Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.352  4.093    4  0.258    4  0.273    1  0.370    3 0.5965   27  1.103   13  0.131    2  0.610
COLTS      7 1 0 270 154  0.069  3.441    1  0.339    1  0.336    2  0.352    4 0.5964    4  1.536    2  0.706   19 -0.001
TEXANS     3 4 0 153 103  0.384  4.104   15  0.015   15  0.021    3  0.310   14 0.5131   31  0.886   24 -0.179    1  0.800
CHIEFS     4 3 0 186 124  0.106  3.451   14  0.063   14  0.073    4  0.286   13 0.5285   23  1.168   14  0.128    3  0.444
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.193  3.740    7  0.215    6  0.228    5  0.257    7 0.5766   12  1.369    5  0.367    7  0.147
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.105  3.408    9  0.189    9  0.196    6  0.228    6 0.5777    7  1.426    4  0.419   15  0.038
BRONCOS    6 2 0 207 151 -0.021  3.542    8  0.209    8  0.217    7  0.167    8 0.5694   24  1.136   22 -0.031    4  0.366
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.207  4.412    3  0.295    3  0.315    8  0.164    2 0.5975   11  1.395    7  0.311   17  0.017
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.221  4.519    2  0.315    2  0.316    9  0.148    1 0.6007   10  1.395    8  0.295   18  0.001
PACKERS    5 1 1 193 150 -0.017  3.260    5  0.220    7  0.227   10  0.126    5 0.5796   16  1.320   10  0.167   11  0.084
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      5 2 0 207 146 -0.328  2.398   13  0.070   13  0.074   11  0.102   16 0.5082    5  1.447    6  0.323   22 -0.120
PATRIOTS   6 2 0 213 146 -0.343  2.717   12  0.113   12  0.102   12  0.101   12 0.5286   15  1.326   12  0.151   13  0.051
49ERS      5 3 0 160 164  0.270  4.702    6  0.217    5  0.230   13  0.095    9 0.5637   22  1.176   23 -0.052    6  0.243
CHARGERS   5 3 0 188 173  0.027  3.985   11  0.131   11  0.131   14  0.060   11 0.5304   18  1.274   16  0.040   12  0.080
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.244  4.142   10  0.139   10  0.144   15  0.049   10 0.5476   21  1.262   18  0.012   10  0.085
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.011  3.520   27 -0.204   27 -0.192   16  0.011   26 0.4379   20  1.269   21 -0.017   14  0.038
COMMANDERS 3 4 0 180 170 -0.112  3.127   20 -0.090   21 -0.097   17 -0.001   19 0.4720    8  1.420    9  0.181   25 -0.183
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.009  3.995   19 -0.046   19 -0.051   18 -0.014   18 0.4856    1  1.774    1  0.719   32 -0.748
STEELERS   4 3 0 175 175 -0.180  3.020   16  0.012   16  0.013   19 -0.050   15 0.5112    6  1.438   11  0.158   27 -0.258
RAVENS     2 5 0 174 210  0.163  4.133   22 -0.122   22 -0.118   20 -0.064   27 0.4378    2  1.623    3  0.423   30 -0.551
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS     2 6 0 173 215  0.153  4.656   26 -0.187   26 -0.168   21 -0.065   24 0.4443   14  1.343   20  0.009   23 -0.139
BEARS      4 3 0 168 185 -0.203  3.050   17  0.011   17  0.011   22 -0.094   17 0.4949   13  1.366   19  0.012   26 -0.200
DOLPHINS   2 6 0 174 215 -0.134  3.827   29 -0.276   29 -0.262   23 -0.163   30 0.4094    9  1.417   17  0.014   29 -0.341
VIKINGS    3 4 0 155 162 -0.310  2.793   23 -0.139   23 -0.145   24 -0.166   21 0.4714   19  1.271   25 -0.190   24 -0.142
PANTHERS   4 4 0 154 192 -0.184  3.589   18 -0.037   18 -0.041   25 -0.176   22 0.4704   26  1.124   27 -0.389   16  0.037
FALCONS    3 4 0 120 154 -0.155  3.255   21 -0.099   20 -0.095   26 -0.211   20 0.4717   29  1.039   29 -0.527    9  0.105
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.189  3.777   30 -0.284   30 -0.276   27 -0.220   28 0.4169   32  0.880   32 -0.716    5  0.276
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.223  3.585   32 -0.402   32 -0.408   28 -0.260   32 0.3738   17  1.295   26 -0.252   28 -0.268
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.047  3.885   25 -0.167   25 -0.148   29 -0.265   25 0.4413   30  0.991   31 -0.637    8  0.107
SAINTS     1 7 0 128 209 -0.037  4.247   31 -0.341   31 -0.338   30 -0.288   31 0.3878   28  1.078   30 -0.557   20 -0.019
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TITANS     1 7 0 110 230  0.245  5.331   28 -0.255   28 -0.232   31 -0.294   29 0.4156   25  1.129   28 -0.501   21 -0.087
BENGALS    3 5 0 174 253 -0.182  3.880   24 -0.164   24 -0.147   32 -0.304   23 0.4642    3  1.546   15  0.064   31 -0.673

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     4 3 0 186 124  0.106  3.451   14  0.063   14  0.073    4  0.286   13 0.5285   23  1.168   14  0.128    3  0.444
BRONCOS    6 2 0 207 151 -0.021  3.542    8  0.209    8  0.217    7  0.167    8 0.5694   24  1.136   22 -0.031    4  0.366
CHARGERS   5 3 0 188 173  0.027  3.985   11  0.131   11  0.131   14  0.060   11 0.5304   18  1.274   16  0.040   12  0.080
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.047  3.885   25 -0.167   25 -0.148   29 -0.265   25 0.4413   30  0.991   31 -0.637    8  0.107

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      7 1 0 270 154  0.069  3.441    1  0.339    1  0.336    2  0.352    4 0.5964    4  1.536    2  0.706   19 -0.001
TEXANS     3 4 0 153 103  0.384  4.104   15  0.015   15  0.021    3  0.310   14 0.5131   31  0.886   24 -0.179    1  0.800
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.244  4.142   10  0.139   10  0.144   15  0.049   10 0.5476   21  1.262   18  0.012   10  0.085
TITANS     1 7 0 110 230  0.245  5.331   28 -0.255   28 -0.232   31 -0.294   29 0.4156   25  1.129   28 -0.501   21 -0.087

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   4 3 0 175 175 -0.180  3.020   16  0.012   16  0.013   19 -0.050   15 0.5112    6  1.438   11  0.158   27 -0.258
RAVENS     2 5 0 174 210  0.163  4.133   22 -0.122   22 -0.118   20 -0.064   27 0.4378    2  1.623    3  0.423   30 -0.551
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.189  3.777   30 -0.284   30 -0.276   27 -0.220   28 0.4169   32  0.880   32 -0.716    5  0.276
BENGALS    3 5 0 174 253 -0.182  3.880   24 -0.164   24 -0.147   32 -0.304   23 0.4642    3  1.546   15  0.064   31 -0.673

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      5 2 0 207 146 -0.328  2.398   13  0.070   13  0.074   11  0.102   16 0.5082    5  1.447    6  0.323   22 -0.120
PATRIOTS   6 2 0 213 146 -0.343  2.717   12  0.113   12  0.102   12  0.101   12 0.5286   15  1.326   12  0.151   13  0.051
DOLPHINS   2 6 0 174 215 -0.134  3.827   29 -0.276   29 -0.262   23 -0.163   30 0.4094    9  1.417   17  0.014   29 -0.341
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.223  3.585   32 -0.402   32 -0.408   28 -0.260   32 0.3738   17  1.295   26 -0.252   28 -0.268

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.352  4.093    4  0.258    4  0.273    1  0.370    3 0.5965   27  1.103   13  0.131    2  0.610
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.193  3.740    7  0.215    6  0.228    5  0.257    7 0.5766   12  1.369    5  0.367    7  0.147
49ERS      5 3 0 160 164  0.270  4.702    6  0.217    5  0.230   13  0.095    9 0.5637   22  1.176   23 -0.052    6  0.243
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.011  3.520   27 -0.204   27 -0.192   16  0.011   26 0.4379   20  1.269   21 -0.017   14  0.038

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.207  4.412    3  0.295    3  0.315    8  0.164    2 0.5975   11  1.395    7  0.311   17  0.017
PANTHERS   4 4 0 154 192 -0.184  3.589   18 -0.037   18 -0.041   25 -0.176   22 0.4704   26  1.124   27 -0.389   16  0.037
FALCONS    3 4 0 120 154 -0.155  3.255   21 -0.099   20 -0.095   26 -0.211   20 0.4717   29  1.039   29 -0.527    9  0.105
SAINTS     1 7 0 128 209 -0.037  4.247   31 -0.341   31 -0.338   30 -0.288   31 0.3878   28  1.078   30 -0.557   20 -0.019

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.105  3.408    9  0.189    9  0.196    6  0.228    6 0.5777    7  1.426    4  0.419   15  0.038
PACKERS    5 1 1 193 150 -0.017  3.260    5  0.220    7  0.227   10  0.126    5 0.5796   16  1.320   10  0.167   11  0.084
BEARS      4 3 0 168 185 -0.203  3.050   17  0.011   17  0.011   22 -0.094   17 0.4949   13  1.366   19  0.012   26 -0.200
VIKINGS    3 4 0 155 162 -0.310  2.793   23 -0.139   23 -0.145   24 -0.166   21 0.4714   19  1.271   25 -0.190   24 -0.142

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.221  4.519    2  0.315    2  0.316    9  0.148    1 0.6007   10  1.395    8  0.295   18  0.001
COMMANDERS 3 4 0 180 170 -0.112  3.127   20 -0.090   21 -0.097   17 -0.001   19 0.4720    8  1.420    9  0.181   25 -0.183
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.009  3.995   19 -0.046   19 -0.051   18 -0.014   18 0.4856    1  1.774    1  0.719   32 -0.748
GIANTS     2 6 0 173 215  0.153  4.656   26 -0.187   26 -0.168   21 -0.065   24 0.4443   14  1.343   20  0.009   23 -0.139

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   17 12  0 0.586    1  0.471
AFC SOUTH  15 15  0 0.500    2  0.308
AFC WEST   17 13  0 0.567    3  0.160
NFC NORTH  17 10  1 0.625    4  0.052
NFC EAST   14 16  1 0.468    5  0.034
AFC EAST   14 17  0 0.452    6 -0.182
NFC SOUTH  14 17  0 0.452    7 -0.321
AFC NORTH  11 19  0 0.367    8 -0.422

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.217 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Oct 27 05:30:08 2025
games through: Sun Oct 26 2025

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