Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    3 0  71  41  0.102  1.491    1  0.077    1  0.089    5  0.073    2 0.6132   30  0.948   26 -0.319    2  0.465 P
BILLS      3 0 101  78 -0.119  1.253    2  0.074    2  0.081    6  0.057    4 0.5908    2  1.637    1  0.595   30 -0.481 P
CHIEFS     3 0  88  50 -0.062  1.280    3  0.073    3  0.080    4  0.084    1 0.6287   17  1.258   16  0.071   15  0.097 P
49ERS      3 0  98  50 -0.043  1.247    4  0.073    4  0.079    2  0.100    3 0.6056   13  1.385    9  0.261   19 -0.062 P
RAIDERS    3 0  88  54 -0.182  1.217    5  0.063    5  0.063   13  0.011    6 0.5796   10  1.403   10  0.198   22 -0.177 P
BRONCOS    2 1  60  70  0.423  2.043    6  0.058    6  0.059   10  0.029    5 0.5902   16  1.273   17  0.036   17  0.021 P
RAVENS     2 1  92  78  0.035  1.491    7  0.048    7  0.034    8  0.048   11 0.5293    8  1.452    7  0.305   24 -0.210 P
SEAHAWKS   2 1  75  50  0.041  1.436    8  0.048    8  0.033    3  0.086   10 0.5422   20  1.192   19 -0.013   11  0.185 P
LIONS      2 1  93  95  0.015  1.503    9  0.047    9  0.033   12  0.019    9 0.5424    3  1.625    3  0.539   31 -0.501 P
BEARS      2 1  89  53  0.129  1.581   10  0.045   11  0.031    7  0.056    8 0.5535   15  1.333   14  0.144   18 -0.033 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    2 1  82  36  0.095  1.459   11  0.044   12  0.029    1  0.100    7 0.5635   18  1.196   18  0.006   10  0.194 P
BROWNS     2 1  54  71  0.115  1.751   12  0.027   10  0.033   25 -0.045   13 0.5160   25  1.070   25 -0.295    6  0.205 P
EAGLES     2 1  55  69 -0.190  1.321   13  0.025   13  0.023   21 -0.029   14 0.5158   22  1.150   22 -0.181   14  0.124 P
STEELERS   2 1  53  60 -0.156  1.369   14  0.023   14  0.021   23 -0.036   12 0.5191   21  1.189   21 -0.139   16  0.067 P
BENGALS    2 1  80  63 -0.114  1.313   15  0.017   15  0.017   11  0.019   17 0.4967   14  1.381   13  0.174   20 -0.136 P
RAMS       1 2  61  63  0.178  1.677   16 -0.000   18 -0.013    9  0.042   15 0.5112   19  1.194   20 -0.054   13  0.139 P
GIANTS     2 1  46  55 -0.291  1.269   17 -0.004   16  0.008   30 -0.075   20 0.4691   31  0.928   31 -0.489    3  0.339 P
PATRIOTS   1 2  36  51  0.322  1.921   18 -0.014   17 -0.008   14  0.007   18 0.4966   32  0.776   32 -0.569    1  0.583 P
CARDINALS  1 2  63  81  0.229  1.870   19 -0.018   19 -0.014   20 -0.024   19 0.4723   12  1.390   15  0.144   23 -0.192 P
SAINTS     1 2  81  83  0.205  1.785   20 -0.019   20 -0.016   15  0.005   16 0.4971   11  1.396   12  0.182   21 -0.172 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      1 2  72  91  0.125  1.715   21 -0.019   21 -0.019   18 -0.013   21 0.4635    7  1.497    6  0.311   26 -0.337 P
PACKERS    1 2  56  91 -0.167  1.429   22 -0.025   23 -0.033   28 -0.061   22 0.4600    6  1.499    8  0.264   27 -0.387 P
COWBOYS    1 2  88  82 -0.118  1.354   23 -0.029   24 -0.038   16 -0.005   26 0.4445    4  1.545    4  0.390   28 -0.401 P
COMMANDERS 1 2  75  92  0.077  1.687   24 -0.034   22 -0.024   24 -0.040   23 0.4566    5  1.533    5  0.337   29 -0.417 P
PANTHERS   1 2  89  83 -0.070  1.413   25 -0.042   25 -0.041   17 -0.008   24 0.4542    1  1.644    2  0.541   32 -0.557 P
FALCONS    1 2  51  68 -0.249  1.282   26 -0.060   26 -0.045   29 -0.074   27 0.4415   28  1.017   29 -0.387    5  0.239 P
JETS       1 2  64  61 -0.345  1.134   27 -0.067   27 -0.059   27 -0.059   29 0.4051   23  1.085   24 -0.290   12  0.173 P
DOLPHINS   0 3  36  86  0.335  2.102   28 -0.073   28 -0.062   31 -0.083   25 0.4520   26  1.044   27 -0.364    8  0.199 P
TEXANS     0 3  54  75  0.050  1.637   29 -0.078   29 -0.077   22 -0.029   31 0.3863   24  1.085   23 -0.262    7  0.203 P
BUCCANEERS 0 3  62  79  0.049  1.625   30 -0.080   30 -0.080   19 -0.020   30 0.4031    9  1.416   11  0.186   25 -0.226 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   0 3  44  76 -0.018  1.604   31 -0.081   31 -0.081   26 -0.058   28 0.4059   29  1.003   28 -0.387    4  0.271 P
TITANS     0 3  37  59 -0.454  1.063   32 -0.100   32 -0.118   32 -0.117   32 0.3286   27  1.017   30 -0.430    9  0.195 P

AFC WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     3 0  88  50 -0.062  1.280    3  0.073    3  0.080    4  0.084    1 0.6287   17  1.258   16  0.071   15  0.097 P
RAIDERS    3 0  88  54 -0.182  1.217    5  0.063    5  0.063   13  0.011    6 0.5796   10  1.403   10  0.198   22 -0.177 P
BRONCOS    2 1  60  70  0.423  2.043    6  0.058    6  0.059   10  0.029    5 0.5902   16  1.273   17  0.036   17  0.021 P
CHARGERS   0 3  44  76 -0.018  1.604   31 -0.081   31 -0.081   26 -0.058   28 0.4059   29  1.003   28 -0.387    4  0.271 P

AFC SOUTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    2 1  82  36  0.095  1.459   11  0.044   12  0.029    1  0.100    7 0.5635   18  1.196   18  0.006   10  0.194 P
COLTS      1 2  72  91  0.125  1.715   21 -0.019   21 -0.019   18 -0.013   21 0.4635    7  1.497    6  0.311   26 -0.337 P
TEXANS     0 3  54  75  0.050  1.637   29 -0.078   29 -0.077   22 -0.029   31 0.3863   24  1.085   23 -0.262    7  0.203 P
TITANS     0 3  37  59 -0.454  1.063   32 -0.100   32 -0.118   32 -0.117   32 0.3286   27  1.017   30 -0.430    9  0.195 P

AFC NORTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAVENS     2 1  92  78  0.035  1.491    7  0.048    7  0.034    8  0.048   11 0.5293    8  1.452    7  0.305   24 -0.210 P
BROWNS     2 1  54  71  0.115  1.751   12  0.027   10  0.033   25 -0.045   13 0.5160   25  1.070   25 -0.295    6  0.205 P
STEELERS   2 1  53  60 -0.156  1.369   14  0.023   14  0.021   23 -0.036   12 0.5191   21  1.189   21 -0.139   16  0.067 P
BENGALS    2 1  80  63 -0.114  1.313   15  0.017   15  0.017   11  0.019   17 0.4967   14  1.381   13  0.174   20 -0.136 P

AFC EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      3 0 101  78 -0.119  1.253    2  0.074    2  0.081    6  0.057    4 0.5908    2  1.637    1  0.595   30 -0.481 P
PATRIOTS   1 2  36  51  0.322  1.921   18 -0.014   17 -0.008   14  0.007   18 0.4966   32  0.776   32 -0.569    1  0.583 P
JETS       1 2  64  61 -0.345  1.134   27 -0.067   27 -0.059   27 -0.059   29 0.4051   23  1.085   24 -0.290   12  0.173 P
DOLPHINS   0 3  36  86  0.335  2.102   28 -0.073   28 -0.062   31 -0.083   25 0.4520   26  1.044   27 -0.364    8  0.199 P

NFC WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      3 0  98  50 -0.043  1.247    4  0.073    4  0.079    2  0.100    3 0.6056   13  1.385    9  0.261   19 -0.062 P
SEAHAWKS   2 1  75  50  0.041  1.436    8  0.048    8  0.033    3  0.086   10 0.5422   20  1.192   19 -0.013   11  0.185 P
RAMS       1 2  61  63  0.178  1.677   16 -0.000   18 -0.013    9  0.042   15 0.5112   19  1.194   20 -0.054   13  0.139 P
CARDINALS  1 2  63  81  0.229  1.870   19 -0.018   19 -0.014   20 -0.024   19 0.4723   12  1.390   15  0.144   23 -0.192 P

NFC SOUTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAINTS     1 2  81  83  0.205  1.785   20 -0.019   20 -0.016   15  0.005   16 0.4971   11  1.396   12  0.182   21 -0.172 P
PANTHERS   1 2  89  83 -0.070  1.413   25 -0.042   25 -0.041   17 -0.008   24 0.4542    1  1.644    2  0.541   32 -0.557 P
FALCONS    1 2  51  68 -0.249  1.282   26 -0.060   26 -0.045   29 -0.074   27 0.4415   28  1.017   29 -0.387    5  0.239 P
BUCCANEERS 0 3  62  79  0.049  1.625   30 -0.080   30 -0.080   19 -0.020   30 0.4031    9  1.416   11  0.186   25 -0.226 P

NFC NORTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    3 0  71  41  0.102  1.491    1  0.077    1  0.089    5  0.073    2 0.6132   30  0.948   26 -0.319    2  0.465 P
LIONS      2 1  93  95  0.015  1.503    9  0.047    9  0.033   12  0.019    9 0.5424    3  1.625    3  0.539   31 -0.501 P
BEARS      2 1  89  53  0.129  1.581   10  0.045   11  0.031    7  0.056    8 0.5535   15  1.333   14  0.144   18 -0.033 P
PACKERS    1 2  56  91 -0.167  1.429   22 -0.025   23 -0.033   28 -0.061   22 0.4600    6  1.499    8  0.264   27 -0.387 P

NFC EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     2 1  55  69 -0.190  1.321   13  0.025   13  0.023   21 -0.029   14 0.5158   22  1.150   22 -0.181   14  0.124 P
GIANTS     2 1  46  55 -0.291  1.269   17 -0.004   16  0.008   30 -0.075   20 0.4691   31  0.928   31 -0.489    3  0.339 P
COWBOYS    1 2  88  82 -0.118  1.354   23 -0.029   24 -0.038   16 -0.005   26 0.4445    4  1.545    4  0.390   28 -0.401 P
COMMANDERS 1 2  75  92  0.077  1.687   24 -0.034   22 -0.024   24 -0.040   23 0.4566    5  1.533    5  0.337   29 -0.417 P

DIVISION   W L   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   7 5 0.583    1  0.355
NFC NORTH  8 4 0.667    2  0.155
AFC WEST   8 4 0.667    3  0.126
AFC NORTH  8 4 0.667    4 -0.014
AFC SOUTH  3 9 0.250    5 -0.111
AFC EAST   5 7 0.417    6 -0.114
NFC SOUTH  3 9 0.250    7 -0.148
NFC EAST   6 6 0.500    8 -0.246

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.127 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.024 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Sep 29 05:30:21 2026
games through: Mon Sep 28 2026

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