Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BULLS          6 10 1846 1966  0.121  9.235   21 -0.128   20 -0.110   23 -0.262   18 0.4854    1  4.068    8  0.334   29 -0.859 P
CAVALIERS     16  1 2100 1891 -0.044  7.497    1  0.704    1  0.731    2  0.511    1 0.5953    2  4.037    1  0.943   15  0.079 P
PACERS         6  9 1714 1776  0.070  8.190   19 -0.099   19 -0.106   21 -0.148   24 0.4753    3  4.033   10  0.264   27 -0.560 P
LAKERS        10  4 1642 1624 -0.116  6.401    6  0.275    6  0.269   16 -0.014    6 0.5395    4  4.022    7  0.340   24 -0.368 P
WIZARDS        2 11 1429 1621  0.039  7.487   28 -0.471   28 -0.477   30 -0.613   29 0.4340    5  4.022   23 -0.259   30 -0.967 P
HAWKS          7  9 1839 1913 -0.188  7.444   23 -0.208   23 -0.188   25 -0.311   22 0.4812    6  4.021   13  0.037   28 -0.659 P
GRIZZLIES      9  7 1903 1801 -0.081  7.191   14  0.040   14  0.015    8  0.235   14 0.5060    7  4.012    4  0.532   18 -0.062 P
NUGGETS        8  5 1515 1496  0.042  6.702    7  0.201    7  0.189   11  0.083    8 0.5218    8  3.987   12  0.250   19 -0.085 P
KNICKS         9  6 1774 1678  0.007  7.215    9  0.155   10  0.124    7  0.283    9 0.5203    9  3.986    5  0.445   12  0.121 P
RAPTORS        3 12 1701 1793 -0.002  7.871   29 -0.471   29 -0.478   24 -0.270   28 0.4369   10  3.976   18 -0.156   25 -0.385 P
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CELTICS       12  3 1823 1677 -0.001  7.105    3  0.443    3  0.445    5  0.441    3 0.5661   11  3.974    3  0.542    6  0.340 P
WARRIORS      11  3 1674 1528  0.188  7.116    2  0.505    2  0.508    3  0.508    2 0.5790   12  3.974    2  0.609    4  0.408 P
MAVERICKS      8  7 1734 1639  0.018  7.209   12  0.076   12  0.032    6  0.312   13 0.5085   13  3.964    6  0.360    7  0.264 P
SUNS           9  7 1793 1832  0.031  8.398   10  0.133    9  0.134   19 -0.111   10 0.5195   14  3.963   16 -0.065   20 -0.157 P
JAZZ           3 11 1512 1664  0.083  7.908   26 -0.379   26 -0.372   28 -0.426   27 0.4451   15  3.962   25 -0.386   26 -0.466 P
KINGS          8  7 1753 1706 -0.228  6.169   16 -0.062   16 -0.091   17 -0.016   16 0.4941   16  3.960   14  0.011   17 -0.044 P
HORNETS        5  9 1528 1597  0.018  7.440   25 -0.215   24 -0.193   22 -0.224   25 0.4664   17  3.944   24 -0.278   21 -0.170 P
TRAIL BLAZERS  6  9 1602 1707 -0.097  7.573   24 -0.215   25 -0.193   27 -0.365   20 0.4823   18  3.938   26 -0.446   23 -0.283 P
TIMBERWOLVES   8  6 1594 1555 -0.146  6.187   13  0.043   13  0.019   12  0.032   12 0.5103   19  3.937   15 -0.055   13  0.119 P
NETS           6  9 1675 1720  0.098  8.288   17 -0.074   17 -0.098   18 -0.074   17 0.4877   20  3.934   21 -0.176   16  0.029 P
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HEAT           6  7 1442 1431 -0.081  6.131   18 -0.075   18 -0.102   14  0.006   19 0.4823   21  3.920   19 -0.165   11  0.178 P
SPURS          7  8 1636 1644  0.077  8.043   15  0.004   15 -0.020   15 -0.000   15 0.4961   22  3.915   22 -0.197   10  0.196 P
BUCKS          6  9 1669 1683  0.063  7.946   20 -0.120   21 -0.130   13  0.023   21 0.4812   23  3.915   20 -0.175    9  0.220 P
ROCKETS       11  5 1834 1699  0.133  8.384    5  0.343    5  0.345    4  0.470    5 0.5444   24  3.913   11  0.261    3  0.679 P
THUNDER       12  4 1828 1658  0.052  7.776    4  0.410    4  0.410    1  0.514    4 0.5638   25  3.910    9  0.291    2  0.737 P
CLIPPERS       9  7 1742 1730  0.112  8.587    8  0.182    8  0.158   10  0.117    7 0.5231   26  3.903   17 -0.143    5  0.377 P
PELICANS       4 12 1656 1846 -0.071  8.608   27 -0.414   27 -0.413   29 -0.560   26 0.4617   27  3.890   30 -0.885   22 -0.235 P
PISTONS        7  9 1756 1775 -0.072  7.734   22 -0.165   22 -0.154   20 -0.114   23 0.4774   28  3.886   27 -0.459    8  0.230 P
76ERS          2 12 1454 1577  0.038  7.615   30 -0.520   30 -0.522   26 -0.361   30 0.4210   29  3.863   29 -0.817   14  0.095 P
MAGIC          9  7 1696 1637 -0.008  7.735   11  0.102   11  0.074    9  0.150   11 0.5106   30  3.806   28 -0.579    1  0.879 P
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LAKERS        10  4 1642 1624 -0.116  6.401    6  0.275    6  0.269   16 -0.014    6 0.5395    4  4.022    7  0.340   24 -0.368 P
WARRIORS      11  3 1674 1528  0.188  7.116    2  0.505    2  0.508    3  0.508    2 0.5790   12  3.974    2  0.609    4  0.408 P
SUNS           9  7 1793 1832  0.031  8.398   10  0.133    9  0.134   19 -0.111   10 0.5195   14  3.963   16 -0.065   20 -0.157 P
KINGS          8  7 1753 1706 -0.228  6.169   16 -0.062   16 -0.091   17 -0.016   16 0.4941   16  3.960   14  0.011   17 -0.044 P
CLIPPERS       9  7 1742 1730  0.112  8.587    8  0.182    8  0.158   10  0.117    7 0.5231   26  3.903   17 -0.143    5  0.377 P

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NUGGETS        8  5 1515 1496  0.042  6.702    7  0.201    7  0.189   11  0.083    8 0.5218    8  3.987   12  0.250   19 -0.085 P
JAZZ           3 11 1512 1664  0.083  7.908   26 -0.379   26 -0.372   28 -0.426   27 0.4451   15  3.962   25 -0.386   26 -0.466 P
TRAIL BLAZERS  6  9 1602 1707 -0.097  7.573   24 -0.215   25 -0.193   27 -0.365   20 0.4823   18  3.938   26 -0.446   23 -0.283 P
TIMBERWOLVES   8  6 1594 1555 -0.146  6.187   13  0.043   13  0.019   12  0.032   12 0.5103   19  3.937   15 -0.055   13  0.119 P
THUNDER       12  4 1828 1658  0.052  7.776    4  0.410    4  0.410    1  0.514    4 0.5638   25  3.910    9  0.291    2  0.737 P

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GRIZZLIES      9  7 1903 1801 -0.081  7.191   14  0.040   14  0.015    8  0.235   14 0.5060    7  4.012    4  0.532   18 -0.062 P
MAVERICKS      8  7 1734 1639  0.018  7.209   12  0.076   12  0.032    6  0.312   13 0.5085   13  3.964    6  0.360    7  0.264 P
SPURS          7  8 1636 1644  0.077  8.043   15  0.004   15 -0.020   15 -0.000   15 0.4961   22  3.915   22 -0.197   10  0.196 P
ROCKETS       11  5 1834 1699  0.133  8.384    5  0.343    5  0.345    4  0.470    5 0.5444   24  3.913   11  0.261    3  0.679 P
PELICANS       4 12 1656 1846 -0.071  8.608   27 -0.414   27 -0.413   29 -0.560   26 0.4617   27  3.890   30 -0.885   22 -0.235 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BULLS          6 10 1846 1966  0.121  9.235   21 -0.128   20 -0.110   23 -0.262   18 0.4854    1  4.068    8  0.334   29 -0.859 P
CAVALIERS     16  1 2100 1891 -0.044  7.497    1  0.704    1  0.731    2  0.511    1 0.5953    2  4.037    1  0.943   15  0.079 P
PACERS         6  9 1714 1776  0.070  8.190   19 -0.099   19 -0.106   21 -0.148   24 0.4753    3  4.033   10  0.264   27 -0.560 P
BUCKS          6  9 1669 1683  0.063  7.946   20 -0.120   21 -0.130   13  0.023   21 0.4812   23  3.915   20 -0.175    9  0.220 P
PISTONS        7  9 1756 1775 -0.072  7.734   22 -0.165   22 -0.154   20 -0.114   23 0.4774   28  3.886   27 -0.459    8  0.230 P

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WIZARDS        2 11 1429 1621  0.039  7.487   28 -0.471   28 -0.477   30 -0.613   29 0.4340    5  4.022   23 -0.259   30 -0.967 P
HAWKS          7  9 1839 1913 -0.188  7.444   23 -0.208   23 -0.188   25 -0.311   22 0.4812    6  4.021   13  0.037   28 -0.659 P
HORNETS        5  9 1528 1597  0.018  7.440   25 -0.215   24 -0.193   22 -0.224   25 0.4664   17  3.944   24 -0.278   21 -0.170 P
HEAT           6  7 1442 1431 -0.081  6.131   18 -0.075   18 -0.102   14  0.006   19 0.4823   21  3.920   19 -0.165   11  0.178 P
MAGIC          9  7 1696 1637 -0.008  7.735   11  0.102   11  0.074    9  0.150   11 0.5106   30  3.806   28 -0.579    1  0.879 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KNICKS         9  6 1774 1678  0.007  7.215    9  0.155   10  0.124    7  0.283    9 0.5203    9  3.986    5  0.445   12  0.121 P
RAPTORS        3 12 1701 1793 -0.002  7.871   29 -0.471   29 -0.478   24 -0.270   28 0.4369   10  3.976   18 -0.156   25 -0.385 P
CELTICS       12  3 1823 1677 -0.001  7.105    3  0.443    3  0.445    5  0.441    3 0.5661   11  3.974    3  0.542    6  0.340 P
NETS           6  9 1675 1720  0.098  8.288   17 -0.074   17 -0.098   18 -0.074   17 0.4877   20  3.934   21 -0.176   16  0.029 P
76ERS          2 12 1454 1577  0.038  7.615   30 -0.520   30 -0.522   26 -0.361   30 0.4210   29  3.863   29 -0.817   14  0.095 P

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
PACIFIC DIVISION   47 28 0.627    1  0.152
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 39 39 0.500    2  0.148
ATLANTIC DIVISION  32 42 0.432    3  0.000
CENTRAL DIVISION   41 38 0.519    4 -0.010
NORTHWEST DIVISION 37 35 0.514    5 -0.058
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 29 43 0.403    6 -0.291

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.205 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.024 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Nov 21 05:30:13 2024
games through: Wed Nov 20 2024

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