Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        70 79 683 745 -0.001 74.702   23 -0.011   23 -0.045   22 -0.067   23 0.4918    1  0.737    4  0.157   29 -0.291   23 -0.149
CARDINALS    74 76 683 690  0.018 76.237   14 -0.002   14  0.001   16  0.001   14 0.5011    2  0.670    3  0.158   24 -0.155   27 -0.292
ROCKIES      55 94 696 865  0.027 76.414   29 -0.210   29 -0.179   29 -0.172   29 0.4707    3  0.666   16 -0.019   30 -0.324    2  0.306
REDS         70 79 624 769  0.027 76.420   20 -0.007   19 -0.030   28 -0.134   19 0.4949    4  0.664   12  0.017   28 -0.284   25 -0.171
CUBS         83 67 799 661  0.011 75.597    6  0.038    6  0.085    5  0.124    6 0.5148    5  0.655    1  0.266   14 -0.018   12  0.011
ASTROS       75 75 669 722 -0.034 73.197   17 -0.005   17 -0.021   23 -0.070   17 0.4957    6  0.642   10  0.058   27 -0.199   21 -0.108
ORIOLES      72 78 672 707  0.002 75.339   18 -0.006   18 -0.028   20 -0.038   18 0.4955    7  0.627    9  0.077   23 -0.152   22 -0.116
NATIONALS    70 81 772 769  0.016 76.597   22 -0.010   22 -0.043   15  0.003   22 0.4934    8  0.605    7  0.096   20 -0.091    3  0.289
WHITE SOX    76 73 695 661 -0.009 74.052   12 -0.001   12  0.010   12  0.028   13 0.5013    9  0.591    6  0.107   18 -0.052   19 -0.087
ANGELS       56 93 604 680 -0.017 73.784   30 -0.218   30 -0.192   27 -0.107   30 0.4686   10  0.571   22 -0.046   25 -0.168   28 -0.299
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       81 68 639 617  0.003 74.757    9  0.017    9  0.066   10  0.033    9 0.5108   11  0.567    8  0.091   15 -0.024   30 -0.388
MARINERS     70 80 612 670 -0.024 73.825   25 -0.018   25 -0.064   24 -0.078   25 0.4900   12  0.557   19 -0.030   22 -0.126   29 -0.306
RANGERS      74 76 624 668 -0.035 73.113   19 -0.007   20 -0.031   21 -0.065   20 0.4947   13  0.526   21 -0.046   19 -0.084   26 -0.190
GIANTS       62 88 632 709  0.003 75.483   27 -0.112   27 -0.125   25 -0.086   27 0.4797   14  0.524   23 -0.069   21 -0.103   18 -0.077
METS         69 80 643 677  0.030 76.471   21 -0.008   21 -0.037   19 -0.032   21 0.4939   15  0.515   18 -0.023   17 -0.042   16 -0.048
DIAMONDBACKS 79 71 665 663  0.007 75.524   10  0.005   10  0.043   14  0.010   10 0.5071   16  0.501   13  0.006   13  0.014   17 -0.064
MARLINS      74 76 666 660  0.008 75.612   16 -0.003   16 -0.005   13  0.011   15 0.4995   17  0.499   14  0.006   12  0.017   20 -0.095
BREWERS      93 57 778 583  0.000 74.854    1  0.206    1  0.178    1  0.206    1 0.5300   18  0.494    2  0.196    4  0.217   14 -0.007
TIGERS       70 79 666 596 -0.024 73.118   24 -0.012   24 -0.056    8  0.059   24 0.4906   19  0.474   11  0.031   11  0.088   24 -0.151
DODGERS      90 59 741 571 -0.004 74.151    2  0.170    2  0.152    2  0.175    2 0.5249   20  0.474    5  0.147    5  0.204   15 -0.043
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    61 89 656 859 -0.023 73.965   28 -0.177   28 -0.152   30 -0.206   28 0.4738   21  0.472   30 -0.235   26 -0.176    1  0.550
ROYALS       66 84 634 728 -0.007 74.842   26 -0.048   26 -0.093   26 -0.097   26 0.4837   22  0.430   28 -0.164   16 -0.030    7  0.210
PIRATES      75 75 718 692  0.022 76.406   11 -0.000   11  0.013   11  0.031   11 0.5030   23  0.425   20 -0.040   10  0.102    4  0.285
RAYS         90 59 682 613 -0.006 74.148    3  0.163    3  0.149    7  0.087    3 0.5244   24  0.410   15  0.002    7  0.171   10  0.071
BLUE JAYS    75 75 608 639  0.014 75.997   13 -0.001   13  0.008   17 -0.010   12 0.5017   25  0.369   27 -0.129    9  0.110   13  0.011
GUARDIANS    76 74 615 622 -0.015 74.277   15 -0.002   15  0.001   18 -0.022   16 0.4994   26  0.336   29 -0.169    8  0.125   11  0.021
PHILLIES     83 67 675 644  0.010 75.643    7  0.033    7  0.083    9  0.049    7 0.5136   27  0.329   25 -0.105    6  0.202    6  0.268
BRAVES       88 62 693 577  0.010 75.553    4  0.133    4  0.134    3  0.132    4 0.5219   28  0.326   17 -0.023    3  0.288    9  0.141
RED SOX      82 68 663 575 -0.004 74.779    8  0.018    8  0.067    6  0.102    8 0.5114   29  0.278   24 -0.093    2  0.297    8  0.154
YANKEES      86 63 677 552 -0.007 74.036    5  0.079    5  0.110    4  0.129    5 0.5181   30  0.218   26 -0.114    1  0.371    5  0.269

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      55 94 696 865  0.027 76.414   29 -0.210   29 -0.179   29 -0.172   29 0.4707    3  0.666   16 -0.019   30 -0.324    2  0.306
PADRES       81 68 639 617  0.003 74.757    9  0.017    9  0.066   10  0.033    9 0.5108   11  0.567    8  0.091   15 -0.024   30 -0.388
GIANTS       62 88 632 709  0.003 75.483   27 -0.112   27 -0.125   25 -0.086   27 0.4797   14  0.524   23 -0.069   21 -0.103   18 -0.077
DIAMONDBACKS 79 71 665 663  0.007 75.524   10  0.005   10  0.043   14  0.010   10 0.5071   16  0.501   13  0.006   13  0.014   17 -0.064
DODGERS      90 59 741 571 -0.004 74.151    2  0.170    2  0.152    2  0.175    2 0.5249   20  0.474    5  0.147    5  0.204   15 -0.043

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    74 76 683 690  0.018 76.237   14 -0.002   14  0.001   16  0.001   14 0.5011    2  0.670    3  0.158   24 -0.155   27 -0.292
REDS         70 79 624 769  0.027 76.420   20 -0.007   19 -0.030   28 -0.134   19 0.4949    4  0.664   12  0.017   28 -0.284   25 -0.171
CUBS         83 67 799 661  0.011 75.597    6  0.038    6  0.085    5  0.124    6 0.5148    5  0.655    1  0.266   14 -0.018   12  0.011
BREWERS      93 57 778 583  0.000 74.854    1  0.206    1  0.178    1  0.206    1 0.5300   18  0.494    2  0.196    4  0.217   14 -0.007
PIRATES      75 75 718 692  0.022 76.406   11 -0.000   11  0.013   11  0.031   11 0.5030   23  0.425   20 -0.040   10  0.102    4  0.285

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    70 81 772 769  0.016 76.597   22 -0.010   22 -0.043   15  0.003   22 0.4934    8  0.605    7  0.096   20 -0.091    3  0.289
METS         69 80 643 677  0.030 76.471   21 -0.008   21 -0.037   19 -0.032   21 0.4939   15  0.515   18 -0.023   17 -0.042   16 -0.048
MARLINS      74 76 666 660  0.008 75.612   16 -0.003   16 -0.005   13  0.011   15 0.4995   17  0.499   14  0.006   12  0.017   20 -0.095
PHILLIES     83 67 675 644  0.010 75.643    7  0.033    7  0.083    9  0.049    7 0.5136   27  0.329   25 -0.105    6  0.202    6  0.268
BRAVES       88 62 693 577  0.010 75.553    4  0.133    4  0.134    3  0.132    4 0.5219   28  0.326   17 -0.023    3  0.288    9  0.141

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       75 75 669 722 -0.034 73.197   17 -0.005   17 -0.021   23 -0.070   17 0.4957    6  0.642   10  0.058   27 -0.199   21 -0.108
ANGELS       56 93 604 680 -0.017 73.784   30 -0.218   30 -0.192   27 -0.107   30 0.4686   10  0.571   22 -0.046   25 -0.168   28 -0.299
MARINERS     70 80 612 670 -0.024 73.825   25 -0.018   25 -0.064   24 -0.078   25 0.4900   12  0.557   19 -0.030   22 -0.126   29 -0.306
RANGERS      74 76 624 668 -0.035 73.113   19 -0.007   20 -0.031   21 -0.065   20 0.4947   13  0.526   21 -0.046   19 -0.084   26 -0.190
ATHLETICS    61 89 656 859 -0.023 73.965   28 -0.177   28 -0.152   30 -0.206   28 0.4738   21  0.472   30 -0.235   26 -0.176    1  0.550

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        70 79 683 745 -0.001 74.702   23 -0.011   23 -0.045   22 -0.067   23 0.4918    1  0.737    4  0.157   29 -0.291   23 -0.149
WHITE SOX    76 73 695 661 -0.009 74.052   12 -0.001   12  0.010   12  0.028   13 0.5013    9  0.591    6  0.107   18 -0.052   19 -0.087
TIGERS       70 79 666 596 -0.024 73.118   24 -0.012   24 -0.056    8  0.059   24 0.4906   19  0.474   11  0.031   11  0.088   24 -0.151
ROYALS       66 84 634 728 -0.007 74.842   26 -0.048   26 -0.093   26 -0.097   26 0.4837   22  0.430   28 -0.164   16 -0.030    7  0.210
GUARDIANS    76 74 615 622 -0.015 74.277   15 -0.002   15  0.001   18 -0.022   16 0.4994   26  0.336   29 -0.169    8  0.125   11  0.021

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      72 78 672 707  0.002 75.339   18 -0.006   18 -0.028   20 -0.038   18 0.4955    7  0.627    9  0.077   23 -0.152   22 -0.116
RAYS         90 59 682 613 -0.006 74.148    3  0.163    3  0.149    7  0.087    3 0.5244   24  0.410   15  0.002    7  0.171   10  0.071
BLUE JAYS    75 75 608 639  0.014 75.997   13 -0.001   13  0.008   17 -0.010   12 0.5017   25  0.369   27 -0.129    9  0.110   13  0.011
RED SOX      82 68 663 575 -0.004 74.779    8  0.018    8  0.067    6  0.102    8 0.5114   29  0.278   24 -0.093    2  0.297    8  0.154
YANKEES      86 63 677 552 -0.007 74.036    5  0.079    5  0.110    4  0.129    5 0.5181   30  0.218   26 -0.114    1  0.371    5  0.269

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    405 343 0.541    1  0.079
NL CENTRAL 395 354 0.527    2  0.067
NL EAST    384 366 0.512    3  0.047
NL WEST    367 380 0.491    4 -0.011
AL CENTRAL 358 389 0.479    5 -0.029
AL WEST    336 413 0.449    6 -0.153

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.063 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Sep 14 05:30:23 2026
games through: Sun Sep 13 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.