Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         32 15 227 189  0.019 23.968    1  0.175    1  0.146    5  0.099    1 0.5462   11  0.554    5  0.165   15  0.034   21 -0.160
BRAVES       33 16 258 168 -0.011 24.292    2  0.158    2  0.135    1  0.171    2 0.5400   14  0.481    4  0.169    5  0.172   25 -0.221
BREWERS      28 18 232 162  0.025 23.546    3  0.085    3  0.091    3  0.145    4 0.5298   22  0.368   13  0.044    2  0.245   14  0.064
CUBS         29 20 246 213  0.043 25.452    4  0.075    4  0.087    6  0.078    3 0.5310    1  0.858    1  0.447   27 -0.292   27 -0.375
DODGERS      30 19 253 159 -0.038 23.778    5  0.068    6  0.078    2  0.156    5 0.5249   20  0.387   10  0.073    3  0.240   23 -0.168
CARDINALS    28 19 217 211  0.016 24.029    6  0.063    5  0.079    9  0.020    6 0.5245   16  0.466   18  0.005   14  0.036   11  0.089
YANKEES      30 19 249 179 -0.044 23.663    7  0.058    7  0.075    4  0.115    8 0.5192   27  0.256   20 -0.077    1  0.308    1  0.561
PADRES       29 19 200 193 -0.043 23.391    8  0.051    8  0.069   12  0.010    7 0.5210   17  0.464   19 -0.007   16  0.027   22 -0.164
GUARDIANS    28 22 222 202 -0.010 24.985    9  0.028    9  0.046    8  0.028    9 0.5120    9  0.627    6  0.163   21 -0.106   29 -0.525
DIAMONDBACKS 24 23 215 220  0.034 24.348   10  0.009   10  0.019   11  0.012   12 0.5053    5  0.676    3  0.194   25 -0.170   19 -0.094
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    24 25 271 290  0.057 25.919   11  0.004   11  0.011   15 -0.011   13 0.5052    2  0.823    2  0.322   30 -0.343    4  0.313
PHILLIES     25 24 205 224  0.002 24.849   12  0.003   12  0.009   22 -0.031   11 0.5054   25  0.293   26 -0.194   10  0.131    5  0.284
WHITE SOX    25 23 214 225 -0.024 23.809   13  0.003   13  0.009   18 -0.018   14 0.5019   12  0.538   15  0.033   19 -0.068   16 -0.040
PIRATES      24 24 235 220 -0.020 23.839   14 -0.005   16 -0.005   10  0.014   10 0.5058   15  0.477   16  0.009   17  0.019    8  0.212
REDS         25 24 212 245 -0.040 24.069   15 -0.009   14 -0.004   25 -0.063   15 0.4992   10  0.593   14  0.038   23 -0.165   13  0.067
ATHLETICS    24 24 215 221 -0.018 23.937   16 -0.010   15 -0.005   17 -0.017   16 0.4966   24  0.331   24 -0.148   11  0.114    2  0.553
RANGERS      23 25 187 175  0.015 24.489   17 -0.011   17 -0.011    7  0.032   17 0.4949   23  0.358   21 -0.077    9  0.141   30 -0.605
MARLINS      22 27 217 222  0.035 25.455   18 -0.021   18 -0.028   14 -0.003   18 0.4937    6  0.656    7  0.160   24 -0.166   24 -0.203
MARINERS     23 27 205 195 -0.025 24.756   19 -0.029   19 -0.039   13 -0.000   19 0.4871   21  0.386   22 -0.085   12  0.084   17 -0.074
BLUE JAYS    21 27 198 211  0.019 24.667   20 -0.032   20 -0.043   19 -0.022   22 0.4843   26  0.277   27 -0.198    8  0.154    7  0.238
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        22 27 226 230 -0.024 24.294   21 -0.035   22 -0.048   16 -0.011   23 0.4833    7  0.631    8  0.127   22 -0.149   18 -0.074
RED SOX      21 27 177 189  0.002 24.349   22 -0.036   21 -0.047   20 -0.028   21 0.4850   19  0.388   23 -0.110   13  0.055   28 -0.430
ORIOLES      21 28 212 269  0.006 25.012   23 -0.045   23 -0.055   27 -0.093   25 0.4820    8  0.630   12  0.045   26 -0.230   12  0.079
METS         21 27 198 208 -0.025 23.848   24 -0.047   24 -0.057   23 -0.047   24 0.4827   29  0.208   29 -0.277    4  0.183    6  0.247
GIANTS       20 29 170 219  0.042 25.731   25 -0.051   25 -0.059   26 -0.087   20 0.4864   30  0.173   30 -0.345    6  0.170   10  0.181
TIGERS       20 29 193 213  0.014 25.075   26 -0.060   27 -0.068   21 -0.030   27 0.4764   13  0.525   17  0.009   20 -0.069   20 -0.105
ROYALS       20 29 191 220  0.015 25.149   27 -0.063   26 -0.067   24 -0.050   26 0.4770   28  0.236   28 -0.259    7  0.158    9  0.196
ROCKIES      19 30 206 259 -0.013 24.669   28 -0.096   28 -0.092   28 -0.114   28 0.4732   18  0.418   25 -0.171   18 -0.057    3  0.405
ASTROS       20 30 217 270 -0.050 24.425   29 -0.101   29 -0.096   30 -0.119   29 0.4672    4  0.677   11  0.064   28 -0.302   15  0.048
ANGELS       17 32 194 261  0.019 25.328   30 -0.129   30 -0.115   29 -0.117   30 0.4639    3  0.708    9  0.096   29 -0.331   26 -0.306

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      30 19 253 159 -0.038 23.778    5  0.068    6  0.078    2  0.156    5 0.5249   20  0.387   10  0.073    3  0.240   23 -0.168
PADRES       29 19 200 193 -0.043 23.391    8  0.051    8  0.069   12  0.010    7 0.5210   17  0.464   19 -0.007   16  0.027   22 -0.164
DIAMONDBACKS 24 23 215 220  0.034 24.348   10  0.009   10  0.019   11  0.012   12 0.5053    5  0.676    3  0.194   25 -0.170   19 -0.094
GIANTS       20 29 170 219  0.042 25.731   25 -0.051   25 -0.059   26 -0.087   20 0.4864   30  0.173   30 -0.345    6  0.170   10  0.181
ROCKIES      19 30 206 259 -0.013 24.669   28 -0.096   28 -0.092   28 -0.114   28 0.4732   18  0.418   25 -0.171   18 -0.057    3  0.405

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      28 18 232 162  0.025 23.546    3  0.085    3  0.091    3  0.145    4 0.5298   22  0.368   13  0.044    2  0.245   14  0.064
CUBS         29 20 246 213  0.043 25.452    4  0.075    4  0.087    6  0.078    3 0.5310    1  0.858    1  0.447   27 -0.292   27 -0.375
CARDINALS    28 19 217 211  0.016 24.029    6  0.063    5  0.079    9  0.020    6 0.5245   16  0.466   18  0.005   14  0.036   11  0.089
PIRATES      24 24 235 220 -0.020 23.839   14 -0.005   16 -0.005   10  0.014   10 0.5058   15  0.477   16  0.009   17  0.019    8  0.212
REDS         25 24 212 245 -0.040 24.069   15 -0.009   14 -0.004   25 -0.063   15 0.4992   10  0.593   14  0.038   23 -0.165   13  0.067

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       33 16 258 168 -0.011 24.292    2  0.158    2  0.135    1  0.171    2 0.5400   14  0.481    4  0.169    5  0.172   25 -0.221
NATIONALS    24 25 271 290  0.057 25.919   11  0.004   11  0.011   15 -0.011   13 0.5052    2  0.823    2  0.322   30 -0.343    4  0.313
PHILLIES     25 24 205 224  0.002 24.849   12  0.003   12  0.009   22 -0.031   11 0.5054   25  0.293   26 -0.194   10  0.131    5  0.284
MARLINS      22 27 217 222  0.035 25.455   18 -0.021   18 -0.028   14 -0.003   18 0.4937    6  0.656    7  0.160   24 -0.166   24 -0.203
METS         21 27 198 208 -0.025 23.848   24 -0.047   24 -0.057   23 -0.047   24 0.4827   29  0.208   29 -0.277    4  0.183    6  0.247

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    24 24 215 221 -0.018 23.937   16 -0.010   15 -0.005   17 -0.017   16 0.4966   24  0.331   24 -0.148   11  0.114    2  0.553
RANGERS      23 25 187 175  0.015 24.489   17 -0.011   17 -0.011    7  0.032   17 0.4949   23  0.358   21 -0.077    9  0.141   30 -0.605
MARINERS     23 27 205 195 -0.025 24.756   19 -0.029   19 -0.039   13 -0.000   19 0.4871   21  0.386   22 -0.085   12  0.084   17 -0.074
ASTROS       20 30 217 270 -0.050 24.425   29 -0.101   29 -0.096   30 -0.119   29 0.4672    4  0.677   11  0.064   28 -0.302   15  0.048
ANGELS       17 32 194 261  0.019 25.328   30 -0.129   30 -0.115   29 -0.117   30 0.4639    3  0.708    9  0.096   29 -0.331   26 -0.306

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    28 22 222 202 -0.010 24.985    9  0.028    9  0.046    8  0.028    9 0.5120    9  0.627    6  0.163   21 -0.106   29 -0.525
WHITE SOX    25 23 214 225 -0.024 23.809   13  0.003   13  0.009   18 -0.018   14 0.5019   12  0.538   15  0.033   19 -0.068   16 -0.040
TWINS        22 27 226 230 -0.024 24.294   21 -0.035   22 -0.048   16 -0.011   23 0.4833    7  0.631    8  0.127   22 -0.149   18 -0.074
TIGERS       20 29 193 213  0.014 25.075   26 -0.060   27 -0.068   21 -0.030   27 0.4764   13  0.525   17  0.009   20 -0.069   20 -0.105
ROYALS       20 29 191 220  0.015 25.149   27 -0.063   26 -0.067   24 -0.050   26 0.4770   28  0.236   28 -0.259    7  0.158    9  0.196

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         32 15 227 189  0.019 23.968    1  0.175    1  0.146    5  0.099    1 0.5462   11  0.554    5  0.165   15  0.034   21 -0.160
YANKEES      30 19 249 179 -0.044 23.663    7  0.058    7  0.075    4  0.115    8 0.5192   27  0.256   20 -0.077    1  0.308    1  0.561
BLUE JAYS    21 27 198 211  0.019 24.667   20 -0.032   20 -0.043   19 -0.022   22 0.4843   26  0.277   27 -0.198    8  0.154    7  0.238
RED SOX      21 27 177 189  0.002 24.349   22 -0.036   21 -0.047   20 -0.028   21 0.4850   19  0.388   23 -0.110   13  0.055   28 -0.430
ORIOLES      21 28 212 269  0.006 25.012   23 -0.045   23 -0.055   27 -0.093   25 0.4820    8  0.630   12  0.045   26 -0.230   12  0.079

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 134 105 0.561    1  0.094
NL EAST    125 119 0.512    2  0.035
AL EAST    125 116 0.519    3  0.034
NL WEST    122 120 0.504    4 -0.013
AL CENTRAL 115 130 0.469    5 -0.040
AL WEST    107 138 0.437    6 -0.107

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.071 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed May 20 05:30:04 2026
games through: Tue May 19 2026

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