Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             61 30 304 221  0.009 45.346    1  0.284    1  0.294    1  0.285    1 0.5412   29  0.949   10  0.143    1  0.426
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.004 43.294   11  0.079   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5132   11  1.134    1  0.314    9  0.158
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 36 303 250 -0.008 44.975    5  0.191    5  0.171    3  0.191    5 0.5256   16  1.080    5  0.203    5  0.180
CAPITALS         56 34 310 251 -0.008 44.466    3  0.217    3  0.198    4  0.182    3 0.5287   12  1.108    4  0.229   11  0.136
STARS            55 36 301 254  0.016 45.794    4  0.205    4  0.185    5  0.169    4 0.5265   15  1.080    6  0.181   10  0.157
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.010 44.645    8  0.154    8  0.145    6  0.156    8 0.5214    6  1.145    2  0.248   15  0.064
HURRICANES       53 37 292 248  0.009 45.128    7  0.166    7  0.155    7  0.154    7 0.5218   17  1.059   11  0.140    7  0.167
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.004 43.644   10  0.103   10  0.107    8  0.143   10 0.5165   27  0.962   15  0.016    2  0.270
MAPLE LEAFS      58 33 300 259  0.004 45.472    2  0.241    2  0.233    9  0.121    2 0.5337   13  1.099    9  0.156   14  0.086
PANTHERS         52 38 283 248  0.022 45.627    9  0.151    9  0.144   10  0.121    9 0.5204   24  1.010   14  0.049    4  0.192
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.027 45.262   12  0.052   13  0.061   11  0.108   12 0.5095   19  1.053   13  0.087   12  0.129
OILERS           54 37 298 270  0.011 45.793    6  0.177    6  0.165   12  0.086    6 0.5231    8  1.141    8  0.173   18 -0.001
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.008 43.733   15 -0.001   15 -0.009   13  0.052   15 0.4993   31  0.934   22 -0.107    3  0.211
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.004 44.124   14  0.044   14  0.056   14  0.035   13 0.5094   28  0.961   20 -0.094    8  0.163
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.007 40.770   20 -0.029   20 -0.048   15  0.021   20 0.4932    9  1.141   12  0.108   21 -0.065
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.005 40.906   17 -0.013   17 -0.025   16 -0.015   17 0.4964    2  1.225    7  0.179   27 -0.209
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.011 44.485   13  0.050   12  0.064   17 -0.026   14 0.5090   30  0.941   26 -0.177   13  0.125
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.017 40.579   16 -0.005   16 -0.012   18 -0.040   16 0.4980   32  0.882   29 -0.257    6  0.177
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.004 40.999   21 -0.046   21 -0.066   19 -0.044   21 0.4906   22  1.032   19 -0.090   17  0.001
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.011 44.056   18 -0.025   18 -0.042   20 -0.059   18 0.4947   14  1.097   17 -0.026   23 -0.091
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.017 40.619   22 -0.054   22 -0.073   21 -0.059   22 0.4892   23  1.011   24 -0.130   16  0.012
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.002 41.127   19 -0.029   19 -0.044   22 -0.079   19 0.4939   18  1.057   21 -0.096   20 -0.063
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.008 40.939   23 -0.094   23 -0.107   23 -0.089   23 0.4846    1  1.321    3  0.234   31 -0.412
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.013 40.832   26 -0.127   26 -0.132   24 -0.110   26 0.4809    7  1.144   16 -0.019   26 -0.200
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.010 40.957   25 -0.122   25 -0.127   25 -0.131   25 0.4813   25  0.994   28 -0.222   19 -0.041
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.001 41.352   28 -0.165   28 -0.163   26 -0.162   28 0.4765   20  1.036   27 -0.203   24 -0.121
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.004 41.223   24 -0.119   24 -0.124   27 -0.167   24 0.4819   26  0.991   30 -0.260   22 -0.073
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.008 41.126   29 -0.171   29 -0.167   28 -0.198   29 0.4756   10  1.140   23 -0.112   28 -0.285
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.007 41.156   27 -0.148   27 -0.146   29 -0.201   27 0.4785    3  1.193   18 -0.048   29 -0.355
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.003 41.390   30 -0.224   30 -0.225   30 -0.239   30 0.4672   21  1.033   32 -0.284   25 -0.194
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.009 41.198   31 -0.305   31 -0.329   31 -0.260   31 0.4521    4  1.169   25 -0.137   30 -0.382
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.010 41.379   32 -0.437   32 -0.436   32 -0.380   32 0.4373    5  1.150   31 -0.282   32 -0.478

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 36 303 250 -0.008 44.975    5  0.191    5  0.171    3  0.191    5 0.5256   16  1.080    5  0.203    5  0.180
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.004 43.644   10  0.103   10  0.107    8  0.143   10 0.5165   27  0.962   15  0.016    2  0.270
OILERS           54 37 298 270  0.011 45.793    6  0.177    6  0.165   12  0.086    6 0.5231    8  1.141    8  0.173   18 -0.001
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.017 40.579   16 -0.005   16 -0.012   18 -0.040   16 0.4980   32  0.882   29 -0.257    6  0.177
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.017 40.619   22 -0.054   22 -0.073   21 -0.059   22 0.4892   23  1.011   24 -0.130   16  0.012
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.013 40.832   26 -0.127   26 -0.132   24 -0.110   26 0.4809    7  1.144   16 -0.019   26 -0.200
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.004 41.223   24 -0.119   24 -0.124   27 -0.167   24 0.4819   26  0.991   30 -0.260   22 -0.073
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.010 41.379   32 -0.437   32 -0.436   32 -0.380   32 0.4373    5  1.150   31 -0.282   32 -0.478

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             61 30 304 221  0.009 45.346    1  0.284    1  0.294    1  0.285    1 0.5412   29  0.949   10  0.143    1  0.426
STARS            55 36 301 254  0.016 45.794    4  0.205    4  0.185    5  0.169    4 0.5265   15  1.080    6  0.181   10  0.157
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.010 44.645    8  0.154    8  0.145    6  0.156    8 0.5214    6  1.145    2  0.248   15  0.064
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.027 45.262   12  0.052   13  0.061   11  0.108   12 0.5095   19  1.053   13  0.087   12  0.129
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.011 44.485   13  0.050   12  0.064   17 -0.026   14 0.5090   30  0.941   26 -0.177   13  0.125
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.004 40.999   21 -0.046   21 -0.066   19 -0.044   21 0.4906   22  1.032   19 -0.090   17  0.001
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.003 41.390   30 -0.224   30 -0.225   30 -0.239   30 0.4672   21  1.033   32 -0.284   25 -0.194
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.009 41.198   31 -0.305   31 -0.329   31 -0.260   31 0.4521    4  1.169   25 -0.137   30 -0.382

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 34 310 251 -0.008 44.466    3  0.217    3  0.198    4  0.182    3 0.5287   12  1.108    4  0.229   11  0.136
HURRICANES       53 37 292 248  0.009 45.128    7  0.166    7  0.155    7  0.154    7 0.5218   17  1.059   11  0.140    7  0.167
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.008 43.733   15 -0.001   15 -0.009   13  0.052   15 0.4993   31  0.934   22 -0.107    3  0.211
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.007 40.770   20 -0.029   20 -0.048   15  0.021   20 0.4932    9  1.141   12  0.108   21 -0.065
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.005 40.906   17 -0.013   17 -0.025   16 -0.015   17 0.4964    2  1.225    7  0.179   27 -0.209
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.010 40.957   25 -0.122   25 -0.127   25 -0.131   25 0.4813   25  0.994   28 -0.222   19 -0.041
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.008 41.126   29 -0.171   29 -0.167   28 -0.198   29 0.4756   10  1.140   23 -0.112   28 -0.285
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.007 41.156   27 -0.148   27 -0.146   29 -0.201   27 0.4785    3  1.193   18 -0.048   29 -0.355

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.004 43.294   11  0.079   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5132   11  1.134    1  0.314    9  0.158
MAPLE LEAFS      58 33 300 259  0.004 45.472    2  0.241    2  0.233    9  0.121    2 0.5337   13  1.099    9  0.156   14  0.086
PANTHERS         52 38 283 248  0.022 45.627    9  0.151    9  0.144   10  0.121    9 0.5204   24  1.010   14  0.049    4  0.192
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.004 44.124   14  0.044   14  0.056   14  0.035   13 0.5094   28  0.961   20 -0.094    8  0.163
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.011 44.056   18 -0.025   18 -0.042   20 -0.059   18 0.4947   14  1.097   17 -0.026   23 -0.091
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.002 41.127   19 -0.029   19 -0.044   22 -0.079   19 0.4939   18  1.057   21 -0.096   20 -0.063
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.008 40.939   23 -0.094   23 -0.107   23 -0.089   23 0.4846    1  1.321    3  0.234   31 -0.412
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.001 41.352   28 -0.165   28 -0.163   26 -0.162   28 0.4765   20  1.036   27 -0.203   24 -0.121

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      355 339 0.512    1  0.025
ATLANTIC DIVISION     354 335 0.514    2  0.021
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 333 344 0.492    3 -0.022
PACIFIC DIVISION      328 352 0.482    4 -0.055

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.142 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun May 11 05:30:15 2025
games through: Sat May 10 2025

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