Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    49 80 557 746 -0.014 64.049   30 -0.211   30 -0.171   30 -0.206   30 0.4681   21  0.428   30 -0.269   25 -0.142    1  0.645
NATIONALS    61 69 678 662  0.020 65.977   20 -0.004   21 -0.030   13  0.021   19 0.4955    8  0.604    6  0.118   22 -0.077    2  0.340
ROCKIES      50 78 612 742  0.013 64.851   28 -0.159   28 -0.142   29 -0.150   28 0.4754    2  0.701   14  0.043   30 -0.342    3  0.311
PHILLIES     71 58 581 565  0.009 64.888    7  0.029    7  0.073   11  0.034    7 0.5125   27  0.336   22 -0.108    5  0.176    4  0.284
YANKEES      73 55 568 472  0.002 63.939    6  0.062    6  0.096    5  0.113    6 0.5173   30  0.196   27 -0.142    1  0.367    5  0.251
PIRATES      63 67 650 620  0.020 65.950   15  0.001   15 -0.010   10  0.034   14 0.4996   13  0.523   13  0.056   13  0.012    6  0.243
ROYALS       56 74 546 643 -0.007 64.770   26 -0.064   26 -0.099   26 -0.107   26 0.4816   19  0.443   28 -0.157   19 -0.057    7  0.202
BRAVES       75 54 609 498  0.005 64.609    4  0.095    4  0.114    3  0.133    4 0.5195   26  0.378   15  0.026    4  0.240    8  0.139
RED SOX      69 59 581 484  0.001 63.909    8  0.017    8  0.055    4  0.117    8 0.5103   28  0.315   19 -0.043    3  0.276    9  0.109
METS         58 71 535 579  0.027 65.942   25 -0.014   25 -0.055   20 -0.045   25 0.4901   23  0.413   24 -0.121   11  0.031   10  0.049
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      80 49 644 484  0.001 64.340    1  0.202    1  0.165    1  0.188    1 0.5297   25  0.396    8  0.097    2  0.279   11  0.047
GUARDIANS    63 66 516 531 -0.002 64.406   16 -0.001   17 -0.017   17 -0.023   16 0.4969   29  0.295   29 -0.199    6  0.153   12  0.044
RAYS         76 52 582 539 -0.007 63.523    3  0.115    3  0.123    8  0.064    3 0.5217   18  0.455   16  0.024    9  0.103   13  0.012
TIGERS       61 67 579 500 -0.022 62.728   23 -0.007   23 -0.041    7  0.078   23 0.4921   22  0.423   17  0.010    7  0.146   14 -0.036
BLUE JAYS    63 67 514 565  0.031 66.627   14  0.002   14 -0.004   18 -0.027   15 0.4995   24  0.401   23 -0.114   10  0.060   15 -0.042
ASTROS       65 64 587 629 -0.046 62.217   18 -0.002   18 -0.020   24 -0.073   20 0.4953    6  0.652   10  0.071   27 -0.217   16 -0.047
CUBS         74 55 661 562  0.001 64.414    5  0.067    5  0.100    6  0.095    5 0.5184    7  0.632    1  0.220   17 -0.030   17 -0.059
GIANTS       52 76 517 595  0.004 64.346   27 -0.115   27 -0.124   25 -0.099   27 0.4779   17  0.460   26 -0.135   20 -0.064   18 -0.061
DIAMONDBACKS 68 61 588 575  0.017 65.310   10  0.013   10  0.046   12  0.030   10 0.5080   10  0.550    9  0.077   15 -0.017   19 -0.080
REDS         61 68 523 621  0.008 65.059   22 -0.005   22 -0.033   27 -0.111   22 0.4937   12  0.527   21 -0.085   24 -0.136   20 -0.084
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      78 51 645 499 -0.010 63.795    2  0.153    2  0.138    2  0.157    2 0.5252   14  0.517    4  0.173    8  0.140   21 -0.117
ORIOLES      62 67 579 613  0.008 64.961   19 -0.002   19 -0.022   19 -0.029   18 0.4960    4  0.664    5  0.126   26 -0.185   22 -0.136
RANGERS      64 65 516 561 -0.044 62.300   21 -0.004   20 -0.030   23 -0.072   21 0.4942   20  0.431   25 -0.132   14 -0.011   23 -0.147
MARLINS      65 64 563 548  0.004 64.641   13  0.003   13  0.008   16  0.017   13 0.5019   15  0.489   18  0.007   12  0.026   24 -0.170
WHITE SOX    67 61 611 564 -0.003 63.757   11  0.008   11  0.030    9  0.053   12 0.5049    5  0.661    3  0.206   23 -0.100   25 -0.191
TWINS        63 66 594 639  0.000 64.567   17 -0.001   16 -0.016   21 -0.048   17 0.4968    1  0.773    2  0.217   29 -0.313   26 -0.208
CARDINALS    66 64 578 569  0.019 65.966   12  0.006   12  0.021   15  0.018   11 0.5052    9  0.596    7  0.108   21 -0.072   27 -0.242
PADRES       69 60 549 542  0.005 64.733    9  0.014    9  0.050   14  0.018    9 0.5088   11  0.543   12  0.058   16 -0.022   28 -0.305
MARINERS     61 68 506 551 -0.017 63.695   24 -0.011   24 -0.046   22 -0.063   24 0.4919   16  0.480   20 -0.080   18 -0.046   29 -0.313
ANGELS       51 78 531 602 -0.032 63.016   29 -0.188   29 -0.160   28 -0.115   29 0.4720    3  0.687   11  0.063   28 -0.294   30 -0.441

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      50 78 612 742  0.013 64.851   28 -0.159   28 -0.142   29 -0.150   28 0.4754    2  0.701   14  0.043   30 -0.342    3  0.311
GIANTS       52 76 517 595  0.004 64.346   27 -0.115   27 -0.124   25 -0.099   27 0.4779   17  0.460   26 -0.135   20 -0.064   18 -0.061
DIAMONDBACKS 68 61 588 575  0.017 65.310   10  0.013   10  0.046   12  0.030   10 0.5080   10  0.550    9  0.077   15 -0.017   19 -0.080
DODGERS      78 51 645 499 -0.010 63.795    2  0.153    2  0.138    2  0.157    2 0.5252   14  0.517    4  0.173    8  0.140   21 -0.117
PADRES       69 60 549 542  0.005 64.733    9  0.014    9  0.050   14  0.018    9 0.5088   11  0.543   12  0.058   16 -0.022   28 -0.305

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      63 67 650 620  0.020 65.950   15  0.001   15 -0.010   10  0.034   14 0.4996   13  0.523   13  0.056   13  0.012    6  0.243
BREWERS      80 49 644 484  0.001 64.340    1  0.202    1  0.165    1  0.188    1 0.5297   25  0.396    8  0.097    2  0.279   11  0.047
CUBS         74 55 661 562  0.001 64.414    5  0.067    5  0.100    6  0.095    5 0.5184    7  0.632    1  0.220   17 -0.030   17 -0.059
REDS         61 68 523 621  0.008 65.059   22 -0.005   22 -0.033   27 -0.111   22 0.4937   12  0.527   21 -0.085   24 -0.136   20 -0.084
CARDINALS    66 64 578 569  0.019 65.966   12  0.006   12  0.021   15  0.018   11 0.5052    9  0.596    7  0.108   21 -0.072   27 -0.242

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    61 69 678 662  0.020 65.977   20 -0.004   21 -0.030   13  0.021   19 0.4955    8  0.604    6  0.118   22 -0.077    2  0.340
PHILLIES     71 58 581 565  0.009 64.888    7  0.029    7  0.073   11  0.034    7 0.5125   27  0.336   22 -0.108    5  0.176    4  0.284
BRAVES       75 54 609 498  0.005 64.609    4  0.095    4  0.114    3  0.133    4 0.5195   26  0.378   15  0.026    4  0.240    8  0.139
METS         58 71 535 579  0.027 65.942   25 -0.014   25 -0.055   20 -0.045   25 0.4901   23  0.413   24 -0.121   11  0.031   10  0.049
MARLINS      65 64 563 548  0.004 64.641   13  0.003   13  0.008   16  0.017   13 0.5019   15  0.489   18  0.007   12  0.026   24 -0.170

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    49 80 557 746 -0.014 64.049   30 -0.211   30 -0.171   30 -0.206   30 0.4681   21  0.428   30 -0.269   25 -0.142    1  0.645
ASTROS       65 64 587 629 -0.046 62.217   18 -0.002   18 -0.020   24 -0.073   20 0.4953    6  0.652   10  0.071   27 -0.217   16 -0.047
RANGERS      64 65 516 561 -0.044 62.300   21 -0.004   20 -0.030   23 -0.072   21 0.4942   20  0.431   25 -0.132   14 -0.011   23 -0.147
MARINERS     61 68 506 551 -0.017 63.695   24 -0.011   24 -0.046   22 -0.063   24 0.4919   16  0.480   20 -0.080   18 -0.046   29 -0.313
ANGELS       51 78 531 602 -0.032 63.016   29 -0.188   29 -0.160   28 -0.115   29 0.4720    3  0.687   11  0.063   28 -0.294   30 -0.441

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS       56 74 546 643 -0.007 64.770   26 -0.064   26 -0.099   26 -0.107   26 0.4816   19  0.443   28 -0.157   19 -0.057    7  0.202
GUARDIANS    63 66 516 531 -0.002 64.406   16 -0.001   17 -0.017   17 -0.023   16 0.4969   29  0.295   29 -0.199    6  0.153   12  0.044
TIGERS       61 67 579 500 -0.022 62.728   23 -0.007   23 -0.041    7  0.078   23 0.4921   22  0.423   17  0.010    7  0.146   14 -0.036
WHITE SOX    67 61 611 564 -0.003 63.757   11  0.008   11  0.030    9  0.053   12 0.5049    5  0.661    3  0.206   23 -0.100   25 -0.191
TWINS        63 66 594 639  0.000 64.567   17 -0.001   16 -0.016   21 -0.048   17 0.4968    1  0.773    2  0.217   29 -0.313   26 -0.208

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      73 55 568 472  0.002 63.939    6  0.062    6  0.096    5  0.113    6 0.5173   30  0.196   27 -0.142    1  0.367    5  0.251
RED SOX      69 59 581 484  0.001 63.909    8  0.017    8  0.055    4  0.117    8 0.5103   28  0.315   19 -0.043    3  0.276    9  0.109
RAYS         76 52 582 539 -0.007 63.523    3  0.115    3  0.123    8  0.064    3 0.5217   18  0.455   16  0.024    9  0.103   13  0.012
BLUE JAYS    63 67 514 565  0.031 66.627   14  0.002   14 -0.004   18 -0.027   15 0.4995   24  0.401   23 -0.114   10  0.060   15 -0.042
ORIOLES      62 67 579 613  0.008 64.961   19 -0.002   19 -0.022   19 -0.029   18 0.4960    4  0.664    5  0.126   26 -0.185   22 -0.136

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    343 300 0.533    1  0.073
NL CENTRAL 344 303 0.532    2  0.069
NL EAST    330 316 0.511    3  0.049
NL WEST    317 326 0.493    4 -0.014
AL CENTRAL 310 334 0.481    5 -0.014
AL WEST    290 355 0.450    6 -0.163

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.058 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Aug 22 05:30:10 2026
games through: Fri Aug 21 2026

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