Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        17  5 74 55  0.067 11.346    1  0.326    1  0.329    2  0.250    1 0.5656   28  0.928   15  0.055    1  0.446
BRUINS         16  7 78 58 -0.035 10.790    2  0.200    2  0.204    3  0.213    2 0.5445   26  0.951   17  0.042    3  0.383
KINGS          13  7 77 49  0.107 10.538    3  0.193    3  0.195    1  0.369    3 0.5436   15  1.136    2  0.419    4  0.318 P
STARS          14  8 79 62  0.083 11.552    4  0.185    4  0.186    5  0.196    4 0.5377   16  1.130    8  0.239   12  0.152
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 16  9 82 59 -0.010 12.056    5  0.162    5  0.160    6  0.176    5 0.5335   29  0.874   24 -0.080    2  0.432
AVALANCHE      15  8 86 67 -0.042 10.858    6  0.154    6  0.154    8  0.153    6 0.5313    7  1.221    3  0.311   15 -0.006
CANUCKS        16  9 95 64 -0.080 11.371    7  0.121    7  0.121    4  0.210    7 0.5265   14  1.136    6  0.260   11  0.159
JETS           13 10 75 65  0.067 11.979    8  0.101    8  0.103    9  0.124    8 0.5217   22  1.037   16  0.054    9  0.194
HURRICANES     14  9 81 75 -0.077 10.733    9  0.093    9  0.093   14  0.017   10 0.5156    3  1.276    7  0.249   26 -0.214
RED WINGS      13 10 86 68 -0.000 11.263   10  0.068   11  0.069    7  0.163   11 0.5134    9  1.205    4  0.301   14  0.025
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       14 10 71 62 -0.063 11.298   11  0.067   10  0.070   13  0.047    9 0.5156   30  0.871   28 -0.212    6  0.306
COYOTES        12 11 76 67  0.071 11.976   12  0.050   12  0.053   10  0.121   12 0.5121   21  1.057   14  0.074   10  0.168
MAPLE LEAFS    12 10 76 74 -0.015 10.867   13  0.042   13  0.045   16 -0.008   13 0.5071   10  1.202   11  0.126   19 -0.142
BLUES          12 11 68 73  0.016 11.698   14  0.030   14  0.033   19 -0.033   14 0.5061   20  1.073   21 -0.059   16 -0.006
CAPITALS       12  9 52 59 -0.131  9.567   15  0.027   15  0.029   28 -0.152   15 0.5048   32  0.763   31 -0.525    7  0.221 P
FLYERS         12 12 72 69  0.037 12.284   16  0.012   16  0.015   12  0.051   16 0.5008   25  0.959   25 -0.110    8  0.211
PREDATORS      11 12 74 76 -0.014 11.394   17 -0.032   17 -0.028   17 -0.020   19 0.4927    8  1.218   10  0.135   21 -0.174
DEVILS         11 11 79 83 -0.067 10.512   18 -0.033   18 -0.030   22 -0.092   17 0.4942    1  1.483    1  0.429   32 -0.613
PENGUINS       11 12 72 61 -0.022 11.131   19 -0.035   19 -0.036   11  0.115   18 0.4939   27  0.932   23 -0.077    5  0.307
SENATORS        9 10 64 63 -0.028  9.281   20 -0.039   20 -0.038   15 -0.007   23 0.4834    5  1.256    9  0.198   25 -0.212 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          10 14 67 84  0.073 12.930   21 -0.058   21 -0.057   27 -0.147   20 0.4874   12  1.155   22 -0.073   27 -0.221
FLAMES         10 14 71 82  0.061 12.694   22 -0.066   22 -0.065   23 -0.094   21 0.4857   17  1.128   19 -0.054   18 -0.134
ISLANDERS      10 13 65 74 -0.017 11.377   23 -0.078   23 -0.081   20 -0.051   24 0.4824   24  0.960   27 -0.211   13  0.108
SABRES         10 14 70 83  0.009 12.191   24 -0.089   24 -0.089   24 -0.103   22 0.4837   11  1.163   18 -0.018   22 -0.187
CANADIENS      10 14 67 87 -0.024 12.073   25 -0.100   25 -0.099   29 -0.205   26 0.4797   18  1.090   26 -0.211   23 -0.199
OILERS          9 13 74 79  0.008 11.105   26 -0.100   26 -0.099   18 -0.033   25 0.4801    2  1.344    5  0.291   31 -0.356
LIGHTNING      10 15 83 93 -0.035 12.284   27 -0.134   27 -0.132   25 -0.107   27 0.4729    4  1.269   12  0.115   30 -0.330
WILD            7 14 66 79  0.040 10.912   28 -0.163   28 -0.162   21 -0.064   28 0.4663    6  1.234   13  0.112   28 -0.240 P
BLACKHAWKS      7 15 55 81  0.020 11.484   29 -0.188   29 -0.186   31 -0.265   29 0.4607   19  1.084   29 -0.279   29 -0.251
KRAKEN          8 17 68 88  0.012 12.896   30 -0.203   30 -0.201   30 -0.205   30 0.4599   23  0.985   30 -0.337   17 -0.074
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS    8 17 73 85 -0.003 12.605   31 -0.217   31 -0.215   26 -0.115   31 0.4585   13  1.142   20 -0.057   20 -0.173
SHARKS          6 18 42 94 -0.013 12.394   32 -0.294   32 -0.291   32 -0.485   32 0.4453   31  0.851   32 -0.765   24 -0.204

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          13  7 77 49  0.107 10.538    3  0.193    3  0.195    1  0.369    3 0.5436   15  1.136    2  0.419    4  0.318 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 16  9 82 59 -0.010 12.056    5  0.162    5  0.160    6  0.176    5 0.5335   29  0.874   24 -0.080    2  0.432
CANUCKS        16  9 95 64 -0.080 11.371    7  0.121    7  0.121    4  0.210    7 0.5265   14  1.136    6  0.260   11  0.159
DUCKS          10 14 67 84  0.073 12.930   21 -0.058   21 -0.057   27 -0.147   20 0.4874   12  1.155   22 -0.073   27 -0.221
FLAMES         10 14 71 82  0.061 12.694   22 -0.066   22 -0.065   23 -0.094   21 0.4857   17  1.128   19 -0.054   18 -0.134
OILERS          9 13 74 79  0.008 11.105   26 -0.100   26 -0.099   18 -0.033   25 0.4801    2  1.344    5  0.291   31 -0.356
KRAKEN          8 17 68 88  0.012 12.896   30 -0.203   30 -0.201   30 -0.205   30 0.4599   23  0.985   30 -0.337   17 -0.074
SHARKS          6 18 42 94 -0.013 12.394   32 -0.294   32 -0.291   32 -0.485   32 0.4453   31  0.851   32 -0.765   24 -0.204

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS          14  8 79 62  0.083 11.552    4  0.185    4  0.186    5  0.196    4 0.5377   16  1.130    8  0.239   12  0.152
AVALANCHE      15  8 86 67 -0.042 10.858    6  0.154    6  0.154    8  0.153    6 0.5313    7  1.221    3  0.311   15 -0.006
JETS           13 10 75 65  0.067 11.979    8  0.101    8  0.103    9  0.124    8 0.5217   22  1.037   16  0.054    9  0.194
COYOTES        12 11 76 67  0.071 11.976   12  0.050   12  0.053   10  0.121   12 0.5121   21  1.057   14  0.074   10  0.168
BLUES          12 11 68 73  0.016 11.698   14  0.030   14  0.033   19 -0.033   14 0.5061   20  1.073   21 -0.059   16 -0.006
PREDATORS      11 12 74 76 -0.014 11.394   17 -0.032   17 -0.028   17 -0.020   19 0.4927    8  1.218   10  0.135   21 -0.174
WILD            7 14 66 79  0.040 10.912   28 -0.163   28 -0.162   21 -0.064   28 0.4663    6  1.234   13  0.112   28 -0.240 P
BLACKHAWKS      7 15 55 81  0.020 11.484   29 -0.188   29 -0.186   31 -0.265   29 0.4607   19  1.084   29 -0.279   29 -0.251

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         16  7 78 58 -0.035 10.790    2  0.200    2  0.204    3  0.213    2 0.5445   26  0.951   17  0.042    3  0.383
RED WINGS      13 10 86 68 -0.000 11.263   10  0.068   11  0.069    7  0.163   11 0.5134    9  1.205    4  0.301   14  0.025
PANTHERS       14 10 71 62 -0.063 11.298   11  0.067   10  0.070   13  0.047    9 0.5156   30  0.871   28 -0.212    6  0.306
MAPLE LEAFS    12 10 76 74 -0.015 10.867   13  0.042   13  0.045   16 -0.008   13 0.5071   10  1.202   11  0.126   19 -0.142
SENATORS        9 10 64 63 -0.028  9.281   20 -0.039   20 -0.038   15 -0.007   23 0.4834    5  1.256    9  0.198   25 -0.212 P
SABRES         10 14 70 83  0.009 12.191   24 -0.089   24 -0.089   24 -0.103   22 0.4837   11  1.163   18 -0.018   22 -0.187
CANADIENS      10 14 67 87 -0.024 12.073   25 -0.100   25 -0.099   29 -0.205   26 0.4797   18  1.090   26 -0.211   23 -0.199
LIGHTNING      10 15 83 93 -0.035 12.284   27 -0.134   27 -0.132   25 -0.107   27 0.4729    4  1.269   12  0.115   30 -0.330

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        17  5 74 55  0.067 11.346    1  0.326    1  0.329    2  0.250    1 0.5656   28  0.928   15  0.055    1  0.446
HURRICANES     14  9 81 75 -0.077 10.733    9  0.093    9  0.093   14  0.017   10 0.5156    3  1.276    7  0.249   26 -0.214
CAPITALS       12  9 52 59 -0.131  9.567   15  0.027   15  0.029   28 -0.152   15 0.5048   32  0.763   31 -0.525    7  0.221 P
FLYERS         12 12 72 69  0.037 12.284   16  0.012   16  0.015   12  0.051   16 0.5008   25  0.959   25 -0.110    8  0.211
DEVILS         11 11 79 83 -0.067 10.512   18 -0.033   18 -0.030   22 -0.092   17 0.4942    1  1.483    1  0.429   32 -0.613
PENGUINS       11 12 72 61 -0.022 11.131   19 -0.035   19 -0.036   11  0.115   18 0.4939   27  0.932   23 -0.077    5  0.307
ISLANDERS      10 13 65 74 -0.017 11.377   23 -0.078   23 -0.081   20 -0.051   24 0.4824   24  0.960   27 -0.211   13  0.108
BLUE JACKETS    8 17 73 85 -0.003 12.605   31 -0.217   31 -0.215   26 -0.115   31 0.4585   13  1.142   20 -0.057   20 -0.173

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION       91  89 0.506    1  0.049
METROPOLITAN DIVISION  95  88 0.519    2  0.003
ATLANTIC DIVISION      94  90 0.511    3 -0.001
PACIFIC DIVISION       88 101 0.466    4 -0.042

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.074 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Dec  3 05:30:14 2023
games through: Sat Dec  2 2023

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.