Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Home Scoring. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home. Values are nonzero only for baseball, where park effects can be significant.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BUCKS         70 27  0 11378 10519  0.028 47.630    1  2.230    2  0.524    1  0.529    1 0.5525  3.982  0.770  0.288  0.000
RAPTORS       74 32  1 11942 11312  0.071 54.832    2  2.206    1  0.525    2  0.489    2 0.5514  3.887  0.249  0.729  0.000
WARRIORS      71 33  1 12161 11557  0.087 54.798    3  2.159    3  0.494    4  0.421    3 0.5508  3.969  0.597  0.246  0.000
ROCKETS       59 34  0 10535 10109  0.075 48.343    4  1.931    4  0.368    3  0.437    5 0.5366  3.932  0.425  0.450  0.000
NUGGETS       61 35  0 10603 10253  0.050 49.296    5  1.897    5  0.355    7  0.228    4 0.5366  3.891  0.009  0.446  0.000
TRAIL BLAZERS 61 37  0 11157 10835  0.077 51.345    6  1.887    6  0.351    6  0.264    6 0.5355  3.948  0.333  0.196  0.000
76ERS         58 36  0 10749 10492  0.005 46.756    7  1.740    7  0.270    9  0.170    7 0.5278  3.983  0.417 -0.077  0.000
JAZZ          51 36  0  9650  9265  0.041 44.142    8  1.670    8  0.222    5  0.300    8 0.5222  3.899  0.121  0.478  0.000
CELTICS       54 37  0 10135  9784  0.019 45.449    9  1.662    9  0.218    8  0.188    9 0.5218  3.918  0.104  0.272  0.000
THUNDER       50 37  0  9913  9663  0.034 44.235   10  1.619   10  0.194   10  0.146   10 0.5197  3.956  0.255  0.037  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
CLIPPERS      50 38  0 10130 10119  0.035 45.404   11  1.595   11  0.189   15 -0.021   12 0.5195  4.006  0.347 -0.390  0.000
SPURS         51 38  0  9879  9754  0.029 45.410   12  1.594   12  0.184   11  0.113   11 0.5196  3.927  0.074  0.151  0.000
PACERS        48 38  0  9224  8981 -0.024 41.821   13  1.441   13  0.103   12  0.057   13 0.5098  3.855 -0.337  0.451  0.000
MAGIC         43 44  0  9260  9274 -0.019 43.241   14  1.218   14 -0.030   13  0.043   14 0.4970  3.865 -0.306  0.392  0.000
NETS          43 44  0  9761  9822 -0.030 42.998   15  1.202   15 -0.039   16 -0.037   15 0.4962  3.951  0.044 -0.118  0.000
KINGS         39 43  0  9363  9455 -0.003 41.394   16  1.168   16 -0.057   17 -0.073   16 0.4935  4.010  0.314 -0.461  0.000
PISTONS       41 45  0  9170  9285 -0.021 43.021   17  1.145   17 -0.069   19 -0.110   17 0.4923  3.868 -0.443  0.222  0.000
HEAT          39 43  0  8668  8687 -0.039 40.136   18  1.102   19 -0.096   14 -0.021   18 0.4904  3.852 -0.431  0.389  0.000
HORNETS       39 43  0  9081  9171 -0.045 40.199   19  1.098   18 -0.095   21 -0.127   19 0.4901  3.943 -0.086 -0.168  0.000
LAKERS        37 45  0  9165  9306 -0.000 41.617   20  1.067   20 -0.112   22 -0.138   20 0.4883  3.965  0.015 -0.291  0.000
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
TIMBERWOLVES  36 46  0  9223  9346  0.008 41.786   21  1.028   21 -0.135   20 -0.119   21 0.4859  3.974  0.081 -0.319  0.000
GRIZZLIES     33 49  0  8490  8703  0.003 41.899   22  0.879   22 -0.216   23 -0.174   22 0.4771  3.811 -0.781  0.434  0.000
MAVERICKS     33 49  0  8927  9032  0.004 41.650   23  0.876   23 -0.223   18 -0.102   23 0.4768  3.912 -0.219  0.015  0.000
PELICANS      33 49  0  9466  9575 -0.011 41.244   24  0.864   24 -0.230   24 -0.204   24 0.4753  4.034  0.307 -0.715  0.000
WIZARDS       32 50  0  9350  9588 -0.071 39.777   25  0.729   25 -0.312   25 -0.210   25 0.4678  4.011  0.182 -0.602  0.000
HAWKS         29 53  0  9294  9788 -0.066 40.612   26  0.578   26 -0.387   26 -0.299   26 0.4605  4.032  0.206 -0.804  0.000
BULLS         22 60  0  8605  9295 -0.072 40.910   27  0.259   27 -0.597   27 -0.525   27 0.4407  3.896 -0.722 -0.328  0.000
SUNS          19 63  0  8815  9581 -0.024 42.381   28  0.190   28 -0.634   28 -0.541   28 0.4357  3.946 -0.483 -0.600  0.000
CAVALIERS     19 63  0  8567  9355 -0.072 41.229   29  0.098   29 -0.686   29 -0.570   29 0.4321  3.915 -0.669 -0.471  0.000
KNICKS        17 65  0  8575  9330 -0.062 41.361   30  0.000   30 -0.747   30 -0.624   30 0.4270  3.909 -0.755 -0.492  0.000

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
WARRIORS      71 33  1 12161 11557  0.087 54.798    3  2.159    3  0.494    4  0.421    3 0.5508  3.969  0.597  0.246  0.000
CLIPPERS      50 38  0 10130 10119  0.035 45.404   11  1.595   11  0.189   15 -0.021   12 0.5195  4.006  0.347 -0.390  0.000
KINGS         39 43  0  9363  9455 -0.003 41.394   16  1.168   16 -0.057   17 -0.073   16 0.4935  4.010  0.314 -0.461  0.000
LAKERS        37 45  0  9165  9306 -0.000 41.617   20  1.067   20 -0.112   22 -0.138   20 0.4883  3.965  0.015 -0.291  0.000
SUNS          19 63  0  8815  9581 -0.024 42.381   28  0.190   28 -0.634   28 -0.541   28 0.4357  3.946 -0.483 -0.600  0.000

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NUGGETS       61 35  0 10603 10253  0.050 49.296    5  1.897    5  0.355    7  0.228    4 0.5366  3.891  0.009  0.446  0.000
TRAIL BLAZERS 61 37  0 11157 10835  0.077 51.345    6  1.887    6  0.351    6  0.264    6 0.5355  3.948  0.333  0.196  0.000
JAZZ          51 36  0  9650  9265  0.041 44.142    8  1.670    8  0.222    5  0.300    8 0.5222  3.899  0.121  0.478  0.000
THUNDER       50 37  0  9913  9663  0.034 44.235   10  1.619   10  0.194   10  0.146   10 0.5197  3.956  0.255  0.037  0.000
TIMBERWOLVES  36 46  0  9223  9346  0.008 41.786   21  1.028   21 -0.135   20 -0.119   21 0.4859  3.974  0.081 -0.319  0.000

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ROCKETS       59 34  0 10535 10109  0.075 48.343    4  1.931    4  0.368    3  0.437    5 0.5366  3.932  0.425  0.450  0.000
SPURS         51 38  0  9879  9754  0.029 45.410   12  1.594   12  0.184   11  0.113   11 0.5196  3.927  0.074  0.151  0.000
GRIZZLIES     33 49  0  8490  8703  0.003 41.899   22  0.879   22 -0.216   23 -0.174   22 0.4771  3.811 -0.781  0.434  0.000
MAVERICKS     33 49  0  8927  9032  0.004 41.650   23  0.876   23 -0.223   18 -0.102   23 0.4768  3.912 -0.219  0.015  0.000
PELICANS      33 49  0  9466  9575 -0.011 41.244   24  0.864   24 -0.230   24 -0.204   24 0.4753  4.034  0.307 -0.715  0.000

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BUCKS         70 27  0 11378 10519  0.028 47.630    1  2.230    2  0.524    1  0.529    1 0.5525  3.982  0.770  0.288  0.000
PACERS        48 38  0  9224  8981 -0.024 41.821   13  1.441   13  0.103   12  0.057   13 0.5098  3.855 -0.337  0.451  0.000
PISTONS       41 45  0  9170  9285 -0.021 43.021   17  1.145   17 -0.069   19 -0.110   17 0.4923  3.868 -0.443  0.222  0.000
BULLS         22 60  0  8605  9295 -0.072 40.910   27  0.259   27 -0.597   27 -0.525   27 0.4407  3.896 -0.722 -0.328  0.000
CAVALIERS     19 63  0  8567  9355 -0.072 41.229   29  0.098   29 -0.686   29 -0.570   29 0.4321  3.915 -0.669 -0.471  0.000

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MAGIC         43 44  0  9260  9274 -0.019 43.241   14  1.218   14 -0.030   13  0.043   14 0.4970  3.865 -0.306  0.392  0.000
HEAT          39 43  0  8668  8687 -0.039 40.136   18  1.102   19 -0.096   14 -0.021   18 0.4904  3.852 -0.431  0.389  0.000
HORNETS       39 43  0  9081  9171 -0.045 40.199   19  1.098   18 -0.095   21 -0.127   19 0.4901  3.943 -0.086 -0.168  0.000
WIZARDS       32 50  0  9350  9588 -0.071 39.777   25  0.729   25 -0.312   25 -0.210   25 0.4678  4.011  0.182 -0.602  0.000
HAWKS         29 53  0  9294  9788 -0.066 40.612   26  0.578   26 -0.387   26 -0.299   26 0.4605  4.032  0.206 -0.804  0.000

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                                   STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI
TEAM           W  L  T    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
RAPTORS       74 32  1 11942 11312  0.071 54.832    2  2.206    1  0.525    2  0.489    2 0.5514  3.887  0.249  0.729  0.000
76ERS         58 36  0 10749 10492  0.005 46.756    7  1.740    7  0.270    9  0.170    7 0.5278  3.983  0.417 -0.077  0.000
CELTICS       54 37  0 10135  9784  0.019 45.449    9  1.662    9  0.218    8  0.188    9 0.5218  3.918  0.104  0.272  0.000
NETS          43 44  0  9761  9822 -0.030 42.998   15  1.202   15 -0.039   16 -0.037   15 0.4962  3.951  0.044 -0.118  0.000
KNICKS        17 65  0  8575  9330 -0.062 41.361   30  0.000   30 -0.747   30 -0.624   30 0.4270  3.909 -0.755 -0.492  0.000

DIVISION             W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
NORTHWEST DIVISION 259 191   0 0.576    1  0.227
ATLANTIC DIVISION  246 214   1 0.535    2  0.045
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 209 219   0 0.488    3  0.026
PACIFIC DIVISION   216 222   1 0.493    4 -0.076
CENTRAL DIVISION   200 233   0 0.462    5 -0.155
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 182 233   0 0.439    6 -0.196

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.223 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jun 14 05:30:16 2019
games through: Thu Jun 13 2019

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