Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE       7  6 54 42 -0.011  6.318   14  0.022   14  0.017    4  0.104   16 0.5021    1  1.522    1  0.696   31 -0.488 P
KRAKEN          8  5 50 46 -0.001  6.474    9  0.056    9  0.051   16  0.007    7 0.5286    3  1.424    2  0.456   30 -0.443 P
OILERS          9  4 56 43 -0.064  6.002    4  0.086    4  0.079    5  0.102    4 0.5381    4  1.354    3  0.453   27 -0.250 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  8 56 51  0.006  7.476   19 -0.015   20 -0.023   11  0.034   17 0.4951    5  1.342    4  0.368   28 -0.301 P
CANUCKS         3 11 43 65  0.091  7.746   31 -0.135   31 -0.142   31 -0.157   31 0.4504    2  1.466    5  0.353   32 -0.667 P
CAPITALS        7  4 39 34  0.011  5.482    7  0.070    7  0.059   10  0.042    8 0.5270    7  1.257    6  0.262   25 -0.179 P
MAMMOTH         8  5 47 43  0.095  6.938    6  0.079    6  0.071    9  0.046    6 0.5349    8  1.249    7  0.256   24 -0.163 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.016  5.914   23 -0.045   23 -0.050   18 -0.003   24 0.4800    9  1.235    8  0.189   26 -0.195 P
DUCKS           5  7 37 43 -0.046  5.878   25 -0.055   25 -0.059   26 -0.089   25 0.4773    6  1.272    9  0.151   29 -0.330 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.093  5.822    5  0.084    5  0.078    6  0.077    5 0.5362   11  1.136   10  0.141   17  0.012 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS          9  4 49 28  0.032  6.408    2  0.101    2  0.097    1  0.175    3 0.5403   19  1.049   11  0.134    5  0.216 P
HURRICANES     10  4 53 34 -0.052  6.463    1  0.107    1  0.102    2  0.152    1 0.5425   18  1.050   12  0.112    7  0.192 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  9  5 51 39 -0.089  6.363    8  0.066    8  0.054    8  0.069    9 0.5231   14  1.098   13  0.086   14  0.051 P
SENATORS        8  5 39 38 -0.040  6.271   10  0.053   11  0.046   17 -0.003   10 0.5161   12  1.135   14  0.061   19 -0.067 P
BLUES           5  7 35 37  0.015  6.103   21 -0.041   21 -0.043   21 -0.028   23 0.4832   10  1.140   15  0.043   21 -0.098 P
RANGERS         7  7 44 42  0.020  7.063   16  0.006   16 -0.001   12  0.030   15 0.5039   16  1.070   16  0.014   15  0.046 P
DEVILS          8  5 43 38 -0.031  6.301   11  0.050   10  0.047   14  0.015   11 0.5143   15  1.078   17  0.009   16  0.022 P
SABRES          5  7 33 41 -0.056  5.813   24 -0.048   24 -0.053   24 -0.078   22 0.4837   13  1.100   18 -0.058   22 -0.099 P
CANADIENS       7  5 38 36 -0.085  5.551   13  0.023   13  0.017   15  0.007   14 0.5065   20  1.028   19 -0.060   12  0.074 P
PREDATORS       4  8 34 39  0.099  6.504   27 -0.066   27 -0.070   20 -0.018   27 0.4669   22  0.999   20 -0.118   11  0.083 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS          6  7 37 45  0.066  6.990   20 -0.019   19 -0.017   28 -0.113   19 0.4926   17  1.068   21 -0.132   20 -0.094 P
WILD            9  5 44 31  0.069  7.199    3  0.091    3  0.086    3  0.143    2 0.5405   30  0.810   22 -0.167    2  0.453 P
PANTHERS        7  6 39 37 -0.053  6.210   15  0.014   15  0.007   19 -0.010   13 0.5092   26  0.937   23 -0.181    8  0.162 P
KINGS           3  8 28 37  0.102  6.028   29 -0.082   29 -0.087   23 -0.060   28 0.4668   23  0.957   24 -0.209   10  0.088 P
ISLANDERS       6  6 36 32 -0.038  5.766   18 -0.007   18 -0.014   13  0.025   20 0.4914   28  0.878   25 -0.211    4  0.262 P
BLUE JACKETS    5  5 26 33 -0.039  4.917   17 -0.007   17 -0.013   27 -0.093   18 0.4928   24  0.955   26 -0.244   13  0.057 P
BLACKHAWKS      4  8 26 44 -0.037  6.028   30 -0.093   30 -0.097   32 -0.208   30 0.4556   21  1.024   27 -0.279   23 -0.137 P
JETS            4  8 28 36  0.032  6.216   28 -0.071   28 -0.077   22 -0.050   29 0.4652   29  0.870   28 -0.296    6  0.195 P
FLAMES          5  7 28 45  0.001  6.176   22 -0.041   22 -0.043   29 -0.142   21 0.4846   25  0.952   29 -0.297   18  0.012 P
RED WINGS       5  7 33 37 -0.125  5.463   26 -0.063   26 -0.069   25 -0.087   26 0.4766   27  0.885   30 -0.316    9  0.142 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS           7  5 33 25 -0.005  5.879   12  0.041   12  0.038    7  0.071   12 0.5093   32  0.548   31 -0.495    1  0.637 P
FLYERS          3 12 29 51  0.033  7.919   32 -0.160   32 -0.170   30 -0.156   32 0.4410   31  0.696   32 -0.582    3  0.270 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KRAKEN          8  5 50 46 -0.001  6.474    9  0.056    9  0.051   16  0.007    7 0.5286    3  1.424    2  0.456   30 -0.443 P
OILERS          9  4 56 43 -0.064  6.002    4  0.086    4  0.079    5  0.102    4 0.5381    4  1.354    3  0.453   27 -0.250 P
CANUCKS         3 11 43 65  0.091  7.746   31 -0.135   31 -0.142   31 -0.157   31 0.4504    2  1.466    5  0.353   32 -0.667 P
DUCKS           5  7 37 43 -0.046  5.878   25 -0.055   25 -0.059   26 -0.089   25 0.4773    6  1.272    9  0.151   29 -0.330 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  9  5 51 39 -0.089  6.363    8  0.066    8  0.054    8  0.069    9 0.5231   14  1.098   13  0.086   14  0.051 P
SHARKS          6  7 37 45  0.066  6.990   20 -0.019   19 -0.017   28 -0.113   19 0.4926   17  1.068   21 -0.132   20 -0.094 P
KINGS           3  8 28 37  0.102  6.028   29 -0.082   29 -0.087   23 -0.060   28 0.4668   23  0.957   24 -0.209   10  0.088 P
FLAMES          5  7 28 45  0.001  6.176   22 -0.041   22 -0.043   29 -0.142   21 0.4846   25  0.952   29 -0.297   18  0.012 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE       7  6 54 42 -0.011  6.318   14  0.022   14  0.017    4  0.104   16 0.5021    1  1.522    1  0.696   31 -0.488 P
MAMMOTH         8  5 47 43  0.095  6.938    6  0.079    6  0.071    9  0.046    6 0.5349    8  1.249    7  0.256   24 -0.163 P
BLUES           5  7 35 37  0.015  6.103   21 -0.041   21 -0.043   21 -0.028   23 0.4832   10  1.140   15  0.043   21 -0.098 P
PREDATORS       4  8 34 39  0.099  6.504   27 -0.066   27 -0.070   20 -0.018   27 0.4669   22  0.999   20 -0.118   11  0.083 P
WILD            9  5 44 31  0.069  7.199    3  0.091    3  0.086    3  0.143    2 0.5405   30  0.810   22 -0.167    2  0.453 P
BLACKHAWKS      4  8 26 44 -0.037  6.028   30 -0.093   30 -0.097   32 -0.208   30 0.4556   21  1.024   27 -0.279   23 -0.137 P
JETS            4  8 28 36  0.032  6.216   28 -0.071   28 -0.077   22 -0.050   29 0.4652   29  0.870   28 -0.296    6  0.195 P
STARS           7  5 33 25 -0.005  5.879   12  0.041   12  0.038    7  0.071   12 0.5093   32  0.548   31 -0.495    1  0.637 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS        7  4 39 34  0.011  5.482    7  0.070    7  0.059   10  0.042    8 0.5270    7  1.257    6  0.262   25 -0.179 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.016  5.914   23 -0.045   23 -0.050   18 -0.003   24 0.4800    9  1.235    8  0.189   26 -0.195 P
HURRICANES     10  4 53 34 -0.052  6.463    1  0.107    1  0.102    2  0.152    1 0.5425   18  1.050   12  0.112    7  0.192 P
RANGERS         7  7 44 42  0.020  7.063   16  0.006   16 -0.001   12  0.030   15 0.5039   16  1.070   16  0.014   15  0.046 P
DEVILS          8  5 43 38 -0.031  6.301   11  0.050   10  0.047   14  0.015   11 0.5143   15  1.078   17  0.009   16  0.022 P
ISLANDERS       6  6 36 32 -0.038  5.766   18 -0.007   18 -0.014   13  0.025   20 0.4914   28  0.878   25 -0.211    4  0.262 P
BLUE JACKETS    5  5 26 33 -0.039  4.917   17 -0.007   17 -0.013   27 -0.093   18 0.4928   24  0.955   26 -0.244   13  0.057 P
FLYERS          3 12 29 51  0.033  7.919   32 -0.160   32 -0.170   30 -0.156   32 0.4410   31  0.696   32 -0.582    3  0.270 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS     7  8 56 51  0.006  7.476   19 -0.015   20 -0.023   11  0.034   17 0.4951    5  1.342    4  0.368   28 -0.301 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.093  5.822    5  0.084    5  0.078    6  0.077    5 0.5362   11  1.136   10  0.141   17  0.012 P
BRUINS          9  4 49 28  0.032  6.408    2  0.101    2  0.097    1  0.175    3 0.5403   19  1.049   11  0.134    5  0.216 P
SENATORS        8  5 39 38 -0.040  6.271   10  0.053   11  0.046   17 -0.003   10 0.5161   12  1.135   14  0.061   19 -0.067 P
SABRES          5  7 33 41 -0.056  5.813   24 -0.048   24 -0.053   24 -0.078   22 0.4837   13  1.100   18 -0.058   22 -0.099 P
CANADIENS       7  5 38 36 -0.085  5.551   13  0.023   13  0.017   15  0.007   14 0.5065   20  1.028   19 -0.060   12  0.074 P
PANTHERS        7  6 39 37 -0.053  6.210   15  0.014   15  0.007   19 -0.010   13 0.5092   26  0.937   23 -0.181    8  0.162 P
RED WINGS       5  7 33 37 -0.125  5.463   26 -0.063   26 -0.069   25 -0.087   26 0.4766   27  0.885   30 -0.316    9  0.142 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     55 46 0.545    1  0.053
CENTRAL DIVISION      48 52 0.480    2  0.036
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 51 50 0.505    3  0.017
PACIFIC DIVISION      48 54 0.471    4 -0.130

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.110 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Oct 29 05:30:19 2026
games through: Wed Oct 28 2026

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