Elite Eight	Final Four	Finals	Champion
75.59% HOUSTON 74.98% AUBURN 72.77% DUKE 71.56% TEXAS TECH 66.99% MICHIGAN STATE 63.14% ALABAMA 62.33% TENNESSEE 59.90% FLORIDA 40.10% MARYLAND 37.67% KENTUCKY 36.86% BYU 33.01% OLE MISS 28.44% ARKANSAS 27.23% ARIZONA 25.02% MICHIGAN 24.41% PURDUE	54.22% DUKE 52.90% AUBURN 52.28% HOUSTON 38.57% FLORIDA 32.36% TEXAS TECH 27.31% MICHIGAN STATE 25.87% TENNESSEE 22.48% ALABAMA 22.06% MARYLAND 14.28% ARIZONA 11.44% KENTUCKY 11.32% MICHIGAN 10.41% PURDUE 9.01% BYU 8.48% OLE MISS 7.01% ARKANSAS	34.19% DUKE 32.77% AUBURN 29.89% HOUSTON 21.15% FLORIDA 15.02% TEXAS TECH 12.61% MICHIGAN STATE 11.01% TENNESSEE 9.99% MARYLAND 9.54% ALABAMA 5.74% ARIZONA 4.08% MICHIGAN 3.59% KENTUCKY 3.30% PURDUE 2.74% BYU 2.54% OLE MISS 1.84% ARKANSAS	23.30% DUKE 19.36% HOUSTON 16.30% AUBURN 9.48% FLORIDA 5.51% TENNESSEE 5.49% TEXAS TECH 4.55% ALABAMA 4.36% MICHIGAN STATE 3.55% MARYLAND 2.60% ARIZONA 1.36% KENTUCKY 1.26% PURDUE 1.05% MICHIGAN 0.96% BYU 0.52% OLE MISS 0.34% ARKANSAS

Sweet Sixteen	Elite Eight	Final Four	Finals	Champion
*81.92% PURDUE *80.20% DUKE *78.77% AUBURN *75.36% MARYLAND *71.52% MICHIGAN STATE 70.46% IOWA STATE *68.80% FLORIDA 68.63% ST. JOHN'S *67.58% TEXAS TECH *67.12% ARIZONA *66.02% HOUSTON *64.83% TENNESSEE *64.35% ALABAMA 52.56% ILLINOIS 52.38% WISCONSIN *50.95% MICHIGAN 49.05% TEXAS A&M *47.62% BYU *47.44% KENTUCKY 35.65% SAINT MARY'S 35.17% UCLA 33.98% GONZAGA 32.88% OREGON 32.42% MISSOURI *31.37% ARKANSAS 31.20% UCONN *29.54% OLE MISS 28.48% NEW MEXICO 24.64% COLORADO STATE 21.23% CREIGHTON 19.80% BAYLOR 18.08% MCNEESE	60.92% DUKE 59.56% AUBURN 52.35% HOUSTON 44.72% FLORIDA 41.11% IOWA STATE 40.68% TEXAS TECH 39.82% TENNESSEE 39.33% ALABAMA 38.47% MICHIGAN STATE 35.18% ST. JOHN'S 35.17% MARYLAND 23.77% PURDUE 23.67% ILLINOIS 23.65% WISCONSIN 23.29% ARIZONA 22.54% GONZAGA 20.40% BYU 20.18% KENTUCKY 16.61% SAINT MARY'S 16.32% UCLA 15.84% MICHIGAN 14.87% TEXAS A&M 14.54% UCONN 13.81% MISSOURI 11.18% OLE MISS 10.32% ARKANSAS 9.73% CREIGHTON 9.23% NEW MEXICO 8.91% BAYLOR 6.88% OREGON 5.57% COLORADO STATE 1.34% MCNEESE	46.59% DUKE 40.46% AUBURN 37.73% HOUSTON 29.03% FLORIDA 19.96% TEXAS TECH 19.77% IOWA STATE 19.68% MARYLAND 18.00% TENNESSEE 17.66% MICHIGAN STATE 15.73% ALABAMA 15.71% ST. JOHN'S 13.06% ARIZONA 12.86% GONZAGA 10.85% PURDUE 8.45% ILLINOIS 7.37% WISCONSIN 6.75% KENTUCKY 6.70% UCONN 6.66% MICHIGAN 6.12% TEXAS A&M 5.97% BYU 5.15% UCLA 4.58% SAINT MARY'S 4.43% MISSOURI 4.04% BAYLOR 3.67% CREIGHTON 3.24% OLE MISS 2.81% ARKANSAS 2.67% OREGON 2.42% NEW MEXICO 1.68% COLORADO STATE 0.21% MCNEESE	30.57% DUKE 25.81% AUBURN 23.07% HOUSTON 16.61% FLORIDA 10.05% IOWA STATE 9.69% TEXAS TECH 9.48% MARYLAND 8.58% MICHIGAN STATE 8.33% TENNESSEE 7.12% ALABAMA 6.95% ST. JOHN'S 5.90% GONZAGA 5.76% ARIZONA 3.84% PURDUE 3.11% ILLINOIS 2.65% WISCONSIN 2.59% UCONN 2.51% MICHIGAN 2.33% KENTUCKY 2.25% TEXAS A&M 2.02% BYU 1.68% UCLA 1.46% SAINT MARY'S 1.41% MISSOURI 1.38% BAYLOR 1.23% CREIGHTON 1.00% OLE MISS 0.76% ARKANSAS 0.76% OREGON 0.67% NEW MEXICO 0.41% COLORADO STATE 0.02% MCNEESE	21.19% DUKE 15.43% HOUSTON 13.60% AUBURN 8.03% FLORIDA 4.31% TENNESSEE 4.02% IOWA STATE 3.86% TEXAS TECH 3.75% MARYLAND 3.49% ALABAMA 3.25% MICHIGAN STATE 3.03% GONZAGA 2.76% ARIZONA 2.48% ST. JOHN'S 1.55% PURDUE 1.30% ILLINOIS 1.04% WISCONSIN 0.92% KENTUCKY 0.79% UCONN 0.75% BYU 0.71% MICHIGAN 0.63% UCLA 0.62% TEXAS A&M 0.52% BAYLOR 0.51% SAINT MARY'S 0.35% MISSOURI 0.30% CREIGHTON 0.24% OREGON 0.22% OLE MISS 0.16% ARKANSAS 0.13% NEW MEXICO 0.07% COLORADO STATE 0.00% MCNEESE

Second Round	Sweet Sixteen	Elite Eight	Final Four	Finals	Champion
*99.59% AUBURN *99.53% DUKE *99.27% HOUSTON *97.48% FLORIDA *95.99% ALABAMA *95.31% ST. JOHN'S *95.12% TENNESSEE *93.10% WISCONSIN *93.07% MICHIGAN STATE *91.86% TEXAS TECH *89.42% ARIZONA *89.01% IOWA STATE *86.82% MARYLAND *86.56% KENTUCKY *84.74% PURDUE 78.16% CLEMSON *76.49% GONZAGA *71.41% TEXAS A&M *68.98% OREGON 68.08% MISSOURI *67.70% SAINT MARY'S 67.33% KANSAS *66.28% UCONN *65.68% MICHIGAN *64.78% ILLINOIS 64.10% MARQUETTE *62.19% UCLA *60.14% BAYLOR *57.48% BYU 55.72% NORTH CAROLINA 50.87% LOUISVILLE *50.51% COLORADO STATE 49.49% MEMPHIS *49.13% CREIGHTON *44.28% OLE MISS 42.52% VCU 39.86% MISSISSIPPI STATE 37.81% UTAH STATE *35.90% NEW MEXICO 35.22% XAVIER 34.32% UC SAN DIEGO 33.72% OKLAHOMA *32.67% ARKANSAS 32.30% VANDERBILT *31.92% DRAKE 31.02% LIBERTY 28.59% YALE 23.51% GEORGIA *21.84% MCNEESE 15.26% HIGH POINT 13.44% TROY 13.18% GRAND CANYON 10.99% LIPSCOMB 10.58% AKRON 8.14% UNC WILMINGTON 6.93% BRYANT 6.90% MONTANA 4.88% WOFFORD 4.69% OMAHA 4.01% ROBERT MORRIS 2.52% NORFOLK STATE 0.73% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.47% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.41% ALABAMA STATE	*81.84% DUKE *79.56% AUBURN *71.74% FLORIDA *70.39% HOUSTON *67.89% TENNESSEE *67.14% ALABAMA *65.52% TEXAS TECH *65.17% ARIZONA *64.56% MARYLAND 59.65% IOWA STATE *58.73% MICHIGAN STATE 54.28% ST. JOHN'S *52.21% PURDUE 51.87% WISCONSIN *46.18% KENTUCKY 38.97% TEXAS A&M 38.91% CLEMSON *37.38% MICHIGAN 36.72% ILLINOIS 34.23% KANSAS *29.05% BYU 28.85% MARQUETTE 26.42% GONZAGA 25.54% MISSOURI 25.33% OREGON 25.18% SAINT MARY'S 22.40% NORTH CAROLINA 21.92% UCLA 21.44% UCONN 18.45% VCU 15.87% COLORADO STATE *15.56% OLE MISS 15.34% MEMPHIS 14.98% XAVIER 14.22% UC SAN DIEGO 12.46% BAYLOR 11.52% NEW MEXICO *11.15% ARKANSAS 10.55% LOUISVILLE 9.88% CREIGHTON 9.50% UTAH STATE 9.43% YALE 7.21% DRAKE 7.21% VANDERBILT 6.62% LIBERTY 6.58% OKLAHOMA 5.68% MISSISSIPPI STATE 5.08% MCNEESE 4.23% GRAND CANYON 3.80% HIGH POINT 3.16% GEORGIA 2.87% AKRON 2.38% LIPSCOMB 2.12% TROY 1.73% UNC WILMINGTON 0.91% BRYANT 0.69% WOFFORD 0.63% MONTANA 0.47% ROBERT MORRIS 0.34% OMAHA 0.25% NORFOLK STATE 0.03% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.02% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.01% ALABAMA STATE	63.42% DUKE 63.06% AUBURN 55.41% HOUSTON 49.76% FLORIDA 44.25% TENNESSEE 43.03% ALABAMA 38.22% TEXAS TECH 34.20% IOWA STATE 32.47% MICHIGAN STATE 29.23% MARYLAND 28.08% ST. JOHN'S 23.33% WISCONSIN 22.42% ARIZONA 20.14% KENTUCKY 17.28% GONZAGA 17.27% KANSAS 16.68% ILLINOIS 15.65% PURDUE 13.61% MARQUETTE 12.36% BYU 12.35% SAINT MARY'S 11.50% TEXAS A&M 11.28% MICHIGAN 10.99% UCONN 10.63% MISSOURI 10.47% UCLA 9.82% CLEMSON 9.56% NORTH CAROLINA 6.57% VCU 6.05% BAYLOR 5.80% OLE MISS 5.29% LOUISVILLE 5.07% OREGON 4.88% CREIGHTON 4.73% XAVIER 3.89% NEW MEXICO 3.78% ARKANSAS 3.66% COLORADO STATE 3.48% MEMPHIS 3.41% UTAH STATE 2.63% UC SAN DIEGO 2.36% OKLAHOMA 2.28% VANDERBILT 2.22% MISSISSIPPI STATE 1.80% DRAKE 1.35% YALE 1.20% GEORGIA 0.65% LIBERTY 0.50% GRAND CANYON 0.40% MCNEESE 0.37% LIPSCOMB 0.25% HIGH POINT 0.24% TROY 0.21% UNC WILMINGTON 0.17% AKRON 0.09% BRYANT 0.08% WOFFORD 0.04% ROBERT MORRIS 0.04% MONTANA 0.02% NORFOLK STATE 0.02% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% ALABAMA STATE	48.00% DUKE 44.27% AUBURN 39.74% HOUSTON 32.12% FLORIDA 20.72% TENNESSEE 19.23% TEXAS TECH 17.79% ALABAMA 15.81% IOWA STATE 15.64% MARYLAND 14.37% MICHIGAN STATE 12.58% ST. JOHN'S 12.35% ARIZONA 9.83% GONZAGA 7.52% KANSAS 7.29% WISCONSIN 7.26% PURDUE 6.91% KENTUCKY 6.00% ILLINOIS 5.00% MARQUETTE 4.97% UCONN 4.89% TEXAS A&M 4.88% MICHIGAN 4.00% CLEMSON 3.66% MISSOURI 3.61% BYU 3.48% SAINT MARY'S 3.21% UCLA 3.14% NORTH CAROLINA 2.75% BAYLOR 2.06% LOUISVILLE 1.87% OREGON 1.86% CREIGHTON 1.64% OLE MISS 1.54% VCU 1.12% XAVIER 1.07% COLORADO STATE 1.05% ARKANSAS 1.00% MEMPHIS 0.98% NEW MEXICO 0.79% MISSISSIPPI STATE 0.75% UC SAN DIEGO 0.73% UTAH STATE 0.70% OKLAHOMA 0.36% VANDERBILT 0.36% GEORGIA 0.36% DRAKE 0.31% YALE 0.13% LIBERTY 0.08% GRAND CANYON 0.06% MCNEESE 0.04% LIPSCOMB 0.03% HIGH POINT 0.02% AKRON 0.02% UNC WILMINGTON 0.02% TROY 0.01% BRYANT 0.00% WOFFORD 0.00% NORFOLK STATE 0.00% ROBERT MORRIS 0.00% MONTANA 0.00% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% ALABAMA STATE	31.31% DUKE 28.65% AUBURN 23.92% HOUSTON 18.32% FLORIDA 9.69% TENNESSEE 9.35% TEXAS TECH 8.32% ALABAMA 7.87% IOWA STATE 7.21% MARYLAND 6.86% MICHIGAN STATE 5.43% ST. JOHN'S 5.39% ARIZONA 4.42% GONZAGA 3.15% KANSAS 2.62% WISCONSIN 2.56% PURDUE 2.37% KENTUCKY 2.16% ILLINOIS 1.99% MARQUETTE 1.90% UCONN 1.83% MICHIGAN 1.80% TEXAS A&M 1.22% BYU 1.21% CLEMSON 1.21% MISSOURI 1.14% SAINT MARY'S 1.11% NORTH CAROLINA 0.98% UCLA 0.95% BAYLOR 0.69% LOUISVILLE 0.61% CREIGHTON 0.51% OREGON 0.50% OLE MISS 0.42% VCU 0.28% ARKANSAS 0.27% XAVIER 0.26% NEW MEXICO 0.25% COLORADO STATE 0.23% MEMPHIS 0.21% MISSISSIPPI STATE 0.18% UC SAN DIEGO 0.17% OKLAHOMA 0.15% UTAH STATE 0.08% GEORGIA 0.07% VANDERBILT 0.07% DRAKE 0.06% YALE 0.02% LIBERTY 0.01% GRAND CANYON 0.01% MCNEESE 0.00% LIPSCOMB 0.00% HIGH POINT 0.00% AKRON 0.00% UNC WILMINGTON 0.00% TROY 0.00% BRYANT 0.00% WOFFORD 0.00% NORFOLK STATE 0.00% ROBERT MORRIS 0.00% MONTANA 0.00% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% ALABAMA STATE	21.31% DUKE 15.65% HOUSTON 15.43% AUBURN 8.92% FLORIDA 5.02% TENNESSEE 4.12% ALABAMA 3.78% TEXAS TECH 3.08% IOWA STATE 2.73% MARYLAND 2.55% MICHIGAN STATE 2.50% ARIZONA 2.21% GONZAGA 1.91% ST. JOHN'S 1.07% KANSAS 1.01% PURDUE 1.01% WISCONSIN 0.92% KENTUCKY 0.87% ILLINOIS 0.59% MARQUETTE 0.58% UCONN 0.51% MICHIGAN 0.49% TEXAS A&M 0.44% BYU 0.41% CLEMSON 0.40% SAINT MARY'S 0.35% BAYLOR 0.34% UCLA 0.31% MISSOURI 0.29% NORTH CAROLINA 0.17% LOUISVILLE 0.15% OREGON 0.15% CREIGHTON 0.13% VCU 0.11% OLE MISS 0.07% XAVIER 0.06% MISSISSIPPI STATE 0.06% ARKANSAS 0.05% NEW MEXICO 0.05% COLORADO STATE 0.04% MEMPHIS 0.04% UTAH STATE 0.03% OKLAHOMA 0.03% UC SAN DIEGO 0.02% GEORGIA 0.01% VANDERBILT 0.01% DRAKE 0.01% YALE 0.00% LIBERTY 0.00% MCNEESE 0.00% GRAND CANYON 0.00% LIPSCOMB 0.00% HIGH POINT 0.00% AKRON 0.00% TROY 0.00% UNC WILMINGTON 0.00% BRYANT 0.00% WOFFORD 0.00% ROBERT MORRIS 0.00% MONTANA 0.00% NORFOLK STATE 0.00% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% ALABAMA STATE

First Round	Second Round	Sweet Sixteen	Elite Eight	Final Four	Finals	Champion
*58.36% NORTH CAROLINA *57.64% ALABAMA STATE *50.98% MOUNT ST. MARY'S *50.61% XAVIER 49.39% TEXAS 49.02% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 42.36% ST. FRANCIS (PA) 41.64% SAN DIEGO STATE	*99.66% AUBURN *99.58% DUKE *99.27% HOUSTON *97.48% FLORIDA *95.96% ALABAMA *95.30% ST. JOHN'S *95.10% TENNESSEE *93.08% MICHIGAN STATE *93.07% WISCONSIN *91.87% TEXAS TECH *89.55% ARIZONA *88.99% IOWA STATE *86.78% MARYLAND *86.69% KENTUCKY *84.74% PURDUE 78.25% CLEMSON *76.39% GONZAGA *71.43% TEXAS A&M *69.24% OREGON 68.06% MISSOURI *67.55% SAINT MARY'S 67.27% KANSAS *66.20% UCONN *65.50% ILLINOIS *65.33% MICHIGAN 63.80% MARQUETTE *61.87% UCLA *60.13% BAYLOR *57.22% BYU *50.93% COLORADO STATE 50.80% LOUISVILLE *49.54% OLE MISS *49.20% CREIGHTON 49.07% MEMPHIS 42.78% VCU 39.87% MISSISSIPPI STATE 38.13% UTAH STATE *36.20% NEW MEXICO 34.67% UC SAN DIEGO 33.80% OKLAHOMA *32.73% ARKANSAS 32.45% VANDERBILT *31.94% DRAKE 31.49% NORTH CAROLINA 30.76% LIBERTY 28.57% YALE 23.61% GEORGIA *21.75% MCNEESE 18.96% SAN DIEGO STATE 17.60% XAVIER 16.90% TEXAS 15.26% HIGH POINT 13.31% TROY 13.22% GRAND CANYON 11.01% LIPSCOMB 10.45% AKRON 8.13% UNC WILMINGTON 6.93% MONTANA 6.92% BRYANT 4.90% WOFFORD 4.70% OMAHA 4.04% ROBERT MORRIS 2.52% NORFOLK STATE 0.73% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.24% ALABAMA STATE 0.22% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.20% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 0.10% ST. FRANCIS (PA)	*81.83% DUKE *79.55% AUBURN *71.72% FLORIDA *70.47% HOUSTON *67.86% TENNESSEE *67.12% ALABAMA *65.57% TEXAS TECH *65.23% ARIZONA *64.44% MARYLAND 61.83% IOWA STATE *58.70% MICHIGAN STATE 54.30% ST. JOHN'S *52.17% PURDUE 51.71% WISCONSIN *46.38% KENTUCKY 38.98% CLEMSON 38.98% TEXAS A&M *37.15% MICHIGAN 37.11% ILLINOIS 34.18% KANSAS *28.96% BYU 28.70% MARQUETTE 26.33% GONZAGA 25.49% MISSOURI 25.44% OREGON 25.12% SAINT MARY'S 21.78% UCLA 21.41% UCONN 18.70% VCU *17.42% OLE MISS 16.14% COLORADO STATE 15.18% MEMPHIS 14.47% UC SAN DIEGO 12.46% BAYLOR 12.17% NORTH CAROLINA 11.70% NEW MEXICO *11.18% ARKANSAS 10.52% LOUISVILLE 9.91% CREIGHTON 9.66% UTAH STATE 9.41% YALE 7.40% XAVIER 7.29% VANDERBILT 7.21% DRAKE 7.01% TEXAS 6.61% OKLAHOMA 6.51% LIBERTY 5.96% SAN DIEGO STATE 5.68% MISSISSIPPI STATE 5.05% MCNEESE 4.24% GRAND CANYON 3.79% HIGH POINT 3.18% GEORGIA 2.81% AKRON 2.62% LIPSCOMB 2.10% TROY 1.72% UNC WILMINGTON 0.90% BRYANT 0.69% WOFFORD 0.63% MONTANA 0.48% ROBERT MORRIS 0.34% OMAHA 0.25% NORFOLK STATE 0.03% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.01% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.01% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 0.01% ALABAMA STATE 0.00% ST. FRANCIS (PA)	63.35% DUKE 63.01% AUBURN 55.47% HOUSTON 49.75% FLORIDA 44.26% TENNESSEE 42.90% ALABAMA 38.27% TEXAS TECH 35.46% IOWA STATE 32.79% MICHIGAN STATE 29.19% MARYLAND 28.07% ST. JOHN'S 23.33% WISCONSIN 22.48% ARIZONA 20.22% KENTUCKY 17.23% KANSAS 17.19% GONZAGA 16.85% ILLINOIS 15.63% PURDUE 13.72% MARQUETTE 12.38% BYU 12.27% SAINT MARY'S 11.54% TEXAS A&M 11.22% MICHIGAN 10.97% UCONN 10.61% MISSOURI 10.40% UCLA 9.85% CLEMSON 6.73% VCU 6.50% OLE MISS 6.05% BAYLOR 5.27% LOUISVILLE 5.12% OREGON 4.99% NORTH CAROLINA 4.89% CREIGHTON 4.06% NEW MEXICO 3.79% ARKANSAS 3.76% COLORADO STATE 3.50% UTAH STATE 3.43% MEMPHIS 2.72% UC SAN DIEGO 2.37% OKLAHOMA 2.31% XAVIER 2.30% VANDERBILT 2.21% MISSISSIPPI STATE 2.15% TEXAS 1.98% SAN DIEGO STATE 1.80% DRAKE 1.35% YALE 1.21% GEORGIA 0.63% LIBERTY 0.50% GRAND CANYON 0.41% LIPSCOMB 0.40% MCNEESE 0.25% HIGH POINT 0.23% TROY 0.21% UNC WILMINGTON 0.17% AKRON 0.09% BRYANT 0.08% WOFFORD 0.04% ROBERT MORRIS 0.04% MONTANA 0.02% NORFOLK STATE 0.02% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 0.00% ALABAMA STATE 0.00% ST. FRANCIS (PA)	47.96% DUKE 44.21% AUBURN 39.78% HOUSTON 32.11% FLORIDA 20.74% TENNESSEE 19.28% TEXAS TECH 17.71% ALABAMA 16.41% IOWA STATE 15.62% MARYLAND 14.53% MICHIGAN STATE 12.58% ST. JOHN'S 12.40% ARIZONA 9.77% GONZAGA 7.50% KANSAS 7.30% WISCONSIN 7.25% PURDUE 6.94% KENTUCKY 6.06% ILLINOIS 5.04% MARQUETTE 4.96% UCONN 4.92% TEXAS A&M 4.87% MICHIGAN 4.02% CLEMSON 3.65% MISSOURI 3.62% BYU 3.45% SAINT MARY'S 3.19% UCLA 2.75% BAYLOR 2.06% LOUISVILLE 1.90% OREGON 1.87% CREIGHTON 1.84% OLE MISS 1.60% VCU 1.57% NORTH CAROLINA 1.11% COLORADO STATE 1.05% ARKANSAS 1.03% NEW MEXICO 0.99% MEMPHIS 0.79% MISSISSIPPI STATE 0.79% UC SAN DIEGO 0.75% UTAH STATE 0.71% OKLAHOMA 0.54% XAVIER 0.49% SAN DIEGO STATE 0.49% TEXAS 0.37% VANDERBILT 0.36% GEORGIA 0.36% DRAKE 0.31% YALE 0.13% LIBERTY 0.08% GRAND CANYON 0.06% MCNEESE 0.05% LIPSCOMB 0.03% HIGH POINT 0.02% AKRON 0.02% UNC WILMINGTON 0.02% TROY 0.01% BRYANT 0.00% WOFFORD 0.00% NORFOLK STATE 0.00% ROBERT MORRIS 0.00% MONTANA 0.00% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 0.00% ALABAMA STATE 0.00% ST. FRANCIS (PA)	31.25% DUKE 28.59% AUBURN 23.98% HOUSTON 18.31% FLORIDA 9.72% TENNESSEE 9.39% TEXAS TECH 8.26% ALABAMA 8.18% IOWA STATE 7.20% MARYLAND 6.93% MICHIGAN STATE 5.44% ST. JOHN'S 5.41% ARIZONA 4.40% GONZAGA 3.14% KANSAS 2.63% WISCONSIN 2.55% PURDUE 2.39% KENTUCKY 2.18% ILLINOIS 2.00% MARQUETTE 1.90% UCONN 1.83% MICHIGAN 1.81% TEXAS A&M 1.22% BYU 1.22% CLEMSON 1.20% MISSOURI 1.12% SAINT MARY'S 0.98% UCLA 0.95% BAYLOR 0.69% LOUISVILLE 0.61% CREIGHTON 0.56% OLE MISS 0.53% NORTH CAROLINA 0.51% OREGON 0.44% VCU 0.28% NEW MEXICO 0.28% ARKANSAS 0.27% COLORADO STATE 0.23% MEMPHIS 0.21% MISSISSIPPI STATE 0.19% UC SAN DIEGO 0.17% OKLAHOMA 0.16% UTAH STATE 0.13% SAN DIEGO STATE 0.13% XAVIER 0.11% TEXAS 0.08% GEORGIA 0.07% VANDERBILT 0.07% DRAKE 0.06% YALE 0.02% LIBERTY 0.01% GRAND CANYON 0.01% MCNEESE 0.01% LIPSCOMB 0.00% HIGH POINT 0.00% AKRON 0.00% UNC WILMINGTON 0.00% TROY 0.00% BRYANT 0.00% WOFFORD 0.00% NORFOLK STATE 0.00% ROBERT MORRIS 0.00% MONTANA 0.00% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 0.00% ALABAMA STATE 0.00% ST. FRANCIS (PA)	21.25% DUKE 15.69% HOUSTON 15.38% AUBURN 8.92% FLORIDA 5.05% TENNESSEE 4.08% ALABAMA 3.79% TEXAS TECH 3.20% IOWA STATE 2.73% MARYLAND 2.58% MICHIGAN STATE 2.51% ARIZONA 2.20% GONZAGA 1.91% ST. JOHN'S 1.07% KANSAS 1.01% PURDUE 1.01% WISCONSIN 0.92% KENTUCKY 0.88% ILLINOIS 0.60% MARQUETTE 0.58% UCONN 0.51% MICHIGAN 0.50% TEXAS A&M 0.44% BYU 0.42% CLEMSON 0.39% SAINT MARY'S 0.35% BAYLOR 0.34% UCLA 0.31% MISSOURI 0.17% LOUISVILLE 0.15% OREGON 0.15% CREIGHTON 0.13% NORTH CAROLINA 0.13% VCU 0.12% OLE MISS 0.06% MISSISSIPPI STATE 0.06% ARKANSAS 0.05% NEW MEXICO 0.05% COLORADO STATE 0.04% MEMPHIS 0.04% UTAH STATE 0.03% XAVIER 0.03% UC SAN DIEGO 0.03% OKLAHOMA 0.03% TEXAS 0.03% SAN DIEGO STATE 0.02% GEORGIA 0.01% VANDERBILT 0.01% DRAKE 0.01% YALE 0.00% LIBERTY 0.00% GRAND CANYON 0.00% MCNEESE 0.00% LIPSCOMB 0.00% HIGH POINT 0.00% AKRON 0.00% TROY 0.00% UNC WILMINGTON 0.00% BRYANT 0.00% WOFFORD 0.00% ROBERT MORRIS 0.00% MONTANA 0.00% NORFOLK STATE 0.00% OMAHA 0.00% SIU EDWARDSVILLE 0.00% MOUNT ST. MARY'S 0.00% AMERICAN UNIVERSITY 0.00% ALABAMA STATE 0.00% ST. FRANCIS (PA)

Selection Notes

All of the computer rankings came close to correctly matching the selections. As with previous seasons, my pseudopoll led the pack, selecting 35 of 37 at-large teams correctly. The standard and predictive rankings were fairly close as well, picking 35 of 37 correctly. The computer rankings and NCAA NET rankings are in general agreement that San Diego State should not have been selected; however who should replace them is unclear as West Virginia has the better record and quality wins as judged by the pseudopoll and standard rankings, while Ohio State looked the most impressive as judged by the predictive and NET rankings.

When it came to seedings, the pseudopoll did the the best overall, with 48 of 68 teams predicted at the correct seed and 65 within one. The standard rankings were close beyind, with 39 correct seeds and 64 within one. The predictive and NCAA NET rankings were the worst at predicting seeds, with 30 each. A few teams may have some gripes about their seeding: Louisville probably fared the worst, as it would have been a 6-seed at worst per any of the rankings.

Prediction Notes

Heading into the tournament, an interesting metric is the relative parity at the top. Top does not mean the #1 seeds, but rather the teams with the best chances of winning. Here is a comparison of the number of teams as a function of likelihood of winning, vs. season.

In comparison with previous seasons, this season has is tied with the fewest teams with a 15% chance or greater of winning it all. While Houston (22.7%) is the clear favorite relative to any other team, the field has about a nearly 80% chance.

+ 2020-2021 tournament predictions less precise due to COVID impacts

Note: if you use any of the facts, equations, or mathematical principles introduced here, you must give me credit.