Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHOENIX     30 13 3887 3703  0.015 21.464    1  0.300    1  0.278    1  0.240    1 0.5469    1  3.861    1  1.575   13 -1.096
DETROIT     30 15 3552 3425  0.023 22.768    2  0.264    2  0.247    2  0.102    2 0.5438    5  3.582    4  0.172    6  0.032
INDIANA     24 16 2942 2833  0.019 20.171    3  0.161    3  0.139    3  0.094    3 0.5267   13  3.433   12 -0.444    1  0.632
SAN ANTONIO 22 17 2940 2909  0.001 19.583    4  0.095    4  0.078    6  0.012    4 0.5139   10  3.498    8 -0.265    4  0.290
SACRAMENTO  20 17 2752 2711 -0.023 18.196    5  0.051    5  0.029    7 -0.002    6 0.5061   11  3.462   11 -0.426    3  0.423
CONNECTICUT 19 18 2915 2852  0.017 18.722    6  0.036    6  0.011    4  0.090    5 0.5061    4  3.605    3  0.257    8 -0.077
WASHINGTON  16 18 2585 2639  0.000 17.301    7 -0.032    7 -0.046    8 -0.066    8 0.4941    6  3.578    6 -0.011    9 -0.120
NEW YORK    17 20 2629 2699  0.026 19.203    8 -0.034    8 -0.052    9 -0.071    7 0.4952   12  3.442   13 -0.575    2  0.433
SEATTLE     17 19 2907 2843 -0.034 17.498    9 -0.042    9 -0.070    5  0.039    9 0.4891    2  3.635    2  0.336   11 -0.257
CHICAGO     14 20 2517 2602  0.003 17.410   10 -0.103   10 -0.120   10 -0.107   10 0.4810    9  3.509   10 -0.342    5  0.128
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HOUSTON     13 21 2510 2628 -0.024 17.159   11 -0.156   11 -0.171   12 -0.123   11 0.4689    8  3.536    7 -0.246    7  0.001
MINNESOTA   10 24 2636 2752 -0.023 17.154   12 -0.264   12 -0.286   11 -0.119   12 0.4484    3  3.621    5  0.119   12 -0.357
LOS ANGELES 10 24 2524 2700 -0.035 17.148   13 -0.276   13 -0.289   13 -0.275   13 0.4464    7  3.551    9 -0.334   10 -0.215

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHOENIX     30 13 3887 3703  0.015 21.464    1  0.300    1  0.278    1  0.240    1 0.5469    1  3.861    1  1.575   13 -1.096
SAN ANTONIO 22 17 2940 2909  0.001 19.583    4  0.095    4  0.078    6  0.012    4 0.5139   10  3.498    8 -0.265    4  0.290
SACRAMENTO  20 17 2752 2711 -0.023 18.196    5  0.051    5  0.029    7 -0.002    6 0.5061   11  3.462   11 -0.426    3  0.423
SEATTLE     17 19 2907 2843 -0.034 17.498    9 -0.042    9 -0.070    5  0.039    9 0.4891    2  3.635    2  0.336   11 -0.257
HOUSTON     13 21 2510 2628 -0.024 17.159   11 -0.156   11 -0.171   12 -0.123   11 0.4689    8  3.536    7 -0.246    7  0.001
MINNESOTA   10 24 2636 2752 -0.023 17.154   12 -0.264   12 -0.286   11 -0.119   12 0.4484    3  3.621    5  0.119   12 -0.357
LOS ANGELES 10 24 2524 2700 -0.035 17.148   13 -0.276   13 -0.289   13 -0.275   13 0.4464    7  3.551    9 -0.334   10 -0.215

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DETROIT     30 15 3552 3425  0.023 22.768    2  0.264    2  0.247    2  0.102    2 0.5438    5  3.582    4  0.172    6  0.032
INDIANA     24 16 2942 2833  0.019 20.171    3  0.161    3  0.139    3  0.094    3 0.5267   13  3.433   12 -0.444    1  0.632
CONNECTICUT 19 18 2915 2852  0.017 18.722    6  0.036    6  0.011    4  0.090    5 0.5061    4  3.605    3  0.257    8 -0.077
WASHINGTON  16 18 2585 2639  0.000 17.301    7 -0.032    7 -0.046    8 -0.066    8 0.4941    6  3.578    6 -0.011    9 -0.120
NEW YORK    17 20 2629 2699  0.026 19.203    8 -0.034    8 -0.052    9 -0.071    7 0.4952   12  3.442   13 -0.575    2  0.433
CHICAGO     14 20 2517 2602  0.003 17.410   10 -0.103   10 -0.120   10 -0.107   10 0.4810    9  3.509   10 -0.342    5  0.128

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
EASTERN CONFERENCE 120 107 0.529    1  0.030
WESTERN CONFERENCE 122 135 0.475    2 -0.066

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.234 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.019 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Dec 28 14:02:55 2024
games through: Sun Sep 16 2007

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