Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             56 26 277 191  0.004 40.514    1  0.293    1  0.308    1  0.316    1 0.5441   30  0.922    9  0.147    1  0.485
MAPLE LEAFS      52 30 268 231  0.004 40.870    2  0.228    2  0.225    8  0.123    2 0.5326   15  1.081   10  0.140   12  0.106
CAPITALS         51 31 288 232 -0.001 40.607    3  0.211    3  0.201    5  0.192    3 0.5293    8  1.148    2  0.292   13  0.092
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   50 32 275 219 -0.000 40.553    4  0.195    4  0.183    3  0.228    4 0.5264   17  1.062    6  0.222    4  0.233
STARS            50 32 277 224 -0.003 40.475    5  0.191    5  0.180    4  0.202    5 0.5259   14  1.092    5  0.232    8  0.172
AVALANCHE        49 33 277 234 -0.003 40.623    6  0.167    6  0.159    7  0.143    6 0.5232    6  1.150    4  0.244   16  0.041
KINGS            48 34 250 206 -0.006 40.491    7  0.140    8  0.136    6  0.163    8 0.5198   31  0.897   17 -0.034    2  0.360
OILERS           48 34 259 236 -0.004 40.686    8  0.140    7  0.140   13  0.069    7 0.5198   16  1.069   12  0.072   15  0.066
LIGHTNING        47 35 294 219  0.003 40.601    9  0.122   11  0.122    2  0.277    9 0.5182   11  1.125    1  0.348    5  0.207
HURRICANES       47 35 266 233  0.005 40.914   10  0.120    9  0.125    9  0.122   11 0.5179   13  1.093    8  0.153   14  0.090
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS         47 35 252 223  0.004 40.919   11  0.118   10  0.124   10  0.096   10 0.5180   26  0.973   16 -0.015    6  0.207
WILD             45 37 228 239  0.000 41.046   12  0.065   12  0.083   19 -0.040   13 0.5116   28  0.935   27 -0.194   11  0.115
SENATORS         45 37 243 234  0.001 40.903   13  0.065   13  0.080   14  0.042   12 0.5116   27  0.969   20 -0.073    9  0.157
BLUES            44 38 254 233  0.002 40.878   14  0.046   14  0.062   12  0.077   14 0.5091   22  1.021   13  0.022   10  0.132
DEVILS           42 40 242 222  0.001 40.860   15  0.012   15  0.019   11  0.084   15 0.5031   29  0.930   21 -0.076    3  0.243
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.009 40.734   16 -0.005   16 -0.004   17 -0.032   16 0.4989   32  0.886   29 -0.241    7  0.177
CANADIENS        40 42 245 265  0.003 41.134   17 -0.014   17 -0.017   20 -0.042   17 0.4977   12  1.106   14  0.005   23 -0.089
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268  0.002 41.029   18 -0.015   18 -0.018   16 -0.007   18 0.4972    2  1.226    7  0.192   27 -0.207
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.006 41.288   19 -0.029   19 -0.036   22 -0.072   19 0.4948   18  1.059   22 -0.082   20 -0.062
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.000 40.905   20 -0.030   20 -0.041   15  0.029   20 0.4941    9  1.143   11  0.122   21 -0.063
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.003 41.135   21 -0.047   21 -0.059   18 -0.037   21 0.4915   21  1.037   19 -0.073   18 -0.001
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.009 40.773   22 -0.054   22 -0.066   21 -0.052   22 0.4902   23  1.014   24 -0.115   17  0.011
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.001 41.069   23 -0.094   23 -0.101   23 -0.083   23 0.4855    1  1.324    3  0.247   31 -0.412
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.003 41.373   24 -0.117   24 -0.118   27 -0.160   24 0.4828   24  0.998   30 -0.242   22 -0.079
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.003 41.078   25 -0.121   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 0.4821   25  0.995   28 -0.210   19 -0.040
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.006 40.968   26 -0.126   26 -0.126   24 -0.103   26 0.4818    7  1.150   15 -0.002   26 -0.205
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293  0.001 41.313   27 -0.147   27 -0.140   29 -0.195   27 0.4794    3  1.195   18 -0.036   29 -0.355
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.008 41.493   28 -0.165   28 -0.157   26 -0.156   28 0.4774   19  1.039   26 -0.190   24 -0.122
FLYERS           33 49 238 286  0.000 41.280   29 -0.170   29 -0.161   28 -0.192   29 0.4766   10  1.142   23 -0.100   28 -0.284
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.004 41.530   30 -0.227   30 -0.220   30 -0.234   30 0.4681   20  1.038   32 -0.269   25 -0.199
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.002 41.334   31 -0.310   31 -0.327   31 -0.255   31 0.4530    4  1.174   25 -0.123   30 -0.387
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.003 41.515   32 -0.442   32 -0.435   32 -0.376   32 0.4382    5  1.156   31 -0.267   32 -0.486

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   50 32 275 219 -0.000 40.553    4  0.195    4  0.183    3  0.228    4 0.5264   17  1.062    6  0.222    4  0.233
KINGS            48 34 250 206 -0.006 40.491    7  0.140    8  0.136    6  0.163    8 0.5198   31  0.897   17 -0.034    2  0.360
OILERS           48 34 259 236 -0.004 40.686    8  0.140    7  0.140   13  0.069    7 0.5198   16  1.069   12  0.072   15  0.066
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.009 40.734   16 -0.005   16 -0.004   17 -0.032   16 0.4989   32  0.886   29 -0.241    7  0.177
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.009 40.773   22 -0.054   22 -0.066   21 -0.052   22 0.4902   23  1.014   24 -0.115   17  0.011
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.003 41.373   24 -0.117   24 -0.118   27 -0.160   24 0.4828   24  0.998   30 -0.242   22 -0.079
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.006 40.968   26 -0.126   26 -0.126   24 -0.103   26 0.4818    7  1.150   15 -0.002   26 -0.205
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.003 41.515   32 -0.442   32 -0.435   32 -0.376   32 0.4382    5  1.156   31 -0.267   32 -0.486

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             56 26 277 191  0.004 40.514    1  0.293    1  0.308    1  0.316    1 0.5441   30  0.922    9  0.147    1  0.485
STARS            50 32 277 224 -0.003 40.475    5  0.191    5  0.180    4  0.202    5 0.5259   14  1.092    5  0.232    8  0.172
AVALANCHE        49 33 277 234 -0.003 40.623    6  0.167    6  0.159    7  0.143    6 0.5232    6  1.150    4  0.244   16  0.041
WILD             45 37 228 239  0.000 41.046   12  0.065   12  0.083   19 -0.040   13 0.5116   28  0.935   27 -0.194   11  0.115
BLUES            44 38 254 233  0.002 40.878   14  0.046   14  0.062   12  0.077   14 0.5091   22  1.021   13  0.022   10  0.132
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.003 41.135   21 -0.047   21 -0.059   18 -0.037   21 0.4915   21  1.037   19 -0.073   18 -0.001
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.004 41.530   30 -0.227   30 -0.220   30 -0.234   30 0.4681   20  1.038   32 -0.269   25 -0.199
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.002 41.334   31 -0.310   31 -0.327   31 -0.255   31 0.4530    4  1.174   25 -0.123   30 -0.387

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         51 31 288 232 -0.001 40.607    3  0.211    3  0.201    5  0.192    3 0.5293    8  1.148    2  0.292   13  0.092
HURRICANES       47 35 266 233  0.005 40.914   10  0.120    9  0.125    9  0.122   11 0.5179   13  1.093    8  0.153   14  0.090
DEVILS           42 40 242 222  0.001 40.860   15  0.012   15  0.019   11  0.084   15 0.5031   29  0.930   21 -0.076    3  0.243
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268  0.002 41.029   18 -0.015   18 -0.018   16 -0.007   18 0.4972    2  1.226    7  0.192   27 -0.207
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.000 40.905   20 -0.030   20 -0.041   15  0.029   20 0.4941    9  1.143   11  0.122   21 -0.063
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.003 41.078   25 -0.121   25 -0.121   25 -0.125   25 0.4821   25  0.995   28 -0.210   19 -0.040
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293  0.001 41.313   27 -0.147   27 -0.140   29 -0.195   27 0.4794    3  1.195   18 -0.036   29 -0.355
FLYERS           33 49 238 286  0.000 41.280   29 -0.170   29 -0.161   28 -0.192   29 0.4766   10  1.142   23 -0.100   28 -0.284

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      52 30 268 231  0.004 40.870    2  0.228    2  0.225    8  0.123    2 0.5326   15  1.081   10  0.140   12  0.106
LIGHTNING        47 35 294 219  0.003 40.601    9  0.122   11  0.122    2  0.277    9 0.5182   11  1.125    1  0.348    5  0.207
PANTHERS         47 35 252 223  0.004 40.919   11  0.118   10  0.124   10  0.096   10 0.5180   26  0.973   16 -0.015    6  0.207
SENATORS         45 37 243 234  0.001 40.903   13  0.065   13  0.080   14  0.042   12 0.5116   27  0.969   20 -0.073    9  0.157
CANADIENS        40 42 245 265  0.003 41.134   17 -0.014   17 -0.017   20 -0.042   17 0.4977   12  1.106   14  0.005   23 -0.089
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.006 41.288   19 -0.029   19 -0.036   22 -0.072   19 0.4948   18  1.059   22 -0.082   20 -0.062
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.001 41.069   23 -0.094   23 -0.101   23 -0.083   23 0.4855    1  1.324    3  0.247   31 -0.412
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.008 41.493   28 -0.165   28 -0.157   26 -0.156   28 0.4774   19  1.039   26 -0.190   24 -0.122

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     339 317 0.517    1  0.031
CENTRAL DIVISION      337 319 0.514    2  0.029
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 321 335 0.489    3 -0.016
PACIFIC DIVISION      315 341 0.480    4 -0.043

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.137 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Apr 18 05:30:08 2025
games through: Thu Apr 17 2025

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