Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS     8 10 65 69 -0.087  8.413   26 -0.035   26 -0.031   23 -0.029   25 0.4796    1  1.495    1  0.521   32 -0.578 P
DUCKS          11  6 67 56  0.130  9.297    4  0.067    4  0.073    5  0.057    4 0.5457    2  1.393    2  0.460   30 -0.346 P
SENATORS        9  9 64 64 -0.034  8.753   17 -0.002   17 -0.003   17 -0.002   18 0.4920    3  1.381    3  0.385   31 -0.388 P
CANADIENS      10  7 58 59 -0.094  7.897   11  0.020   12  0.021   25 -0.031   12 0.5078    4  1.307    5  0.253   28 -0.315 P
BLUES           6 11 47 65 -0.136  7.708   29 -0.072   29 -0.070   30 -0.085   30 0.4495    5  1.280    8  0.163   29 -0.334 P
ISLANDERS       9  8 57 56  0.058  8.867   12  0.019   11  0.022   13  0.023   11 0.5101    6  1.232    7  0.207   26 -0.162 P
HURRICANES     11  5 60 46  0.111  8.560    2  0.083    2  0.086    2  0.089    3 0.5492    7  1.228    4  0.269   23 -0.091 P
BLUE JACKETS    9  8 55 55 -0.034  8.312   16  0.007   16  0.008   22 -0.022   16 0.4957    8  1.180   11  0.096   25 -0.140 P
BRUINS         11  8 65 64  0.093 10.157    5  0.043    5  0.051   11  0.030    6 0.5210    9  1.172    9  0.138   21 -0.078 P
JETS           10  7 55 47 -0.040  8.174    8  0.027    8  0.031   14  0.021   10 0.5106   10  1.168   10  0.124   22 -0.082 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS          8 11 58 67 -0.044  9.237   27 -0.039   27 -0.036   26 -0.034   26 0.4789   11  1.165   13  0.065   24 -0.133 P
CANUCKS         8 10 53 63 -0.084  8.560   25 -0.034   25 -0.030   29 -0.077   27 0.4702   12  1.156   18  0.010   27 -0.164 P
AVALANCHE      12  6 74 46  0.092  9.375    3  0.079    3  0.080    1  0.167    2 0.5495   13  1.124    6  0.214    9  0.119 P
SHARKS          8 10 55 59  0.070  9.571   21 -0.012   20 -0.009   21 -0.021   17 0.4923   14  1.118   16  0.019   19 -0.062 P
MAMMOTH        10  7 56 52 -0.010  8.410    7  0.030    7  0.034   16  0.006    9 0.5107   15  1.109   14  0.034   18 -0.023 P
PENGUINS        9  8 57 48  0.011  8.461   14  0.014   15  0.014    4  0.062   14 0.5062   16  1.101   12  0.081   14  0.044 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  7  9 51 49  0.062  8.330   20 -0.009   21 -0.010    8  0.036   21 0.4912   17  1.082   15  0.032   15  0.040 P
PREDATORS       5 13 47 65 -0.090  8.506   31 -0.101   31 -0.096   31 -0.092   31 0.4387   18  1.070   24 -0.111   20 -0.073 P
LIGHTNING       8  8 49 48  0.095  8.564   13  0.016   13  0.017    9  0.036   13 0.5068   19  1.060   19  0.004   11  0.067 P
PANTHERS        9  8 49 51  0.082  9.058   10  0.024   10  0.027   15  0.013    7 0.5137   20  1.058   20 -0.021   13  0.047 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD            7 11 51 59 -0.043  8.749   28 -0.048   28 -0.046   24 -0.030   28 0.4674   21  1.052   22 -0.070   17  0.011 P
DEVILS         12  5 58 50  0.134  9.271    1  0.093    1  0.097    3  0.072    1 0.5566   22  1.041   17  0.018    8  0.126 P
STARS          11  7 59 53 -0.006  8.864    6  0.040    6  0.046    7  0.037    5 0.5219   23  1.037   21 -0.022   10  0.096 P
RED WINGS      10  7 52 54 -0.047  8.237    9  0.025    9  0.028   27 -0.035    8 0.5133   24  1.029   23 -0.103   16  0.034 P
SABRES          5 12 46 60  0.018  8.794   30 -0.074   30 -0.071   28 -0.064   29 0.4561   25  0.985   27 -0.184   12  0.055 P
BLACKHAWKS      8  9 56 45 -0.029  8.215   24 -0.017   24 -0.016    6  0.041   20 0.4913   26  0.952   25 -0.117    6  0.198 P
KINGS           9  9 54 55  0.082  9.567   15  0.012   14  0.016   12  0.024   15 0.5058   27  0.939   26 -0.148    7  0.195 P
CAPITALS        8  9 49 45  0.016  8.546   18 -0.004   19 -0.006   10  0.031   19 0.4916   28  0.898   28 -0.187    5  0.249 P
RANGERS         9  9 48 46 -0.060  8.591   19 -0.006   18 -0.006   20 -0.019   22 0.4896   29  0.779   29 -0.364    3  0.326 P
KRAKEN          8  9 45 49 -0.024  8.351   23 -0.015   23 -0.012   19 -0.013   23 0.4885   30  0.752   30 -0.386    2  0.359 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES          5 14 40 58 -0.101  8.908   32 -0.117   32 -0.109   32 -0.109   32 0.4294   31  0.703   32 -0.531    4  0.313 P
FLYERS          8  8 44 41 -0.089  7.434   22 -0.013   22 -0.012   18 -0.011   24 0.4842   32  0.683   31 -0.453    1  0.430 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          11  6 67 56  0.130  9.297    4  0.067    4  0.073    5  0.057    4 0.5457    2  1.393    2  0.460   30 -0.346 P
OILERS          8 11 58 67 -0.044  9.237   27 -0.039   27 -0.036   26 -0.034   26 0.4789   11  1.165   13  0.065   24 -0.133 P
CANUCKS         8 10 53 63 -0.084  8.560   25 -0.034   25 -0.030   29 -0.077   27 0.4702   12  1.156   18  0.010   27 -0.164 P
SHARKS          8 10 55 59  0.070  9.571   21 -0.012   20 -0.009   21 -0.021   17 0.4923   14  1.118   16  0.019   19 -0.062 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  7  9 51 49  0.062  8.330   20 -0.009   21 -0.010    8  0.036   21 0.4912   17  1.082   15  0.032   15  0.040 P
KINGS           9  9 54 55  0.082  9.567   15  0.012   14  0.016   12  0.024   15 0.5058   27  0.939   26 -0.148    7  0.195 P
KRAKEN          8  9 45 49 -0.024  8.351   23 -0.015   23 -0.012   19 -0.013   23 0.4885   30  0.752   30 -0.386    2  0.359 P
FLAMES          5 14 40 58 -0.101  8.908   32 -0.117   32 -0.109   32 -0.109   32 0.4294   31  0.703   32 -0.531    4  0.313 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES           6 11 47 65 -0.136  7.708   29 -0.072   29 -0.070   30 -0.085   30 0.4495    5  1.280    8  0.163   29 -0.334 P
JETS           10  7 55 47 -0.040  8.174    8  0.027    8  0.031   14  0.021   10 0.5106   10  1.168   10  0.124   22 -0.082 P
AVALANCHE      12  6 74 46  0.092  9.375    3  0.079    3  0.080    1  0.167    2 0.5495   13  1.124    6  0.214    9  0.119 P
MAMMOTH        10  7 56 52 -0.010  8.410    7  0.030    7  0.034   16  0.006    9 0.5107   15  1.109   14  0.034   18 -0.023 P
PREDATORS       5 13 47 65 -0.090  8.506   31 -0.101   31 -0.096   31 -0.092   31 0.4387   18  1.070   24 -0.111   20 -0.073 P
WILD            7 11 51 59 -0.043  8.749   28 -0.048   28 -0.046   24 -0.030   28 0.4674   21  1.052   22 -0.070   17  0.011 P
STARS          11  7 59 53 -0.006  8.864    6  0.040    6  0.046    7  0.037    5 0.5219   23  1.037   21 -0.022   10  0.096 P
BLACKHAWKS      8  9 56 45 -0.029  8.215   24 -0.017   24 -0.016    6  0.041   20 0.4913   26  0.952   25 -0.117    6  0.198 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ISLANDERS       9  8 57 56  0.058  8.867   12  0.019   11  0.022   13  0.023   11 0.5101    6  1.232    7  0.207   26 -0.162 P
HURRICANES     11  5 60 46  0.111  8.560    2  0.083    2  0.086    2  0.089    3 0.5492    7  1.228    4  0.269   23 -0.091 P
BLUE JACKETS    9  8 55 55 -0.034  8.312   16  0.007   16  0.008   22 -0.022   16 0.4957    8  1.180   11  0.096   25 -0.140 P
PENGUINS        9  8 57 48  0.011  8.461   14  0.014   15  0.014    4  0.062   14 0.5062   16  1.101   12  0.081   14  0.044 P
DEVILS         12  5 58 50  0.134  9.271    1  0.093    1  0.097    3  0.072    1 0.5566   22  1.041   17  0.018    8  0.126 P
CAPITALS        8  9 49 45  0.016  8.546   18 -0.004   19 -0.006   10  0.031   19 0.4916   28  0.898   28 -0.187    5  0.249 P
RANGERS         9  9 48 46 -0.060  8.591   19 -0.006   18 -0.006   20 -0.019   22 0.4896   29  0.779   29 -0.364    3  0.326 P
FLYERS          8  8 44 41 -0.089  7.434   22 -0.013   22 -0.012   18 -0.011   24 0.4842   32  0.683   31 -0.453    1  0.430 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS     8 10 65 69 -0.087  8.413   26 -0.035   26 -0.031   23 -0.029   25 0.4796    1  1.495    1  0.521   32 -0.578 P
SENATORS        9  9 64 64 -0.034  8.753   17 -0.002   17 -0.003   17 -0.002   18 0.4920    3  1.381    3  0.385   31 -0.388 P
CANADIENS      10  7 58 59 -0.094  7.897   11  0.020   12  0.021   25 -0.031   12 0.5078    4  1.307    5  0.253   28 -0.315 P
BRUINS         11  8 65 64  0.093 10.157    5  0.043    5  0.051   11  0.030    6 0.5210    9  1.172    9  0.138   21 -0.078 P
LIGHTNING       8  8 49 48  0.095  8.564   13  0.016   13  0.017    9  0.036   13 0.5068   19  1.060   19  0.004   11  0.067 P
PANTHERS        9  8 49 51  0.082  9.058   10  0.024   10  0.027   15  0.013    7 0.5137   20  1.058   20 -0.021   13  0.047 P
RED WINGS      10  7 52 54 -0.047  8.237    9  0.025    9  0.028   27 -0.035    8 0.5133   24  1.029   23 -0.103   16  0.034 P
SABRES          5 12 46 60  0.018  8.794   30 -0.074   30 -0.071   28 -0.064   29 0.4561   25  0.985   27 -0.184   12  0.055 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 75 60 0.556    1  0.114
CENTRAL DIVISION      69 71 0.493    2  0.023
ATLANTIC DIVISION     70 69 0.504    3 -0.051
PACIFIC DIVISION      64 78 0.451    4 -0.075

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.078 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Nov 14 05:30:11 2025
games through: Thu Nov 13 2025

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