Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             48 23 246 170 -0.009 34.932    1  0.271    1  0.277    2  0.300    1 0.5417   27  0.983    6  0.208    1  0.391
CAPITALS         47 23 257 181 -0.000 34.702    2  0.267    2  0.272    1  0.300    2 0.5410   11  1.111    1  0.362    5  0.239
STARS            45 25 237 182  0.007 34.944    3  0.235    3  0.233    3  0.240    3 0.5343   17  1.045    5  0.222    4  0.258
HURRICANES       43 27 227 188  0.009 35.179    4  0.196    4  0.190    6  0.172    4 0.5279   18  1.043    9  0.151    6  0.194
PANTHERS         43 28 229 193  0.005 35.583    5  0.178    5  0.172    7  0.142    5 0.5257   19  1.042   12  0.119    9  0.165
AVALANCHE        43 28 239 204 -0.000 35.443    6  0.174    6  0.168    8  0.132    6 0.5255    5  1.159    4  0.254   18  0.010
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   42 28 237 190  0.001 34.851    7  0.168    8  0.160    5  0.219    8 0.5239   13  1.094    3  0.260    7  0.179
MAPLE LEAFS      42 28 224 208  0.003 35.190    8  0.166    7  0.163   12  0.048    7 0.5246   10  1.131   11  0.134   20 -0.038
OILERS           41 29 229 203 -0.006 34.876    9  0.133    9  0.133   11  0.093    9 0.5202   12  1.109    8  0.151   15  0.034
LIGHTNING        40 30 245 191  0.016 35.222   10  0.123   10  0.122    4  0.239   10 0.5192    8  1.139    2  0.335   10  0.142
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS            39 30 203 177  0.002 34.539   11  0.097   11  0.103   10  0.121   11 0.5153   31  0.881   21 -0.086    2  0.327
WILD             40 31 195 199 -0.006 35.534   12  0.087   12  0.099   16 -0.013   12 0.5151   30  0.897   26 -0.202    8  0.175
SENATORS         37 32 202 200  0.020 35.196   13  0.058   13  0.070   15  0.025   13 0.5111   23  0.997   19 -0.050   12  0.100
DEVILS           37 35 214 190  0.020 36.554   14  0.027   14  0.034    9  0.129   14 0.5051   29  0.913   18 -0.041    3  0.300
BLUES            37 35 218 208  0.003 36.195   15  0.018   15  0.025   13  0.045   15 0.5034   20  1.029   15  0.007   13  0.082
CANADIENS        33 36 210 228  0.007 34.950   16 -0.024   16 -0.028   17 -0.044   16 0.4956    7  1.153   13  0.070   25 -0.157
FLAMES           33 36 182 203 -0.007 34.597   17 -0.032   17 -0.037   21 -0.068   18 0.4939   32  0.878   31 -0.278   11  0.142
RANGERS          34 37 213 213 -0.010 35.361   18 -0.033   18 -0.041   14  0.026   17 0.4944   16  1.066   14  0.033   17  0.019
RED WINGS        33 37 203 222 -0.020 34.768   19 -0.054   19 -0.058   23 -0.092   19 0.4911   15  1.067   20 -0.084   23 -0.099
BLUE JACKETS     32 38 225 233  0.006 35.451   20 -0.057   20 -0.063   19 -0.053   20 0.4899    3  1.211   10  0.134   27 -0.240
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS          33 38 201 217 -0.015 35.331   21 -0.059   21 -0.066   18 -0.051   21 0.4898   24  0.997   23 -0.127   16  0.024
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 32 39 203 216 -0.001 35.754   22 -0.072   23 -0.079   20 -0.061   23 0.4883   21  1.003   24 -0.130   19  0.008
ISLANDERS        32 38 193 209 -0.019 34.784   23 -0.072   22 -0.079   22 -0.088   22 0.4884   28  0.943   29 -0.225   14  0.049
DUCKS            30 40 188 221  0.006 35.594   24 -0.107   24 -0.108   26 -0.138   24 0.4830   26  0.988   28 -0.224   21 -0.052
BRUINS           30 42 190 236  0.007 36.650   25 -0.134   25 -0.130   27 -0.160   25 0.4814   22  0.998   30 -0.234   22 -0.086
KRAKEN           30 41 213 232 -0.019 35.361   26 -0.141   26 -0.137   25 -0.131   26 0.4796    6  1.157   16 -0.013   28 -0.250
SABRES           28 41 217 244 -0.005 34.717   27 -0.158   27 -0.152   24 -0.124   28 0.4770    1  1.295    7  0.174   32 -0.422
PENGUINS         29 43 213 261 -0.001 36.484   28 -0.167   28 -0.157   29 -0.214   27 0.4771    2  1.217   17 -0.019   31 -0.410
FLYERS           28 44 200 247  0.015 36.914   29 -0.179   29 -0.169   28 -0.191   29 0.4747   14  1.091   25 -0.154   26 -0.228
PREDATORS        26 44 179 228 -0.006 35.398   30 -0.218   30 -0.209   30 -0.226   30 0.4687   25  0.996   32 -0.303   24 -0.150
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       21 50 193 254 -0.006 35.903   31 -0.323   31 -0.332   31 -0.253   31 0.4505    4  1.172   22 -0.115   29 -0.391
SHARKS           19 51 182 259 -0.004 35.599   32 -0.369   32 -0.371   32 -0.312   32 0.4442    9  1.136   27 -0.220   30 -0.404

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   42 28 237 190  0.001 34.851    7  0.168    8  0.160    5  0.219    8 0.5239   13  1.094    3  0.260    7  0.179
OILERS           41 29 229 203 -0.006 34.876    9  0.133    9  0.133   11  0.093    9 0.5202   12  1.109    8  0.151   15  0.034
KINGS            39 30 203 177  0.002 34.539   11  0.097   11  0.103   10  0.121   11 0.5153   31  0.881   21 -0.086    2  0.327
FLAMES           33 36 182 203 -0.007 34.597   17 -0.032   17 -0.037   21 -0.068   18 0.4939   32  0.878   31 -0.278   11  0.142
CANUCKS          33 38 201 217 -0.015 35.331   21 -0.059   21 -0.066   18 -0.051   21 0.4898   24  0.997   23 -0.127   16  0.024
DUCKS            30 40 188 221  0.006 35.594   24 -0.107   24 -0.108   26 -0.138   24 0.4830   26  0.988   28 -0.224   21 -0.052
KRAKEN           30 41 213 232 -0.019 35.361   26 -0.141   26 -0.137   25 -0.131   26 0.4796    6  1.157   16 -0.013   28 -0.250
SHARKS           19 51 182 259 -0.004 35.599   32 -0.369   32 -0.371   32 -0.312   32 0.4442    9  1.136   27 -0.220   30 -0.404

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             48 23 246 170 -0.009 34.932    1  0.271    1  0.277    2  0.300    1 0.5417   27  0.983    6  0.208    1  0.391
STARS            45 25 237 182  0.007 34.944    3  0.235    3  0.233    3  0.240    3 0.5343   17  1.045    5  0.222    4  0.258
AVALANCHE        43 28 239 204 -0.000 35.443    6  0.174    6  0.168    8  0.132    6 0.5255    5  1.159    4  0.254   18  0.010
WILD             40 31 195 199 -0.006 35.534   12  0.087   12  0.099   16 -0.013   12 0.5151   30  0.897   26 -0.202    8  0.175
BLUES            37 35 218 208  0.003 36.195   15  0.018   15  0.025   13  0.045   15 0.5034   20  1.029   15  0.007   13  0.082
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 32 39 203 216 -0.001 35.754   22 -0.072   23 -0.079   20 -0.061   23 0.4883   21  1.003   24 -0.130   19  0.008
PREDATORS        26 44 179 228 -0.006 35.398   30 -0.218   30 -0.209   30 -0.226   30 0.4687   25  0.996   32 -0.303   24 -0.150
BLACKHAWKS       21 50 193 254 -0.006 35.903   31 -0.323   31 -0.332   31 -0.253   31 0.4505    4  1.172   22 -0.115   29 -0.391

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         47 23 257 181 -0.000 34.702    2  0.267    2  0.272    1  0.300    2 0.5410   11  1.111    1  0.362    5  0.239
HURRICANES       43 27 227 188  0.009 35.179    4  0.196    4  0.190    6  0.172    4 0.5279   18  1.043    9  0.151    6  0.194
DEVILS           37 35 214 190  0.020 36.554   14  0.027   14  0.034    9  0.129   14 0.5051   29  0.913   18 -0.041    3  0.300
RANGERS          34 37 213 213 -0.010 35.361   18 -0.033   18 -0.041   14  0.026   17 0.4944   16  1.066   14  0.033   17  0.019
BLUE JACKETS     32 38 225 233  0.006 35.451   20 -0.057   20 -0.063   19 -0.053   20 0.4899    3  1.211   10  0.134   27 -0.240
ISLANDERS        32 38 193 209 -0.019 34.784   23 -0.072   22 -0.079   22 -0.088   22 0.4884   28  0.943   29 -0.225   14  0.049
PENGUINS         29 43 213 261 -0.001 36.484   28 -0.167   28 -0.157   29 -0.214   27 0.4771    2  1.217   17 -0.019   31 -0.410
FLYERS           28 44 200 247  0.015 36.914   29 -0.179   29 -0.169   28 -0.191   29 0.4747   14  1.091   25 -0.154   26 -0.228

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS         43 28 229 193  0.005 35.583    5  0.178    5  0.172    7  0.142    5 0.5257   19  1.042   12  0.119    9  0.165
MAPLE LEAFS      42 28 224 208  0.003 35.190    8  0.166    7  0.163   12  0.048    7 0.5246   10  1.131   11  0.134   20 -0.038
LIGHTNING        40 30 245 191  0.016 35.222   10  0.123   10  0.122    4  0.239   10 0.5192    8  1.139    2  0.335   10  0.142
SENATORS         37 32 202 200  0.020 35.196   13  0.058   13  0.070   15  0.025   13 0.5111   23  0.997   19 -0.050   12  0.100
CANADIENS        33 36 210 228  0.007 34.950   16 -0.024   16 -0.028   17 -0.044   16 0.4956    7  1.153   13  0.070   25 -0.157
RED WINGS        33 37 203 222 -0.020 34.768   19 -0.054   19 -0.058   23 -0.092   19 0.4911   15  1.067   20 -0.084   23 -0.099
BRUINS           30 42 190 236  0.007 36.650   25 -0.134   25 -0.130   27 -0.160   25 0.4814   22  0.998   30 -0.234   22 -0.086
SABRES           28 41 217 244 -0.005 34.717   27 -0.158   27 -0.152   24 -0.124   28 0.4770    1  1.295    7  0.174   32 -0.422

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      292 275 0.515    1  0.028
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 282 285 0.497    2  0.014
ATLANTIC DIVISION     286 274 0.511    3  0.005
PACIFIC DIVISION      267 293 0.477    4 -0.046

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.127 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Mar 25 05:30:08 2025
games through: Mon Mar 24 2025

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