Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE       6  5 47 34  0.027  5.468   13  0.038   12  0.031    2  0.149   15 0.5084    1  1.530    1  0.760   31 -0.462 P
CANUCKS         2 10 35 56  0.076  6.596   32 -0.181   32 -0.184   30 -0.186   32 0.4435    2  1.408    9  0.247   32 -0.619 P
KRAKEN          7  4 44 37 -0.024  5.336    9  0.063    8  0.057   14  0.029    5 0.5300    3  1.402    3  0.455   30 -0.397 P
OILERS          8  2 47 32 -0.016  4.791    1  0.148    1  0.139    3  0.144    1 0.5609    4  1.402    2  0.569   27 -0.280 P
BLUES           5  5 35 31  0.019  5.011   16 -0.001   16 -0.007   11  0.043   16 0.5003    5  1.309    4  0.339   26 -0.253 P
PENGUINS        4  7 37 38 -0.003  5.475   26 -0.073   27 -0.083   18 -0.005   26 0.4715    6  1.296    6  0.274   28 -0.284 P
MAPLE LEAFS     6  6 43 39 -0.027  5.815   17 -0.008   17 -0.013   15  0.026   17 0.4963    7  1.279    5  0.283   24 -0.230 P
MAMMOTH         7  4 41 36  0.087  5.791    4  0.089    4  0.083    9  0.066    4 0.5371    8  1.229    8  0.256   20 -0.125 P
SABRES          4  6 28 37 -0.132  4.570   25 -0.068   25 -0.078   28 -0.136   27 0.4713    9  1.225   16  0.049   29 -0.320 P
HURRICANES      8  4 47 33 -0.123  5.236    6  0.077    6  0.067    5  0.112    6 0.5273   10  1.202    7  0.268   14 -0.044 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  8  4 46 36 -0.101  5.402    5  0.080    5  0.070   10  0.060    7 0.5247   11  1.202   11  0.215   17 -0.095 P
CAPITALS        5  4 30 29  0.058  4.680   11  0.041   11  0.032   13  0.030   12 0.5159   12  1.199   13  0.181   19 -0.121 P
DEVILS          6  4 33 31 -0.064  4.741   14  0.034   14  0.030   19 -0.025   14 0.5094   13  1.165   14  0.083   21 -0.133 P
CANADIENS       5  5 34 35 -0.166  4.343   20 -0.031   20 -0.040   20 -0.052   20 0.4858   14  1.164   15  0.055   23 -0.160 P
LIGHTNING       7  3 34 29  0.101  5.300    3  0.128    3  0.121    6  0.098    3 0.5463   15  1.147   12  0.184   13  0.012 P
DUCKS           4  6 27 33  0.029  5.214   22 -0.051   22 -0.059   25 -0.097   21 0.4836   16  1.112   18 -0.055   22 -0.139 P
BRUINS          8  3 42 22  0.050  5.507    2  0.134    2  0.126    1  0.214    2 0.5484   17  1.084   10  0.222    7  0.207 P
BLACKHAWKS      3  7 22 40  0.000  5.190   30 -0.110   30 -0.116   32 -0.251   31 0.4523   18  1.069   27 -0.261   25 -0.240 P
SHARKS          6  5 33 37  0.079  5.943   15  0.027   15  0.026   26 -0.100   13 0.5100   19  1.065   19 -0.115   16 -0.084 P
SENATORS        7  4 31 30 -0.058  5.208    8  0.065    9  0.057   17  0.004    9 0.5201   20  1.047   17 -0.033   11  0.041 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS    3  5 20 29 -0.040  3.952   23 -0.059   23 -0.068   27 -0.126   28 0.4699   21  1.020   24 -0.195   15 -0.057 P
FLAMES          3  6 19 38 -0.019  4.577   29 -0.080   29 -0.087   31 -0.198   29 0.4691   22  1.011   29 -0.277   18 -0.118 P
PREDATORS       3  6 23 30  0.092  4.882   24 -0.065   24 -0.071   23 -0.060   23 0.4749   23  0.995   21 -0.158   12  0.038 P
KINGS           2  6 20 29  0.175  4.618   27 -0.075   26 -0.081   21 -0.054   24 0.4722   24  0.968   22 -0.183   10  0.076 P
PANTHERS        5  6 31 34 -0.050  5.308   19 -0.029   19 -0.037   22 -0.057   19 0.4919   25  0.916   26 -0.245    8  0.132 P
RED WINGS       4  6 28 30 -0.130  4.500   28 -0.076   28 -0.086   24 -0.076   25 0.4722   26  0.915   28 -0.266    9  0.114 P
JETS            4  6 26 29  0.084  5.337   21 -0.033   21 -0.040   16  0.004   22 0.4812   27  0.892   25 -0.211    6  0.219 P
RANGERS         7  5 37 29  0.046  6.110   10  0.058   10  0.051    7  0.089    8 0.5223   28  0.868   20 -0.151    5  0.330 P
WILD            6  5 32 27  0.060  5.662   12  0.039   13  0.030    8  0.088   11 0.5170   29  0.838   23 -0.186    4  0.361 P
ISLANDERS       5  5 29 23 -0.082  4.595   18 -0.017   18 -0.026   12  0.040   18 0.4920   30  0.728   30 -0.347    3  0.427 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS          3  9 20 37  0.077  6.513   31 -0.130   31 -0.135   29 -0.144   30 0.4567   31  0.471   32 -0.771    2  0.483 P
STARS           6  4 26 17  0.043  5.044    7  0.065    7  0.058    4  0.116   10 0.5172   32  0.231   31 -0.703    1  0.935 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS         2 10 35 56  0.076  6.596   32 -0.181   32 -0.184   30 -0.186   32 0.4435    2  1.408    9  0.247   32 -0.619 P
KRAKEN          7  4 44 37 -0.024  5.336    9  0.063    8  0.057   14  0.029    5 0.5300    3  1.402    3  0.455   30 -0.397 P
OILERS          8  2 47 32 -0.016  4.791    1  0.148    1  0.139    3  0.144    1 0.5609    4  1.402    2  0.569   27 -0.280 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  8  4 46 36 -0.101  5.402    5  0.080    5  0.070   10  0.060    7 0.5247   11  1.202   11  0.215   17 -0.095 P
DUCKS           4  6 27 33  0.029  5.214   22 -0.051   22 -0.059   25 -0.097   21 0.4836   16  1.112   18 -0.055   22 -0.139 P
SHARKS          6  5 33 37  0.079  5.943   15  0.027   15  0.026   26 -0.100   13 0.5100   19  1.065   19 -0.115   16 -0.084 P
FLAMES          3  6 19 38 -0.019  4.577   29 -0.080   29 -0.087   31 -0.198   29 0.4691   22  1.011   29 -0.277   18 -0.118 P
KINGS           2  6 20 29  0.175  4.618   27 -0.075   26 -0.081   21 -0.054   24 0.4722   24  0.968   22 -0.183   10  0.076 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE       6  5 47 34  0.027  5.468   13  0.038   12  0.031    2  0.149   15 0.5084    1  1.530    1  0.760   31 -0.462 P
BLUES           5  5 35 31  0.019  5.011   16 -0.001   16 -0.007   11  0.043   16 0.5003    5  1.309    4  0.339   26 -0.253 P
MAMMOTH         7  4 41 36  0.087  5.791    4  0.089    4  0.083    9  0.066    4 0.5371    8  1.229    8  0.256   20 -0.125 P
BLACKHAWKS      3  7 22 40  0.000  5.190   30 -0.110   30 -0.116   32 -0.251   31 0.4523   18  1.069   27 -0.261   25 -0.240 P
PREDATORS       3  6 23 30  0.092  4.882   24 -0.065   24 -0.071   23 -0.060   23 0.4749   23  0.995   21 -0.158   12  0.038 P
JETS            4  6 26 29  0.084  5.337   21 -0.033   21 -0.040   16  0.004   22 0.4812   27  0.892   25 -0.211    6  0.219 P
WILD            6  5 32 27  0.060  5.662   12  0.039   13  0.030    8  0.088   11 0.5170   29  0.838   23 -0.186    4  0.361 P
STARS           6  4 26 17  0.043  5.044    7  0.065    7  0.058    4  0.116   10 0.5172   32  0.231   31 -0.703    1  0.935 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS        4  7 37 38 -0.003  5.475   26 -0.073   27 -0.083   18 -0.005   26 0.4715    6  1.296    6  0.274   28 -0.284 P
HURRICANES      8  4 47 33 -0.123  5.236    6  0.077    6  0.067    5  0.112    6 0.5273   10  1.202    7  0.268   14 -0.044 P
CAPITALS        5  4 30 29  0.058  4.680   11  0.041   11  0.032   13  0.030   12 0.5159   12  1.199   13  0.181   19 -0.121 P
DEVILS          6  4 33 31 -0.064  4.741   14  0.034   14  0.030   19 -0.025   14 0.5094   13  1.165   14  0.083   21 -0.133 P
BLUE JACKETS    3  5 20 29 -0.040  3.952   23 -0.059   23 -0.068   27 -0.126   28 0.4699   21  1.020   24 -0.195   15 -0.057 P
RANGERS         7  5 37 29  0.046  6.110   10  0.058   10  0.051    7  0.089    8 0.5223   28  0.868   20 -0.151    5  0.330 P
ISLANDERS       5  5 29 23 -0.082  4.595   18 -0.017   18 -0.026   12  0.040   18 0.4920   30  0.728   30 -0.347    3  0.427 P
FLYERS          3  9 20 37  0.077  6.513   31 -0.130   31 -0.135   29 -0.144   30 0.4567   31  0.471   32 -0.771    2  0.483 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS     6  6 43 39 -0.027  5.815   17 -0.008   17 -0.013   15  0.026   17 0.4963    7  1.279    5  0.283   24 -0.230 P
SABRES          4  6 28 37 -0.132  4.570   25 -0.068   25 -0.078   28 -0.136   27 0.4713    9  1.225   16  0.049   29 -0.320 P
CANADIENS       5  5 34 35 -0.166  4.343   20 -0.031   20 -0.040   20 -0.052   20 0.4858   14  1.164   15  0.055   23 -0.160 P
LIGHTNING       7  3 34 29  0.101  5.300    3  0.128    3  0.121    6  0.098    3 0.5463   15  1.147   12  0.184   13  0.012 P
BRUINS          8  3 42 22  0.050  5.507    2  0.134    2  0.126    1  0.214    2 0.5484   17  1.084   10  0.222    7  0.207 P
SENATORS        7  4 31 30 -0.058  5.208    8  0.065    9  0.057   17  0.004    9 0.5201   20  1.047   17 -0.033   11  0.041 P
PANTHERS        5  6 31 34 -0.050  5.308   19 -0.029   19 -0.037   22 -0.057   19 0.4919   25  0.916   26 -0.245    8  0.132 P
RED WINGS       4  6 28 30 -0.130  4.500   28 -0.076   28 -0.086   24 -0.076   25 0.4722   26  0.915   28 -0.266    9  0.114 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      40 42 0.488    1  0.069
ATLANTIC DIVISION     46 39 0.541    2  0.017
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 41 43 0.488    3  0.002
PACIFIC DIVISION      40 43 0.482    4 -0.119

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.125 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Oct 24 05:30:19 2026
games through: Fri Oct 23 2026

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