Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          42 38 266 281 -0.030 39.379   17  0.014   16  0.019   26 -0.105   17 0.5027    1  1.281    9  0.138   31 -0.349
OILERS         40 40 275 266 -0.025 39.314   19 -0.008   19 -0.016   13  0.026   19 0.4973    2  1.266    6  0.249   27 -0.196
PENGUINS       41 40 288 261  0.012 40.896   16  0.015   17  0.018    9  0.112   16 0.5035    3  1.251    3  0.315   25 -0.092
MAPLE LEAFS    32 48 247 290  0.012 40.742   29 -0.156   29 -0.148   28 -0.134   29 0.4778    4  1.226   15  0.037   29 -0.304
SHARKS         37 42 240 284 -0.017 39.376   23 -0.050   22 -0.060   29 -0.181   22 0.4902    5  1.209   18 -0.032   30 -0.329
HURRICANES     52 28 292 236  0.007 40.159    2  0.242    2  0.240    3  0.190    1 0.5373    6  1.201    2  0.328   13  0.051
CANADIENS      48 33 281 252  0.017 41.075    5  0.164    5  0.157    8  0.116    5 0.5244    7  1.185    7  0.233   21 -0.002
PANTHERS       38 42 240 273  0.021 40.993   20 -0.016   20 -0.026   25 -0.102   20 0.4965    8  1.176   16  0.005   28 -0.209
SABRES         49 31 280 236  0.013 40.373    4  0.197    3  0.185    5  0.171    4 0.5294    9  1.164    5  0.261    8  0.080
SENATORS       43 38 275 245  0.012 40.878    9  0.048    9  0.056    7  0.132    9 0.5095   10  1.161    8  0.219   14  0.045
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS        24 56 211 307 -0.016 40.143   32 -0.314   32 -0.326   32 -0.372   32 0.4498   11  1.158   29 -0.289   32 -0.455
LIGHTNING      49 31 284 224  0.016 40.393    3  0.199    4  0.185    2  0.225    3 0.5298   12  1.134    4  0.278    4  0.171
BRUINS         44 37 268 250  0.023 41.301    8  0.069    8  0.081   10  0.087    8 0.5131   13  1.130   10  0.136   15  0.038
PREDATORS      38 42 241 261 -0.001 40.252   21 -0.027   21 -0.040   22 -0.083   21 0.4926   14  1.116   20 -0.052   26 -0.115
CAPITALS       42 39 261 243  0.007 40.776   12  0.025   13  0.032   11  0.087   12 0.5059   15  1.111   11  0.112   11  0.062
AVALANCHE      52 27 295 201 -0.008 38.931    1  0.246    1  0.243    1  0.371    2 0.5371   16  1.086    1  0.365    1  0.376
MAMMOTH        42 38 260 232 -0.006 39.879   11  0.027   12  0.034   12  0.063   13 0.5049   17  1.083   14  0.054    9  0.072
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 37 43 255 247 -0.016 39.613   22 -0.049   23 -0.068   14  0.016   23 0.4890   18  1.080   17  0.003   18  0.030
WILD           45 35 266 232 -0.007 39.747    7  0.083    7  0.092    6  0.134    7 0.5136   19  1.068   12  0.107    5  0.161
BLUE JACKETS   40 41 252 251  0.015 41.158   18  0.002   18 -0.000   16 -0.001   18 0.5008   20  1.065   19 -0.032   16  0.031
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS          48 32 269 218 -0.009 39.630    6  0.159    6  0.151    4  0.178    6 0.5225   21  1.031   13  0.106    2  0.250
RED WINGS      41 39 237 246  0.012 40.577   15  0.019   14  0.027   18 -0.025   14 0.5044   22  1.015   22 -0.116   10  0.065
RANGERS        33 47 232 245  0.015 40.749   28 -0.127   28 -0.127   20 -0.069   27 0.4807   23  1.009   23 -0.167   19  0.028
KRAKEN         34 45 222 252 -0.026 39.004   27 -0.127   27 -0.126   27 -0.113   28 0.4804   24  1.003   27 -0.217   22 -0.008
JETS           35 44 225 243 -0.005 39.635   24 -0.081   24 -0.091   21 -0.080   24 0.4849   25  0.999   25 -0.190   17  0.030
DEVILS         42 39 230 250  0.016 41.320   13  0.024   11  0.038   24 -0.094   11 0.5064   26  0.997   26 -0.206   20  0.017
FLYERS         41 39 243 239  0.011 40.545   14  0.019   15  0.027   15  0.014   15 0.5044   27  0.986   21 -0.111    7  0.138
BLACKHAWKS     28 52 207 268 -0.011 40.148   31 -0.245   31 -0.242   31 -0.217   31 0.4619   28  0.982   31 -0.345   24 -0.088
BLUES          34 45 213 247 -0.019 39.183   26 -0.117   26 -0.119   23 -0.087   26 0.4810   29  0.973   28 -0.226   12  0.053
ISLANDERS      43 38 232 239  0.008 40.947   10  0.040   10  0.053   17 -0.020   10 0.5086   30  0.953   24 -0.182    6  0.142
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         33 47 208 255 -0.019 39.790   30 -0.160   30 -0.150   30 -0.192   30 0.4767   31  0.940   32 -0.369   23 -0.015
KINGS          34 45 216 237 -0.015 39.265   25 -0.113   25 -0.118   19 -0.060   25 0.4812   32  0.855   30 -0.330    3  0.211

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          42 38 266 281 -0.030 39.379   17  0.014   16  0.019   26 -0.105   17 0.5027    1  1.281    9  0.138   31 -0.349
OILERS         40 40 275 266 -0.025 39.314   19 -0.008   19 -0.016   13  0.026   19 0.4973    2  1.266    6  0.249   27 -0.196
SHARKS         37 42 240 284 -0.017 39.376   23 -0.050   22 -0.060   29 -0.181   22 0.4902    5  1.209   18 -0.032   30 -0.329
CANUCKS        24 56 211 307 -0.016 40.143   32 -0.314   32 -0.326   32 -0.372   32 0.4498   11  1.158   29 -0.289   32 -0.455
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 37 43 255 247 -0.016 39.613   22 -0.049   23 -0.068   14  0.016   23 0.4890   18  1.080   17  0.003   18  0.030
KRAKEN         34 45 222 252 -0.026 39.004   27 -0.127   27 -0.126   27 -0.113   28 0.4804   24  1.003   27 -0.217   22 -0.008
FLAMES         33 47 208 255 -0.019 39.790   30 -0.160   30 -0.150   30 -0.192   30 0.4767   31  0.940   32 -0.369   23 -0.015
KINGS          34 45 216 237 -0.015 39.265   25 -0.113   25 -0.118   19 -0.060   25 0.4812   32  0.855   30 -0.330    3  0.211

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS      38 42 241 261 -0.001 40.252   21 -0.027   21 -0.040   22 -0.083   21 0.4926   14  1.116   20 -0.052   26 -0.115
AVALANCHE      52 27 295 201 -0.008 38.931    1  0.246    1  0.243    1  0.371    2 0.5371   16  1.086    1  0.365    1  0.376
MAMMOTH        42 38 260 232 -0.006 39.879   11  0.027   12  0.034   12  0.063   13 0.5049   17  1.083   14  0.054    9  0.072
WILD           45 35 266 232 -0.007 39.747    7  0.083    7  0.092    6  0.134    7 0.5136   19  1.068   12  0.107    5  0.161
STARS          48 32 269 218 -0.009 39.630    6  0.159    6  0.151    4  0.178    6 0.5225   21  1.031   13  0.106    2  0.250
JETS           35 44 225 243 -0.005 39.635   24 -0.081   24 -0.091   21 -0.080   24 0.4849   25  0.999   25 -0.190   17  0.030
BLACKHAWKS     28 52 207 268 -0.011 40.148   31 -0.245   31 -0.242   31 -0.217   31 0.4619   28  0.982   31 -0.345   24 -0.088
BLUES          34 45 213 247 -0.019 39.183   26 -0.117   26 -0.119   23 -0.087   26 0.4810   29  0.973   28 -0.226   12  0.053

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       41 40 288 261  0.012 40.896   16  0.015   17  0.018    9  0.112   16 0.5035    3  1.251    3  0.315   25 -0.092
HURRICANES     52 28 292 236  0.007 40.159    2  0.242    2  0.240    3  0.190    1 0.5373    6  1.201    2  0.328   13  0.051
CAPITALS       42 39 261 243  0.007 40.776   12  0.025   13  0.032   11  0.087   12 0.5059   15  1.111   11  0.112   11  0.062
BLUE JACKETS   40 41 252 251  0.015 41.158   18  0.002   18 -0.000   16 -0.001   18 0.5008   20  1.065   19 -0.032   16  0.031
RANGERS        33 47 232 245  0.015 40.749   28 -0.127   28 -0.127   20 -0.069   27 0.4807   23  1.009   23 -0.167   19  0.028
DEVILS         42 39 230 250  0.016 41.320   13  0.024   11  0.038   24 -0.094   11 0.5064   26  0.997   26 -0.206   20  0.017
FLYERS         41 39 243 239  0.011 40.545   14  0.019   15  0.027   15  0.014   15 0.5044   27  0.986   21 -0.111    7  0.138
ISLANDERS      43 38 232 239  0.008 40.947   10  0.040   10  0.053   17 -0.020   10 0.5086   30  0.953   24 -0.182    6  0.142

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS    32 48 247 290  0.012 40.742   29 -0.156   29 -0.148   28 -0.134   29 0.4778    4  1.226   15  0.037   29 -0.304
CANADIENS      48 33 281 252  0.017 41.075    5  0.164    5  0.157    8  0.116    5 0.5244    7  1.185    7  0.233   21 -0.002
PANTHERS       38 42 240 273  0.021 40.993   20 -0.016   20 -0.026   25 -0.102   20 0.4965    8  1.176   16  0.005   28 -0.209
SABRES         49 31 280 236  0.013 40.373    4  0.197    3  0.185    5  0.171    4 0.5294    9  1.164    5  0.261    8  0.080
SENATORS       43 38 275 245  0.012 40.878    9  0.048    9  0.056    7  0.132    9 0.5095   10  1.161    8  0.219   14  0.045
LIGHTNING      49 31 284 224  0.016 40.393    3  0.199    4  0.185    2  0.225    3 0.5298   12  1.134    4  0.278    4  0.171
BRUINS         44 37 268 250  0.023 41.301    8  0.069    8  0.081   10  0.087    8 0.5131   13  1.130   10  0.136   15  0.038
RED WINGS      41 39 237 246  0.012 40.577   15  0.019   14  0.027   18 -0.025   14 0.5044   22  1.015   22 -0.116   10  0.065

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     344 299 0.535    1  0.082
CENTRAL DIVISION      322 315 0.505    2  0.048
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 334 311 0.518    3  0.038
PACIFIC DIVISION      281 356 0.441    4 -0.169

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.052 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Apr 13 05:30:08 2026
games through: Sun Apr 12 2026

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