Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS        6  6 45 47 -0.062  5.727   19 -0.006   19 -0.003   25 -0.014   20 0.4864    1  1.584    1  0.661   32 -0.688 P
BLUES           3  8 32 48 -0.112  5.110   31 -0.046   31 -0.043   30 -0.051   31 0.4469    2  1.422    3  0.384   31 -0.486 P
MAPLE LEAFS     5  6 38 42 -0.104  5.062   23 -0.012   23 -0.011   26 -0.015   23 0.4859    3  1.416    2  0.412   29 -0.442 P
SHARKS          3  8 37 48  0.066  5.932   29 -0.036   29 -0.035   32 -0.055   29 0.4548    4  1.393    4  0.340   30 -0.450 P
BRUINS          6  7 43 47  0.070  6.878   17 -0.001   16  0.001   16  0.003   19 0.4924    5  1.327    5  0.306   28 -0.300 P
DUCKS           6  4 37 33  0.035  5.165   10  0.015   10  0.017   20 -0.005    9 0.5168    6  1.307    6  0.271   27 -0.280 P
ISLANDERS       5  6 37 40  0.059  5.790   18 -0.004   18 -0.002   19 -0.003   18 0.4951    7  1.294    7  0.255   26 -0.260 P
CANADIENS       8  3 40 33 -0.068  5.172    5  0.030    5  0.034   12  0.007    6 0.5325    8  1.281    8  0.248   25 -0.234 P
BLUE JACKETS    6  4 35 31  0.046  5.194    9  0.017    9  0.019   17  0.002   10 0.5149    9  1.250   11  0.201   24 -0.198 P
DEVILS          8  3 41 35  0.069  5.703    2  0.042    1  0.044    6  0.035    2 0.5438   10  1.238   10  0.218   23 -0.149 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES      7  3 40 30  0.130  5.423    1  0.043    2  0.043    2  0.053    1 0.5505   11  1.236    9  0.234   22 -0.128 P
JETS            8  3 40 28 -0.100  4.961    4  0.033    4  0.035    4  0.037    4 0.5329   12  1.213   12  0.188   20 -0.114 P
WILD            3  9 32 47  0.003  6.132   30 -0.043   30 -0.042   29 -0.041   30 0.4498   13  1.161   17  0.044   21 -0.125 P
OILERS          5  7 38 39 -0.027  5.848   25 -0.015   25 -0.014    9  0.009   25 0.4841   14  1.158   14  0.090   19 -0.072 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  6  5 39 32  0.056  5.662   12  0.013   12  0.015    5  0.036   13 0.5078   15  1.157   13  0.115   17 -0.044 P
RED WINGS       8  4 41 39 -0.080  5.619    8  0.023    8  0.026   23 -0.008    8 0.5220   16  1.140   16  0.050   18 -0.066 P
PENGUINS        8  4 44 31 -0.070  5.535    7  0.024    7  0.026    3  0.048    7 0.5224   17  1.120   15  0.082   16  0.015 P
MAMMOTH         8  3 40 30  0.011  5.470    3  0.037    3  0.040    7  0.023    5 0.5326   18  1.087   19  0.016   15  0.031 P
AVALANCHE       7  5 45 32  0.158  6.621    6  0.026    6  0.030    1  0.082    3 0.5342   19  1.044   18  0.023   10  0.142 P
BLACKHAWKS      5  6 36 32 -0.026  5.398   24 -0.013   24 -0.011   22 -0.007   24 0.4843   20  1.000   20 -0.119   14  0.104 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS           5  7 36 40  0.053  6.275   22 -0.010   22 -0.008   18  0.001   22 0.4859   21  0.975   21 -0.139   11  0.140 P
CANUCKS         6  6 33 36 -0.075  5.707   20 -0.006   20 -0.003   27 -0.029   21 0.4864   22  0.973   23 -0.171   13  0.114 P
SABRES          4  7 33 35 -0.014  5.466   27 -0.025   27 -0.023   24 -0.012   27 0.4694   23  0.965   22 -0.163   12  0.139 P
STARS           6  5 30 32  0.006  5.517   13  0.011   13  0.013   13  0.006   12 0.5088   24  0.940   24 -0.173    8  0.186 P
PREDATORS       4  8 29 41 -0.019  5.996   28 -0.031   28 -0.030   28 -0.040   28 0.4686   25  0.914   25 -0.249    9  0.168 P
FLAMES          2 10 27 43  0.019  6.239   32 -0.063   32 -0.057   31 -0.052   32 0.4321   26  0.853   28 -0.328    7  0.224 P
LIGHTNING       5  6 31 31  0.001  5.482   21 -0.006   21 -0.003    8  0.012   17 0.4970   27  0.835   26 -0.282    6  0.307 P
PANTHERS        5  6 27 31  0.044  5.703   16 -0.000   17 -0.000   15  0.003   16 0.4989   28  0.811   27 -0.317    5  0.323 P
FLYERS          6  4 30 24 -0.001  4.978   11  0.014   11  0.016   10  0.009   11 0.5134   29  0.780   29 -0.344    3  0.362 P
KRAKEN          5  5 28 29  0.065  5.269   15  0.003   15  0.005   14  0.005   14 0.5066   30  0.779   30 -0.349    4  0.360 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS        6  5 28 25 -0.066  5.182   14  0.005   14  0.006   11  0.009   15 0.5009   31  0.692   31 -0.433    2  0.450 P
RANGERS         5  7 28 29 -0.036  5.843   26 -0.017   26 -0.015   21 -0.005   26 0.4735   32  0.619   32 -0.517    1  0.506 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS          3  8 37 48  0.066  5.932   29 -0.036   29 -0.035   32 -0.055   29 0.4548    4  1.393    4  0.340   30 -0.450 P
DUCKS           6  4 37 33  0.035  5.165   10  0.015   10  0.017   20 -0.005    9 0.5168    6  1.307    6  0.271   27 -0.280 P
OILERS          5  7 38 39 -0.027  5.848   25 -0.015   25 -0.014    9  0.009   25 0.4841   14  1.158   14  0.090   19 -0.072 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  6  5 39 32  0.056  5.662   12  0.013   12  0.015    5  0.036   13 0.5078   15  1.157   13  0.115   17 -0.044 P
KINGS           5  7 36 40  0.053  6.275   22 -0.010   22 -0.008   18  0.001   22 0.4859   21  0.975   21 -0.139   11  0.140 P
CANUCKS         6  6 33 36 -0.075  5.707   20 -0.006   20 -0.003   27 -0.029   21 0.4864   22  0.973   23 -0.171   13  0.114 P
FLAMES          2 10 27 43  0.019  6.239   32 -0.063   32 -0.057   31 -0.052   32 0.4321   26  0.853   28 -0.328    7  0.224 P
KRAKEN          5  5 28 29  0.065  5.269   15  0.003   15  0.005   14  0.005   14 0.5066   30  0.779   30 -0.349    4  0.360 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES           3  8 32 48 -0.112  5.110   31 -0.046   31 -0.043   30 -0.051   31 0.4469    2  1.422    3  0.384   31 -0.486 P
JETS            8  3 40 28 -0.100  4.961    4  0.033    4  0.035    4  0.037    4 0.5329   12  1.213   12  0.188   20 -0.114 P
WILD            3  9 32 47  0.003  6.132   30 -0.043   30 -0.042   29 -0.041   30 0.4498   13  1.161   17  0.044   21 -0.125 P
MAMMOTH         8  3 40 30  0.011  5.470    3  0.037    3  0.040    7  0.023    5 0.5326   18  1.087   19  0.016   15  0.031 P
AVALANCHE       7  5 45 32  0.158  6.621    6  0.026    6  0.030    1  0.082    3 0.5342   19  1.044   18  0.023   10  0.142 P
BLACKHAWKS      5  6 36 32 -0.026  5.398   24 -0.013   24 -0.011   22 -0.007   24 0.4843   20  1.000   20 -0.119   14  0.104 P
STARS           6  5 30 32  0.006  5.517   13  0.011   13  0.013   13  0.006   12 0.5088   24  0.940   24 -0.173    8  0.186 P
PREDATORS       4  8 29 41 -0.019  5.996   28 -0.031   28 -0.030   28 -0.040   28 0.4686   25  0.914   25 -0.249    9  0.168 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ISLANDERS       5  6 37 40  0.059  5.790   18 -0.004   18 -0.002   19 -0.003   18 0.4951    7  1.294    7  0.255   26 -0.260 P
BLUE JACKETS    6  4 35 31  0.046  5.194    9  0.017    9  0.019   17  0.002   10 0.5149    9  1.250   11  0.201   24 -0.198 P
DEVILS          8  3 41 35  0.069  5.703    2  0.042    1  0.044    6  0.035    2 0.5438   10  1.238   10  0.218   23 -0.149 P
HURRICANES      7  3 40 30  0.130  5.423    1  0.043    2  0.043    2  0.053    1 0.5505   11  1.236    9  0.234   22 -0.128 P
PENGUINS        8  4 44 31 -0.070  5.535    7  0.024    7  0.026    3  0.048    7 0.5224   17  1.120   15  0.082   16  0.015 P
FLYERS          6  4 30 24 -0.001  4.978   11  0.014   11  0.016   10  0.009   11 0.5134   29  0.780   29 -0.344    3  0.362 P
CAPITALS        6  5 28 25 -0.066  5.182   14  0.005   14  0.006   11  0.009   15 0.5009   31  0.692   31 -0.433    2  0.450 P
RANGERS         5  7 28 29 -0.036  5.843   26 -0.017   26 -0.015   21 -0.005   26 0.4735   32  0.619   32 -0.517    1  0.506 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS        6  6 45 47 -0.062  5.727   19 -0.006   19 -0.003   25 -0.014   20 0.4864    1  1.584    1  0.661   32 -0.688 P
MAPLE LEAFS     5  6 38 42 -0.104  5.062   23 -0.012   23 -0.011   26 -0.015   23 0.4859    3  1.416    2  0.412   29 -0.442 P
BRUINS          6  7 43 47  0.070  6.878   17 -0.001   16  0.001   16  0.003   19 0.4924    5  1.327    5  0.306   28 -0.300 P
CANADIENS       8  3 40 33 -0.068  5.172    5  0.030    5  0.034   12  0.007    6 0.5325    8  1.281    8  0.248   25 -0.234 P
RED WINGS       8  4 41 39 -0.080  5.619    8  0.023    8  0.026   23 -0.008    8 0.5220   16  1.140   16  0.050   18 -0.066 P
SABRES          4  7 33 35 -0.014  5.466   27 -0.025   27 -0.023   24 -0.012   27 0.4694   23  0.965   22 -0.163   12  0.139 P
LIGHTNING       5  6 31 31  0.001  5.482   21 -0.006   21 -0.003    8  0.012   17 0.4970   27  0.835   26 -0.282    6  0.307 P
PANTHERS        5  6 27 31  0.044  5.703   16 -0.000   17 -0.000   15  0.003   16 0.4989   28  0.811   27 -0.317    5  0.323 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 51 36 0.586    1  0.123
CENTRAL DIVISION      44 47 0.484    2 -0.002
ATLANTIC DIVISION     47 45 0.511    3 -0.029
PACIFIC DIVISION      38 52 0.422    4 -0.084

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.090 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Nov  1 05:30:21 2025
games through: Fri Oct 31 2025

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