Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
• Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
• Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
• Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
• Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
• Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
• Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
• Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
• Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
• Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
• Home Scoring. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home. Values are nonzero only for baseball, where park effects can be significant.
In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

## Full Ranking

``````                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ATLANTA       14  4  0 473 355  0.056  8.931    1  1.490    1  0.543    7  0.321    6 0.5698  1.274  0.321  0.322  0.000
SAN FRANCISCO 13  5  1 501 362  0.251 10.643    2  1.489    2  0.527    3  0.455    1 0.5911  1.281  0.465  0.446  0.000
DENVER        13  4  0 516 327  0.038  7.871    3  1.441    3  0.478    2  0.472    8 0.5632  1.403  0.649  0.294  0.000
BALTIMORE     14  6  0 522 432  0.137 10.584    4  1.408    4  0.470    5  0.362    7 0.5688  1.346  0.460  0.263  0.000
SEATTLE       12  6  0 464 289  0.218  9.874    5  1.352    5  0.416    1  0.604    4 0.5755  1.119  0.405  0.803  0.000
GREEN BAY     12  6  0 488 391  0.177  9.701    6  1.325    6  0.407    6  0.340    5 0.5749  1.420  0.541  0.138  0.000
NEW ENGLAND   13  5  0 611 387  0.028  8.320    7  1.307    8  0.386    4  0.455    2 0.5817  1.673  1.043 -0.132  0.000
HOUSTON       13  5  0 463 385 -0.033  8.375    8  1.272    7  0.398   15  0.052    3 0.5795  1.288  0.071  0.033  0.000
CHICAGO       10  6  0 375 277  0.086  8.145    9  1.135    9  0.254    8  0.221    9 0.5556  1.045 -0.067  0.510  0.000
MINNESOTA     10  7  0 389 372  0.132  9.208   10  1.105   10  0.244   11  0.159   10 0.5501  1.255  0.134  0.184  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
WASHINGTON    10  7  0 450 412  0.094  9.020   11  1.082   11  0.213   12  0.142   12 0.5271  1.489  0.445 -0.161  0.000
NY GIANTS      9  7  0 429 344  0.130  8.481   12  1.057   12  0.171    9  0.220   13 0.5222  1.355  0.330  0.110  0.000
INDIANAPOLIS  11  6  0 366 411 -0.240  7.304   13  1.014   13  0.123   23 -0.199   11 0.5392  1.291 -0.176 -0.221  0.000
CINCINNATI    10  7  0 404 339 -0.071  7.797   14  0.981   14  0.092   10  0.179   15 0.5085  1.263  0.164  0.194  0.000
DALLAS         8  8  0 376 400  0.120  8.797   15  0.968   15  0.084   18 -0.027   16 0.5017  1.382  0.122 -0.175  0.000
ST. LOUIS      7  8  1 299 348  0.163  9.100   16  0.963   16  0.079   16  0.008   14 0.5122  1.105 -0.208  0.224  0.000
PITTSBURGH     8  8  0 336 314 -0.107  7.297   17  0.814   18 -0.077   17 -0.009   18 0.4788  1.097 -0.235  0.218  0.000
CAROLINA       7  9  0 357 363  0.081  8.490   18  0.812   17 -0.075   14  0.089   20 0.4718  1.232  0.033  0.145  0.000
NEW ORLEANS    7  9  0 461 454  0.088  8.444   19  0.787   19 -0.094   13  0.120   19 0.4737  1.675  0.711 -0.472  0.000
TAMPA BAY      7  9  0 389 394  0.018  8.180   20  0.751   20 -0.103   19 -0.096   21 0.4680  1.380  0.051 -0.242  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MIAMI          7  9  0 288 317 -0.144  7.391   21  0.654   21 -0.204   21 -0.160   17 0.4794  0.925 -0.588  0.267  0.000
SAN DIEGO      7  9  0 350 350 -0.162  7.165   22  0.633   22 -0.225   20 -0.146   26 0.4489  1.220 -0.218 -0.075  0.000
ARIZONA        5 11  0 250 357  0.118  9.183   23  0.625   23 -0.228   25 -0.250   22 0.4652  0.942 -0.658  0.159  0.000
NY JETS        6 10  0 281 375 -0.144  7.633   24  0.556   24 -0.301   27 -0.381   23 0.4624  1.093 -0.612 -0.149  0.000
TENNESSEE      6 10  0 330 471 -0.219  7.313   25  0.513   25 -0.343   28 -0.432   24 0.4606  1.433 -0.210 -0.654  0.000
BUFFALO        6 10  0 344 435 -0.215  7.294   26  0.505   26 -0.354   26 -0.295   25 0.4546  1.453 -0.045 -0.545  0.000
CLEVELAND      5 11  0 302 368 -0.104  7.711   27  0.445   28 -0.414   24 -0.225   28 0.4270  1.131 -0.410 -0.041  0.000
DETROIT        4 12  0 372 437  0.054  8.571   28  0.435   29 -0.422   22 -0.166   27 0.4449  1.522  0.186 -0.518  0.000
PHILADELPHIA   4 12  0 280 444  0.043  8.660   29  0.425   27 -0.401   30 -0.455   29 0.4152  1.207 -0.543 -0.367  0.000
OAKLAND        4 12  0 290 443 -0.217  7.587   30  0.268   30 -0.573   29 -0.434   30 0.3900  1.307 -0.390 -0.479  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
KANSAS CITY    2 14  0 211 425 -0.168  7.864   31  0.066   31 -0.760   32 -0.711   32 0.3601  0.943 -1.118 -0.304  0.000
JACKSONVILLE   2 14  0 255 444 -0.245  7.335   32  0.000   32 -0.832   31 -0.646   31 0.3848  1.130 -0.832 -0.461  0.000
``````

``````AFC WEST
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
DENVER        13  4  0 516 327  0.038  7.871    3  1.441    3  0.478    2  0.472    8 0.5632  1.403  0.649  0.294  0.000
SAN DIEGO      7  9  0 350 350 -0.162  7.165   22  0.633   22 -0.225   20 -0.146   26 0.4489  1.220 -0.218 -0.075  0.000
OAKLAND        4 12  0 290 443 -0.217  7.587   30  0.268   30 -0.573   29 -0.434   30 0.3900  1.307 -0.390 -0.479  0.000
KANSAS CITY    2 14  0 211 425 -0.168  7.864   31  0.066   31 -0.760   32 -0.711   32 0.3601  0.943 -1.118 -0.304  0.000
``````

``````AFC SOUTH
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
HOUSTON       13  5  0 463 385 -0.033  8.375    8  1.272    7  0.398   15  0.052    3 0.5795  1.288  0.071  0.033  0.000
INDIANAPOLIS  11  6  0 366 411 -0.240  7.304   13  1.014   13  0.123   23 -0.199   11 0.5392  1.291 -0.176 -0.221  0.000
TENNESSEE      6 10  0 330 471 -0.219  7.313   25  0.513   25 -0.343   28 -0.432   24 0.4606  1.433 -0.210 -0.654  0.000
JACKSONVILLE   2 14  0 255 444 -0.245  7.335   32  0.000   32 -0.832   31 -0.646   31 0.3848  1.130 -0.832 -0.461  0.000
``````

``````AFC NORTH
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BALTIMORE     14  6  0 522 432  0.137 10.584    4  1.408    4  0.470    5  0.362    7 0.5688  1.346  0.460  0.263  0.000
CINCINNATI    10  7  0 404 339 -0.071  7.797   14  0.981   14  0.092   10  0.179   15 0.5085  1.263  0.164  0.194  0.000
PITTSBURGH     8  8  0 336 314 -0.107  7.297   17  0.814   18 -0.077   17 -0.009   18 0.4788  1.097 -0.235  0.218  0.000
CLEVELAND      5 11  0 302 368 -0.104  7.711   27  0.445   28 -0.414   24 -0.225   28 0.4270  1.131 -0.410 -0.041  0.000
``````

``````AFC EAST
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NEW ENGLAND   13  5  0 611 387  0.028  8.320    7  1.307    8  0.386    4  0.455    2 0.5817  1.673  1.043 -0.132  0.000
MIAMI          7  9  0 288 317 -0.144  7.391   21  0.654   21 -0.204   21 -0.160   17 0.4794  0.925 -0.588  0.267  0.000
NY JETS        6 10  0 281 375 -0.144  7.633   24  0.556   24 -0.301   27 -0.381   23 0.4624  1.093 -0.612 -0.149  0.000
BUFFALO        6 10  0 344 435 -0.215  7.294   26  0.505   26 -0.354   26 -0.295   25 0.4546  1.453 -0.045 -0.545  0.000
``````

``````NFC WEST
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
SAN FRANCISCO 13  5  1 501 362  0.251 10.643    2  1.489    2  0.527    3  0.455    1 0.5911  1.281  0.465  0.446  0.000
SEATTLE       12  6  0 464 289  0.218  9.874    5  1.352    5  0.416    1  0.604    4 0.5755  1.119  0.405  0.803  0.000
ST. LOUIS      7  8  1 299 348  0.163  9.100   16  0.963   16  0.079   16  0.008   14 0.5122  1.105 -0.208  0.224  0.000
ARIZONA        5 11  0 250 357  0.118  9.183   23  0.625   23 -0.228   25 -0.250   22 0.4652  0.942 -0.658  0.159  0.000
``````

``````NFC SOUTH
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ATLANTA       14  4  0 473 355  0.056  8.931    1  1.490    1  0.543    7  0.321    6 0.5698  1.274  0.321  0.322  0.000
CAROLINA       7  9  0 357 363  0.081  8.490   18  0.812   17 -0.075   14  0.089   20 0.4718  1.232  0.033  0.145  0.000
NEW ORLEANS    7  9  0 461 454  0.088  8.444   19  0.787   19 -0.094   13  0.120   19 0.4737  1.675  0.711 -0.472  0.000
TAMPA BAY      7  9  0 389 394  0.018  8.180   20  0.751   20 -0.103   19 -0.096   21 0.4680  1.380  0.051 -0.242  0.000
``````

``````NFC NORTH
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
GREEN BAY     12  6  0 488 391  0.177  9.701    6  1.325    6  0.407    6  0.340    5 0.5749  1.420  0.541  0.138  0.000
CHICAGO       10  6  0 375 277  0.086  8.145    9  1.135    9  0.254    8  0.221    9 0.5556  1.045 -0.067  0.510  0.000
MINNESOTA     10  7  0 389 372  0.132  9.208   10  1.105   10  0.244   11  0.159   10 0.5501  1.255  0.134  0.184  0.000
DETROIT        4 12  0 372 437  0.054  8.571   28  0.435   29 -0.422   22 -0.166   27 0.4449  1.522  0.186 -0.518  0.000
``````

``````NFC EAST
STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
WASHINGTON    10  7  0 450 412  0.094  9.020   11  1.082   11  0.213   12  0.142   12 0.5271  1.489  0.445 -0.161  0.000
NY GIANTS      9  7  0 429 344  0.130  8.481   12  1.057   12  0.171    9  0.220   13 0.5222  1.355  0.330  0.110  0.000
DALLAS         8  8  0 376 400  0.120  8.797   15  0.968   15  0.084   18 -0.027   16 0.5017  1.382  0.122 -0.175  0.000
PHILADELPHIA   4 12  0 280 444  0.043  8.660   29  0.425   27 -0.401   30 -0.455   29 0.4152  1.207 -0.543 -0.367  0.000
``````

``````DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   37 30  2 0.551    1  0.309
NFC NORTH  36 31  0 0.537    2  0.241
NFC SOUTH  35 31  0 0.530    3  0.165
AFC NORTH  37 32  0 0.536    4  0.064
NFC EAST   31 34  0 0.477    5  0.004
AFC EAST   32 34  0 0.485    6 -0.161
AFC WEST   26 39  0 0.400    7 -0.358
AFC SOUTH  32 35  0 0.478    8 -0.475
``````

``````Home field advantage amounts to:
0.175 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score
``````
```Predict score: ARIZONA ATLANTA BALTIMORE BUFFALO CAROLINA CHICAGO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DALLAS DENVER DETROIT GREEN BAY HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY MIAMI MINNESOTA NEW ENGLAND NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS NY JETS OAKLAND PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE ST. LOUIS TAMPA BAY TENNESSEE WASHINGTON vs. hosting at ARIZONA ATLANTA BALTIMORE BUFFALO CAROLINA CHICAGO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DALLAS DENVER DETROIT GREEN BAY HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY MIAMI MINNESOTA NEW ENGLAND NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS NY JETS OAKLAND PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE ST. LOUIS TAMPA BAY TENNESSEE WASHINGTON Team Strength vs. Time Plot: ARIZONA ATLANTA BALTIMORE BUFFALO CAROLINA CHICAGO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DALLAS DENVER DETROIT GREEN BAY HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY MIAMI MINNESOTA NEW ENGLAND NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS NY JETS OAKLAND PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE ST. LOUIS TAMPA BAY TENNESSEE WASHINGTON posted: Tue Apr 30 20:02:37 2013 games through: Sun Feb 3 2013 ```

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