Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        44 47 448 465  0.003 46.016   18 -0.010   18 -0.015   18 -0.015   18 0.4945    1  0.822    1  0.294   30 -0.324   23 -0.164
ANGELS       36 55 399 457 -0.015 45.475   30 -0.105   30 -0.101   28 -0.081   30 0.4729    2  0.734    7  0.137   29 -0.298   27 -0.266
ROCKIES      37 55 450 530  0.001 46.576   29 -0.079   29 -0.090   30 -0.097   28 0.4783    3  0.693   11  0.079   28 -0.274    4  0.280
NATIONALS    47 45 497 487  0.031 47.484   11 -0.002   11  0.022   10  0.027   10 0.5070    4  0.688    2  0.199   26 -0.145    2  0.342
WHITE SOX    47 42 428 402 -0.002 44.760   10 -0.000   10  0.025    7  0.034   11 0.5053    5  0.675    3  0.193   23 -0.125   26 -0.218
CUBS         50 40 455 409 -0.010 44.949    5  0.013    5  0.047    6  0.037    5 0.5152    6  0.660    4  0.181   22 -0.107   13 -0.010
CARDINALS    47 41 406 394  0.015 44.891    9  0.004    9  0.036   11  0.014    8 0.5107    7  0.656    6  0.154   24 -0.126   29 -0.288
ASTROS       45 48 424 469 -0.018 46.300   19 -0.013   19 -0.022   23 -0.062   19 0.4918    8  0.652   12  0.074   27 -0.198   14 -0.014
ORIOLES      42 49 416 444  0.001 45.978   22 -0.016   22 -0.034   20 -0.028   22 0.4894    9  0.622   10  0.080   25 -0.135   12  0.026
MARLINS      49 42 418 394  0.010 46.193    8  0.006    7  0.039    9  0.030    7 0.5117   10  0.580    9  0.098   19 -0.037   28 -0.278
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      46 45 475 442 -0.007 45.573   14 -0.006   14  0.003    8  0.031   12 0.5041   11  0.550   13  0.070   16 -0.008    6  0.215
REDS         41 48 372 432  0.013 45.439   21 -0.016   20 -0.031   25 -0.064   20 0.4917   12  0.550   16 -0.025   21 -0.103   17 -0.076
BRAVES       52 37 437 342 -0.010 44.382    4  0.039    4  0.073    3  0.106    4 0.5201   13  0.517    8  0.115   10  0.097   15 -0.058
GIANTS       38 52 374 431  0.034 46.739   26 -0.030   26 -0.058   24 -0.063   24 0.4872   14  0.515   20 -0.057   20 -0.070   19 -0.115
DODGERS      60 32 491 327 -0.032 44.979    1  0.201    1  0.130    1  0.172    1 0.5362   15  0.515    5  0.178    5  0.166   22 -0.161
PADRES       44 46 348 398  0.021 46.209   16 -0.008   16 -0.003   21 -0.039   15 0.5000   16  0.501   18 -0.045   17 -0.033   30 -0.335
DIAMONDBACKS 45 45 385 406  0.015 45.945   13 -0.006   13  0.006   17 -0.012   14 0.5018   17  0.494   15 -0.025   15  0.001   16 -0.064
ROYALS       37 54 384 455  0.020 46.729   28 -0.055   28 -0.078   26 -0.072   29 0.4782   18  0.465   24 -0.111   18 -0.033    7  0.180
TIGERS       40 50 379 368 -0.006 45.147   25 -0.025   25 -0.052   13  0.011   26 0.4845   19  0.451   17 -0.040   12  0.062   20 -0.117
RANGERS      45 45 367 375 -0.024 44.546   17 -0.009   17 -0.009   19 -0.023   17 0.4970   20  0.445   22 -0.080   14  0.034   25 -0.211
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED SOX      40 48 357 352  0.006 44.638   23 -0.017   23 -0.037   14  0.007   23 0.4881   21  0.405   23 -0.085    9  0.098   21 -0.150
RAYS         52 36 397 366  0.002 44.361    3  0.054    3  0.082    5  0.052    3 0.5204   22  0.385   19 -0.056    6  0.160   11  0.068
METS         38 53 369 429  0.005 46.188   27 -0.048   27 -0.074   27 -0.075   27 0.4821   23  0.357   29 -0.207   13  0.057    8  0.150
YANKEES      50 40 432 350 -0.033 44.082    7  0.006    8  0.039    4  0.079    9 0.5081   24  0.349   21 -0.061    2  0.218    5  0.252
GUARDIANS    47 44 362 371  0.012 46.344   12 -0.002   12  0.020   16 -0.006   13 0.5036   25  0.348   25 -0.146    7  0.134   18 -0.105
BLUE JAYS    42 49 357 408  0.010 46.340   20 -0.016   21 -0.031   22 -0.048   21 0.4898   26  0.332   28 -0.201    8  0.105    9  0.119
BREWERS      56 33 453 325  0.003 44.768    2  0.160    2  0.119    2  0.162    2 0.5336   27  0.326   14  0.004    1  0.320   10  0.100
MARINERS     47 44 372 345 -0.045 44.213   15 -0.007   15 -0.001   12  0.012   16 0.4984   28  0.322   26 -0.150    4  0.173   24 -0.167
ATHLETICS    41 49 416 488 -0.020 44.797   24 -0.023   24 -0.048   29 -0.082   25 0.4865   29  0.315   30 -0.250   11  0.086    1  0.729
PHILLIES     50 41 403 410  0.000 45.911    6  0.010    6  0.045   15 -0.004    6 0.5135   30  0.299   27 -0.185    3  0.177    3  0.334

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      37 55 450 530  0.001 46.576   29 -0.079   29 -0.090   30 -0.097   28 0.4783    3  0.693   11  0.079   28 -0.274    4  0.280
GIANTS       38 52 374 431  0.034 46.739   26 -0.030   26 -0.058   24 -0.063   24 0.4872   14  0.515   20 -0.057   20 -0.070   19 -0.115
DODGERS      60 32 491 327 -0.032 44.979    1  0.201    1  0.130    1  0.172    1 0.5362   15  0.515    5  0.178    5  0.166   22 -0.161
PADRES       44 46 348 398  0.021 46.209   16 -0.008   16 -0.003   21 -0.039   15 0.5000   16  0.501   18 -0.045   17 -0.033   30 -0.335
DIAMONDBACKS 45 45 385 406  0.015 45.945   13 -0.006   13  0.006   17 -0.012   14 0.5018   17  0.494   15 -0.025   15  0.001   16 -0.064

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         50 40 455 409 -0.010 44.949    5  0.013    5  0.047    6  0.037    5 0.5152    6  0.660    4  0.181   22 -0.107   13 -0.010
CARDINALS    47 41 406 394  0.015 44.891    9  0.004    9  0.036   11  0.014    8 0.5107    7  0.656    6  0.154   24 -0.126   29 -0.288
PIRATES      46 45 475 442 -0.007 45.573   14 -0.006   14  0.003    8  0.031   12 0.5041   11  0.550   13  0.070   16 -0.008    6  0.215
REDS         41 48 372 432  0.013 45.439   21 -0.016   20 -0.031   25 -0.064   20 0.4917   12  0.550   16 -0.025   21 -0.103   17 -0.076
BREWERS      56 33 453 325  0.003 44.768    2  0.160    2  0.119    2  0.162    2 0.5336   27  0.326   14  0.004    1  0.320   10  0.100

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    47 45 497 487  0.031 47.484   11 -0.002   11  0.022   10  0.027   10 0.5070    4  0.688    2  0.199   26 -0.145    2  0.342
MARLINS      49 42 418 394  0.010 46.193    8  0.006    7  0.039    9  0.030    7 0.5117   10  0.580    9  0.098   19 -0.037   28 -0.278
BRAVES       52 37 437 342 -0.010 44.382    4  0.039    4  0.073    3  0.106    4 0.5201   13  0.517    8  0.115   10  0.097   15 -0.058
METS         38 53 369 429  0.005 46.188   27 -0.048   27 -0.074   27 -0.075   27 0.4821   23  0.357   29 -0.207   13  0.057    8  0.150
PHILLIES     50 41 403 410  0.000 45.911    6  0.010    6  0.045   15 -0.004    6 0.5135   30  0.299   27 -0.185    3  0.177    3  0.334

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       36 55 399 457 -0.015 45.475   30 -0.105   30 -0.101   28 -0.081   30 0.4729    2  0.734    7  0.137   29 -0.298   27 -0.266
ASTROS       45 48 424 469 -0.018 46.300   19 -0.013   19 -0.022   23 -0.062   19 0.4918    8  0.652   12  0.074   27 -0.198   14 -0.014
RANGERS      45 45 367 375 -0.024 44.546   17 -0.009   17 -0.009   19 -0.023   17 0.4970   20  0.445   22 -0.080   14  0.034   25 -0.211
MARINERS     47 44 372 345 -0.045 44.213   15 -0.007   15 -0.001   12  0.012   16 0.4984   28  0.322   26 -0.150    4  0.173   24 -0.167
ATHLETICS    41 49 416 488 -0.020 44.797   24 -0.023   24 -0.048   29 -0.082   25 0.4865   29  0.315   30 -0.250   11  0.086    1  0.729

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        44 47 448 465  0.003 46.016   18 -0.010   18 -0.015   18 -0.015   18 0.4945    1  0.822    1  0.294   30 -0.324   23 -0.164
WHITE SOX    47 42 428 402 -0.002 44.760   10 -0.000   10  0.025    7  0.034   11 0.5053    5  0.675    3  0.193   23 -0.125   26 -0.218
ROYALS       37 54 384 455  0.020 46.729   28 -0.055   28 -0.078   26 -0.072   29 0.4782   18  0.465   24 -0.111   18 -0.033    7  0.180
TIGERS       40 50 379 368 -0.006 45.147   25 -0.025   25 -0.052   13  0.011   26 0.4845   19  0.451   17 -0.040   12  0.062   20 -0.117
GUARDIANS    47 44 362 371  0.012 46.344   12 -0.002   12  0.020   16 -0.006   13 0.5036   25  0.348   25 -0.146    7  0.134   18 -0.105

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      42 49 416 444  0.001 45.978   22 -0.016   22 -0.034   20 -0.028   22 0.4894    9  0.622   10  0.080   25 -0.135   12  0.026
RED SOX      40 48 357 352  0.006 44.638   23 -0.017   23 -0.037   14  0.007   23 0.4881   21  0.405   23 -0.085    9  0.098   21 -0.150
RAYS         52 36 397 366  0.002 44.361    3  0.054    3  0.082    5  0.052    3 0.5204   22  0.385   19 -0.056    6  0.160   11  0.068
YANKEES      50 40 432 350 -0.033 44.082    7  0.006    8  0.039    4  0.079    9 0.5081   24  0.349   21 -0.061    2  0.218    5  0.252
BLUE JAYS    42 49 357 408  0.010 46.340   20 -0.016   21 -0.031   22 -0.048   21 0.4898   26  0.332   28 -0.201    8  0.105    9  0.119

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 240 207 0.537    1  0.076
NL EAST    236 218 0.520    2  0.036
AL EAST    226 222 0.504    3  0.027
NL WEST    224 230 0.493    4 -0.019
AL CENTRAL 215 237 0.476    5 -0.020
AL WEST    214 241 0.470    6 -0.100

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.047 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Jul  7 05:30:09 2026
games through: Mon Jul  6 2026

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