Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             60 29 298 218  0.009 44.310    1  0.285    1  0.299    1  0.277    1 0.5421   29  0.959   10  0.146    1  0.407
MAPLE LEAFS      56 32 287 247  0.001 43.860    2  0.233    2  0.228   10  0.118    2 0.5332   16  1.073   11  0.121   13  0.115
CAPITALS         55 32 306 244 -0.012 42.771    3  0.222    3  0.211    4  0.195    3 0.5307   10  1.138    2  0.279   14  0.112
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   54 34 293 238 -0.009 43.391    4  0.199    4  0.185    3  0.201    4 0.5274   17  1.068    6  0.199    5  0.204
STARS            54 35 298 248  0.006 44.401    5  0.196    5  0.182    5  0.178    5 0.5261   15  1.088    5  0.200    9  0.156
PANTHERS         51 36 271 235  0.017 43.889    6  0.164    6  0.154    9  0.125    8 0.5213   26  0.982   14  0.021    3  0.229
OILERS           52 36 286 260  0.003 43.974    7  0.162    7  0.154   12  0.077    6 0.5217   12  1.130    9  0.151   17  0.004
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.013 44.685    8  0.157    8  0.147    6  0.158    7 0.5216    6  1.144    3  0.249   15  0.067
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.001 43.328    9  0.152    9  0.143    8  0.141    9 0.5202   14  1.091    8  0.166   12  0.116
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.004 43.630   10  0.105   10  0.108    7  0.144   10 0.5166   27  0.963   15  0.018    2  0.270
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.006 43.320   11  0.082   11  0.087    2  0.238   11 0.5135   11  1.136    1  0.319    8  0.157
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.027 45.249   12  0.053   13  0.062   11  0.109   12 0.5097   19  1.052   13  0.087   10  0.131
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.013 44.536   13  0.052   12  0.066   17 -0.024   14 0.5093   30  0.942   26 -0.174   11  0.126
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.005 44.131   14  0.046   14  0.058   14  0.036   13 0.5096   28  0.962   20 -0.090    7  0.163
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.009 43.717   15 -0.001   15 -0.008   13  0.053   15 0.4995   31  0.931   22 -0.109    4  0.215
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.015 40.600   16 -0.004   16 -0.010   18 -0.038   16 0.4982   32  0.882   29 -0.255    6  0.179
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.003 40.922   17 -0.012   17 -0.023   16 -0.013   17 0.4966    2  1.224    7  0.180   27 -0.206
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.014 44.103   18 -0.024   18 -0.040   20 -0.056   18 0.4950   13  1.096   17 -0.025   23 -0.087
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.000 41.141   19 -0.028   19 -0.042   22 -0.078   19 0.4941   18  1.057   21 -0.094   20 -0.062
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.006 40.778   20 -0.028   20 -0.046   15  0.023   20 0.4934    8  1.140   12  0.109   21 -0.063
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.003 41.015   21 -0.045   21 -0.064   19 -0.043   21 0.4908   22  1.032   19 -0.089   18  0.003
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.015 40.640   22 -0.053   22 -0.071   21 -0.057   22 0.4895   23  1.011   24 -0.128   16  0.013
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.006 40.956   23 -0.094   23 -0.105   23 -0.087   23 0.4848    1  1.322    4  0.235   31 -0.410
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.002 41.239   24 -0.118   24 -0.123   27 -0.165   24 0.4822   25  0.991   30 -0.259   22 -0.072
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.008 40.966   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 -0.130   25 0.4815   24  0.993   28 -0.221   19 -0.039
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.011 40.842   26 -0.126   26 -0.130   24 -0.108   26 0.4811    7  1.144   16 -0.018   26 -0.198
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.005 41.177   27 -0.147   27 -0.144   29 -0.200   27 0.4787    3  1.193   18 -0.047   29 -0.353
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.003 41.368   28 -0.165   28 -0.161   26 -0.160   28 0.4767   20  1.037   27 -0.200   24 -0.120
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.006 41.147   29 -0.171   29 -0.165   28 -0.197   29 0.4759    9  1.140   23 -0.111   28 -0.282
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.001 41.406   30 -0.226   30 -0.223   30 -0.237   30 0.4674   21  1.032   32 -0.282   25 -0.192
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.007 41.219   31 -0.307   31 -0.327   31 -0.258   31 0.4523    4  1.169   25 -0.136   30 -0.380
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.008 41.390   32 -0.440   32 -0.434   32 -0.378   32 0.4375    5  1.150   31 -0.280   32 -0.477

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   54 34 293 238 -0.009 43.391    4  0.199    4  0.185    3  0.201    4 0.5274   17  1.068    6  0.199    5  0.204
OILERS           52 36 286 260  0.003 43.974    7  0.162    7  0.154   12  0.077    6 0.5217   12  1.130    9  0.151   17  0.004
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.004 43.630   10  0.105   10  0.108    7  0.144   10 0.5166   27  0.963   15  0.018    2  0.270
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.015 40.600   16 -0.004   16 -0.010   18 -0.038   16 0.4982   32  0.882   29 -0.255    6  0.179
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.015 40.640   22 -0.053   22 -0.071   21 -0.057   22 0.4895   23  1.011   24 -0.128   16  0.013
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.002 41.239   24 -0.118   24 -0.123   27 -0.165   24 0.4822   25  0.991   30 -0.259   22 -0.072
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.011 40.842   26 -0.126   26 -0.130   24 -0.108   26 0.4811    7  1.144   16 -0.018   26 -0.198
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.008 41.390   32 -0.440   32 -0.434   32 -0.378   32 0.4375    5  1.150   31 -0.280   32 -0.477

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             60 29 298 218  0.009 44.310    1  0.285    1  0.299    1  0.277    1 0.5421   29  0.959   10  0.146    1  0.407
STARS            54 35 298 248  0.006 44.401    5  0.196    5  0.182    5  0.178    5 0.5261   15  1.088    5  0.200    9  0.156
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.013 44.685    8  0.157    8  0.147    6  0.158    7 0.5216    6  1.144    3  0.249   15  0.067
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.027 45.249   12  0.053   13  0.062   11  0.109   12 0.5097   19  1.052   13  0.087   10  0.131
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.013 44.536   13  0.052   12  0.066   17 -0.024   14 0.5093   30  0.942   26 -0.174   11  0.126
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.003 41.015   21 -0.045   21 -0.064   19 -0.043   21 0.4908   22  1.032   19 -0.089   18  0.003
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.001 41.406   30 -0.226   30 -0.223   30 -0.237   30 0.4674   21  1.032   32 -0.282   25 -0.192
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.007 41.219   31 -0.307   31 -0.327   31 -0.258   31 0.4523    4  1.169   25 -0.136   30 -0.380

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         55 32 306 244 -0.012 42.771    3  0.222    3  0.211    4  0.195    3 0.5307   10  1.138    2  0.279   14  0.112
HURRICANES       51 36 285 244  0.001 43.328    9  0.152    9  0.143    8  0.141    9 0.5202   14  1.091    8  0.166   12  0.116
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.009 43.717   15 -0.001   15 -0.008   13  0.053   15 0.4995   31  0.931   22 -0.109    4  0.215
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.003 40.922   17 -0.012   17 -0.023   16 -0.013   17 0.4966    2  1.224    7  0.180   27 -0.206
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.006 40.778   20 -0.028   20 -0.046   15  0.023   20 0.4934    8  1.140   12  0.109   21 -0.063
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.008 40.966   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 -0.130   25 0.4815   24  0.993   28 -0.221   19 -0.039
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.005 41.177   27 -0.147   27 -0.144   29 -0.200   27 0.4787    3  1.193   18 -0.047   29 -0.353
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.006 41.147   29 -0.171   29 -0.165   28 -0.197   29 0.4759    9  1.140   23 -0.111   28 -0.282

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      56 32 287 247  0.001 43.860    2  0.233    2  0.228   10  0.118    2 0.5332   16  1.073   11  0.121   13  0.115
PANTHERS         51 36 271 235  0.017 43.889    6  0.164    6  0.154    9  0.125    8 0.5213   26  0.982   14  0.021    3  0.229
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.006 43.320   11  0.082   11  0.087    2  0.238   11 0.5135   11  1.136    1  0.319    8  0.157
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.005 44.131   14  0.046   14  0.058   14  0.036   13 0.5096   28  0.962   20 -0.090    7  0.163
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.014 44.103   18 -0.024   18 -0.040   20 -0.056   18 0.4950   13  1.096   17 -0.025   23 -0.087
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.000 41.141   19 -0.028   19 -0.042   22 -0.078   19 0.4941   18  1.057   21 -0.094   20 -0.062
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.006 40.956   23 -0.094   23 -0.105   23 -0.087   23 0.4848    1  1.322    4  0.235   31 -0.410
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.003 41.368   28 -0.165   28 -0.161   26 -0.160   28 0.4767   20  1.037   27 -0.200   24 -0.120

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      353 337 0.512    1  0.027
ATLANTIC DIVISION     351 332 0.514    2  0.023
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 330 341 0.492    3 -0.020
PACIFIC DIVISION      325 349 0.482    4 -0.053

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.141 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May  5 05:30:09 2025
games through: Sun May  4 2025

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