Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    6 0 0 125  74  0.152  3.004    1  0.163    1  0.179    2  0.106    1 0.6607   32  0.773   32 -0.492    1  0.704
49ERS      6 1 0 197 139 -0.053  3.007    2  0.120    2  0.123    8  0.071    2 0.5985   13  1.359   10  0.176   19 -0.035
BILLS      5 1 0 197 171 -0.018  2.819    3  0.108    3  0.109   13  0.030    4 0.5850    1  1.721    1  0.685   32 -0.625
BEARS      5 2 0 180 143  0.175  3.782    4  0.104    5  0.105    9  0.070    3 0.5907   11  1.379    9  0.204   22 -0.063
STEELERS   5 2 0 153 138  0.142  3.793    5  0.104    4  0.105   10  0.043    6 0.5793   29  1.089   27 -0.203    3  0.289
CHIEFS     5 1 0 143 103 -0.094  2.543    6  0.099    7  0.096   11  0.035    7 0.5793   28  1.111   26 -0.184    4  0.255
BRONCOS    5 2 0 144 141  0.091  3.686    7  0.092    6  0.100   14  0.024    5 0.5816   24  1.143   23 -0.155    8  0.203
BROWNS     5 2 0 133 146  0.018  3.575    8  0.086    8  0.092   20 -0.015   11 0.5590   26  1.122   28 -0.222    9  0.191
PACKERS    5 3 0 171 164  0.216  4.550    9  0.083    9  0.089    7  0.075    9 0.5649   27  1.111   22 -0.144    2  0.294
JAGUARS    4 2 0 154 104  0.203  3.136   10  0.072   11  0.075    3  0.101    8 0.5658   17  1.260   14  0.072   12  0.130
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BENGALS    4 2 0 163 122  0.233  3.287   11  0.068   10  0.079    1  0.107   13 0.5550   10  1.388    6  0.253   20 -0.040
PATRIOTS   4 3 0 160 143  0.290  4.131   12  0.057   12  0.066    5  0.079   10 0.5637   23  1.153   20 -0.089    5  0.246
LIONS      4 2 0 184 165 -0.038  2.798   13  0.049   13  0.053   12  0.031   12 0.5561    2  1.569    2  0.444   29 -0.383
SEAHAWKS   4 3 0 168 125  0.007  3.195   14  0.024   14  0.020    4  0.084   14 0.5248   21  1.171   19 -0.061    7  0.229
RAVENS     4 3 0 169 167 -0.132  3.155   15  0.019   15  0.014   22 -0.034   17 0.4931   14  1.298   16 -0.012   21 -0.056
GIANTS     4 2 1 163 161 -0.371  2.518   16  0.012   16  0.004   27 -0.062   21 0.4679   19  1.243   21 -0.114   18 -0.011
PANTHERS   3 4 0 178 193  0.096  3.729   17 -0.002   18 -0.010   18  0.001   16 0.5011    5  1.535    5  0.364   28 -0.361
FALCONS    3 4 0 171 173  0.124  3.816   18 -0.004   17 -0.004   15  0.024   15 0.5156   12  1.369   11  0.143   23 -0.095
RAMS       3 4 0 170 159 -0.130  3.065   19 -0.035   22 -0.046   16  0.003   18 0.4822   18  1.253   18 -0.035   16  0.041
RAIDERS    3 4 0 183 197 -0.111  3.208   20 -0.038   19 -0.037   23 -0.040   20 0.4716    3  1.565    4  0.368   31 -0.448
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 2 5 0 162 151  0.266  4.105   21 -0.047   21 -0.046    6  0.078   19 0.4773   15  1.274   15  0.068   13  0.088
COWBOYS    3 4 0 189 180 -0.121  3.119   22 -0.056   20 -0.042   19 -0.007   26 0.4372    4  1.550    3  0.377   30 -0.392
SAINTS     2 5 0 162 194  0.005  3.600   23 -0.081   24 -0.074   24 -0.045   22 0.4633    6  1.465    7  0.213   26 -0.303
DOLPHINS   1 5 0  98 157  0.214  3.740   24 -0.082   23 -0.072   26 -0.050   24 0.4456   20  1.200   24 -0.158   15  0.058
JETS       2 5 0 137 150 -0.015  3.475   25 -0.089   25 -0.080   21 -0.018   23 0.4468   22  1.157   25 -0.180   11  0.144
CARDINALS  2 5 0 142 208 -0.110  3.479   26 -0.090   26 -0.081   31 -0.110   25 0.4412    8  1.442   13  0.113   27 -0.334
TEXANS     2 5 0 165 170 -0.035  3.373   27 -0.091   27 -0.082   17  0.003   28 0.4050   16  1.263   17 -0.022   17  0.028
EAGLES     2 5 0 127 175 -0.186  3.268   28 -0.099   28 -0.092   29 -0.105   29 0.3962   25  1.143   29 -0.285   14  0.075
COLTS      2 5 0 154 180 -0.108  3.329   29 -0.099   29 -0.093   25 -0.046   27 0.4205    7  1.462    8  0.207   25 -0.299
COMMANDERS 1 4 1 132 172 -0.155  2.824   30 -0.111   30 -0.096   28 -0.076   30 0.3932    9  1.428   12  0.128   24 -0.279
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   0 6 0  90 151 -0.130  3.061   31 -0.167   31 -0.166   30 -0.108   31 0.3636   31  1.010   30 -0.448    6  0.232
TITANS     1 6 0 108 156 -0.340  2.764   32 -0.171   32 -0.174   32 -0.141   32 0.3341   30  1.023   31 -0.466   10  0.185

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     5 1 0 143 103 -0.094  2.543    6  0.099    7  0.096   11  0.035    7 0.5793   28  1.111   26 -0.184    4  0.255
BRONCOS    5 2 0 144 141  0.091  3.686    7  0.092    6  0.100   14  0.024    5 0.5816   24  1.143   23 -0.155    8  0.203
RAIDERS    3 4 0 183 197 -0.111  3.208   20 -0.038   19 -0.037   23 -0.040   20 0.4716    3  1.565    4  0.368   31 -0.448
CHARGERS   0 6 0  90 151 -0.130  3.061   31 -0.167   31 -0.166   30 -0.108   31 0.3636   31  1.010   30 -0.448    6  0.232

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    4 2 0 154 104  0.203  3.136   10  0.072   11  0.075    3  0.101    8 0.5658   17  1.260   14  0.072   12  0.130
TEXANS     2 5 0 165 170 -0.035  3.373   27 -0.091   27 -0.082   17  0.003   28 0.4050   16  1.263   17 -0.022   17  0.028
COLTS      2 5 0 154 180 -0.108  3.329   29 -0.099   29 -0.093   25 -0.046   27 0.4205    7  1.462    8  0.207   25 -0.299
TITANS     1 6 0 108 156 -0.340  2.764   32 -0.171   32 -0.174   32 -0.141   32 0.3341   30  1.023   31 -0.466   10  0.185

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   5 2 0 153 138  0.142  3.793    5  0.104    4  0.105   10  0.043    6 0.5793   29  1.089   27 -0.203    3  0.289
BROWNS     5 2 0 133 146  0.018  3.575    8  0.086    8  0.092   20 -0.015   11 0.5590   26  1.122   28 -0.222    9  0.191
BENGALS    4 2 0 163 122  0.233  3.287   11  0.068   10  0.079    1  0.107   13 0.5550   10  1.388    6  0.253   20 -0.040
RAVENS     4 3 0 169 167 -0.132  3.155   15  0.019   15  0.014   22 -0.034   17 0.4931   14  1.298   16 -0.012   21 -0.056

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      5 1 0 197 171 -0.018  2.819    3  0.108    3  0.109   13  0.030    4 0.5850    1  1.721    1  0.685   32 -0.625
PATRIOTS   4 3 0 160 143  0.290  4.131   12  0.057   12  0.066    5  0.079   10 0.5637   23  1.153   20 -0.089    5  0.246
DOLPHINS   1 5 0  98 157  0.214  3.740   24 -0.082   23 -0.072   26 -0.050   24 0.4456   20  1.200   24 -0.158   15  0.058
JETS       2 5 0 137 150 -0.015  3.475   25 -0.089   25 -0.080   21 -0.018   23 0.4468   22  1.157   25 -0.180   11  0.144

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      6 1 0 197 139 -0.053  3.007    2  0.120    2  0.123    8  0.071    2 0.5985   13  1.359   10  0.176   19 -0.035
SEAHAWKS   4 3 0 168 125  0.007  3.195   14  0.024   14  0.020    4  0.084   14 0.5248   21  1.171   19 -0.061    7  0.229
RAMS       3 4 0 170 159 -0.130  3.065   19 -0.035   22 -0.046   16  0.003   18 0.4822   18  1.253   18 -0.035   16  0.041
CARDINALS  2 5 0 142 208 -0.110  3.479   26 -0.090   26 -0.081   31 -0.110   25 0.4412    8  1.442   13  0.113   27 -0.334

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS   3 4 0 178 193  0.096  3.729   17 -0.002   18 -0.010   18  0.001   16 0.5011    5  1.535    5  0.364   28 -0.361
FALCONS    3 4 0 171 173  0.124  3.816   18 -0.004   17 -0.004   15  0.024   15 0.5156   12  1.369   11  0.143   23 -0.095
BUCCANEERS 2 5 0 162 151  0.266  4.105   21 -0.047   21 -0.046    6  0.078   19 0.4773   15  1.274   15  0.068   13  0.088
SAINTS     2 5 0 162 194  0.005  3.600   23 -0.081   24 -0.074   24 -0.045   22 0.4633    6  1.465    7  0.213   26 -0.303

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    6 0 0 125  74  0.152  3.004    1  0.163    1  0.179    2  0.106    1 0.6607   32  0.773   32 -0.492    1  0.704
BEARS      5 2 0 180 143  0.175  3.782    4  0.104    5  0.105    9  0.070    3 0.5907   11  1.379    9  0.204   22 -0.063
PACKERS    5 3 0 171 164  0.216  4.550    9  0.083    9  0.089    7  0.075    9 0.5649   27  1.111   22 -0.144    2  0.294
LIONS      4 2 0 184 165 -0.038  2.798   13  0.049   13  0.053   12  0.031   12 0.5561    2  1.569    2  0.444   29 -0.383

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS     4 2 1 163 161 -0.371  2.518   16  0.012   16  0.004   27 -0.062   21 0.4679   19  1.243   21 -0.114   18 -0.011
COWBOYS    3 4 0 189 180 -0.121  3.119   22 -0.056   20 -0.042   19 -0.007   26 0.4372    4  1.550    3  0.377   30 -0.392
EAGLES     2 5 0 127 175 -0.186  3.268   28 -0.099   28 -0.092   29 -0.105   29 0.3962   25  1.143   29 -0.285   14  0.075
COMMANDERS 1 4 1 132 172 -0.155  2.824   30 -0.111   30 -0.096   28 -0.076   30 0.3932    9  1.428   12  0.128   24 -0.279

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC NORTH  20  7  0 0.741    1  0.400
AFC NORTH  18  9  0 0.667    2  0.149
NFC WEST   15 13  0 0.536    3  0.072
NFC SOUTH  10 18  0 0.357    4  0.060
AFC EAST   12 14  0 0.462    5  0.028
AFC SOUTH   9 18  0 0.333    6 -0.123
AFC WEST   13 13  0 0.500    7 -0.139
NFC EAST   10 15  2 0.407    8 -0.412

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.093 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct 30 05:30:17 2026
games through: Thu Oct 29 2026

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