Dolphin Ratings - Major League Soccer

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LOS ANGELES    20  8  5 47 30  0.011 16.325    1  0.246    1  0.244    3  0.217    1 0.5426   11  0.092    4  0.169    3  0.266
REAL SALT LAKE 15  5 11 47 23  0.020 15.263    2  0.208    2  0.200    1  0.314    2 0.5379   16 -0.099    5  0.130    1  0.497
FC DALLAS      14  5 16 49 32  0.058 17.892    3  0.199    3  0.193    2  0.256    3 0.5342   13  0.045    3  0.173    2  0.339
NEW YORK       17 10  6 43 33  0.001 16.331    4  0.146    4  0.145    5  0.144    4 0.5244   12  0.087    7  0.092    4  0.196
COLUMBUS       15  9  8 42 36  0.011 16.066    5  0.137    5  0.137    6  0.078    5 0.5223    9  0.141    8  0.066    7  0.090
COLORADO       15 10 10 50 38  0.033 17.726    6  0.125    6  0.117    4  0.166    6 0.5198    7  0.180    2  0.184    6  0.148
SEATTLE        14 12  5 40 38  0.008 15.579    7  0.060    7  0.055    7  0.044    8 0.5089    4  0.262    6  0.127    9 -0.038
SAN JOSE       14 12  8 37 36  0.024 17.355    8  0.058    8  0.055    8  0.026    7 0.5089   14 -0.052   13 -0.126    5  0.178
KANSAS CITY    11 13  6 36 35 -0.007 14.979    9 -0.039    9 -0.045    9 -0.014    9 0.4912   10  0.107   11 -0.051    8  0.024
CHICAGO         9 13  9 37 39 -0.011 15.522   10 -0.094   10 -0.100   10 -0.053   10 0.4839    6  0.200    9 -0.019   10 -0.087
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TORONTO FC      9 14  8 33 42 -0.040 15.347   11 -0.121   11 -0.124   12 -0.150   11 0.4778    8  0.178   14 -0.133   11 -0.166
HOUSTON         9 15  6 40 49 -0.014 15.118   12 -0.131   12 -0.134   11 -0.129   12 0.4756    1  0.557    1  0.208   16 -0.466
PHILADELPHIA    9 15  7 36 49 -0.027 15.553   13 -0.150   13 -0.152   13 -0.191   13 0.4750    2  0.367   10 -0.021   14 -0.360
NEW ENGLAND     9 16  5 32 50 -0.019 15.243   14 -0.159   14 -0.157   15 -0.239   14 0.4717    3  0.352   12 -0.082   15 -0.396
CHIVAS USA      8 18  4 31 45 -0.018 15.217   15 -0.219   15 -0.226   14 -0.214   15 0.4599    5  0.228   15 -0.159   13 -0.269
DC UNITED       7 20  4 22 47 -0.021 15.894   16 -0.268   16 -0.271   16 -0.362   16 0.4499   15 -0.079   16 -0.531   12 -0.192

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LOS ANGELES    20  8  5 47 30  0.011 16.325    1  0.246    1  0.244    3  0.217    1 0.5426   11  0.092    4  0.169    3  0.266
REAL SALT LAKE 15  5 11 47 23  0.020 15.263    2  0.208    2  0.200    1  0.314    2 0.5379   16 -0.099    5  0.130    1  0.497
FC DALLAS      14  5 16 49 32  0.058 17.892    3  0.199    3  0.193    2  0.256    3 0.5342   13  0.045    3  0.173    2  0.339
COLORADO       15 10 10 50 38  0.033 17.726    6  0.125    6  0.117    4  0.166    6 0.5198    7  0.180    2  0.184    6  0.148
SEATTLE        14 12  5 40 38  0.008 15.579    7  0.060    7  0.055    7  0.044    8 0.5089    4  0.262    6  0.127    9 -0.038
SAN JOSE       14 12  8 37 36  0.024 17.355    8  0.058    8  0.055    8  0.026    7 0.5089   14 -0.052   13 -0.126    5  0.178
HOUSTON         9 15  6 40 49 -0.014 15.118   12 -0.131   12 -0.134   11 -0.129   12 0.4756    1  0.557    1  0.208   16 -0.466
CHIVAS USA      8 18  4 31 45 -0.018 15.217   15 -0.219   15 -0.226   14 -0.214   15 0.4599    5  0.228   15 -0.159   13 -0.269

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NEW YORK       17 10  6 43 33  0.001 16.331    4  0.146    4  0.145    5  0.144    4 0.5244   12  0.087    7  0.092    4  0.196
COLUMBUS       15  9  8 42 36  0.011 16.066    5  0.137    5  0.137    6  0.078    5 0.5223    9  0.141    8  0.066    7  0.090
KANSAS CITY    11 13  6 36 35 -0.007 14.979    9 -0.039    9 -0.045    9 -0.014    9 0.4912   10  0.107   11 -0.051    8  0.024
CHICAGO         9 13  9 37 39 -0.011 15.522   10 -0.094   10 -0.100   10 -0.053   10 0.4839    6  0.200    9 -0.019   10 -0.087
TORONTO FC      9 14  8 33 42 -0.040 15.347   11 -0.121   11 -0.124   12 -0.150   11 0.4778    8  0.178   14 -0.133   11 -0.166
PHILADELPHIA    9 15  7 36 49 -0.027 15.553   13 -0.150   13 -0.152   13 -0.191   13 0.4750    2  0.367   10 -0.021   14 -0.360
NEW ENGLAND     9 16  5 32 50 -0.019 15.243   14 -0.159   14 -0.157   15 -0.239   14 0.4717    3  0.352   12 -0.082   15 -0.396
DC UNITED       7 20  4 22 47 -0.021 15.894   16 -0.268   16 -0.271   16 -0.362   16 0.4499   15 -0.079   16 -0.531   12 -0.192

DIVISION             W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 109  85  65 0.546    1  0.131
EASTERN CONFERENCE  86 110  53 0.452    2 -0.147

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.268 points in main ratings (0.205 for semineutral)
     0.027 points in improved RPI (0.020 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Dec 28 14:04:00 2024
games through: Sun Nov 21 2010

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