Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      5 1 21 10  0.012  2.941    1  0.076    1  0.072    1  0.125    1 0.5542   31  0.735   25 -0.215    2  0.465 P
JETS           5 1 23 13 -0.048  2.801    2  0.072    3  0.067    2  0.096    3 0.5500   16  1.050   13  0.105   12  0.088 P
HURRICANES     5 1 24 15 -0.041  2.810    3  0.072    2  0.068    3  0.077    2 0.5527   19  0.992   16  0.016    9  0.138 P
RED WINGS      5 1 20 14 -0.000  2.986    4  0.063    4  0.059   10  0.014    4 0.5400   23  0.918   22 -0.132    8  0.159 P
DEVILS         4 1 19 15  0.055  2.592    5  0.056    5  0.051    7  0.031    5 0.5396    4  1.350    4  0.425   28 -0.362 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 5 2 30 20 -0.133  3.023    6  0.048    6  0.038    4  0.073    9 0.5235    8  1.280    5  0.371   24 -0.225 P
CANADIENS      5 2 25 20 -0.043  3.372    7  0.044    7  0.037   16 -0.003    8 0.5249    7  1.281    6  0.297   26 -0.302 P
CANUCKS        4 2 20 17  0.008  3.009    8  0.039   10  0.030   12  0.010    7 0.5261   12  1.133   12  0.119   19 -0.100 P
STARS          3 2 19 18  0.199  2.884    9  0.037    8  0.034    6  0.040    6 0.5369    3  1.385    3  0.483   29 -0.403 P
CAPITALS       4 2 17 12  0.001  2.974   10  0.036    9  0.031    5  0.043   10 0.5193   29  0.759   27 -0.272    3  0.359 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAMMOTH        4 2 17 13 -0.105  2.751   11  0.022   11  0.016   20 -0.018   12 0.5075   26  0.829   26 -0.260    7  0.224 P
PENGUINS       4 2 18 15 -0.145  2.621   12  0.022   12  0.015   13  0.009   14 0.5056   18  1.039   17  0.004   16  0.014 P
BLUES          3 2 15 18 -0.071  2.364   13  0.015   13  0.008   21 -0.023   11 0.5127    9  1.251    8  0.237   25 -0.283 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 3 22 20 -0.030  2.906   14  0.008   14 -0.004    8  0.027   13 0.5069    2  1.415    2  0.511   30 -0.457 P
FLYERS         3 3 18 16  0.036  3.105   15 -0.000   15 -0.010   19 -0.016   15 0.4996   17  1.044   19 -0.015   17 -0.016 P
BRUINS         3 4 21 22  0.107  3.800   16 -0.001   16 -0.011    9  0.015   18 0.4928   10  1.210    9  0.221   21 -0.192 P
KRAKEN         3 3 18 19 -0.039  2.926   17 -0.003   17 -0.014   22 -0.030   16 0.4961   27  0.789   28 -0.314    6  0.254 P
WILD           3 4 20 23  0.045  3.643   18 -0.006   18 -0.019   17 -0.009   19 0.4915   15  1.096   14  0.055   18 -0.072 P
PANTHERS       3 4 15 20 -0.069  3.331   19 -0.008   19 -0.023   23 -0.033   17 0.4940   30  0.748   31 -0.359    4  0.294 P
ISLANDERS      2 3 16 19  0.044  2.619   20 -0.011   20 -0.023   24 -0.033   20 0.4844    6  1.286    7  0.274   27 -0.339 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS   2 3 14 15  0.083  2.704   21 -0.012   21 -0.025   27 -0.042   23 0.4806   14  1.100   15  0.027   20 -0.110 P
OILERS         2 4 15 18  0.004  3.002   22 -0.021   23 -0.037   11  0.011   21 0.4838   21  0.983   20 -0.060   13  0.082 P
RANGERS        3 5 16 15  0.043  4.144   23 -0.024   22 -0.032   14  0.004   22 0.4812   32  0.372   32 -0.666    1  0.675 P
BLACKHAWKS     3 4 22 18 -0.079  3.297   24 -0.035   25 -0.044   26 -0.040   24 0.4784   24  0.908   24 -0.197   10  0.116 P
DUCKS          2 3 14 18 -0.106  2.363   25 -0.040   24 -0.042   30 -0.104   28 0.4689   13  1.129   18  0.000   22 -0.209 P
PREDATORS      2 4 15 19  0.010  3.056   26 -0.042   26 -0.044   25 -0.033   25 0.4761   28  0.778   29 -0.328    5  0.262 P
SABRES         2 4 15 18 -0.016  3.013   27 -0.044   27 -0.046   28 -0.058   27 0.4689   22  0.968   23 -0.146   15  0.031 P
SENATORS       2 4 20 30 -0.122  2.760   28 -0.054   29 -0.054   29 -0.100   30 0.4592    1  1.660    1  0.750   32 -0.951 P
KINGS          1 5 17 24  0.252  3.649   29 -0.055   28 -0.052   18 -0.013   26 0.4700   11  1.206   11  0.188   23 -0.215 P
LIGHTNING      1 5 16 21  0.025  3.065   30 -0.065   30 -0.068   15 -0.001   29 0.4608   20  0.990   21 -0.064   14  0.063 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         1 6 12 27  0.119  3.952   31 -0.080   31 -0.081   31 -0.109   31 0.4531   25  0.847   30 -0.332   11  0.113 P
SHARKS         0 5 13 25 -0.051  2.531   32 -0.109   32 -0.115   32 -0.165   32 0.4156    5  1.330   10  0.200   31 -0.531 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 5 2 30 20 -0.133  3.023    6  0.048    6  0.038    4  0.073    9 0.5235    8  1.280    5  0.371   24 -0.225 P
CANUCKS        4 2 20 17  0.008  3.009    8  0.039   10  0.030   12  0.010    7 0.5261   12  1.133   12  0.119   19 -0.100 P
KRAKEN         3 3 18 19 -0.039  2.926   17 -0.003   17 -0.014   22 -0.030   16 0.4961   27  0.789   28 -0.314    6  0.254 P
OILERS         2 4 15 18  0.004  3.002   22 -0.021   23 -0.037   11  0.011   21 0.4838   21  0.983   20 -0.060   13  0.082 P
DUCKS          2 3 14 18 -0.106  2.363   25 -0.040   24 -0.042   30 -0.104   28 0.4689   13  1.129   18  0.000   22 -0.209 P
KINGS          1 5 17 24  0.252  3.649   29 -0.055   28 -0.052   18 -0.013   26 0.4700   11  1.206   11  0.188   23 -0.215 P
FLAMES         1 6 12 27  0.119  3.952   31 -0.080   31 -0.081   31 -0.109   31 0.4531   25  0.847   30 -0.332   11  0.113 P
SHARKS         0 5 13 25 -0.051  2.531   32 -0.109   32 -0.115   32 -0.165   32 0.4156    5  1.330   10  0.200   31 -0.531 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      5 1 21 10  0.012  2.941    1  0.076    1  0.072    1  0.125    1 0.5542   31  0.735   25 -0.215    2  0.465 P
JETS           5 1 23 13 -0.048  2.801    2  0.072    3  0.067    2  0.096    3 0.5500   16  1.050   13  0.105   12  0.088 P
STARS          3 2 19 18  0.199  2.884    9  0.037    8  0.034    6  0.040    6 0.5369    3  1.385    3  0.483   29 -0.403 P
MAMMOTH        4 2 17 13 -0.105  2.751   11  0.022   11  0.016   20 -0.018   12 0.5075   26  0.829   26 -0.260    7  0.224 P
BLUES          3 2 15 18 -0.071  2.364   13  0.015   13  0.008   21 -0.023   11 0.5127    9  1.251    8  0.237   25 -0.283 P
WILD           3 4 20 23  0.045  3.643   18 -0.006   18 -0.019   17 -0.009   19 0.4915   15  1.096   14  0.055   18 -0.072 P
BLACKHAWKS     3 4 22 18 -0.079  3.297   24 -0.035   25 -0.044   26 -0.040   24 0.4784   24  0.908   24 -0.197   10  0.116 P
PREDATORS      2 4 15 19  0.010  3.056   26 -0.042   26 -0.044   25 -0.033   25 0.4761   28  0.778   29 -0.328    5  0.262 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     5 1 24 15 -0.041  2.810    3  0.072    2  0.068    3  0.077    2 0.5527   19  0.992   16  0.016    9  0.138 P
DEVILS         4 1 19 15  0.055  2.592    5  0.056    5  0.051    7  0.031    5 0.5396    4  1.350    4  0.425   28 -0.362 P
CAPITALS       4 2 17 12  0.001  2.974   10  0.036    9  0.031    5  0.043   10 0.5193   29  0.759   27 -0.272    3  0.359 P
PENGUINS       4 2 18 15 -0.145  2.621   12  0.022   12  0.015   13  0.009   14 0.5056   18  1.039   17  0.004   16  0.014 P
FLYERS         3 3 18 16  0.036  3.105   15 -0.000   15 -0.010   19 -0.016   15 0.4996   17  1.044   19 -0.015   17 -0.016 P
ISLANDERS      2 3 16 19  0.044  2.619   20 -0.011   20 -0.023   24 -0.033   20 0.4844    6  1.286    7  0.274   27 -0.339 P
BLUE JACKETS   2 3 14 15  0.083  2.704   21 -0.012   21 -0.025   27 -0.042   23 0.4806   14  1.100   15  0.027   20 -0.110 P
RANGERS        3 5 16 15  0.043  4.144   23 -0.024   22 -0.032   14  0.004   22 0.4812   32  0.372   32 -0.666    1  0.675 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS      5 1 20 14 -0.000  2.986    4  0.063    4  0.059   10  0.014    4 0.5400   23  0.918   22 -0.132    8  0.159 P
CANADIENS      5 2 25 20 -0.043  3.372    7  0.044    7  0.037   16 -0.003    8 0.5249    7  1.281    6  0.297   26 -0.302 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 3 22 20 -0.030  2.906   14  0.008   14 -0.004    8  0.027   13 0.5069    2  1.415    2  0.511   30 -0.457 P
BRUINS         3 4 21 22  0.107  3.800   16 -0.001   16 -0.011    9  0.015   18 0.4928   10  1.210    9  0.221   21 -0.192 P
PANTHERS       3 4 15 20 -0.069  3.331   19 -0.008   19 -0.023   23 -0.033   17 0.4940   30  0.748   31 -0.359    4  0.294 P
SABRES         2 4 15 18 -0.016  3.013   27 -0.044   27 -0.046   28 -0.058   27 0.4689   22  0.968   23 -0.146   15  0.031 P
SENATORS       2 4 20 30 -0.122  2.760   28 -0.054   29 -0.054   29 -0.100   30 0.4592    1  1.660    1  0.750   32 -0.951 P
LIGHTNING      1 5 16 21  0.025  3.065   30 -0.065   30 -0.068   15 -0.001   29 0.4608   20  0.990   21 -0.064   14  0.063 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      28 20 0.583    1  0.096
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 27 20 0.574    2  0.063
ATLANTIC DIVISION     24 27 0.471    3 -0.045
PACIFIC DIVISION      18 30 0.375    4 -0.143

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.073 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 21 05:30:12 2025
games through: Mon Oct 20 2025

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