Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.005 43.349   11  0.081   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5131   10  1.137    1  0.321   10  0.151
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.009 44.644    9  0.154    9  0.143    7  0.154    9 0.5213    6  1.149    2  0.254   15  0.054
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.010 40.936   23 -0.095   23 -0.109   23 -0.091   23 0.4844    1  1.323    3  0.238   31 -0.420
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.004 45.688    5  0.195    5  0.179    6  0.164    4 0.5259   12  1.108    4  0.213   12  0.115
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.007 40.892   17 -0.012   17 -0.027   16 -0.016   17 0.4962    2  1.226    5  0.183   27 -0.216
STARS            58 37 311 262  0.026 48.225    3  0.219    3  0.205    3  0.175    3 0.5289   15  1.063    6  0.170    7  0.180
HURRICANES       55 37 300 251  0.011 46.225    6  0.189    6  0.172    5  0.170    6 0.5241   17  1.056    7  0.157    6  0.184
OILERS           56 37 302 270  0.013 46.896    4  0.197    4  0.182   11  0.103    5 0.5253   11  1.111    8  0.156   16  0.050
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.005 46.129    8  0.165    8  0.151    4  0.172    8 0.5228   19  1.050    9  0.151    5  0.194
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.020 47.820    1  0.266    1  0.274    1  0.280    1 0.5383   31  0.932   10  0.122    1  0.438
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.011 47.870    2  0.225    2  0.213   12  0.091    2 0.5306   14  1.085   11  0.112   14  0.069
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.009 40.762   20 -0.029   20 -0.050   15  0.020   20 0.4930    9  1.142   12  0.111   21 -0.072
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.024 45.223   12  0.052   13  0.059   10  0.105   13 0.5090   18  1.056   13  0.092   11  0.119
PANTHERS         55 39 297 252  0.023 47.706    7  0.174    7  0.159    8  0.150    7 0.5230   26  0.994   14  0.062    3  0.237
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.005 43.681   10  0.104   10  0.106    9  0.142   10 0.5164   27  0.967   15  0.024    2  0.260
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.014 40.825   26 -0.127   26 -0.133   24 -0.111   26 0.4807    7  1.146   16 -0.014   26 -0.208
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.008 43.997   18 -0.025   18 -0.045   21 -0.062   18 0.4943   13  1.100   17 -0.023   23 -0.101
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.009 41.131   27 -0.149   27 -0.149   29 -0.204   27 0.4782    3  1.195   18 -0.045   29 -0.362
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.006 40.983   21 -0.046   21 -0.068   19 -0.046   21 0.4903   22  1.034   19 -0.086   18 -0.007
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.001 44.020   14  0.044   14  0.053   14  0.031   12 0.5090   28  0.963   20 -0.092    9  0.154
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.004 41.097   19 -0.029   19 -0.046   22 -0.082   19 0.4936   16  1.059   21 -0.092   20 -0.071
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.007 43.758   15  0.001   15 -0.010   13  0.051   15 0.4992   30  0.936   22 -0.103    4  0.205
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.010 41.103   29 -0.171   29 -0.169   28 -0.201   29 0.4753    8  1.142   23 -0.109   28 -0.292
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.019 40.595   22 -0.054   22 -0.075   20 -0.061   22 0.4890   23  1.013   24 -0.126   17  0.003
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.011 41.184   31 -0.306   31 -0.331   31 -0.262   31 0.4519    4  1.171   25 -0.133   30 -0.390
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.007 44.418   13  0.049   12  0.061   17 -0.029   14 0.5086   29  0.945   26 -0.172   13  0.114
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.001 41.335   28 -0.165   28 -0.165   26 -0.164   28 0.4763   20  1.038   27 -0.199   24 -0.129
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.011 40.949   25 -0.122   25 -0.129   25 -0.133   25 0.4811   24  0.995   28 -0.219   19 -0.047
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.019 40.554   16 -0.004   16 -0.014   18 -0.042   16 0.4977   32  0.884   29 -0.253    8  0.169
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.006 41.208   24 -0.119   24 -0.126   27 -0.169   24 0.4817   25  0.994   30 -0.255   22 -0.082
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.012 41.372   32 -0.438   32 -0.438   32 -0.382   32 0.4371    5  1.152   31 -0.277   32 -0.486
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.005 41.374   30 -0.224   30 -0.227   30 -0.241   30 0.4670   21  1.035   32 -0.280   25 -0.202

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           56 37 302 270  0.013 46.896    4  0.197    4  0.182   11  0.103    5 0.5253   11  1.111    8  0.156   16  0.050
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 38 303 254 -0.005 46.129    8  0.165    8  0.151    4  0.172    8 0.5228   19  1.050    9  0.151    5  0.194
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.005 43.681   10  0.104   10  0.106    9  0.142   10 0.5164   27  0.967   15  0.024    2  0.260
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.014 40.825   26 -0.127   26 -0.133   24 -0.111   26 0.4807    7  1.146   16 -0.014   26 -0.208
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.019 40.595   22 -0.054   22 -0.075   20 -0.061   22 0.4890   23  1.013   24 -0.126   17  0.003
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.019 40.554   16 -0.004   16 -0.014   18 -0.042   16 0.4977   32  0.884   29 -0.253    8  0.169
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.006 41.208   24 -0.119   24 -0.126   27 -0.169   24 0.4817   25  0.994   30 -0.255   22 -0.082
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.012 41.372   32 -0.438   32 -0.438   32 -0.382   32 0.4371    5  1.152   31 -0.277   32 -0.486

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.009 44.644    9  0.154    9  0.143    7  0.154    9 0.5213    6  1.149    2  0.254   15  0.054
STARS            58 37 311 262  0.026 48.225    3  0.219    3  0.205    3  0.175    3 0.5289   15  1.063    6  0.170    7  0.180
JETS             62 33 312 231  0.020 47.820    1  0.266    1  0.274    1  0.280    1 0.5383   31  0.932   10  0.122    1  0.438
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.024 45.223   12  0.052   13  0.059   10  0.105   13 0.5090   18  1.056   13  0.092   11  0.119
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.006 40.983   21 -0.046   21 -0.068   19 -0.046   21 0.4903   22  1.034   19 -0.086   18 -0.007
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.011 41.184   31 -0.306   31 -0.331   31 -0.262   31 0.4519    4  1.171   25 -0.133   30 -0.390
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.007 44.418   13  0.049   12  0.061   17 -0.029   14 0.5086   29  0.945   26 -0.172   13  0.114
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.005 41.374   30 -0.224   30 -0.227   30 -0.241   30 0.4670   21  1.035   32 -0.280   25 -0.202

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 36 313 259 -0.004 45.688    5  0.195    5  0.179    6  0.164    4 0.5259   12  1.108    4  0.213   12  0.115
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.007 40.892   17 -0.012   17 -0.027   16 -0.016   17 0.4962    2  1.226    5  0.183   27 -0.216
HURRICANES       55 37 300 251  0.011 46.225    6  0.189    6  0.172    5  0.170    6 0.5241   17  1.056    7  0.157    6  0.184
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.009 40.762   20 -0.029   20 -0.050   15  0.020   20 0.4930    9  1.142   12  0.111   21 -0.072
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.009 41.131   27 -0.149   27 -0.149   29 -0.204   27 0.4782    3  1.195   18 -0.045   29 -0.362
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.007 43.758   15  0.001   15 -0.010   13  0.051   15 0.4992   30  0.936   22 -0.103    4  0.205
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.010 41.103   29 -0.171   29 -0.169   28 -0.201   29 0.4753    8  1.142   23 -0.109   28 -0.292
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.011 40.949   25 -0.122   25 -0.129   25 -0.133   25 0.4811   24  0.995   28 -0.219   19 -0.047

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.005 43.349   11  0.081   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5131   10  1.137    1  0.321   10  0.151
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.010 40.936   23 -0.095   23 -0.109   23 -0.091   23 0.4844    1  1.323    3  0.238   31 -0.420
MAPLE LEAFS      59 36 304 273  0.011 47.870    2  0.225    2  0.213   12  0.091    2 0.5306   14  1.085   11  0.112   14  0.069
PANTHERS         55 39 297 252  0.023 47.706    7  0.174    7  0.159    8  0.150    7 0.5230   26  0.994   14  0.062    3  0.237
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.008 43.997   18 -0.025   18 -0.045   21 -0.062   18 0.4943   13  1.100   17 -0.023   23 -0.101
SENATORS         47 41 259 253 -0.001 44.020   14  0.044   14  0.053   14  0.031   12 0.5090   28  0.963   20 -0.092    9  0.154
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.004 41.097   19 -0.029   19 -0.046   22 -0.082   19 0.4936   16  1.059   21 -0.092   20 -0.071
BRUINS           33 49 222 272 -0.001 41.335   28 -0.165   28 -0.165   26 -0.164   28 0.4763   20  1.038   27 -0.199   24 -0.129

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      359 343 0.511    1  0.023
ATLANTIC DIVISION     358 339 0.514    2  0.019
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 335 346 0.492    3 -0.023
PACIFIC DIVISION      330 354 0.482    4 -0.056

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.142 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May 19 05:30:09 2025
games through: Sun May 18 2025

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