Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       99  67  825  650 -0.001 81.768    1  0.182    1  0.170    1  0.179    1 0.5229    8  0.597    3  0.276   12  0.081   24 -0.164
BLUE JAYS     97  69  832  740  0.018 83.138    2  0.170    2  0.162    6  0.118    2 0.5222    9  0.594    4  0.213   16  0.023   11  0.050
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.023    3  0.141    3  0.138    2  0.166    3 0.5193    2  0.714    1  0.379   20 -0.047   25 -0.184
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.018 80.678    4  0.137    4  0.137    5  0.128    4 0.5191   27  0.316   17 -0.024    1  0.279    3  0.252
DODGERS       98  70  856  707 -0.023 81.307    5  0.129    5  0.132    4  0.137    5 0.5178   17  0.455    9  0.105    4  0.170    2  0.264
CUBS          96  73  815  673  0.004 83.603    6  0.113    6  0.124    3  0.150    6 0.5165   13  0.513    5  0.170    7  0.131   23 -0.057
MARINERS      93  74  785  714 -0.004 82.234    7  0.060    7  0.098   10  0.069    7 0.5137    3  0.710    2  0.277   24 -0.138   29 -0.442
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.445    8  0.052    8  0.091    7  0.114    8 0.5126   14  0.508    8  0.129    8  0.100   15 -0.002
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.578    9  0.040    9  0.081    8  0.077    9 0.5109   29  0.292   24 -0.095    2  0.249   21 -0.029
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.005 81.258   10  0.022   10  0.065   18  0.003   10 0.5080   28  0.300   28 -0.162    5  0.168   19 -0.018
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.008 83.416   11  0.021   11  0.057    9  0.072   12 0.5077   22  0.416   15  0.005    6  0.139    4  0.209
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.013 79.271   12  0.019   12  0.055   15  0.009   11 0.5078   24  0.407   20 -0.067   11  0.084   22 -0.051
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.011 81.751   13  0.007   13  0.018   13  0.032   13 0.5024   18  0.455   16 -0.001   14  0.065   16 -0.006
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.010 79.380   14  0.007   14  0.015   12  0.036   14 0.5024   12  0.520   11  0.062   17  0.011   13  0.021
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.005 79.827   15  0.005   15  0.007   19 -0.012   15 0.5004   23  0.411   22 -0.084   15  0.060   27 -0.210
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.006 79.655   16  0.004   16 -0.003   11  0.065   16 0.5003   15  0.480   12  0.055   13  0.075   30 -0.484
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.226   17  0.003   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4984   25  0.390   23 -0.084    9  0.096   14  0.020
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.419   18  0.001   18 -0.019   16  0.007   18 0.4971    5  0.637    6  0.143   23 -0.129    8  0.072
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.015 81.207   19 -0.001   19 -0.024   22 -0.057   19 0.4963    6  0.626   10  0.068   26 -0.183   26 -0.185
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.006 79.911   20 -0.002   20 -0.028   24 -0.088   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.131   28 -0.307   28 -0.275
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.016 81.118   21 -0.002   21 -0.032   14  0.027   20 0.4962   21  0.416   18 -0.040   10  0.094   10  0.056
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.734   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4930   16  0.480   25 -0.111   22 -0.090    7  0.103
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.003 80.435   23 -0.012   23 -0.053   23 -0.064   22 0.4931    7  0.599   13  0.035   25 -0.163    6  0.153
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.593   24 -0.016   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4921   11  0.523   14  0.015   19 -0.042   20 -0.019
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.325   25 -0.045   25 -0.088   28 -0.152   25 0.4879   10  0.569   21 -0.081   27 -0.224    9  0.057
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.013 81.095   26 -0.059   26 -0.099   21 -0.055   26 0.4862   30  0.171   29 -0.322    3  0.212   17 -0.011
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.005 80.602   27 -0.090   27 -0.116   25 -0.089   27 0.4837   20  0.434   26 -0.140   18 -0.038    5  0.209
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.457   28 -0.190   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4771    4  0.694   19 -0.047   30 -0.430   12  0.023
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.885   29 -0.224   29 -0.222   27 -0.119   29 0.4694   19  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.079   18 -0.015
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 81.973   30 -0.460   30 -0.413   30 -0.449   30 0.4441   26  0.350   30 -0.572   29 -0.325    1  0.660
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS       98  70  856  707 -0.023 81.307    5  0.129    5  0.132    4  0.137    5 0.5178   17  0.455    9  0.105    4  0.170    2  0.264
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.578    9  0.040    9  0.081    8  0.077    9 0.5109   29  0.292   24 -0.095    2  0.249   21 -0.029
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.226   17  0.003   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4984   25  0.390   23 -0.084    9  0.096   14  0.020
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.419   18  0.001   18 -0.019   16  0.007   18 0.4971    5  0.637    6  0.143   23 -0.129    8  0.072
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 81.973   30 -0.460   30 -0.413   30 -0.449   30 0.4441   26  0.350   30 -0.572   29 -0.325    1  0.660

NL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       99  67  825  650 -0.001 81.768    1  0.182    1  0.170    1  0.179    1 0.5229    8  0.597    3  0.276   12  0.081   24 -0.164
CUBS          96  73  815  673  0.004 83.603    6  0.113    6  0.124    3  0.150    6 0.5165   13  0.513    5  0.170    7  0.131   23 -0.057
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.011 81.751   13  0.007   13  0.018   13  0.032   13 0.5024   18  0.455   16 -0.001   14  0.065   16 -0.006
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.015 81.207   19 -0.001   19 -0.024   22 -0.057   19 0.4963    6  0.626   10  0.068   26 -0.183   26 -0.185
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.013 81.095   26 -0.059   26 -0.099   21 -0.055   26 0.4862   30  0.171   29 -0.322    3  0.212   17 -0.011

NL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.018 80.678    4  0.137    4  0.137    5  0.128    4 0.5191   27  0.316   17 -0.024    1  0.279    3  0.252
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.010 79.380   14  0.007   14  0.015   12  0.036   14 0.5024   12  0.520   11  0.062   17  0.011   13  0.021
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.006 79.911   20 -0.002   20 -0.028   24 -0.088   21 0.4960    1  0.721    7  0.131   28 -0.307   28 -0.275
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.009 79.593   24 -0.016   24 -0.061   20 -0.014   24 0.4921   11  0.523   14  0.015   19 -0.042   20 -0.019
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.457   28 -0.190   28 -0.166   29 -0.239   28 0.4771    4  0.694   19 -0.047   30 -0.430   12  0.023

AL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      93  74  785  714 -0.004 82.234    7  0.060    7  0.098   10  0.069    7 0.5137    3  0.710    2  0.277   24 -0.138   29 -0.442
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.013 79.271   12  0.019   12  0.055   15  0.009   11 0.5078   24  0.407   20 -0.067   11  0.084   22 -0.051
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.006 79.655   16  0.004   16 -0.003   11  0.065   16 0.5003   15  0.480   12  0.055   13  0.075   30 -0.484
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.003 80.435   23 -0.012   23 -0.053   23 -0.064   22 0.4931    7  0.599   13  0.035   25 -0.163    6  0.153
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.325   25 -0.045   25 -0.088   28 -0.152   25 0.4879   10  0.569   21 -0.081   27 -0.224    9  0.057

AL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.005 81.258   10  0.022   10  0.065   18  0.003   10 0.5080   28  0.300   28 -0.162    5  0.168   19 -0.018
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.008 83.416   11  0.021   11  0.057    9  0.072   12 0.5077   22  0.416   15  0.005    6  0.139    4  0.209
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.005 79.827   15  0.005   15  0.007   19 -0.012   15 0.5004   23  0.411   22 -0.084   15  0.060   27 -0.210
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.005 80.602   27 -0.090   27 -0.116   25 -0.089   27 0.4837   20  0.434   26 -0.140   18 -0.038    5  0.209
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.009 80.885   29 -0.224   29 -0.222   27 -0.119   29 0.4694   19  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.079   18 -0.015

AL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     97  69  832  740  0.018 83.138    2  0.170    2  0.162    6  0.118    2 0.5222    9  0.594    4  0.213   16  0.023   11  0.050
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.023    3  0.141    3  0.138    2  0.166    3 0.5193    2  0.714    1  0.379   20 -0.047   25 -0.184
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.445    8  0.052    8  0.091    7  0.114    8 0.5126   14  0.508    8  0.129    8  0.100   15 -0.002
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.016 81.118   21 -0.002   21 -0.032   14  0.027   20 0.4962   21  0.416   18 -0.040   10  0.094   10  0.056
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.734   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4930   16  0.480   25 -0.111   22 -0.090    7  0.103

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    436 388 0.529    1  0.083
NL CENTRAL 427 396 0.519    2  0.063
AL WEST    409 406 0.502    3 -0.018
AL CENTRAL 392 429 0.477    4 -0.037
NL EAST    401 413 0.493    5 -0.045
NL WEST    393 426 0.480    6 -0.053

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.078 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Oct 11 05:30:12 2025
games through: Fri Oct 10 2025

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