Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.006 80.881   22 -0.007   22 -0.045   21 -0.065   22 0.4923    1  0.695    4  0.121   28 -0.252   19 -0.093
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.872   30 -0.228   30 -0.219   29 -0.196   30 0.4676    2  0.664   21 -0.040   30 -0.352    2  0.300
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.634   21 -0.006   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   19 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.005   29 -0.279   25 -0.171
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.044 79.390   20 -0.005   20 -0.039   22 -0.066   21 0.4934    4  0.638   11  0.065   25 -0.197   21 -0.119
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.876    7  0.034    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.625    1  0.237   14  0.001   11  0.030
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.005 81.048   15  0.000   15 -0.013   18 -0.022   15 0.4983    6  0.624    8  0.095   24 -0.139   24 -0.163
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.513   17 -0.002   17 -0.028   17 -0.020   17 0.4968    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.133   27 -0.225
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.013 82.044   18 -0.003   18 -0.031   15  0.004   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.109   20 -0.102    4  0.271
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.029 79.520   29 -0.226   29 -0.209   27 -0.140   29 0.4687    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.245   30 -0.356
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.016 83.519   12  0.005   12  0.023   10  0.046   13 0.5028   10  0.610    3  0.149   17 -0.058   17 -0.073
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.005 81.503    9  0.014    9  0.052   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.577   10  0.088   16 -0.058   20 -0.098
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.008 84.628    6  0.064    6  0.103    8  0.065    6 0.5151   12  0.556    5  0.117   13  0.012   29 -0.295
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.040 78.721   19 -0.005   19 -0.037   23 -0.069   20 0.4942   13  0.535   20 -0.036   19 -0.102   26 -0.195
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.010 82.027   27 -0.174   27 -0.153   25 -0.100   27 0.4774   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.127   22 -0.140
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.893   25 -0.029   25 -0.075   24 -0.090   25 0.4885   15  0.519   23 -0.072   21 -0.108   28 -0.234
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.707   23 -0.012   23 -0.057   20 -0.037   23 0.4919   16  0.514   18 -0.023   15 -0.052   16 -0.052
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.096   14  0.002   14 -0.001   14  0.014   14 0.5004   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.014   18 -0.093
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.020 79.787   24 -0.014   24 -0.062    9  0.055   24 0.4905   18  0.487   12  0.044   11  0.065   23 -0.156
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.028 79.684   28 -0.220   28 -0.189   30 -0.245   28 0.4706   19  0.463   30 -0.277   26 -0.212    1  0.563
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.405   11  0.006   13  0.022   11  0.033   11 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.018    9  0.085    7  0.234
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      110  60 866 639  0.009 85.420    1  0.235    1  0.248    1  0.243    1 0.5376   21  0.433    2  0.185    2  0.301   12  0.029
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.007 80.861   26 -0.119   26 -0.126   26 -0.123   26 0.4803   22  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.064    3  0.284
DODGERS      103  67 826 629 -0.001 84.844    3  0.210    3  0.175    2  0.202    3 0.5261   23  0.393    7  0.108    3  0.295   13  0.017
RAYS         105  66 771 673 -0.002 85.361    2  0.218    2  0.186    6  0.117    2 0.5274   24  0.387   13  0.018    6  0.216   10  0.033
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.737   16 -0.000   16 -0.016   19 -0.030   16 0.4980   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.084   14  0.015
GUARDIANS     90  83 719 707 -0.013 85.838   13  0.005   11  0.025   16 -0.006   12 0.5031   26  0.361   27 -0.127    8  0.115   15 -0.027
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.390    4  0.125    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.330   17 -0.021    4  0.272    8  0.104
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.751    8  0.028    8  0.074   12  0.032    8 0.5112   28  0.317   26 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.262
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.004 82.338   10  0.013   10  0.051    7  0.077    9 0.5082   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.270    9  0.086
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.005 82.678    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.150    5 0.5178   30  0.240   22 -0.070    1  0.370    6  0.260

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.872   30 -0.228   30 -0.219   29 -0.196   30 0.4676    2  0.664   21 -0.040   30 -0.352    2  0.300
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.005 81.503    9  0.014    9  0.052   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.577   10  0.088   16 -0.058   20 -0.098
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.008 84.628    6  0.064    6  0.103    8  0.065    6 0.5151   12  0.556    5  0.117   13  0.012   29 -0.295
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.010 82.027   27 -0.174   27 -0.153   25 -0.100   27 0.4774   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.127   22 -0.140
DODGERS      103  67 826 629 -0.001 84.844    3  0.210    3  0.175    2  0.202    3 0.5261   23  0.393    7  0.108    3  0.295   13  0.017

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.634   21 -0.006   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   19 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.005   29 -0.279   25 -0.171
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.876    7  0.034    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.625    1  0.237   14  0.001   11  0.030
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.513   17 -0.002   17 -0.028   17 -0.020   17 0.4968    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.133   27 -0.225
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.405   11  0.006   13  0.022   11  0.033   11 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.018    9  0.085    7  0.234
BREWERS      110  60 866 639  0.009 85.420    1  0.235    1  0.248    1  0.243    1 0.5376   21  0.433    2  0.185    2  0.301   12  0.029

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.013 82.044   18 -0.003   18 -0.031   15  0.004   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.109   20 -0.102    4  0.271
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.707   23 -0.012   23 -0.057   20 -0.037   23 0.4919   16  0.514   18 -0.023   15 -0.052   16 -0.052
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.096   14  0.002   14 -0.001   14  0.014   14 0.5004   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.014   18 -0.093
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.390    4  0.125    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.330   17 -0.021    4  0.272    8  0.104
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.751    8  0.028    8  0.074   12  0.032    8 0.5112   28  0.317   26 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.262

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.044 79.390   20 -0.005   20 -0.039   22 -0.066   21 0.4934    4  0.638   11  0.065   25 -0.197   21 -0.119
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.029 79.520   29 -0.226   29 -0.209   27 -0.140   29 0.4687    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.245   30 -0.356
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.040 78.721   19 -0.005   19 -0.037   23 -0.069   20 0.4942   13  0.535   20 -0.036   19 -0.102   26 -0.195
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.893   25 -0.029   25 -0.075   24 -0.090   25 0.4885   15  0.519   23 -0.072   21 -0.108   28 -0.234
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.028 79.684   28 -0.220   28 -0.189   30 -0.245   28 0.4706   19  0.463   30 -0.277   26 -0.212    1  0.563

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.006 80.881   22 -0.007   22 -0.045   21 -0.065   22 0.4923    1  0.695    4  0.121   28 -0.252   19 -0.093
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.016 83.519   12  0.005   12  0.023   10  0.046   13 0.5028   10  0.610    3  0.149   17 -0.058   17 -0.073
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.020 79.787   24 -0.014   24 -0.062    9  0.055   24 0.4905   18  0.487   12  0.044   11  0.065   23 -0.156
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.007 80.861   26 -0.119   26 -0.126   26 -0.123   26 0.4803   22  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.064    3  0.284
GUARDIANS     90  83 719 707 -0.013 85.838   13  0.005   11  0.025   16 -0.006   12 0.5031   26  0.361   27 -0.127    8  0.115   15 -0.027

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.005 81.048   15  0.000   15 -0.013   18 -0.022   15 0.4983    6  0.624    8  0.095   24 -0.139   24 -0.163
RAYS         105  66 771 673 -0.002 85.361    2  0.218    2  0.186    6  0.117    2 0.5274   24  0.387   13  0.018    6  0.216   10  0.033
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.737   16 -0.000   16 -0.016   19 -0.030   16 0.4980   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.084   14  0.015
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.004 82.338   10  0.013   10  0.051    7  0.077    9 0.5082   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.270    9  0.086
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.005 82.678    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.150    5 0.5178   30  0.240   22 -0.070    1  0.370    6  0.260

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    445 379 0.540    1  0.079
NL CENTRAL 433 387 0.528    2  0.063
NL EAST    417 403 0.509    3  0.038
NL WEST    406 418 0.493    4 -0.004
AL CENTRAL 400 428 0.483    5 -0.025
AL WEST    363 449 0.447    6 -0.164

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.057 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 20 05:30:14 2026
games through: Mon Oct 19 2026

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