Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES      7  3 40 30  0.118  5.365    1  0.043    2  0.042    2  0.051    1 0.5492   11  1.229    9  0.222   22 -0.120 P
DEVILS          8  3 41 35  0.061  5.666    2  0.042    1  0.043    6  0.033    2 0.5423   10  1.240   10  0.218   23 -0.151 P
CANADIENS       8  3 40 33 -0.057  5.211    5  0.032    5  0.034   11  0.009    3 0.5334    8  1.284    8  0.252   25 -0.234 P
JETS            8  3 40 28 -0.104  4.932    4  0.033    4  0.035    5  0.037    4 0.5321   12  1.210   12  0.182   20 -0.109 P
MAMMOTH         8  3 40 30  0.003  5.431    3  0.037    3  0.039    7  0.023    5 0.5311   18  1.087   19  0.014   15  0.031 P
RED WINGS       8  3 39 34 -0.087  5.090    6  0.029    6  0.033   18  0.002    6 0.5300   16  1.134   16  0.052   18 -0.047 P
AVALANCHE       6  5 41 30  0.136  5.971    9  0.017    9  0.021    1  0.072    7 0.5251   19  1.051   18  0.019   12  0.124 P
PENGUINS        8  4 44 31 -0.080  5.478    7  0.022    7  0.026    3  0.047    8 0.5211   17  1.120   15  0.078   16  0.015 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  6  4 37 28  0.019  4.973    8  0.017    8  0.021    4  0.039    9 0.5165   13  1.160   13  0.121   17 -0.042 P
BLUE JACKETS    6  4 35 31  0.051  5.205   10  0.012   10  0.019   16  0.003   10 0.5149    9  1.246   11  0.196   24 -0.190 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS          6  4 30 24 -0.008  4.940   11  0.009   11  0.016   12  0.009   11 0.5123   29  0.779   29 -0.346    4  0.364 P
CAPITALS        6  4 27 22 -0.060  4.706   12  0.008   12  0.015    8  0.019   12 0.5115   31  0.735   31 -0.381    2  0.419 P
STARS           6  5 30 32  0.012  5.532   13  0.008   13  0.014   13  0.007   13 0.5090   24  0.938   24 -0.175    8  0.190 P
KRAKEN          5  5 28 29  0.072  5.285   15  0.003   15  0.006   14  0.007   14 0.5074   30  0.774   30 -0.354    3  0.367 P
DUCKS           5  4 32 31  0.048  4.711   14  0.005   14  0.010   26 -0.014   15 0.5056    7  1.305    7  0.257   26 -0.285 P
PANTHERS        5  6 27 31  0.044  5.695   16 -0.001   17  0.001   15  0.004   16 0.4987   28  0.812   27 -0.317    5  0.325 P
LIGHTNING       5  6 31 31  0.009  5.509   20 -0.004   20 -0.002    9  0.014   17 0.4978   27  0.834   26 -0.284    6  0.311 P
BRUINS          6  7 43 47  0.060  6.821   17 -0.002   16  0.001   17  0.003   18 0.4908    6  1.322    5  0.298   27 -0.292 P
CANUCKS         6  6 33 36 -0.065  5.747   18 -0.004   18 -0.001   27 -0.026   19 0.4873   22  0.971   23 -0.171   13  0.120 P
MAPLE LEAFS     5  6 38 42 -0.089  5.120   22 -0.009   22 -0.008   25 -0.012   20 0.4871    3  1.416    2  0.414   29 -0.438 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS        6  6 45 47 -0.060  5.725   19 -0.004   19 -0.002   24 -0.012   21 0.4863    1  1.581    1  0.657   32 -0.681 P
KINGS           5  7 36 40  0.058  6.287   21 -0.009   21 -0.007   19  0.002   22 0.4861   21  0.977   21 -0.137   10  0.141 P
ISLANDERS       4  6 34 39  0.058  5.272   23 -0.011   23 -0.009   23 -0.011   23 0.4848    5  1.325    6  0.288   28 -0.309 P
OILERS          5  7 38 39 -0.023  5.856   25 -0.013   25 -0.012   10  0.010   24 0.4843   15  1.157   14  0.089   19 -0.069 P
BLACKHAWKS      5  6 36 32 -0.031  5.366   24 -0.012   24 -0.010   21 -0.007   25 0.4834   20  1.001   20 -0.118   14  0.104 P
RANGERS         5  7 28 29 -0.026  5.881   26 -0.014   26 -0.013   20 -0.003   26 0.4743   32  0.617   32 -0.519    1  0.512 P
SABRES          4  7 33 35 -0.010  5.476   27 -0.023   27 -0.021   22 -0.010   27 0.4694   23  0.967   22 -0.160   11  0.139 P
PREDATORS       4  8 29 41 -0.023  5.967   28 -0.029   28 -0.028   29 -0.038   28 0.4679   25  0.917   25 -0.246    9  0.169 P
SHARKS          3  8 37 48  0.054  5.873   29 -0.035   29 -0.034   32 -0.053   29 0.4534    4  1.392    4  0.338   30 -0.444 P
WILD            3  9 32 47  0.009  6.153   30 -0.041   31 -0.039   28 -0.038   30 0.4502   14  1.159   17  0.042   21 -0.118 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES           3  8 32 48 -0.097  5.166   31 -0.043   30 -0.039   30 -0.047   31 0.4480    2  1.423    3  0.388   31 -0.483 P
FLAMES          2 10 27 43  0.029  6.277   32 -0.061   32 -0.053   31 -0.048   32 0.4335   26  0.852   28 -0.326    7  0.230 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  6  4 37 28  0.019  4.973    8  0.017    8  0.021    4  0.039    9 0.5165   13  1.160   13  0.121   17 -0.042 P
KRAKEN          5  5 28 29  0.072  5.285   15  0.003   15  0.006   14  0.007   14 0.5074   30  0.774   30 -0.354    3  0.367 P
DUCKS           5  4 32 31  0.048  4.711   14  0.005   14  0.010   26 -0.014   15 0.5056    7  1.305    7  0.257   26 -0.285 P
CANUCKS         6  6 33 36 -0.065  5.747   18 -0.004   18 -0.001   27 -0.026   19 0.4873   22  0.971   23 -0.171   13  0.120 P
KINGS           5  7 36 40  0.058  6.287   21 -0.009   21 -0.007   19  0.002   22 0.4861   21  0.977   21 -0.137   10  0.141 P
OILERS          5  7 38 39 -0.023  5.856   25 -0.013   25 -0.012   10  0.010   24 0.4843   15  1.157   14  0.089   19 -0.069 P
SHARKS          3  8 37 48  0.054  5.873   29 -0.035   29 -0.034   32 -0.053   29 0.4534    4  1.392    4  0.338   30 -0.444 P
FLAMES          2 10 27 43  0.029  6.277   32 -0.061   32 -0.053   31 -0.048   32 0.4335   26  0.852   28 -0.326    7  0.230 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS            8  3 40 28 -0.104  4.932    4  0.033    4  0.035    5  0.037    4 0.5321   12  1.210   12  0.182   20 -0.109 P
MAMMOTH         8  3 40 30  0.003  5.431    3  0.037    3  0.039    7  0.023    5 0.5311   18  1.087   19  0.014   15  0.031 P
AVALANCHE       6  5 41 30  0.136  5.971    9  0.017    9  0.021    1  0.072    7 0.5251   19  1.051   18  0.019   12  0.124 P
STARS           6  5 30 32  0.012  5.532   13  0.008   13  0.014   13  0.007   13 0.5090   24  0.938   24 -0.175    8  0.190 P
BLACKHAWKS      5  6 36 32 -0.031  5.366   24 -0.012   24 -0.010   21 -0.007   25 0.4834   20  1.001   20 -0.118   14  0.104 P
PREDATORS       4  8 29 41 -0.023  5.967   28 -0.029   28 -0.028   29 -0.038   28 0.4679   25  0.917   25 -0.246    9  0.169 P
WILD            3  9 32 47  0.009  6.153   30 -0.041   31 -0.039   28 -0.038   30 0.4502   14  1.159   17  0.042   21 -0.118 P
BLUES           3  8 32 48 -0.097  5.166   31 -0.043   30 -0.039   30 -0.047   31 0.4480    2  1.423    3  0.388   31 -0.483 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES      7  3 40 30  0.118  5.365    1  0.043    2  0.042    2  0.051    1 0.5492   11  1.229    9  0.222   22 -0.120 P
DEVILS          8  3 41 35  0.061  5.666    2  0.042    1  0.043    6  0.033    2 0.5423   10  1.240   10  0.218   23 -0.151 P
PENGUINS        8  4 44 31 -0.080  5.478    7  0.022    7  0.026    3  0.047    8 0.5211   17  1.120   15  0.078   16  0.015 P
BLUE JACKETS    6  4 35 31  0.051  5.205   10  0.012   10  0.019   16  0.003   10 0.5149    9  1.246   11  0.196   24 -0.190 P
FLYERS          6  4 30 24 -0.008  4.940   11  0.009   11  0.016   12  0.009   11 0.5123   29  0.779   29 -0.346    4  0.364 P
CAPITALS        6  4 27 22 -0.060  4.706   12  0.008   12  0.015    8  0.019   12 0.5115   31  0.735   31 -0.381    2  0.419 P
ISLANDERS       4  6 34 39  0.058  5.272   23 -0.011   23 -0.009   23 -0.011   23 0.4848    5  1.325    6  0.288   28 -0.309 P
RANGERS         5  7 28 29 -0.026  5.881   26 -0.014   26 -0.013   20 -0.003   26 0.4743   32  0.617   32 -0.519    1  0.512 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANADIENS       8  3 40 33 -0.057  5.211    5  0.032    5  0.034   11  0.009    3 0.5334    8  1.284    8  0.252   25 -0.234 P
RED WINGS       8  3 39 34 -0.087  5.090    6  0.029    6  0.033   18  0.002    6 0.5300   16  1.134   16  0.052   18 -0.047 P
PANTHERS        5  6 27 31  0.044  5.695   16 -0.001   17  0.001   15  0.004   16 0.4987   28  0.812   27 -0.317    5  0.325 P
LIGHTNING       5  6 31 31  0.009  5.509   20 -0.004   20 -0.002    9  0.014   17 0.4978   27  0.834   26 -0.284    6  0.311 P
BRUINS          6  7 43 47  0.060  6.821   17 -0.002   16  0.001   17  0.003   18 0.4908    6  1.322    5  0.298   27 -0.292 P
MAPLE LEAFS     5  6 38 42 -0.089  5.120   22 -0.009   22 -0.008   25 -0.012   20 0.4871    3  1.416    2  0.414   29 -0.438 P
SENATORS        6  6 45 47 -0.060  5.725   19 -0.004   19 -0.002   24 -0.012   21 0.4863    1  1.581    1  0.657   32 -0.681 P
SABRES          4  7 33 35 -0.010  5.476   27 -0.023   27 -0.021   22 -0.010   27 0.4694   23  0.967   22 -0.160   11  0.139 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 50 35 0.588    1  0.123
CENTRAL DIVISION      43 47 0.478    2 -0.006
ATLANTIC DIVISION     47 44 0.516    3 -0.017
PACIFIC DIVISION      37 51 0.420    4 -0.087

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.090 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct 31 05:30:12 2025
games through: Thu Oct 30 2025

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