Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     5 0 23 11 -0.133  2.139    1  0.095    1  0.097    2  0.112    1 0.5686   17  1.048   14  0.102   11  0.121 P
AVALANCHE      5 1 21 10  0.022  2.970    2  0.086    2  0.087    1  0.144    2 0.5541   29  0.743   23 -0.203    3  0.491 P
JETS           4 1 21 12 -0.015  2.411    3  0.068    3  0.064    3  0.108    3 0.5425   12  1.184    8  0.267   17 -0.051 P
CAPITALS       4 1 14  8  0.023  2.520    4  0.066    5  0.063    4  0.063    5 0.5356   31  0.621   30 -0.403    2  0.529 P
DEVILS         4 1 19 15  0.084  2.655    5  0.066    4  0.064    7  0.041    4 0.5418    4  1.345    4  0.413   27 -0.330 P
RED WINGS      4 1 16 12 -0.002  2.500    6  0.056    6  0.052   15 -0.000    7 0.5314   25  0.867   25 -0.216    8  0.215 P
STARS          3 2 19 18  0.172  2.831    7  0.046    7  0.040    6  0.045    6 0.5318    3  1.382    3  0.468   28 -0.378 P
CANADIENS      4 2 21 18  0.006  3.029    8  0.037    8  0.031   17 -0.012    8 0.5181    8  1.287    6  0.281   25 -0.304 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 4 2 26 19 -0.196  2.461    9  0.036    9  0.024    5  0.055   10 0.5106    6  1.330    5  0.407   24 -0.297 P
PENGUINS       4 2 18 15 -0.108  2.714   10  0.035   10  0.024   12  0.018    9 0.5109   18  1.015   18 -0.031   12  0.067 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES          3 2 15 18 -0.101  2.307   11  0.022   13  0.011   19 -0.025   14 0.5069   10  1.226   11  0.188   23 -0.238 P
CANUCKS        3 2 16 14 -0.044  2.410   12  0.019   11  0.014   14  0.000   11 0.5087   19  1.014   19 -0.050   15  0.050 P
BRUINS         3 3 19 19  0.128  3.301   13  0.016   12  0.012   11  0.030   15 0.5035   11  1.219   10  0.234   22 -0.174 P
KRAKEN         3 2 16 14 -0.066  2.370   14  0.012   14  0.006   16 -0.011   12 0.5084   30  0.642   31 -0.456    4  0.435 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 3 22 20 -0.020  2.935   15  0.006   15  0.001    9  0.035   13 0.5073    2  1.446    2  0.549   31 -0.479 P
MAMMOTH        3 2 14 11 -0.139  2.239   16  0.003   16  0.000   20 -0.029   17 0.4937   26  0.832   27 -0.283    7  0.225 P
RANGERS        3 4 15 12  0.091  3.756   17 -0.005   17 -0.009    8  0.035   16 0.4975   32  0.394   32 -0.632    1  0.702 P
ISLANDERS      2 3 16 19  0.078  2.694   18 -0.015   19 -0.020   21 -0.030   20 0.4872    7  1.292    7  0.270   26 -0.330 P
OILERS         2 3 13 14 -0.009  2.462   19 -0.016   18 -0.019   10  0.033   18 0.4915   23  0.944   21 -0.098    9  0.164 P
PANTHERS       3 4 15 20 -0.091  3.271   20 -0.019   21 -0.024   24 -0.037   19 0.4903   27  0.769   28 -0.356    6  0.283 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          2 2 13 16 -0.074  1.960   21 -0.020   20 -0.021   30 -0.107   21 0.4862    5  1.337    9  0.255   29 -0.468 P
BLUE JACKETS   2 3 14 15  0.073  2.689   22 -0.023   22 -0.025   27 -0.044   23 0.4792   15  1.094   16  0.001   19 -0.090 P
FLYERS         2 3 13 14  0.067  2.677   23 -0.025   23 -0.026   25 -0.038   22 0.4852   24  0.902   24 -0.216   10  0.140 P
SABRES         2 3 13 14  0.009  2.558   24 -0.025   24 -0.027   26 -0.043   24 0.4792   22  0.972   22 -0.141   14  0.056 P
WILD           2 4 17 22  0.017  3.075   25 -0.035   25 -0.041   22 -0.031   25 0.4773   14  1.137   15  0.068   20 -0.131 P
PREDATORS      2 4 15 19 -0.003  3.029   26 -0.042   26 -0.048   23 -0.036   26 0.4731   28  0.759   29 -0.365    5  0.294 P
SENATORS       2 4 20 30 -0.096  2.827   27 -0.056   27 -0.055   29 -0.106   30 0.4614    1  1.673    1  0.752   32 -0.963 P
KINGS          1 5 17 24  0.244  3.631   28 -0.060   28 -0.057   18 -0.013   27 0.4686   13  1.174   12  0.133   21 -0.158 P
BLACKHAWKS     2 4 20 17 -0.034  2.945   29 -0.065   29 -0.063   28 -0.045   28 0.4634   16  1.082   17 -0.013   18 -0.076 P
LIGHTNING      1 5 16 21  0.031  3.084   30 -0.070   30 -0.073   13  0.003   29 0.4629   20  1.010   20 -0.052   13  0.058 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         1 5 11 25  0.051  3.223   31 -0.076   31 -0.078   31 -0.121   31 0.4523   21  0.975   26 -0.216   16 -0.025 P
SHARKS         0 5 13 25 -0.047  2.545   32 -0.117   32 -0.127   32 -0.181   32 0.4172    9  1.286   13  0.112   30 -0.473 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 4 2 26 19 -0.196  2.461    9  0.036    9  0.024    5  0.055   10 0.5106    6  1.330    5  0.407   24 -0.297 P
CANUCKS        3 2 16 14 -0.044  2.410   12  0.019   11  0.014   14  0.000   11 0.5087   19  1.014   19 -0.050   15  0.050 P
KRAKEN         3 2 16 14 -0.066  2.370   14  0.012   14  0.006   16 -0.011   12 0.5084   30  0.642   31 -0.456    4  0.435 P
OILERS         2 3 13 14 -0.009  2.462   19 -0.016   18 -0.019   10  0.033   18 0.4915   23  0.944   21 -0.098    9  0.164 P
DUCKS          2 2 13 16 -0.074  1.960   21 -0.020   20 -0.021   30 -0.107   21 0.4862    5  1.337    9  0.255   29 -0.468 P
KINGS          1 5 17 24  0.244  3.631   28 -0.060   28 -0.057   18 -0.013   27 0.4686   13  1.174   12  0.133   21 -0.158 P
FLAMES         1 5 11 25  0.051  3.223   31 -0.076   31 -0.078   31 -0.121   31 0.4523   21  0.975   26 -0.216   16 -0.025 P
SHARKS         0 5 13 25 -0.047  2.545   32 -0.117   32 -0.127   32 -0.181   32 0.4172    9  1.286   13  0.112   30 -0.473 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      5 1 21 10  0.022  2.970    2  0.086    2  0.087    1  0.144    2 0.5541   29  0.743   23 -0.203    3  0.491 P
JETS           4 1 21 12 -0.015  2.411    3  0.068    3  0.064    3  0.108    3 0.5425   12  1.184    8  0.267   17 -0.051 P
STARS          3 2 19 18  0.172  2.831    7  0.046    7  0.040    6  0.045    6 0.5318    3  1.382    3  0.468   28 -0.378 P
BLUES          3 2 15 18 -0.101  2.307   11  0.022   13  0.011   19 -0.025   14 0.5069   10  1.226   11  0.188   23 -0.238 P
MAMMOTH        3 2 14 11 -0.139  2.239   16  0.003   16  0.000   20 -0.029   17 0.4937   26  0.832   27 -0.283    7  0.225 P
WILD           2 4 17 22  0.017  3.075   25 -0.035   25 -0.041   22 -0.031   25 0.4773   14  1.137   15  0.068   20 -0.131 P
PREDATORS      2 4 15 19 -0.003  3.029   26 -0.042   26 -0.048   23 -0.036   26 0.4731   28  0.759   29 -0.365    5  0.294 P
BLACKHAWKS     2 4 20 17 -0.034  2.945   29 -0.065   29 -0.063   28 -0.045   28 0.4634   16  1.082   17 -0.013   18 -0.076 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     5 0 23 11 -0.133  2.139    1  0.095    1  0.097    2  0.112    1 0.5686   17  1.048   14  0.102   11  0.121 P
CAPITALS       4 1 14  8  0.023  2.520    4  0.066    5  0.063    4  0.063    5 0.5356   31  0.621   30 -0.403    2  0.529 P
DEVILS         4 1 19 15  0.084  2.655    5  0.066    4  0.064    7  0.041    4 0.5418    4  1.345    4  0.413   27 -0.330 P
PENGUINS       4 2 18 15 -0.108  2.714   10  0.035   10  0.024   12  0.018    9 0.5109   18  1.015   18 -0.031   12  0.067 P
RANGERS        3 4 15 12  0.091  3.756   17 -0.005   17 -0.009    8  0.035   16 0.4975   32  0.394   32 -0.632    1  0.702 P
ISLANDERS      2 3 16 19  0.078  2.694   18 -0.015   19 -0.020   21 -0.030   20 0.4872    7  1.292    7  0.270   26 -0.330 P
BLUE JACKETS   2 3 14 15  0.073  2.689   22 -0.023   22 -0.025   27 -0.044   23 0.4792   15  1.094   16  0.001   19 -0.090 P
FLYERS         2 3 13 14  0.067  2.677   23 -0.025   23 -0.026   25 -0.038   22 0.4852   24  0.902   24 -0.216   10  0.140 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS      4 1 16 12 -0.002  2.500    6  0.056    6  0.052   15 -0.000    7 0.5314   25  0.867   25 -0.216    8  0.215 P
CANADIENS      4 2 21 18  0.006  3.029    8  0.037    8  0.031   17 -0.012    8 0.5181    8  1.287    6  0.281   25 -0.304 P
BRUINS         3 3 19 19  0.128  3.301   13  0.016   12  0.012   11  0.030   15 0.5035   11  1.219   10  0.234   22 -0.174 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 3 22 20 -0.020  2.935   15  0.006   15  0.001    9  0.035   13 0.5073    2  1.446    2  0.549   31 -0.479 P
PANTHERS       3 4 15 20 -0.091  3.271   20 -0.019   21 -0.024   24 -0.037   19 0.4903   27  0.769   28 -0.356    6  0.283 P
SABRES         2 3 13 14  0.009  2.558   24 -0.025   24 -0.027   26 -0.043   24 0.4792   22  0.972   22 -0.141   14  0.056 P
SENATORS       2 4 20 30 -0.096  2.827   27 -0.056   27 -0.055   29 -0.106   30 0.4614    1  1.673    1  0.752   32 -0.963 P
LIGHTNING      1 5 16 21  0.031  3.084   30 -0.070   30 -0.073   13  0.003   29 0.4629   20  1.010   20 -0.052   13  0.058 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 26 17 0.605    1  0.091
CENTRAL DIVISION      24 20 0.545    2  0.077
ATLANTIC DIVISION     22 25 0.468    3 -0.042
PACIFIC DIVISION      16 26 0.381    4 -0.142

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.060 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Oct 19 05:30:11 2025
games through: Sat Oct 18 2025

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