Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE       8  6 50 37  0.147  7.667    7  0.024    7  0.030    1  0.081    4 0.5310   19  1.029   16  0.030   10  0.132 P
HURRICANES      8  4 44 32  0.153  6.611    2  0.043    2  0.045    2  0.063    1 0.5478   14  1.116   12  0.118   17  0.008 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  7  5 40 32  0.067  6.218    9  0.021    9  0.024    3  0.043    9 0.5193   17  1.058   17  0.025   15  0.060 P
DEVILS          9  4 46 40  0.107  6.955    1  0.043    1  0.047    4  0.040    2 0.5449    9  1.183    9  0.178   23 -0.098 P
PENGUINS        8  6 49 40 -0.039  6.685   12  0.011   12  0.014    5  0.038   11 0.5102   12  1.140   11  0.121   20 -0.046 P
JETS            9  4 45 33 -0.078  6.011    4  0.032    4  0.035    6  0.032    6 0.5266   11  1.163   10  0.144   22 -0.080 P
LIGHTNING       6  7 37 36  0.088  6.924   17  0.001   17  0.005    7  0.024   15 0.5022   27  0.883   27 -0.193    5  0.241 P
DUCKS           8  4 48 37  0.057  6.240    5  0.029    5  0.034    8  0.024    3 0.5347    3  1.358    3  0.395   28 -0.346 P
MAMMOTH         9  4 44 35  0.014  6.515    3  0.037    3  0.040    9  0.021    5 0.5286   18  1.051   18 -0.004   16  0.046 P
BRUINS          8  7 49 51  0.096  8.077   10  0.015   10  0.020   10  0.014   10 0.5104    8  1.240    8  0.226   25 -0.198 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KRAKEN          6  6 33 33  0.031  6.140   16  0.001   16  0.005   11  0.012   17 0.5000   30  0.760   30 -0.337    3  0.360 P
CAPITALS        6  6 31 29 -0.061  5.689   19 -0.003   19 -0.000   12  0.008   20 0.4913   31  0.750   31 -0.350    2  0.366 P
KINGS           6  8 40 44  0.072  7.420   21 -0.008   21 -0.004   13  0.007   21 0.4894   26  0.927   23 -0.162    7  0.176 P
CANADIENS       9  4 48 41 -0.089  6.013    6  0.027    6  0.032   14  0.007    7 0.5256    6  1.294    5  0.290   27 -0.276 P
STARS           7  6 37 39 -0.001  6.492   13  0.009   13  0.013   15  0.006   13 0.5043   20  0.984   20 -0.098   13  0.109 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  5 40 36  0.016  6.087   11  0.014   11  0.018   16  0.002   12 0.5099   13  1.138   13  0.084   21 -0.079 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  6 47 47 -0.076  6.102   14  0.005   14  0.007   17  0.000   14 0.5034    2  1.467    2  0.526   31 -0.526 P
OILERS          6  9 46 48 -0.063  7.120   26 -0.024   27 -0.023   18 -0.000   26 0.4735   15  1.099   15  0.033   18 -0.034 P
ISLANDERS       6  7 43 46  0.029  6.674   20 -0.005   20 -0.002   19 -0.001   19 0.4926    7  1.264    7  0.243   26 -0.244 P
RED WINGS       9  5 44 42 -0.032  6.840    8  0.024    8  0.029   20 -0.005    8 0.5243   21  0.970   21 -0.125   12  0.115 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS        6  7 34 41  0.042  6.761   18 -0.001   18  0.002   21 -0.006   16 0.5005   22  0.957   22 -0.141   11  0.129 P
FLYERS          7  6 38 35 -0.060  6.207   15  0.002   15  0.005   22 -0.007   18 0.4980   29  0.823   28 -0.289    4  0.276 P
SABRES          5  8 38 40 -0.010  6.485   25 -0.022   25 -0.019   23 -0.009   25 0.4759   25  0.931   25 -0.173    8  0.154 P
BLACKHAWKS      5  8 39 38  0.002  6.547   27 -0.024   26 -0.021   24 -0.009   27 0.4714   24  0.937   24 -0.167    9  0.148 P
SENATORS        6  7 48 51 -0.061  6.218   23 -0.011   23 -0.008   25 -0.013   23 0.4791    1  1.539    1  0.618   32 -0.644 P
RANGERS         6  8 31 34 -0.015  6.973   24 -0.013   24 -0.011   26 -0.014   24 0.4780   32  0.558   32 -0.558    1  0.530 P
WILD            5  9 40 51 -0.067  6.721   29 -0.033   29 -0.029   27 -0.034   29 0.4627   10  1.166   14  0.083   24 -0.151 P
CANUCKS         7  7 40 45 -0.116  6.450   22 -0.008   22 -0.005   28 -0.039   22 0.4805   16  1.070   19 -0.041   19 -0.038 P
PREDATORS       5 10 39 51 -0.082  7.118   30 -0.043   30 -0.038   29 -0.040   30 0.4570   23  0.949   26 -0.183   14  0.104 P
SHARKS          4  9 42 53  0.093  7.129   28 -0.031   28 -0.028   30 -0.042   28 0.4645    5  1.320    6  0.276   29 -0.361 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES           4  9 37 53 -0.119  5.990   31 -0.046   31 -0.040   31 -0.050   31 0.4495    4  1.350    4  0.311   30 -0.410 P
FLAMES          3 11 31 48 -0.007  7.129   32 -0.063   32 -0.053   32 -0.052   32 0.4378   28  0.859   29 -0.295    6  0.191 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  7  5 40 32  0.067  6.218    9  0.021    9  0.024    3  0.043    9 0.5193   17  1.058   17  0.025   15  0.060 P
DUCKS           8  4 48 37  0.057  6.240    5  0.029    5  0.034    8  0.024    3 0.5347    3  1.358    3  0.395   28 -0.346 P
KRAKEN          6  6 33 33  0.031  6.140   16  0.001   16  0.005   11  0.012   17 0.5000   30  0.760   30 -0.337    3  0.360 P
KINGS           6  8 40 44  0.072  7.420   21 -0.008   21 -0.004   13  0.007   21 0.4894   26  0.927   23 -0.162    7  0.176 P
OILERS          6  9 46 48 -0.063  7.120   26 -0.024   27 -0.023   18 -0.000   26 0.4735   15  1.099   15  0.033   18 -0.034 P
CANUCKS         7  7 40 45 -0.116  6.450   22 -0.008   22 -0.005   28 -0.039   22 0.4805   16  1.070   19 -0.041   19 -0.038 P
SHARKS          4  9 42 53  0.093  7.129   28 -0.031   28 -0.028   30 -0.042   28 0.4645    5  1.320    6  0.276   29 -0.361 P
FLAMES          3 11 31 48 -0.007  7.129   32 -0.063   32 -0.053   32 -0.052   32 0.4378   28  0.859   29 -0.295    6  0.191 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE       8  6 50 37  0.147  7.667    7  0.024    7  0.030    1  0.081    4 0.5310   19  1.029   16  0.030   10  0.132 P
JETS            9  4 45 33 -0.078  6.011    4  0.032    4  0.035    6  0.032    6 0.5266   11  1.163   10  0.144   22 -0.080 P
MAMMOTH         9  4 44 35  0.014  6.515    3  0.037    3  0.040    9  0.021    5 0.5286   18  1.051   18 -0.004   16  0.046 P
STARS           7  6 37 39 -0.001  6.492   13  0.009   13  0.013   15  0.006   13 0.5043   20  0.984   20 -0.098   13  0.109 P
BLACKHAWKS      5  8 39 38  0.002  6.547   27 -0.024   26 -0.021   24 -0.009   27 0.4714   24  0.937   24 -0.167    9  0.148 P
WILD            5  9 40 51 -0.067  6.721   29 -0.033   29 -0.029   27 -0.034   29 0.4627   10  1.166   14  0.083   24 -0.151 P
PREDATORS       5 10 39 51 -0.082  7.118   30 -0.043   30 -0.038   29 -0.040   30 0.4570   23  0.949   26 -0.183   14  0.104 P
BLUES           4  9 37 53 -0.119  5.990   31 -0.046   31 -0.040   31 -0.050   31 0.4495    4  1.350    4  0.311   30 -0.410 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES      8  4 44 32  0.153  6.611    2  0.043    2  0.045    2  0.063    1 0.5478   14  1.116   12  0.118   17  0.008 P
DEVILS          9  4 46 40  0.107  6.955    1  0.043    1  0.047    4  0.040    2 0.5449    9  1.183    9  0.178   23 -0.098 P
PENGUINS        8  6 49 40 -0.039  6.685   12  0.011   12  0.014    5  0.038   11 0.5102   12  1.140   11  0.121   20 -0.046 P
CAPITALS        6  6 31 29 -0.061  5.689   19 -0.003   19 -0.000   12  0.008   20 0.4913   31  0.750   31 -0.350    2  0.366 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  5 40 36  0.016  6.087   11  0.014   11  0.018   16  0.002   12 0.5099   13  1.138   13  0.084   21 -0.079 P
ISLANDERS       6  7 43 46  0.029  6.674   20 -0.005   20 -0.002   19 -0.001   19 0.4926    7  1.264    7  0.243   26 -0.244 P
FLYERS          7  6 38 35 -0.060  6.207   15  0.002   15  0.005   22 -0.007   18 0.4980   29  0.823   28 -0.289    4  0.276 P
RANGERS         6  8 31 34 -0.015  6.973   24 -0.013   24 -0.011   26 -0.014   24 0.4780   32  0.558   32 -0.558    1  0.530 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING       6  7 37 36  0.088  6.924   17  0.001   17  0.005    7  0.024   15 0.5022   27  0.883   27 -0.193    5  0.241 P
BRUINS          8  7 49 51  0.096  8.077   10  0.015   10  0.020   10  0.014   10 0.5104    8  1.240    8  0.226   25 -0.198 P
CANADIENS       9  4 48 41 -0.089  6.013    6  0.027    6  0.032   14  0.007    7 0.5256    6  1.294    5  0.290   27 -0.276 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  6 47 47 -0.076  6.102   14  0.005   14  0.007   17  0.000   14 0.5034    2  1.467    2  0.526   31 -0.526 P
RED WINGS       9  5 44 42 -0.032  6.840    8  0.024    8  0.029   20 -0.005    8 0.5243   21  0.970   21 -0.125   12  0.115 P
PANTHERS        6  7 34 41  0.042  6.761   18 -0.001   18  0.002   21 -0.006   16 0.5005   22  0.957   22 -0.141   11  0.129 P
SABRES          5  8 38 40 -0.010  6.485   25 -0.022   25 -0.019   23 -0.009   25 0.4759   25  0.931   25 -0.173    8  0.154 P
SENATORS        6  7 48 51 -0.061  6.218   23 -0.011   23 -0.008   25 -0.013   23 0.4791    1  1.539    1  0.618   32 -0.644 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 57 46 0.553    1  0.096
ATLANTIC DIVISION     56 51 0.523    2 -0.010
CENTRAL DIVISION      52 56 0.481    3 -0.015
PACIFIC DIVISION      47 59 0.443    4 -0.057

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.108 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Nov  5 05:30:11 2025
games through: Tue Nov  4 2025

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