Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      2 0  6  2 -0.036  0.947    1  0.063    1  0.044    1  0.079    1 0.5494   31  0.639   27 -0.292    1  0.450 P
HURRICANES     1 0  6  3 -0.102  0.447    5  0.041    6  0.022    2  0.066    5 0.5331    8  1.263    2  0.406   25 -0.274 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 0  5  2 -0.120  0.442    6  0.040    7  0.018    3  0.053    7 0.5297   11  1.108   10  0.195   19 -0.089 P
PANTHERS       2 0  5  3 -0.286  0.746    2  0.058    2  0.036    4  0.050    2 0.5371   30  0.720   25 -0.241    3  0.342 P
STARS          1 0  5  4  0.212  0.586    7  0.038    5  0.025    5  0.045    3 0.5351    5  1.279    3  0.405   26 -0.315 P
WILD           1 0  5  0 -0.096  0.452    9  0.022    9  0.009    6  0.043    8 0.5214   21  0.919   17 -0.037   10  0.123 P
LIGHTNING      0 1  4  5 -0.045  0.476   17  0.004   19 -0.024    7  0.035   18 0.4955    4  1.281    4  0.398   28 -0.329 P
JETS           0 1  4  5  0.167  0.568   18  0.003   17 -0.022    8  0.033   17 0.4967    6  1.279    6  0.393   27 -0.327 P
BRUINS         2 0  7  4 -0.157  0.857    3  0.049    3  0.033    9  0.029    4 0.5343   19  0.930   18 -0.038   11  0.097 P
PENGUINS       2 0  7  3  0.030  1.019    4  0.042    4  0.031   10  0.025    6 0.5329   17  0.955   16 -0.015   12  0.064 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS        1 0  5  1 -0.133  0.440    8  0.025   10  0.007   11  0.023    9 0.5198   15  1.012   13  0.050   16 -0.004 P
RANGERS        1 1  4  3 -0.055  0.947   14  0.007   15 -0.008   12  0.022   12 0.5077   32  0.582   32 -0.403    2  0.447 P
OILERS         0 1  3  4 -0.135  0.440   19 -0.010   20 -0.030   13  0.019   20 0.4884   14  1.038   12  0.077   17 -0.038 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 1  9  9 -0.182  0.841   13  0.007   16 -0.011   14  0.017   15 0.5033    1  1.337    1  0.456   32 -0.421 P
KINGS          1 1  7  9  0.208  1.180   10  0.018   11  0.001   15 -0.003   11 0.5145    2  1.308    5  0.397   31 -0.403 P
SENATORS       1 0  5  4  0.200  0.588   11  0.016    8  0.010   16 -0.015   10 0.5173    3  1.281    7  0.348   30 -0.379 P
CAPITALS       0 1  1  3  0.092  0.543   22 -0.016   21 -0.031   17 -0.016   21 0.4872   25  0.816   24 -0.208    8  0.176 P
PREDATORS      1 0  2  1 -0.253  0.395   12  0.010   12 -0.000   18 -0.028   13 0.5075   27  0.733   28 -0.307    4  0.251 P
KRAKEN         1 0  3  1 -0.426  0.325   15  0.005   13 -0.005   19 -0.030   16 0.5030   24  0.834   23 -0.204    9  0.143 P
ISLANDERS      0 1  3  4  0.175  0.579   24 -0.026   24 -0.037   20 -0.030   24 0.4814    9  1.179    9  0.200   24 -0.261 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DEVILS         0 1  3  6  0.312  0.638   23 -0.016   23 -0.032   21 -0.032   22 0.4844    7  1.263    8  0.308   29 -0.372 P
FLAMES         1 1  5  8  0.153  1.142   16  0.004   14 -0.007   22 -0.038   14 0.5041   13  1.062   14  0.049   21 -0.124 P
CANADIENS      1 1  7  6 -0.004  1.010   21 -0.014   18 -0.023   23 -0.040   19 0.4912   10  1.122   11  0.118   22 -0.199 P
BLUES          0 1  0  5  0.145  0.571   20 -0.012   22 -0.032   24 -0.051   23 0.4829   20  0.919   20 -0.131   14  0.029 P
MAMMOTH        0 1  1  2  0.350  0.654   25 -0.032   25 -0.040   25 -0.052   25 0.4777   26  0.751   29 -0.313    7  0.208 P
FLYERS         0 1  1  2  0.233  0.609   28 -0.037   27 -0.044   26 -0.065   26 0.4726   29  0.727   31 -0.350    5  0.219 P
BLUE JACKETS   0 1  1  2 -0.033  0.495   27 -0.033   28 -0.048   27 -0.067   28 0.4688   28  0.733   30 -0.346    6  0.212 P
SABRES         0 1  0  4  0.041  0.529   26 -0.032   26 -0.043   28 -0.083   27 0.4700   22  0.891   22 -0.194   15  0.027 P
RED WINGS      0 1  1  5 -0.165  0.442   29 -0.039   29 -0.050   29 -0.093   29 0.4637   16  1.003   19 -0.077   20 -0.109 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 2  5  7  0.191  1.189   32 -0.074   32 -0.075   30 -0.106   31 0.4521   12  1.077   15 -0.002   23 -0.210 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          0 1  1  3 -0.053  0.493   30 -0.047   30 -0.058   31 -0.115   30 0.4571   23  0.834   26 -0.289   13  0.058 P
SHARKS         0 1  3  4  0.016  0.524   31 -0.062   31 -0.064   32 -0.124   32 0.4451   18  0.940   21 -0.181   18 -0.068 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS        1 0  5  1 -0.133  0.440    8  0.025   10  0.007   11  0.023    9 0.5198   15  1.012   13  0.050   16 -0.004 P
OILERS         0 1  3  4 -0.135  0.440   19 -0.010   20 -0.030   13  0.019   20 0.4884   14  1.038   12  0.077   17 -0.038 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 1  9  9 -0.182  0.841   13  0.007   16 -0.011   14  0.017   15 0.5033    1  1.337    1  0.456   32 -0.421 P
KINGS          1 1  7  9  0.208  1.180   10  0.018   11  0.001   15 -0.003   11 0.5145    2  1.308    5  0.397   31 -0.403 P
KRAKEN         1 0  3  1 -0.426  0.325   15  0.005   13 -0.005   19 -0.030   16 0.5030   24  0.834   23 -0.204    9  0.143 P
FLAMES         1 1  5  8  0.153  1.142   16  0.004   14 -0.007   22 -0.038   14 0.5041   13  1.062   14  0.049   21 -0.124 P
DUCKS          0 1  1  3 -0.053  0.493   30 -0.047   30 -0.058   31 -0.115   30 0.4571   23  0.834   26 -0.289   13  0.058 P
SHARKS         0 1  3  4  0.016  0.524   31 -0.062   31 -0.064   32 -0.124   32 0.4451   18  0.940   21 -0.181   18 -0.068 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      2 0  6  2 -0.036  0.947    1  0.063    1  0.044    1  0.079    1 0.5494   31  0.639   27 -0.292    1  0.450 P
STARS          1 0  5  4  0.212  0.586    7  0.038    5  0.025    5  0.045    3 0.5351    5  1.279    3  0.405   26 -0.315 P
WILD           1 0  5  0 -0.096  0.452    9  0.022    9  0.009    6  0.043    8 0.5214   21  0.919   17 -0.037   10  0.123 P
JETS           0 1  4  5  0.167  0.568   18  0.003   17 -0.022    8  0.033   17 0.4967    6  1.279    6  0.393   27 -0.327 P
PREDATORS      1 0  2  1 -0.253  0.395   12  0.010   12 -0.000   18 -0.028   13 0.5075   27  0.733   28 -0.307    4  0.251 P
BLUES          0 1  0  5  0.145  0.571   20 -0.012   22 -0.032   24 -0.051   23 0.4829   20  0.919   20 -0.131   14  0.029 P
MAMMOTH        0 1  1  2  0.350  0.654   25 -0.032   25 -0.040   25 -0.052   25 0.4777   26  0.751   29 -0.313    7  0.208 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 2  5  7  0.191  1.189   32 -0.074   32 -0.075   30 -0.106   31 0.4521   12  1.077   15 -0.002   23 -0.210 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     1 0  6  3 -0.102  0.447    5  0.041    6  0.022    2  0.066    5 0.5331    8  1.263    2  0.406   25 -0.274 P
PENGUINS       2 0  7  3  0.030  1.019    4  0.042    4  0.031   10  0.025    6 0.5329   17  0.955   16 -0.015   12  0.064 P
RANGERS        1 1  4  3 -0.055  0.947   14  0.007   15 -0.008   12  0.022   12 0.5077   32  0.582   32 -0.403    2  0.447 P
CAPITALS       0 1  1  3  0.092  0.543   22 -0.016   21 -0.031   17 -0.016   21 0.4872   25  0.816   24 -0.208    8  0.176 P
ISLANDERS      0 1  3  4  0.175  0.579   24 -0.026   24 -0.037   20 -0.030   24 0.4814    9  1.179    9  0.200   24 -0.261 P
DEVILS         0 1  3  6  0.312  0.638   23 -0.016   23 -0.032   21 -0.032   22 0.4844    7  1.263    8  0.308   29 -0.372 P
FLYERS         0 1  1  2  0.233  0.609   28 -0.037   27 -0.044   26 -0.065   26 0.4726   29  0.727   31 -0.350    5  0.219 P
BLUE JACKETS   0 1  1  2 -0.033  0.495   27 -0.033   28 -0.048   27 -0.067   28 0.4688   28  0.733   30 -0.346    6  0.212 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS    1 0  5  2 -0.120  0.442    6  0.040    7  0.018    3  0.053    7 0.5297   11  1.108   10  0.195   19 -0.089 P
PANTHERS       2 0  5  3 -0.286  0.746    2  0.058    2  0.036    4  0.050    2 0.5371   30  0.720   25 -0.241    3  0.342 P
LIGHTNING      0 1  4  5 -0.045  0.476   17  0.004   19 -0.024    7  0.035   18 0.4955    4  1.281    4  0.398   28 -0.329 P
BRUINS         2 0  7  4 -0.157  0.857    3  0.049    3  0.033    9  0.029    4 0.5343   19  0.930   18 -0.038   11  0.097 P
SENATORS       1 0  5  4  0.200  0.588   11  0.016    8  0.010   16 -0.015   10 0.5173    3  1.281    7  0.348   30 -0.379 P
CANADIENS      1 1  7  6 -0.004  1.010   21 -0.014   18 -0.023   23 -0.040   19 0.4912   10  1.122   11  0.118   22 -0.199 P
SABRES         0 1  0  4  0.041  0.529   26 -0.032   26 -0.043   28 -0.083   27 0.4700   22  0.891   22 -0.194   15  0.027 P
RED WINGS      0 1  1  5 -0.165  0.442   29 -0.039   29 -0.050   29 -0.093   29 0.4637   16  1.003   19 -0.077   20 -0.109 P

DIVISION              W L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      5 5 0.500    1  0.025
ATLANTIC DIVISION     7 4 0.636    2  0.008
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 4 6 0.400    3 -0.009
PACIFIC DIVISION      5 6 0.455    4 -0.080

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.048 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct 10 05:30:13 2025
games through: Thu Oct  9 2025

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