Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.016 47.688    1  0.264    1  0.271    1  0.276    1 0.5380   31  0.932   10  0.118    1  0.435
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.013 47.954    2  0.225    2  0.213   12  0.092    2 0.5306   14  1.084   11  0.112   15  0.071
OILERS           59 38 318 278  0.020 49.141    3  0.215    3  0.199   10  0.136    3 0.5278   11  1.110    5  0.188   14  0.084
STARS            59 40 319 278  0.030 50.525    4  0.203    4  0.184    9  0.143    4 0.5263   15  1.065    8  0.139   10  0.146
PANTHERS         58 40 313 259  0.029 49.966    5  0.196    5  0.176    3  0.176    6 0.5253   24  0.995   13  0.091    3  0.261
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.007 45.593    6  0.194    6  0.176    5  0.161    5 0.5256   12  1.108    4  0.210   13  0.112
HURRICANES       56 40 307 267  0.019 48.603    7  0.169    7  0.154    7  0.145    8 0.5215   16  1.060    9  0.135    7  0.154
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.004 46.209    8  0.166    8  0.152    4  0.173    7 0.5228   19  1.050    7  0.152    5  0.195
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.004 44.515    9  0.150    9  0.140    6  0.151    9 0.5210    6  1.148    2  0.250   16  0.051
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.002 43.778   10  0.106   10  0.107    8  0.143   10 0.5164   27  0.967   15  0.025    2  0.261
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.006 43.409   11  0.082   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5131   10  1.137    1  0.321    9  0.151
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.023 45.195   12  0.051   13  0.057   11  0.104   13 0.5088   18  1.056   14  0.090   11  0.117
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.006 44.389   13  0.049   12  0.059   17 -0.031   14 0.5084   29  0.945   26 -0.174   12  0.113
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.002 44.011   14  0.044   14  0.051   14  0.030   12 0.5089   28  0.963   20 -0.093    8  0.153
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.004 43.663   15 -0.000   15 -0.013   13  0.048   15 0.4989   30  0.936   22 -0.105    4  0.202
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.020 40.539   16 -0.004   16 -0.015   18 -0.043   16 0.4975   32  0.885   29 -0.254    6  0.167
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.009 40.862   17 -0.012   17 -0.028   16 -0.018   17 0.4960    2  1.226    6  0.181   27 -0.217
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.007 43.989   18 -0.025   18 -0.045   20 -0.062   18 0.4941   13  1.100   17 -0.024   23 -0.101
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.005 41.082   19 -0.028   19 -0.047   22 -0.083   19 0.4934   17  1.059   21 -0.094   20 -0.072
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.011 40.732   20 -0.029   20 -0.051   15  0.018   20 0.4928    9  1.142   12  0.109   21 -0.073
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.008 40.949   21 -0.047   21 -0.069   19 -0.048   21 0.4902   22  1.034   19 -0.088   18 -0.008
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.020 40.580   22 -0.054   22 -0.076   21 -0.062   22 0.4888   23  1.013   24 -0.127   17  0.002
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.010 40.932   23 -0.095   23 -0.110   23 -0.092   23 0.4842    1  1.323    3  0.236   31 -0.420
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.007 41.210   24 -0.119   24 -0.127   27 -0.169   24 0.4816   26  0.994   30 -0.256   22 -0.083
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.013 40.920   25 -0.123   25 -0.130   25 -0.134   25 0.4809   25  0.995   28 -0.220   19 -0.048
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.015 40.826   26 -0.127   26 -0.134   24 -0.112   26 0.4806    7  1.147   16 -0.015   26 -0.209
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.010 41.113   27 -0.149   27 -0.150   29 -0.205   27 0.4781    3  1.195   18 -0.046   29 -0.363
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.002 41.334   28 -0.165   28 -0.165   26 -0.165   28 0.4762   20  1.038   27 -0.200   24 -0.130
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.011 41.085   29 -0.171   29 -0.170   28 -0.202   29 0.4752    8  1.143   23 -0.110   28 -0.294
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.006 41.339   30 -0.224   30 -0.228   30 -0.242   30 0.4668   21  1.034   32 -0.282   25 -0.203
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.013 41.151   31 -0.306   31 -0.332   31 -0.263   31 0.4517    4  1.172   25 -0.134   30 -0.392
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.012 41.374   32 -0.437   32 -0.438   32 -0.382   32 0.4370    5  1.152   31 -0.278   32 -0.486

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           59 38 318 278  0.020 49.141    3  0.215    3  0.199   10  0.136    3 0.5278   11  1.110    5  0.188   14  0.084
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.004 46.209    8  0.166    8  0.152    4  0.173    7 0.5228   19  1.050    7  0.152    5  0.195
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.002 43.778   10  0.106   10  0.107    8  0.143   10 0.5164   27  0.967   15  0.025    2  0.261
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.020 40.539   16 -0.004   16 -0.015   18 -0.043   16 0.4975   32  0.885   29 -0.254    6  0.167
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.020 40.580   22 -0.054   22 -0.076   21 -0.062   22 0.4888   23  1.013   24 -0.127   17  0.002
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.007 41.210   24 -0.119   24 -0.127   27 -0.169   24 0.4816   26  0.994   30 -0.256   22 -0.083
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.015 40.826   26 -0.127   26 -0.134   24 -0.112   26 0.4806    7  1.147   16 -0.015   26 -0.209
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.012 41.374   32 -0.437   32 -0.438   32 -0.382   32 0.4370    5  1.152   31 -0.278   32 -0.486

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.016 47.688    1  0.264    1  0.271    1  0.276    1 0.5380   31  0.932   10  0.118    1  0.435
STARS            59 40 319 278  0.030 50.525    4  0.203    4  0.184    9  0.143    4 0.5263   15  1.065    8  0.139   10  0.146
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.004 44.515    9  0.150    9  0.140    6  0.151    9 0.5210    6  1.148    2  0.250   16  0.051
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.023 45.195   12  0.051   13  0.057   11  0.104   13 0.5088   18  1.056   14  0.090   11  0.117
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.006 44.389   13  0.049   12  0.059   17 -0.031   14 0.5084   29  0.945   26 -0.174   12  0.113
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.008 40.949   21 -0.047   21 -0.069   19 -0.048   21 0.4902   22  1.034   19 -0.088   18 -0.008
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.006 41.339   30 -0.224   30 -0.228   30 -0.242   30 0.4668   21  1.034   32 -0.282   25 -0.203
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.013 41.151   31 -0.306   31 -0.332   31 -0.263   31 0.4517    4  1.172   25 -0.134   30 -0.392

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.007 45.593    6  0.194    6  0.176    5  0.161    5 0.5256   12  1.108    4  0.210   13  0.112
HURRICANES       56 40 307 267  0.019 48.603    7  0.169    7  0.154    7  0.145    8 0.5215   16  1.060    9  0.135    7  0.154
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.004 43.663   15 -0.000   15 -0.013   13  0.048   15 0.4989   30  0.936   22 -0.105    4  0.202
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.009 40.862   17 -0.012   17 -0.028   16 -0.018   17 0.4960    2  1.226    6  0.181   27 -0.217
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.011 40.732   20 -0.029   20 -0.051   15  0.018   20 0.4928    9  1.142   12  0.109   21 -0.073
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.013 40.920   25 -0.123   25 -0.130   25 -0.134   25 0.4809   25  0.995   28 -0.220   19 -0.048
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.010 41.113   27 -0.149   27 -0.150   29 -0.205   27 0.4781    3  1.195   18 -0.046   29 -0.363
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.011 41.085   29 -0.171   29 -0.170   28 -0.202   29 0.4752    8  1.143   23 -0.110   28 -0.294

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.013 47.954    2  0.225    2  0.213   12  0.092    2 0.5306   14  1.084   11  0.112   15  0.071
PANTHERS         58 40 313 259  0.029 49.966    5  0.196    5  0.176    3  0.176    6 0.5253   24  0.995   13  0.091    3  0.261
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.006 43.409   11  0.082   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5131   10  1.137    1  0.321    9  0.151
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.002 44.011   14  0.044   14  0.051   14  0.030   12 0.5089   28  0.963   20 -0.093    8  0.153
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.007 43.989   18 -0.025   18 -0.045   20 -0.062   18 0.4941   13  1.100   17 -0.024   23 -0.101
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.005 41.082   19 -0.028   19 -0.047   22 -0.083   19 0.4934   17  1.059   21 -0.094   20 -0.072
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.010 40.932   23 -0.095   23 -0.110   23 -0.092   23 0.4842    1  1.323    3  0.236   31 -0.420
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.002 41.334   28 -0.165   28 -0.165   26 -0.165   28 0.4762   20  1.038   27 -0.200   24 -0.130

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     361 340 0.515    1  0.023
CENTRAL DIVISION      360 346 0.510    2  0.016
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 336 349 0.491    3 -0.029
PACIFIC DIVISION      333 355 0.484    4 -0.051

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.141 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed May 28 05:30:09 2025
games through: Tue May 27 2025

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