Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      1 0  8  4 -0.141  0.436    1  0.065    1  0.015    1  0.076    1 0.5397    2  1.490    1  0.700   31 -0.547 P
KINGS          0 1  4  8  0.440  0.695   26 -0.018   25 -0.036   18 -0.030   24 0.4885    1  1.490    2  0.593   32 -0.654 P
OILERS         0 1  5  6 -0.274  0.391   23 -0.015   28 -0.043   11 -0.005   27 0.4846    3  1.392    3  0.477   29 -0.487 P
CANUCKS        1 0  6  5  0.107  0.562   15  0.001    8 -0.010   28 -0.061   11 0.5057    4  1.392    4  0.421   30 -0.543 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 0  5  2 -0.495  0.299    3  0.041    4 -0.000    6  0.028    4 0.5224    6  1.156    5  0.197   17 -0.141 P
PENGUINS       1 0  7  0 -0.224  0.405    8  0.026    6 -0.004    3  0.038    7 0.5191    8  1.137    6  0.183   10 -0.108 P
LIGHTNING      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    5  0.034    7 -0.008    2  0.040    5 0.5206   19  1.112    7  0.155    7 -0.075 P
STARS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    7  0.026    9 -0.012    7  0.026    8 0.5155    9  1.112    8  0.141    8 -0.089 P
CAPITALS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    9  0.014   10 -0.017    9  0.002    9 0.5072   17  1.112    9  0.117   11 -0.113 P
WILD           0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   10  0.014   11 -0.017   10  0.002   10 0.5072   12  1.112   10  0.117   12 -0.113 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS           0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   12  0.009   12 -0.019   12 -0.006   12 0.5045   11  1.112   11  0.109   13 -0.120 P
SABRES         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   13  0.006   13 -0.021   13 -0.011   13 0.5024   24  1.112   12  0.104   14 -0.126 P
SENATORS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   14  0.004   14 -0.021   14 -0.015   14 0.5013   25  1.112   13  0.100   15 -0.129 P
BLUES          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   17 -0.001   15 -0.023   17 -0.022   16 0.4987   10  1.112   14  0.093   16 -0.137 P
MAMMOTH        0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   18 -0.008   17 -0.027   19 -0.035   18 0.4940   20  1.112   15  0.080   18 -0.150 P
DEVILS         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   19 -0.008   18 -0.027   20 -0.036   19 0.4936   14  1.112   16  0.079   19 -0.151 P
FLAMES         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   20 -0.013   20 -0.029   23 -0.044   20 0.4910   21  1.112   17  0.071   20 -0.158 P
CANADIENS      1 0  3  2  0.048  0.531    6  0.031    5 -0.002   15 -0.018    6 0.5196   26  1.091   18  0.071    9 -0.107 P
BLUE JACKETS   0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   21 -0.014   21 -0.029   24 -0.046   21 0.4903   23  1.112   19  0.069   21 -0.160 P
PREDATORS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   22 -0.014   22 -0.029   25 -0.046   22 0.4903   18  1.112   20  0.069   22 -0.160 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   24 -0.016   23 -0.030   26 -0.048   23 0.4893   22  1.112   21  0.066   23 -0.163 P
KRAKEN         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   27 -0.020   24 -0.032   27 -0.056   26 0.4866   13  1.112   22  0.059   24 -0.171 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 1  2  5  0.218  0.617   32 -0.067   32 -0.060   32 -0.120   32 0.4587    5  1.156   23  0.049   28 -0.289 P
FLYERS         0 1  0  7  0.090  0.561   29 -0.037   31 -0.048   30 -0.100   30 0.4722    7  1.137   24  0.046   27 -0.245 P
DUCKS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   28 -0.033   27 -0.038   29 -0.080   28 0.4781   16  1.112   25  0.035   25 -0.195 P
SHARKS         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   31 -0.047   29 -0.044   31 -0.107   31 0.4687   15  1.112   26  0.008   26 -0.221 P
BRUINS         1 0  3  0 -0.183  0.423    4  0.038    3  0.002    5  0.035    3 0.5240   29  0.790   27 -0.217    3  0.287 P
ISLANDERS      0 1  1  2  0.041  0.531   30 -0.039   30 -0.046   22 -0.042   29 0.4759   27  0.822   28 -0.259    6  0.176 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 1  4  4 -0.167  0.879   16  0.000   16 -0.027   16 -0.019   17 0.4969   28  0.796   29 -0.265    4  0.226 P
RANGERS        0 1  0  3  0.285  0.634   25 -0.017   26 -0.037   21 -0.040   25 0.4870   30  0.790   30 -0.292    5  0.213 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     0 1  0  1  0.047  0.523   11  0.012   19 -0.028    4  0.036   15 0.5008   31  0.419   31 -0.565    1  0.637 P
PANTHERS       1 0  1  0  0.295  0.630    2  0.044    2  0.010    8  0.018    2 0.5301   32  0.419   32 -0.583    2  0.619 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          0 1  4  8  0.440  0.695   26 -0.018   25 -0.036   18 -0.030   24 0.4885    1  1.490    2  0.593   32 -0.654 P
OILERS         0 1  5  6 -0.274  0.391   23 -0.015   28 -0.043   11 -0.005   27 0.4846    3  1.392    3  0.477   29 -0.487 P
CANUCKS        1 0  6  5  0.107  0.562   15  0.001    8 -0.010   28 -0.061   11 0.5057    4  1.392    4  0.421   30 -0.543 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 0  5  2 -0.495  0.299    3  0.041    4 -0.000    6  0.028    4 0.5224    6  1.156    5  0.197   17 -0.141 P
FLAMES         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   20 -0.013   20 -0.029   23 -0.044   20 0.4910   21  1.112   17  0.071   20 -0.158 P
KRAKEN         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   27 -0.020   24 -0.032   27 -0.056   26 0.4866   13  1.112   22  0.059   24 -0.171 P
DUCKS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   28 -0.033   27 -0.038   29 -0.080   28 0.4781   16  1.112   25  0.035   25 -0.195 P
SHARKS         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   31 -0.047   29 -0.044   31 -0.107   31 0.4687   15  1.112   26  0.008   26 -0.221 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      1 0  8  4 -0.141  0.436    1  0.065    1  0.015    1  0.076    1 0.5397    2  1.490    1  0.700   31 -0.547 P
STARS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    7  0.026    9 -0.012    7  0.026    8 0.5155    9  1.112    8  0.141    8 -0.089 P
WILD           0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   10  0.014   11 -0.017   10  0.002   10 0.5072   12  1.112   10  0.117   12 -0.113 P
JETS           0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   12  0.009   12 -0.019   12 -0.006   12 0.5045   11  1.112   11  0.109   13 -0.120 P
BLUES          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   17 -0.001   15 -0.023   17 -0.022   16 0.4987   10  1.112   14  0.093   16 -0.137 P
MAMMOTH        0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   18 -0.008   17 -0.027   19 -0.035   18 0.4940   20  1.112   15  0.080   18 -0.150 P
PREDATORS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   22 -0.014   22 -0.029   25 -0.046   22 0.4903   18  1.112   20  0.069   22 -0.160 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 1  2  5  0.218  0.617   32 -0.067   32 -0.060   32 -0.120   32 0.4587    5  1.156   23  0.049   28 -0.289 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       1 0  7  0 -0.224  0.405    8  0.026    6 -0.004    3  0.038    7 0.5191    8  1.137    6  0.183   10 -0.108 P
CAPITALS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    9  0.014   10 -0.017    9  0.002    9 0.5072   17  1.112    9  0.117   11 -0.113 P
DEVILS         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   19 -0.008   18 -0.027   20 -0.036   19 0.4936   14  1.112   16  0.079   19 -0.151 P
BLUE JACKETS   0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   21 -0.014   21 -0.029   24 -0.046   21 0.4903   23  1.112   19  0.069   21 -0.160 P
FLYERS         0 1  0  7  0.090  0.561   29 -0.037   31 -0.048   30 -0.100   30 0.4722    7  1.137   24  0.046   27 -0.245 P
ISLANDERS      0 1  1  2  0.041  0.531   30 -0.039   30 -0.046   22 -0.042   29 0.4759   27  0.822   28 -0.259    6  0.176 P
RANGERS        0 1  0  3  0.285  0.634   25 -0.017   26 -0.037   21 -0.040   25 0.4870   30  0.790   30 -0.292    5  0.213 P
HURRICANES     0 1  0  1  0.047  0.523   11  0.012   19 -0.028    4  0.036   15 0.5008   31  0.419   31 -0.565    1  0.637 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    5  0.034    7 -0.008    2  0.040    5 0.5206   19  1.112    7  0.155    7 -0.075 P
SABRES         0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   13  0.006   13 -0.021   13 -0.011   13 0.5024   24  1.112   12  0.104   14 -0.126 P
SENATORS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   14  0.004   14 -0.021   14 -0.015   14 0.5013   25  1.112   13  0.100   15 -0.129 P
CANADIENS      1 0  3  2  0.048  0.531    6  0.031    5 -0.002   15 -0.018    6 0.5196   26  1.091   18  0.071    9 -0.107 P
RED WINGS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   24 -0.016   23 -0.030   26 -0.048   23 0.4893   22  1.112   21  0.066   23 -0.163 P
BRUINS         1 0  3  0 -0.183  0.423    4  0.038    3  0.002    5  0.035    3 0.5240   29  0.790   27 -0.217    3  0.287 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 1  4  4 -0.167  0.879   16  0.000   16 -0.027   16 -0.019   17 0.4969   28  0.796   29 -0.265    4  0.226 P
PANTHERS       1 0  1  0  0.295  0.630    2  0.044    2  0.010    8  0.018    2 0.5301   32  0.419   32 -0.583    2  0.619 P

DIVISION              W L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     4 1 0.800    1  0.056
CENTRAL DIVISION      1 1 0.500    2  0.008
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 1 4 0.200    3 -0.034
PACIFIC DIVISION      2 2 0.500    4 -0.124

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.105 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct  2 01:24:03 2026
games through: Wed Sep 30 2026

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