Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GRIZZLIES     17  8 3053 2835 -0.105 10.645    8  0.261    8  0.253    6  0.394    8 0.5315    2  4.037    1  0.820   17 -0.031
CAVALIERS     21  4 3035 2787 -0.094 10.718    1  0.602    1  0.617    5  0.424    1 0.5698    6  4.015    2  0.732   13  0.116
MAVERICKS     16  8 2859 2675  0.014 11.320    5  0.318    5  0.307    4  0.438    5 0.5363    8  3.986    3  0.593    9  0.284
CELTICS       19  5 2883 2657 -0.020 11.139    3  0.539    3  0.544    2  0.496    3 0.5653   14  3.973    4  0.588    6  0.404
BULLS         10 15 2978 3075  0.038 13.121   21 -0.160   21 -0.157   19 -0.167   21 0.4838    1  4.096    5  0.575   29 -0.909
NUGGETS       12 10 2611 2569  0.110 11.660   11  0.155   11  0.145   12  0.171   10 0.5170    4  4.021    6  0.511   20 -0.168
KNICKS        15  9 2826 2664 -0.032 11.044    9  0.199    9  0.187    7  0.335    9 0.5227    7  3.987    7  0.499   11  0.171
THUNDER       18  5 2661 2387  0.073 11.053    2  0.569    2  0.580    1  0.689    2 0.5695   23  3.910    8  0.461    1  0.917
KINGS         12 13 2910 2830 -0.062 11.611   20 -0.099   20 -0.095   13  0.140   20 0.4876   11  3.980    9  0.264   15  0.017
WARRIORS      14  9 2624 2511  0.115 11.820    7  0.283    6  0.282    8  0.284    7 0.5333   17  3.946   10  0.233    8  0.335
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HAWKS         13 12 2927 2996 -0.126 11.715   17 -0.045   17 -0.031   22 -0.213   17 0.5000    3  4.032   11  0.183   27 -0.610
ROCKETS       16  8 2727 2558  0.118 12.279    4  0.378    4  0.369    3  0.456    4 0.5423   26  3.901   12  0.181    3  0.731
SUNS          12 11 2599 2619  0.027 11.715   13  0.070   13  0.066   16 -0.030   12 0.5085   10  3.980   13  0.097   19 -0.158
PACERS        10 15 2850 2955 -0.079 12.187   23 -0.235   23 -0.225   26 -0.312   23 0.4690    5  4.020   14  0.022   28 -0.645
BUCKS         12 11 2608 2586  0.000 11.348   16  0.021   16  0.035   15  0.058   16 0.5039   19  3.942   15 -0.009   12  0.124
HEAT          12 10 2469 2404 -0.023 10.551   12  0.080   14  0.064   11  0.174   15 0.5043   22  3.911   16 -0.051    7  0.399
RAPTORS        7 18 2808 2930  0.046 13.233   27 -0.415   27 -0.405   23 -0.218   27 0.4495   12  3.974   17 -0.123   22 -0.313
TIMBERWOLVES  12 11 2542 2460  0.035 11.451   14  0.068   15  0.052    9  0.265   14 0.5051   28  3.875   18 -0.138    4  0.669
SPURS         12 12 2673 2714 -0.064 11.631   18 -0.047   18 -0.031   20 -0.173   18 0.4928   16  3.956   19 -0.169   21 -0.177
LAKERS        13 11 2691 2778 -0.046 11.802   15  0.051   12  0.068   24 -0.274   13 0.5072   13  3.974   20 -0.180   23 -0.368
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CLIPPERS      14 11 2717 2684  0.086 13.022   10  0.181   10  0.170   14  0.128   11 0.5158   27  3.892   21 -0.192    5  0.448
NETS          10 14 2642 2732  0.089 12.993   19 -0.092   19 -0.078   18 -0.155   19 0.4902   20  3.924   22 -0.316   16  0.007
PISTONS       10 15 2763 2826 -0.013 12.508   22 -0.203   22 -0.202   17 -0.140   22 0.4751   21  3.920   23 -0.319   14  0.038
MAGIC         17  9 2798 2685 -0.026 12.204    6  0.284    7  0.280   10  0.219    6 0.5334   30  3.834   24 -0.385    2  0.822
JAZZ           5 18 2511 2730  0.057 12.499   28 -0.494   28 -0.492   27 -0.466   28 0.4400   15  3.961   25 -0.436   26 -0.496
HORNETS        7 17 2570 2702  0.023 12.538   26 -0.389   26 -0.377   25 -0.301   26 0.4525   25  3.908   26 -0.542   18 -0.059
TRAIL BLAZERS  8 16 2554 2783 -0.008 12.881   24 -0.300   24 -0.286   28 -0.514   24 0.4645   18  3.945   27 -0.566   25 -0.461
76ERS          7 15 2314 2422  0.036 11.490   25 -0.325   25 -0.314   21 -0.207   25 0.4591   29  3.863   28 -0.669   10  0.255
WIZARDS        3 19 2368 2724  0.066 12.449   30 -0.639   30 -0.657   30 -0.847   30 0.4283    9  3.983   29 -0.706   30 -0.988
PELICANS       5 20 2624 2917 -0.066 13.036   29 -0.614   29 -0.630   29 -0.677   29 0.4372   24  3.909   30 -0.913   24 -0.441
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS         12 13 2910 2830 -0.062 11.611   20 -0.099   20 -0.095   13  0.140   20 0.4876   11  3.980    9  0.264   15  0.017
WARRIORS      14  9 2624 2511  0.115 11.820    7  0.283    6  0.282    8  0.284    7 0.5333   17  3.946   10  0.233    8  0.335
SUNS          12 11 2599 2619  0.027 11.715   13  0.070   13  0.066   16 -0.030   12 0.5085   10  3.980   13  0.097   19 -0.158
LAKERS        13 11 2691 2778 -0.046 11.802   15  0.051   12  0.068   24 -0.274   13 0.5072   13  3.974   20 -0.180   23 -0.368
CLIPPERS      14 11 2717 2684  0.086 13.022   10  0.181   10  0.170   14  0.128   11 0.5158   27  3.892   21 -0.192    5  0.448

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NUGGETS       12 10 2611 2569  0.110 11.660   11  0.155   11  0.145   12  0.171   10 0.5170    4  4.021    6  0.511   20 -0.168
THUNDER       18  5 2661 2387  0.073 11.053    2  0.569    2  0.580    1  0.689    2 0.5695   23  3.910    8  0.461    1  0.917
TIMBERWOLVES  12 11 2542 2460  0.035 11.451   14  0.068   15  0.052    9  0.265   14 0.5051   28  3.875   18 -0.138    4  0.669
JAZZ           5 18 2511 2730  0.057 12.499   28 -0.494   28 -0.492   27 -0.466   28 0.4400   15  3.961   25 -0.436   26 -0.496
TRAIL BLAZERS  8 16 2554 2783 -0.008 12.881   24 -0.300   24 -0.286   28 -0.514   24 0.4645   18  3.945   27 -0.566   25 -0.461

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GRIZZLIES     17  8 3053 2835 -0.105 10.645    8  0.261    8  0.253    6  0.394    8 0.5315    2  4.037    1  0.820   17 -0.031
MAVERICKS     16  8 2859 2675  0.014 11.320    5  0.318    5  0.307    4  0.438    5 0.5363    8  3.986    3  0.593    9  0.284
ROCKETS       16  8 2727 2558  0.118 12.279    4  0.378    4  0.369    3  0.456    4 0.5423   26  3.901   12  0.181    3  0.731
SPURS         12 12 2673 2714 -0.064 11.631   18 -0.047   18 -0.031   20 -0.173   18 0.4928   16  3.956   19 -0.169   21 -0.177
PELICANS       5 20 2624 2917 -0.066 13.036   29 -0.614   29 -0.630   29 -0.677   29 0.4372   24  3.909   30 -0.913   24 -0.441

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAVALIERS     21  4 3035 2787 -0.094 10.718    1  0.602    1  0.617    5  0.424    1 0.5698    6  4.015    2  0.732   13  0.116
BULLS         10 15 2978 3075  0.038 13.121   21 -0.160   21 -0.157   19 -0.167   21 0.4838    1  4.096    5  0.575   29 -0.909
PACERS        10 15 2850 2955 -0.079 12.187   23 -0.235   23 -0.225   26 -0.312   23 0.4690    5  4.020   14  0.022   28 -0.645
BUCKS         12 11 2608 2586  0.000 11.348   16  0.021   16  0.035   15  0.058   16 0.5039   19  3.942   15 -0.009   12  0.124
PISTONS       10 15 2763 2826 -0.013 12.508   22 -0.203   22 -0.202   17 -0.140   22 0.4751   21  3.920   23 -0.319   14  0.038

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HAWKS         13 12 2927 2996 -0.126 11.715   17 -0.045   17 -0.031   22 -0.213   17 0.5000    3  4.032   11  0.183   27 -0.610
HEAT          12 10 2469 2404 -0.023 10.551   12  0.080   14  0.064   11  0.174   15 0.5043   22  3.911   16 -0.051    7  0.399
MAGIC         17  9 2798 2685 -0.026 12.204    6  0.284    7  0.280   10  0.219    6 0.5334   30  3.834   24 -0.385    2  0.822
HORNETS        7 17 2570 2702  0.023 12.538   26 -0.389   26 -0.377   25 -0.301   26 0.4525   25  3.908   26 -0.542   18 -0.059
WIZARDS        3 19 2368 2724  0.066 12.449   30 -0.639   30 -0.657   30 -0.847   30 0.4283    9  3.983   29 -0.706   30 -0.988

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CELTICS       19  5 2883 2657 -0.020 11.139    3  0.539    3  0.544    2  0.496    3 0.5653   14  3.973    4  0.588    6  0.404
KNICKS        15  9 2826 2664 -0.032 11.044    9  0.199    9  0.187    7  0.335    9 0.5227    7  3.987    7  0.499   11  0.171
RAPTORS        7 18 2808 2930  0.046 13.233   27 -0.415   27 -0.405   23 -0.218   27 0.4495   12  3.974   17 -0.123   22 -0.313
NETS          10 14 2642 2732  0.089 12.993   19 -0.092   19 -0.078   18 -0.155   19 0.4902   20  3.924   22 -0.316   16  0.007
76ERS          7 15 2314 2422  0.036 11.490   25 -0.325   25 -0.314   21 -0.207   25 0.4591   29  3.863   28 -0.669   10  0.255

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 66 56 0.541    1  0.134
PACIFIC DIVISION   65 55 0.542    2  0.084
ATLANTIC DIVISION  58 61 0.487    3  0.052
NORTHWEST DIVISION 55 60 0.478    4  0.028
CENTRAL DIVISION   63 60 0.512    5 -0.035
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 52 67 0.437    6 -0.247

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.176 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.021 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Dec 10 05:30:10 2024
games through: Mon Dec  9 2024

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