Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SKY      24  9 2834 2660  0.020 15.790    1  0.465    1  0.481    3  0.363    1 0.5518    4  3.659    2  0.486    4  0.239
ACES     23 10 2965 2761  0.024 15.763    2  0.422    2  0.426    2  0.388    2 0.5449    1  3.753    1  0.935    9 -0.160
SUN      22 10 2717 2482  0.017 15.060    3  0.396    3  0.389    1  0.502    3 0.5416    8  3.616    3  0.436    3  0.567
MYSTICS  20 13 2635 2499  0.068 16.548    4  0.262    4  0.256    4  0.350    4 0.5290   12  3.521    7 -0.114    1  0.814
STORM    20 12 2582 2455 -0.015 15.048    5  0.236    5  0.234    5  0.280    5 0.5250   11  3.562    6 -0.013    2  0.574
WINGS    16 16 2637 2637  0.037 16.221    6  0.029    6  0.037    6  0.022    6 0.5020    5  3.653    4  0.116    7 -0.072
DREAM    14 18 2512 2589 -0.032 15.818    7 -0.149    7 -0.141   10 -0.220    7 0.4834   10  3.580   11 -0.439    5 -0.001
MERCURY  14 19 2690 2786 -0.016 16.557    8 -0.164    8 -0.153    9 -0.210    8 0.4820    6  3.649    8 -0.131   10 -0.289
LIBERTY  13 19 2531 2640  0.018 16.556    9 -0.170    9 -0.155    8 -0.167    9 0.4807    9  3.596    9 -0.318    6 -0.017
LYNX     12 20 2649 2687  0.010 16.067   10 -0.259   11 -0.270    7 -0.022   10 0.4721    3  3.661    5  0.111    8 -0.154
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SPARKS   12 20 2553 2734 -0.034 16.070   11 -0.281   10 -0.259   11 -0.461   11 0.4701    7  3.648   10 -0.389   11 -0.532
FEVER     5 29 2654 3029 -0.015 17.819   12 -0.787   12 -0.792   12 -0.782   12 0.4190    2  3.670   12 -0.612   12 -0.951

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ACES     23 10 2965 2761  0.024 15.763    2  0.422    2  0.426    2  0.388    2 0.5449    1  3.753    1  0.935    9 -0.160
STORM    20 12 2582 2455 -0.015 15.048    5  0.236    5  0.234    5  0.280    5 0.5250   11  3.562    6 -0.013    2  0.574
WINGS    16 16 2637 2637  0.037 16.221    6  0.029    6  0.037    6  0.022    6 0.5020    5  3.653    4  0.116    7 -0.072
MERCURY  14 19 2690 2786 -0.016 16.557    8 -0.164    8 -0.153    9 -0.210    8 0.4820    6  3.649    8 -0.131   10 -0.289
LYNX     12 20 2649 2687  0.010 16.067   10 -0.259   11 -0.270    7 -0.022   10 0.4721    3  3.661    5  0.111    8 -0.154
SPARKS   12 20 2553 2734 -0.034 16.070   11 -0.281   10 -0.259   11 -0.461   11 0.4701    7  3.648   10 -0.389   11 -0.532

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SKY      24  9 2834 2660  0.020 15.790    1  0.465    1  0.481    3  0.363    1 0.5518    4  3.659    2  0.486    4  0.239
SUN      22 10 2717 2482  0.017 15.060    3  0.396    3  0.389    1  0.502    3 0.5416    8  3.616    3  0.436    3  0.567
MYSTICS  20 13 2635 2499  0.068 16.548    4  0.262    4  0.256    4  0.350    4 0.5290   12  3.521    7 -0.114    1  0.814
DREAM    14 18 2512 2589 -0.032 15.818    7 -0.149    7 -0.141   10 -0.220    7 0.4834   10  3.580   11 -0.439    5 -0.001
LIBERTY  13 19 2531 2640  0.018 16.556    9 -0.170    9 -0.155    8 -0.167    9 0.4807    9  3.596    9 -0.318    6 -0.017
FEVER     5 29 2654 3029 -0.015 17.819   12 -0.787   12 -0.792   12 -0.782   12 0.4190    2  3.670   12 -0.612   12 -0.951

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
EASTERN CONFERENCE 98 98 0.500    1  0.023
WESTERN CONFERENCE 97 97 0.500    2 -0.004

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.206 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.018 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Aug  7 05:30:10 2022
games through: Sat Aug  6 2022

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