Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 5 1 0 165 151  0.278  3.448    1  0.163    1  0.170    5  0.077    1 0.5998    3  1.621    2  0.570   30 -0.416
49ERS      4 2 0 125 128  0.372  3.764    3  0.118    2  0.123   10  0.057    2 0.5607   26  1.152   25 -0.113    6  0.227
COLTS      5 1 0 194 116  0.091  2.672    2  0.121    3  0.121    1  0.150    7 0.5322    5  1.505    3  0.465   24 -0.165
EAGLES     4 2 0 142 143  0.216  3.442    4  0.096    4  0.100   13  0.030    4 0.5437   11  1.350   10  0.123   20 -0.062
SEAHAWKS   4 2 0 166 117  0.268  3.308    5  0.090    5  0.094    2  0.136    3 0.5568   14  1.299    9  0.158   10  0.114
RAMS       4 2 0 140 110  0.248  3.290    6  0.089    6  0.093    4  0.116    8 0.5202   27  1.137   22 -0.073    5  0.304
STEELERS   4 1 0 119 107 -0.104  2.204    7  0.086    7  0.087   16  0.015    5 0.5388   12  1.326   13  0.074   19 -0.044 P
JAGUARS    4 2 0 139 120  0.184  3.239    8  0.080    8  0.084    8  0.069    6 0.5343   15  1.297   12  0.088   14  0.050
CHARGERS   4 2 0 127 125  0.016  2.973    9  0.068    9  0.069   18 -0.001   15 0.4943   22  1.236   20 -0.063   12  0.061
BRONCOS    4 2 0 130  95  0.011  2.681   10  0.055   10  0.056    7  0.070   10 0.5063   30  0.938   30 -0.355    2  0.494
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FALCONS    3 2 0 100 100  0.047  2.570   11  0.038   11  0.040   17  0.000    9 0.5190   29  1.032   28 -0.315    4  0.316 P
LIONS      4 2 0 191 142 -0.162  2.376   13  0.031   12  0.036   11  0.038   14 0.4971    4  1.537    5  0.401   29 -0.324
BEARS      3 2 0 126 141 -0.030  2.454   15  0.028   13  0.034   20 -0.014   13 0.5010    6  1.434    7  0.196   26 -0.225 P
PACKERS    3 1 1 131 102 -0.234  1.880   12  0.035   14  0.033   15  0.016   11 0.5045   20  1.252   16 -0.024   13  0.057 P
PATRIOTS   4 2 0 150 120 -0.190  2.393   14  0.029   15  0.033   14  0.026   16 0.4799   17  1.271   15  0.010   15  0.041
BILLS      4 2 0 167 137 -0.339  2.057   16  0.014   16  0.017   19 -0.009   21 0.4373    8  1.418    8  0.178   25 -0.196
PANTHERS   3 3 0 132 146 -0.019  2.955   17 -0.004   17  0.002   22 -0.018   19 0.4534   16  1.275   17 -0.029   18 -0.007
CHIEFS     3 3 0 155 124  0.040  2.873   18 -0.006   18  0.000    6  0.074   18 0.4646   21  1.248   14  0.028    9  0.120
VIKINGS    3 2 0 123  97 -0.358  1.728   19 -0.009   19 -0.006   21 -0.015   12 0.5013   19  1.269   18 -0.034   17  0.004 P
COMMANDERS 3 3 0 158 126 -0.036  2.681   20 -0.013   20 -0.010    9  0.060   17 0.4740    9  1.403    6  0.226   22 -0.107
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TEXANS     2 3 0 108  61  0.248  2.630   21 -0.024   21 -0.018    3  0.125   20 0.4456   32  0.706   31 -0.542    1  0.791 P
COWBOYS    2 3 1 178 184 -0.088  2.794   22 -0.043   22 -0.039   23 -0.027   23 0.4319    1  1.706    1  0.602   32 -0.655
CARDINALS  2 4 0 130 127  0.136  3.201   23 -0.056   23 -0.052   12  0.032   25 0.4160   23  1.210   21 -0.064    8  0.129
RAIDERS    2 4 0 103 149 -0.045  3.128   24 -0.059   24 -0.054   27 -0.081   24 0.4195   28  1.085   29 -0.334    7  0.172
BENGALS    2 4 0 103 183 -0.123  3.138   25 -0.060   25 -0.055   31 -0.161   22 0.4361   10  1.362   19 -0.052   28 -0.270
GIANTS     2 4 0 121 144 -0.015  3.049   26 -0.063   26 -0.057   24 -0.046   26 0.4053   25  1.165   26 -0.200   11  0.107
TITANS     1 5 0  83 161  0.256  3.951   27 -0.081   27 -0.073   29 -0.109   27 0.3696   24  1.181   27 -0.242   16  0.024
RAVENS     1 5 0 144 194 -0.050  3.222   28 -0.119   28 -0.115   30 -0.111   31 0.3355    2  1.651    4  0.430   31 -0.651
SAINTS     1 5 0 111 160 -0.023  3.144   29 -0.122   29 -0.117   26 -0.080   29 0.3571   18  1.271   24 -0.096   21 -0.064
DOLPHINS   1 5 0 134 174 -0.077  3.015   30 -0.128   30 -0.125   25 -0.074   30 0.3390    7  1.419   11  0.114   27 -0.263
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     1 5 0  82 146 -0.338  2.628   31 -0.158   31 -0.156   32 -0.165   28 0.3614   31  0.881   32 -0.651    3  0.322
JETS       0 6 0 123 170 -0.114  2.928   32 -0.195   32 -0.195   28 -0.100   32 0.3047   13  1.301   23 -0.075   23 -0.125

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   4 2 0 127 125  0.016  2.973    9  0.068    9  0.069   18 -0.001   15 0.4943   22  1.236   20 -0.063   12  0.061
BRONCOS    4 2 0 130  95  0.011  2.681   10  0.055   10  0.056    7  0.070   10 0.5063   30  0.938   30 -0.355    2  0.494
CHIEFS     3 3 0 155 124  0.040  2.873   18 -0.006   18  0.000    6  0.074   18 0.4646   21  1.248   14  0.028    9  0.120
RAIDERS    2 4 0 103 149 -0.045  3.128   24 -0.059   24 -0.054   27 -0.081   24 0.4195   28  1.085   29 -0.334    7  0.172

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      5 1 0 194 116  0.091  2.672    2  0.121    3  0.121    1  0.150    7 0.5322    5  1.505    3  0.465   24 -0.165
JAGUARS    4 2 0 139 120  0.184  3.239    8  0.080    8  0.084    8  0.069    6 0.5343   15  1.297   12  0.088   14  0.050
TEXANS     2 3 0 108  61  0.248  2.630   21 -0.024   21 -0.018    3  0.125   20 0.4456   32  0.706   31 -0.542    1  0.791 P
TITANS     1 5 0  83 161  0.256  3.951   27 -0.081   27 -0.073   29 -0.109   27 0.3696   24  1.181   27 -0.242   16  0.024

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   4 1 0 119 107 -0.104  2.204    7  0.086    7  0.087   16  0.015    5 0.5388   12  1.326   13  0.074   19 -0.044 P
BENGALS    2 4 0 103 183 -0.123  3.138   25 -0.060   25 -0.055   31 -0.161   22 0.4361   10  1.362   19 -0.052   28 -0.270
RAVENS     1 5 0 144 194 -0.050  3.222   28 -0.119   28 -0.115   30 -0.111   31 0.3355    2  1.651    4  0.430   31 -0.651
BROWNS     1 5 0  82 146 -0.338  2.628   31 -0.158   31 -0.156   32 -0.165   28 0.3614   31  0.881   32 -0.651    3  0.322

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   4 2 0 150 120 -0.190  2.393   14  0.029   15  0.033   14  0.026   16 0.4799   17  1.271   15  0.010   15  0.041
BILLS      4 2 0 167 137 -0.339  2.057   16  0.014   16  0.017   19 -0.009   21 0.4373    8  1.418    8  0.178   25 -0.196
DOLPHINS   1 5 0 134 174 -0.077  3.015   30 -0.128   30 -0.125   25 -0.074   30 0.3390    7  1.419   11  0.114   27 -0.263
JETS       0 6 0 123 170 -0.114  2.928   32 -0.195   32 -0.195   28 -0.100   32 0.3047   13  1.301   23 -0.075   23 -0.125

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      4 2 0 125 128  0.372  3.764    3  0.118    2  0.123   10  0.057    2 0.5607   26  1.152   25 -0.113    6  0.227
SEAHAWKS   4 2 0 166 117  0.268  3.308    5  0.090    5  0.094    2  0.136    3 0.5568   14  1.299    9  0.158   10  0.114
RAMS       4 2 0 140 110  0.248  3.290    6  0.089    6  0.093    4  0.116    8 0.5202   27  1.137   22 -0.073    5  0.304
CARDINALS  2 4 0 130 127  0.136  3.201   23 -0.056   23 -0.052   12  0.032   25 0.4160   23  1.210   21 -0.064    8  0.129

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 5 1 0 165 151  0.278  3.448    1  0.163    1  0.170    5  0.077    1 0.5998    3  1.621    2  0.570   30 -0.416
FALCONS    3 2 0 100 100  0.047  2.570   11  0.038   11  0.040   17  0.000    9 0.5190   29  1.032   28 -0.315    4  0.316 P
PANTHERS   3 3 0 132 146 -0.019  2.955   17 -0.004   17  0.002   22 -0.018   19 0.4534   16  1.275   17 -0.029   18 -0.007
SAINTS     1 5 0 111 160 -0.023  3.144   29 -0.122   29 -0.117   26 -0.080   29 0.3571   18  1.271   24 -0.096   21 -0.064

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      4 2 0 191 142 -0.162  2.376   13  0.031   12  0.036   11  0.038   14 0.4971    4  1.537    5  0.401   29 -0.324
BEARS      3 2 0 126 141 -0.030  2.454   15  0.028   13  0.034   20 -0.014   13 0.5010    6  1.434    7  0.196   26 -0.225 P
PACKERS    3 1 1 131 102 -0.234  1.880   12  0.035   14  0.033   15  0.016   11 0.5045   20  1.252   16 -0.024   13  0.057 P
VIKINGS    3 2 0 123  97 -0.358  1.728   19 -0.009   19 -0.006   21 -0.015   12 0.5013   19  1.269   18 -0.034   17  0.004 P

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     4 2 0 142 143  0.216  3.442    4  0.096    4  0.100   13  0.030    4 0.5437   11  1.350   10  0.123   20 -0.062
COMMANDERS 3 3 0 158 126 -0.036  2.681   20 -0.013   20 -0.010    9  0.060   17 0.4740    9  1.403    6  0.226   22 -0.107
COWBOYS    2 3 1 178 184 -0.088  2.794   22 -0.043   22 -0.039   23 -0.027   23 0.4319    1  1.706    1  0.602   32 -0.655
GIANTS     2 4 0 121 144 -0.015  3.049   26 -0.063   26 -0.057   24 -0.046   26 0.4053   25  1.165   26 -0.200   11  0.107

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   14 10  0 0.583    1  0.474
AFC SOUTH  12 11  0 0.522    2  0.356
AFC WEST   13 11  0 0.542    3  0.091
NFC NORTH  13  7  1 0.643    4  0.021
NFC EAST   11 12  1 0.479    5  0.008
NFC SOUTH  12 11  0 0.522    6 -0.044
AFC EAST    9 15  0 0.375    7 -0.250
AFC NORTH   8 15  0 0.348    8 -0.607

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.201 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 14 05:30:14 2025
games through: Mon Oct 13 2025

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