Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      88 54 715 541  0.006 71.170    1  0.202    1  0.170    1  0.194    1 0.5300   21  0.459    3  0.155    4  0.233   14 -0.020
BRAVES       84 57 658 537  0.006 70.758    2  0.139    2  0.136    3  0.138    2 0.5232   26  0.360   13  0.014    3  0.262    9  0.090
DODGERS      84 57 692 543  0.000 70.403    3  0.135    3  0.133    2  0.158    3 0.5231   19  0.473    5  0.132    6  0.184   16 -0.054
RAYS         84 57 635 589 -0.008 70.058    4  0.117    4  0.127    7  0.062    4 0.5220   25  0.401   19 -0.027    8  0.152   10  0.087
YANKEES      80 61 638 524 -0.002 70.310    5  0.053    5  0.092    5  0.117    6 0.5165   30  0.214   27 -0.126    1  0.359    6  0.272
CUBS         80 62 759 621  0.004 71.160    6  0.050    6  0.090    4  0.122    5 0.5166    5  0.639    1  0.250   14 -0.007   12  0.034
PHILLIES     79 62 633 600  0.007 70.932    7  0.041    7  0.086    8  0.049    7 0.5148   28  0.302   26 -0.124    5  0.222    2  0.322
RED SOX      77 65 634 555  0.004 71.207    8  0.018    8  0.061    6  0.094    8 0.5115   27  0.305   23 -0.076    2  0.265    8  0.164
PADRES       74 67 597 586  0.005 70.826    9  0.009    9  0.037   12  0.023    9 0.5066   12  0.545   10  0.062   15 -0.016   30 -0.366
DIAMONDBACKS 74 68 629 632  0.013 71.826   10  0.008   10  0.036   15  0.009   10 0.5060   11  0.545   11  0.048   16 -0.031   20 -0.121
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    74 67 666 624 -0.010 69.951   11  0.006   11  0.029    9  0.039   11 0.5048   10  0.596    6  0.126   17 -0.049   17 -0.076
CARDINALS    71 71 640 648  0.025 72.484   12  0.004   12  0.014   16  0.004   12 0.5035    2  0.655    4  0.149   24 -0.141   27 -0.263
BLUE JAYS    71 71 575 609  0.021 72.307   13  0.004   13  0.012   17 -0.008   13 0.5025   24  0.418   24 -0.082   10  0.067   15 -0.046
MARLINS      71 71 616 607  0.007 71.480   14  0.003   14  0.004   14  0.012   15 0.5011   16  0.495   15  0.006   13  0.018   26 -0.204
PIRATES      70 72 692 662  0.021 72.232   15  0.003   15  0.002   11  0.032   14 0.5014   22  0.453   18 -0.012    9  0.076    4  0.303
GUARDIANS    72 70 577 586 -0.016 70.220   16  0.002   16  0.001   18 -0.023   16 0.4996   29  0.296   29 -0.201    7  0.155   11  0.077
ASTROS       73 69 642 678 -0.044 68.693   17  0.001   17 -0.006   22 -0.059   17 0.4977    4  0.640    9  0.071   26 -0.189   19 -0.089
ORIOLES      69 73 640 662 -0.000 71.126   18 -0.000   18 -0.020   19 -0.023   18 0.4968    7  0.614    8  0.081   23 -0.128   21 -0.131
NATIONALS    67 76 738 726  0.017 72.598   19 -0.002   21 -0.033   13  0.013   19 0.4951    9  0.597    7  0.102   20 -0.075    3  0.316
REDS         67 74 588 699  0.012 71.433   20 -0.003   19 -0.029   27 -0.116   20 0.4948    8  0.614   17 -0.012   27 -0.220   23 -0.156
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      70 72 584 627 -0.040 68.914   21 -0.003   20 -0.032   23 -0.064   21 0.4938   15  0.500   21 -0.066   19 -0.062   25 -0.190
TWINS        67 74 659 700 -0.004 70.419   22 -0.004   22 -0.037   21 -0.047   22 0.4933    1  0.741    2  0.183   29 -0.278   22 -0.155
METS         64 77 587 633  0.030 72.353   23 -0.007   23 -0.048   20 -0.043   23 0.4918   23  0.425   25 -0.112   12  0.025   13  0.030
MARINERS     66 76 565 634 -0.013 70.481   24 -0.011   24 -0.057   24 -0.080   24 0.4905   13  0.530   20 -0.054   22 -0.105   28 -0.271
TIGERS       64 77 619 574 -0.016 69.619   25 -0.018   25 -0.071   10  0.037   25 0.4877   18  0.485   12  0.021   11  0.052   24 -0.173
ROYALS       63 79 608 700 -0.010 70.625   26 -0.041   26 -0.084   26 -0.097   26 0.4843   20  0.460   28 -0.135   18 -0.059    7  0.214
GIANTS       58 84 592 669  0.006 71.580   27 -0.114   27 -0.122   25 -0.085   27 0.4785   14  0.521   22 -0.068   21 -0.103   18 -0.087
ROCKIES      54 87 661 802  0.020 71.910   28 -0.182   28 -0.152   29 -0.146   28 0.4736    3  0.655   16 -0.002   30 -0.291    5  0.298
ATHLETICS    56 86 625 815 -0.019 70.188   29 -0.193   29 -0.158   30 -0.196   29 0.4711   17  0.487   30 -0.210   25 -0.182    1  0.546
ANGELS       53 88 571 652 -0.026 69.301   30 -0.217   30 -0.185   28 -0.117   30 0.4679    6  0.633   14  0.006   28 -0.240   29 -0.353

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      84 57 692 543  0.000 70.403    3  0.135    3  0.133    2  0.158    3 0.5231   19  0.473    5  0.132    6  0.184   16 -0.054
PADRES       74 67 597 586  0.005 70.826    9  0.009    9  0.037   12  0.023    9 0.5066   12  0.545   10  0.062   15 -0.016   30 -0.366
DIAMONDBACKS 74 68 629 632  0.013 71.826   10  0.008   10  0.036   15  0.009   10 0.5060   11  0.545   11  0.048   16 -0.031   20 -0.121
GIANTS       58 84 592 669  0.006 71.580   27 -0.114   27 -0.122   25 -0.085   27 0.4785   14  0.521   22 -0.068   21 -0.103   18 -0.087
ROCKIES      54 87 661 802  0.020 71.910   28 -0.182   28 -0.152   29 -0.146   28 0.4736    3  0.655   16 -0.002   30 -0.291    5  0.298

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      88 54 715 541  0.006 71.170    1  0.202    1  0.170    1  0.194    1 0.5300   21  0.459    3  0.155    4  0.233   14 -0.020
CUBS         80 62 759 621  0.004 71.160    6  0.050    6  0.090    4  0.122    5 0.5166    5  0.639    1  0.250   14 -0.007   12  0.034
CARDINALS    71 71 640 648  0.025 72.484   12  0.004   12  0.014   16  0.004   12 0.5035    2  0.655    4  0.149   24 -0.141   27 -0.263
PIRATES      70 72 692 662  0.021 72.232   15  0.003   15  0.002   11  0.032   14 0.5014   22  0.453   18 -0.012    9  0.076    4  0.303
REDS         67 74 588 699  0.012 71.433   20 -0.003   19 -0.029   27 -0.116   20 0.4948    8  0.614   17 -0.012   27 -0.220   23 -0.156

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       84 57 658 537  0.006 70.758    2  0.139    2  0.136    3  0.138    2 0.5232   26  0.360   13  0.014    3  0.262    9  0.090
PHILLIES     79 62 633 600  0.007 70.932    7  0.041    7  0.086    8  0.049    7 0.5148   28  0.302   26 -0.124    5  0.222    2  0.322
MARLINS      71 71 616 607  0.007 71.480   14  0.003   14  0.004   14  0.012   15 0.5011   16  0.495   15  0.006   13  0.018   26 -0.204
NATIONALS    67 76 738 726  0.017 72.598   19 -0.002   21 -0.033   13  0.013   19 0.4951    9  0.597    7  0.102   20 -0.075    3  0.316
METS         64 77 587 633  0.030 72.353   23 -0.007   23 -0.048   20 -0.043   23 0.4918   23  0.425   25 -0.112   12  0.025   13  0.030

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       73 69 642 678 -0.044 68.693   17  0.001   17 -0.006   22 -0.059   17 0.4977    4  0.640    9  0.071   26 -0.189   19 -0.089
RANGERS      70 72 584 627 -0.040 68.914   21 -0.003   20 -0.032   23 -0.064   21 0.4938   15  0.500   21 -0.066   19 -0.062   25 -0.190
MARINERS     66 76 565 634 -0.013 70.481   24 -0.011   24 -0.057   24 -0.080   24 0.4905   13  0.530   20 -0.054   22 -0.105   28 -0.271
ATHLETICS    56 86 625 815 -0.019 70.188   29 -0.193   29 -0.158   30 -0.196   29 0.4711   17  0.487   30 -0.210   25 -0.182    1  0.546
ANGELS       53 88 571 652 -0.026 69.301   30 -0.217   30 -0.185   28 -0.117   30 0.4679    6  0.633   14  0.006   28 -0.240   29 -0.353

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    74 67 666 624 -0.010 69.951   11  0.006   11  0.029    9  0.039   11 0.5048   10  0.596    6  0.126   17 -0.049   17 -0.076
GUARDIANS    72 70 577 586 -0.016 70.220   16  0.002   16  0.001   18 -0.023   16 0.4996   29  0.296   29 -0.201    7  0.155   11  0.077
TWINS        67 74 659 700 -0.004 70.419   22 -0.004   22 -0.037   21 -0.047   22 0.4933    1  0.741    2  0.183   29 -0.278   22 -0.155
TIGERS       64 77 619 574 -0.016 69.619   25 -0.018   25 -0.071   10  0.037   25 0.4877   18  0.485   12  0.021   11  0.052   24 -0.173
ROYALS       63 79 608 700 -0.010 70.625   26 -0.041   26 -0.084   26 -0.097   26 0.4843   20  0.460   28 -0.135   18 -0.059    7  0.214

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         84 57 635 589 -0.008 70.058    4  0.117    4  0.127    7  0.062    4 0.5220   25  0.401   19 -0.027    8  0.152   10  0.087
YANKEES      80 61 638 524 -0.002 70.310    5  0.053    5  0.092    5  0.117    6 0.5165   30  0.214   27 -0.126    1  0.359    6  0.272
RED SOX      77 65 634 555  0.004 71.207    8  0.018    8  0.061    6  0.094    8 0.5115   27  0.305   23 -0.076    2  0.265    8  0.164
BLUE JAYS    71 71 575 609  0.021 72.307   13  0.004   13  0.012   17 -0.008   13 0.5025   24  0.418   24 -0.082   10  0.067   15 -0.046
ORIOLES      69 73 640 662 -0.000 71.126   18 -0.000   18 -0.020   19 -0.023   18 0.4968    7  0.614    8  0.081   23 -0.128   21 -0.131

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    381 327 0.538    1  0.074
NL CENTRAL 376 333 0.530    2  0.072
NL EAST    365 343 0.516    3  0.052
NL WEST    344 363 0.487    4 -0.013
AL CENTRAL 340 367 0.481    5 -0.028
AL WEST    318 391 0.449    6 -0.157

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.059 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Sep  5 05:30:16 2026
games through: Fri Sep  4 2026

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