Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      52 29 423 279 -0.024 40.020    1  0.167    1  0.119    1  0.173    1 0.5344   14  0.489    7  0.163    3  0.182   23 -0.178
BREWERS      49 29 407 284  0.008 39.538    2  0.154    2  0.115    2  0.170    2 0.5333   23  0.364   11  0.052    1  0.289   10  0.106
BRAVES       48 31 385 293  0.000 39.909    3  0.095    3  0.095    4  0.118    3 0.5267   10  0.582    5  0.194   16  0.041   27 -0.266
YANKEES      48 31 400 287 -0.034 38.780    4  0.067    4  0.082    3  0.129    4 0.5215   27  0.334   16 -0.014    2  0.273    3  0.267
RAYS         44 33 338 336  0.016 39.489    5  0.036    5  0.067    7  0.024    5 0.5163   18  0.408   18 -0.057   10  0.105   12  0.063
PHILLIES     44 36 349 350  0.005 40.687    6  0.014    6  0.045   11  0.003    6 0.5146   28  0.295   28 -0.173    4  0.178    2  0.296
CARDINALS    42 36 359 360 -0.005 39.357    7  0.006    7  0.031   13 -0.004    8 0.5086    8  0.650    8  0.138   22 -0.145   24 -0.186
CUBS         43 37 395 359 -0.020 39.832    8  0.004    8  0.026    5  0.028    7 0.5101    4  0.711    3  0.230   25 -0.174   19 -0.142
GUARDIANS    42 39 320 328  0.024 41.818    9  0.003    9  0.025   12  0.001   12 0.5051   24  0.347   24 -0.132    6  0.134   20 -0.159
MARLINS      42 39 349 346  0.016 41.578   10  0.002   10  0.023   10  0.011    9 0.5077   11  0.546   10  0.054   18 -0.032   26 -0.249
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    41 38 364 367  0.010 40.330   11  0.001   12  0.020    9  0.014   13 0.5042    5  0.677    6  0.182   23 -0.154   29 -0.281
PADRES       42 37 309 314 -0.021 39.377   12  0.000   11  0.021   17 -0.014   11 0.5063   22  0.382   23 -0.117   12  0.090   28 -0.273
NATIONALS    41 40 433 424  0.032 42.045   13 -0.001   13  0.018    6  0.028   10 0.5069    3  0.731    2  0.250   27 -0.195    6  0.235
DIAMONDBACKS 41 39 346 366  0.001 40.612   14 -0.003   14  0.012   19 -0.017   14 0.5035   13  0.524   14  0.006   19 -0.040   17 -0.097
BLUE JAYS    39 41 328 355  0.023 41.306   15 -0.007   15 -0.003   18 -0.014   16 0.4974   25  0.346   27 -0.148    8  0.120    9  0.132
PIRATES      40 40 404 381 -0.014 40.043   16 -0.008   16 -0.005    8  0.018   15 0.5017   16  0.481   15  0.002   17  0.034    5  0.255
MARINERS     41 40 330 322 -0.035 39.916   17 -0.008   17 -0.007   14 -0.006   17 0.4970   26  0.337   26 -0.147    5  0.136   18 -0.106
RANGERS      38 42 319 333 -0.020 39.949   18 -0.016   19 -0.029   21 -0.028   19 0.4916   19  0.401   21 -0.114   13  0.059   22 -0.174
ATHLETICS    38 42 366 423 -0.015 40.168   19 -0.017   18 -0.027   28 -0.067   18 0.4920   30  0.272   30 -0.261    7  0.128    1  0.766
ORIOLES      38 44 382 407  0.008 41.857   20 -0.017   20 -0.029   20 -0.027   21 0.4903    7  0.670    9  0.135   26 -0.188   13  0.058
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       39 43 370 409 -0.025 40.833   21 -0.018   21 -0.030   25 -0.062   22 0.4890    9  0.604   13  0.036   24 -0.159   11  0.070
REDS         37 42 331 381 -0.009 39.849   22 -0.019   22 -0.031   27 -0.064   20 0.4915   12  0.535   17 -0.031   21 -0.097   14 -0.018
TWINS        38 44 395 424 -0.003 41.514   23 -0.020   23 -0.034   22 -0.034   23 0.4885    1  0.858    1  0.322   30 -0.389   25 -0.196
GIANTS       33 46 322 373  0.045 41.573   24 -0.035   24 -0.055   26 -0.063   24 0.4879   15  0.484   19 -0.076   20 -0.049   15 -0.068
TIGERS       34 46 324 330 -0.007 40.328   25 -0.049   26 -0.068   16 -0.013   28 0.4791   17  0.425   20 -0.079   14  0.052   16 -0.096
ROYALS       34 47 348 386  0.010 41.455   26 -0.052   25 -0.068   23 -0.045   27 0.4797   20  0.394   25 -0.138   15  0.047    7  0.231
METS         34 46 325 371 -0.010 40.336   27 -0.055   27 -0.070   29 -0.073   25 0.4829   29  0.282   29 -0.260    9  0.113    4  0.255
RED SOX      32 46 307 314  0.010 39.848   28 -0.061   28 -0.073   15 -0.013   29 0.4783   21  0.383   22 -0.116   11  0.090   21 -0.166
ANGELS       34 48 374 410 -0.003 41.532   29 -0.066   29 -0.077   24 -0.053   26 0.4798    2  0.764    4  0.204   29 -0.310   30 -0.300
ROCKIES      32 49 369 459  0.007 41.440   30 -0.098   30 -0.091   30 -0.114   30 0.4770    6  0.671   12  0.048   28 -0.277    8  0.216

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      52 29 423 279 -0.024 40.020    1  0.167    1  0.119    1  0.173    1 0.5344   14  0.489    7  0.163    3  0.182   23 -0.178
PADRES       42 37 309 314 -0.021 39.377   12  0.000   11  0.021   17 -0.014   11 0.5063   22  0.382   23 -0.117   12  0.090   28 -0.273
DIAMONDBACKS 41 39 346 366  0.001 40.612   14 -0.003   14  0.012   19 -0.017   14 0.5035   13  0.524   14  0.006   19 -0.040   17 -0.097
GIANTS       33 46 322 373  0.045 41.573   24 -0.035   24 -0.055   26 -0.063   24 0.4879   15  0.484   19 -0.076   20 -0.049   15 -0.068
ROCKIES      32 49 369 459  0.007 41.440   30 -0.098   30 -0.091   30 -0.114   30 0.4770    6  0.671   12  0.048   28 -0.277    8  0.216

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      49 29 407 284  0.008 39.538    2  0.154    2  0.115    2  0.170    2 0.5333   23  0.364   11  0.052    1  0.289   10  0.106
CARDINALS    42 36 359 360 -0.005 39.357    7  0.006    7  0.031   13 -0.004    8 0.5086    8  0.650    8  0.138   22 -0.145   24 -0.186
CUBS         43 37 395 359 -0.020 39.832    8  0.004    8  0.026    5  0.028    7 0.5101    4  0.711    3  0.230   25 -0.174   19 -0.142
PIRATES      40 40 404 381 -0.014 40.043   16 -0.008   16 -0.005    8  0.018   15 0.5017   16  0.481   15  0.002   17  0.034    5  0.255
REDS         37 42 331 381 -0.009 39.849   22 -0.019   22 -0.031   27 -0.064   20 0.4915   12  0.535   17 -0.031   21 -0.097   14 -0.018

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       48 31 385 293  0.000 39.909    3  0.095    3  0.095    4  0.118    3 0.5267   10  0.582    5  0.194   16  0.041   27 -0.266
PHILLIES     44 36 349 350  0.005 40.687    6  0.014    6  0.045   11  0.003    6 0.5146   28  0.295   28 -0.173    4  0.178    2  0.296
MARLINS      42 39 349 346  0.016 41.578   10  0.002   10  0.023   10  0.011    9 0.5077   11  0.546   10  0.054   18 -0.032   26 -0.249
NATIONALS    41 40 433 424  0.032 42.045   13 -0.001   13  0.018    6  0.028   10 0.5069    3  0.731    2  0.250   27 -0.195    6  0.235
METS         34 46 325 371 -0.010 40.336   27 -0.055   27 -0.070   29 -0.073   25 0.4829   29  0.282   29 -0.260    9  0.113    4  0.255

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     41 40 330 322 -0.035 39.916   17 -0.008   17 -0.007   14 -0.006   17 0.4970   26  0.337   26 -0.147    5  0.136   18 -0.106
RANGERS      38 42 319 333 -0.020 39.949   18 -0.016   19 -0.029   21 -0.028   19 0.4916   19  0.401   21 -0.114   13  0.059   22 -0.174
ATHLETICS    38 42 366 423 -0.015 40.168   19 -0.017   18 -0.027   28 -0.067   18 0.4920   30  0.272   30 -0.261    7  0.128    1  0.766
ASTROS       39 43 370 409 -0.025 40.833   21 -0.018   21 -0.030   25 -0.062   22 0.4890    9  0.604   13  0.036   24 -0.159   11  0.070
ANGELS       34 48 374 410 -0.003 41.532   29 -0.066   29 -0.077   24 -0.053   26 0.4798    2  0.764    4  0.204   29 -0.310   30 -0.300

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    42 39 320 328  0.024 41.818    9  0.003    9  0.025   12  0.001   12 0.5051   24  0.347   24 -0.132    6  0.134   20 -0.159
WHITE SOX    41 38 364 367  0.010 40.330   11  0.001   12  0.020    9  0.014   13 0.5042    5  0.677    6  0.182   23 -0.154   29 -0.281
TWINS        38 44 395 424 -0.003 41.514   23 -0.020   23 -0.034   22 -0.034   23 0.4885    1  0.858    1  0.322   30 -0.389   25 -0.196
TIGERS       34 46 324 330 -0.007 40.328   25 -0.049   26 -0.068   16 -0.013   28 0.4791   17  0.425   20 -0.079   14  0.052   16 -0.096
ROYALS       34 47 348 386  0.010 41.455   26 -0.052   25 -0.068   23 -0.045   27 0.4797   20  0.394   25 -0.138   15  0.047    7  0.231

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      48 31 400 287 -0.034 38.780    4  0.067    4  0.082    3  0.129    4 0.5215   27  0.334   16 -0.014    2  0.273    3  0.267
RAYS         44 33 338 336  0.016 39.489    5  0.036    5  0.067    7  0.024    5 0.5163   18  0.408   18 -0.057   10  0.105   12  0.063
BLUE JAYS    39 41 328 355  0.023 41.306   15 -0.007   15 -0.003   18 -0.014   16 0.4974   25  0.346   27 -0.148    8  0.120    9  0.132
ORIOLES      38 44 382 407  0.008 41.857   20 -0.017   20 -0.029   20 -0.027   21 0.4903    7  0.670    9  0.135   26 -0.188   13  0.058
RED SOX      32 46 307 314  0.010 39.848   28 -0.061   28 -0.073   15 -0.013   29 0.4783   21  0.383   22 -0.116   11  0.090   21 -0.166

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 211 184 0.534    1  0.065
AL EAST    201 195 0.508    2  0.044
NL EAST    209 192 0.521    3  0.037
NL WEST    200 200 0.500    4 -0.018
AL CENTRAL 189 214 0.469    5 -0.034
AL WEST    190 215 0.469    6 -0.094

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.049 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Jun 25 05:30:06 2026
games through: Wed Jun 24 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.