Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
PITTSBURGH    15  4  0 432 284  0.238 10.460    1  1.689    1  0.675    2  0.521    1 0.6197  0.996  0.221  0.821  0.000
TENNESSEE     13  4  0 385 247  0.117  8.594    2  1.537    2  0.519    5  0.305    3 0.5863  0.941 -0.059  0.669  0.000
BALTIMORE     13  6  0 439 286  0.254 10.378    3  1.502    3  0.472    1  0.540    2 0.5944  1.110  0.375  0.705  0.000
INDIANAPOLIS  12  5  0 394 321  0.188  9.198    4  1.484    4  0.458    4  0.365    5 0.5756  1.182  0.290  0.440  0.000
N.Y. GIANTS   12  5  0 438 317  0.143  8.768    5  1.457    5  0.432    6  0.294    4 0.5802  1.330  0.416  0.173  0.000
CAROLINA      12  5  0 427 362  0.049  8.466    6  1.396    6  0.385   11  0.132    6 0.5551  1.243  0.137  0.128  0.000
PHILADELPHIA  11  7  1 490 346  0.174 10.029    7  1.265    8  0.257    3  0.447    7 0.5550  1.265  0.481  0.413  0.000
ATLANTA       11  6  0 415 355  0.021  8.349    8  1.244    7  0.258   12  0.120   11 0.5304  1.202  0.071  0.168  0.000
MINNESOTA     10  7  0 393 359  0.144  9.216    9  1.217    9  0.238   10  0.160   13 0.5256  1.210  0.122  0.198  0.000
NEW ENGLAND   11  5  0 410 309 -0.132  6.774   10  1.202   10  0.218    7  0.240    8 0.5470  1.278  0.291  0.189  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ARIZONA       12  8  0 545 515 -0.004  9.726   11  1.152   11  0.181   13  0.085   10 0.5345  1.633  0.654 -0.483  0.000
MIAMI         11  6  0 354 344 -0.140  7.502   12  1.135   12  0.173   19 -0.062    9 0.5347  1.104 -0.235  0.110  0.000
CHICAGO        9  7  0 375 350  0.066  8.210   13  1.104   13  0.146   15  0.034   15 0.5058  1.278  0.084 -0.017  0.000
DALLAS         9  7  0 362 365  0.082  8.362   14  1.099   14  0.140   16  0.020   12 0.5293  1.381  0.211 -0.172  0.000
TAMPA BAY      9  7  0 361 323 -0.024  7.636   15  1.025   15  0.067   18 -0.004   19 0.5014  1.142 -0.129  0.122  0.000
HOUSTON        8  8  0 366 394  0.074  8.437   16  0.999   16  0.045   17  0.013   14 0.5087  1.490  0.363 -0.337  0.000
WASHINGTON     8  8  0 265 296  0.011  8.192   17  0.960   17  0.003   21 -0.114   17 0.5037  0.849 -0.577  0.350  0.000
SAN DIEGO      9  9  0 486 399  0.010  8.673   18  0.933   18 -0.022    8  0.199   16 0.5038  1.455  0.498 -0.100  0.000
N.Y. JETS      9  7  0 405 356 -0.214  6.579   19  0.907   19 -0.034   20 -0.099   18 0.5015  1.427  0.159 -0.358  0.000
NEW ORLEANS    8  8  0 463 393 -0.030  7.549   20  0.899   20 -0.040    9  0.164   20 0.4841  1.604  0.687 -0.360  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DENVER         8  8  0 370 448 -0.200  7.064   21  0.799   21 -0.118   28 -0.354   21 0.4771  1.533  0.060 -0.767  0.000
GREEN BAY      6 10  0 419 380  0.057  8.132   22  0.712   22 -0.200   14  0.085   27 0.4505  1.473  0.411 -0.240  0.000
SAN FRANCISCO  7  9  0 339 381 -0.199  7.021   23  0.683   23 -0.232   23 -0.182   22 0.4590  1.253 -0.164 -0.200  0.000
BUFFALO        7  9  0 336 342 -0.268  6.465   24  0.629   24 -0.277   26 -0.287   24 0.4565  1.173 -0.373 -0.201  0.000
JACKSONVILLE   5 11  0 302 367  0.049  8.515   25  0.611   26 -0.288   22 -0.182   26 0.4512  1.201 -0.232 -0.131  0.000
CINCINNATI     4 11  1 204 364  0.086  9.158   26  0.607   25 -0.284   25 -0.284   23 0.4580  0.896 -0.697  0.129  0.000
CLEVELAND      4 12  0 232 350  0.087  9.042   27  0.536   27 -0.368   29 -0.371   25 0.4520  0.977 -0.693 -0.048  0.000
OAKLAND        5 11  0 263 388 -0.124  7.699   28  0.522   28 -0.384   27 -0.333   28 0.4326  1.024 -0.601 -0.065  0.000
SEATTLE        4 12  0 294 392 -0.145  7.511   29  0.388   29 -0.522   24 -0.280   29 0.4104  1.159 -0.383 -0.177  0.000
ST. LOUIS      2 14  0 232 465 -0.149  7.821   30  0.157   30 -0.723   32 -0.611   30 0.3780  1.150 -0.726 -0.496  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
KANSAS CITY    2 14  0 291 440 -0.158  7.553   31  0.123   31 -0.760   30 -0.434   31 0.3737  1.299 -0.355 -0.513  0.000
DETROIT        0 16  0 268 517  0.061  8.922   32  0.000   32 -0.892   31 -0.537   32 0.3405  1.376 -0.351 -0.723  0.000

AFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR SAN DIEGO 9 9 0 486 399 0.010 8.673 18 0.933 18 -0.022 8 0.199 16 0.5038 1.455 0.498 -0.100 0.000 DENVER 8 8 0 370 448 -0.200 7.064 21 0.799 21 -0.118 28 -0.354 21 0.4771 1.533 0.060 -0.767 0.000 OAKLAND 5 11 0 263 388 -0.124 7.699 28 0.522 28 -0.384 27 -0.333 28 0.4326 1.024 -0.601 -0.065 0.000 KANSAS CITY 2 14 0 291 440 -0.158 7.553 31 0.123 31 -0.760 30 -0.434 31 0.3737 1.299 -0.355 -0.513 0.000

AFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR TENNESSEE 13 4 0 385 247 0.117 8.594 2 1.537 2 0.519 5 0.305 3 0.5863 0.941 -0.059 0.669 0.000 INDIANAPOLIS 12 5 0 394 321 0.188 9.198 4 1.484 4 0.458 4 0.365 5 0.5756 1.182 0.290 0.440 0.000 HOUSTON 8 8 0 366 394 0.074 8.437 16 0.999 16 0.045 17 0.013 14 0.5087 1.490 0.363 -0.337 0.000 JACKSONVILLE 5 11 0 302 367 0.049 8.515 25 0.611 26 -0.288 22 -0.182 26 0.4512 1.201 -0.232 -0.131 0.000

AFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR PITTSBURGH 15 4 0 432 284 0.238 10.460 1 1.689 1 0.675 2 0.521 1 0.6197 0.996 0.221 0.821 0.000 BALTIMORE 13 6 0 439 286 0.254 10.378 3 1.502 3 0.472 1 0.540 2 0.5944 1.110 0.375 0.705 0.000 CINCINNATI 4 11 1 204 364 0.086 9.158 26 0.607 25 -0.284 25 -0.284 23 0.4580 0.896 -0.697 0.129 0.000 CLEVELAND 4 12 0 232 350 0.087 9.042 27 0.536 27 -0.368 29 -0.371 25 0.4520 0.977 -0.693 -0.048 0.000

AFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR NEW ENGLAND 11 5 0 410 309 -0.132 6.774 10 1.202 10 0.218 7 0.240 8 0.5470 1.278 0.291 0.189 0.000 MIAMI 11 6 0 354 344 -0.140 7.502 12 1.135 12 0.173 19 -0.062 9 0.5347 1.104 -0.235 0.110 0.000 N.Y. JETS 9 7 0 405 356 -0.214 6.579 19 0.907 19 -0.034 20 -0.099 18 0.5015 1.427 0.159 -0.358 0.000 BUFFALO 7 9 0 336 342 -0.268 6.465 24 0.629 24 -0.277 26 -0.287 24 0.4565 1.173 -0.373 -0.201 0.000

NFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR ARIZONA 12 8 0 545 515 -0.004 9.726 11 1.152 11 0.181 13 0.085 10 0.5345 1.633 0.654 -0.483 0.000 SAN FRANCISCO 7 9 0 339 381 -0.199 7.021 23 0.683 23 -0.232 23 -0.182 22 0.4590 1.253 -0.164 -0.200 0.000 SEATTLE 4 12 0 294 392 -0.145 7.511 29 0.388 29 -0.522 24 -0.280 29 0.4104 1.159 -0.383 -0.177 0.000 ST. LOUIS 2 14 0 232 465 -0.149 7.821 30 0.157 30 -0.723 32 -0.611 30 0.3780 1.150 -0.726 -0.496 0.000

NFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR CAROLINA 12 5 0 427 362 0.049 8.466 6 1.396 6 0.385 11 0.132 6 0.5551 1.243 0.137 0.128 0.000 ATLANTA 11 6 0 415 355 0.021 8.349 8 1.244 7 0.258 12 0.120 11 0.5304 1.202 0.071 0.168 0.000 TAMPA BAY 9 7 0 361 323 -0.024 7.636 15 1.025 15 0.067 18 -0.004 19 0.5014 1.142 -0.129 0.122 0.000 NEW ORLEANS 8 8 0 463 393 -0.030 7.549 20 0.899 20 -0.040 9 0.164 20 0.4841 1.604 0.687 -0.360 0.000

NFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR MINNESOTA 10 7 0 393 359 0.144 9.216 9 1.217 9 0.238 10 0.160 13 0.5256 1.210 0.122 0.198 0.000 CHICAGO 9 7 0 375 350 0.066 8.210 13 1.104 13 0.146 15 0.034 15 0.5058 1.278 0.084 -0.017 0.000 GREEN BAY 6 10 0 419 380 0.057 8.132 22 0.712 22 -0.200 14 0.085 27 0.4505 1.473 0.411 -0.240 0.000 DETROIT 0 16 0 268 517 0.061 8.922 32 0.000 32 -0.892 31 -0.537 32 0.3405 1.376 -0.351 -0.723 0.000

NFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF H-SCR N.Y. GIANTS 12 5 0 438 317 0.143 8.768 5 1.457 5 0.432 6 0.294 4 0.5802 1.330 0.416 0.173 0.000 PHILADELPHIA 11 7 1 490 346 0.174 10.029 7 1.265 8 0.257 3 0.447 7 0.5550 1.265 0.481 0.413 0.000 DALLAS 9 7 0 362 365 0.082 8.362 14 1.099 14 0.140 16 0.020 12 0.5293 1.381 0.211 -0.172 0.000 WASHINGTON 8 8 0 265 296 0.011 8.192 17 0.960 17 0.003 21 -0.114 17 0.5037 0.849 -0.577 0.350 0.000


DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC EAST   40 27  1 0.596    1  0.295
AFC SOUTH  38 28  0 0.576    2  0.225
NFC SOUTH  40 26  0 0.606    3  0.225
AFC NORTH  36 33  1 0.521    4  0.128
NFC NORTH  25 40  0 0.385    5 -0.045
AFC EAST   38 27  0 0.585    6 -0.062
AFC WEST   24 42  0 0.364    7 -0.433
NFC WEST   25 43  0 0.368    8 -0.471

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.176 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score
Predict score:
Team Strength vs. Time Plot:
posted: Sun Aug  2 11:36:34 2009
games through: Sun Feb  8 2009

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