Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS        6  7 48 51 -0.053  6.256   22 -0.010   22 -0.006   24 -0.011   22 0.4795    1  1.536    1  0.612   32 -0.634 P
MAPLE LEAFS     8  6 52 50 -0.077  6.552   12  0.009   12  0.016   14  0.007   10 0.5108    2  1.483    2  0.551   31 -0.538 P
SHARKS          5  9 48 54  0.105  7.682   27 -0.025   26 -0.018   27 -0.022   26 0.4747    3  1.354    4  0.338   29 -0.382 P
DUCKS           8  4 48 37  0.068  6.292    4  0.032    4  0.038    7  0.028    3 0.5354    4  1.353    3  0.388   28 -0.331 P
BLUES           4 10 38 59 -0.115  6.524   31 -0.058   31 -0.048   32 -0.068   32 0.4429    5  1.351    5  0.289   30 -0.424 P
CANADIENS       9  4 48 41 -0.098  5.962    6  0.029    6  0.035   13  0.008    6 0.5252    6  1.286    6  0.275   27 -0.259 P
ISLANDERS       6  7 43 46  0.045  6.757   19 -0.003   19  0.002   16  0.003   19 0.4929    7  1.261    7  0.238   26 -0.232 P
BRUINS          8  7 49 51  0.109  8.150   10  0.017   10  0.024   11  0.018   11 0.5107    8  1.240    8  0.224   25 -0.188 P
DEVILS          9  4 46 40  0.126  7.053    1  0.049    1  0.053    4  0.046    2 0.5459    9  1.177    9  0.172   22 -0.079 P
JETS            9  4 45 33 -0.072  6.045    3  0.035    3  0.040    6  0.037    5 0.5269   10  1.160   10  0.141   20 -0.067 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD            5  9 40 51 -0.072  6.698   29 -0.036   29 -0.030   28 -0.035   29 0.4612   11  1.160   14  0.069   24 -0.138 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  6 41 41 -0.004  6.530   14  0.006   14  0.013   25 -0.012   17 0.4984   12  1.150   13  0.080   23 -0.103 P
PENGUINS        8  6 49 40 -0.038  6.682   11  0.011   11  0.017    5  0.041   12 0.5097   13  1.136   12  0.115   19 -0.032 P
HURRICANES      8  4 44 32  0.172  6.707    2  0.049    2  0.051    2  0.071    1 0.5488   14  1.119   11  0.123   17  0.018 P
CANUCKS         7  8 42 50 -0.124  6.888   25 -0.019   24 -0.012   31 -0.051   28 0.4715   15  1.099   19 -0.024   21 -0.079 P
OILERS          6  9 46 48 -0.076  7.043   28 -0.029   28 -0.023   17 -0.000   27 0.4721   16  1.093   17  0.021   18 -0.021 P
MAMMOTH         9  5 47 40  0.032  7.139    5  0.032    5  0.038    9  0.021    8 0.5219   17  1.069   18  0.012   16  0.029 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  7  5 40 32  0.087  6.319    9  0.024    9  0.029    3  0.049    9 0.5208   18  1.053   16  0.022   15  0.077 P
AVALANCHE       8  6 50 37  0.152  7.698    7  0.027    7  0.034    1  0.088    4 0.5302   19  1.024   15  0.026    9  0.150 P
STARS           7  6 37 39 -0.014  6.425   13  0.007   13  0.015   15  0.006   13 0.5024   20  0.986   20 -0.100   14  0.112 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS       9  5 44 42 -0.027  6.870    8  0.026    8  0.033   19 -0.003    7 0.5252   21  0.966   21 -0.132   12  0.127 P
BLACKHAWKS      6  8 44 40 -0.030  6.844   24 -0.018   25 -0.015   18 -0.000   24 0.4782   22  0.963   22 -0.134   11  0.133 P
PANTHERS        6  7 34 41  0.051  6.807   18 -0.001   18  0.005   20 -0.004   15 0.5012   23  0.959   23 -0.141   10  0.134 P
PREDATORS       5 10 39 51 -0.090  7.069   30 -0.048   30 -0.040   30 -0.041   30 0.4557   24  0.944   26 -0.196   13  0.113 P
SABRES          5  8 38 40 -0.006  6.503   26 -0.025   27 -0.019   23 -0.008   25 0.4759   25  0.929   25 -0.179    8  0.164 P
KINGS           6  8 40 44  0.083  7.479   21 -0.006   20 -0.001   12  0.010   21 0.4901   26  0.927   24 -0.164    7  0.184 P
LIGHTNING       6  7 37 36  0.091  6.940   16  0.001   16  0.007    8  0.028   14 0.5017   27  0.882   27 -0.196    5  0.252 P
FLAMES          4 11 36 49 -0.022  7.504   32 -0.059   32 -0.049   29 -0.041   31 0.4466   28  0.879   28 -0.268    6  0.186 P
FLYERS          7  6 38 35 -0.057  6.216   15  0.002   15  0.008   22 -0.005   16 0.4984   29  0.818   29 -0.298    4  0.288 P
KRAKEN          6  7 34 39  0.014  6.601   20 -0.006   21 -0.001   21 -0.004   20 0.4905   30  0.798   30 -0.317    3  0.309 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS        7  6 37 30 -0.110  5.871   17  0.000   17  0.005   10  0.020   18 0.4931   31  0.760   31 -0.333    2  0.373 P
RANGERS         6  8 31 34 -0.005  7.022   23 -0.013   23 -0.009   26 -0.012   23 0.4783   32  0.548   32 -0.569    1  0.545 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS          5  9 48 54  0.105  7.682   27 -0.025   26 -0.018   27 -0.022   26 0.4747    3  1.354    4  0.338   29 -0.382 P
DUCKS           8  4 48 37  0.068  6.292    4  0.032    4  0.038    7  0.028    3 0.5354    4  1.353    3  0.388   28 -0.331 P
CANUCKS         7  8 42 50 -0.124  6.888   25 -0.019   24 -0.012   31 -0.051   28 0.4715   15  1.099   19 -0.024   21 -0.079 P
OILERS          6  9 46 48 -0.076  7.043   28 -0.029   28 -0.023   17 -0.000   27 0.4721   16  1.093   17  0.021   18 -0.021 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  7  5 40 32  0.087  6.319    9  0.024    9  0.029    3  0.049    9 0.5208   18  1.053   16  0.022   15  0.077 P
KINGS           6  8 40 44  0.083  7.479   21 -0.006   20 -0.001   12  0.010   21 0.4901   26  0.927   24 -0.164    7  0.184 P
FLAMES          4 11 36 49 -0.022  7.504   32 -0.059   32 -0.049   29 -0.041   31 0.4466   28  0.879   28 -0.268    6  0.186 P
KRAKEN          6  7 34 39  0.014  6.601   20 -0.006   21 -0.001   21 -0.004   20 0.4905   30  0.798   30 -0.317    3  0.309 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES           4 10 38 59 -0.115  6.524   31 -0.058   31 -0.048   32 -0.068   32 0.4429    5  1.351    5  0.289   30 -0.424 P
JETS            9  4 45 33 -0.072  6.045    3  0.035    3  0.040    6  0.037    5 0.5269   10  1.160   10  0.141   20 -0.067 P
WILD            5  9 40 51 -0.072  6.698   29 -0.036   29 -0.030   28 -0.035   29 0.4612   11  1.160   14  0.069   24 -0.138 P
MAMMOTH         9  5 47 40  0.032  7.139    5  0.032    5  0.038    9  0.021    8 0.5219   17  1.069   18  0.012   16  0.029 P
AVALANCHE       8  6 50 37  0.152  7.698    7  0.027    7  0.034    1  0.088    4 0.5302   19  1.024   15  0.026    9  0.150 P
STARS           7  6 37 39 -0.014  6.425   13  0.007   13  0.015   15  0.006   13 0.5024   20  0.986   20 -0.100   14  0.112 P
BLACKHAWKS      6  8 44 40 -0.030  6.844   24 -0.018   25 -0.015   18 -0.000   24 0.4782   22  0.963   22 -0.134   11  0.133 P
PREDATORS       5 10 39 51 -0.090  7.069   30 -0.048   30 -0.040   30 -0.041   30 0.4557   24  0.944   26 -0.196   13  0.113 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ISLANDERS       6  7 43 46  0.045  6.757   19 -0.003   19  0.002   16  0.003   19 0.4929    7  1.261    7  0.238   26 -0.232 P
DEVILS          9  4 46 40  0.126  7.053    1  0.049    1  0.053    4  0.046    2 0.5459    9  1.177    9  0.172   22 -0.079 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  6 41 41 -0.004  6.530   14  0.006   14  0.013   25 -0.012   17 0.4984   12  1.150   13  0.080   23 -0.103 P
PENGUINS        8  6 49 40 -0.038  6.682   11  0.011   11  0.017    5  0.041   12 0.5097   13  1.136   12  0.115   19 -0.032 P
HURRICANES      8  4 44 32  0.172  6.707    2  0.049    2  0.051    2  0.071    1 0.5488   14  1.119   11  0.123   17  0.018 P
FLYERS          7  6 38 35 -0.057  6.216   15  0.002   15  0.008   22 -0.005   16 0.4984   29  0.818   29 -0.298    4  0.288 P
CAPITALS        7  6 37 30 -0.110  5.871   17  0.000   17  0.005   10  0.020   18 0.4931   31  0.760   31 -0.333    2  0.373 P
RANGERS         6  8 31 34 -0.005  7.022   23 -0.013   23 -0.009   26 -0.012   23 0.4783   32  0.548   32 -0.569    1  0.545 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS        6  7 48 51 -0.053  6.256   22 -0.010   22 -0.006   24 -0.011   22 0.4795    1  1.536    1  0.612   32 -0.634 P
MAPLE LEAFS     8  6 52 50 -0.077  6.552   12  0.009   12  0.016   14  0.007   10 0.5108    2  1.483    2  0.551   31 -0.538 P
CANADIENS       9  4 48 41 -0.098  5.962    6  0.029    6  0.035   13  0.008    6 0.5252    6  1.286    6  0.275   27 -0.259 P
BRUINS          8  7 49 51  0.109  8.150   10  0.017   10  0.024   11  0.018   11 0.5107    8  1.240    8  0.224   25 -0.188 P
RED WINGS       9  5 44 42 -0.027  6.870    8  0.026    8  0.033   19 -0.003    7 0.5252   21  0.966   21 -0.132   12  0.127 P
PANTHERS        6  7 34 41  0.051  6.807   18 -0.001   18  0.005   20 -0.004   15 0.5012   23  0.959   23 -0.141   10  0.134 P
SABRES          5  8 38 40 -0.006  6.503   26 -0.025   27 -0.019   23 -0.008   25 0.4759   25  0.929   25 -0.179    8  0.164 P
LIGHTNING       6  7 37 36  0.091  6.940   16  0.001   16  0.007    8  0.028   14 0.5017   27  0.882   27 -0.196    5  0.252 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 58 47 0.552    1  0.098
ATLANTIC DIVISION     57 51 0.528    2 -0.002
CENTRAL DIVISION      53 58 0.477    3 -0.024
PACIFIC DIVISION      49 61 0.445    4 -0.048

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.109 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Nov  6 05:30:13 2025
games through: Wed Nov  5 2025

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