Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        47 37 296 227  0.002 41.613   11  0.091   11  0.098    2  0.245   11 0.5148   11  1.123    1  0.313    7  0.176
CAPITALS         53 31 294 235 -0.008 41.375    3  0.220    3  0.211    4  0.192    3 0.5308   10  1.131    2  0.271   14  0.114
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.003 41.008   23 -0.093   23 -0.103   23 -0.085   23 0.4851    1  1.324    3  0.245   31 -0.414
AVALANCHE        50 35 286 241  0.006 42.390    7  0.155    6  0.149    7  0.154    7 0.5218    9  1.132    4  0.233   15  0.075
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   51 34 283 231 -0.006 41.932    5  0.174    5  0.163    3  0.203    5 0.5241   15  1.077    5  0.215    5  0.190
STARS            52 33 284 233  0.000 42.121    4  0.197    4  0.185    5  0.187    4 0.5268   17  1.074    6  0.195    6  0.179
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.000 40.972   17 -0.012   17 -0.020   16 -0.010   17 0.4970    2  1.227    7  0.190   27 -0.210
HURRICANES       49 35 273 235  0.001 41.768    9  0.141    9  0.138    8  0.136    9 0.5197   14  1.084    8  0.156   13  0.116
JETS             58 27 286 202  0.004 42.055    1  0.293    1  0.308    1  0.301    1 0.5439   29  0.939    9  0.152    1  0.451
MAPLE LEAFS      55 30 280 237  0.001 42.267    2  0.243    2  0.245    9  0.134    2 0.5355   16  1.077   10  0.146   11  0.122
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.003 40.836   20 -0.028   20 -0.043   15  0.026   20 0.4938    7  1.143   11  0.120   21 -0.067
OILERS           48 36 266 248  0.002 41.914   10  0.115   10  0.120   13  0.055   10 0.5170   12  1.100   12  0.095   16  0.015
BLUES            45 40 265 242  0.016 42.817   13  0.047   13  0.058   11  0.088   13 0.5087   22  1.036   13  0.050   10  0.126
KINGS            50 34 262 213 -0.010 41.336    6  0.155    7  0.148    6  0.171    6 0.5219   30  0.929   14  0.010    2  0.332
PANTHERS         49 35 260 225  0.012 42.151    8  0.150    8  0.146   10  0.124    8 0.5208   26  0.969   15  0.008    3  0.239
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.008 40.899   26 -0.125   26 -0.128   24 -0.105   26 0.4815    6  1.148   16 -0.006   26 -0.204
CANADIENS        40 44 248 271  0.010 42.391   18 -0.021   18 -0.033   20 -0.047   18 0.4957   13  1.088   17 -0.022   22 -0.072
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.001 41.236   27 -0.147   27 -0.142   29 -0.197   27 0.4791    3  1.196   18 -0.037   29 -0.357
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.001 41.074   21 -0.044   21 -0.061   19 -0.039   21 0.4912   21  1.036   19 -0.077   18 -0.002
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.003 41.203   19 -0.027   19 -0.039   22 -0.075   19 0.4945   18  1.060   20 -0.084   20 -0.065
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS         45 40 249 246  0.005 42.603   14  0.039   14  0.051   14  0.027   14 0.5080   27  0.967   21 -0.092    9  0.145
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.002 41.206   29 -0.171   29 -0.163   28 -0.194   29 0.4762    8  1.143   22 -0.101   28 -0.286
DEVILS           42 42 244 229  0.007 42.078   15  0.004   15  0.002   12  0.064   15 0.5007   31  0.922   23 -0.104    4  0.232
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.012 40.694   22 -0.052   22 -0.068   21 -0.054   22 0.4898   23  1.014   24 -0.118   17  0.010
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.004 41.277   31 -0.310   31 -0.326   31 -0.255   31 0.4527    4  1.172   25 -0.125   30 -0.386
WILD             47 38 240 247  0.009 42.817   12  0.082   12  0.095   17 -0.019   12 0.5133   28  0.951   26 -0.155   12  0.117
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.006 41.425   28 -0.165   28 -0.158   26 -0.157   28 0.4771   19  1.039   27 -0.191   24 -0.124
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.005 41.019   25 -0.121   25 -0.123   25 -0.127   25 0.4819   24  0.996   28 -0.212   19 -0.042
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.012 40.655   16 -0.003   16 -0.007   18 -0.035   16 0.4985   32  0.885   29 -0.245    8  0.175
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.001 41.293   24 -0.117   24 -0.120   27 -0.162   24 0.4825   25  0.995   30 -0.248   23 -0.077
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.005 41.446   32 -0.444   32 -0.433   32 -0.376   32 0.4379    5  1.154   31 -0.270   32 -0.483
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.002 41.463   30 -0.227   30 -0.221   30 -0.235   30 0.4678   20  1.037   32 -0.271   25 -0.198

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   51 34 283 231 -0.006 41.932    5  0.174    5  0.163    3  0.203    5 0.5241   15  1.077    5  0.215    5  0.190
OILERS           48 36 266 248  0.002 41.914   10  0.115   10  0.120   13  0.055   10 0.5170   12  1.100   12  0.095   16  0.015
KINGS            50 34 262 213 -0.010 41.336    6  0.155    7  0.148    6  0.171    6 0.5219   30  0.929   14  0.010    2  0.332
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.008 40.899   26 -0.125   26 -0.128   24 -0.105   26 0.4815    6  1.148   16 -0.006   26 -0.204
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.012 40.694   22 -0.052   22 -0.068   21 -0.054   22 0.4898   23  1.014   24 -0.118   17  0.010
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.012 40.655   16 -0.003   16 -0.007   18 -0.035   16 0.4985   32  0.885   29 -0.245    8  0.175
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.001 41.293   24 -0.117   24 -0.120   27 -0.162   24 0.4825   25  0.995   30 -0.248   23 -0.077
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.005 41.446   32 -0.444   32 -0.433   32 -0.376   32 0.4379    5  1.154   31 -0.270   32 -0.483

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE        50 35 286 241  0.006 42.390    7  0.155    6  0.149    7  0.154    7 0.5218    9  1.132    4  0.233   15  0.075
STARS            52 33 284 233  0.000 42.121    4  0.197    4  0.185    5  0.187    4 0.5268   17  1.074    6  0.195    6  0.179
JETS             58 27 286 202  0.004 42.055    1  0.293    1  0.308    1  0.301    1 0.5439   29  0.939    9  0.152    1  0.451
BLUES            45 40 265 242  0.016 42.817   13  0.047   13  0.058   11  0.088   13 0.5087   22  1.036   13  0.050   10  0.126
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.001 41.074   21 -0.044   21 -0.061   19 -0.039   21 0.4912   21  1.036   19 -0.077   18 -0.002
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.004 41.277   31 -0.310   31 -0.326   31 -0.255   31 0.4527    4  1.172   25 -0.125   30 -0.386
WILD             47 38 240 247  0.009 42.817   12  0.082   12  0.095   17 -0.019   12 0.5133   28  0.951   26 -0.155   12  0.117
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.002 41.463   30 -0.227   30 -0.221   30 -0.235   30 0.4678   20  1.037   32 -0.271   25 -0.198

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         53 31 294 235 -0.008 41.375    3  0.220    3  0.211    4  0.192    3 0.5308   10  1.131    2  0.271   14  0.114
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.000 40.972   17 -0.012   17 -0.020   16 -0.010   17 0.4970    2  1.227    7  0.190   27 -0.210
HURRICANES       49 35 273 235  0.001 41.768    9  0.141    9  0.138    8  0.136    9 0.5197   14  1.084    8  0.156   13  0.116
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.003 40.836   20 -0.028   20 -0.043   15  0.026   20 0.4938    7  1.143   11  0.120   21 -0.067
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.001 41.236   27 -0.147   27 -0.142   29 -0.197   27 0.4791    3  1.196   18 -0.037   29 -0.357
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.002 41.206   29 -0.171   29 -0.163   28 -0.194   29 0.4762    8  1.143   22 -0.101   28 -0.286
DEVILS           42 42 244 229  0.007 42.078   15  0.004   15  0.002   12  0.064   15 0.5007   31  0.922   23 -0.104    4  0.232
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.005 41.019   25 -0.121   25 -0.123   25 -0.127   25 0.4819   24  0.996   28 -0.212   19 -0.042

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        47 37 296 227  0.002 41.613   11  0.091   11  0.098    2  0.245   11 0.5148   11  1.123    1  0.313    7  0.176
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.003 41.008   23 -0.093   23 -0.103   23 -0.085   23 0.4851    1  1.324    3  0.245   31 -0.414
MAPLE LEAFS      55 30 280 237  0.001 42.267    2  0.243    2  0.245    9  0.134    2 0.5355   16  1.077   10  0.146   11  0.122
PANTHERS         49 35 260 225  0.012 42.151    8  0.150    8  0.146   10  0.124    8 0.5208   26  0.969   15  0.008    3  0.239
CANADIENS        40 44 248 271  0.010 42.391   18 -0.021   18 -0.033   20 -0.047   18 0.4957   13  1.088   17 -0.022   22 -0.072
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.003 41.203   19 -0.027   19 -0.039   22 -0.075   19 0.4945   18  1.060   20 -0.084   20 -0.065
SENATORS         45 40 249 246  0.005 42.603   14  0.039   14  0.051   14  0.027   14 0.5080   27  0.967   21 -0.092    9  0.145
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.006 41.425   28 -0.165   28 -0.158   26 -0.157   28 0.4771   19  1.039   27 -0.191   24 -0.124

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      345 326 0.514    1  0.031
ATLANTIC DIVISION     344 324 0.515    2  0.028
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 325 337 0.491    3 -0.018
PACIFIC DIVISION      318 345 0.480    4 -0.050

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.138 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Apr 25 05:30:15 2025
games through: Thu Apr 24 2025

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