Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      1 0  8  4 -0.107  0.430    1  0.046    1  0.048    1  0.106    1 0.5397    4  1.541    3  0.637   29 -0.426 P
BRUINS         1 0  3  0  0.011  0.486    2  0.033    2  0.037    3  0.067    2 0.5272   29  0.899   27 -0.238    4  0.372 P
WILD           1 0  3  1 -0.033  0.470    4  0.027    3  0.036    7  0.049    3 0.5248   25  1.004   22 -0.137    7  0.235 P
CANADIENS      1 0  3  2  0.146  0.552    6  0.023    4  0.032   17  0.010    5 0.5197   20  1.183   20  0.043   12 -0.023 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 0  5  2 -0.610  0.241    3  0.030    5  0.030    6  0.052    4 0.5205   10  1.256    8  0.180   14 -0.075 P
PENGUINS       1 0  7  0 -0.146  0.419    5  0.023    6  0.029    2  0.067    6 0.5169    8  1.271    7  0.215   15 -0.080 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 0  6  3 -0.148  0.426   12  0.008    7  0.023   20  0.001    8 0.5089    5  1.382    5  0.300   26 -0.298 P
DEVILS         1 0  3  2 -0.395  0.328    8  0.014    8  0.021   23 -0.014   11 0.5073   24  1.007   23 -0.197    8  0.168 P
STARS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    7  0.018    9  0.021    5  0.053    7 0.5155   11  1.254    9  0.178   13 -0.072 P
KRAKEN         1 0  6  1 -0.136  0.430   16  0.004   10  0.020   15  0.012   10 0.5074   18  1.241   16  0.120   17 -0.096 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAMMOTH        1 0  6  0 -0.616  0.241    9  0.011   11  0.018    9  0.033   14 0.5057   22  1.108   21 -0.028   10  0.095 P
PANTHERS       1 1  4  4  0.097  1.051   10  0.010   12  0.018    8  0.036    9 0.5077   31  0.675   31 -0.501    2  0.573 P
RANGERS        1 1  5  4  0.180  1.128   13  0.007   13  0.017   13  0.024   13 0.5061   28  0.904   28 -0.276    5  0.324 P
CAPITALS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   11  0.009   14  0.015   12  0.029   12 0.5072   15  1.254   11  0.154   18 -0.096 P
JETS           0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   14  0.005   15  0.013   14  0.021   15 0.5045   13  1.254   13  0.146   20 -0.104 P
SHARKS         1 0  4  3  0.009  0.505   22 -0.008   16  0.011   30 -0.074   22 0.4951    7  1.330   12  0.153   27 -0.300 P
SENATORS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   17  0.002   17  0.010   16  0.011   17 0.5013   17  1.254   14  0.136   21 -0.114 P
OILERS         1 1 14 13 -0.135  0.857   15  0.005   18  0.009   10  0.032   16 0.5024    1  1.704    1  0.817   31 -0.753 P
BLUES          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   21 -0.002   19  0.008   19  0.004   18 0.4987   12  1.254   15  0.129   22 -0.121 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 1  4  4 -0.126  0.871   20 -0.001   20  0.005   18  0.007   20 0.4969   30  0.840   30 -0.362    3  0.377 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      0 1  1  5  0.221  0.582   19  0.000   21  0.004   11  0.031   19 0.4984    9  1.257   10  0.159   19 -0.097 P
HURRICANES     0 1  0  1  0.051  0.505   18  0.001   22  0.003    4  0.063   21 0.4968   32  0.522   32 -0.615    1  0.742 P
CANUCKS        1 1 13 14  0.107  1.083   26 -0.015   23  0.002   27 -0.044   25 0.4879    2  1.704    2  0.741   32 -0.829 P
RED WINGS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   23 -0.011   24  0.002   25 -0.024   23 0.4893   16  1.254   17  0.101   23 -0.149 P
KINGS          0 1  4  8  0.493  0.697   24 -0.013   25 -0.004   21 -0.004   24 0.4885    3  1.541    4  0.527   30 -0.535 P
DUCKS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   27 -0.024   26 -0.007   28 -0.057   27 0.4781   14  1.254   18  0.068   25 -0.182 P
SABRES         0 1  3  6  0.112  0.541   25 -0.015   27 -0.010   22 -0.007   26 0.4839    6  1.382    6  0.292   28 -0.306 P
ISLANDERS      0 1  1  2  0.138  0.552   28 -0.027   28 -0.014   24 -0.015   28 0.4760   27  0.937   29 -0.278    6  0.249 P
PREDATORS      0 1  1  3  0.049  0.518   29 -0.028   29 -0.019   26 -0.041   29 0.4726   26  1.004   25 -0.226    9  0.145 P
FLAMES         0 1  1  6 -0.086  0.463   30 -0.028   30 -0.021   29 -0.064   30 0.4702   19  1.241   19  0.044   24 -0.172 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS         0 2  2 10  0.072  1.064   31 -0.043   31 -0.039   31 -0.079   31 0.4592   23  1.029   26 -0.235   11  0.078 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 2  2 11  0.224  1.210   32 -0.062   32 -0.047   32 -0.143   32 0.4479   21  1.111   24 -0.201   16 -0.085 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 0  5  2 -0.610  0.241    3  0.030    5  0.030    6  0.052    4 0.5205   10  1.256    8  0.180   14 -0.075 P
KRAKEN         1 0  6  1 -0.136  0.430   16  0.004   10  0.020   15  0.012   10 0.5074   18  1.241   16  0.120   17 -0.096 P
SHARKS         1 0  4  3  0.009  0.505   22 -0.008   16  0.011   30 -0.074   22 0.4951    7  1.330   12  0.153   27 -0.300 P
OILERS         1 1 14 13 -0.135  0.857   15  0.005   18  0.009   10  0.032   16 0.5024    1  1.704    1  0.817   31 -0.753 P
CANUCKS        1 1 13 14  0.107  1.083   26 -0.015   23  0.002   27 -0.044   25 0.4879    2  1.704    2  0.741   32 -0.829 P
KINGS          0 1  4  8  0.493  0.697   24 -0.013   25 -0.004   21 -0.004   24 0.4885    3  1.541    4  0.527   30 -0.535 P
DUCKS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   27 -0.024   26 -0.007   28 -0.057   27 0.4781   14  1.254   18  0.068   25 -0.182 P
FLAMES         0 1  1  6 -0.086  0.463   30 -0.028   30 -0.021   29 -0.064   30 0.4702   19  1.241   19  0.044   24 -0.172 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      1 0  8  4 -0.107  0.430    1  0.046    1  0.048    1  0.106    1 0.5397    4  1.541    3  0.637   29 -0.426 P
WILD           1 0  3  1 -0.033  0.470    4  0.027    3  0.036    7  0.049    3 0.5248   25  1.004   22 -0.137    7  0.235 P
STARS          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000    7  0.018    9  0.021    5  0.053    7 0.5155   11  1.254    9  0.178   13 -0.072 P
MAMMOTH        1 0  6  0 -0.616  0.241    9  0.011   11  0.018    9  0.033   14 0.5057   22  1.108   21 -0.028   10  0.095 P
JETS           0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   14  0.005   15  0.013   14  0.021   15 0.5045   13  1.254   13  0.146   20 -0.104 P
BLUES          0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   21 -0.002   19  0.008   19  0.004   18 0.4987   12  1.254   15  0.129   22 -0.121 P
PREDATORS      0 1  1  3  0.049  0.518   29 -0.028   29 -0.019   26 -0.041   29 0.4726   26  1.004   25 -0.226    9  0.145 P
BLACKHAWKS     0 2  2 11  0.224  1.210   32 -0.062   32 -0.047   32 -0.143   32 0.4479   21  1.111   24 -0.201   16 -0.085 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       1 0  7  0 -0.146  0.419    5  0.023    6  0.029    2  0.067    6 0.5169    8  1.271    7  0.215   15 -0.080 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 0  6  3 -0.148  0.426   12  0.008    7  0.023   20  0.001    8 0.5089    5  1.382    5  0.300   26 -0.298 P
DEVILS         1 0  3  2 -0.395  0.328    8  0.014    8  0.021   23 -0.014   11 0.5073   24  1.007   23 -0.197    8  0.168 P
RANGERS        1 1  5  4  0.180  1.128   13  0.007   13  0.017   13  0.024   13 0.5061   28  0.904   28 -0.276    5  0.324 P
CAPITALS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   11  0.009   14  0.015   12  0.029   12 0.5072   15  1.254   11  0.154   18 -0.096 P
HURRICANES     0 1  0  1  0.051  0.505   18  0.001   22  0.003    4  0.063   21 0.4968   32  0.522   32 -0.615    1  0.742 P
ISLANDERS      0 1  1  2  0.138  0.552   28 -0.027   28 -0.014   24 -0.015   28 0.4760   27  0.937   29 -0.278    6  0.249 P
FLYERS         0 2  2 10  0.072  1.064   31 -0.043   31 -0.039   31 -0.079   31 0.4592   23  1.029   26 -0.235   11  0.078 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         1 0  3  0  0.011  0.486    2  0.033    2  0.037    3  0.067    2 0.5272   29  0.899   27 -0.238    4  0.372 P
CANADIENS      1 0  3  2  0.146  0.552    6  0.023    4  0.032   17  0.010    5 0.5197   20  1.183   20  0.043   12 -0.023 P
PANTHERS       1 1  4  4  0.097  1.051   10  0.010   12  0.018    8  0.036    9 0.5077   31  0.675   31 -0.501    2  0.573 P
SENATORS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   17  0.002   17  0.010   16  0.011   17 0.5013   17  1.254   14  0.136   21 -0.114 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 1  4  4 -0.126  0.871   20 -0.001   20  0.005   18  0.007   20 0.4969   30  0.840   30 -0.362    3  0.377 P
LIGHTNING      0 1  1  5  0.221  0.582   19  0.000   21  0.004   11  0.031   19 0.4984    9  1.257   10  0.159   19 -0.097 P
RED WINGS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   23 -0.011   24  0.002   25 -0.024   23 0.4893   16  1.254   17  0.101   23 -0.149 P
SABRES         0 1  3  6  0.112  0.541   25 -0.015   27 -0.010   22 -0.007   26 0.4839    6  1.382    6  0.292   28 -0.306 P

DIVISION              W L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     4 4 0.500    1  0.056
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 4 5 0.444    2  0.035
CENTRAL DIVISION      3 3 0.500    3  0.033
PACIFIC DIVISION      5 4 0.556    4 -0.081

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.120 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct  2 05:30:19 2026
games through: Thu Oct  1 2026

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