Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             55 26 275 190  0.008 40.221    1  0.290    1  0.306    1  0.322    1 0.5435   29  0.938    8  0.173    1  0.471
MAPLE LEAFS      50 30 260 228  0.007 40.054    2  0.216    2  0.213   10  0.108    2 0.5307   13  1.094    9  0.142   14  0.074
CAPITALS         50 30 283 226  0.001 39.735    3  0.215    3  0.208    5  0.200    3 0.5302    6  1.154    2  0.309   13  0.092
STARS            50 31 276 219  0.000 40.096    4  0.204    4  0.196    3  0.223    4 0.5279   14  1.089    4  0.251    7  0.195
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   49 31 267 213 -0.002 39.574    5  0.196    5  0.187    4  0.221    5 0.5268   17  1.055    6  0.208    4  0.235
AVALANCHE        49 33 277 234 -0.003 40.680    6  0.166    6  0.161    7  0.143    6 0.5231    8  1.150    5  0.247   15  0.039
HURRICANES       47 33 259 222  0.002 39.867    7  0.151    7  0.147    8  0.136    7 0.5209   16  1.065   10  0.135   10  0.137
KINGS            47 33 243 196 -0.004 39.612    8  0.145    8  0.141    6  0.182    8 0.5206   32  0.863   17 -0.050    2  0.413
OILERS           47 34 256 236 -0.000 40.423    9  0.132    9  0.135   13  0.058   10 0.5191   15  1.085   12  0.081   16  0.035
PANTHERS         47 34 251 218 -0.002 40.287   10  0.131   10  0.133    9  0.109    9 0.5193   26  0.974   14  0.000    5  0.217
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        46 34 289 214  0.002 39.600   11  0.127   11  0.124    2  0.286   11 0.5186   10  1.135    1  0.371    6  0.202
SENATORS         44 36 233 225  0.006 40.152   12  0.072   12  0.087   14  0.044   12 0.5127   28  0.940   23 -0.104    8  0.191
WILD             44 37 225 237  0.005 40.765   13  0.058   13  0.077   18 -0.039   13 0.5106   27  0.942   27 -0.184   12  0.106
BLUES            43 38 248 232  0.004 40.542   14  0.040   14  0.054   12  0.062   14 0.5079   24  1.016   13  0.002   11  0.121
DEVILS           41 39 235 213  0.006 40.050   15  0.015   15  0.023   11  0.099   15 0.5036   30  0.910   21 -0.082    3  0.279
CANADIENS        39 42 241 263  0.003 40.713   16 -0.024   16 -0.028   20 -0.050   16 0.4962   12  1.107   15 -0.001   22 -0.100
FLAMES           39 41 215 233 -0.016 39.639   17 -0.026   17 -0.030   21 -0.055   17 0.4953   31  0.866   31 -0.283    9  0.174
BLUE JACKETS     38 42 264 267  0.007 40.328   18 -0.030   18 -0.035   17 -0.037   18 0.4947    2  1.239    7  0.180   27 -0.254
RED WINGS        38 42 230 253 -0.000 40.181   19 -0.036   19 -0.041   23 -0.088   19 0.4940   18  1.051   24 -0.105   20 -0.070
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 43 240 245  0.001 40.598   20 -0.043   20 -0.051   16 -0.021   20 0.4926   20  1.033   19 -0.061   17  0.018
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS          38 43 252 255 -0.003 40.427   21 -0.045   21 -0.054   15  0.010   21 0.4925    7  1.152   11  0.116   21 -0.097
CANUCKS          38 43 235 249 -0.011 40.255   22 -0.050   22 -0.058   19 -0.042   22 0.4914   23  1.018   22 -0.098   18  0.015
SABRES           35 45 264 281  0.004 40.263   23 -0.096   23 -0.101   22 -0.066   23 0.4854    1  1.328    3  0.271   31 -0.403
ISLANDERS        35 45 222 251 -0.006 40.022   24 -0.103   25 -0.106   25 -0.103   24 0.4845   25  1.003   26 -0.177   19 -0.029
DUCKS            35 45 218 258 -0.004 40.200   25 -0.103   24 -0.105   27 -0.166   25 0.4844   22  1.019   29 -0.221   23 -0.111
KRAKEN           35 46 242 259 -0.007 40.501   26 -0.118   26 -0.119   24 -0.103   26 0.4829   11  1.128   16 -0.027   25 -0.179
FLYERS           33 47 234 278  0.002 40.395   27 -0.150   27 -0.143   28 -0.177   27 0.4793    9  1.150   20 -0.074   28 -0.280
BRUINS           33 48 218 267  0.009 41.089   28 -0.157   28 -0.150   26 -0.156   28 0.4788   21  1.028   28 -0.202   24 -0.111
PENGUINS         33 48 238 291  0.001 40.887   29 -0.164   29 -0.154   29 -0.210   29 0.4776    3  1.192   18 -0.053   29 -0.367
PREDATORS        29 52 209 273  0.002 41.071   30 -0.242   30 -0.236   30 -0.255   30 0.4661   19  1.036   32 -0.291   26 -0.218
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       24 57 222 293 -0.004 40.850   31 -0.334   31 -0.345   31 -0.262   31 0.4506    4  1.173   25 -0.129   30 -0.396
SHARKS           20 61 210 312 -0.003 41.094   32 -0.439   32 -0.432   32 -0.367   32 0.4389    5  1.172   30 -0.235   32 -0.499

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   49 31 267 213 -0.002 39.574    5  0.196    5  0.187    4  0.221    5 0.5268   17  1.055    6  0.208    4  0.235
KINGS            47 33 243 196 -0.004 39.612    8  0.145    8  0.141    6  0.182    8 0.5206   32  0.863   17 -0.050    2  0.413
OILERS           47 34 256 236 -0.000 40.423    9  0.132    9  0.135   13  0.058   10 0.5191   15  1.085   12  0.081   16  0.035
FLAMES           39 41 215 233 -0.016 39.639   17 -0.026   17 -0.030   21 -0.055   17 0.4953   31  0.866   31 -0.283    9  0.174
CANUCKS          38 43 235 249 -0.011 40.255   22 -0.050   22 -0.058   19 -0.042   22 0.4914   23  1.018   22 -0.098   18  0.015
DUCKS            35 45 218 258 -0.004 40.200   25 -0.103   24 -0.105   27 -0.166   25 0.4844   22  1.019   29 -0.221   23 -0.111
KRAKEN           35 46 242 259 -0.007 40.501   26 -0.118   26 -0.119   24 -0.103   26 0.4829   11  1.128   16 -0.027   25 -0.179
SHARKS           20 61 210 312 -0.003 41.094   32 -0.439   32 -0.432   32 -0.367   32 0.4389    5  1.172   30 -0.235   32 -0.499

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             55 26 275 190  0.008 40.221    1  0.290    1  0.306    1  0.322    1 0.5435   29  0.938    8  0.173    1  0.471
STARS            50 31 276 219  0.000 40.096    4  0.204    4  0.196    3  0.223    4 0.5279   14  1.089    4  0.251    7  0.195
AVALANCHE        49 33 277 234 -0.003 40.680    6  0.166    6  0.161    7  0.143    6 0.5231    8  1.150    5  0.247   15  0.039
WILD             44 37 225 237  0.005 40.765   13  0.058   13  0.077   18 -0.039   13 0.5106   27  0.942   27 -0.184   12  0.106
BLUES            43 38 248 232  0.004 40.542   14  0.040   14  0.054   12  0.062   14 0.5079   24  1.016   13  0.002   11  0.121
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 43 240 245  0.001 40.598   20 -0.043   20 -0.051   16 -0.021   20 0.4926   20  1.033   19 -0.061   17  0.018
PREDATORS        29 52 209 273  0.002 41.071   30 -0.242   30 -0.236   30 -0.255   30 0.4661   19  1.036   32 -0.291   26 -0.218
BLACKHAWKS       24 57 222 293 -0.004 40.850   31 -0.334   31 -0.345   31 -0.262   31 0.4506    4  1.173   25 -0.129   30 -0.396

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         50 30 283 226  0.001 39.735    3  0.215    3  0.208    5  0.200    3 0.5302    6  1.154    2  0.309   13  0.092
HURRICANES       47 33 259 222  0.002 39.867    7  0.151    7  0.147    8  0.136    7 0.5209   16  1.065   10  0.135   10  0.137
DEVILS           41 39 235 213  0.006 40.050   15  0.015   15  0.023   11  0.099   15 0.5036   30  0.910   21 -0.082    3  0.279
BLUE JACKETS     38 42 264 267  0.007 40.328   18 -0.030   18 -0.035   17 -0.037   18 0.4947    2  1.239    7  0.180   27 -0.254
RANGERS          38 43 252 255 -0.003 40.427   21 -0.045   21 -0.054   15  0.010   21 0.4925    7  1.152   11  0.116   21 -0.097
ISLANDERS        35 45 222 251 -0.006 40.022   24 -0.103   25 -0.106   25 -0.103   24 0.4845   25  1.003   26 -0.177   19 -0.029
FLYERS           33 47 234 278  0.002 40.395   27 -0.150   27 -0.143   28 -0.177   27 0.4793    9  1.150   20 -0.074   28 -0.280
PENGUINS         33 48 238 291  0.001 40.887   29 -0.164   29 -0.154   29 -0.210   29 0.4776    3  1.192   18 -0.053   29 -0.367

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      50 30 260 228  0.007 40.054    2  0.216    2  0.213   10  0.108    2 0.5307   13  1.094    9  0.142   14  0.074
PANTHERS         47 34 251 218 -0.002 40.287   10  0.131   10  0.133    9  0.109    9 0.5193   26  0.974   14  0.000    5  0.217
LIGHTNING        46 34 289 214  0.002 39.600   11  0.127   11  0.124    2  0.286   11 0.5186   10  1.135    1  0.371    6  0.202
SENATORS         44 36 233 225  0.006 40.152   12  0.072   12  0.087   14  0.044   12 0.5127   28  0.940   23 -0.104    8  0.191
CANADIENS        39 42 241 263  0.003 40.713   16 -0.024   16 -0.028   20 -0.050   16 0.4962   12  1.107   15 -0.001   22 -0.100
RED WINGS        38 42 230 253 -0.000 40.181   19 -0.036   19 -0.041   23 -0.088   19 0.4940   18  1.051   24 -0.105   20 -0.070
SABRES           35 45 264 281  0.004 40.263   23 -0.096   23 -0.101   22 -0.066   23 0.4854    1  1.328    3  0.271   31 -0.403
BRUINS           33 48 218 267  0.009 41.089   28 -0.157   28 -0.150   26 -0.156   28 0.4788   21  1.028   28 -0.202   24 -0.111

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     332 311 0.516    1  0.030
CENTRAL DIVISION      332 317 0.512    2  0.029
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 315 327 0.491    3 -0.014
PACIFIC DIVISION      310 334 0.481    4 -0.044

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.137 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Apr 15 05:30:11 2025
games through: Mon Apr 14 2025

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