Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       42 21 329 220 -0.015 31.329    1  0.191    1  0.145    2  0.171    1 0.5391    8  0.595    2  0.271   11  0.070   30 -0.374
DODGERS      40 23 330 197 -0.024 31.007    2  0.126    2  0.113    1  0.202    2 0.5319   22  0.344   10  0.077    1  0.326   18 -0.045
BREWERS      37 23 301 212  0.009 30.433    3  0.109    3  0.105    3  0.160    3 0.5287   26  0.306   14  0.004    2  0.315    8  0.185
RAYS         36 23 273 268 -0.005 29.766    4  0.079    4  0.093    9  0.023    4 0.5254   15  0.488   13  0.024   15  0.023   14  0.027
YANKEES      37 25 315 222 -0.037 30.348    5  0.060    5  0.073    4  0.134    5 0.5189   27  0.294   18 -0.031    3  0.300    4  0.307
GUARDIANS    36 28 264 258 -0.003 32.353    6  0.035    6  0.056   13  0.007    6 0.5142   18  0.441   19 -0.034   12  0.048   27 -0.282
CARDINALS    32 28 257 269  0.026 31.073    7  0.021    7  0.038   16 -0.013   10 0.5103   19  0.429   21 -0.065   13  0.038   11  0.052
DIAMONDBACKS 33 29 276 272  0.025 32.012    8  0.020    8  0.038    8  0.026   11 0.5088    9  0.595    7  0.127   19 -0.074   22 -0.187
CUBS         33 30 296 278  0.027 32.584    9  0.016    9  0.031    6  0.032    7 0.5127    2  0.758    1  0.294   27 -0.229   28 -0.306
PHILLIES     33 29 242 264 -0.003 31.417   10  0.011   10  0.028   19 -0.028    9 0.5106   29  0.190   29 -0.276    5  0.220    6  0.230
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      34 29 325 288 -0.037 30.964   11  0.009   11  0.023    5  0.042    8 0.5107   13  0.507   12  0.059   14  0.024    7  0.229
WHITE SOX    33 29 293 282 -0.041 30.396   12  0.004   12  0.014   10  0.013   15 0.5020    6  0.655    6  0.171   22 -0.145   24 -0.240
NATIONALS    31 32 331 341  0.052 33.265   13  0.003   13  0.012   12  0.009   12 0.5052    3  0.755    3  0.267   28 -0.250    5  0.237
MARINERS     33 30 267 237 -0.030 31.141   14  0.002   15  0.011    7  0.032   14 0.5020   25  0.318   24 -0.114    7  0.178   17  0.004
PADRES       32 29 235 245 -0.030 30.234   15  0.001   14  0.011   18 -0.027   13 0.5036   23  0.341   26 -0.154    9  0.100   23 -0.189
REDS         31 30 264 305 -0.039 30.071   16 -0.008   16 -0.007   27 -0.073   16 0.4985   12  0.570   15  0.003   23 -0.150   15  0.016
BLUE JAYS    30 33 257 264  0.027 32.627   17 -0.010   18 -0.012   14  0.002   18 0.4958   28  0.271   28 -0.182    6  0.186    9  0.140
ATHLETICS    30 32 265 298  0.008 31.711   18 -0.011   17 -0.011   22 -0.050   17 0.4963   24  0.337   27 -0.180   10  0.081    1  0.565
RANGERS      30 32 249 240 -0.008 31.217   19 -0.012   19 -0.017   11  0.010   19 0.4947   21  0.367   22 -0.095    8  0.115   29 -0.306
ORIOLES      30 33 288 325  0.000 32.020   20 -0.015   20 -0.022   23 -0.050   21 0.4928    5  0.674    8  0.127   26 -0.227   16  0.015
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      29 34 268 286  0.028 32.698   21 -0.017   21 -0.025   17 -0.020   20 0.4944   11  0.578   11  0.065   21 -0.104   21 -0.180
TWINS        29 35 296 322 -0.014 32.159   22 -0.032   22 -0.047   20 -0.042   22 0.4858    4  0.744    5  0.205   29 -0.289   19 -0.128
ASTROS       28 36 289 328  0.002 32.593   23 -0.040   23 -0.056   25 -0.060   23 0.4828    7  0.634    9  0.078   24 -0.198   10  0.109
RED SOX      26 35 243 249  0.003 31.019   24 -0.046   24 -0.063   15 -0.012   24 0.4824   16  0.481   16 -0.017   17 -0.007   26 -0.279
METS         27 35 251 264 -0.026 30.868   25 -0.050   25 -0.067   24 -0.052   26 0.4817   30  0.113   30 -0.358    4  0.254    3  0.340
GIANTS       25 38 250 313  0.043 33.195   26 -0.064   26 -0.076   29 -0.099   25 0.4821   17  0.474   23 -0.110   20 -0.087   12  0.040
ROYALS       25 38 246 294  0.024 32.658   27 -0.076   27 -0.084   26 -0.070   27 0.4751   20  0.412   25 -0.137   16 -0.003   13  0.032
TIGERS       25 38 248 273 -0.011 31.726   28 -0.090   28 -0.095   21 -0.045   29 0.4728   14  0.504   17 -0.030   18 -0.060   20 -0.158
ANGELS       24 39 276 327  0.009 32.306   29 -0.107   29 -0.103   28 -0.086   30 0.4712    1  0.814    4  0.234   30 -0.405   25 -0.271
ROCKIES      24 39 272 355  0.008 32.378   30 -0.110   30 -0.104   30 -0.132   28 0.4728   10  0.583   20 -0.044   25 -0.220    2  0.410

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      40 23 330 197 -0.024 31.007    2  0.126    2  0.113    1  0.202    2 0.5319   22  0.344   10  0.077    1  0.326   18 -0.045
DIAMONDBACKS 33 29 276 272  0.025 32.012    8  0.020    8  0.038    8  0.026   11 0.5088    9  0.595    7  0.127   19 -0.074   22 -0.187
PADRES       32 29 235 245 -0.030 30.234   15  0.001   14  0.011   18 -0.027   13 0.5036   23  0.341   26 -0.154    9  0.100   23 -0.189
GIANTS       25 38 250 313  0.043 33.195   26 -0.064   26 -0.076   29 -0.099   25 0.4821   17  0.474   23 -0.110   20 -0.087   12  0.040
ROCKIES      24 39 272 355  0.008 32.378   30 -0.110   30 -0.104   30 -0.132   28 0.4728   10  0.583   20 -0.044   25 -0.220    2  0.410

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      37 23 301 212  0.009 30.433    3  0.109    3  0.105    3  0.160    3 0.5287   26  0.306   14  0.004    2  0.315    8  0.185
CARDINALS    32 28 257 269  0.026 31.073    7  0.021    7  0.038   16 -0.013   10 0.5103   19  0.429   21 -0.065   13  0.038   11  0.052
CUBS         33 30 296 278  0.027 32.584    9  0.016    9  0.031    6  0.032    7 0.5127    2  0.758    1  0.294   27 -0.229   28 -0.306
PIRATES      34 29 325 288 -0.037 30.964   11  0.009   11  0.023    5  0.042    8 0.5107   13  0.507   12  0.059   14  0.024    7  0.229
REDS         31 30 264 305 -0.039 30.071   16 -0.008   16 -0.007   27 -0.073   16 0.4985   12  0.570   15  0.003   23 -0.150   15  0.016

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       42 21 329 220 -0.015 31.329    1  0.191    1  0.145    2  0.171    1 0.5391    8  0.595    2  0.271   11  0.070   30 -0.374
PHILLIES     33 29 242 264 -0.003 31.417   10  0.011   10  0.028   19 -0.028    9 0.5106   29  0.190   29 -0.276    5  0.220    6  0.230
NATIONALS    31 32 331 341  0.052 33.265   13  0.003   13  0.012   12  0.009   12 0.5052    3  0.755    3  0.267   28 -0.250    5  0.237
MARLINS      29 34 268 286  0.028 32.698   21 -0.017   21 -0.025   17 -0.020   20 0.4944   11  0.578   11  0.065   21 -0.104   21 -0.180
METS         27 35 251 264 -0.026 30.868   25 -0.050   25 -0.067   24 -0.052   26 0.4817   30  0.113   30 -0.358    4  0.254    3  0.340

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     33 30 267 237 -0.030 31.141   14  0.002   15  0.011    7  0.032   14 0.5020   25  0.318   24 -0.114    7  0.178   17  0.004
ATHLETICS    30 32 265 298  0.008 31.711   18 -0.011   17 -0.011   22 -0.050   17 0.4963   24  0.337   27 -0.180   10  0.081    1  0.565
RANGERS      30 32 249 240 -0.008 31.217   19 -0.012   19 -0.017   11  0.010   19 0.4947   21  0.367   22 -0.095    8  0.115   29 -0.306
ASTROS       28 36 289 328  0.002 32.593   23 -0.040   23 -0.056   25 -0.060   23 0.4828    7  0.634    9  0.078   24 -0.198   10  0.109
ANGELS       24 39 276 327  0.009 32.306   29 -0.107   29 -0.103   28 -0.086   30 0.4712    1  0.814    4  0.234   30 -0.405   25 -0.271

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    36 28 264 258 -0.003 32.353    6  0.035    6  0.056   13  0.007    6 0.5142   18  0.441   19 -0.034   12  0.048   27 -0.282
WHITE SOX    33 29 293 282 -0.041 30.396   12  0.004   12  0.014   10  0.013   15 0.5020    6  0.655    6  0.171   22 -0.145   24 -0.240
TWINS        29 35 296 322 -0.014 32.159   22 -0.032   22 -0.047   20 -0.042   22 0.4858    4  0.744    5  0.205   29 -0.289   19 -0.128
ROYALS       25 38 246 294  0.024 32.658   27 -0.076   27 -0.084   26 -0.070   27 0.4751   20  0.412   25 -0.137   16 -0.003   13  0.032
TIGERS       25 38 248 273 -0.011 31.726   28 -0.090   28 -0.095   21 -0.045   29 0.4728   14  0.504   17 -0.030   18 -0.060   20 -0.158

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         36 23 273 268 -0.005 29.766    4  0.079    4  0.093    9  0.023    4 0.5254   15  0.488   13  0.024   15  0.023   14  0.027
YANKEES      37 25 315 222 -0.037 30.348    5  0.060    5  0.073    4  0.134    5 0.5189   27  0.294   18 -0.031    3  0.300    4  0.307
BLUE JAYS    30 33 257 264  0.027 32.627   17 -0.010   18 -0.012   14  0.002   18 0.4958   28  0.271   28 -0.182    6  0.186    9  0.140
ORIOLES      30 33 288 325  0.000 32.020   20 -0.015   20 -0.022   23 -0.050   21 0.4928    5  0.674    8  0.127   26 -0.227   16  0.015
RED SOX      26 35 243 249  0.003 31.019   24 -0.046   24 -0.063   15 -0.012   24 0.4824   16  0.481   16 -0.017   17 -0.007   26 -0.279

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 167 140 0.544    1  0.064
AL EAST    159 149 0.516    2  0.042
NL EAST    162 151 0.518    3  0.033
NL WEST    154 158 0.494    4 -0.015
AL CENTRAL 148 168 0.468    5 -0.060
AL WEST    145 169 0.462    6 -0.066

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.046 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jun  5 05:30:06 2026
games through: Thu Jun  4 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.