Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      103  59 832 618  0.003 80.882    1  0.222    1  0.222    1  0.231    1 0.5341   20  0.441    3  0.176    3  0.285   11  0.044
DODGERS      100  62 801 600 -0.012 80.015    2  0.206    2  0.183    2  0.204    2 0.5277   23  0.418    4  0.130    4  0.278   15 -0.007
RAYS          98  64 736 650 -0.003 80.700    3  0.189    3  0.168    6  0.106    3 0.5251   24  0.402   13  0.017    7  0.194   12  0.037
BRAVES        95  68 747 629  0.009 81.965    4  0.144    4  0.139    4  0.130    4 0.5213   26  0.340   16 -0.011    5  0.272    8  0.118
YANKEES       94  68 748 601 -0.007 80.420    5  0.113    5  0.125    3  0.152    5 0.5193   30  0.259   22 -0.056    1  0.359    6  0.237
PADRES        92  71 730 681  0.003 81.593    6  0.068    6  0.106    8  0.062    6 0.5157   12  0.569    5  0.124   14 -0.000   29 -0.289
CUBS          89  74 850 711  0.014 82.262    7  0.038    7  0.083    5  0.124    7 0.5136    6  0.630    1  0.244   13  0.004   13  0.023
PHILLIES      88  75 716 703  0.017 82.577    8  0.026    8  0.074   11  0.036    8 0.5113   28  0.319   26 -0.123    6  0.195    5  0.258
RED SOX       87  76 689 620  0.004 81.671    9  0.014    9  0.057    7  0.084    9 0.5091   29  0.263   25 -0.120    2  0.288    9  0.092
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.008 81.498   10  0.012   10  0.054   13  0.017   10 0.5082   11  0.574   10  0.083   16 -0.049   19 -0.099
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX     85  78 782 723 -0.015 80.490   11  0.004   12  0.026   10  0.051   13 0.5030    5  0.638    2  0.180   18 -0.077   21 -0.127
GUARDIANS     85  77 678 667 -0.018 79.869   12  0.004   11  0.028   16 -0.008   12 0.5033   27  0.334   28 -0.153    8  0.138   10  0.046
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.021 82.372   13  0.003   13  0.024   12  0.035   11 0.5041   21  0.439   17 -0.021    9  0.091    7  0.234
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.016 82.095   14 -0.000   14  0.001   14  0.016   14 0.5007   17  0.497   14  0.011   12  0.020   17 -0.093
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.007 81.019   15 -0.002   15 -0.011   18 -0.020   15 0.4985    7  0.623    8  0.094   24 -0.134   24 -0.164
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.010 81.714   16 -0.002   16 -0.014   19 -0.029   16 0.4982   25  0.366   27 -0.148   10  0.091   14  0.015
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.022 82.477   17 -0.004   17 -0.026   17 -0.018   17 0.4969    8  0.619    9  0.092   23 -0.127   27 -0.226
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.016 82.060   18 -0.004   18 -0.029   15  0.006   18 0.4960   10  0.609    7  0.106   19 -0.094    4  0.272
ASTROS        81  82 737 772 -0.042 78.872   19 -0.005   19 -0.032   21 -0.060   21 0.4943    4  0.638   11  0.068   25 -0.189   20 -0.123
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.037 78.721   20 -0.006   20 -0.034   23 -0.066   19 0.4945   13  0.534   20 -0.037   20 -0.096   26 -0.194
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.036 83.596   21 -0.007   21 -0.038   28 -0.140   20 0.4944    3  0.641   15 -0.009   29 -0.272   25 -0.168
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.004 80.859   22 -0.009   22 -0.043   22 -0.063   22 0.4925    1  0.693    6  0.119   28 -0.245   18 -0.093
METS          74  88 699 731  0.025 82.726   23 -0.013   23 -0.054   20 -0.035   23 0.4922   16  0.511   18 -0.026   15 -0.044   16 -0.050
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.018 79.784   24 -0.015   24 -0.059    9  0.057   24 0.4907   18  0.485   12  0.042   11  0.071   23 -0.155
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.035 78.892   25 -0.028   25 -0.073   24 -0.088   25 0.4888   15  0.518   23 -0.073   21 -0.103   28 -0.234
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.005 80.847   26 -0.113   26 -0.124   26 -0.120   26 0.4805   22  0.431   29 -0.183   17 -0.057    3  0.284
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.012 82.014   27 -0.169   27 -0.150   25 -0.097   27 0.4777   14  0.525   24 -0.076   22 -0.119   22 -0.140
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.026 79.693   28 -0.217   28 -0.186   30 -0.242   28 0.4709   19  0.462   30 -0.278   26 -0.206    1  0.563
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.026 79.531   29 -0.223   29 -0.206   27 -0.137   29 0.4690    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.240   30 -0.359
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.025 82.869   30 -0.226   30 -0.216   29 -0.193   30 0.4680    2  0.663   21 -0.040   30 -0.346    2  0.298

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      100  62 801 600 -0.012 80.015    2  0.206    2  0.183    2  0.204    2 0.5277   23  0.418    4  0.130    4  0.278   15 -0.007
PADRES        92  71 730 681  0.003 81.593    6  0.068    6  0.106    8  0.062    6 0.5157   12  0.569    5  0.124   14 -0.000   29 -0.289
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.008 81.498   10  0.012   10  0.054   13  0.017   10 0.5082   11  0.574   10  0.083   16 -0.049   19 -0.099
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.012 82.014   27 -0.169   27 -0.150   25 -0.097   27 0.4777   14  0.525   24 -0.076   22 -0.119   22 -0.140
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.025 82.869   30 -0.226   30 -0.216   29 -0.193   30 0.4680    2  0.663   21 -0.040   30 -0.346    2  0.298

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      103  59 832 618  0.003 80.882    1  0.222    1  0.222    1  0.231    1 0.5341   20  0.441    3  0.176    3  0.285   11  0.044
CUBS          89  74 850 711  0.014 82.262    7  0.038    7  0.083    5  0.124    7 0.5136    6  0.630    1  0.244   13  0.004   13  0.023
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.021 82.372   13  0.003   13  0.024   12  0.035   11 0.5041   21  0.439   17 -0.021    9  0.091    7  0.234
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.022 82.477   17 -0.004   17 -0.026   17 -0.018   17 0.4969    8  0.619    9  0.092   23 -0.127   27 -0.226
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.036 83.596   21 -0.007   21 -0.038   28 -0.140   20 0.4944    3  0.641   15 -0.009   29 -0.272   25 -0.168

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES        95  68 747 629  0.009 81.965    4  0.144    4  0.139    4  0.130    4 0.5213   26  0.340   16 -0.011    5  0.272    8  0.118
PHILLIES      88  75 716 703  0.017 82.577    8  0.026    8  0.074   11  0.036    8 0.5113   28  0.319   26 -0.123    6  0.195    5  0.258
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.016 82.095   14 -0.000   14  0.001   14  0.016   14 0.5007   17  0.497   14  0.011   12  0.020   17 -0.093
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.016 82.060   18 -0.004   18 -0.029   15  0.006   18 0.4960   10  0.609    7  0.106   19 -0.094    4  0.272
METS          74  88 699 731  0.025 82.726   23 -0.013   23 -0.054   20 -0.035   23 0.4922   16  0.511   18 -0.026   15 -0.044   16 -0.050

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        81  82 737 772 -0.042 78.872   19 -0.005   19 -0.032   21 -0.060   21 0.4943    4  0.638   11  0.068   25 -0.189   20 -0.123
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.037 78.721   20 -0.006   20 -0.034   23 -0.066   19 0.4945   13  0.534   20 -0.037   20 -0.096   26 -0.194
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.035 78.892   25 -0.028   25 -0.073   24 -0.088   25 0.4888   15  0.518   23 -0.073   21 -0.103   28 -0.234
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.026 79.693   28 -0.217   28 -0.186   30 -0.242   28 0.4709   19  0.462   30 -0.278   26 -0.206    1  0.563
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.026 79.531   29 -0.223   29 -0.206   27 -0.137   29 0.4690    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.240   30 -0.359

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX     85  78 782 723 -0.015 80.490   11  0.004   12  0.026   10  0.051   13 0.5030    5  0.638    2  0.180   18 -0.077   21 -0.127
GUARDIANS     85  77 678 667 -0.018 79.869   12  0.004   11  0.028   16 -0.008   12 0.5033   27  0.334   28 -0.153    8  0.138   10  0.046
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.004 80.859   22 -0.009   22 -0.043   22 -0.063   22 0.4925    1  0.693    6  0.119   28 -0.245   18 -0.093
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.018 79.784   24 -0.015   24 -0.059    9  0.057   24 0.4907   18  0.485   12  0.042   11  0.071   23 -0.155
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.005 80.847   26 -0.113   26 -0.124   26 -0.120   26 0.4805   22  0.431   29 -0.183   17 -0.057    3  0.284

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS          98  64 736 650 -0.003 80.700    3  0.189    3  0.168    6  0.106    3 0.5251   24  0.402   13  0.017    7  0.194   12  0.037
YANKEES       94  68 748 601 -0.007 80.420    5  0.113    5  0.125    3  0.152    5 0.5193   30  0.259   22 -0.056    1  0.359    6  0.237
RED SOX       87  76 689 620  0.004 81.671    9  0.014    9  0.057    7  0.084    9 0.5091   29  0.263   25 -0.120    2  0.288    9  0.092
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.007 81.019   15 -0.002   15 -0.011   18 -0.020   15 0.4985    7  0.623    8  0.094   24 -0.134   24 -0.164
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.010 81.714   16 -0.002   16 -0.014   19 -0.029   16 0.4982   25  0.366   27 -0.148   10  0.091   14  0.015

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    437 373 0.540    1  0.080
NL CENTRAL 426 385 0.525    2  0.063
NL EAST    414 398 0.510    3  0.042
NL WEST    401 410 0.494    4 -0.002
AL CENTRAL 392 419 0.483    5 -0.022
AL WEST    363 448 0.448    6 -0.161

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.058 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Sep 30 05:30:13 2026
games through: Tue Sep 29 2026

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