Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         34 17 243 205  0.023 26.175    1  0.174    1  0.146    5  0.098    1 0.5442   14  0.473   11  0.103   11  0.094   17 -0.097
BRAVES       36 18 282 180 -0.003 27.021    2  0.169    2  0.143    1  0.187    2 0.5388   11  0.526    3  0.240    7  0.135   28 -0.372
BREWERS      31 20 251 180  0.053 26.748    4  0.107    3  0.108    3  0.162    3 0.5315   23  0.349   13  0.059    3  0.266   12  0.102
DODGERS      34 20 279 171 -0.014 26.726    3  0.107    4  0.107    2  0.187    4 0.5308   22  0.368   12  0.100    2  0.274   19 -0.133
CARDINALS    29 23 234 237  0.025 26.858    7  0.038    7  0.057   13  0.003    5 0.5169   13  0.488   15  0.020   18 -0.015   13  0.095
GUARDIANS    32 24 234 219 -0.008 28.153    6  0.042    6  0.061   10  0.022    6 0.5160   15  0.441   16 -0.002   15  0.047   26 -0.317
YANKEES      32 22 258 190 -0.046 26.214    5  0.046    5  0.064    4  0.106    7 0.5159   29  0.200   23 -0.119    1  0.330    3  0.422
CUBS         29 25 254 235  0.032 27.974    9  0.027    9  0.043    6  0.040    8 0.5156    1  0.821    1  0.384   29 -0.304   29 -0.379
PADRES       31 22 211 208 -0.046 25.857    8  0.038    8  0.057   15 -0.004    9 0.5150   16  0.425   19 -0.042   16  0.034   23 -0.220
NATIONALS    28 27 298 304  0.072 29.409   11  0.019   11  0.033    9  0.024   10 0.5106    2  0.782    2  0.326   28 -0.279    5  0.313
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      28 26 258 235 -0.020 26.878   12  0.005   13  0.010    7  0.030   11 0.5090   20  0.392   18 -0.037   10  0.097    8  0.246
DIAMONDBACKS 29 24 245 234 -0.014 26.478   10  0.021   10  0.035    8  0.026   12 0.5086    6  0.670    5  0.215   21 -0.164   20 -0.141
REDS         28 25 236 265 -0.039 26.097   13  0.001   12  0.011   24 -0.056   13 0.5040    8  0.646    9  0.110   26 -0.222   14  0.039
PHILLIES     27 27 216 237 -0.009 27.209   15 -0.007   15 -0.003   20 -0.035   14 0.5013   26  0.247   27 -0.223    6  0.152    9  0.218
WHITE SOX    27 26 238 253 -0.023 26.380   14 -0.005   14 -0.000   18 -0.025   15 0.4994    9  0.640    8  0.135   23 -0.185   22 -0.165
MARLINS      26 29 239 244  0.042 28.777   16 -0.009   16 -0.008   11  0.009   16 0.4987    4  0.690    4  0.218   24 -0.200   24 -0.285
ATHLETICS    27 27 234 248 -0.036 26.626   17 -0.011   17 -0.012   21 -0.042   17 0.4959   24  0.343   24 -0.151   13  0.067    1  0.549
BLUE JAYS    25 29 216 228  0.032 28.078   19 -0.017   18 -0.020   16 -0.008   18 0.4928   28  0.208   28 -0.226    5  0.210    6  0.285
TWINS        26 28 249 247 -0.015 27.022   18 -0.016   19 -0.021   12  0.004   19 0.4927    7  0.664    6  0.187   22 -0.179   18 -0.124
MARINERS     26 29 227 214 -0.033 27.136   20 -0.025   20 -0.034   14  0.000   20 0.4897   21  0.382   21 -0.075   12  0.075   16 -0.042
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      24 30 237 292  0.006 27.613   22 -0.037   22 -0.045   27 -0.087   21 0.4864    5  0.671   10  0.103   27 -0.277   15  0.017
RANGERS      24 29 201 204 -0.016 26.523   21 -0.034   21 -0.045   17 -0.013   22 0.4858   18  0.399   20 -0.074   14  0.048   30 -0.585
GIANTS       22 32 197 248  0.035 28.266   24 -0.054   24 -0.066   28 -0.091   23 0.4853   27  0.220   29 -0.299    9  0.118    7  0.279
RED SOX      22 30 194 210  0.005 26.492   23 -0.050   23 -0.062   19 -0.034   24 0.4809   17  0.402   22 -0.092   17  0.025   25 -0.303
ASTROS       24 31 242 281 -0.040 27.092   25 -0.056   25 -0.069   26 -0.086   25 0.4782   10  0.614   14  0.049   25 -0.221   11  0.104
METS         22 32 208 234 -0.015 27.136   27 -0.077   27 -0.085   25 -0.078   26 0.4761   30  0.079   30 -0.393    4  0.236    4  0.378
ROYALS       22 32 210 236  0.005 27.547   26 -0.067   26 -0.077   23 -0.047   27 0.4756   25  0.269   26 -0.216    8  0.122   10  0.140
TIGERS       21 33 207 232 -0.001 27.406   28 -0.090   28 -0.094   22 -0.046   28 0.4712   12  0.492   17 -0.025   20 -0.068   21 -0.142
ROCKIES      20 35 222 287  0.008 28.222   30 -0.125   30 -0.116   30 -0.126   29 0.4691   19  0.397   25 -0.188   19 -0.063    2  0.441
ANGELS       20 34 217 279  0.007 27.657   29 -0.113   29 -0.109   29 -0.108   30 0.4684    3  0.746    7  0.157   30 -0.373   27 -0.330

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      34 20 279 171 -0.014 26.726    3  0.107    4  0.107    2  0.187    4 0.5308   22  0.368   12  0.100    2  0.274   19 -0.133
PADRES       31 22 211 208 -0.046 25.857    8  0.038    8  0.057   15 -0.004    9 0.5150   16  0.425   19 -0.042   16  0.034   23 -0.220
DIAMONDBACKS 29 24 245 234 -0.014 26.478   10  0.021   10  0.035    8  0.026   12 0.5086    6  0.670    5  0.215   21 -0.164   20 -0.141
GIANTS       22 32 197 248  0.035 28.266   24 -0.054   24 -0.066   28 -0.091   23 0.4853   27  0.220   29 -0.299    9  0.118    7  0.279
ROCKIES      20 35 222 287  0.008 28.222   30 -0.125   30 -0.116   30 -0.126   29 0.4691   19  0.397   25 -0.188   19 -0.063    2  0.441

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      31 20 251 180  0.053 26.748    4  0.107    3  0.108    3  0.162    3 0.5315   23  0.349   13  0.059    3  0.266   12  0.102
CARDINALS    29 23 234 237  0.025 26.858    7  0.038    7  0.057   13  0.003    5 0.5169   13  0.488   15  0.020   18 -0.015   13  0.095
CUBS         29 25 254 235  0.032 27.974    9  0.027    9  0.043    6  0.040    8 0.5156    1  0.821    1  0.384   29 -0.304   29 -0.379
PIRATES      28 26 258 235 -0.020 26.878   12  0.005   13  0.010    7  0.030   11 0.5090   20  0.392   18 -0.037   10  0.097    8  0.246
REDS         28 25 236 265 -0.039 26.097   13  0.001   12  0.011   24 -0.056   13 0.5040    8  0.646    9  0.110   26 -0.222   14  0.039

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       36 18 282 180 -0.003 27.021    2  0.169    2  0.143    1  0.187    2 0.5388   11  0.526    3  0.240    7  0.135   28 -0.372
NATIONALS    28 27 298 304  0.072 29.409   11  0.019   11  0.033    9  0.024   10 0.5106    2  0.782    2  0.326   28 -0.279    5  0.313
PHILLIES     27 27 216 237 -0.009 27.209   15 -0.007   15 -0.003   20 -0.035   14 0.5013   26  0.247   27 -0.223    6  0.152    9  0.218
MARLINS      26 29 239 244  0.042 28.777   16 -0.009   16 -0.008   11  0.009   16 0.4987    4  0.690    4  0.218   24 -0.200   24 -0.285
METS         22 32 208 234 -0.015 27.136   27 -0.077   27 -0.085   25 -0.078   26 0.4761   30  0.079   30 -0.393    4  0.236    4  0.378

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    27 27 234 248 -0.036 26.626   17 -0.011   17 -0.012   21 -0.042   17 0.4959   24  0.343   24 -0.151   13  0.067    1  0.549
MARINERS     26 29 227 214 -0.033 27.136   20 -0.025   20 -0.034   14  0.000   20 0.4897   21  0.382   21 -0.075   12  0.075   16 -0.042
RANGERS      24 29 201 204 -0.016 26.523   21 -0.034   21 -0.045   17 -0.013   22 0.4858   18  0.399   20 -0.074   14  0.048   30 -0.585
ASTROS       24 31 242 281 -0.040 27.092   25 -0.056   25 -0.069   26 -0.086   25 0.4782   10  0.614   14  0.049   25 -0.221   11  0.104
ANGELS       20 34 217 279  0.007 27.657   29 -0.113   29 -0.109   29 -0.108   30 0.4684    3  0.746    7  0.157   30 -0.373   27 -0.330

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    32 24 234 219 -0.008 28.153    6  0.042    6  0.061   10  0.022    6 0.5160   15  0.441   16 -0.002   15  0.047   26 -0.317
WHITE SOX    27 26 238 253 -0.023 26.380   14 -0.005   14 -0.000   18 -0.025   15 0.4994    9  0.640    8  0.135   23 -0.185   22 -0.165
TWINS        26 28 249 247 -0.015 27.022   18 -0.016   19 -0.021   12  0.004   19 0.4927    7  0.664    6  0.187   22 -0.179   18 -0.124
ROYALS       22 32 210 236  0.005 27.547   26 -0.067   26 -0.077   23 -0.047   27 0.4756   25  0.269   26 -0.216    8  0.122   10  0.140
TIGERS       21 33 207 232 -0.001 27.406   28 -0.090   28 -0.094   22 -0.046   28 0.4712   12  0.492   17 -0.025   20 -0.068   21 -0.142

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         34 17 243 205  0.023 26.175    1  0.174    1  0.146    5  0.098    1 0.5442   14  0.473   11  0.103   11  0.094   17 -0.097
YANKEES      32 22 258 190 -0.046 26.214    5  0.046    5  0.064    4  0.106    7 0.5159   29  0.200   23 -0.119    1  0.330    3  0.422
BLUE JAYS    25 29 216 228  0.032 28.078   19 -0.017   18 -0.020   16 -0.008   18 0.4928   28  0.208   28 -0.226    5  0.210    6  0.285
ORIOLES      24 30 237 292  0.006 27.613   22 -0.037   22 -0.045   27 -0.087   21 0.4864    5  0.671   10  0.103   27 -0.277   15  0.017
RED SOX      22 30 194 210  0.005 26.492   23 -0.050   23 -0.062   19 -0.034   24 0.4809   17  0.402   22 -0.092   17  0.025   25 -0.303

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 145 119 0.549    1  0.081
NL EAST    139 133 0.511    2  0.045
AL EAST    137 128 0.517    3  0.034
NL WEST    136 133 0.506    4 -0.005
AL CENTRAL 128 143 0.472    5 -0.042
AL WEST    121 150 0.446    6 -0.112

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.049 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue May 26 05:30:05 2026
games through: Mon May 25 2026

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