Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MINNESOTA   33  8 3371 2945  0.040 20.118    1  0.745    1  0.709    1  0.838    1 0.5729    5  3.587    1  1.009    1  0.667
LOS ANGELES 25 12 3021 2786  0.048 18.645    2  0.418    2  0.385    2  0.417    2 0.5436    2  3.612    2  0.692    4  0.142
CHICAGO     24 12 2830 2666 -0.075 16.900    3  0.311    3  0.284    3  0.183    3 0.5302    3  3.603    4  0.420    6 -0.054
PHOENIX     21 18 3074 3120  0.108 21.722    4  0.199    4  0.184    5  0.013    4 0.5189    1  3.652    3  0.464   12 -0.437
ATLANTA     21 21 3163 3142 -0.021 21.209    5 -0.017    6 -0.033    6 -0.044    6 0.4977    6  3.557    6 -0.000    7 -0.088
SEATTLE     17 19 2529 2629  0.029 19.433    6 -0.022    5 -0.028    8 -0.100    5 0.4981   11  3.439   10 -0.536    3  0.335
WASHINGTON  18 19 2754 2762 -0.046 18.494    7 -0.049    7 -0.063    7 -0.048    7 0.4928    9  3.526    7 -0.132    5  0.037
INDIANA     18 20 2704 2676 -0.078 18.414    8 -0.114    8 -0.135    4  0.039    8 0.4879   12  3.421    9 -0.468    2  0.547
SAN ANTONIO 12 22 2452 2648 -0.006 18.368    9 -0.298    9 -0.304   10 -0.344    9 0.4700    7  3.538    8 -0.381    9 -0.308
TULSA       11 23 2617 2693  0.020 18.129   10 -0.320   10 -0.360    9 -0.108   10 0.4641    4  3.589    5  0.070    8 -0.285
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NEW YORK    11 23 2367 2617 -0.075 17.696   11 -0.392   11 -0.414   12 -0.599   11 0.4553   10  3.495   12 -0.814   10 -0.385
CONNECTICUT 10 24 2415 2613 -0.081 17.426   12 -0.461   12 -0.508   11 -0.483   12 0.4478    8  3.529   11 -0.555   11 -0.410
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MINNESOTA   33  8 3371 2945  0.040 20.118    1  0.745    1  0.709    1  0.838    1 0.5729    5  3.587    1  1.009    1  0.667
LOS ANGELES 25 12 3021 2786  0.048 18.645    2  0.418    2  0.385    2  0.417    2 0.5436    2  3.612    2  0.692    4  0.142
PHOENIX     21 18 3074 3120  0.108 21.722    4  0.199    4  0.184    5  0.013    4 0.5189    1  3.652    3  0.464   12 -0.437
SEATTLE     17 19 2529 2629  0.029 19.433    6 -0.022    5 -0.028    8 -0.100    5 0.4981   11  3.439   10 -0.536    3  0.335
SAN ANTONIO 12 22 2452 2648 -0.006 18.368    9 -0.298    9 -0.304   10 -0.344    9 0.4700    7  3.538    8 -0.381    9 -0.308
TULSA       11 23 2617 2693  0.020 18.129   10 -0.320   10 -0.360    9 -0.108   10 0.4641    4  3.589    5  0.070    8 -0.285

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHICAGO     24 12 2830 2666 -0.075 16.900    3  0.311    3  0.284    3  0.183    3 0.5302    3  3.603    4  0.420    6 -0.054
ATLANTA     21 21 3163 3142 -0.021 21.209    5 -0.017    6 -0.033    6 -0.044    6 0.4977    6  3.557    6 -0.000    7 -0.088
WASHINGTON  18 19 2754 2762 -0.046 18.494    7 -0.049    7 -0.063    7 -0.048    7 0.4928    9  3.526    7 -0.132    5  0.037
INDIANA     18 20 2704 2676 -0.078 18.414    8 -0.114    8 -0.135    4  0.039    8 0.4879   12  3.421    9 -0.468    2  0.547
NEW YORK    11 23 2367 2617 -0.075 17.696   11 -0.392   11 -0.414   12 -0.599   11 0.4553   10  3.495   12 -0.814   10 -0.385
CONNECTICUT 10 24 2415 2613 -0.081 17.426   12 -0.461   12 -0.508   11 -0.483   12 0.4478    8  3.529   11 -0.555   11 -0.410

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 119 102 0.538    1  0.109
EASTERN CONFERENCE 102 119 0.462    2 -0.168

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.312 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.026 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Dec 28 14:04:40 2024
games through: Thu Oct 10 2013

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