Dolphin Ratings - Major League Soccer

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAN JOSE       20  7  9 74 46  0.009 17.503    1  0.209    1  0.199    1  0.273    1 0.5410    1  0.715    1  0.710   15 -0.165
KANSAS CITY    19  8  9 43 29  0.004 17.690    2  0.199    2  0.191    2  0.178    2 0.5362   19 -0.306   15 -0.186    1  0.542
SEATTLE        17  9 12 54 37  0.015 18.817    3  0.154    3  0.144    4  0.173    3 0.5245   15  0.029    8  0.027    2  0.319
NEW YORK       16 10 10 58 48  0.018 18.034    4  0.121    4  0.114    8  0.091    5 0.5213    3  0.497    3  0.323   13 -0.141
LOS ANGELES    20 14  6 71 53  0.019 19.783    5  0.118    6  0.109    3  0.175    8 0.5177    2  0.578    2  0.481   12 -0.131
DC UNITED      18 11  9 57 48  0.004 18.790    6  0.114    7  0.107    7  0.099    4 0.5218    7  0.305    4  0.165    6  0.033
CHICAGO        17 11  6 46 41 -0.010 16.734    7  0.112    5  0.110    9  0.037    6 0.5198   12  0.229    7  0.041    7  0.032
REAL SALT LAKE 17 12  7 46 36  0.008 17.785    8  0.101    8  0.095    6  0.104    9 0.5157   17 -0.063   12 -0.106    3  0.314
HOUSTON        16 11 12 55 47  0.037 19.747    9  0.092    9  0.085    5  0.118    7 0.5191   10  0.244    5  0.134    5  0.102
COLUMBUS       15 12  7 44 44 -0.016 16.768   10  0.060   10  0.058   10 -0.009   10 0.5088    8  0.254    9  0.016   10 -0.034
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VANCOUVER      11 14 10 36 43  0.001 17.612   11 -0.046   11 -0.061   11 -0.071   11 0.4898   18 -0.090   18 -0.300    4  0.157
MONTREAL       12 16  6 45 51 -0.002 17.064   12 -0.058   12 -0.073   13 -0.074   12 0.4865    4  0.418    6  0.087   17 -0.235
FC DALLAS       9 13 12 42 47 -0.016 16.950   13 -0.086   13 -0.104   15 -0.077   13 0.4848    9  0.246   11 -0.059   11 -0.095
PORTLAND        8 16 10 34 56 -0.017 17.241   14 -0.141   14 -0.149   17 -0.243   17 0.4713   11  0.236   17 -0.233   18 -0.254
PHILADELPHIA   10 18  6 37 45 -0.013 16.974   15 -0.143   15 -0.152   16 -0.115   15 0.4722   14  0.085   16 -0.220    9 -0.010
NEW ENGLAND     9 17  8 39 44 -0.001 17.113   16 -0.152   16 -0.164   12 -0.074   14 0.4737   13  0.111   14 -0.160    8  0.012
COLORADO       11 19  4 44 50 -0.013 16.949   17 -0.158   17 -0.169   14 -0.076   16 0.4713    6  0.318   10  0.001   14 -0.153
CHIVAS USA      7 18  9 24 58 -0.015 17.403   18 -0.196   18 -0.186   19 -0.362   18 0.4611   16 -0.019   19 -0.542   16 -0.181
TORONTO FC      5 21  8 36 62 -0.015 17.408   19 -0.299   19 -0.303   18 -0.300   19 0.4459    5  0.413   13 -0.143   19 -0.457
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAN JOSE       20  7  9 74 46  0.009 17.503    1  0.209    1  0.199    1  0.273    1 0.5410    1  0.715    1  0.710   15 -0.165
SEATTLE        17  9 12 54 37  0.015 18.817    3  0.154    3  0.144    4  0.173    3 0.5245   15  0.029    8  0.027    2  0.319
LOS ANGELES    20 14  6 71 53  0.019 19.783    5  0.118    6  0.109    3  0.175    8 0.5177    2  0.578    2  0.481   12 -0.131
REAL SALT LAKE 17 12  7 46 36  0.008 17.785    8  0.101    8  0.095    6  0.104    9 0.5157   17 -0.063   12 -0.106    3  0.314
VANCOUVER      11 14 10 36 43  0.001 17.612   11 -0.046   11 -0.061   11 -0.071   11 0.4898   18 -0.090   18 -0.300    4  0.157
FC DALLAS       9 13 12 42 47 -0.016 16.950   13 -0.086   13 -0.104   15 -0.077   13 0.4848    9  0.246   11 -0.059   11 -0.095
PORTLAND        8 16 10 34 56 -0.017 17.241   14 -0.141   14 -0.149   17 -0.243   17 0.4713   11  0.236   17 -0.233   18 -0.254
COLORADO       11 19  4 44 50 -0.013 16.949   17 -0.158   17 -0.169   14 -0.076   16 0.4713    6  0.318   10  0.001   14 -0.153
CHIVAS USA      7 18  9 24 58 -0.015 17.403   18 -0.196   18 -0.186   19 -0.362   18 0.4611   16 -0.019   19 -0.542   16 -0.181

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KANSAS CITY    19  8  9 43 29  0.004 17.690    2  0.199    2  0.191    2  0.178    2 0.5362   19 -0.306   15 -0.186    1  0.542
NEW YORK       16 10 10 58 48  0.018 18.034    4  0.121    4  0.114    8  0.091    5 0.5213    3  0.497    3  0.323   13 -0.141
DC UNITED      18 11  9 57 48  0.004 18.790    6  0.114    7  0.107    7  0.099    4 0.5218    7  0.305    4  0.165    6  0.033
CHICAGO        17 11  6 46 41 -0.010 16.734    7  0.112    5  0.110    9  0.037    6 0.5198   12  0.229    7  0.041    7  0.032
HOUSTON        16 11 12 55 47  0.037 19.747    9  0.092    9  0.085    5  0.118    7 0.5191   10  0.244    5  0.134    5  0.102
COLUMBUS       15 12  7 44 44 -0.016 16.768   10  0.060   10  0.058   10 -0.009   10 0.5088    8  0.254    9  0.016   10 -0.034
MONTREAL       12 16  6 45 51 -0.002 17.064   12 -0.058   12 -0.073   13 -0.074   12 0.4865    4  0.418    6  0.087   17 -0.235
PHILADELPHIA   10 18  6 37 45 -0.013 16.974   15 -0.143   15 -0.152   16 -0.115   15 0.4722   14  0.085   16 -0.220    9 -0.010
NEW ENGLAND     9 17  8 39 44 -0.001 17.113   16 -0.152   16 -0.164   12 -0.074   14 0.4737   13  0.111   14 -0.160    8  0.012
TORONTO FC      5 21  8 36 62 -0.015 17.408   19 -0.299   19 -0.303   18 -0.300   19 0.4459    5  0.413   13 -0.143   19 -0.457

DIVISION             W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
EASTERN CONFERENCE 137 135  81 0.503    1 -0.003
WESTERN CONFERENCE 120 122  79 0.497    2 -0.016

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.312 points in main ratings (0.205 for semineutral)
     0.032 points in improved RPI (0.020 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Dec 28 14:04:24 2024
games through: Sat Dec  1 2012

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