Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.226  4.540    1  0.338    2  0.328   10  0.149    1 0.6003   10  1.393    8  0.287   13  0.011
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.217  4.460    2  0.322    1  0.332    9  0.168    2 0.5953   11  1.389    7  0.300   11  0.036
BRONCOS    7 2 0 225 166  0.063  4.273    3  0.302    3  0.309    6  0.215    5 0.5756   25  1.112   21 -0.018    4  0.449
RAMS       6 2 0 209 127  0.249  4.286    4  0.295    4  0.302    1  0.411    4 0.5870   26  1.108   11  0.171    2  0.650
SEAHAWKS   6 2 0 231 150  0.205  4.297    5  0.287    5  0.295    2  0.358    3 0.5891   12  1.364    3  0.455    6  0.261
49ERS      6 3 0 194 188  0.256  5.212    6  0.275    6  0.290   11  0.130    6 0.5701   22  1.224   18  0.038    7  0.222
COLTS      7 2 0 290 181  0.035  3.966    7  0.263    7  0.270    5  0.302    7 0.5671    4  1.514    2  0.616   16 -0.012
JAGUARS    5 3 0 176 184  0.185  4.553    8  0.181    8  0.193   16  0.027    8 0.5570   15  1.338   15  0.087   19 -0.033
BILLS      6 2 0 235 167 -0.172  3.203    9  0.166    9  0.171    7  0.172   13 0.5382    6  1.482    4  0.440   22 -0.095
PATRIOTS   7 2 0 237 169 -0.354  3.071   10  0.153   11  0.145   12  0.070    9 0.5455   13  1.357   13  0.157   17 -0.018
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   6 3 0 215 193 -0.080  4.119   11  0.147   10  0.146   14  0.032   14 0.5303   17  1.314   16  0.059   15  0.004
PACKERS    5 2 1 206 166 -0.130  3.453   12  0.124   12  0.123   13  0.056   11 0.5395   20  1.269   19  0.023    9  0.089
LIONS      5 3 0 239 178  0.017  3.747   13  0.105   13  0.105    8  0.168   10 0.5404    7  1.445    5  0.381   21 -0.044
STEELERS   5 3 0 202 195 -0.062  3.764   14  0.101   14  0.101   17  0.022   12 0.5389    9  1.401   12  0.171   23 -0.127
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.093  4.455   15  0.068   15  0.069    3  0.329   15 0.5172   24  1.115   14  0.099    3  0.560
BEARS      5 3 0 215 227 -0.250  3.303   16  0.048   16  0.045   22 -0.115   16 0.5103    5  1.508   10  0.190   30 -0.420
PANTHERS   5 4 0 170 205 -0.119  4.224   17  0.032   17  0.033   23 -0.130   18 0.5044   29  1.068   27 -0.418    8  0.158
TEXANS     3 5 0 168 121  0.391  4.821   18 -0.024   18 -0.019    4  0.308   19 0.4990   32  0.889   24 -0.184    1  0.799
VIKINGS    4 4 0 182 186 -0.161  3.604   19 -0.042   19 -0.042   20 -0.095   17 0.5072   21  1.255   23 -0.146   20 -0.043
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.058  3.856   20 -0.077   21 -0.076   19 -0.035   20 0.4833    1  1.770    1  0.687   31 -0.756
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.136  4.453   21 -0.077   20 -0.074   15  0.028   22 0.4543    3  1.528    6  0.363   28 -0.307
FALCONS    3 5 0 143 178 -0.086  3.926   22 -0.143   22 -0.141   25 -0.183   21 0.4716   27  1.091   28 -0.443   10  0.077
COMMANDERS 3 6 0 201 236 -0.029  4.560   23 -0.179   23 -0.175   24 -0.135   24 0.4467   14  1.344   22 -0.067   25 -0.204
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.013  3.531   24 -0.206   24 -0.204   18  0.004   25 0.4356   19  1.281   20 -0.013   12  0.020
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.198  4.219   25 -0.227   25 -0.224   31 -0.333   23 0.4497    2  1.654    9  0.198   32 -0.864
RAIDERS    2 6 0 132 210 -0.103  4.149   26 -0.245   27 -0.241   29 -0.290   27 0.4255   28  1.085   30 -0.557   18 -0.024
GIANTS     2 7 0 197 249  0.102  5.064   27 -0.249   26 -0.241   21 -0.114   26 0.4345    8  1.406   17  0.042   27 -0.270
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.182  3.793   28 -0.292   28 -0.289   26 -0.227   28 0.4158   31  0.889   32 -0.719    5  0.265
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.167  5.670   29 -0.326   29 -0.315   32 -0.341   31 0.3982   23  1.147   29 -0.532   24 -0.150
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.153  4.304   30 -0.333   30 -0.329   28 -0.273   30 0.3994   16  1.326   25 -0.228   29 -0.318
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAINTS     1 8 0 138 243  0.062  5.204   31 -0.367   31 -0.361   30 -0.305   29 0.4019   30  1.047   31 -0.617   14  0.007
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.186  3.697   32 -0.418   32 -0.416   27 -0.251   32 0.3829   18  1.300   26 -0.242   26 -0.260

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    7 2 0 225 166  0.063  4.273    3  0.302    3  0.309    6  0.215    5 0.5756   25  1.112   21 -0.018    4  0.449
CHARGERS   6 3 0 215 193 -0.080  4.119   11  0.147   10  0.146   14  0.032   14 0.5303   17  1.314   16  0.059   15  0.004
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.093  4.455   15  0.068   15  0.069    3  0.329   15 0.5172   24  1.115   14  0.099    3  0.560
RAIDERS    2 6 0 132 210 -0.103  4.149   26 -0.245   27 -0.241   29 -0.290   27 0.4255   28  1.085   30 -0.557   18 -0.024

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      7 2 0 290 181  0.035  3.966    7  0.263    7  0.270    5  0.302    7 0.5671    4  1.514    2  0.616   16 -0.012
JAGUARS    5 3 0 176 184  0.185  4.553    8  0.181    8  0.193   16  0.027    8 0.5570   15  1.338   15  0.087   19 -0.033
TEXANS     3 5 0 168 121  0.391  4.821   18 -0.024   18 -0.019    4  0.308   19 0.4990   32  0.889   24 -0.184    1  0.799
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.167  5.670   29 -0.326   29 -0.315   32 -0.341   31 0.3982   23  1.147   29 -0.532   24 -0.150

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   5 3 0 202 195 -0.062  3.764   14  0.101   14  0.101   17  0.022   12 0.5389    9  1.401   12  0.171   23 -0.127
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.136  4.453   21 -0.077   20 -0.074   15  0.028   22 0.4543    3  1.528    6  0.363   28 -0.307
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.198  4.219   25 -0.227   25 -0.224   31 -0.333   23 0.4497    2  1.654    9  0.198   32 -0.864
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.182  3.793   28 -0.292   28 -0.289   26 -0.227   28 0.4158   31  0.889   32 -0.719    5  0.265

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      6 2 0 235 167 -0.172  3.203    9  0.166    9  0.171    7  0.172   13 0.5382    6  1.482    4  0.440   22 -0.095
PATRIOTS   7 2 0 237 169 -0.354  3.071   10  0.153   11  0.145   12  0.070    9 0.5455   13  1.357   13  0.157   17 -0.018
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.153  4.304   30 -0.333   30 -0.329   28 -0.273   30 0.3994   16  1.326   25 -0.228   29 -0.318
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.186  3.697   32 -0.418   32 -0.416   27 -0.251   32 0.3829   18  1.300   26 -0.242   26 -0.260

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       6 2 0 209 127  0.249  4.286    4  0.295    4  0.302    1  0.411    4 0.5870   26  1.108   11  0.171    2  0.650
SEAHAWKS   6 2 0 231 150  0.205  4.297    5  0.287    5  0.295    2  0.358    3 0.5891   12  1.364    3  0.455    6  0.261
49ERS      6 3 0 194 188  0.256  5.212    6  0.275    6  0.290   11  0.130    6 0.5701   22  1.224   18  0.038    7  0.222
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.013  3.531   24 -0.206   24 -0.204   18  0.004   25 0.4356   19  1.281   20 -0.013   12  0.020

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.217  4.460    2  0.322    1  0.332    9  0.168    2 0.5953   11  1.389    7  0.300   11  0.036
PANTHERS   5 4 0 170 205 -0.119  4.224   17  0.032   17  0.033   23 -0.130   18 0.5044   29  1.068   27 -0.418    8  0.158
FALCONS    3 5 0 143 178 -0.086  3.926   22 -0.143   22 -0.141   25 -0.183   21 0.4716   27  1.091   28 -0.443   10  0.077
SAINTS     1 8 0 138 243  0.062  5.204   31 -0.367   31 -0.361   30 -0.305   29 0.4019   30  1.047   31 -0.617   14  0.007

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    5 2 1 206 166 -0.130  3.453   12  0.124   12  0.123   13  0.056   11 0.5395   20  1.269   19  0.023    9  0.089
LIONS      5 3 0 239 178  0.017  3.747   13  0.105   13  0.105    8  0.168   10 0.5404    7  1.445    5  0.381   21 -0.044
BEARS      5 3 0 215 227 -0.250  3.303   16  0.048   16  0.045   22 -0.115   16 0.5103    5  1.508   10  0.190   30 -0.420
VIKINGS    4 4 0 182 186 -0.161  3.604   19 -0.042   19 -0.042   20 -0.095   17 0.5072   21  1.255   23 -0.146   20 -0.043

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.226  4.540    1  0.338    2  0.328   10  0.149    1 0.6003   10  1.393    8  0.287   13  0.011
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.058  3.856   20 -0.077   21 -0.076   19 -0.035   20 0.4833    1  1.770    1  0.687   31 -0.756
COMMANDERS 3 6 0 201 236 -0.029  4.560   23 -0.179   23 -0.175   24 -0.135   24 0.4467   14  1.344   22 -0.067   25 -0.204
GIANTS     2 7 0 197 249  0.102  5.064   27 -0.249   26 -0.241   21 -0.114   26 0.4345    8  1.406   17  0.042   27 -0.270

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   20 12  0 0.625    1  0.522
AFC SOUTH  16 18  0 0.471    2  0.231
AFC WEST   20 15  0 0.571    3  0.151
NFC NORTH  19 12  1 0.609    4  0.012
NFC EAST   14 19  1 0.426    5 -0.063
AFC EAST   16 18  0 0.471    6 -0.198
NFC SOUTH  15 19  0 0.441    7 -0.254
AFC NORTH  13 20  0 0.394    8 -0.330

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.194 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.020 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Nov  3 05:30:09 2025
games through: Sun Nov  2 2025

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