Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SEAHAWKS   13  3  0 470 289  0.215  8.516    1  0.642    1  0.599    1  0.611    1 0.6114   16  1.316    2  0.645    2  0.576
49ERS      12  4  0 434 358  0.184  8.650    3  0.527    2  0.521    5  0.313    4 0.5895    8  1.428    6  0.504   14  0.122
JAGUARS    12  4  0 433 329  0.211  8.720    2  0.531    3  0.510    3  0.429    2 0.5948   13  1.356    4  0.518    6  0.339
BRONCOS    13  3  0 382 308 -0.078  7.221    4  0.492    4  0.482   10  0.125    6 0.5754   24  1.207   15  0.015    8  0.235
RAMS       11  5  0 481 326  0.322  9.319    5  0.462    5  0.455    2  0.569    3 0.5905    7  1.434    1  0.769    4  0.370
TEXANS     11  5  0 366 265  0.257  8.965    6  0.417    6  0.426    4  0.360    5 0.5796   31  0.988   17 -0.018    1  0.738
PATRIOTS   13  3  0 452 310 -0.245  6.137    7  0.337    7  0.339    6  0.241    7 0.5686   14  1.354   10  0.327   11  0.155
EAGLES     11  5  0 362 301  0.034  7.999    8  0.306    8  0.314    7  0.209    9 0.5517   27  1.033   20 -0.117    3  0.535
CHARGERS   11  5  0 365 321 -0.063  7.495    9  0.248    9  0.257   13  0.106   11 0.5418   23  1.223   14  0.017    9  0.196
BILLS      11  5  0 446 357 -0.062  7.360   10  0.246   10  0.255    8  0.177    8 0.5567    4  1.521    5  0.505   20 -0.150
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BEARS      11  5  0 425 396 -0.091  7.350   11  0.243   11  0.253   12  0.110   10 0.5437    5  1.502    8  0.410   22 -0.191
PACKERS     9  6  1 388 344 -0.070  7.460   12  0.091   12  0.094   14  0.064   13 0.5182   22  1.240   16 -0.004   13  0.132
STEELERS    9  7  0 371 363 -0.035  7.794   13  0.064   13  0.083   18 -0.021   12 0.5186   18  1.271   19 -0.047   16  0.005
COLTS       8  8  0 436 374  0.165  8.625   14  0.060   14  0.071    9  0.161   14 0.5153    6  1.465    9  0.406   19 -0.084
PANTHERS    8  8  0 297 364 -0.001  8.266   15  0.011   15  0.023   21 -0.155   15 0.5117   26  1.056   28 -0.453   12  0.143
VIKINGS     8  8  0 328 330 -0.020  7.929   17 -0.026   16 -0.008   17  0.004   17 0.4961   30  1.021   27 -0.335    5  0.344
LIONS       8  8  0 462 397 -0.000  7.839   16 -0.023   17 -0.012   15  0.058   19 0.4895    3  1.560    7  0.444   27 -0.329
RAVENS      8  8  0 400 372 -0.027  7.725   18 -0.030   18 -0.028   11  0.119   18 0.4942   11  1.383   12  0.246   17 -0.008
BUCCANEERS  7  9  0 364 397  0.069  8.512   19 -0.042   19 -0.036   20 -0.087   16 0.4961    9  1.395   13  0.056   23 -0.231
FALCONS     7  9  0 334 384 -0.005  8.169   20 -0.109   20 -0.093   19 -0.077   20 0.4868   21  1.245   21 -0.138   18 -0.016
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COWBOYS     7  8  1 454 477 -0.145  7.233   21 -0.143   21 -0.127   22 -0.159   21 0.4687    1  1.772    3  0.569   32 -0.886
CHIEFS      6 10  0 350 314  0.046  8.164   22 -0.195   22 -0.187   16  0.019   25 0.4614   25  1.086   23 -0.243    7  0.281
DOLPHINS    7  9  0 337 386 -0.204  6.998   23 -0.215   23 -0.210   26 -0.234   22 0.4652   20  1.253   24 -0.285   21 -0.184
BENGALS     6 10  0 396 472 -0.049  8.005   24 -0.218   24 -0.217   23 -0.162   24 0.4628    2  1.584   11  0.263   30 -0.587
SAINTS      6 10  0 289 364 -0.079  7.869   25 -0.235   25 -0.235   24 -0.166   23 0.4629   28  1.028   29 -0.498   10  0.166
TITANS      3 13  0 277 437  0.116  9.330   27 -0.421   26 -0.431   28 -0.283   27 0.4193   19  1.266   26 -0.317   24 -0.249
CARDINALS   3 13  0 335 451  0.148  9.258   26 -0.418   27 -0.433   27 -0.241   26 0.4274   12  1.361   22 -0.144   28 -0.338
COMMANDERS  4 12  0 332 434 -0.092  7.794   28 -0.431   28 -0.443   30 -0.359   29 0.4069   15  1.324   25 -0.314   29 -0.403
BROWNS      4 12  0 259 361 -0.164  7.408   29 -0.477   29 -0.490   29 -0.340   28 0.4107   32  0.928   31 -0.786   15  0.106
GIANTS      3 13  0 347 422 -0.027  8.085   30 -0.509   30 -0.519   25 -0.172   31 0.3986   10  1.383   18 -0.044   26 -0.300
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS        3 13  0 292 468 -0.173  7.543   31 -0.577   31 -0.588   32 -0.627   30 0.4014   17  1.301   30 -0.614   31 -0.641
RAIDERS     2 14  0 227 420 -0.069  8.411   32 -0.611   32 -0.621   31 -0.588   32 0.3844   29  1.025   32 -0.923   25 -0.253

AFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    13  3  0 382 308 -0.078  7.221    4  0.492    4  0.482   10  0.125    6 0.5754   24  1.207   15  0.015    8  0.235
CHARGERS   11  5  0 365 321 -0.063  7.495    9  0.248    9  0.257   13  0.106   11 0.5418   23  1.223   14  0.017    9  0.196
CHIEFS      6 10  0 350 314  0.046  8.164   22 -0.195   22 -0.187   16  0.019   25 0.4614   25  1.086   23 -0.243    7  0.281
RAIDERS     2 14  0 227 420 -0.069  8.411   32 -0.611   32 -0.621   31 -0.588   32 0.3844   29  1.025   32 -0.923   25 -0.253

AFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    12  4  0 433 329  0.211  8.720    2  0.531    3  0.510    3  0.429    2 0.5948   13  1.356    4  0.518    6  0.339
TEXANS     11  5  0 366 265  0.257  8.965    6  0.417    6  0.426    4  0.360    5 0.5796   31  0.988   17 -0.018    1  0.738
COLTS       8  8  0 436 374  0.165  8.625   14  0.060   14  0.071    9  0.161   14 0.5153    6  1.465    9  0.406   19 -0.084
TITANS      3 13  0 277 437  0.116  9.330   27 -0.421   26 -0.431   28 -0.283   27 0.4193   19  1.266   26 -0.317   24 -0.249

AFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS    9  7  0 371 363 -0.035  7.794   13  0.064   13  0.083   18 -0.021   12 0.5186   18  1.271   19 -0.047   16  0.005
RAVENS      8  8  0 400 372 -0.027  7.725   18 -0.030   18 -0.028   11  0.119   18 0.4942   11  1.383   12  0.246   17 -0.008
BENGALS     6 10  0 396 472 -0.049  8.005   24 -0.218   24 -0.217   23 -0.162   24 0.4628    2  1.584   11  0.263   30 -0.587
BROWNS      4 12  0 259 361 -0.164  7.408   29 -0.477   29 -0.490   29 -0.340   28 0.4107   32  0.928   31 -0.786   15  0.106

AFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   13  3  0 452 310 -0.245  6.137    7  0.337    7  0.339    6  0.241    7 0.5686   14  1.354   10  0.327   11  0.155
BILLS      11  5  0 446 357 -0.062  7.360   10  0.246   10  0.255    8  0.177    8 0.5567    4  1.521    5  0.505   20 -0.150
DOLPHINS    7  9  0 337 386 -0.204  6.998   23 -0.215   23 -0.210   26 -0.234   22 0.4652   20  1.253   24 -0.285   21 -0.184
JETS        3 13  0 292 468 -0.173  7.543   31 -0.577   31 -0.588   32 -0.627   30 0.4014   17  1.301   30 -0.614   31 -0.641

NFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SEAHAWKS   13  3  0 470 289  0.215  8.516    1  0.642    1  0.599    1  0.611    1 0.6114   16  1.316    2  0.645    2  0.576
49ERS      12  4  0 434 358  0.184  8.650    3  0.527    2  0.521    5  0.313    4 0.5895    8  1.428    6  0.504   14  0.122
RAMS       11  5  0 481 326  0.322  9.319    5  0.462    5  0.455    2  0.569    3 0.5905    7  1.434    1  0.769    4  0.370
CARDINALS   3 13  0 335 451  0.148  9.258   26 -0.418   27 -0.433   27 -0.241   26 0.4274   12  1.361   22 -0.144   28 -0.338

NFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS    8  8  0 297 364 -0.001  8.266   15  0.011   15  0.023   21 -0.155   15 0.5117   26  1.056   28 -0.453   12  0.143
BUCCANEERS  7  9  0 364 397  0.069  8.512   19 -0.042   19 -0.036   20 -0.087   16 0.4961    9  1.395   13  0.056   23 -0.231
FALCONS     7  9  0 334 384 -0.005  8.169   20 -0.109   20 -0.093   19 -0.077   20 0.4868   21  1.245   21 -0.138   18 -0.016
SAINTS      6 10  0 289 364 -0.079  7.869   25 -0.235   25 -0.235   24 -0.166   23 0.4629   28  1.028   29 -0.498   10  0.166

NFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BEARS      11  5  0 425 396 -0.091  7.350   11  0.243   11  0.253   12  0.110   10 0.5437    5  1.502    8  0.410   22 -0.191
PACKERS     9  6  1 388 344 -0.070  7.460   12  0.091   12  0.094   14  0.064   13 0.5182   22  1.240   16 -0.004   13  0.132
VIKINGS     8  8  0 328 330 -0.020  7.929   17 -0.026   16 -0.008   17  0.004   17 0.4961   30  1.021   27 -0.335    5  0.344
LIONS       8  8  0 462 397 -0.000  7.839   16 -0.023   17 -0.012   15  0.058   19 0.4895    3  1.560    7  0.444   27 -0.329

NFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     11  5  0 362 301  0.034  7.999    8  0.306    8  0.314    7  0.209    9 0.5517   27  1.033   20 -0.117    3  0.535
COWBOYS     7  8  1 454 477 -0.145  7.233   21 -0.143   21 -0.127   22 -0.159   21 0.4687    1  1.772    3  0.569   32 -0.886
COMMANDERS  4 12  0 332 434 -0.092  7.794   28 -0.431   28 -0.443   30 -0.359   29 0.4069   15  1.324   25 -0.314   29 -0.403
GIANTS      3 13  0 347 422 -0.027  8.085   30 -0.509   30 -0.519   25 -0.172   31 0.3986   10  1.383   18 -0.044   26 -0.300

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   39 25  0 0.609    1  0.555
AFC SOUTH  34 30  0 0.531    2  0.292
NFC NORTH  36 27  1 0.570    3  0.085
AFC WEST   32 32  0 0.500    4 -0.069
AFC EAST   34 30  0 0.531    5 -0.172
NFC EAST   25 38  1 0.398    6 -0.194
NFC SOUTH  28 36  0 0.438    7 -0.215
AFC NORTH  27 37  0 0.422    8 -0.224

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.155 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Dec 30 05:30:11 2025
games through: Mon Dec 29 2025

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