Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      10  8 72 56 -0.060  8.346   16  0.020   16  0.028    5  0.145   16 0.5040    2  1.423    1  0.571   27 -0.281 P
DUCKS          10  8 69 66 -0.040  8.676   15  0.023   15  0.031   18 -0.010   15 0.5068    1  1.489    2  0.512   31 -0.531 P
CAPITALS        9  6 53 51  0.058  7.781    8  0.100    8  0.099   12  0.043    8 0.5239    4  1.365    3  0.388   28 -0.302 P
OILERS         13  6 78 56 -0.044  8.794    4  0.157    4  0.147    4  0.224    5 0.5339   10  1.228    4  0.385   12  0.064 P
KRAKEN          9  7 57 57 -0.043  7.720   14  0.027   14  0.036   20 -0.036   13 0.5119    3  1.383    5  0.333   30 -0.406 P
LIGHTNING      11  6 63 53  0.017  8.408    6  0.140    5  0.138    8  0.119    6 0.5296    7  1.266    6  0.328   20 -0.091 P
MAMMOTH        10  8 63 63  0.094  9.610   11  0.079   11  0.084   13  0.042   11 0.5197    6  1.285    7  0.278   24 -0.193 P
HURRICANES     14  5 78 45 -0.071  8.501    3  0.201    3  0.192    1  0.266    3 0.5424   15  1.110    8  0.276    5  0.255 P
MAPLE LEAFS     8 11 64 64 -0.011  9.397   24 -0.078   24 -0.076   19 -0.019   23 0.4817    8  1.247    9  0.166   25 -0.203 P
BRUINS         13  5 68 41  0.008  8.671    2  0.205    2  0.199    3  0.247    1 0.5475   21  1.023   10  0.152    3  0.341 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DEVILS         13  5 66 51  0.029  9.029    1  0.215    1  0.210    6  0.139    2 0.5455   16  1.108   11  0.147   10  0.130 P
CANADIENS      11  6 61 53 -0.082  7.816    9  0.095    9  0.095   11  0.063    9 0.5219   11  1.168   12  0.146   16 -0.020 P
SENATORS       11  7 58 54 -0.038  8.628   10  0.084   10  0.085   14  0.040   10 0.5208   12  1.166   13  0.121   18 -0.040 P
PENGUINS        6 12 58 65  0.023  9.185   29 -0.136   29 -0.146   21 -0.044   29 0.4638    9  1.230   14  0.119   26 -0.207 P
CANUCKS         3 17 56 90  0.051 10.818   32 -0.313   32 -0.319   31 -0.285   32 0.4229    5  1.356   15  0.047   32 -0.617 P
BLUES           7 10 50 53  0.084  9.074   21 -0.054   21 -0.052   17 -0.009   21 0.4873   13  1.142   16  0.042   19 -0.059 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 12  7 64 51 -0.025  9.095    7  0.114    7  0.113    7  0.120    7 0.5252   23  0.984   17 -0.020    4  0.261 P
WILD           12  7 63 43  0.043  9.489    5  0.141    6  0.133    2  0.251    4 0.5340   30  0.848   18 -0.041    1  0.543 P
KINGS           5 10 45 52 -0.014  7.514   28 -0.132   28 -0.137   24 -0.097   28 0.4649   14  1.128   19 -0.063   22 -0.130 P
SABRES          8  9 50 57 -0.067  8.122   20 -0.045   20 -0.044   25 -0.104   19 0.4908   17  1.098   20 -0.109   21 -0.099 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS       8  9 52 51  0.116  9.211   17 -0.000   17  0.010    9  0.066   17 0.4966   25  0.948   21 -0.115    6  0.247 P
PANTHERS        9  9 56 55 -0.091  8.359   19 -0.030   19 -0.029   22 -0.050   18 0.4937   20  1.027   22 -0.139   15  0.039 P
RANGERS        10  9 56 55  0.039  9.717   13  0.035   13  0.037   15  0.038   14 0.5081   26  0.934   23 -0.159    7  0.235 P
JETS            7 11 49 63  0.055  9.519   25 -0.081   25 -0.078   26 -0.105   25 0.4770   19  1.042   24 -0.177   17 -0.032 P
ISLANDERS       7 10 49 52  0.036  8.733   23 -0.065   23 -0.064   16 -0.005   24 0.4805   27  0.931   25 -0.206    9  0.195 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  8 40 47  0.027  7.732   18 -0.028   18 -0.019   23 -0.095   20 0.4901   24  0.969   26 -0.252   13  0.061 P
SHARKS          8 12 51 71  0.002 10.330   26 -0.094   26 -0.091   30 -0.234   26 0.4759   22  1.019   27 -0.333   23 -0.135 P
STARS          10  7 49 41 -0.051  8.025   12  0.060   12  0.063   10  0.065   12 0.5144   32  0.721   28 -0.358    2  0.489 P
RED WINGS       7 11 49 56 -0.089  8.495   27 -0.123   27 -0.128   27 -0.131   27 0.4683   29  0.905   29 -0.361   11  0.098 P
FLAMES          8 10 46 63 -0.024  9.010   22 -0.055   22 -0.054   29 -0.167   22 0.4853   28  0.915   30 -0.385   14  0.050 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS      4 14 39 76  0.018  9.533   31 -0.241   31 -0.246   32 -0.365   31 0.4360   18  1.074   31 -0.398   29 -0.333 P
FLYERS          5 15 45 66  0.048 10.566   30 -0.222   30 -0.226   28 -0.155   30 0.4474   31  0.779   32 -0.518    8  0.209 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          10  8 69 66 -0.040  8.676   15  0.023   15  0.031   18 -0.010   15 0.5068    1  1.489    2  0.512   31 -0.531 P
OILERS         13  6 78 56 -0.044  8.794    4  0.157    4  0.147    4  0.224    5 0.5339   10  1.228    4  0.385   12  0.064 P
KRAKEN          9  7 57 57 -0.043  7.720   14  0.027   14  0.036   20 -0.036   13 0.5119    3  1.383    5  0.333   30 -0.406 P
CANUCKS         3 17 56 90  0.051 10.818   32 -0.313   32 -0.319   31 -0.285   32 0.4229    5  1.356   15  0.047   32 -0.617 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 12  7 64 51 -0.025  9.095    7  0.114    7  0.113    7  0.120    7 0.5252   23  0.984   17 -0.020    4  0.261 P
KINGS           5 10 45 52 -0.014  7.514   28 -0.132   28 -0.137   24 -0.097   28 0.4649   14  1.128   19 -0.063   22 -0.130 P
SHARKS          8 12 51 71  0.002 10.330   26 -0.094   26 -0.091   30 -0.234   26 0.4759   22  1.019   27 -0.333   23 -0.135 P
FLAMES          8 10 46 63 -0.024  9.010   22 -0.055   22 -0.054   29 -0.167   22 0.4853   28  0.915   30 -0.385   14  0.050 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      10  8 72 56 -0.060  8.346   16  0.020   16  0.028    5  0.145   16 0.5040    2  1.423    1  0.571   27 -0.281 P
MAMMOTH        10  8 63 63  0.094  9.610   11  0.079   11  0.084   13  0.042   11 0.5197    6  1.285    7  0.278   24 -0.193 P
BLUES           7 10 50 53  0.084  9.074   21 -0.054   21 -0.052   17 -0.009   21 0.4873   13  1.142   16  0.042   19 -0.059 P
WILD           12  7 63 43  0.043  9.489    5  0.141    6  0.133    2  0.251    4 0.5340   30  0.848   18 -0.041    1  0.543 P
PREDATORS       8  9 52 51  0.116  9.211   17 -0.000   17  0.010    9  0.066   17 0.4966   25  0.948   21 -0.115    6  0.247 P
JETS            7 11 49 63  0.055  9.519   25 -0.081   25 -0.078   26 -0.105   25 0.4770   19  1.042   24 -0.177   17 -0.032 P
STARS          10  7 49 41 -0.051  8.025   12  0.060   12  0.063   10  0.065   12 0.5144   32  0.721   28 -0.358    2  0.489 P
BLACKHAWKS      4 14 39 76  0.018  9.533   31 -0.241   31 -0.246   32 -0.365   31 0.4360   18  1.074   31 -0.398   29 -0.333 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS        9  6 53 51  0.058  7.781    8  0.100    8  0.099   12  0.043    8 0.5239    4  1.365    3  0.388   28 -0.302 P
HURRICANES     14  5 78 45 -0.071  8.501    3  0.201    3  0.192    1  0.266    3 0.5424   15  1.110    8  0.276    5  0.255 P
DEVILS         13  5 66 51  0.029  9.029    1  0.215    1  0.210    6  0.139    2 0.5455   16  1.108   11  0.147   10  0.130 P
PENGUINS        6 12 58 65  0.023  9.185   29 -0.136   29 -0.146   21 -0.044   29 0.4638    9  1.230   14  0.119   26 -0.207 P
RANGERS        10  9 56 55  0.039  9.717   13  0.035   13  0.037   15  0.038   14 0.5081   26  0.934   23 -0.159    7  0.235 P
ISLANDERS       7 10 49 52  0.036  8.733   23 -0.065   23 -0.064   16 -0.005   24 0.4805   27  0.931   25 -0.206    9  0.195 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  8 40 47  0.027  7.732   18 -0.028   18 -0.019   23 -0.095   20 0.4901   24  0.969   26 -0.252   13  0.061 P
FLYERS          5 15 45 66  0.048 10.566   30 -0.222   30 -0.226   28 -0.155   30 0.4474   31  0.779   32 -0.518    8  0.209 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      11  6 63 53  0.017  8.408    6  0.140    5  0.138    8  0.119    6 0.5296    7  1.266    6  0.328   20 -0.091 P
MAPLE LEAFS     8 11 64 64 -0.011  9.397   24 -0.078   24 -0.076   19 -0.019   23 0.4817    8  1.247    9  0.166   25 -0.203 P
BRUINS         13  5 68 41  0.008  8.671    2  0.205    2  0.199    3  0.247    1 0.5475   21  1.023   10  0.152    3  0.341 P
CANADIENS      11  6 61 53 -0.082  7.816    9  0.095    9  0.095   11  0.063    9 0.5219   11  1.168   12  0.146   16 -0.020 P
SENATORS       11  7 58 54 -0.038  8.628   10  0.084   10  0.085   14  0.040   10 0.5208   12  1.166   13  0.121   18 -0.040 P
SABRES          8  9 50 57 -0.067  8.122   20 -0.045   20 -0.044   25 -0.104   19 0.4908   17  1.098   20 -0.109   21 -0.099 P
PANTHERS        9  9 56 55 -0.091  8.359   19 -0.030   19 -0.029   22 -0.050   18 0.4937   20  1.027   22 -0.139   15  0.039 P
RED WINGS       7 11 49 56 -0.089  8.495   27 -0.123   27 -0.128   27 -0.131   27 0.4683   29  0.905   29 -0.361   11  0.098 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 71 70 0.504    1  0.047
ATLANTIC DIVISION     78 64 0.549    2  0.043
CENTRAL DIVISION      68 74 0.479    3  0.031
PACIFIC DIVISION      68 77 0.469    4 -0.123

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.109 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.014 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Nov 10 05:30:11 2026
games through: Mon Nov  9 2026

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