Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       7 2 0 251 153  0.293  5.055    1  0.393    1  0.389    1  0.483    1 0.6147   22  1.212    5  0.377    2  0.589
EAGLES     7 2 0 218 192  0.202  5.063    2  0.374    2  0.385    7  0.163    2 0.6050   19  1.288   12  0.157    7  0.168
SEAHAWKS   7 2 0 275 172  0.161  4.725    3  0.343    3  0.343    2  0.404    3 0.5903   10  1.405    3  0.560    5  0.249
BRONCOS    8 2 0 235 173 -0.040  4.471    5  0.318    4  0.335    8  0.162    5 0.5803   27  1.038   23 -0.160    4  0.484
COLTS      8 2 0 321 206  0.006  4.446    4  0.329    5  0.324    5  0.282    4 0.5848    3  1.549    1  0.650   20 -0.086
49ERS      6 4 0 220 230  0.320  6.130    7  0.253    6  0.274   11  0.119    8 0.5598   18  1.297   14  0.125   12  0.113
BUCCANEERS 6 3 0 220 206  0.205  5.078    6  0.264    7  0.274    9  0.142    6 0.5755   12  1.387    8  0.273   16  0.011
PATRIOTS   9 2 0 292 206 -0.294  4.030    8  0.244    8  0.249   10  0.124    7 0.5622   14  1.348   11  0.200   15  0.048
CHARGERS   7 3 0 240 203 -0.081  4.563    9  0.190    9  0.191   12  0.091    9 0.5464   20  1.271   16  0.063   11  0.120
JAGUARS    5 4 0 205 220  0.263  5.408   10  0.166   10  0.168   15  0.059   11 0.5379    8  1.414    9  0.228   21 -0.110
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      6 3 0 283 200  0.010  4.195   11  0.162   11  0.158    6  0.233   10 0.5414    4  1.500    4  0.527   18 -0.061
BILLS      6 3 0 248 197 -0.169  3.774   12  0.121   12  0.107   13  0.073   15 0.5169    7  1.473    7  0.328   24 -0.181
BEARS      6 3 0 239 247 -0.262  3.672   13  0.107   13  0.088   20 -0.112   17 0.5152    6  1.480   13  0.153   30 -0.377
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.102  4.547   14  0.095   14  0.078    3  0.328   14 0.5170   25  1.125   15  0.111    3  0.545
STEELERS   5 4 0 212 220 -0.050  4.400   16  0.051   15  0.049   18 -0.045   13 0.5193   13  1.349   17  0.033   22 -0.122
PACKERS    5 3 1 213 176 -0.148  3.911   15  0.072   16  0.048   16  0.020   16 0.5154   23  1.149   24 -0.166    6  0.206
TEXANS     4 5 0 204 150  0.354  5.350   17  0.044   17  0.045    4  0.311   12 0.5233   29  0.999   21 -0.057    1  0.678
RAVENS     4 5 0 229 235  0.144  5.014   18 -0.029   18 -0.005   14  0.071   18 0.4828    5  1.493    6  0.354   26 -0.213
PANTHERS   5 5 0 177 222 -0.196  4.474   19 -0.079   19 -0.069   26 -0.230   20 0.4750   28  1.027   29 -0.565   13  0.105
VIKINGS    4 5 0 201 213 -0.152  4.137   20 -0.108   20 -0.102   21 -0.126   19 0.4798   21  1.249   25 -0.184   19 -0.069
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS  3 6 0 202 215  0.093  4.856   21 -0.158   21 -0.162   17  0.017   21 0.4589   17  1.298   18  0.024   17  0.011
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.130  4.166   22 -0.184   22 -0.165   19 -0.111   23 0.4540    1  1.753    2  0.582   31 -0.805
FALCONS    3 6 0 168 209 -0.034  4.600   23 -0.204   23 -0.186   23 -0.145   22 0.4569   26  1.101   27 -0.391   14  0.100
COMMANDERS 3 7 0 223 280 -0.005  5.249   24 -0.237   24 -0.218   25 -0.185   25 0.4327    9  1.409   20 -0.023   29 -0.348
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.217  4.172   25 -0.256   25 -0.243   32 -0.339   24 0.4399    2  1.660   10  0.202   32 -0.881
DOLPHINS   3 7 0 210 256 -0.115  4.821   26 -0.277   26 -0.266   24 -0.175   29 0.4262   16  1.312   22 -0.148   25 -0.201
RAIDERS    2 7 0 139 220 -0.007  4.946   27 -0.283   27 -0.273   28 -0.247   26 0.4304   31  0.992   31 -0.622   10  0.129
GIANTS     2 8 0 217 273  0.074  5.527   28 -0.311   28 -0.304   22 -0.134   28 0.4278   11  1.396   19  0.009   27 -0.276
SAINTS     2 8 0 155 250  0.051  5.631   29 -0.311   29 -0.307   27 -0.236   27 0.4294   30  0.997   30 -0.606    9  0.134
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.205  5.769   30 -0.323   30 -0.318   31 -0.326   30 0.4149   24  1.141   28 -0.524   23 -0.129
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     2 7 0 146 211 -0.203  4.187   31 -0.357   31 -0.367   29 -0.265   31 0.3955   32  0.950   32 -0.688    8  0.158
JETS       2 8 0 209 268 -0.254  4.383   32 -0.410   32 -0.441   30 -0.300   32 0.3926   15  1.322   26 -0.259   28 -0.340

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    8 2 0 235 173 -0.040  4.471    5  0.318    4  0.335    8  0.162    5 0.5803   27  1.038   23 -0.160    4  0.484
CHARGERS   7 3 0 240 203 -0.081  4.563    9  0.190    9  0.191   12  0.091    9 0.5464   20  1.271   16  0.063   11  0.120
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.102  4.547   14  0.095   14  0.078    3  0.328   14 0.5170   25  1.125   15  0.111    3  0.545
RAIDERS    2 7 0 139 220 -0.007  4.946   27 -0.283   27 -0.273   28 -0.247   26 0.4304   31  0.992   31 -0.622   10  0.129

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      8 2 0 321 206  0.006  4.446    4  0.329    5  0.324    5  0.282    4 0.5848    3  1.549    1  0.650   20 -0.086
JAGUARS    5 4 0 205 220  0.263  5.408   10  0.166   10  0.168   15  0.059   11 0.5379    8  1.414    9  0.228   21 -0.110
TEXANS     4 5 0 204 150  0.354  5.350   17  0.044   17  0.045    4  0.311   12 0.5233   29  0.999   21 -0.057    1  0.678
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.205  5.769   30 -0.323   30 -0.318   31 -0.326   30 0.4149   24  1.141   28 -0.524   23 -0.129

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   5 4 0 212 220 -0.050  4.400   16  0.051   15  0.049   18 -0.045   13 0.5193   13  1.349   17  0.033   22 -0.122
RAVENS     4 5 0 229 235  0.144  5.014   18 -0.029   18 -0.005   14  0.071   18 0.4828    5  1.493    6  0.354   26 -0.213
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.217  4.172   25 -0.256   25 -0.243   32 -0.339   24 0.4399    2  1.660   10  0.202   32 -0.881
BROWNS     2 7 0 146 211 -0.203  4.187   31 -0.357   31 -0.367   29 -0.265   31 0.3955   32  0.950   32 -0.688    8  0.158

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   9 2 0 292 206 -0.294  4.030    8  0.244    8  0.249   10  0.124    7 0.5622   14  1.348   11  0.200   15  0.048
BILLS      6 3 0 248 197 -0.169  3.774   12  0.121   12  0.107   13  0.073   15 0.5169    7  1.473    7  0.328   24 -0.181
DOLPHINS   3 7 0 210 256 -0.115  4.821   26 -0.277   26 -0.266   24 -0.175   29 0.4262   16  1.312   22 -0.148   25 -0.201
JETS       2 8 0 209 268 -0.254  4.383   32 -0.410   32 -0.441   30 -0.300   32 0.3926   15  1.322   26 -0.259   28 -0.340

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       7 2 0 251 153  0.293  5.055    1  0.393    1  0.389    1  0.483    1 0.6147   22  1.212    5  0.377    2  0.589
SEAHAWKS   7 2 0 275 172  0.161  4.725    3  0.343    3  0.343    2  0.404    3 0.5903   10  1.405    3  0.560    5  0.249
49ERS      6 4 0 220 230  0.320  6.130    7  0.253    6  0.274   11  0.119    8 0.5598   18  1.297   14  0.125   12  0.113
CARDINALS  3 6 0 202 215  0.093  4.856   21 -0.158   21 -0.162   17  0.017   21 0.4589   17  1.298   18  0.024   17  0.011

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 3 0 220 206  0.205  5.078    6  0.264    7  0.274    9  0.142    6 0.5755   12  1.387    8  0.273   16  0.011
PANTHERS   5 5 0 177 222 -0.196  4.474   19 -0.079   19 -0.069   26 -0.230   20 0.4750   28  1.027   29 -0.565   13  0.105
FALCONS    3 6 0 168 209 -0.034  4.600   23 -0.204   23 -0.186   23 -0.145   22 0.4569   26  1.101   27 -0.391   14  0.100
SAINTS     2 8 0 155 250  0.051  5.631   29 -0.311   29 -0.307   27 -0.236   27 0.4294   30  0.997   30 -0.606    9  0.134

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      6 3 0 283 200  0.010  4.195   11  0.162   11  0.158    6  0.233   10 0.5414    4  1.500    4  0.527   18 -0.061
BEARS      6 3 0 239 247 -0.262  3.672   13  0.107   13  0.088   20 -0.112   17 0.5152    6  1.480   13  0.153   30 -0.377
PACKERS    5 3 1 213 176 -0.148  3.911   15  0.072   16  0.048   16  0.020   16 0.5154   23  1.149   24 -0.166    6  0.206
VIKINGS    4 5 0 201 213 -0.152  4.137   20 -0.108   20 -0.102   21 -0.126   19 0.4798   21  1.249   25 -0.184   19 -0.069

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     7 2 0 218 192  0.202  5.063    2  0.374    2  0.385    7  0.163    2 0.6050   19  1.288   12  0.157    7  0.168
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.130  4.166   22 -0.184   22 -0.165   19 -0.111   23 0.4540    1  1.753    2  0.582   31 -0.805
COMMANDERS 3 7 0 223 280 -0.005  5.249   24 -0.237   24 -0.218   25 -0.185   25 0.4327    9  1.409   20 -0.023   29 -0.348
GIANTS     2 8 0 217 273  0.074  5.527   28 -0.311   28 -0.304   22 -0.134   28 0.4278   11  1.396   19  0.009   27 -0.276

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   23 14  0 0.622    1  0.551
AFC SOUTH  18 19  0 0.486    2  0.225
AFC WEST   22 16  0 0.579    3  0.177
NFC NORTH  21 14  1 0.597    4  0.008
NFC EAST   15 22  1 0.408    5 -0.126
AFC EAST   20 20  0 0.500    6 -0.176
NFC SOUTH  16 22  0 0.421    7 -0.251
AFC NORTH  14 22  0 0.389    8 -0.354

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.183 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.017 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Nov 14 05:30:10 2025
games through: Thu Nov 13 2025

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