Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       26 42 305 348  0.018 35.149   29 -0.112   29 -0.108   27 -0.071   29 0.4726    1  0.825    2  0.256   30 -0.399   29 -0.287
TWINS        30 38 312 344 -0.021 34.030   23 -0.050   23 -0.066   23 -0.055   24 0.4821    2  0.768    6  0.213   29 -0.323   20 -0.169
CUBS         34 33 306 307  0.009 34.258   13  0.001   13  0.011   14 -0.001   10 0.5062    3  0.731    4  0.228   27 -0.230   26 -0.268
ORIOLES      31 37 317 352  0.002 34.657   21 -0.030   21 -0.042   21 -0.050   21 0.4880    4  0.729    7  0.178   28 -0.278   17 -0.026
NATIONALS    35 33 362 354  0.048 35.770    8  0.014    8  0.033    6  0.035    7 0.5104    5  0.721    3  0.254   22 -0.185    7  0.245
WHITE SOX    35 31 316 307 -0.031 32.658   12  0.005   11  0.017    9  0.014   13 0.5034    6  0.706    5  0.218   25 -0.190   27 -0.279
DIAMONDBACKS 34 32 289 303  0.022 34.087   10  0.008   10  0.023   13  0.000   11 0.5046    7  0.634    8  0.134   21 -0.133   23 -0.233
ASTROS       31 38 313 350 -0.011 34.819   22 -0.039   22 -0.055   25 -0.066   22 0.4840    8  0.624   12  0.058   24 -0.190   10  0.103
BRAVES       45 22 349 234 -0.012 33.452    1  0.205    1  0.164    2  0.185    1 0.5411    9  0.602    1  0.288   12  0.082   30 -0.370
REDS         32 34 282 335 -0.033 32.739   20 -0.020   20 -0.028   29 -0.094   20 0.4941   10  0.590   14 -0.002   23 -0.186   14  0.007
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      32 35 286 302  0.036 35.021   16 -0.007   16 -0.007   16 -0.012   16 0.5001   11  0.585   11  0.074   20 -0.098   22 -0.196
ROCKIES      25 42 291 386  0.013 34.618   30 -0.136   30 -0.119   30 -0.147   30 0.4714   12  0.575   20 -0.070   26 -0.224    2  0.419
TIGERS       28 39 270 288 -0.012 33.748   27 -0.071   27 -0.083   19 -0.037   28 0.4777   13  0.514   16 -0.016   18 -0.057   19 -0.127
PIRATES      34 33 336 315 -0.016 33.561   14 -0.002   14  0.002    8  0.025   12 0.5045   14  0.505   13  0.037   17  0.012    6  0.265
GIANTS       27 41 278 330  0.038 35.715   28 -0.073   28 -0.084   28 -0.088   25 0.4818   15  0.485   22 -0.094   19 -0.083   16 -0.010
BREWERS      41 24 349 245 -0.002 32.739    3  0.134    3  0.125    3  0.177    3 0.5320   16  0.439    9  0.130    5  0.224   11  0.059
RAYS         39 25 290 280 -0.008 32.250    4  0.081    4  0.100    7  0.032    4 0.5244   17  0.432   17 -0.021   10  0.086   13  0.029
GUARDIANS    37 32 279 281  0.011 35.348    7  0.018    7  0.041   12  0.002    9 0.5089   18  0.427   18 -0.056   14  0.059   25 -0.245
RED SOX      27 38 253 265  0.018 33.517   26 -0.056   26 -0.073   17 -0.018   26 0.4816   19  0.415   21 -0.086   15  0.049   24 -0.234
CARDINALS    36 28 285 280  0.010 32.728    6  0.039    6  0.063   11  0.011    6 0.5165   20  0.409   19 -0.062   11  0.084    9  0.106
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS       28 39 263 309  0.024 34.758   25 -0.056   25 -0.071   26 -0.066   27 0.4799   21  0.381   25 -0.163   16  0.032   12  0.042
DODGERS      43 24 357 215 -0.031 32.866    2  0.141    2  0.127    1  0.217    2 0.5323   22  0.379   10  0.118    1  0.315   18 -0.066
RANGERS      32 34 265 253 -0.013 33.152   18 -0.013   19 -0.019   10  0.011   19 0.4949   23  0.350   24 -0.112    8  0.134   28 -0.285
PADRES       34 32 250 266 -0.038 32.577   15 -0.003   15  0.001   20 -0.043   15 0.5003   24  0.338   26 -0.176    9  0.091   21 -0.184
ATHLETICS    32 35 294 336  0.016 34.536   19 -0.014   18 -0.015   24 -0.057   18 0.4954   25  0.333   27 -0.194   13  0.081    1  0.642
MARINERS     36 32 290 257 -0.031 33.637   11  0.006   12  0.017    5  0.037   14 0.5031   26  0.322   23 -0.109    6  0.184   15 -0.005
YANKEES      40 26 334 235 -0.029 32.556    5  0.077    5  0.091    4  0.150    5 0.5215   27  0.310   15 -0.007    2  0.307    5  0.273
BLUE JAYS    33 35 277 292  0.015 34.969   17 -0.007   17 -0.008   15 -0.011   17 0.4967   28  0.277   28 -0.195    7  0.172    8  0.177
PHILLIES     36 31 269 286 -0.013 33.707    9  0.012    9  0.031   18 -0.025    8 0.5102   29  0.176   29 -0.288    4  0.239    4  0.300
METS         29 37 265 277 -0.025 32.918   24 -0.053   24 -0.068   22 -0.051   23 0.4836   30  0.132   30 -0.347    3  0.245    3  0.310

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 34 32 289 303  0.022 34.087   10  0.008   10  0.023   13  0.000   11 0.5046    7  0.634    8  0.134   21 -0.133   23 -0.233
ROCKIES      25 42 291 386  0.013 34.618   30 -0.136   30 -0.119   30 -0.147   30 0.4714   12  0.575   20 -0.070   26 -0.224    2  0.419
GIANTS       27 41 278 330  0.038 35.715   28 -0.073   28 -0.084   28 -0.088   25 0.4818   15  0.485   22 -0.094   19 -0.083   16 -0.010
DODGERS      43 24 357 215 -0.031 32.866    2  0.141    2  0.127    1  0.217    2 0.5323   22  0.379   10  0.118    1  0.315   18 -0.066
PADRES       34 32 250 266 -0.038 32.577   15 -0.003   15  0.001   20 -0.043   15 0.5003   24  0.338   26 -0.176    9  0.091   21 -0.184

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         34 33 306 307  0.009 34.258   13  0.001   13  0.011   14 -0.001   10 0.5062    3  0.731    4  0.228   27 -0.230   26 -0.268
REDS         32 34 282 335 -0.033 32.739   20 -0.020   20 -0.028   29 -0.094   20 0.4941   10  0.590   14 -0.002   23 -0.186   14  0.007
PIRATES      34 33 336 315 -0.016 33.561   14 -0.002   14  0.002    8  0.025   12 0.5045   14  0.505   13  0.037   17  0.012    6  0.265
BREWERS      41 24 349 245 -0.002 32.739    3  0.134    3  0.125    3  0.177    3 0.5320   16  0.439    9  0.130    5  0.224   11  0.059
CARDINALS    36 28 285 280  0.010 32.728    6  0.039    6  0.063   11  0.011    6 0.5165   20  0.409   19 -0.062   11  0.084    9  0.106

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    35 33 362 354  0.048 35.770    8  0.014    8  0.033    6  0.035    7 0.5104    5  0.721    3  0.254   22 -0.185    7  0.245
BRAVES       45 22 349 234 -0.012 33.452    1  0.205    1  0.164    2  0.185    1 0.5411    9  0.602    1  0.288   12  0.082   30 -0.370
MARLINS      32 35 286 302  0.036 35.021   16 -0.007   16 -0.007   16 -0.012   16 0.5001   11  0.585   11  0.074   20 -0.098   22 -0.196
PHILLIES     36 31 269 286 -0.013 33.707    9  0.012    9  0.031   18 -0.025    8 0.5102   29  0.176   29 -0.288    4  0.239    4  0.300
METS         29 37 265 277 -0.025 32.918   24 -0.053   24 -0.068   22 -0.051   23 0.4836   30  0.132   30 -0.347    3  0.245    3  0.310

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       26 42 305 348  0.018 35.149   29 -0.112   29 -0.108   27 -0.071   29 0.4726    1  0.825    2  0.256   30 -0.399   29 -0.287
ASTROS       31 38 313 350 -0.011 34.819   22 -0.039   22 -0.055   25 -0.066   22 0.4840    8  0.624   12  0.058   24 -0.190   10  0.103
RANGERS      32 34 265 253 -0.013 33.152   18 -0.013   19 -0.019   10  0.011   19 0.4949   23  0.350   24 -0.112    8  0.134   28 -0.285
ATHLETICS    32 35 294 336  0.016 34.536   19 -0.014   18 -0.015   24 -0.057   18 0.4954   25  0.333   27 -0.194   13  0.081    1  0.642
MARINERS     36 32 290 257 -0.031 33.637   11  0.006   12  0.017    5  0.037   14 0.5031   26  0.322   23 -0.109    6  0.184   15 -0.005

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        30 38 312 344 -0.021 34.030   23 -0.050   23 -0.066   23 -0.055   24 0.4821    2  0.768    6  0.213   29 -0.323   20 -0.169
WHITE SOX    35 31 316 307 -0.031 32.658   12  0.005   11  0.017    9  0.014   13 0.5034    6  0.706    5  0.218   25 -0.190   27 -0.279
TIGERS       28 39 270 288 -0.012 33.748   27 -0.071   27 -0.083   19 -0.037   28 0.4777   13  0.514   16 -0.016   18 -0.057   19 -0.127
GUARDIANS    37 32 279 281  0.011 35.348    7  0.018    7  0.041   12  0.002    9 0.5089   18  0.427   18 -0.056   14  0.059   25 -0.245
ROYALS       28 39 263 309  0.024 34.758   25 -0.056   25 -0.071   26 -0.066   27 0.4799   21  0.381   25 -0.163   16  0.032   12  0.042

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      31 37 317 352  0.002 34.657   21 -0.030   21 -0.042   21 -0.050   21 0.4880    4  0.729    7  0.178   28 -0.278   17 -0.026
RAYS         39 25 290 280 -0.008 32.250    4  0.081    4  0.100    7  0.032    4 0.5244   17  0.432   17 -0.021   10  0.086   13  0.029
RED SOX      27 38 253 265  0.018 33.517   26 -0.056   26 -0.073   17 -0.018   26 0.4816   19  0.415   21 -0.086   15  0.049   24 -0.234
YANKEES      40 26 334 235 -0.029 32.556    5  0.077    5  0.091    4  0.150    5 0.5215   27  0.310   15 -0.007    2  0.307    5  0.273
BLUE JAYS    33 35 277 292  0.015 34.969   17 -0.007   17 -0.008   15 -0.011   17 0.4967   28  0.277   28 -0.195    7  0.172    8  0.177

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL EAST    177 158 0.528    1  0.052
NL CENTRAL 177 152 0.538    2  0.048
AL EAST    170 161 0.514    3  0.042
NL WEST    163 171 0.488    4 -0.027
AL CENTRAL 158 179 0.469    5 -0.058
AL WEST    157 181 0.464    6 -0.058

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.044 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Jun 10 05:30:05 2026
games through: Tue Jun  9 2026

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