Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NEW ENGLAND   17  2 522 311  0.352 11.340    1  1.698    1  0.921    1  0.734    1 0.6571  1.212  0.731  0.737  0.000
PITTSBURGH    16  2 419 309  0.238 10.417    2  1.596    2  0.851    2  0.441    2 0.6520  1.202  0.425  0.457  0.000
INDIANAPOLIS  13  5 574 395  0.208  9.944    3  1.274    3  0.487    3  0.436    4 0.5844  1.626  1.025 -0.154  0.000
PHILADELPHIA  15  4 461 308 -0.083  8.751    4  1.248    4  0.457    7  0.239    3 0.5875  1.118  0.117  0.362  0.000
SAN DIEGO     12  5 463 333  0.121  9.122    5  1.191    5  0.406    5  0.387    6 0.5645  1.322  0.531  0.243  0.000
N.Y. JETS     11  7 370 298  0.304 10.786    6  1.156    6  0.366    6  0.309    5 0.5672  0.937 -0.027  0.645  0.000
BALTIMORE      9  7 317 268  0.266  9.550    7  1.046    7  0.252    9  0.197    7 0.5527  0.894 -0.186  0.580  0.000
DENVER        10  7 405 353  0.132  9.409    8  1.004    8  0.208    8  0.198    9 0.5297  1.198  0.176  0.219  0.000
ATLANTA       12  6 397 381 -0.187  8.089    9  0.964    9  0.179   18 -0.103   12 0.5265  1.211 -0.106 -0.099  0.000
BUFFALO        9  7 395 284  0.175  8.744   10  0.947   11  0.167    4  0.389    8 0.5382  1.250  0.436  0.342  0.000
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
JACKSONVILLE   9  7 261 280  0.102  8.967   11  0.942   10  0.177   15 -0.046   11 0.5267  0.692 -0.637  0.546  0.000
CINCINNATI     8  8 374 372  0.197  9.336   12  0.877   12  0.114   11  0.182   10 0.5282  1.472  0.538 -0.174  0.000
GREEN BAY     10  7 441 411 -0.195  7.493   13  0.772   13  0.004   14 -0.045   13 0.5054  1.546  0.422 -0.511  0.000
KANSAS CITY    7  9 483 435  0.168  9.154   14  0.744   14 -0.016   10  0.191   14 0.4923  1.765  1.006 -0.625  0.000
ST LOUIS       9  9 363 459 -0.156  8.695   15  0.685   15 -0.077   29 -0.283   16 0.4880  1.325 -0.135 -0.431  0.000
HOUSTON        7  9 309 339  0.043  8.577   16  0.670   16 -0.089   12  0.017   18 0.4804  1.049 -0.188  0.223  0.000
MINNESOTA      9  9 450 439 -0.139  8.388   17  0.663   17 -0.102   16 -0.072   15 0.4887  1.496  0.320 -0.464  0.000
SEATTLE        9  8 391 400 -0.256  7.272   18  0.646   19 -0.124   24 -0.221   17 0.4839  1.370 -0.011 -0.430  0.000
NEW ORLEANS    8  8 348 405 -0.203  7.294   19  0.632   18 -0.120   21 -0.155   19 0.4721  1.365  0.049 -0.358  0.000
CAROLINA       7  9 355 339 -0.146  7.419   20  0.573   20 -0.207   13 -0.021   20 0.4617  1.200 -0.039 -0.003  0.000
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
OAKLAND        5 11 320 442  0.137  9.558   21  0.559   21 -0.213   27 -0.232   24 0.4541  1.343 -0.059 -0.405  0.000
N.Y. GIANTS    6 10 303 347 -0.124  7.757   22  0.484   24 -0.293   26 -0.225   22 0.4575  1.207 -0.235 -0.216  0.000
CLEVELAND      4 12 276 390  0.228 10.017   23  0.483   23 -0.283   22 -0.190   21 0.4582  1.220 -0.182 -0.198  0.000
DALLAS         6 10 293 405 -0.139  7.924   24  0.482   22 -0.281   30 -0.318   23 0.4571  1.297 -0.209 -0.427  0.000
TENNESSEE      5 11 344 439  0.027  8.787   25  0.466   25 -0.294   28 -0.233   28 0.4404  1.424  0.053 -0.520  0.000
WASHINGTON     6 10 240 265 -0.171  7.424   26  0.440   27 -0.324   20 -0.143   25 0.4468  0.695 -0.731  0.446  0.000
DETROIT        6 10 296 350 -0.182  7.368   27  0.429   26 -0.321   25 -0.225   27 0.4432  1.128 -0.334 -0.115  0.000
MIAMI          4 12 275 354  0.138  9.458   28  0.409   28 -0.338   17 -0.073   26 0.4448  1.085 -0.235  0.090  0.000
ARIZONA        6 10 284 322 -0.230  7.180   29  0.385   29 -0.369   23 -0.220   29 0.4359  0.984 -0.501  0.062  0.000
CHICAGO        5 11 231 331 -0.224  7.383   30  0.317   30 -0.434   31 -0.469   30 0.4140  0.835 -0.916 -0.023  0.000
TEAM           W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
TAMPA BAY      5 11 301 304 -0.219  7.026   31  0.313   31 -0.463   19 -0.113   31 0.4117  0.991 -0.387  0.160  0.000
SAN FRANCISCO  2 14 259 452 -0.271  7.417   32  0.000   32 -0.787   32 -0.618   32 0.3595  1.315 -0.484 -0.751  0.000

AFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR SAN DIEGO 12 5 463 333 0.121 9.122 5 1.191 5 0.406 5 0.387 6 0.5645 1.322 0.531 0.243 0.000 DENVER 10 7 405 353 0.132 9.409 8 1.004 8 0.208 8 0.198 9 0.5297 1.198 0.176 0.219 0.000 KANSAS CITY 7 9 483 435 0.168 9.154 14 0.744 14 -0.016 10 0.191 14 0.4923 1.765 1.006 -0.625 0.000 OAKLAND 5 11 320 442 0.137 9.558 21 0.559 21 -0.213 27 -0.232 24 0.4541 1.343 -0.059 -0.405 0.000

AFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR INDIANAPOLIS 13 5 574 395 0.208 9.944 3 1.274 3 0.487 3 0.436 4 0.5844 1.626 1.025 -0.154 0.000 JACKSONVILLE 9 7 261 280 0.102 8.967 11 0.942 10 0.177 15 -0.046 11 0.5267 0.692 -0.637 0.546 0.000 HOUSTON 7 9 309 339 0.043 8.577 16 0.670 16 -0.089 12 0.017 18 0.4804 1.049 -0.188 0.223 0.000 TENNESSEE 5 11 344 439 0.027 8.787 25 0.466 25 -0.294 28 -0.233 28 0.4404 1.424 0.053 -0.520 0.000

AFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR PITTSBURGH 16 2 419 309 0.238 10.417 2 1.596 2 0.851 2 0.441 2 0.6520 1.202 0.425 0.457 0.000 BALTIMORE 9 7 317 268 0.266 9.550 7 1.046 7 0.252 9 0.197 7 0.5527 0.894 -0.186 0.580 0.000 CINCINNATI 8 8 374 372 0.197 9.336 12 0.877 12 0.114 11 0.182 10 0.5282 1.472 0.538 -0.174 0.000 CLEVELAND 4 12 276 390 0.228 10.017 23 0.483 23 -0.283 22 -0.190 21 0.4582 1.220 -0.182 -0.198 0.000

AFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR NEW ENGLAND 17 2 522 311 0.352 11.340 1 1.698 1 0.921 1 0.734 1 0.6571 1.212 0.731 0.737 0.000 N.Y. JETS 11 7 370 298 0.304 10.786 6 1.156 6 0.366 6 0.309 5 0.5672 0.937 -0.027 0.645 0.000 BUFFALO 9 7 395 284 0.175 8.744 10 0.947 11 0.167 4 0.389 8 0.5382 1.250 0.436 0.342 0.000 MIAMI 4 12 275 354 0.138 9.458 28 0.409 28 -0.338 17 -0.073 26 0.4448 1.085 -0.235 0.090 0.000

NFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR ST LOUIS 9 9 363 459 -0.156 8.695 15 0.685 15 -0.077 29 -0.283 16 0.4880 1.325 -0.135 -0.431 0.000 SEATTLE 9 8 391 400 -0.256 7.272 18 0.646 19 -0.124 24 -0.221 17 0.4839 1.370 -0.011 -0.430 0.000 ARIZONA 6 10 284 322 -0.230 7.180 29 0.385 29 -0.369 23 -0.220 29 0.4359 0.984 -0.501 0.062 0.000 SAN FRANCISCO 2 14 259 452 -0.271 7.417 32 0.000 32 -0.787 32 -0.618 32 0.3595 1.315 -0.484 -0.751 0.000

NFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR ATLANTA 12 6 397 381 -0.187 8.089 9 0.964 9 0.179 18 -0.103 12 0.5265 1.211 -0.106 -0.099 0.000 NEW ORLEANS 8 8 348 405 -0.203 7.294 19 0.632 18 -0.120 21 -0.155 19 0.4721 1.365 0.049 -0.358 0.000 CAROLINA 7 9 355 339 -0.146 7.419 20 0.573 20 -0.207 13 -0.021 20 0.4617 1.200 -0.039 -0.003 0.000 TAMPA BAY 5 11 301 304 -0.219 7.026 31 0.313 31 -0.463 19 -0.113 31 0.4117 0.991 -0.387 0.160 0.000

NFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR GREEN BAY 10 7 441 411 -0.195 7.493 13 0.772 13 0.004 14 -0.045 13 0.5054 1.546 0.422 -0.511 0.000 MINNESOTA 9 9 450 439 -0.139 8.388 17 0.663 17 -0.102 16 -0.072 15 0.4887 1.496 0.320 -0.464 0.000 DETROIT 6 10 296 350 -0.182 7.368 27 0.429 26 -0.321 25 -0.225 27 0.4432 1.128 -0.334 -0.115 0.000 CHICAGO 5 11 231 331 -0.224 7.383 30 0.317 30 -0.434 31 -0.469 30 0.4140 0.835 -0.916 -0.023 0.000

NFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR PHILADELPHIA 15 4 461 308 -0.083 8.751 4 1.248 4 0.457 7 0.239 3 0.5875 1.118 0.117 0.362 0.000 N.Y. GIANTS 6 10 303 347 -0.124 7.757 22 0.484 24 -0.293 26 -0.225 22 0.4575 1.207 -0.235 -0.216 0.000 DALLAS 6 10 293 405 -0.139 7.924 24 0.482 22 -0.281 30 -0.318 23 0.4571 1.297 -0.209 -0.427 0.000 WASHINGTON 6 10 240 265 -0.171 7.424 26 0.440 27 -0.324 20 -0.143 25 0.4468 0.695 -0.731 0.446 0.000


DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
AFC EAST   41 28 0.594    1  0.507
AFC NORTH  37 29 0.561    2  0.278
AFC WEST   34 32 0.515    3  0.247
AFC SOUTH  34 32 0.515    4  0.103
NFC EAST   33 34 0.493    5 -0.187
NFC SOUTH  32 34 0.485    6 -0.222
NFC NORTH  30 37 0.448    7 -0.309
NFC WEST   26 41 0.388    8 -0.537

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.189 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.021 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score
Predict score:
Team Strength vs. Time Plot:
posted: Mon Dec 31 14:39:28 2007
games through: Sun Feb 13 2005

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