Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NEW ENGLAND   17  2 421 295  0.106  9.701    1  1.222    1  0.667    1  0.389    1 0.6521  1.047  0.225  0.553  0.000
INDIANAPOLIS  14  5 540 401  0.194 10.346    2  0.996    2  0.455    2  0.324    2 0.6067  1.567  0.866 -0.219  0.000
TENNESSEE     13  5 469 358  0.173  9.632    3  0.935    3  0.413    4  0.295    3 0.5963  1.444  0.654 -0.065  0.000
KANSAS CITY   13  4 515 370 -0.045  7.598    4  0.870    4  0.351    6  0.190    7 0.5527  1.579  0.750 -0.369  0.000
PHILADELPHIA  13  5 397 318 -0.005  8.717    5  0.843    5  0.327    7  0.173    5 0.5817  1.174  0.165  0.180  0.000
CAROLINA      14  6 426 372  0.006  9.763    6  0.830    6  0.318    8  0.153    4 0.5820  1.109  0.064  0.242  0.000
ST LOUIS      12  5 470 357 -0.093  7.544    7  0.730    7  0.229    9  0.134    9 0.5337  1.444  0.493 -0.224  0.000
MIAMI         10  6 311 261  0.061  8.131    8  0.682    8  0.187   11  0.114    6 0.5623  0.968 -0.143  0.371  0.000
GREEN BAY     11  7 492 354  0.027  8.717    9  0.638   10  0.146    3  0.323   11 0.5185  1.354  0.554  0.092  0.000
DENVER        10  7 391 342  0.065  8.639   10  0.628    9  0.153   15  0.039   10 0.5186  1.170  0.026  0.053  0.000
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
SEATTLE       10  7 431 360  0.008  8.148   11  0.581   11  0.108   10  0.131   13 0.5021  1.329  0.328 -0.066  0.000
BALTIMORE     10  7 408 301 -0.042  7.867   12  0.560   12  0.081    5  0.225   14 0.5015  1.159  0.198  0.252  0.000
DALLAS        10  7 299 289 -0.111  7.793   13  0.539   13  0.063   19 -0.047    8 0.5385  0.930 -0.347  0.253  0.000
MINNESOTA      9  7 416 353 -0.103  7.135   14  0.475   14  0.004   13  0.043   17 0.4877  1.432  0.385 -0.298  0.000
NEW ORLEANS    8  8 340 326 -0.005  7.899   15  0.453   15 -0.013   16  0.039   12 0.5124  1.200  0.063  0.014  0.000
CINCINNATI     8  8 346 384 -0.105  7.507   16  0.401   16 -0.062   23 -0.144   21 0.4668  1.398  0.148 -0.437  0.000
TAMPA BAY      7  9 301 264  0.041  7.993   17  0.361   17 -0.097   12  0.056   15 0.4950  0.864 -0.317  0.428  0.000
SAN FRANCISCO  7  9 384 337  0.005  7.833   18  0.338   19 -0.118   14  0.041   23 0.4590  1.293  0.189 -0.107  0.000
CHICAGO        7  9 283 346 -0.073  7.887   19  0.319   18 -0.117   21 -0.112   25 0.4543  0.988 -0.346  0.121  0.000
BUFFALO        6 10 243 279  0.072  8.593   20  0.285   20 -0.148   22 -0.128   16 0.4948  0.747 -0.623  0.367  0.000
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
N.Y. JETS      6 10 283 299  0.025  8.178   21  0.251   21 -0.187   17  0.002   18 0.4846  1.046 -0.163  0.167  0.000
HOUSTON        5 11 255 380  0.129  9.191   22  0.222   22 -0.189   25 -0.194   19 0.4752  1.068 -0.333 -0.054  0.000
PITTSBURGH     6 10 300 327 -0.039  7.918   23  0.202   23 -0.212   20 -0.065   27 0.4358  1.043 -0.234  0.104  0.000
JACKSONVILLE   5 11 276 331  0.102  8.790   24  0.187   24 -0.224   18 -0.032   20 0.4685  1.032 -0.215  0.151  0.000
ATLANTA        5 11 299 422  0.007  8.447   25  0.148   25 -0.252   26 -0.195   22 0.4603  1.318 -0.013 -0.378  0.000
CLEVELAND      5 11 254 322 -0.019  8.295   26  0.119   26 -0.279   24 -0.192   28 0.4272  0.845 -0.585  0.201  0.000
DETROIT        5 11 270 379 -0.061  8.241   27  0.111   27 -0.287   27 -0.219   29 0.4256  1.079 -0.345 -0.092  0.000
WASHINGTON     5 11 287 372 -0.065  7.907   28  0.096   28 -0.301   28 -0.258   24 0.4577  1.294 -0.109 -0.407  0.000
ARIZONA        4 12 225 452 -0.016  8.478   29  0.041   29 -0.349   32 -0.454   30 0.4057  1.131 -0.516 -0.392  0.000
N.Y. GIANTS    4 12 243 387 -0.052  8.266   30  0.024   30 -0.365   31 -0.436   26 0.4428  1.122 -0.510 -0.363  0.000
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
OAKLAND        4 12 270 379 -0.048  8.123   31  0.010   31 -0.379   30 -0.288   31 0.4000  1.070 -0.425 -0.151  0.000
SAN DIEGO      4 12 313 441 -0.056  8.037   32  0.000   32 -0.385   29 -0.267   32 0.3972  1.412  0.045 -0.580  0.000

AFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR KANSAS CITY 13 4 515 370 -0.045 7.598 4 0.870 4 0.351 6 0.190 7 0.5527 1.579 0.750 -0.369 0.000 DENVER 10 7 391 342 0.065 8.639 10 0.628 9 0.153 15 0.039 10 0.5186 1.170 0.026 0.053 0.000 OAKLAND 4 12 270 379 -0.048 8.123 31 0.010 31 -0.379 30 -0.288 31 0.4000 1.070 -0.425 -0.151 0.000 SAN DIEGO 4 12 313 441 -0.056 8.037 32 0.000 32 -0.385 29 -0.267 32 0.3972 1.412 0.045 -0.580 0.000

AFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR INDIANAPOLIS 14 5 540 401 0.194 10.346 2 0.996 2 0.455 2 0.324 2 0.6067 1.567 0.866 -0.219 0.000 TENNESSEE 13 5 469 358 0.173 9.632 3 0.935 3 0.413 4 0.295 3 0.5963 1.444 0.654 -0.065 0.000 HOUSTON 5 11 255 380 0.129 9.191 22 0.222 22 -0.189 25 -0.194 19 0.4752 1.068 -0.333 -0.054 0.000 JACKSONVILLE 5 11 276 331 0.102 8.790 24 0.187 24 -0.224 18 -0.032 20 0.4685 1.032 -0.215 0.151 0.000

AFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR BALTIMORE 10 7 408 301 -0.042 7.867 12 0.560 12 0.081 5 0.225 14 0.5015 1.159 0.198 0.252 0.000 CINCINNATI 8 8 346 384 -0.105 7.507 16 0.401 16 -0.062 23 -0.144 21 0.4668 1.398 0.148 -0.437 0.000 PITTSBURGH 6 10 300 327 -0.039 7.918 23 0.202 23 -0.212 20 -0.065 27 0.4358 1.043 -0.234 0.104 0.000 CLEVELAND 5 11 254 322 -0.019 8.295 26 0.119 26 -0.279 24 -0.192 28 0.4272 0.845 -0.585 0.201 0.000

AFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR NEW ENGLAND 17 2 421 295 0.106 9.701 1 1.222 1 0.667 1 0.389 1 0.6521 1.047 0.225 0.553 0.000 MIAMI 10 6 311 261 0.061 8.131 8 0.682 8 0.187 11 0.114 6 0.5623 0.968 -0.143 0.371 0.000 BUFFALO 6 10 243 279 0.072 8.593 20 0.285 20 -0.148 22 -0.128 16 0.4948 0.747 -0.623 0.367 0.000 N.Y. JETS 6 10 283 299 0.025 8.178 21 0.251 21 -0.187 17 0.002 18 0.4846 1.046 -0.163 0.167 0.000

NFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR ST LOUIS 12 5 470 357 -0.093 7.544 7 0.730 7 0.229 9 0.134 9 0.5337 1.444 0.493 -0.224 0.000 SEATTLE 10 7 431 360 0.008 8.148 11 0.581 11 0.108 10 0.131 13 0.5021 1.329 0.328 -0.066 0.000 SAN FRANCISCO 7 9 384 337 0.005 7.833 18 0.338 19 -0.118 14 0.041 23 0.4590 1.293 0.189 -0.107 0.000 ARIZONA 4 12 225 452 -0.016 8.478 29 0.041 29 -0.349 32 -0.454 30 0.4057 1.131 -0.516 -0.392 0.000

NFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR CAROLINA 14 6 426 372 0.006 9.763 6 0.830 6 0.318 8 0.153 4 0.5820 1.109 0.064 0.242 0.000 NEW ORLEANS 8 8 340 326 -0.005 7.899 15 0.453 15 -0.013 16 0.039 12 0.5124 1.200 0.063 0.014 0.000 TAMPA BAY 7 9 301 264 0.041 7.993 17 0.361 17 -0.097 12 0.056 15 0.4950 0.864 -0.317 0.428 0.000 ATLANTA 5 11 299 422 0.007 8.447 25 0.148 25 -0.252 26 -0.195 22 0.4603 1.318 -0.013 -0.378 0.000

NFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR GREEN BAY 11 7 492 354 0.027 8.717 9 0.638 10 0.146 3 0.323 11 0.5185 1.354 0.554 0.092 0.000 MINNESOTA 9 7 416 353 -0.103 7.135 14 0.475 14 0.004 13 0.043 17 0.4877 1.432 0.385 -0.298 0.000 CHICAGO 7 9 283 346 -0.073 7.887 19 0.319 18 -0.117 21 -0.112 25 0.4543 0.988 -0.346 0.121 0.000 DETROIT 5 11 270 379 -0.061 8.241 27 0.111 27 -0.287 27 -0.219 29 0.4256 1.079 -0.345 -0.092 0.000

NFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR PHILADELPHIA 13 5 397 318 -0.005 8.717 5 0.843 5 0.327 7 0.173 5 0.5817 1.174 0.165 0.180 0.000 DALLAS 10 7 299 289 -0.111 7.793 13 0.539 13 0.063 19 -0.047 8 0.5385 0.930 -0.347 0.253 0.000 WASHINGTON 5 11 287 372 -0.065 7.907 28 0.096 28 -0.301 28 -0.258 24 0.4577 1.294 -0.109 -0.407 0.000 N.Y. GIANTS 4 12 243 387 -0.052 8.266 30 0.024 30 -0.365 31 -0.436 26 0.4428 1.122 -0.510 -0.363 0.000


DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
AFC EAST   39 28 0.582    1  0.186
AFC SOUTH  37 32 0.536    2  0.177
NFC SOUTH  34 34 0.500    3  0.011
NFC NORTH  32 34 0.485    4 -0.020
NFC WEST   33 33 0.500    5 -0.021
AFC NORTH  29 36 0.446    6 -0.095
AFC WEST   31 35 0.470    7 -0.103
NFC EAST   32 35 0.478    8 -0.251

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.253 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.032 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score
Predict score:
Team Strength vs. Time Plot:
posted: Mon Dec 31 14:39:27 2007
games through: Sun Feb  1 2004

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