Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   13  8 81 64  0.033 10.652    7  0.147    7  0.152    8  0.183    7 0.5230    4  1.301    1  0.487   23 -0.120 P
CAPITALS         13  7 81 55  0.103 10.543    3  0.199    3  0.203    3  0.277    3 0.5362    8  1.217    2  0.470   13  0.085 P
LIGHTNING        10  9 68 59  0.207 10.897   10  0.110   10  0.116    6  0.238    9 0.5193    7  1.219    3  0.433   17  0.043 P
JETS             17  4 85 51  0.016 10.310    1  0.355    1  0.363    1  0.327    1 0.5689   10  1.149    4  0.433    6  0.221 P
AVALANCHE        12  9 73 75 -0.009 10.541   12  0.078   12  0.083   18 -0.017   13 0.5089    1  1.407    5  0.432   32 -0.467 P
PANTHERS         12  9 74 72  0.100 11.372    8  0.125    8  0.132   11  0.070    8 0.5215    3  1.338    6  0.423   28 -0.283 P
BLUE JACKETS      9 11 70 72  0.028 10.334   19 -0.047   19 -0.040   16 -0.010   19 0.4852    2  1.359    7  0.372   29 -0.392 P
HURRICANES       14  6 78 51  0.011  9.800    2  0.223    2  0.225    2  0.295    2 0.5444   13  1.125    8  0.370    7  0.219 P
DEVILS           14  9 79 60  0.119 12.346    5  0.173    5  0.180    4  0.270    6 0.5272   17  1.038    9  0.239    3  0.301
CANUCKS          10  9 61 62 -0.062  9.098   14  0.003   15  0.005   15 -0.003   15 0.4920    6  1.240   10  0.219   27 -0.225 P
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS          12  7 65 50 -0.057  8.927    9  0.115    9  0.118    9  0.181   10 0.5188   14  1.093   11  0.216   11  0.145 P
STARS            13  6 66 44 -0.037  8.938    4  0.178    4  0.183    7  0.231    4 0.5318   19  1.014   12  0.172    4  0.290 P
SABRES           11 10 69 65 -0.054 10.108   17 -0.002   16  0.005   14  0.008   16 0.4914    9  1.193   13  0.169   24 -0.154 P
WILD             13  7 69 50  0.020  9.959    6  0.166    6  0.172    5  0.241    5 0.5316   21  0.986   14  0.149    1  0.332 P
CANADIENS         7 13 56 77 -0.036 10.042   28 -0.184   28 -0.177   28 -0.194   28 0.4574    5  1.276   15  0.075   31 -0.464 P
SENATORS          8 12 62 65  0.025 10.311   23 -0.097   23 -0.097   17 -0.016   23 0.4737   12  1.134   16  0.070   22 -0.102 P
KINGS            11 10 63 57 -0.064  9.969   16 -0.001   17  0.001   12  0.064   17 0.4913   24  0.971   17 -0.045    9  0.173 P
MAPLE LEAFS      12  8 61 50  0.001  9.909   11  0.108   11  0.114   10  0.120   11 0.5178   25  0.892   18 -0.078    2  0.318 P
OILERS           11 11 64 69 -0.004 11.176   15  0.002   14  0.005   20 -0.085   14 0.4932   16  1.062   19 -0.087   19 -0.084
FLYERS            9 12 60 73 -0.003 10.769   20 -0.079   20 -0.073   24 -0.148   21 0.4802   15  1.074   20 -0.135   25 -0.161 P
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB  8 12 55 64 -0.018 10.141   25 -0.113   25 -0.111   23 -0.147   24 0.4709   18  1.014   21 -0.205   20 -0.088 P
PENGUINS          7 16 59 93  0.024 12.303   31 -0.220   31 -0.211   32 -0.310   31 0.4518   11  1.135   22 -0.221   30 -0.398
KRAKEN           10 11 59 57 -0.003 10.628   18 -0.029   18 -0.023   19 -0.049   18 0.4895   26  0.886   23 -0.253   10  0.156 P
RED WINGS         8 12 49 63 -0.081  9.623   26 -0.141   26 -0.140   25 -0.163   27 0.4614   22  0.985   24 -0.256   18 -0.070 P
FLAMES           12  9 58 57 -0.020 10.406   13  0.073   13  0.078   13  0.013   12 0.5101   30  0.821   25 -0.261    5  0.287 P
BLUES             9 13 53 74  0.016 11.533   22 -0.096   22 -0.087   29 -0.199   22 0.4754   23  0.980   26 -0.297   21 -0.101
DUCKS             8 11 48 57 -0.046  9.365   24 -0.100   24 -0.101   21 -0.110   25 0.4664   27  0.864   27 -0.338   12  0.117 P
SHARKS            6 17 56 83 -0.031 11.683   32 -0.298   32 -0.292   31 -0.256   32 0.4351   20  0.989   28 -0.344   26 -0.169
BLACKHAWKS        7 14 50 63 -0.035 10.491   30 -0.207   30 -0.199   26 -0.169   30 0.4528   28  0.862   29 -0.399   15  0.062 P
PREDATORS         7 14 50 65 -0.031 10.514   29 -0.202   29 -0.195   27 -0.174   29 0.4565   29  0.859   30 -0.407   16  0.060 P
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ISLANDERS         8 13 54 60 -0.051 10.297   27 -0.152   27 -0.150   22 -0.117   26 0.4634   32  0.777   31 -0.437    8  0.203 P
BRUINS           10 12 51 70 -0.067 10.732   21 -0.084   21 -0.076   30 -0.202   20 0.4819   31  0.819   32 -0.479   14  0.075

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   13  8 81 64  0.033 10.652    7  0.147    7  0.152    8  0.183    7 0.5230    4  1.301    1  0.487   23 -0.120 P
CANUCKS          10  9 61 62 -0.062  9.098   14  0.003   15  0.005   15 -0.003   15 0.4920    6  1.240   10  0.219   27 -0.225 P
KINGS            11 10 63 57 -0.064  9.969   16 -0.001   17  0.001   12  0.064   17 0.4913   24  0.971   17 -0.045    9  0.173 P
OILERS           11 11 64 69 -0.004 11.176   15  0.002   14  0.005   20 -0.085   14 0.4932   16  1.062   19 -0.087   19 -0.084
KRAKEN           10 11 59 57 -0.003 10.628   18 -0.029   18 -0.023   19 -0.049   18 0.4895   26  0.886   23 -0.253   10  0.156 P
FLAMES           12  9 58 57 -0.020 10.406   13  0.073   13  0.078   13  0.013   12 0.5101   30  0.821   25 -0.261    5  0.287 P
DUCKS             8 11 48 57 -0.046  9.365   24 -0.100   24 -0.101   21 -0.110   25 0.4664   27  0.864   27 -0.338   12  0.117 P
SHARKS            6 17 56 83 -0.031 11.683   32 -0.298   32 -0.292   31 -0.256   32 0.4351   20  0.989   28 -0.344   26 -0.169

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             17  4 85 51  0.016 10.310    1  0.355    1  0.363    1  0.327    1 0.5689   10  1.149    4  0.433    6  0.221 P
AVALANCHE        12  9 73 75 -0.009 10.541   12  0.078   12  0.083   18 -0.017   13 0.5089    1  1.407    5  0.432   32 -0.467 P
STARS            13  6 66 44 -0.037  8.938    4  0.178    4  0.183    7  0.231    4 0.5318   19  1.014   12  0.172    4  0.290 P
WILD             13  7 69 50  0.020  9.959    6  0.166    6  0.172    5  0.241    5 0.5316   21  0.986   14  0.149    1  0.332 P
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB  8 12 55 64 -0.018 10.141   25 -0.113   25 -0.111   23 -0.147   24 0.4709   18  1.014   21 -0.205   20 -0.088 P
BLUES             9 13 53 74  0.016 11.533   22 -0.096   22 -0.087   29 -0.199   22 0.4754   23  0.980   26 -0.297   21 -0.101
BLACKHAWKS        7 14 50 63 -0.035 10.491   30 -0.207   30 -0.199   26 -0.169   30 0.4528   28  0.862   29 -0.399   15  0.062 P
PREDATORS         7 14 50 65 -0.031 10.514   29 -0.202   29 -0.195   27 -0.174   29 0.4565   29  0.859   30 -0.407   16  0.060 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         13  7 81 55  0.103 10.543    3  0.199    3  0.203    3  0.277    3 0.5362    8  1.217    2  0.470   13  0.085 P
BLUE JACKETS      9 11 70 72  0.028 10.334   19 -0.047   19 -0.040   16 -0.010   19 0.4852    2  1.359    7  0.372   29 -0.392 P
HURRICANES       14  6 78 51  0.011  9.800    2  0.223    2  0.225    2  0.295    2 0.5444   13  1.125    8  0.370    7  0.219 P
DEVILS           14  9 79 60  0.119 12.346    5  0.173    5  0.180    4  0.270    6 0.5272   17  1.038    9  0.239    3  0.301
RANGERS          12  7 65 50 -0.057  8.927    9  0.115    9  0.118    9  0.181   10 0.5188   14  1.093   11  0.216   11  0.145 P
FLYERS            9 12 60 73 -0.003 10.769   20 -0.079   20 -0.073   24 -0.148   21 0.4802   15  1.074   20 -0.135   25 -0.161 P
PENGUINS          7 16 59 93  0.024 12.303   31 -0.220   31 -0.211   32 -0.310   31 0.4518   11  1.135   22 -0.221   30 -0.398
ISLANDERS         8 13 54 60 -0.051 10.297   27 -0.152   27 -0.150   22 -0.117   26 0.4634   32  0.777   31 -0.437    8  0.203 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        10  9 68 59  0.207 10.897   10  0.110   10  0.116    6  0.238    9 0.5193    7  1.219    3  0.433   17  0.043 P
PANTHERS         12  9 74 72  0.100 11.372    8  0.125    8  0.132   11  0.070    8 0.5215    3  1.338    6  0.423   28 -0.283 P
SABRES           11 10 69 65 -0.054 10.108   17 -0.002   16  0.005   14  0.008   16 0.4914    9  1.193   13  0.169   24 -0.154 P
CANADIENS         7 13 56 77 -0.036 10.042   28 -0.184   28 -0.177   28 -0.194   28 0.4574    5  1.276   15  0.075   31 -0.464 P
SENATORS          8 12 62 65  0.025 10.311   23 -0.097   23 -0.097   17 -0.016   23 0.4737   12  1.134   16  0.070   22 -0.102 P
MAPLE LEAFS      12  8 61 50  0.001  9.909   11  0.108   11  0.114   10  0.120   11 0.5178   25  0.892   18 -0.078    2  0.318 P
RED WINGS         8 12 49 63 -0.081  9.623   26 -0.141   26 -0.140   25 -0.163   27 0.4614   22  0.985   24 -0.256   18 -0.070 P
BRUINS           10 12 51 70 -0.067 10.732   21 -0.084   21 -0.076   30 -0.202   20 0.4819   31  0.819   32 -0.479   14  0.075

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 86 81 0.515    1  0.101
CENTRAL DIVISION      86 79 0.521    2  0.017
ATLANTIC DIVISION     78 85 0.479    3 -0.033
PACIFIC DIVISION      81 86 0.485    4 -0.055

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.080 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Nov 24 05:30:15 2024
games through: Sat Nov 23 2024

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