Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       19  8 155  91 -0.050 12.857    1  0.085    1  0.073    1  0.110    1 0.5423   23  0.309   17 -0.048    4  0.267   11  0.148 P
PADRES       17  8 110  95 -0.040 12.136    2  0.066    3  0.062    6  0.033    3 0.5317   14  0.505   14  0.045   13  0.021   10  0.164 P
REDS         17  9 106 107  0.019 13.303    3  0.066    2  0.062   13  0.007    2 0.5361   24  0.293   23 -0.164    7  0.178    9  0.204 P
YANKEES      17  9 134  89 -0.032 12.615    4  0.057    4  0.055    2  0.092    4 0.5295   28  0.177   24 -0.170    2  0.355    2  0.518 P
CUBS         17  9 145 100 -0.062 12.278    5  0.050    5  0.050    4  0.071    6 0.5286    4  0.745    3  0.315   23 -0.173   25 -0.331 P
DODGERS      17  9 141  88 -0.070 12.230    6  0.049    6  0.050    3  0.085    5 0.5293   15  0.487   12  0.081   12  0.089   23 -0.283 P
PIRATES      15 11 129 103  0.039 13.435    7  0.032    7  0.034    5  0.051    7 0.5258   19  0.443   16  0.008   11  0.095   21 -0.118 P
RAYS         14 11 122 130  0.072 13.347    8  0.028    8  0.033   15  0.004    8 0.5252    3  0.797    4  0.302   28 -0.294   19 -0.070 P
GUARDIANS    15 12 113 117  0.056 14.216    9  0.025    9  0.031   14  0.007    9 0.5146   11  0.612    9  0.119   20 -0.106   30 -0.514 P
DIAMONDBACKS 14 11 116 124 -0.013 12.500   10  0.016   10  0.020   17 -0.008   10 0.5108   13  0.528   15  0.025   19 -0.041    7  0.264 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    14 12 114 122  0.028 13.444   11  0.014   11  0.018   19 -0.013   13 0.5060   27  0.192   27 -0.264    5  0.238    1  0.531 P
CARDINALS    14 11 114 126 -0.063 12.020   12  0.009   12  0.012   21 -0.034   12 0.5060   16  0.462   18 -0.061   14 -0.007   15  0.054 P
RANGERS      13 13 108 100  0.044 13.531   13  0.005   13  0.006    8  0.027   11 0.5066   12  0.538   13  0.069   16 -0.016   28 -0.455 P
TIGERS       14 13 122 110 -0.037 13.178   14  0.001   15  0.001    9  0.018   15 0.5020   21  0.393   19 -0.068    9  0.105   16  0.032 P
MARLINS      13 13 121 114  0.021 13.304   15 -0.000   14  0.002   11  0.009   14 0.5050    5  0.745    6  0.253   26 -0.235   26 -0.353 P
BREWERS      13 12 124 107 -0.086 11.709   16 -0.005   16 -0.005   12  0.008   17 0.4961    7  0.701    7  0.207   24 -0.192   24 -0.328 P
ANGELS       12 15 129 122  0.112 14.775   17 -0.006   17 -0.007    7  0.031   18 0.4957    6  0.733    5  0.263   25 -0.200   27 -0.442 P
ORIOLES      13 13 121 118 -0.048 12.619   18 -0.008   18 -0.009   18 -0.008   16 0.4965    9  0.655    8  0.145   22 -0.162   13  0.087 P
MARINERS     12 15 104 101  0.046 14.120   19 -0.013   19 -0.015   10  0.013   19 0.4900   30  0.003   29 -0.376    1  0.402    6  0.290 P
NATIONALS    11 16 148 167  0.080 14.553   20 -0.022   20 -0.026   20 -0.018   20 0.4872    2  0.956    2  0.452   29 -0.488    3  0.342 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        12 14 129 122 -0.078 12.284   21 -0.024   21 -0.028   16 -0.005   21 0.4855   10  0.613   10  0.109   21 -0.118   17  0.028 P
GIANTS       11 15  85 109  0.005 13.284   22 -0.025   22 -0.029   22 -0.047   22 0.4854   29  0.043   30 -0.408    3  0.314   14  0.058 P
WHITE SOX    11 15 109 134 -0.056 12.626   23 -0.036   24 -0.040   29 -0.066   23 0.4792    8  0.675   11  0.107   27 -0.240   29 -0.480 P
BLUE JAYS    10 15 101 128 -0.017 12.530   24 -0.036   23 -0.040   25 -0.051   24 0.4748   18  0.452   21 -0.087   15 -0.015    4  0.324 P
ROCKIES      11 16 112 128 -0.027 13.443   25 -0.039   25 -0.044   26 -0.051   25 0.4739   26  0.200   28 -0.296    6  0.194    5  0.323 P
ROYALS        9 17  94 126  0.047 13.750   26 -0.051   26 -0.053   27 -0.052   28 0.4670   22  0.311   25 -0.208   10  0.104   18  0.022 P
RED SOX       9 17  95 124  0.030 13.512   27 -0.054   27 -0.056   24 -0.048   27 0.4697   17  0.460   20 -0.076   17 -0.020   22 -0.275 P
METS          9 17  91 116  0.021 13.452   28 -0.056   28 -0.057   28 -0.053   26 0.4711   25  0.286   26 -0.229    8  0.123    8  0.221 P
ASTROS       10 17 141 162 -0.052 13.138   29 -0.060   29 -0.060   23 -0.047   30 0.4628    1  1.021    1  0.496   30 -0.590   20 -0.074 P
PHILLIES      8 18  92 145  0.069 14.060   30 -0.067   30 -0.064   30 -0.086   29 0.4637   20  0.420   22 -0.150   18 -0.022   12  0.106 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       17  8 110  95 -0.040 12.136    2  0.066    3  0.062    6  0.033    3 0.5317   14  0.505   14  0.045   13  0.021   10  0.164 P
DODGERS      17  9 141  88 -0.070 12.230    6  0.049    6  0.050    3  0.085    5 0.5293   15  0.487   12  0.081   12  0.089   23 -0.283 P
DIAMONDBACKS 14 11 116 124 -0.013 12.500   10  0.016   10  0.020   17 -0.008   10 0.5108   13  0.528   15  0.025   19 -0.041    7  0.264 P
GIANTS       11 15  85 109  0.005 13.284   22 -0.025   22 -0.029   22 -0.047   22 0.4854   29  0.043   30 -0.408    3  0.314   14  0.058 P
ROCKIES      11 16 112 128 -0.027 13.443   25 -0.039   25 -0.044   26 -0.051   25 0.4739   26  0.200   28 -0.296    6  0.194    5  0.323 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         17  9 106 107  0.019 13.303    3  0.066    2  0.062   13  0.007    2 0.5361   24  0.293   23 -0.164    7  0.178    9  0.204 P
CUBS         17  9 145 100 -0.062 12.278    5  0.050    5  0.050    4  0.071    6 0.5286    4  0.745    3  0.315   23 -0.173   25 -0.331 P
PIRATES      15 11 129 103  0.039 13.435    7  0.032    7  0.034    5  0.051    7 0.5258   19  0.443   16  0.008   11  0.095   21 -0.118 P
CARDINALS    14 11 114 126 -0.063 12.020   12  0.009   12  0.012   21 -0.034   12 0.5060   16  0.462   18 -0.061   14 -0.007   15  0.054 P
BREWERS      13 12 124 107 -0.086 11.709   16 -0.005   16 -0.005   12  0.008   17 0.4961    7  0.701    7  0.207   24 -0.192   24 -0.328 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       19  8 155  91 -0.050 12.857    1  0.085    1  0.073    1  0.110    1 0.5423   23  0.309   17 -0.048    4  0.267   11  0.148 P
MARLINS      13 13 121 114  0.021 13.304   15 -0.000   14  0.002   11  0.009   14 0.5050    5  0.745    6  0.253   26 -0.235   26 -0.353 P
NATIONALS    11 16 148 167  0.080 14.553   20 -0.022   20 -0.026   20 -0.018   20 0.4872    2  0.956    2  0.452   29 -0.488    3  0.342 P
METS          9 17  91 116  0.021 13.452   28 -0.056   28 -0.057   28 -0.053   26 0.4711   25  0.286   26 -0.229    8  0.123    8  0.221 P
PHILLIES      8 18  92 145  0.069 14.060   30 -0.067   30 -0.064   30 -0.086   29 0.4637   20  0.420   22 -0.150   18 -0.022   12  0.106 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    14 12 114 122  0.028 13.444   11  0.014   11  0.018   19 -0.013   13 0.5060   27  0.192   27 -0.264    5  0.238    1  0.531 P
RANGERS      13 13 108 100  0.044 13.531   13  0.005   13  0.006    8  0.027   11 0.5066   12  0.538   13  0.069   16 -0.016   28 -0.455 P
ANGELS       12 15 129 122  0.112 14.775   17 -0.006   17 -0.007    7  0.031   18 0.4957    6  0.733    5  0.263   25 -0.200   27 -0.442 P
MARINERS     12 15 104 101  0.046 14.120   19 -0.013   19 -0.015   10  0.013   19 0.4900   30  0.003   29 -0.376    1  0.402    6  0.290 P
ASTROS       10 17 141 162 -0.052 13.138   29 -0.060   29 -0.060   23 -0.047   30 0.4628    1  1.021    1  0.496   30 -0.590   20 -0.074 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    15 12 113 117  0.056 14.216    9  0.025    9  0.031   14  0.007    9 0.5146   11  0.612    9  0.119   20 -0.106   30 -0.514 P
TIGERS       14 13 122 110 -0.037 13.178   14  0.001   15  0.001    9  0.018   15 0.5020   21  0.393   19 -0.068    9  0.105   16  0.032 P
TWINS        12 14 129 122 -0.078 12.284   21 -0.024   21 -0.028   16 -0.005   21 0.4855   10  0.613   10  0.109   21 -0.118   17  0.028 P
WHITE SOX    11 15 109 134 -0.056 12.626   23 -0.036   24 -0.040   29 -0.066   23 0.4792    8  0.675   11  0.107   27 -0.240   29 -0.480 P
ROYALS        9 17  94 126  0.047 13.750   26 -0.051   26 -0.053   27 -0.052   28 0.4670   22  0.311   25 -0.208   10  0.104   18  0.022 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      17  9 134  89 -0.032 12.615    4  0.057    4  0.055    2  0.092    4 0.5295   28  0.177   24 -0.170    2  0.355    2  0.518 P
RAYS         14 11 122 130  0.072 13.347    8  0.028    8  0.033   15  0.004    8 0.5252    3  0.797    4  0.302   28 -0.294   19 -0.070 P
ORIOLES      13 13 121 118 -0.048 12.619   18 -0.008   18 -0.009   18 -0.008   16 0.4965    9  0.655    8  0.145   22 -0.162   13  0.087 P
BLUE JAYS    10 15 101 128 -0.017 12.530   24 -0.036   23 -0.040   25 -0.051   24 0.4748   18  0.452   21 -0.087   15 -0.015    4  0.324 P
RED SOX       9 17  95 124  0.030 13.512   27 -0.054   27 -0.056   24 -0.048   27 0.4697   17  0.460   20 -0.076   17 -0.020   22 -0.275 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 76 52 0.594    1  0.087
NL WEST    70 59 0.543    2  0.013
AL WEST    61 72 0.459    3  0.011
AL EAST    63 65 0.492    4 -0.009
NL EAST    60 72 0.455    5 -0.033
AL CENTRAL 61 71 0.462    6 -0.078

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.060 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Apr 25 05:30:05 2026
games through: Fri Apr 24 2026

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