Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      2 0 14  5 -0.086  0.873    1  0.076    1  0.069    1  0.154    1 0.5503    4  1.457    2  0.715   27 -0.407 P
WILD           2 0  7  2  0.052  1.009    2  0.069    3  0.061    2  0.084    2 0.5474   20  0.942   16 -0.019   10  0.186 P
RANGERS        3 1 11  6  0.096  2.098    4  0.050    2  0.061    3  0.070    3 0.5353   26  0.772   25 -0.216    3  0.356 P
BRUINS         2 1  8  7  0.252  1.779    3  0.051    5  0.048    5  0.055    4 0.5349   25  0.861   22 -0.137    8  0.246 P
PENGUINS       2 0 13  5 -0.126  0.859    5  0.045    4  0.048    4  0.069    5 0.5300    5  1.413    4  0.567   28 -0.429 P
DUCKS          2 0  7  5  0.097  1.077    6  0.038    6  0.042   26 -0.042    6 0.5246   10  1.172   12  0.132   22 -0.215 P
SENATORS       1 0  3  2  0.120  0.541    7  0.035    7  0.032   15  0.020    7 0.5215   14  1.095   13  0.099   18 -0.059 P
LIGHTNING      1 1  4  6  0.198  1.139   10  0.030   10  0.024    7  0.053    8 0.5212   19  0.960   17 -0.028   12  0.135 P
OILERS         2 1 17 14 -0.070  1.369    8  0.035    8  0.028    8  0.053    9 0.5166    1  1.610    1  0.841   32 -0.735 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 1 11  8 -0.264  1.124    9  0.035   11  0.019    9  0.042   10 0.5155   16  1.034   14  0.047   16  0.037 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAMMOTH        2 1 12  5 -0.049  1.378   13  0.013   12  0.019    6  0.054   11 0.5100   17  0.977   15 -0.008   14  0.115 P
CAPITALS       1 1  6  5  0.267  1.203   11  0.016   13  0.018   10  0.041   12 0.5100   12  1.130   11  0.163   19 -0.081 P
SHARKS         2 0  9  7 -0.142  0.882   12  0.015    9  0.025   29 -0.088   13 0.5084    8  1.280    8  0.227   26 -0.403 P
BLUES          1 1  5  6  0.342  1.267   14  0.010   14  0.014   17  0.016   14 0.5062   21  0.941   19 -0.087   13  0.120 P
CANADIENS      1 1  8  8  0.244  1.190   15  0.009   15  0.008   18  0.009   15 0.5024    7  1.325    7  0.384   25 -0.366 P
JETS           1 1  6  6 -0.021  0.961   17  0.006   17  0.003   16  0.019   16 0.5018   11  1.167    9  0.187   20 -0.149 P
KRAKEN         2 1 13  5 -0.191  1.220   16  0.008   16  0.006   14  0.021   17 0.4974   22  0.908   20 -0.118   11  0.161 P
PANTHERS       1 2  6  7  0.038  1.516   19 -0.001   25 -0.017   13  0.024   18 0.4952   32  0.446   32 -0.569    1  0.617 P
PREDATORS      1 1  3  4 -0.043  0.958   23 -0.028   18 -0.008   25 -0.041   19 0.4926   28  0.712   30 -0.387    7  0.306 P
ISLANDERS      1 1  7  2 -0.126  0.866   21 -0.014   19 -0.008   11  0.030   20 0.4917   23  0.877   23 -0.144    9  0.204 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES         1 1  7  9 -0.315  0.731   18  0.002   21 -0.009   22 -0.026   21 0.4906    6  1.355    6  0.390   29 -0.442 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 1  7  7 -0.092  0.915   24 -0.030   22 -0.010   23 -0.040   22 0.4897    9  1.199   10  0.169   23 -0.249 P
HURRICANES     1 2  5  8 -0.077  1.370   20 -0.011   23 -0.014   12  0.024   23 0.4878   30  0.701   27 -0.334    2  0.383 P
CANUCKS        2 2 19 18 -0.071  1.874   26 -0.033   24 -0.015   24 -0.040   24 0.4867    3  1.477    5  0.548   31 -0.629 P
DEVILS         1 1  3  8 -0.143  0.897   22 -0.026   20 -0.008   28 -0.082   25 0.4855   18  0.964   24 -0.159   17 -0.006 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 2  6  7 -0.063  1.396   25 -0.033   26 -0.028   19 -0.009   26 0.4811   29  0.707   29 -0.360    5  0.343 P
KINGS          0 2  8 13  0.227  1.184   28 -0.045   28 -0.041   20 -0.017   27 0.4755    2  1.482    3  0.580   30 -0.613 P
STARS          0 2  1  6 -0.037  0.958   27 -0.041   27 -0.041   21 -0.020   28 0.4724   27  0.730   28 -0.348    6  0.309 P
RED WINGS      0 2  2  5 -0.005  0.997   29 -0.058   29 -0.059   27 -0.074   29 0.4564   31  0.631   31 -0.500    4  0.351 P
FLAMES         0 3  3 16  0.028  1.565   31 -0.073   30 -0.080   31 -0.153   30 0.4425   15  1.051   21 -0.127   21 -0.178 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS         0 3  4 13 -0.060  1.437   30 -0.071   31 -0.086   30 -0.107   31 0.4422   24  0.862   26 -0.298   15  0.083 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 3  5 15  0.170  1.751   32 -0.078   32 -0.087   32 -0.171   32 0.4377   13  1.100   18 -0.086   24 -0.255 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          2 0  7  5  0.097  1.077    6  0.038    6  0.042   26 -0.042    6 0.5246   10  1.172   12  0.132   22 -0.215 P
OILERS         2 1 17 14 -0.070  1.369    8  0.035    8  0.028    8  0.053    9 0.5166    1  1.610    1  0.841   32 -0.735 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 2 1 11  8 -0.264  1.124    9  0.035   11  0.019    9  0.042   10 0.5155   16  1.034   14  0.047   16  0.037 P
SHARKS         2 0  9  7 -0.142  0.882   12  0.015    9  0.025   29 -0.088   13 0.5084    8  1.280    8  0.227   26 -0.403 P
KRAKEN         2 1 13  5 -0.191  1.220   16  0.008   16  0.006   14  0.021   17 0.4974   22  0.908   20 -0.118   11  0.161 P
CANUCKS        2 2 19 18 -0.071  1.874   26 -0.033   24 -0.015   24 -0.040   24 0.4867    3  1.477    5  0.548   31 -0.629 P
KINGS          0 2  8 13  0.227  1.184   28 -0.045   28 -0.041   20 -0.017   27 0.4755    2  1.482    3  0.580   30 -0.613 P
FLAMES         0 3  3 16  0.028  1.565   31 -0.073   30 -0.080   31 -0.153   30 0.4425   15  1.051   21 -0.127   21 -0.178 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      2 0 14  5 -0.086  0.873    1  0.076    1  0.069    1  0.154    1 0.5503    4  1.457    2  0.715   27 -0.407 P
WILD           2 0  7  2  0.052  1.009    2  0.069    3  0.061    2  0.084    2 0.5474   20  0.942   16 -0.019   10  0.186 P
MAMMOTH        2 1 12  5 -0.049  1.378   13  0.013   12  0.019    6  0.054   11 0.5100   17  0.977   15 -0.008   14  0.115 P
BLUES          1 1  5  6  0.342  1.267   14  0.010   14  0.014   17  0.016   14 0.5062   21  0.941   19 -0.087   13  0.120 P
JETS           1 1  6  6 -0.021  0.961   17  0.006   17  0.003   16  0.019   16 0.5018   11  1.167    9  0.187   20 -0.149 P
PREDATORS      1 1  3  4 -0.043  0.958   23 -0.028   18 -0.008   25 -0.041   19 0.4926   28  0.712   30 -0.387    7  0.306 P
STARS          0 2  1  6 -0.037  0.958   27 -0.041   27 -0.041   21 -0.020   28 0.4724   27  0.730   28 -0.348    6  0.309 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 3  5 15  0.170  1.751   32 -0.078   32 -0.087   32 -0.171   32 0.4377   13  1.100   18 -0.086   24 -0.255 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        3 1 11  6  0.096  2.098    4  0.050    2  0.061    3  0.070    3 0.5353   26  0.772   25 -0.216    3  0.356 P
PENGUINS       2 0 13  5 -0.126  0.859    5  0.045    4  0.048    4  0.069    5 0.5300    5  1.413    4  0.567   28 -0.429 P
CAPITALS       1 1  6  5  0.267  1.203   11  0.016   13  0.018   10  0.041   12 0.5100   12  1.130   11  0.163   19 -0.081 P
ISLANDERS      1 1  7  2 -0.126  0.866   21 -0.014   19 -0.008   11  0.030   20 0.4917   23  0.877   23 -0.144    9  0.204 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 1  7  7 -0.092  0.915   24 -0.030   22 -0.010   23 -0.040   22 0.4897    9  1.199   10  0.169   23 -0.249 P
HURRICANES     1 2  5  8 -0.077  1.370   20 -0.011   23 -0.014   12  0.024   23 0.4878   30  0.701   27 -0.334    2  0.383 P
DEVILS         1 1  3  8 -0.143  0.897   22 -0.026   20 -0.008   28 -0.082   25 0.4855   18  0.964   24 -0.159   17 -0.006 P
FLYERS         0 3  4 13 -0.060  1.437   30 -0.071   31 -0.086   30 -0.107   31 0.4422   24  0.862   26 -0.298   15  0.083 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         2 1  8  7  0.252  1.779    3  0.051    5  0.048    5  0.055    4 0.5349   25  0.861   22 -0.137    8  0.246 P
SENATORS       1 0  3  2  0.120  0.541    7  0.035    7  0.032   15  0.020    7 0.5215   14  1.095   13  0.099   18 -0.059 P
LIGHTNING      1 1  4  6  0.198  1.139   10  0.030   10  0.024    7  0.053    8 0.5212   19  0.960   17 -0.028   12  0.135 P
CANADIENS      1 1  8  8  0.244  1.190   15  0.009   15  0.008   18  0.009   15 0.5024    7  1.325    7  0.384   25 -0.366 P
PANTHERS       1 2  6  7  0.038  1.516   19 -0.001   25 -0.017   13  0.024   18 0.4952   32  0.446   32 -0.569    1  0.617 P
SABRES         1 1  7  9 -0.315  0.731   18  0.002   21 -0.009   22 -0.026   21 0.4906    6  1.355    6  0.390   29 -0.442 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 2  6  7 -0.063  1.396   25 -0.033   26 -0.028   19 -0.009   26 0.4811   29  0.707   29 -0.360    5  0.343 P
RED WINGS      0 2  2  5 -0.005  0.997   29 -0.058   29 -0.059   27 -0.074   29 0.4564   31  0.631   31 -0.500    4  0.351 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION       9  9 0.500    1  0.054
ATLANTIC DIVISION      8 10 0.444    2  0.028
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 10 10 0.500    3  0.010
PACIFIC DIVISION      12 10 0.545    4 -0.082

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.146 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.012 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Oct  5 05:30:16 2026
games through: Sun Oct  4 2026

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