Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       43 21 335 223 -0.018 31.764    1  0.186    1  0.145    2  0.170    1 0.5404    8  0.597    3  0.269   11  0.070   30 -0.364
DODGERS      41 23 331 197 -0.029 31.409    2  0.123    2  0.114    1  0.197    2 0.5329   25  0.329   10  0.058    1  0.336   18 -0.102
BREWERS      38 23 310 219  0.009 30.954    3  0.109    3  0.108    3  0.157    3 0.5302   24  0.330   13  0.018    2  0.296    9  0.153
RAYS         37 23 279 268 -0.004 30.292    4  0.080    4  0.097    6  0.035    4 0.5271   16  0.467   14  0.014   13  0.056   12  0.038
YANKEES      37 26 318 227 -0.034 30.930    5  0.043    5  0.065    4  0.128    5 0.5164   27  0.300   19 -0.035    3  0.291    4  0.305
GUARDIANS    36 29 266 261 -0.001 32.934    6  0.024    6  0.048   13  0.006    6 0.5122   19  0.424   22 -0.053   12  0.064   26 -0.268
CARDINALS    33 28 267 272  0.021 31.476    7  0.020    7  0.042   15 -0.004    7 0.5121   18  0.439   21 -0.049   14  0.042   11  0.071
PHILLIES     34 29 250 270 -0.008 31.794    8  0.013    8  0.032   17 -0.026    8 0.5120   29  0.190   29 -0.276    5  0.225    5  0.254
CUBS         33 31 299 296  0.022 33.013   10  0.009   10  0.022    9  0.012    9 0.5103    2  0.767    2  0.280   27 -0.257   25 -0.223
PIRATES      34 30 328 294 -0.028 31.679   12  0.007   12  0.018    5  0.038   10 0.5097   15  0.499   12  0.046   15  0.030    6  0.228
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    32 32 345 342  0.055 33.843   11  0.008   11  0.020    7  0.028   11 0.5077    1  0.778    1  0.307   26 -0.251    7  0.206
DIAMONDBACKS 33 30 277 286  0.027 32.585    9  0.013    9  0.030   11  0.008   12 0.5071    9  0.592    8  0.103   19 -0.086   21 -0.150
PADRES       32 30 235 250 -0.031 30.745   15  0.000   14  0.004   22 -0.037   13 0.5013   23  0.338   26 -0.169   10  0.095   23 -0.206
WHITE SOX    33 30 299 290 -0.043 30.840   13  0.002   13  0.006   12  0.008   14 0.4998    6  0.687    5  0.195   23 -0.180   28 -0.273
MARINERS     33 31 270 244 -0.034 31.547   14  0.001   15  0.002    8  0.022   15 0.4992   22  0.344   24 -0.105    7  0.149   15 -0.016
REDS         31 31 267 315 -0.033 30.731   17 -0.008   16 -0.012   28 -0.080   16 0.4973   10  0.590   15  0.013   22 -0.172   14 -0.004
RANGERS      31 32 252 242 -0.015 31.562   16 -0.007   17 -0.012   10  0.009   17 0.4962   21  0.366   23 -0.099    8  0.118   29 -0.321
ORIOLES      31 33 301 328  0.004 32.613   18 -0.008   18 -0.013   19 -0.034   18 0.4949    5  0.723    6  0.190   28 -0.257   17 -0.032
BLUE JAYS    30 34 260 277  0.026 33.144   19 -0.010   19 -0.018   16 -0.011   19 0.4938   28  0.273   27 -0.196    6  0.174    8  0.200
ATHLETICS    30 33 266 303  0.003 32.123   20 -0.012   20 -0.019   25 -0.058   20 0.4938   26  0.305   28 -0.217    9  0.101    1  0.580
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      29 35 268 292  0.038 33.492   21 -0.016   21 -0.027   18 -0.026   21 0.4937   12  0.575   11  0.052   20 -0.105   22 -0.206
TWINS        30 35 301 325 -0.013 32.679   22 -0.023   22 -0.038   20 -0.036   22 0.4876    4  0.743    4  0.207   29 -0.280   20 -0.135
RED SOX      27 35 248 252  0.014 31.816   23 -0.030   24 -0.050   14 -0.003   23 0.4857   17  0.466   18 -0.024   16  0.018   27 -0.270
ASTROS       29 36 294 329 -0.004 32.960   24 -0.031   23 -0.049   24 -0.052   24 0.4845    7  0.627    9  0.076   24 -0.181   10  0.103
GIANTS       26 38 268 316  0.040 33.636   26 -0.051   26 -0.067   27 -0.079   25 0.4844   13  0.552   17 -0.021   21 -0.136   16 -0.029
METS         28 35 256 264 -0.028 31.319   25 -0.040   25 -0.058   23 -0.041   26 0.4839   30  0.103   30 -0.357    4  0.275    3  0.349
TIGERS       26 38 255 276 -0.011 32.243   27 -0.075   27 -0.085   21 -0.037   27 0.4753   14  0.507   16 -0.021   18 -0.052   19 -0.133
ROYALS       25 39 249 299  0.022 33.148   28 -0.085   28 -0.088   26 -0.072   28 0.4731   20  0.402   25 -0.149   17  0.005   13  0.036
ROCKIES      24 40 279 364  0.007 32.877   30 -0.122   30 -0.107   30 -0.131   29 0.4718   11  0.587   20 -0.041   25 -0.220    2  0.426
ANGELS       24 40 276 328  0.008 32.814   29 -0.119   29 -0.107   29 -0.086   30 0.4695    3  0.760    7  0.174   30 -0.346   24 -0.221

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      41 23 331 197 -0.029 31.409    2  0.123    2  0.114    1  0.197    2 0.5329   25  0.329   10  0.058    1  0.336   18 -0.102
DIAMONDBACKS 33 30 277 286  0.027 32.585    9  0.013    9  0.030   11  0.008   12 0.5071    9  0.592    8  0.103   19 -0.086   21 -0.150
PADRES       32 30 235 250 -0.031 30.745   15  0.000   14  0.004   22 -0.037   13 0.5013   23  0.338   26 -0.169   10  0.095   23 -0.206
GIANTS       26 38 268 316  0.040 33.636   26 -0.051   26 -0.067   27 -0.079   25 0.4844   13  0.552   17 -0.021   21 -0.136   16 -0.029
ROCKIES      24 40 279 364  0.007 32.877   30 -0.122   30 -0.107   30 -0.131   29 0.4718   11  0.587   20 -0.041   25 -0.220    2  0.426

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      38 23 310 219  0.009 30.954    3  0.109    3  0.108    3  0.157    3 0.5302   24  0.330   13  0.018    2  0.296    9  0.153
CARDINALS    33 28 267 272  0.021 31.476    7  0.020    7  0.042   15 -0.004    7 0.5121   18  0.439   21 -0.049   14  0.042   11  0.071
CUBS         33 31 299 296  0.022 33.013   10  0.009   10  0.022    9  0.012    9 0.5103    2  0.767    2  0.280   27 -0.257   25 -0.223
PIRATES      34 30 328 294 -0.028 31.679   12  0.007   12  0.018    5  0.038   10 0.5097   15  0.499   12  0.046   15  0.030    6  0.228
REDS         31 31 267 315 -0.033 30.731   17 -0.008   16 -0.012   28 -0.080   16 0.4973   10  0.590   15  0.013   22 -0.172   14 -0.004

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       43 21 335 223 -0.018 31.764    1  0.186    1  0.145    2  0.170    1 0.5404    8  0.597    3  0.269   11  0.070   30 -0.364
PHILLIES     34 29 250 270 -0.008 31.794    8  0.013    8  0.032   17 -0.026    8 0.5120   29  0.190   29 -0.276    5  0.225    5  0.254
NATIONALS    32 32 345 342  0.055 33.843   11  0.008   11  0.020    7  0.028   11 0.5077    1  0.778    1  0.307   26 -0.251    7  0.206
MARLINS      29 35 268 292  0.038 33.492   21 -0.016   21 -0.027   18 -0.026   21 0.4937   12  0.575   11  0.052   20 -0.105   22 -0.206
METS         28 35 256 264 -0.028 31.319   25 -0.040   25 -0.058   23 -0.041   26 0.4839   30  0.103   30 -0.357    4  0.275    3  0.349

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     33 31 270 244 -0.034 31.547   14  0.001   15  0.002    8  0.022   15 0.4992   22  0.344   24 -0.105    7  0.149   15 -0.016
RANGERS      31 32 252 242 -0.015 31.562   16 -0.007   17 -0.012   10  0.009   17 0.4962   21  0.366   23 -0.099    8  0.118   29 -0.321
ATHLETICS    30 33 266 303  0.003 32.123   20 -0.012   20 -0.019   25 -0.058   20 0.4938   26  0.305   28 -0.217    9  0.101    1  0.580
ASTROS       29 36 294 329 -0.004 32.960   24 -0.031   23 -0.049   24 -0.052   24 0.4845    7  0.627    9  0.076   24 -0.181   10  0.103
ANGELS       24 40 276 328  0.008 32.814   29 -0.119   29 -0.107   29 -0.086   30 0.4695    3  0.760    7  0.174   30 -0.346   24 -0.221

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    36 29 266 261 -0.001 32.934    6  0.024    6  0.048   13  0.006    6 0.5122   19  0.424   22 -0.053   12  0.064   26 -0.268
WHITE SOX    33 30 299 290 -0.043 30.840   13  0.002   13  0.006   12  0.008   14 0.4998    6  0.687    5  0.195   23 -0.180   28 -0.273
TWINS        30 35 301 325 -0.013 32.679   22 -0.023   22 -0.038   20 -0.036   22 0.4876    4  0.743    4  0.207   29 -0.280   20 -0.135
TIGERS       26 38 255 276 -0.011 32.243   27 -0.075   27 -0.085   21 -0.037   27 0.4753   14  0.507   16 -0.021   18 -0.052   19 -0.133
ROYALS       25 39 249 299  0.022 33.148   28 -0.085   28 -0.088   26 -0.072   28 0.4731   20  0.402   25 -0.149   17  0.005   13  0.036

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         37 23 279 268 -0.004 30.292    4  0.080    4  0.097    6  0.035    4 0.5271   16  0.467   14  0.014   13  0.056   12  0.038
YANKEES      37 26 318 227 -0.034 30.930    5  0.043    5  0.065    4  0.128    5 0.5164   27  0.300   19 -0.035    3  0.291    4  0.305
ORIOLES      31 33 301 328  0.004 32.613   18 -0.008   18 -0.013   19 -0.034   18 0.4949    5  0.723    6  0.190   28 -0.257   17 -0.032
BLUE JAYS    30 34 260 277  0.026 33.144   19 -0.010   19 -0.018   16 -0.011   19 0.4938   28  0.273   27 -0.196    6  0.174    8  0.200
RED SOX      27 35 248 252  0.014 31.816   23 -0.030   24 -0.050   14 -0.003   23 0.4857   17  0.466   18 -0.024   16  0.018   27 -0.270

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 169 143 0.542    1  0.055
AL EAST    162 151 0.518    2  0.051
NL EAST    166 152 0.522    3  0.044
NL WEST    156 161 0.492    4 -0.021
AL CENTRAL 150 171 0.467    5 -0.058
AL WEST    147 172 0.461    6 -0.073

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.041 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jun  6 05:30:06 2026
games through: Fri Jun  5 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.