Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
TAMPA BAY     15  4  0 452 233  0.156  9.821    1  1.257    1  0.542    1  0.656    1 0.5957  0.803  0.161  1.152  0.000
OAKLAND       13  6  0 542 386  0.193 10.444    2  1.082    2  0.384    2  0.479    2 0.5804  1.391  0.702  0.255  0.000
GREEN BAY     12  5  0 405 355  0.029  8.541    3  1.035    3  0.341   11  0.074    4 0.5532  1.267  0.127  0.021  0.000
PHILADELPHIA  13  5  0 445 274 -0.027  8.159    4  1.009    4  0.315    3  0.332    3 0.5652  1.161  0.247  0.416  0.000
PITTSBURGH    11  6  1 457 412  0.031  9.103    5  0.919    5  0.234   10  0.109    6 0.5442  1.459  0.431 -0.212  0.000
TENNESSEE     12  6  0 425 396 -0.044  8.630    6  0.918    6  0.227    9  0.136    5 0.5512  1.353  0.307 -0.036  0.000
ATLANTA       10  7  1 435 341  0.146  9.544    7  0.869    7  0.185    5  0.268    9 0.5319  1.187  0.217  0.319  0.000
SAN FRANCISCO 11  7  0 412 420 -0.029  8.932    8  0.861    8  0.176   21 -0.103    7 0.5441  1.356  0.072 -0.278  0.000
NEW ENGLAND    9  7  0 381 346  0.145  8.890    9  0.851    9  0.169   12  0.067   10 0.5285  1.259  0.111  0.024  0.000
N.Y. JETS     10  8  0 410 366  0.150  9.991   10  0.850   10  0.165    4  0.293   11 0.5240  1.167  0.217  0.369  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MIAMI          9  7  0 378 301  0.126  8.539   11  0.845   12  0.147    6  0.227   12 0.5231  1.128  0.102  0.353  0.000
DENVER         9  7  0 392 344  0.124  8.626   12  0.833   11  0.150    7  0.178    8 0.5341  1.272  0.238  0.118  0.000
NEW ORLEANS    9  7  0 432 388  0.037  8.168   13  0.792   13  0.110   15  0.014   15 0.5176  1.592  0.535 -0.507  0.000
INDIANAPOLIS  10  7  0 349 354 -0.077  8.117   14  0.786   14  0.105   19 -0.092   14 0.5209  1.208 -0.115 -0.069  0.000
KANSAS CITY    8  8  0 467 399  0.141  8.712   15  0.740   15  0.064    8  0.169   16 0.5134  1.612  0.721 -0.383  0.000
CLEVELAND      9  8  0 377 356  0.017  8.628   16  0.706   16  0.048   14  0.039   17 0.5082  1.204  0.010  0.068  0.000
N.Y. GIANTS   10  7  0 358 318 -0.142  7.610   17  0.701   17  0.040   13  0.049   13 0.5230  1.117 -0.091  0.188  0.000
BUFFALO        8  8  0 379 397  0.045  8.464   18  0.688   18  0.033   16 -0.035   19 0.4933  1.387  0.183 -0.253  0.000
SAN DIEGO      8  8  0 333 367  0.035  8.448   19  0.681   19  0.033   24 -0.134   18 0.5042  1.156 -0.224 -0.044  0.000
BALTIMORE      7  9  0 316 354 -0.005  8.252   20  0.548   20 -0.096   22 -0.119   23 0.4780  1.195 -0.160 -0.078  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
CAROLINA       7  9  0 258 302 -0.032  8.168   21  0.532   21 -0.117   23 -0.121   24 0.4719  0.835 -0.584  0.341  0.000
SEATTLE        7  9  0 355 369 -0.088  7.686   22  0.497   23 -0.151   18 -0.049   21 0.4819  1.287  0.031 -0.130  0.000
ST LOUIS       7  9  0 316 369 -0.093  7.828   23  0.496   22 -0.145   26 -0.199   20 0.4835  1.239 -0.182 -0.216  0.000
WASHINGTON     7  9  0 307 365 -0.159  7.423   24  0.463   24 -0.179   25 -0.187   22 0.4787  1.236 -0.175 -0.199  0.000
MINNESOTA      6 10  0 390 442  0.010  8.297   25  0.450   25 -0.189   17 -0.035   26 0.4528  1.571  0.454 -0.524  0.000
JACKSONVILLE   6 10  0 328 315 -0.122  7.332   26  0.364   26 -0.272   20 -0.099   25 0.4532  1.145 -0.203  0.004  0.000
CHICAGO        4 12  0 281 379  0.045  8.727   27  0.278   27 -0.350   27 -0.239   29 0.4181  1.086 -0.416 -0.062  0.000
ARIZONA        5 11  0 262 417 -0.169  7.680   28  0.265   28 -0.366   32 -0.484   27 0.4380  1.155 -0.576 -0.392  0.000
DALLAS         5 11  0 217 329 -0.228  7.094   29  0.216   29 -0.412   31 -0.427   28 0.4300  0.829 -0.896  0.041  0.000
HOUSTON        4 12  0 213 356 -0.183  7.601   30  0.157   30 -0.467   30 -0.426   30 0.4138  0.889 -0.830 -0.022  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DETROIT        3 13  0 306 451 -0.068  8.216   31  0.096   31 -0.526   28 -0.313   31 0.3895  1.382 -0.101 -0.524  0.000
CINCINNATI     2 14  0 279 456 -0.056  8.291   32  0.000   32 -0.619   29 -0.387   32 0.3819  1.334 -0.243 -0.532  0.000

AFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR OAKLAND 13 6 0 542 386 0.193 10.444 2 1.082 2 0.384 2 0.479 2 0.5804 1.391 0.702 0.255 0.000 DENVER 9 7 0 392 344 0.124 8.626 12 0.833 11 0.150 7 0.178 8 0.5341 1.272 0.238 0.118 0.000 KANSAS CITY 8 8 0 467 399 0.141 8.712 15 0.740 15 0.064 8 0.169 16 0.5134 1.612 0.721 -0.383 0.000 SAN DIEGO 8 8 0 333 367 0.035 8.448 19 0.681 19 0.033 24 -0.134 18 0.5042 1.156 -0.224 -0.044 0.000

AFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR TENNESSEE 12 6 0 425 396 -0.044 8.630 6 0.918 6 0.227 9 0.136 5 0.5512 1.353 0.307 -0.036 0.000 INDIANAPOLIS 10 7 0 349 354 -0.077 8.117 14 0.786 14 0.105 19 -0.092 14 0.5209 1.208 -0.115 -0.069 0.000 JACKSONVILLE 6 10 0 328 315 -0.122 7.332 26 0.364 26 -0.272 20 -0.099 25 0.4532 1.145 -0.203 0.004 0.000 HOUSTON 4 12 0 213 356 -0.183 7.601 30 0.157 30 -0.467 30 -0.426 30 0.4138 0.889 -0.830 -0.022 0.000

AFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR PITTSBURGH 11 6 1 457 412 0.031 9.103 5 0.919 5 0.234 10 0.109 6 0.5442 1.459 0.431 -0.212 0.000 CLEVELAND 9 8 0 377 356 0.017 8.628 16 0.706 16 0.048 14 0.039 17 0.5082 1.204 0.010 0.068 0.000 BALTIMORE 7 9 0 316 354 -0.005 8.252 20 0.548 20 -0.096 22 -0.119 23 0.4780 1.195 -0.160 -0.078 0.000 CINCINNATI 2 14 0 279 456 -0.056 8.291 32 0.000 32 -0.619 29 -0.387 32 0.3819 1.334 -0.243 -0.532 0.000

AFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR NEW ENGLAND 9 7 0 381 346 0.145 8.890 9 0.851 9 0.169 12 0.067 10 0.5285 1.259 0.111 0.024 0.000 N.Y. JETS 10 8 0 410 366 0.150 9.991 10 0.850 10 0.165 4 0.293 11 0.5240 1.167 0.217 0.369 0.000 MIAMI 9 7 0 378 301 0.126 8.539 11 0.845 12 0.147 6 0.227 12 0.5231 1.128 0.102 0.353 0.000 BUFFALO 8 8 0 379 397 0.045 8.464 18 0.688 18 0.033 16 -0.035 19 0.4933 1.387 0.183 -0.253 0.000

NFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR SAN FRANCISCO 11 7 0 412 420 -0.029 8.932 8 0.861 8 0.176 21 -0.103 7 0.5441 1.356 0.072 -0.278 0.000 SEATTLE 7 9 0 355 369 -0.088 7.686 22 0.497 23 -0.151 18 -0.049 21 0.4819 1.287 0.031 -0.130 0.000 ST LOUIS 7 9 0 316 369 -0.093 7.828 23 0.496 22 -0.145 26 -0.199 20 0.4835 1.239 -0.182 -0.216 0.000 ARIZONA 5 11 0 262 417 -0.169 7.680 28 0.265 28 -0.366 32 -0.484 27 0.4380 1.155 -0.576 -0.392 0.000

NFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR TAMPA BAY 15 4 0 452 233 0.156 9.821 1 1.257 1 0.542 1 0.656 1 0.5957 0.803 0.161 1.152 0.000 ATLANTA 10 7 1 435 341 0.146 9.544 7 0.869 7 0.185 5 0.268 9 0.5319 1.187 0.217 0.319 0.000 NEW ORLEANS 9 7 0 432 388 0.037 8.168 13 0.792 13 0.110 15 0.014 15 0.5176 1.592 0.535 -0.507 0.000 CAROLINA 7 9 0 258 302 -0.032 8.168 21 0.532 21 -0.117 23 -0.121 24 0.4719 0.835 -0.584 0.341 0.000

NFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR GREEN BAY 12 5 0 405 355 0.029 8.541 3 1.035 3 0.341 11 0.074 4 0.5532 1.267 0.127 0.021 0.000 MINNESOTA 6 10 0 390 442 0.010 8.297 25 0.450 25 -0.189 17 -0.035 26 0.4528 1.571 0.454 -0.524 0.000 CHICAGO 4 12 0 281 379 0.045 8.727 27 0.278 27 -0.350 27 -0.239 29 0.4181 1.086 -0.416 -0.062 0.000 DETROIT 3 13 0 306 451 -0.068 8.216 31 0.096 31 -0.526 28 -0.313 31 0.3895 1.382 -0.101 -0.524 0.000

NFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR PHILADELPHIA 13 5 0 445 274 -0.027 8.159 4 1.009 4 0.315 3 0.332 3 0.5652 1.161 0.247 0.416 0.000 N.Y. GIANTS 10 7 0 358 318 -0.142 7.610 17 0.701 17 0.040 13 0.049 13 0.5230 1.117 -0.091 0.188 0.000 WASHINGTON 7 9 0 307 365 -0.159 7.423 24 0.463 24 -0.179 25 -0.187 22 0.4787 1.236 -0.175 -0.199 0.000 DALLAS 5 11 0 217 329 -0.228 7.094 29 0.216 29 -0.412 31 -0.427 28 0.4300 0.829 -0.896 0.041 0.000


DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC SOUTH  41 27  1 0.601    1  0.363
AFC WEST   38 29  0 0.567    2  0.337
AFC EAST   36 30  0 0.545    3  0.242
NFC EAST   35 32  0 0.522    4 -0.134
AFC NORTH  29 37  1 0.440    5 -0.179
AFC SOUTH  32 35  0 0.478    6 -0.201
NFC NORTH  25 40  0 0.385    7 -0.232
NFC WEST   30 36  0 0.455    8 -0.327

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.185 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.027 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score
Predict score:
Team Strength vs. Time Plot:
posted: Mon Dec 31 14:39:27 2007
games through: Sun Jan 26 2003

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