Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arizona State   11  1 488 216  4.467    1  5.570    1  5.388    5  5.105    4 0.6581    3 0.6702    3 18.935    3  5.400    6  4.809
Florida         12  1 611 221  4.456    2  5.521    2  5.326    2  5.401    1 0.6895    1 0.7274    2 18.961    1  6.136    9  4.667
Ohio State      11  1 455 131  4.550    3  5.511    3  5.313    3  5.358    2 0.6877    4 0.6697    1 18.979    4  5.166    1  5.550
Florida State   11  1 446 174  4.439    4  5.504    4  5.304    4  5.131    3 0.6853    2 0.6960    4 18.883    5  5.165    3  5.098
Nebraska        11  2 553 174  4.505    5  5.299    5  5.057    1  5.470    5 0.6551    5 0.6686    5 18.691    2  5.468    2  5.472
Penn State      11  2 400 203  4.278    6  5.265    6  5.018    7  4.828    7 0.6403   13 0.6313    6 18.431   13  4.727    5  4.929
Colorado        10  2 352 220  4.262    7  5.217    7  4.961    8  4.774    6 0.6510    7 0.6519    7 18.318   12  4.744    7  4.805
Washington       9  3 391 254  4.339    8  5.040    9  4.773   12  4.612   10 0.6272   11 0.6388    8 18.055    9  4.869   19  4.355
Brigham Young   14  1 590 277  3.528    9  5.037    8  4.825   19  4.329   12 0.6262    6 0.6672    9 17.974   15  4.705   27  3.953
Virginia Tech   10  2 370 209  3.917   10  4.947   10  4.711   14  4.526   13 0.6208   12 0.6327   11 17.846   17  4.571   16  4.481
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Carolina  10  2 357 123  4.079   11  4.946   11  4.709    9  4.666    8 0.6376   10 0.6416   10 17.968   25  4.251    4  5.081
Iowa             9  3 339 243  4.102   12  4.774   12  4.517   13  4.585   16 0.6124   25 0.5870   13 17.609   14  4.708   17  4.463
Kansas State     9  3 340 191  4.030   13  4.767   13  4.509   18  4.332   18 0.6082   14 0.6261   15 17.594   35  4.024   12  4.640
Tennessee       10  2 437 185  3.881   14  4.753   14  4.492   10  4.615    9 0.6330   15 0.6187   12 17.668   10  4.836   18  4.394
Michigan         8  4 277 184  4.189   15  4.740   15  4.478   16  4.425   17 0.6092   19 0.5938   16 17.535   31  4.073    8  4.777
Alabama         10  3 316 195  3.876   16  4.723   16  4.455   17  4.363   11 0.6270    9 0.6420   17 17.491   34  4.061   10  4.665
LSU             10  2 335 210  3.496   17  4.645   17  4.420   33  3.912   15 0.6146   17 0.6070   19 17.329   46  3.860   25  3.964
Notre Dame       8  3 407 181  4.207   18  4.640   18  4.416    6  4.864   20 0.6022   28 0.5754   14 17.606    7  5.079   11  4.649
Miami (Fla)      9  3 368 210  3.864   19  4.613   19  4.386   21  4.232   22 0.6010   22 0.5913   18 17.378   22  4.288   22  4.177
Northwestern     9  3 336 278  3.814   20  4.568   20  4.337   29  3.970   19 0.6026   20 0.5929   22 17.194   19  4.380   43  3.561
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas            8  5 447 305  4.183   21  4.520   21  4.288   15  4.510   28 0.5617   32 0.5514   21 17.260    6  5.086   28  3.934
Syracuse         9  3 437 208  3.857   22  4.497   22  4.262   11  4.614   21 0.6012   23 0.5906   20 17.315    8  4.914   20  4.313
Southern Miss    8  3 287 247  3.693   23  4.457   23  4.215   36  3.875   14 0.6169    8 0.6500   23 17.038   47  3.831   29  3.920
Army            10  2 379 224  3.250   24  4.446   24  4.202   37  3.787   37 0.5481   18 0.6040   24 16.975   33  4.069   44  3.506
East Carolina    8  3 316 214  3.599   25  4.379   25  4.124   35  3.885   23 0.5852   16 0.6166   25 16.928   32  4.073   37  3.697
Wyoming         10  2 464 284  3.167   26  4.360   26  4.097   38  3.779   30 0.5577   21 0.5927   26 16.858   23  4.283   54  3.276
Texas Tech       7  5 323 232  3.929   27  4.261   28  3.985   26  4.000   31 0.5537   33 0.5489   28 16.785   43  3.890   24  4.110
USC              6  6 325 267  4.179   28  4.258   29  3.983   20  4.257   38 0.5479   43 0.5316   27 16.820   37  4.005   15  4.509
Stanford         7  5 247 229  3.885   29  4.234   27  3.986   24  4.081   29 0.5578   34 0.5481   32 16.638   53  3.646   14  4.517
Navy             9  3 392 309  3.315   30  4.220   30  3.970   41  3.680   25 0.5701   30 0.5619   34 16.580   20  4.356   67  3.004
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
West Virginia    8  4 271 156  3.667   31  4.210   31  3.959   27  3.993   27 0.5631   36 0.5474   29 16.753   64  3.403   13  4.583
UCLA             5  6 330 318  4.185   32  4.166   32  3.912   25  4.025   40 0.5434   38 0.5422   33 16.602   18  4.413   39  3.638
Wisconsin        8  5 377 243  3.797   33  4.158   33  3.902   23  4.122   36 0.5506   41 0.5327   31 16.694   29  4.127   23  4.118
Virginia         7  5 341 203  3.910   34  4.137   34  3.880   22  4.178   32 0.5529   37 0.5441   30 16.713   30  4.088   21  4.268
Rice             7  4 296 312  3.456   35  4.133   35  3.874   47  3.512   26 0.5632   24 0.5890   38 16.405   41  3.934   61  3.089
Auburn           8  4 398 277  3.578   36  4.128   36  3.869   34  3.886   24 0.5705   26 0.5804   35 16.566   28  4.166   41  3.607
Oregon           6  5 378 356  3.785   37  4.081   37  3.818   31  3.924   41 0.5354   42 0.5321   37 16.423   11  4.826   65  3.023
Michigan State   6  6 358 302  3.990   38  4.034   38  3.761   28  3.981   43 0.5276   59 0.4965   36 16.436   16  4.580   51  3.382
Utah             8  4 313 309  3.255   39  4.011   39  3.733   66  3.181   33 0.5529   27 0.5757   41 16.213   60  3.469   70  2.893
Houston          7  5 361 341  3.468   40  3.981   40  3.702   45  3.549   39 0.5451   35 0.5477   43 16.194   36  4.007   60  3.091
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
California       6  6 382 407  3.668   41  3.963   42  3.683   54  3.458   45 0.5192   49 0.5161   44 16.183   45  3.885   63  3.031
South Carolina   6  5 245 238  3.617   42  3.943   43  3.662   39  3.732   35 0.5513   40 0.5390   40 16.221   49  3.735   34  3.729
Clemson          7  5 245 241  3.445   43  3.928   41  3.688   43  3.647   34 0.5514   46 0.5241   42 16.195   65  3.384   30  3.910
Arizona          5  6 310 280  3.955   44  3.875   44  3.631   32  3.921   51 0.5060   72 0.4650   39 16.260   44  3.888   26  3.954
San Diego State  8  3 428 303  3.067   45  3.845   45  3.596   48  3.505   44 0.5270   29 0.5679   46 16.101   24  4.257   77  2.752
Washington St    5  6 314 317  3.763   46  3.812   46  3.562   42  3.669   53 0.5039   67 0.4757   48 16.073   26  4.185   59  3.152
Texas A&M        6  6 351 257  3.734   47  3.801   47  3.549   30  3.935   48 0.5103   50 0.5099   45 16.142   38  3.982   31  3.888
Missouri         5  6 278 376  3.617   48  3.800   48  3.549   57  3.260   46 0.5168   61 0.4908   51 15.895   50  3.678   72  2.842
Air Force        6  5 360 231  3.451   49  3.759   49  3.502   40  3.681   47 0.5103   39 0.5395   47 16.084   52  3.647   35  3.715
Georgia          5  6 230 257  3.660   50  3.752   50  3.495   49  3.498   42 0.5291   52 0.5069   49 15.945   68  3.241   32  3.755
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Colorado State   7  5 380 336  3.262   51  3.745   51  3.486   52  3.463   49 0.5077   44 0.5297   50 15.921   42  3.920   66  3.005
Minnesota        4  7 236 340  3.710   52  3.693   52  3.428   64  3.227   60 0.4978   68 0.4740   53 15.765   57  3.548   68  2.906
Nevada           9  3 515 278  2.731   53  3.663   54  3.388   46  3.536   63 0.4883   31 0.5516   52 15.837   27  4.169   69  2.903
Purdue           3  8 194 324  3.994   54  3.661   53  3.391   51  3.465   65 0.4870   81 0.4380   55 15.733   59  3.475   46  3.454
Louisville       5  6 182 205  3.432   55  3.636   55  3.362   65  3.186   55 0.5026   63 0.4896   56 15.697   85  2.742   40  3.630
Kansas           4  7 300 358  3.756   56  3.631   56  3.358   55  3.361   61 0.4920   58 0.4972   54 15.747   39  3.958   76  2.764
Georgia Tech     5  6 220 236  3.423   57  3.606   57  3.330   60  3.245   52 0.5058   64 0.4851   57 15.665   75  3.054   48  3.436
Ball State       8  4 296 210  2.797   58  3.569   58  3.287   61  3.245   73 0.4678   45 0.5290   58 15.629   81  2.850   38  3.640
Boston College   5  7 264 364  3.372   59  3.544   59  3.262   72  3.077   59 0.4987   66 0.4778   60 15.493   61  3.463   78  2.691
Cincinnati       6  5 228 212  3.106   60  3.534   60  3.259   58  3.257   50 0.5072   55 0.5023   59 15.541   77  3.036   45  3.479
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kentucky         4  7 138 322  3.481   61  3.495   61  3.259   76  2.967   54 0.5035   73 0.4630   65 15.345   87  2.725   57  3.209
Oklahoma State   5  6 243 327  3.286   62  3.490   62  3.252   71  3.093   71 0.4714   89 0.4156   62 15.471   69  3.153   62  3.033
Memphis          4  7 141 219  3.465   63  3.461   63  3.221   70  3.109   62 0.4916   69 0.4727   63 15.440   94  2.472   33  3.746
Mississippi St   5  6 249 229  3.282   64  3.453   64  3.155   50  3.481   56 0.5020   65 0.4844   61 15.475   56  3.557   49  3.404
SW Louisiana     5  6 304 404  3.069   65  3.431   65  3.132   82  2.774   64 0.4870   51 0.5093   71 15.193   55  3.565  100  1.983
Utah State       6  5 330 339  2.876   66  3.431   66  3.130   78  2.869   69 0.4808   47 0.5195   70 15.222   62  3.462   93  2.276
Maryland         5  6 187 239  3.078   67  3.424   68  3.123   77  2.933   67 0.4829   75 0.4558   72 15.193   93  2.506   52  3.360
SMU              5  6 246 267  3.200   68  3.414   69  3.111   68  3.166   57 0.4993   48 0.5163   67 15.282   70  3.109   55  3.222
Arkansas         4  7 174 267  3.379   69  3.388   67  3.127   73  3.047   58 0.4989   54 0.5041   69 15.226   88  2.692   50  3.403
Baylor           4  7 266 320  3.464   70  3.364   71  3.100   62  3.236   76 0.4568   86 0.4288   68 15.273   67  3.261   56  3.211
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Indiana          3  8 242 291  3.812   71  3.357   73  3.093   44  3.633   72 0.4705   74 0.4609   64 15.415   51  3.667   42  3.599
Toledo           7  4 210 259  2.543   72  3.247   70  3.103   93  2.495   79 0.4438   62 0.4901   76 14.947   91  2.566   91  2.423
New Mexico       6  5 331 280  2.972   73  3.238   72  3.094   59  3.250   66 0.4850   57 0.4997   66 15.289   54  3.619   71  2.881
Mississippi      5  6 203 270  2.980   74  3.235   74  3.092   88  2.655   70 0.4720   70 0.4678   74 15.084   92  2.535   75  2.774
Pittsburgh       4  7 214 430  3.082   75  3.228   75  3.084   89  2.649   68 0.4824   78 0.4448   77 14.885   86  2.740   84  2.557
Oklahoma         3  8 255 392  3.557   76  3.206   76  3.057   67  3.178   78 0.4455   79 0.4440   73 15.142   48  3.780   83  2.577
Tulsa            4  7 245 333  3.184   77  3.139   77  2.984   81  2.793   75 0.4626   71 0.4666   78 14.870   73  3.072   87  2.513
Miami (Ohio)     6  5 273 168  2.876   78  3.101   78  2.925   56  3.330   83 0.4375   60 0.4958   75 15.072   79  2.947   36  3.712
Illinois         2  9 190 372  3.717   79  3.072   79  2.896   75  2.975   86 0.4340   96 0.3876   82 14.705   80  2.921   64  3.029
N Carolina St    3  8 268 401  3.461   80  3.066   80  2.887   74  3.038   74 0.4650   83 0.4311   80 14.742   40  3.945   96  2.131
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Iowa State       2  9 314 401  3.786   81  3.014   81  2.826   53  3.458   80 0.4382   94 0.3929   79 14.777   21  4.304   81  2.612
Wake Forest      3  8 144 374  3.086   82  2.999   82  2.807   95  2.263   77 0.4524   91 0.3996   85 14.427  101  2.185   92  2.341
TCU              4  7 211 302  2.998   83  2.986   83  2.792   86  2.712   82 0.4376   82 0.4318   83 14.583   89  2.593   73  2.831
Ohio U           6  6 302 237  2.864   84  2.984   84  2.788   63  3.228   85 0.4350   56 0.5019   81 14.742   72  3.101   53  3.356
Louisiana Tech   6  5 351 342  2.501   85  2.959   85  2.758   87  2.662   87 0.4332   76 0.4523   84 14.564   63  3.445  103  1.880
Oregon State     2  9 216 388  3.452   86  2.921   86  2.720   85  2.724   94 0.4130   99 0.3762   87 14.371   83  2.786   79  2.662
Central Florida  5  6 277 261  2.652   87  2.834   89  2.612   83  2.759   91 0.4214   84 0.4304   89 14.270   78  2.972   85  2.546
NE Louisiana     5  6 192 353  2.170   88  2.773   87  2.639  106  1.881   90 0.4219   97 0.3872   94 13.988  102  1.967  104  1.795
Fresno State     4  7 267 344  2.868   89  2.759   88  2.624   80  2.807   89 0.4229   88 0.4204   88 14.319   82  2.803   74  2.810
Tulane           2  9 213 268  3.469   90  2.746   90  2.611   69  3.137   84 0.4368   80 0.4404   86 14.403   71  3.102   58  3.173
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Texas      5  6 161 293  2.281   91  2.726   91  2.583  100  2.163   93 0.4150   77 0.4499   93 14.038  108  1.697   80  2.629
Rutgers          2  9 143 380  3.221   92  2.703   92  2.560   97  2.231   88 0.4274   95 0.3897   92 14.044  103  1.963   88  2.499
Idaho            6  5 374 296  2.336   93  2.687   93  2.536   84  2.728   92 0.4151   53 0.5048   90 14.173   66  3.298   95  2.159
Vanderbilt       2  9 122 234  3.285   94  2.600   94  2.439   79  2.820   81 0.4380   85 0.4290   91 14.058  100  2.189   47  3.450
San Jose State   3  9 221 448  2.791   95  2.578   95  2.411   99  2.209   95 0.4052   92 0.3966   97 13.750   95  2.421   99  1.997
C Michigan       5  6 351 353  2.381   96  2.572   96  2.401   90  2.590   98 0.3789   87 0.4272   95 13.919   58  3.488  107  1.692
Bowling Green    4  7 176 240  2.482   97  2.524   97  2.360   96  2.257  100 0.3693   90 0.4091   96 13.792  106  1.910   82  2.603
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 266 279  2.140   98  2.493   98  2.326  103  2.130   99 0.3748  105 0.3600   98 13.661   99  2.201   98  2.059
Akron            4  7 175 269  2.287   99  2.278   99  2.215  101  2.152  105 0.3552   98 0.3802   99 13.483  107  1.868   90  2.436
E Michigan       3  8 210 284  2.523  100  2.153  100  2.109   94  2.390  106 0.3394  104 0.3624  100 13.409   98  2.238   86  2.543
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Temple           1 10 218 386  3.132  101  2.151  101  2.057   91  2.577   97 0.3790  102 0.3644  101 13.332   76  3.048   97  2.106
UNLV             1 11 276 551  2.898  102  2.054  102  1.944   98  2.219  102 0.3626  101 0.3691  102 13.084   74  3.071  108  1.367
Hawaii           2 10 161 433  2.476  103  2.037  103  1.922  107  1.718  104 0.3552  107 0.3509  106 12.891  110  1.479  101  1.957
Arkansas State   4  7 272 365  1.957  104  2.027  104  1.909  105  2.052  103 0.3564   93 0.3932  105 12.975   96  2.407  105  1.697
Texas-El Paso    2  9 183 314  2.527  105  1.996  105  1.875  104  2.092  101 0.3640  106 0.3530  104 12.993  104  1.952   94  2.232
Kent State       2  9 255 492  2.377  106  1.971  106  1.845  108  1.622  109 0.3063  111 0.3082  108 12.720   84  2.759  111  0.484
Duke             0 11 162 379  3.321  107  1.940  107  1.814   92  2.524   96 0.3834  103 0.3625  103 12.998   90  2.587   89  2.461
W Michigan       2  9 208 304  2.380  108  1.911  108  1.770  102  2.141  107 0.3114  100 0.3749  107 12.820   97  2.331  102  1.951
N Illinois       1 10 157 400  2.132  109  1.534  109  1.378  111  1.384  108 0.3074  109 0.3161  110 11.861  109  1.554  109  1.213
Boise State      2 10 240 459  1.946  110  1.526  110  1.368  110  1.477  111 0.2940  108 0.3430  109 11.910  105  1.925  110  1.029
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
New Mexico St    1 10 166 396  2.105  111  1.487  111  1.325  109  1.519  110 0.3033  110 0.3149  111 11.837  111  1.343  106  1.696


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.479 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida State   11  1 446 174  4.439    4  5.504    4  5.304    4  5.131    3 0.6853    2 0.6960    4 18.883    5  5.165    3  5.098
North Carolina  10  2 357 123  4.079   11  4.946   11  4.709    9  4.666    8 0.6376   10 0.6416   10 17.968   25  4.251    4  5.081
Virginia         7  5 341 203  3.910   34  4.137   34  3.880   22  4.178   32 0.5529   37 0.5441   30 16.713   30  4.088   21  4.268
Clemson          7  5 245 241  3.445   43  3.928   41  3.688   43  3.647   34 0.5514   46 0.5241   42 16.195   65  3.384   30  3.910
Georgia Tech     5  6 220 236  3.423   57  3.606   57  3.330   60  3.245   52 0.5058   64 0.4851   57 15.665   75  3.054   48  3.436
Maryland         5  6 187 239  3.078   67  3.424   68  3.123   77  2.933   67 0.4829   75 0.4558   72 15.193   93  2.506   52  3.360
N Carolina St    3  8 268 401  3.461   80  3.066   80  2.887   74  3.038   74 0.4650   83 0.4311   80 14.742   40  3.945   96  2.131
Wake Forest      3  8 144 374  3.086   82  2.999   82  2.807   95  2.263   77 0.4524   91 0.3996   85 14.427  101  2.185   92  2.341
Duke             0 11 162 379  3.321  107  1.940  107  1.814   92  2.524   96 0.3834  103 0.3625  103 12.998   90  2.587   89  2.461

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.128 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio State      11  1 455 131  4.550    3  5.511    3  5.313    3  5.358    2 0.6877    4 0.6697    1 18.979    4  5.166    1  5.550
Penn State      11  2 400 203  4.278    6  5.265    6  5.018    7  4.828    7 0.6403   13 0.6313    6 18.431   13  4.727    5  4.929
Iowa             9  3 339 243  4.102   12  4.774   12  4.517   13  4.585   16 0.6124   25 0.5870   13 17.609   14  4.708   17  4.463
Michigan         8  4 277 184  4.189   15  4.740   15  4.478   16  4.425   17 0.6092   19 0.5938   16 17.535   31  4.073    8  4.777
Northwestern     9  3 336 278  3.814   20  4.568   20  4.337   29  3.970   19 0.6026   20 0.5929   22 17.194   19  4.380   43  3.561
Wisconsin        8  5 377 243  3.797   33  4.158   33  3.902   23  4.122   36 0.5506   41 0.5327   31 16.694   29  4.127   23  4.118
Michigan State   6  6 358 302  3.990   38  4.034   38  3.761   28  3.981   43 0.5276   59 0.4965   36 16.436   16  4.580   51  3.382
Minnesota        4  7 236 340  3.710   52  3.693   52  3.428   64  3.227   60 0.4978   68 0.4740   53 15.765   57  3.548   68  2.906
Purdue           3  8 194 324  3.994   54  3.661   53  3.391   51  3.465   65 0.4870   81 0.4380   55 15.733   59  3.475   46  3.454
Indiana          3  8 242 291  3.812   71  3.357   73  3.093   44  3.633   72 0.4705   74 0.4609   64 15.415   51  3.667   42  3.599
Illinois         2  9 190 372  3.717   79  3.072   79  2.896   75  2.975   86 0.4340   96 0.3876   82 14.705   80  2.921   64  3.029

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.921 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska        11  2 553 174  4.505    5  5.299    5  5.057    1  5.470    5 0.6551    5 0.6686    5 18.691    2  5.468    2  5.472
Colorado        10  2 352 220  4.262    7  5.217    7  4.961    8  4.774    6 0.6510    7 0.6519    7 18.318   12  4.744    7  4.805
Kansas State     9  3 340 191  4.030   13  4.767   13  4.509   18  4.332   18 0.6082   14 0.6261   15 17.594   35  4.024   12  4.640
Texas            8  5 447 305  4.183   21  4.520   21  4.288   15  4.510   28 0.5617   32 0.5514   21 17.260    6  5.086   28  3.934
Texas Tech       7  5 323 232  3.929   27  4.261   28  3.985   26  4.000   31 0.5537   33 0.5489   28 16.785   43  3.890   24  4.110
Texas A&M        6  6 351 257  3.734   47  3.801   47  3.549   30  3.935   48 0.5103   50 0.5099   45 16.142   38  3.982   31  3.888
Missouri         5  6 278 376  3.617   48  3.800   48  3.549   57  3.260   46 0.5168   61 0.4908   51 15.895   50  3.678   72  2.842
Kansas           4  7 300 358  3.756   56  3.631   56  3.358   55  3.361   61 0.4920   58 0.4972   54 15.747   39  3.958   76  2.764
Oklahoma State   5  6 243 327  3.286   62  3.490   62  3.252   71  3.093   71 0.4714   89 0.4156   62 15.471   69  3.153   62  3.033
Baylor           4  7 266 320  3.464   70  3.364   71  3.100   62  3.236   76 0.4568   86 0.4288   68 15.273   67  3.261   56  3.211
Oklahoma         3  8 255 392  3.557   76  3.206   76  3.057   67  3.178   78 0.4455   79 0.4440   73 15.142   48  3.780   83  2.577
Iowa State       2  9 314 401  3.786   81  3.014   81  2.826   53  3.458   80 0.4382   94 0.3929   79 14.777   21  4.304   81  2.612

Big East Conf: strength=3.494 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia Tech   10  2 370 209  3.917   10  4.947   10  4.711   14  4.526   13 0.6208   12 0.6327   11 17.846   17  4.571   16  4.481
Miami (Fla)      9  3 368 210  3.864   19  4.613   19  4.386   21  4.232   22 0.6010   22 0.5913   18 17.378   22  4.288   22  4.177
Syracuse         9  3 437 208  3.857   22  4.497   22  4.262   11  4.614   21 0.6012   23 0.5906   20 17.315    8  4.914   20  4.313
West Virginia    8  4 271 156  3.667   31  4.210   31  3.959   27  3.993   27 0.5631   36 0.5474   29 16.753   64  3.403   13  4.583
Boston College   5  7 264 364  3.372   59  3.544   59  3.262   72  3.077   59 0.4987   66 0.4778   60 15.493   61  3.463   78  2.691
Pittsburgh       4  7 214 430  3.082   75  3.228   75  3.084   89  2.649   68 0.4824   78 0.4448   77 14.885   86  2.740   84  2.557
Rutgers          2  9 143 380  3.221   92  2.703   92  2.560   97  2.231   88 0.4274   95 0.3897   92 14.044  103  1.963   88  2.499
Temple           1 10 218 386  3.132  101  2.151  101  2.057   91  2.577   97 0.3790  102 0.3644  101 13.332   76  3.048   97  2.106

Big West: strength=2.203 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nevada           9  3 515 278  2.731   53  3.663   54  3.388   46  3.536   63 0.4883   31 0.5516   52 15.837   27  4.169   69  2.903
Utah State       6  5 330 339  2.876   66  3.431   66  3.130   78  2.869   69 0.4808   47 0.5195   70 15.222   62  3.462   93  2.276
North Texas      5  6 161 293  2.281   91  2.726   91  2.583  100  2.163   93 0.4150   77 0.4499   93 14.038  108  1.697   80  2.629
Idaho            6  5 374 296  2.336   93  2.687   93  2.536   84  2.728   92 0.4151   53 0.5048   90 14.173   66  3.298   95  2.159
Boise State      2 10 240 459  1.946  110  1.526  110  1.368  110  1.477  111 0.2940  108 0.3430  109 11.910  105  1.925  110  1.029
New Mexico St    1 10 166 396  2.105  111  1.487  111  1.325  109  1.519  110 0.3033  110 0.3149  111 11.837  111  1.343  106  1.696

Conference USA: strength=3.339 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Miss    8  3 287 247  3.693   23  4.457   23  4.215   36  3.875   14 0.6169    8 0.6500   23 17.038   47  3.831   29  3.920
Houston          7  5 361 341  3.468   40  3.981   40  3.702   45  3.549   39 0.5451   35 0.5477   43 16.194   36  4.007   60  3.091
Louisville       5  6 182 205  3.432   55  3.636   55  3.362   65  3.186   55 0.5026   63 0.4896   56 15.697   85  2.742   40  3.630
Cincinnati       6  5 228 212  3.106   60  3.534   60  3.259   58  3.257   50 0.5072   55 0.5023   59 15.541   77  3.036   45  3.479
Memphis          4  7 141 219  3.465   63  3.461   63  3.221   70  3.109   62 0.4916   69 0.4727   63 15.440   94  2.472   33  3.746
Tulane           2  9 213 268  3.469   90  2.746   90  2.611   69  3.137   84 0.4368   80 0.4404   86 14.403   71  3.102   58  3.173

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.384 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ball State       8  4 296 210  2.797   58  3.569   58  3.287   61  3.245   73 0.4678   45 0.5290   58 15.629   81  2.850   38  3.640
Toledo           7  4 210 259  2.543   72  3.247   70  3.103   93  2.495   79 0.4438   62 0.4901   76 14.947   91  2.566   91  2.423
Miami (Ohio)     6  5 273 168  2.876   78  3.101   78  2.925   56  3.330   83 0.4375   60 0.4958   75 15.072   79  2.947   36  3.712
Ohio U           6  6 302 237  2.864   84  2.984   84  2.788   63  3.228   85 0.4350   56 0.5019   81 14.742   72  3.101   53  3.356
C Michigan       5  6 351 353  2.381   96  2.572   96  2.401   90  2.590   98 0.3789   87 0.4272   95 13.919   58  3.488  107  1.692
Bowling Green    4  7 176 240  2.482   97  2.524   97  2.360   96  2.257  100 0.3693   90 0.4091   96 13.792  106  1.910   82  2.603
Akron            4  7 175 269  2.287   99  2.278   99  2.215  101  2.152  105 0.3552   98 0.3802   99 13.483  107  1.868   90  2.436
E Michigan       3  8 210 284  2.523  100  2.153  100  2.109   94  2.390  106 0.3394  104 0.3624  100 13.409   98  2.238   86  2.543
Kent State       2  9 255 492  2.377  106  1.971  106  1.845  108  1.622  109 0.3063  111 0.3082  108 12.720   84  2.759  111  0.484
W Michigan       2  9 208 304  2.380  108  1.911  108  1.770  102  2.141  107 0.3114  100 0.3749  107 12.820   97  2.331  102  1.951

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.060 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arizona State   11  1 488 216  4.467    1  5.570    1  5.388    5  5.105    4 0.6581    3 0.6702    3 18.935    3  5.400    6  4.809
Washington       9  3 391 254  4.339    8  5.040    9  4.773   12  4.612   10 0.6272   11 0.6388    8 18.055    9  4.869   19  4.355
USC              6  6 325 267  4.179   28  4.258   29  3.983   20  4.257   38 0.5479   43 0.5316   27 16.820   37  4.005   15  4.509
Stanford         7  5 247 229  3.885   29  4.234   27  3.986   24  4.081   29 0.5578   34 0.5481   32 16.638   53  3.646   14  4.517
UCLA             5  6 330 318  4.185   32  4.166   32  3.912   25  4.025   40 0.5434   38 0.5422   33 16.602   18  4.413   39  3.638
Oregon           6  5 378 356  3.785   37  4.081   37  3.818   31  3.924   41 0.5354   42 0.5321   37 16.423   11  4.826   65  3.023
California       6  6 382 407  3.668   41  3.963   42  3.683   54  3.458   45 0.5192   49 0.5161   44 16.183   45  3.885   63  3.031
Arizona          5  6 310 280  3.955   44  3.875   44  3.631   32  3.921   51 0.5060   72 0.4650   39 16.260   44  3.888   26  3.954
Washington St    5  6 314 317  3.763   46  3.812   46  3.562   42  3.669   53 0.5039   67 0.4757   48 16.073   26  4.185   59  3.152
Oregon State     2  9 216 388  3.452   86  2.921   86  2.720   85  2.724   94 0.4130   99 0.3762   87 14.371   83  2.786   79  2.662

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.683 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida         12  1 611 221  4.456    2  5.521    2  5.326    2  5.401    1 0.6895    1 0.7274    2 18.961    1  6.136    9  4.667
Tennessee       10  2 437 185  3.881   14  4.753   14  4.492   10  4.615    9 0.6330   15 0.6187   12 17.668   10  4.836   18  4.394
Alabama         10  3 316 195  3.876   16  4.723   16  4.455   17  4.363   11 0.6270    9 0.6420   17 17.491   34  4.061   10  4.665
LSU             10  2 335 210  3.496   17  4.645   17  4.420   33  3.912   15 0.6146   17 0.6070   19 17.329   46  3.860   25  3.964
Auburn           8  4 398 277  3.578   36  4.128   36  3.869   34  3.886   24 0.5705   26 0.5804   35 16.566   28  4.166   41  3.607
South Carolina   6  5 245 238  3.617   42  3.943   43  3.662   39  3.732   35 0.5513   40 0.5390   40 16.221   49  3.735   34  3.729
Georgia          5  6 230 257  3.660   50  3.752   50  3.495   49  3.498   42 0.5291   52 0.5069   49 15.945   68  3.241   32  3.755
Kentucky         4  7 138 322  3.481   61  3.495   61  3.259   76  2.967   54 0.5035   73 0.4630   65 15.345   87  2.725   57  3.209
Mississippi St   5  6 249 229  3.282   64  3.453   64  3.155   50  3.481   56 0.5020   65 0.4844   61 15.475   56  3.557   49  3.404
Arkansas         4  7 174 267  3.379   69  3.388   67  3.127   73  3.047   58 0.4989   54 0.5041   69 15.226   88  2.692   50  3.403
Mississippi      5  6 203 270  2.980   74  3.235   74  3.092   88  2.655   70 0.4720   70 0.4678   74 15.084   92  2.535   75  2.774
Vanderbilt       2  9 122 234  3.285   94  2.600   94  2.439   79  2.820   81 0.4380   85 0.4290   91 14.058  100  2.189   47  3.450

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.991 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Brigham Young   14  1 590 277  3.528    9  5.037    8  4.825   19  4.329   12 0.6262    6 0.6672    9 17.974   15  4.705   27  3.953
Wyoming         10  2 464 284  3.167   26  4.360   26  4.097   38  3.779   30 0.5577   21 0.5927   26 16.858   23  4.283   54  3.276
Rice             7  4 296 312  3.456   35  4.133   35  3.874   47  3.512   26 0.5632   24 0.5890   38 16.405   41  3.934   61  3.089
Utah             8  4 313 309  3.255   39  4.011   39  3.733   66  3.181   33 0.5529   27 0.5757   41 16.213   60  3.469   70  2.893
San Diego State  8  3 428 303  3.067   45  3.845   45  3.596   48  3.505   44 0.5270   29 0.5679   46 16.101   24  4.257   77  2.752
Air Force        6  5 360 231  3.451   49  3.759   49  3.502   40  3.681   47 0.5103   39 0.5395   47 16.084   52  3.647   35  3.715
Colorado State   7  5 380 336  3.262   51  3.745   51  3.486   52  3.463   49 0.5077   44 0.5297   50 15.921   42  3.920   66  3.005
SMU              5  6 246 267  3.200   68  3.414   69  3.111   68  3.166   57 0.4993   48 0.5163   67 15.282   70  3.109   55  3.222
New Mexico       6  5 331 280  2.972   73  3.238   72  3.094   59  3.250   66 0.4850   57 0.4997   66 15.289   54  3.619   71  2.881
Tulsa            4  7 245 333  3.184   77  3.139   77  2.984   81  2.793   75 0.4626   71 0.4666   78 14.870   73  3.072   87  2.513
TCU              4  7 211 302  2.998   83  2.986   83  2.792   86  2.712   82 0.4376   82 0.4318   83 14.583   89  2.593   73  2.831
Fresno State     4  7 267 344  2.868   89  2.759   88  2.624   80  2.807   89 0.4229   88 0.4204   88 14.319   82  2.803   74  2.810
San Jose State   3  9 221 448  2.791   95  2.578   95  2.411   99  2.209   95 0.4052   92 0.3966   97 13.750   95  2.421   99  1.997
UNLV             1 11 276 551  2.898  102  2.054  102  1.944   98  2.219  102 0.3626  101 0.3691  102 13.084   74  3.071  108  1.367
Hawaii           2 10 161 433  2.476  103  2.037  103  1.922  107  1.718  104 0.3552  107 0.3509  106 12.891  110  1.479  101  1.957
Texas-El Paso    2  9 183 314  2.527  105  1.996  105  1.875  104  2.092  101 0.3640  106 0.3530  104 12.993  104  1.952   94  2.232

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.748 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame       8  3 407 181  4.207   18  4.640   18  4.416    6  4.864   20 0.6022   28 0.5754   14 17.606    7  5.079   11  4.649
Army            10  2 379 224  3.250   24  4.446   24  4.202   37  3.787   37 0.5481   18 0.6040   24 16.975   33  4.069   44  3.506
East Carolina    8  3 316 214  3.599   25  4.379   25  4.124   35  3.885   23 0.5852   16 0.6166   25 16.928   32  4.073   37  3.697
Navy             9  3 392 309  3.315   30  4.220   30  3.970   41  3.680   25 0.5701   30 0.5619   34 16.580   20  4.356   67  3.004
SW Louisiana     5  6 304 404  3.069   65  3.431   65  3.132   82  2.774   64 0.4870   51 0.5093   71 15.193   55  3.565  100  1.983
Louisiana Tech   6  5 351 342  2.501   85  2.959   85  2.758   87  2.662   87 0.4332   76 0.4523   84 14.564   63  3.445  103  1.880
Central Florida  5  6 277 261  2.652   87  2.834   89  2.612   83  2.759   91 0.4214   84 0.4304   89 14.270   78  2.972   85  2.546
NE Louisiana     5  6 192 353  2.170   88  2.773   87  2.639  106  1.881   90 0.4219   97 0.3872   94 13.988  102  1.967  104  1.795
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 266 279  2.140   98  2.493   98  2.326  103  2.130   99 0.3748  105 0.3600   98 13.661   99  2.201   98  2.059
Arkansas State   4  7 272 365  1.957  104  2.027  104  1.909  105  2.052  103 0.3564   93 0.3932  105 12.975   96  2.407  105  1.697
N Illinois       1 10 157 400  2.132  109  1.534  109  1.378  111  1.384  108 0.3074  109 0.3161  110 11.861  109  1.554  109  1.213

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                             W    L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conf                           74   56 0.569    1  4.128
Pacific 10 Conf                       62   53 0.539    2  4.060
Big 12 Conf                           74   66 0.529    3  3.921
Southeastern Conf                     81   58 0.583    4  3.683
Big East Conf                         48   45 0.516    5  3.494
Atlantic Coast Conf                   51   52 0.495    6  3.479
Conference USA                        32   35 0.478    7  3.339
Western Athletic Conf                 91   95 0.489    8  2.991
Division I-A Independents             66   57 0.537    9  2.748
Mid-American Conf                     47   65 0.420   10  2.384
Big West                              29   39 0.426   11  2.203

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.194 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:02 2019

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