Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.008 47.241    2  0.278    2  0.269    1  0.359    2 0.5372   19  1.063    1  0.329    1  0.390
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.026 47.482   11  0.030   11  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5053   31  0.915   24 -0.180    2  0.223
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.014 45.291    4  0.189    4  0.163    3  0.199    4 0.5259   18  1.081    6  0.191    3  0.208
HURRICANES     68 32 359 279  0.019 51.005    1  0.317    1  0.321    2  0.254    1 0.5456   10  1.129    2  0.304    4  0.204
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.002 44.207    6  0.156    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5207   21  1.053   12  0.105    5  0.189
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.011 43.277   29 -0.164   29 -0.164   22 -0.089   29 0.4758   32  0.847   31 -0.366    6  0.187
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.000 41.530   10  0.032    9  0.035   17 -0.034   10 0.5064   29  0.947   25 -0.199    7  0.132
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.020 47.529    7  0.088    7  0.089    6  0.145    7 0.5127   11  1.124    7  0.190    8  0.101
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 53 50 341 309  0.005 52.133   13  0.027   12  0.027    9  0.095   13 0.5045   17  1.090   13  0.097    9  0.093
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.541    3  0.209    3  0.179    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.278   10  0.090
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.014 43.841   12  0.028   13  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5055   13  1.118    9  0.147   11  0.074
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.060 53.308    5  0.164    5  0.149    7  0.117    5 0.5224    9  1.135    8  0.175   12  0.060
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.003 41.280    9  0.034   10  0.032   10  0.082    9 0.5064   15  1.107   11  0.106   13  0.059
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.331    8  0.064    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5114   16  1.104   14  0.089   14  0.051
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.688   19 -0.004   20 -0.020   16 -0.015   19 0.4983   20  1.060   19 -0.050   15  0.020
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.858   26 -0.127   26 -0.134   20 -0.073   25 0.4807   25  1.015   23 -0.160   16  0.015
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.010 44.084   16  0.016   16  0.008   13  0.040   17 0.5007   14  1.116   15  0.073   17  0.007
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.004 41.693   17  0.009   17 -0.000   18 -0.057   16 0.5007   22  1.036   21 -0.119   18  0.006
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.026 40.738   24 -0.078   24 -0.097   19 -0.072   24 0.4852   23  1.027   22 -0.145   19  0.002
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.915   14  0.022   14  0.021   25 -0.120   14 0.5041   27  0.995   27 -0.231   20 -0.009
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.024 40.939   27 -0.159   27 -0.157   30 -0.197   27 0.4766   30  0.931   32 -0.381   21 -0.013
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.028 40.756   28 -0.161   28 -0.160   27 -0.146   28 0.4761   26  0.997   28 -0.255   22 -0.037
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.016 41.150   25 -0.124   25 -0.130   26 -0.127   26 0.4801   24  1.022   26 -0.207   23 -0.047
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.021 41.082   31 -0.242   31 -0.253   31 -0.231   31 0.4619   28  0.985   30 -0.354   24 -0.108
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.552   18  0.000   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.275   25 -0.129
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.017 41.064   23 -0.054   23 -0.074   23 -0.104   23 0.4887   12  1.120   20 -0.065   26 -0.144
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.042 43.012   21 -0.024   21 -0.049   15  0.012   21 0.4940    2  1.262    5  0.232   27 -0.208
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.824   20 -0.004   18 -0.019   21 -0.088   20 0.4980    6  1.193   17  0.042   28 -0.219
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.030 40.746   22 -0.044   22 -0.062   29 -0.179   22 0.4908    5  1.213   18 -0.022   29 -0.336
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.917   30 -0.177   30 -0.175   28 -0.150   30 0.4747    4  1.241   16  0.043   30 -0.344
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.023 46.838   15  0.017   15  0.015   24 -0.111   15 0.5016    1  1.274   10  0.126   31 -0.348
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.026 41.116   32 -0.317   32 -0.336   32 -0.396   32 0.4498    8  1.160   29 -0.308   32 -0.485

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.011 43.277   29 -0.164   29 -0.164   22 -0.089   29 0.4758   32  0.847   31 -0.366    6  0.187
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 53 50 341 309  0.005 52.133   13  0.027   12  0.027    9  0.095   13 0.5045   17  1.090   13  0.097    9  0.093
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.024 40.939   27 -0.159   27 -0.157   30 -0.197   27 0.4766   30  0.931   32 -0.381   21 -0.013
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.028 40.756   28 -0.161   28 -0.160   27 -0.146   28 0.4761   26  0.997   28 -0.255   22 -0.037
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.042 43.012   21 -0.024   21 -0.049   15  0.012   21 0.4940    2  1.262    5  0.232   27 -0.208
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.030 40.746   22 -0.044   22 -0.062   29 -0.179   22 0.4908    5  1.213   18 -0.022   29 -0.336
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.023 46.838   15  0.017   15  0.015   24 -0.111   15 0.5016    1  1.274   10  0.126   31 -0.348
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.026 41.116   32 -0.317   32 -0.336   32 -0.396   32 0.4498    8  1.160   29 -0.308   32 -0.485

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.008 47.241    2  0.278    2  0.269    1  0.359    2 0.5372   19  1.063    1  0.329    1  0.390
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.002 44.207    6  0.156    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5207   21  1.053   12  0.105    5  0.189
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.020 47.529    7  0.088    7  0.089    6  0.145    7 0.5127   11  1.124    7  0.190    8  0.101
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.010 44.084   16  0.016   16  0.008   13  0.040   17 0.5007   14  1.116   15  0.073   17  0.007
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.026 40.738   24 -0.078   24 -0.097   19 -0.072   24 0.4852   23  1.027   22 -0.145   19  0.002
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.016 41.150   25 -0.124   25 -0.130   26 -0.127   26 0.4801   24  1.022   26 -0.207   23 -0.047
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.021 41.082   31 -0.242   31 -0.253   31 -0.231   31 0.4619   28  0.985   30 -0.354   24 -0.108
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.017 41.064   23 -0.054   23 -0.074   23 -0.104   23 0.4887   12  1.120   20 -0.065   26 -0.144

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.026 47.482   11  0.030   11  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5053   31  0.915   24 -0.180    2  0.223
HURRICANES     68 32 359 279  0.019 51.005    1  0.317    1  0.321    2  0.254    1 0.5456   10  1.129    2  0.304    4  0.204
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.000 41.530   10  0.032    9  0.035   17 -0.034   10 0.5064   29  0.947   25 -0.199    7  0.132
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.003 41.280    9  0.034   10  0.032   10  0.082    9 0.5064   15  1.107   11  0.106   13  0.059
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.688   19 -0.004   20 -0.020   16 -0.015   19 0.4983   20  1.060   19 -0.050   15  0.020
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.858   26 -0.127   26 -0.134   20 -0.073   25 0.4807   25  1.015   23 -0.160   16  0.015
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.915   14  0.022   14  0.021   25 -0.120   14 0.5041   27  0.995   27 -0.231   20 -0.009
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.552   18  0.000   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.275   25 -0.129

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.014 45.291    4  0.189    4  0.163    3  0.199    4 0.5259   18  1.081    6  0.191    3  0.208
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.541    3  0.209    3  0.179    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.278   10  0.090
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.014 43.841   12  0.028   13  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5055   13  1.118    9  0.147   11  0.074
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.060 53.308    5  0.164    5  0.149    7  0.117    5 0.5224    9  1.135    8  0.175   12  0.060
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.331    8  0.064    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5114   16  1.104   14  0.089   14  0.051
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.004 41.693   17  0.009   17 -0.000   18 -0.057   16 0.5007   22  1.036   21 -0.119   18  0.006
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.824   20 -0.004   18 -0.019   21 -0.088   20 0.4980    6  1.193   17  0.042   28 -0.219
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.917   30 -0.177   30 -0.175   28 -0.150   30 0.4747    4  1.241   16  0.043   30 -0.344

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     371 334 0.526    1  0.066
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 360 330 0.522    2  0.033
CENTRAL DIVISION      350 342 0.506    3  0.026
PACIFIC DIVISION      312 387 0.446    4 -0.168

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.046 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jun 12 05:30:12 2026
games through: Thu Jun 11 2026

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