Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.215  4.449    1  0.330    1  0.331    9  0.165    1 0.5960   11  1.386    7  0.299   13  0.030
BRONCOS    8 2 0 235 173 -0.039  4.430    2  0.326    2  0.323    8  0.165    6 0.5728   29  1.032   23 -0.157    4  0.488
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.195  4.440    4  0.302    3  0.317   10  0.135    2 0.5960    9  1.404    8  0.296   16 -0.025
RAMS       6 2 0 209 127  0.255  4.303    3  0.306    4  0.305    1  0.406    4 0.5892   25  1.101   13  0.166    2  0.646
SEAHAWKS   6 2 0 231 150  0.223  4.346    5  0.289    5  0.303    2  0.357    3 0.5940   12  1.367    3  0.466    6  0.249
49ERS      6 3 0 194 188  0.269  5.251    6  0.275    6  0.296   11  0.132    5 0.5744   21  1.228   17  0.052    7  0.213
COLTS      7 2 0 290 181  0.044  4.009    7  0.263    7  0.275    4  0.306    7 0.5715    3  1.533    1  0.656   19 -0.043
JAGUARS    5 3 0 176 184  0.204  4.602    8  0.183    8  0.200   15  0.037    8 0.5587   15  1.343   15  0.112   18 -0.038
BILLS      6 2 0 235 167 -0.166  3.215    9  0.166    9  0.175    6  0.173   13 0.5389    6  1.479    4  0.442   22 -0.097
PATRIOTS   7 2 0 237 169 -0.337  3.117   10  0.157   10  0.154   12  0.076    9 0.5469   13  1.363   11  0.179   17 -0.027
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   6 3 0 215 193 -0.078  4.118   11  0.145   11  0.147   16  0.034   14 0.5300   16  1.324   16  0.082   15 -0.014
PACKERS    5 2 1 206 166 -0.131  3.445   12  0.120   12  0.121   14  0.057   12 0.5395   19  1.277   19  0.043   12  0.072
LIONS      5 3 0 239 178  0.017  3.740   13  0.103   13  0.106    7  0.166   10 0.5398    7  1.443    5  0.382   21 -0.050
STEELERS   5 3 0 202 195 -0.058  3.767   14  0.100   14  0.103   18  0.025   11 0.5397   10  1.395   12  0.173   23 -0.124
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.098  4.476   15  0.069   15  0.073    3  0.330   15 0.5164   24  1.120   14  0.114    3  0.547
BEARS      5 3 0 215 227 -0.250  3.294   16  0.047   16  0.047   21 -0.110   16 0.5068    5  1.518    9  0.217   30 -0.436
PANTHERS   5 4 0 170 205 -0.118  4.226   17  0.032   17  0.035   23 -0.126   18 0.5049   27  1.073   27 -0.400    9  0.148
TEXANS     3 5 0 168 121  0.386  4.801   18 -0.025   18 -0.019    5  0.299   19 0.5010   31  0.895   24 -0.180    1  0.777
VIKINGS    4 4 0 182 186 -0.164  3.588   19 -0.042   19 -0.042   20 -0.093   17 0.5061   20  1.251   22 -0.142   20 -0.044
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.141  4.461   20 -0.073   20 -0.070   17  0.031   23 0.4545    4  1.527    6  0.371   29 -0.310
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS  3 5 0 180 171  0.040  4.045   21 -0.123   21 -0.125   13  0.058   21 0.4646   22  1.220   20 -0.032    8  0.149
FALCONS    3 5 0 143 178 -0.081  3.933   22 -0.137   22 -0.137   25 -0.175   20 0.4721   26  1.089   28 -0.429   11  0.080
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.091  4.254   23 -0.138   23 -0.139   19 -0.091   22 0.4581    1  1.736    2  0.580   31 -0.763
COMMANDERS 3 6 0 201 236 -0.029  4.543   24 -0.182   24 -0.174   24 -0.131   25 0.4435   14  1.352   21 -0.043   25 -0.219
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.205  4.180   25 -0.232   25 -0.225   32 -0.329   24 0.4488    2  1.658   10  0.216   32 -0.874
GIANTS     2 7 0 197 249  0.079  4.974   26 -0.259   26 -0.247   22 -0.120   26 0.4307    8  1.410   18  0.049   27 -0.290
RAIDERS    2 7 0 139 220 -0.020  4.879   27 -0.275   27 -0.265   27 -0.246   27 0.4259   30  0.992   31 -0.616   10  0.124
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.181  3.790   28 -0.293   28 -0.286   26 -0.219   28 0.4158   32  0.888   32 -0.705    5  0.267
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.196  5.729   29 -0.317   29 -0.302   31 -0.322   30 0.4025   23  1.161   29 -0.488   24 -0.157
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.150  4.310   30 -0.332   30 -0.325   29 -0.264   31 0.3998   17  1.321   25 -0.219   28 -0.309
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAINTS     1 8 0 138 243  0.081  5.255   31 -0.362   31 -0.352   30 -0.291   29 0.4059   28  1.050   30 -0.592   14  0.010
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.209  3.620   32 -0.424   32 -0.421   28 -0.254   32 0.3798   18  1.311   26 -0.224   26 -0.285

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    8 2 0 235 173 -0.039  4.430    2  0.326    2  0.323    8  0.165    6 0.5728   29  1.032   23 -0.157    4  0.488
CHARGERS   6 3 0 215 193 -0.078  4.118   11  0.145   11  0.147   16  0.034   14 0.5300   16  1.324   16  0.082   15 -0.014
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.098  4.476   15  0.069   15  0.073    3  0.330   15 0.5164   24  1.120   14  0.114    3  0.547
RAIDERS    2 7 0 139 220 -0.020  4.879   27 -0.275   27 -0.265   27 -0.246   27 0.4259   30  0.992   31 -0.616   10  0.124

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      7 2 0 290 181  0.044  4.009    7  0.263    7  0.275    4  0.306    7 0.5715    3  1.533    1  0.656   19 -0.043
JAGUARS    5 3 0 176 184  0.204  4.602    8  0.183    8  0.200   15  0.037    8 0.5587   15  1.343   15  0.112   18 -0.038
TEXANS     3 5 0 168 121  0.386  4.801   18 -0.025   18 -0.019    5  0.299   19 0.5010   31  0.895   24 -0.180    1  0.777
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.196  5.729   29 -0.317   29 -0.302   31 -0.322   30 0.4025   23  1.161   29 -0.488   24 -0.157

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   5 3 0 202 195 -0.058  3.767   14  0.100   14  0.103   18  0.025   11 0.5397   10  1.395   12  0.173   23 -0.124
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.141  4.461   20 -0.073   20 -0.070   17  0.031   23 0.4545    4  1.527    6  0.371   29 -0.310
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.205  4.180   25 -0.232   25 -0.225   32 -0.329   24 0.4488    2  1.658   10  0.216   32 -0.874
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.181  3.790   28 -0.293   28 -0.286   26 -0.219   28 0.4158   32  0.888   32 -0.705    5  0.267

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      6 2 0 235 167 -0.166  3.215    9  0.166    9  0.175    6  0.173   13 0.5389    6  1.479    4  0.442   22 -0.097
PATRIOTS   7 2 0 237 169 -0.337  3.117   10  0.157   10  0.154   12  0.076    9 0.5469   13  1.363   11  0.179   17 -0.027
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.150  4.310   30 -0.332   30 -0.325   29 -0.264   31 0.3998   17  1.321   25 -0.219   28 -0.309
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.209  3.620   32 -0.424   32 -0.421   28 -0.254   32 0.3798   18  1.311   26 -0.224   26 -0.285

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       6 2 0 209 127  0.255  4.303    3  0.306    4  0.305    1  0.406    4 0.5892   25  1.101   13  0.166    2  0.646
SEAHAWKS   6 2 0 231 150  0.223  4.346    5  0.289    5  0.303    2  0.357    3 0.5940   12  1.367    3  0.466    6  0.249
49ERS      6 3 0 194 188  0.269  5.251    6  0.275    6  0.296   11  0.132    5 0.5744   21  1.228   17  0.052    7  0.213
CARDINALS  3 5 0 180 171  0.040  4.045   21 -0.123   21 -0.125   13  0.058   21 0.4646   22  1.220   20 -0.032    8  0.149

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.215  4.449    1  0.330    1  0.331    9  0.165    1 0.5960   11  1.386    7  0.299   13  0.030
PANTHERS   5 4 0 170 205 -0.118  4.226   17  0.032   17  0.035   23 -0.126   18 0.5049   27  1.073   27 -0.400    9  0.148
FALCONS    3 5 0 143 178 -0.081  3.933   22 -0.137   22 -0.137   25 -0.175   20 0.4721   26  1.089   28 -0.429   11  0.080
SAINTS     1 8 0 138 243  0.081  5.255   31 -0.362   31 -0.352   30 -0.291   29 0.4059   28  1.050   30 -0.592   14  0.010

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    5 2 1 206 166 -0.131  3.445   12  0.120   12  0.121   14  0.057   12 0.5395   19  1.277   19  0.043   12  0.072
LIONS      5 3 0 239 178  0.017  3.740   13  0.103   13  0.106    7  0.166   10 0.5398    7  1.443    5  0.382   21 -0.050
BEARS      5 3 0 215 227 -0.250  3.294   16  0.047   16  0.047   21 -0.110   16 0.5068    5  1.518    9  0.217   30 -0.436
VIKINGS    4 4 0 182 186 -0.164  3.588   19 -0.042   19 -0.042   20 -0.093   17 0.5061   20  1.251   22 -0.142   20 -0.044

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.195  4.440    4  0.302    3  0.317   10  0.135    2 0.5960    9  1.404    8  0.296   16 -0.025
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.091  4.254   23 -0.138   23 -0.139   19 -0.091   22 0.4581    1  1.736    2  0.580   31 -0.763
COMMANDERS 3 6 0 201 236 -0.029  4.543   24 -0.182   24 -0.174   24 -0.131   25 0.4435   14  1.352   21 -0.043   25 -0.219
GIANTS     2 7 0 197 249  0.079  4.974   26 -0.259   26 -0.247   22 -0.120   26 0.4307    8  1.410   18  0.049   27 -0.290

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   21 12  0 0.636    1  0.556
AFC SOUTH  16 18  0 0.471    2  0.244
AFC WEST   21 16  0 0.568    3  0.149
NFC NORTH  19 12  1 0.609    4  0.011
NFC EAST   14 20  1 0.414    5 -0.103
AFC EAST   16 18  0 0.471    6 -0.197
NFC SOUTH  15 19  0 0.441    7 -0.249
AFC NORTH  13 20  0 0.394    8 -0.330

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.187 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.019 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Nov  7 05:30:14 2025
games through: Thu Nov  6 2025

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