  0.007   13  0.017   13  0.031   13 0.5023   17  0.456   16  0.000   14  0.062   16 -0.006
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.015 81.187   19 -0.001   19 -0.024   22 -0.058   19 0.4963    6  0.628   10  0.070   26 -0.186   25 -0.185
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.013 81.076   26 -0.059   26 -0.099   21 -0.055   26 0.4862   30  0.172   29 -0.321    3  0.211   17 -0.011

NL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.019 80.654    5  0.136    5  0.136    5  0.127    4 0.5190   27  0.317   17 -0.023    1  0.278    3  0.253
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.367   14  0.007   14  0.015   12  0.036   14 0.5023   12  0.520   11  0.062   17  0.009   13  0.021
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.006 79.898   20 -0.002   20 -0.028   24 -0.089   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.131   28 -0.308   28 -0.275
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.581   24 -0.016   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4921   11  0.523   14  0.015   19 -0.043   20 -0.020
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.444   28 -0.190   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4771    4  0.694   19 -0.046   30 -0.432   12  0.023

AL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      95  74  798  718 -0.002 83.357    7  0.079    7  0.109    8  0.080    7 0.5153    3  0.701    2  0.279   23 -0.119   29 -0.434
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.013 79.300   12  0.019   12  0.055   15  0.009   11 0.5079   24  0.407   20 -0.065   11  0.083   23 -0.051
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.005 79.685   16  0.004   16 -0.003   11  0.065   16 0.5004   16  0.480   12  0.055   13  0.075   30 -0.483
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.004 80.460   22 -0.011   23 -0.053   23 -0.064   22 0.4932    7  0.600   13  0.037   25 -0.164    6  0.153
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.016 81.358   25 -0.044   25 -0.088   28 -0.152   25 0.4879   10  0.570   21 -0.079   27 -0.225    9  0.058

AL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.005 81.248   10  0.022   10  0.064   18  0.003   10 0.5080   28  0.300   28 -0.162    5  0.168   19 -0.017
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.008 83.424   11  0.021   11  0.057   10  0.072   12 0.5078   21  0.417   15  0.006    6  0.138    4  0.209
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.005 79.822   15  0.005   15  0.007   19 -0.012   15 0.5004   23  0.411   22 -0.083   15  0.059   27 -0.210
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.005 80.598   27 -0.090   27 -0.116   25 -0.089   27 0.4836   20  0.435   26 -0.139   18 -0.040    5  0.208
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.871   29 -0.224   29 -0.222   27 -0.119   29 0.4694   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.079   18 -0.015

AL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     97  71  836  753  0.018 84.158    2  0.153    2  0.150    7  0.107    2 0.5205    9  0.593    4  0.202   16  0.013   11  0.043
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.008 83.949    3  0.141    4  0.137    2  0.165    3 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.379   20 -0.049   24 -0.184
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.014 82.389    8  0.051    8  0.090    6  0.113    8 0.5125   13  0.509    8  0.129    8  0.098   15 -0.002
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.015 81.065   21 -0.003   21 -0.033   14  0.026   20 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.040   10  0.092   10  0.057
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.021 81.681   23 -0.011   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4929   15  0.481   25 -0.110   22 -0.092    7  0.102

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    436 390 0.528    1  0.080
NL CENTRAL 428 398 0.518    2  0.062
AL WEST    411 406 0.503    3 -0.015
AL CENTRAL 392 429 0.477    4 -0.037
NL EAST    401 413 0.493    5 -0.045
NL WEST    394 426 0.480    6 -0.052

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.077 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 14 05:30:13 2025
games through: Mon Oct 13 2025

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