Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             45 21 230 153 -0.014 32.405    1  0.267    1  0.271    1  0.313    1 0.5426   25  0.965    7  0.201    1  0.425
CAPITALS         43 22 239 171  0.009 32.563    2  0.248    2  0.249    2  0.288    2 0.5396   11  1.127    1  0.369    5  0.206
STARS            42 22 221 166  0.003 31.945    3  0.240    3  0.239    3  0.246    3 0.5368   16  1.080    3  0.270    4  0.223
LIGHTNING        37 27 225 173  0.013 32.229    9  0.129    9  0.124    4  0.234    8 0.5208    8  1.142    2  0.335   10  0.134
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   38 26 215 177 -0.000 31.986    7  0.148    7  0.142    5  0.190    7 0.5225   14  1.114    5  0.256   11  0.125
PANTHERS         40 25 215 175  0.003 32.589    4  0.184    4  0.177    6  0.167    5 0.5273   17  1.071    8  0.181    8  0.154
DEVILS           35 31 198 168  0.030 33.815   12  0.053   12  0.064    7  0.160   12 0.5097   31  0.883   16 -0.044    2  0.363
HURRICANES       39 26 208 176  0.022 33.116    6  0.174    6  0.166    8  0.150    6 0.5256   20  1.034   12  0.119    6  0.180
AVALANCHE        39 27 220 192 -0.009 32.858    8  0.136    8  0.134    9  0.107    9 0.5206    4  1.164    6  0.236   20 -0.022
KINGS            34 29 181 169  0.004 31.756   13  0.049   13  0.060   10  0.067   13 0.5093   30  0.901   22 -0.116    3  0.251
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           37 27 207 189 -0.011 31.879   10  0.110   10  0.111   11  0.059   10 0.5183   12  1.114   11  0.125   18 -0.007
MAPLE LEAFS      39 25 206 190  0.008 32.382    5  0.176    5  0.171   12  0.054    4 0.5273    9  1.131   10  0.141   21 -0.034
SENATORS         34 30 185 182  0.014 32.581   14  0.043   14  0.055   13  0.024   14 0.5092   26  0.961   18 -0.091    9  0.140
RANGERS          31 34 196 199 -0.003 32.645   18 -0.035   18 -0.038   14  0.022   18 0.4939   15  1.092   13  0.060   19 -0.017
BLUE JACKETS     31 33 217 213  0.007 32.451   15 -0.017   17 -0.019   15  0.007   15 0.4970    2  1.267    4  0.269   28 -0.255
BLUES            31 34 187 194  0.028 33.514   17 -0.018   16 -0.018   16 -0.010   17 0.4967   21  1.007   17 -0.073   14  0.053
WILD             37 28 181 186 -0.004 32.690   11  0.097   11  0.104   17 -0.021   11 0.5169   29  0.938   25 -0.163   12  0.121
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 28 36 182 191  0.004 32.439   24 -0.088   25 -0.092   18 -0.045   24 0.4859   24  0.971   24 -0.151   13  0.060
CANADIENS        31 33 190 210  0.009 32.583   16 -0.018   15 -0.017   19 -0.061   16 0.4969   10  1.129   14  0.023   24 -0.145
FLAMES           30 33 164 182 -0.016 31.463   19 -0.041   19 -0.044   20 -0.065   19 0.4924   32  0.847   32 -0.308    7  0.177
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS          29 35 174 195 -0.026 31.723   23 -0.083   23 -0.086   21 -0.076   23 0.4866   27  0.953   28 -0.201   15  0.049
BRUINS           30 36 179 206  0.006 33.574   20 -0.061   20 -0.066   22 -0.093   20 0.4908   23  0.974   27 -0.194   17  0.008
ISLANDERS        29 35 174 192 -0.010 32.165   22 -0.071   22 -0.075   23 -0.097   22 0.4881   28  0.953   30 -0.223   16  0.028
SABRES           25 38 199 220 -0.018 31.468   28 -0.171   28 -0.166   24 -0.109   29 0.4735    1  1.288    9  0.180   31 -0.398
RED WINGS        30 34 182 204 -0.037 31.479   21 -0.065   21 -0.069   25 -0.123   21 0.4890   18  1.052   23 -0.132   23 -0.114
DUCKS            28 36 173 200  0.001 32.496   25 -0.089   24 -0.092   26 -0.131   25 0.4846   22  0.980   31 -0.225   22 -0.037
KRAKEN           27 38 192 212 -0.022 32.425   27 -0.145   27 -0.142   27 -0.138   27 0.4775    6  1.145   15 -0.033   27 -0.242
FLYERS           27 39 188 224 -0.004 33.403   26 -0.144   26 -0.140   28 -0.162   26 0.4782   13  1.114   19 -0.097   26 -0.228
PREDATORS        25 39 170 211 -0.003 32.469   29 -0.175   29 -0.167   29 -0.194   30 0.4730   19  1.045   29 -0.213   25 -0.176
BLACKHAWKS       20 45 178 227  0.005 33.208   31 -0.280   31 -0.289   30 -0.202   31 0.4548    7  1.145   20 -0.098   29 -0.306
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS         26 41 190 244  0.000 34.144   30 -0.181   30 -0.172   31 -0.244   28 0.4741    3  1.171   21 -0.107   30 -0.380
SHARKS           17 49 173 248 -0.000 33.764   32 -0.371   32 -0.375   32 -0.309   32 0.4413    5  1.160   26 -0.186   32 -0.432

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   38 26 215 177 -0.000 31.986    7  0.148    7  0.142    5  0.190    7 0.5225   14  1.114    5  0.256   11  0.125
KINGS            34 29 181 169  0.004 31.756   13  0.049   13  0.060   10  0.067   13 0.5093   30  0.901   22 -0.116    3  0.251
OILERS           37 27 207 189 -0.011 31.879   10  0.110   10  0.111   11  0.059   10 0.5183   12  1.114   11  0.125   18 -0.007
FLAMES           30 33 164 182 -0.016 31.463   19 -0.041   19 -0.044   20 -0.065   19 0.4924   32  0.847   32 -0.308    7  0.177
CANUCKS          29 35 174 195 -0.026 31.723   23 -0.083   23 -0.086   21 -0.076   23 0.4866   27  0.953   28 -0.201   15  0.049
DUCKS            28 36 173 200  0.001 32.496   25 -0.089   24 -0.092   26 -0.131   25 0.4846   22  0.980   31 -0.225   22 -0.037
KRAKEN           27 38 192 212 -0.022 32.425   27 -0.145   27 -0.142   27 -0.138   27 0.4775    6  1.145   15 -0.033   27 -0.242
SHARKS           17 49 173 248 -0.000 33.764   32 -0.371   32 -0.375   32 -0.309   32 0.4413    5  1.160   26 -0.186   32 -0.432

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             45 21 230 153 -0.014 32.405    1  0.267    1  0.271    1  0.313    1 0.5426   25  0.965    7  0.201    1  0.425
STARS            42 22 221 166  0.003 31.945    3  0.240    3  0.239    3  0.246    3 0.5368   16  1.080    3  0.270    4  0.223
AVALANCHE        39 27 220 192 -0.009 32.858    8  0.136    8  0.134    9  0.107    9 0.5206    4  1.164    6  0.236   20 -0.022
BLUES            31 34 187 194  0.028 33.514   17 -0.018   16 -0.018   16 -0.010   17 0.4967   21  1.007   17 -0.073   14  0.053
WILD             37 28 181 186 -0.004 32.690   11  0.097   11  0.104   17 -0.021   11 0.5169   29  0.938   25 -0.163   12  0.121
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 28 36 182 191  0.004 32.439   24 -0.088   25 -0.092   18 -0.045   24 0.4859   24  0.971   24 -0.151   13  0.060
PREDATORS        25 39 170 211 -0.003 32.469   29 -0.175   29 -0.167   29 -0.194   30 0.4730   19  1.045   29 -0.213   25 -0.176
BLACKHAWKS       20 45 178 227  0.005 33.208   31 -0.280   31 -0.289   30 -0.202   31 0.4548    7  1.145   20 -0.098   29 -0.306

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         43 22 239 171  0.009 32.563    2  0.248    2  0.249    2  0.288    2 0.5396   11  1.127    1  0.369    5  0.206
DEVILS           35 31 198 168  0.030 33.815   12  0.053   12  0.064    7  0.160   12 0.5097   31  0.883   16 -0.044    2  0.363
HURRICANES       39 26 208 176  0.022 33.116    6  0.174    6  0.166    8  0.150    6 0.5256   20  1.034   12  0.119    6  0.180
RANGERS          31 34 196 199 -0.003 32.645   18 -0.035   18 -0.038   14  0.022   18 0.4939   15  1.092   13  0.060   19 -0.017
BLUE JACKETS     31 33 217 213  0.007 32.451   15 -0.017   17 -0.019   15  0.007   15 0.4970    2  1.267    4  0.269   28 -0.255
ISLANDERS        29 35 174 192 -0.010 32.165   22 -0.071   22 -0.075   23 -0.097   22 0.4881   28  0.953   30 -0.223   16  0.028
FLYERS           27 39 188 224 -0.004 33.403   26 -0.144   26 -0.140   28 -0.162   26 0.4782   13  1.114   19 -0.097   26 -0.228
PENGUINS         26 41 190 244  0.000 34.144   30 -0.181   30 -0.172   31 -0.244   28 0.4741    3  1.171   21 -0.107   30 -0.380

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        37 27 225 173  0.013 32.229    9  0.129    9  0.124    4  0.234    8 0.5208    8  1.142    2  0.335   10  0.134
PANTHERS         40 25 215 175  0.003 32.589    4  0.184    4  0.177    6  0.167    5 0.5273   17  1.071    8  0.181    8  0.154
MAPLE LEAFS      39 25 206 190  0.008 32.382    5  0.176    5  0.171   12  0.054    4 0.5273    9  1.131   10  0.141   21 -0.034
SENATORS         34 30 185 182  0.014 32.581   14  0.043   14  0.055   13  0.024   14 0.5092   26  0.961   18 -0.091    9  0.140
CANADIENS        31 33 190 210  0.009 32.583   16 -0.018   15 -0.017   19 -0.061   16 0.4969   10  1.129   14  0.023   24 -0.145
BRUINS           30 36 179 206  0.006 33.574   20 -0.061   20 -0.066   22 -0.093   20 0.4908   23  0.974   27 -0.194   17  0.008
SABRES           25 38 199 220 -0.018 31.468   28 -0.171   28 -0.166   24 -0.109   29 0.4735    1  1.288    9  0.180   31 -0.398
RED WINGS        30 34 182 204 -0.037 31.479   21 -0.065   21 -0.069   25 -0.123   21 0.4890   18  1.052   23 -0.132   23 -0.114

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      267 252 0.514    1  0.033
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 261 261 0.500    2  0.022
ATLANTIC DIVISION     266 248 0.518    3  0.016
PACIFIC DIVISION      240 273 0.468    4 -0.071

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.115 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.012 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Mar 12 05:30:08 2025
games through: Tue Mar 11 2025

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