Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier               14  1 666 290  0.059    1  1.554    1  1.395    3  0.722    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 13.055    1  1.284    4  0.159
Carroll MT              13  2 497 221  0.211    2  1.179    2  1.003    2  1.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 12.348    4  0.753    2  1.463
Marian IN               12  1 525  96 -0.021    3  1.104    3  0.913    1  1.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.443    6  0.531    1  2.022
Georgetown KY           12  1 427 184 -0.502    4  0.944    4  0.714    6  0.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 11.712   10 -0.087    3  0.587
Eastern Oregon           8  3 381 302  0.116    5  0.664    5  0.474    5  0.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 11.139    3  0.919   17 -0.292
St Francis IL           10  3 504 239 -0.437    6  0.358    6  0.205   11 -0.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.785    9  0.061   18 -0.300
St Francis IN            9  3 450 254 -0.280    7  0.353    7  0.196    7  0.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.835    5  0.622   19 -0.303
Azusa Pacific            9  3 547 244 -0.233    8  0.039    8  0.020    4  0.544    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.561    2  0.976    6  0.112
MidAmerica Nazarene     10  2 456 212 -0.847    9  0.011    9 -0.018   14 -0.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 10.302   12 -0.197   20 -0.311
Bethel TN                8  3 373 327 -0.664   10 -0.012   10 -0.045   23 -0.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.802   15 -0.246   30 -1.026
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Montana St-Northern      5  5 262 279  0.118   11 -0.061   11 -0.100    8 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.753    8  0.110   13 -0.170
Morningside              9  2 374 175 -0.748   12 -0.067   12 -0.112    9 -0.077    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.912   13 -0.202    8  0.048
Grand View               8  4 303 194 -0.516   13 -0.137   13 -0.196   18 -0.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.699   30 -0.793   12 -0.045
Langston                 7  3 272 255 -0.892   14 -0.180   14 -0.252   32 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  9.416   33 -0.902   34 -1.094
Missouri Valley          9  2 417 146 -0.958   15 -0.211   16 -0.297   13 -0.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.642   21 -0.560    7  0.082
Rocky Mountain           5  6 272 266 -0.004   16 -0.213   15 -0.296   16 -0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  9.396   17 -0.410   14 -0.202
Doane                    8  2 339 194 -1.009   17 -0.236   17 -0.304   20 -0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  9.449   16 -0.405   25 -0.686
Northwestern IA          9  2 401 172 -1.030   18 -0.248   18 -0.321   12 -0.237    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  9.537   14 -0.242   15 -0.233
William Penn             9  2 377 124 -1.053   19 -0.258   19 -0.334   15 -0.296    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  9.501   26 -0.742    5  0.150
Southern Oregon          5  5 244 344 -0.426   20 -0.308   20 -0.393   28 -0.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  9.068   19 -0.518   35 -1.185
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberlands KY           7  3 340 195 -0.730   21 -0.344   21 -0.440   10 -0.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  9.326   11 -0.174   11 -0.016
Valley City St           9  2 295 231 -1.578   22 -0.352   22 -0.455   37 -1.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.937   37 -1.235   38 -1.224
St Ambrose               7  3 266 137 -0.892   23 -0.382   23 -0.486   21 -0.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  9.156   35 -1.141   10  0.013
Benedictine KS           9  3 382 149 -0.996   24 -0.420   24 -0.542   17 -0.395    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  9.162   31 -0.814    9  0.025
Ottawa                   9  3 405 233 -1.206   25 -0.570   25 -0.601   22 -0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.964   24 -0.702   22 -0.567
Cumberland TN            7  3 311 265 -1.159   26 -0.627   26 -0.664   31 -0.996    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.459   28 -0.749   41 -1.242
Southern Nazarene        9  3 463 230 -1.394   27 -0.722   27 -0.787   27 -0.811    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  8.397   27 -0.744   27 -0.877
Montana Tech             3  8 247 346 -0.049   28 -0.741   28 -0.803   19 -0.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  8.028   18 -0.415   23 -0.602
Shorter                  6  4 300 223 -0.983   29 -0.779   29 -0.858   24 -0.738    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  8.277   32 -0.858   24 -0.618
Baker                    7  3 359 202 -1.259   30 -0.845   30 -0.941   26 -0.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.987   20 -0.537   31 -1.044
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Montana-Western          2  9 232 377  0.115   31 -0.866   31 -0.961   25 -0.758    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.792   22 -0.614   28 -0.902
Hastings                 6  4 197 155 -1.195   32 -0.868   32 -0.969   33 -1.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.842   58 -1.879   16 -0.247
Lindsey Wilson           7  3 275 263 -1.572   33 -0.873   33 -0.978   41 -1.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.687   36 -1.148   50 -1.465
Midland U.               6  4 307 235 -1.174   34 -0.884   34 -0.991   30 -0.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.831   25 -0.740   39 -1.230
Dakota Wesleyan          6  4 318 215 -1.124   35 -0.902   35 -1.000   29 -0.921    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.874   29 -0.789   32 -1.053
Taylor                   5  5 239 266 -1.068   36 -0.942   36 -1.050   36 -1.220    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.678   43 -1.484   29 -0.956
Menlo                    4  5 155 192 -0.886   37 -0.967   37 -1.084   35 -1.171    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.560   55 -1.811   21 -0.531
Olivet Nazarene          5  6 202 336 -1.186   38 -0.982   38 -1.102   47 -1.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.468   52 -1.728   49 -1.434
Campbellsville           7  5 347 324 -1.300   39 -1.003   39 -1.131   38 -1.231    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.592   34 -1.132   47 -1.330
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 256 234 -1.212   40 -1.027   40 -1.159   39 -1.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.512   38 -1.264   40 -1.235
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             3  4  97 193 -1.286   41 -1.062   41 -1.208   53 -1.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.324   62 -2.280   36 -1.200
Belhaven                 5  6 270 311 -1.124   42 -1.074   42 -1.224   44 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.204   48 -1.587   46 -1.287
Bethany KS               8  3 351 261 -1.971   43 -1.170   43 -1.355   46 -1.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  7.039   39 -1.282   57 -1.825
Virginia-Wise            5  6 241 347 -1.358   44 -1.228   44 -1.425   51 -1.718    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.830   49 -1.616   56 -1.821
NW Oklahoma St           4  6 296 313 -1.082   45 -1.262   45 -1.469   34 -1.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.942   23 -0.650   51 -1.609
Central Methodist        5  5 246 218 -1.442   46 -1.286   46 -1.504   42 -1.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.844   51 -1.668   33 -1.063
Bacone                   5  6 281 284 -1.463   47 -1.333   47 -1.571   45 -1.511    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.639   53 -1.761   43 -1.260
Friends                  6  4 264 203 -1.854   48 -1.372   48 -1.580   48 -1.597    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.659   57 -1.847   48 -1.347
Quincy                   4  6 219 303 -1.495   49 -1.423   49 -1.641   54 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.291   56 -1.844   53 -1.726
Concordia NE             4  7 184 265 -1.414   50 -1.472   50 -1.703   55 -1.786    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.227   64 -2.351   37 -1.220
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kentucky Christian       4  7 209 298 -1.478   51 -1.522   51 -1.775   52 -1.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.023   61 -2.172   45 -1.278
Dickinson St             4  6 199 203 -1.401   52 -1.531   52 -1.789   40 -1.290    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.107   54 -1.763   26 -0.818
Faulkner                 3  7 435 526 -1.327   53 -1.576   53 -1.846   50 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.927    7  0.211   83 -3.593
Kansas Wesleyan          5  6 309 381 -1.898   54 -1.602   54 -1.877   61 -2.036    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.667   47 -1.532   70 -2.541
Pikeville                4  6 304 330 -1.683   55 -1.620   55 -1.899   58 -1.892    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.775   40 -1.372   69 -2.412
St Mary KS               5  6 301 305 -1.836   56 -1.712   56 -1.920   56 -1.789    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.767   45 -1.513   61 -2.064
Union KY                 2  9 266 390 -1.130   57 -1.747   57 -1.960   49 -1.622    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.594   41 -1.429   54 -1.814
Jamestown                3  7 155 266 -1.530   58 -1.766   59 -1.986   60 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.417   63 -2.321   52 -1.651
Mayville St              5  6 218 265 -2.004   59 -1.828   58 -1.980   65 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.406   66 -2.425   59 -1.978
Webber Int'l             4  6 272 230 -1.582   60 -1.947   60 -2.052   43 -1.390    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.514   46 -1.515   44 -1.265
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Avila                    4  7 183 311 -1.958   61 -1.980   61 -2.096   67 -2.241    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.165   71 -2.665   55 -1.818
Evangel                  3  7 138 312 -2.000   62 -2.041   62 -2.180   73 -2.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.961   79 -3.069   66 -2.223
Sterling                 4  7 167 196 -1.909   63 -2.056   63 -2.200   64 -2.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.100   78 -3.012   42 -1.247
McPherson                4  7 285 349 -1.776   64 -2.086   64 -2.242   57 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.148   44 -1.510   67 -2.233
SW Assem of God          4  6 283 320 -2.083   65 -2.114   65 -2.277   66 -2.214    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.964   50 -1.657   75 -2.770
Iowa Wesleyan            3  7 246 301 -1.722   66 -2.136   66 -2.306   59 -1.924    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.988   42 -1.460   68 -2.388
Edward Waters            3  6 194 272 -1.998   67 -2.185   67 -2.375   63 -2.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.902   59 -2.001   65 -2.208
Southwestern KS          4  7 298 292 -2.087   68 -2.291   68 -2.400   62 -2.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.842   60 -2.009   64 -2.175
West Virginia Tech       1  8 131 335 -1.480   69 -2.412   69 -2.500   69 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.449   70 -2.618   63 -2.131
Robert Morris IL         4  4 195 149 -2.640   70 -2.557   70 -2.552   68 -2.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.567   68 -2.481   60 -2.012
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Trinity Int'l            2  8 116 284 -1.919   71 -2.634   71 -2.660   70 -2.430    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.318   77 -2.980   58 -1.881
Dordt                    2  9 184 403 -1.973   72 -2.693   72 -2.741   72 -2.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.947   69 -2.509   72 -2.564
Briar Cliff              2  9 163 399 -2.070   73 -2.693   73 -2.754   75 -2.769    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.888   76 -2.920   74 -2.617
Tabor                    3  7 199 246 -2.321   74 -2.693   74 -2.756   71 -2.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.000   73 -2.801   62 -2.112
Bethel KS                1 10 147 562 -2.229   75 -2.942   75 -3.057   85 -3.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  3.199   81 -3.564   86 -4.001
Peru St                  2  8 170 315 -2.364   76 -2.950   76 -3.073   74 -2.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.569   74 -2.829   71 -2.546
Graceland                1  9 169 463 -2.123   77 -2.970   77 -3.101   78 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.342   72 -2.668   79 -3.268
Dakota St                1 10 203 459 -2.039   78 -2.992   78 -3.132   76 -2.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.319   67 -2.475   80 -3.298
Southern Virginia        2  7 194 329 -2.683   79 -3.023   79 -3.182   79 -3.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.222   75 -2.837   82 -3.554
Culver-Stockton          1 10 197 534 -2.150   80 -3.037   80 -3.202   77 -2.938    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.233   65 -2.378   81 -3.497
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Trinity Bible            4  4 185 228 -3.753   81 -3.057   81 -3.239   81 -3.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.004   80 -3.230   85 -3.876
Texas College            0 11  60 456 -1.737   82 -3.110   82 -3.308   80 -3.452    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.839   84 -4.309   73 -2.595
Waldorf                  2  9 113 442 -2.996   83 -3.144   83 -3.375   84 -3.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.676   83 -4.139   78 -3.211
Concordia MI             0 11  47 546 -1.986   84 -3.193   84 -3.448   83 -3.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.588   85 -4.496   76 -2.777
Ave Maria                0  9 100 340 -2.360   85 -3.342   85 -3.705   82 -3.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.416   82 -4.088   77 -3.125
Haskell                  0 11  73 503 -3.337   86 -3.818   86 -4.472   86 -4.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.382   86 -5.255   84 -3.871


Central States Football League: strength=-1.559 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 7  3 272 255 -0.892   14 -0.180   14 -0.252   32 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  9.416   33 -0.902   34 -1.094
Southern Nazarene        9  3 463 230 -1.394   27 -0.722   27 -0.787   27 -0.811    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  8.397   27 -0.744   27 -0.877
NW Oklahoma St           4  6 296 313 -1.082   45 -1.262   45 -1.469   34 -1.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.942   23 -0.650   51 -1.609
Bacone                   5  6 281 284 -1.463   47 -1.333   47 -1.571   45 -1.511    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.639   53 -1.761   43 -1.260
SW Assem of God          4  6 283 320 -2.083   65 -2.114   65 -2.277   66 -2.214    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.964   50 -1.657   75 -2.770
Texas College            0 11  60 456 -1.737   82 -3.110   82 -3.308   80 -3.452    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.839   84 -4.309   73 -2.595

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.707 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Valley City St           9  2 295 231 -1.578   22 -0.352   22 -0.455   37 -1.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.937   37 -1.235   38 -1.224
Dickinson St             4  6 199 203 -1.401   52 -1.531   52 -1.789   40 -1.290    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.107   54 -1.763   26 -0.818
Jamestown                3  7 155 266 -1.530   58 -1.766   59 -1.986   60 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.417   63 -2.321   52 -1.651
Mayville St              5  6 218 265 -2.004   59 -1.828   58 -1.980   65 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.406   66 -2.425   59 -1.978

Frontier Conference: strength=0.106 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              13  2 497 221  0.211    2  1.179    2  1.003    2  1.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 12.348    4  0.753    2  1.463
Eastern Oregon           8  3 381 302  0.116    5  0.664    5  0.474    5  0.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 11.139    3  0.919   17 -0.292
Montana St-Northern      5  5 262 279  0.118   11 -0.061   11 -0.100    8 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.753    8  0.110   13 -0.170
Rocky Mountain           5  6 272 266 -0.004   16 -0.213   15 -0.296   16 -0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  9.396   17 -0.410   14 -0.202
Montana Tech             3  8 247 346 -0.049   28 -0.741   28 -0.803   19 -0.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  8.028   18 -0.415   23 -0.602
Montana-Western          2  9 232 377  0.115   31 -0.866   31 -0.961   25 -0.758    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.792   22 -0.614   28 -0.902

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.109 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside              9  2 374 175 -0.748   12 -0.067   12 -0.112    9 -0.077    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.912   13 -0.202    8  0.048
Doane                    8  2 339 194 -1.009   17 -0.236   17 -0.304   20 -0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  9.449   16 -0.405   25 -0.686
Northwestern IA          9  2 401 172 -1.030   18 -0.248   18 -0.321   12 -0.237    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  9.537   14 -0.242   15 -0.233
Hastings                 6  4 197 155 -1.195   32 -0.868   32 -0.969   33 -1.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.842   58 -1.879   16 -0.247
Midland U.               6  4 307 235 -1.174   34 -0.884   34 -0.991   30 -0.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.831   25 -0.740   39 -1.230
Dakota Wesleyan          6  4 318 215 -1.124   35 -0.902   35 -1.000   29 -0.921    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.874   29 -0.789   32 -1.053
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 256 234 -1.212   40 -1.027   40 -1.159   39 -1.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.512   38 -1.264   40 -1.235
Concordia NE             4  7 184 265 -1.414   50 -1.472   50 -1.703   55 -1.786    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.227   64 -2.351   37 -1.220
Dordt                    2  9 184 403 -1.973   72 -2.693   72 -2.741   72 -2.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.947   69 -2.509   72 -2.564
Briar Cliff              2  9 163 399 -2.070   73 -2.693   73 -2.754   75 -2.769    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.888   76 -2.920   74 -2.617

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.732 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MidAmerica Nazarene     10  2 456 212 -0.847    9  0.011    9 -0.018   14 -0.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 10.302   12 -0.197   20 -0.311
Missouri Valley          9  2 417 146 -0.958   15 -0.211   16 -0.297   13 -0.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.642   21 -0.560    7  0.082
Benedictine KS           9  3 382 149 -0.996   24 -0.420   24 -0.542   17 -0.395    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  9.162   31 -0.814    9  0.025
Baker                    7  3 359 202 -1.259   30 -0.845   30 -0.941   26 -0.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.987   20 -0.537   31 -1.044
Central Methodist        5  5 246 218 -1.442   46 -1.286   46 -1.504   42 -1.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.844   51 -1.668   33 -1.063
Avila                    4  7 183 311 -1.958   61 -1.980   61 -2.096   67 -2.241    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.165   71 -2.665   55 -1.818
Evangel                  3  7 138 312 -2.000   62 -2.041   62 -2.180   73 -2.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.961   79 -3.069   66 -2.223
Peru St                  2  8 170 315 -2.364   76 -2.950   76 -3.073   74 -2.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.569   74 -2.829   71 -2.546
Graceland                1  9 169 463 -2.123   77 -2.970   77 -3.101   78 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.342   72 -2.668   79 -3.268
Culver-Stockton          1 10 197 534 -2.150   80 -3.037   80 -3.202   77 -2.938    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.233   65 -2.378   81 -3.497

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.025 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa                   9  3 405 233 -1.206   25 -0.570   25 -0.601   22 -0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.964   24 -0.702   22 -0.567
Bethany KS               8  3 351 261 -1.971   43 -1.170   43 -1.355   46 -1.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  7.039   39 -1.282   57 -1.825
Friends                  6  4 264 203 -1.854   48 -1.372   48 -1.580   48 -1.597    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.659   57 -1.847   48 -1.347
Kansas Wesleyan          5  6 309 381 -1.898   54 -1.602   54 -1.877   61 -2.036    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.667   47 -1.532   70 -2.541
St Mary KS               5  6 301 305 -1.836   56 -1.712   56 -1.920   56 -1.789    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.767   45 -1.513   61 -2.064
Sterling                 4  7 167 196 -1.909   63 -2.056   63 -2.200   64 -2.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.100   78 -3.012   42 -1.247
McPherson                4  7 285 349 -1.776   64 -2.086   64 -2.242   57 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.148   44 -1.510   67 -2.233
Southwestern KS          4  7 298 292 -2.087   68 -2.291   68 -2.400   62 -2.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.842   60 -2.009   64 -2.175
Tabor                    3  7 199 246 -2.321   74 -2.693   74 -2.756   71 -2.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.000   73 -2.801   62 -2.112
Bethel KS                1 10 147 562 -2.229   75 -2.942   75 -3.057   85 -3.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  3.199   81 -3.564   86 -4.001

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.229 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY           12  1 427 184 -0.502    4  0.944    4  0.714    6  0.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 11.712   10 -0.087    3  0.587
Bethel TN                8  3 373 327 -0.664   10 -0.012   10 -0.045   23 -0.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.802   15 -0.246   30 -1.026
Cumberlands KY           7  3 340 195 -0.730   21 -0.344   21 -0.440   10 -0.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  9.326   11 -0.174   11 -0.016
Cumberland TN            7  3 311 265 -1.159   26 -0.627   26 -0.664   31 -0.996    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.459   28 -0.749   41 -1.242
Shorter                  6  4 300 223 -0.983   29 -0.779   29 -0.858   24 -0.738    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  8.277   32 -0.858   24 -0.618
Lindsey Wilson           7  3 275 263 -1.572   33 -0.873   33 -0.978   41 -1.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.687   36 -1.148   50 -1.465
Campbellsville           7  5 347 324 -1.300   39 -1.003   39 -1.131   38 -1.231    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.592   34 -1.132   47 -1.330
Belhaven                 5  6 270 311 -1.124   42 -1.074   42 -1.224   44 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.204   48 -1.587   46 -1.287
Virginia-Wise            5  6 241 347 -1.358   44 -1.228   44 -1.425   51 -1.718    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.830   49 -1.616   56 -1.821
Kentucky Christian       4  7 209 298 -1.478   51 -1.522   51 -1.775   52 -1.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.023   61 -2.172   45 -1.278
Faulkner                 3  7 435 526 -1.327   53 -1.576   53 -1.846   50 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.927    7  0.211   83 -3.593
Pikeville                4  6 304 330 -1.683   55 -1.620   55 -1.899   58 -1.892    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.775   40 -1.372   69 -2.412
Union KY                 2  9 266 390 -1.130   57 -1.747   57 -1.960   49 -1.622    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.594   41 -1.429   54 -1.814
West Virginia Tech       1  8 131 335 -1.480   69 -2.412   69 -2.500   69 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.449   70 -2.618   63 -2.131

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.952 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier               14  1 666 290  0.059    1  1.554    1  1.395    3  0.722    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 13.055    1  1.284    4  0.159
Marian IN               12  1 525  96 -0.021    3  1.104    3  0.913    1  1.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.443    6  0.531    1  2.022
St Francis IL           10  3 504 239 -0.437    6  0.358    6  0.205   11 -0.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.785    9  0.061   18 -0.300
St Francis IN            9  3 450 254 -0.280    7  0.353    7  0.196    7  0.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.835    5  0.622   19 -0.303
Grand View               8  4 303 194 -0.516   13 -0.137   13 -0.196   18 -0.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.699   30 -0.793   12 -0.045
William Penn             9  2 377 124 -1.053   19 -0.258   19 -0.334   15 -0.296    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  9.501   26 -0.742    5  0.150
St Ambrose               7  3 266 137 -0.892   23 -0.382   23 -0.486   21 -0.564    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  9.156   35 -1.141   10  0.013
Taylor                   5  5 239 266 -1.068   36 -0.942   36 -1.050   36 -1.220    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.678   43 -1.484   29 -0.956
Olivet Nazarene          5  6 202 336 -1.186   38 -0.982   38 -1.102   47 -1.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.468   52 -1.728   49 -1.434
Quincy                   4  6 219 303 -1.495   49 -1.423   49 -1.641   54 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.291   56 -1.844   53 -1.726
Iowa Wesleyan            3  7 246 301 -1.722   66 -2.136   66 -2.306   59 -1.924    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.988   42 -1.460   68 -2.388
Trinity Int'l            2  8 116 284 -1.919   71 -2.634   71 -2.660   70 -2.430    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.318   77 -2.980   58 -1.881
Waldorf                  2  9 113 442 -2.996   83 -3.144   83 -3.375   84 -3.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.676   83 -4.139   78 -3.211
Concordia MI             0 11  47 546 -1.986   84 -3.193   84 -3.448   83 -3.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.588   85 -4.496   76 -2.777

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.271 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific            9  3 547 244 -0.233    8  0.039    8  0.020    4  0.544    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.561    2  0.976    6  0.112
Southern Oregon          5  5 244 344 -0.426   20 -0.308   20 -0.393   28 -0.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  9.068   19 -0.518   35 -1.185
Menlo                    4  5 155 192 -0.886   37 -0.967   37 -1.084   35 -1.171    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.560   55 -1.811   21 -0.531
Webber Int'l             4  6 272 230 -1.582   60 -1.947   60 -2.052   43 -1.390    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.514   46 -1.515   44 -1.265
Edward Waters            3  6 194 272 -1.998   67 -2.185   67 -2.375   63 -2.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.902   59 -2.001   65 -2.208
Robert Morris IL         4  4 195 149 -2.640   70 -2.557   70 -2.552   68 -2.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.567   68 -2.481   60 -2.012
Dakota St                1 10 203 459 -2.039   78 -2.992   78 -3.132   76 -2.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.319   67 -2.475   80 -3.298
Southern Virginia        2  7 194 329 -2.683   79 -3.023   79 -3.182   79 -3.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.222   75 -2.837   82 -3.554
Ave Maria                0  9 100 340 -2.360   85 -3.342   85 -3.705   82 -3.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.416   82 -4.088   77 -3.125
Haskell                  0 11  73 503 -3.337   86 -3.818   86 -4.472   86 -4.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.382   86 -5.255   84 -3.871

Independent: strength=-2.872 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             3  4  97 193 -1.286   41 -1.062   41 -1.208   53 -1.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.324   62 -2.280   36 -1.200
Trinity Bible            4  4 185 228 -3.753   81 -3.057   81 -3.239   81 -3.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.004   80 -3.230   85 -3.876

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      36  33 0.522    1  0.106
Mid-States Football Association                          90  69 0.566    2 -0.952
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         57  48 0.543    3 -1.109
Mid-South Conference                                     78  71 0.523    4 -1.229
Central States Football League                           29  35 0.453    5 -1.559
Dakota Athletic Conference                               21  21 0.500    6 -1.707
Heart of America Athletic Conference                     51  56 0.477    7 -1.732
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    49  60 0.450    8 -2.025
NAIA Independents                                        32  66 0.327    9 -2.271
Independent                                               7   8 0.467   10 -2.872

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.188 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:58 2019

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