Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       41 109 558 955  0.024 76.182   30 -0.394   30 -0.378   30 -0.433   30 0.4459   26  0.355   30 -0.559   28 -0.308    1  0.683
PHILLIES      89  61 728 603 -0.026 72.498    3  0.159    3  0.141    4  0.128    3 0.5203   28  0.319   16 -0.027    1  0.283    2  0.318
DODGERS       84  65 762 641 -0.034 71.508    8  0.048    9  0.085    8  0.105    9 0.5118   18  0.475   10  0.085    6  0.125    3  0.250
TWINS         65  84 632 721  0.002 73.998   27 -0.076   27 -0.106   25 -0.092   27 0.4846   17  0.486   24 -0.103   22 -0.081    4  0.134
TIGERS        85  65 729 634 -0.015 73.194    6  0.077    6  0.103    7  0.112    6 0.5146   14  0.491    9  0.106    7  0.118    5  0.133
ORIOLES       69  80 635 729  0.022 75.225   22 -0.015   21 -0.048   24 -0.087   21 0.4936   16  0.490   23 -0.094   21 -0.080    6  0.133
ATHLETICS     70  80 694 764  0.011 74.984   21 -0.014   23 -0.049   21 -0.049   22 0.4936    6  0.631   11  0.076   26 -0.173    7  0.131
DIAMONDBACKS  75  75 743 720 -0.019 73.069   19 -0.002   19 -0.013   14  0.021   19 0.4979    7  0.611    8  0.127   23 -0.084    8  0.108
REDS          74  75 665 645 -0.000 73.717   17  0.000   17 -0.006   16  0.018   18 0.4991   21  0.432   20 -0.041   13  0.076    9  0.073
RAYS          73  76 667 618  0.014 74.511   18 -0.000   18 -0.008   12  0.046   17 0.4991   24  0.408   18 -0.034    5  0.125   10  0.070
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     87  62 749 663  0.015 74.517    2  0.177    2  0.152    6  0.115    2 0.5220   10  0.571    4  0.183   15  0.048   11  0.055
METS          77  73 704 658 -0.011 73.547   14  0.005   14  0.016   13  0.035   14 0.5020   15  0.491   14  0.029   17  0.041   12  0.035
RED SOX       82  68 736 632  0.010 74.692    7  0.049    7  0.086    5  0.116    8 0.5123   12  0.529    6  0.144   11  0.088   13  0.030
ANGELS        69  81 639 770  0.029 76.142   23 -0.016   22 -0.049   28 -0.112   23 0.4929    8  0.604   15 -0.013   27 -0.210   14  0.024
BRAVES        66  83 646 692  0.002 73.972   25 -0.054   25 -0.094   20 -0.047   25 0.4864   13  0.506   19 -0.039   20 -0.055   15 -0.002
NATIONALS     62  87 637 811  0.001 74.132   28 -0.161   28 -0.142   29 -0.208   28 0.4798    3  0.687   17 -0.027   30 -0.388   16 -0.003
WHITE SOX     57  93 600 683  0.014 75.252   29 -0.229   29 -0.192   27 -0.104   29 0.4725   20  0.434   27 -0.161   19 -0.047   17 -0.010
PIRATES       65  85 540 610  0.013 75.154   26 -0.071   26 -0.104   23 -0.066   26 0.4851   30  0.191   29 -0.323    3  0.192   18 -0.013
GIANTS        75  74 651 629 -0.010 73.152   16  0.001   16 -0.001   17  0.009   15 0.4995   22  0.416   22 -0.063   12  0.082   19 -0.020
PADRES        82  68 641 578 -0.025 72.635   10  0.023   11  0.062   11  0.055   11 0.5087   29  0.309   25 -0.108    2  0.218   20 -0.052
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     78  71 580 611 -0.006 73.489   13  0.010   13  0.035   19 -0.033   13 0.5046   27  0.332   28 -0.177    8  0.110   21 -0.058
ASTROS        81  69 635 615 -0.005 73.910   11  0.023   10  0.063   15  0.019   10 0.5094   23  0.413   21 -0.056   10  0.093   22 -0.064
CUBS          85  64 727 605 -0.002 73.412    4  0.109    4  0.118    3  0.133    5 0.5164   11  0.535    5  0.167    9  0.098   23 -0.065
YANKEES       83  66 774 645  0.022 74.864    5  0.096    5  0.111    2  0.158    4 0.5165    2  0.694    1  0.344   18 -0.029   24 -0.124
CARDINALS     73  77 642 694  0.004 74.612   20 -0.004   20 -0.021   22 -0.056   20 0.4966    9  0.602   13  0.040   25 -0.153   25 -0.156
BREWERS       91  59 762 589 -0.008 73.524    1  0.213    1  0.175    1  0.188    1 0.5246    5  0.636    2  0.318   14  0.058   26 -0.217
MARLINS       70  80 655 749 -0.006 74.078   24 -0.023   24 -0.061   26 -0.098   24 0.4907    1  0.743    7  0.139   29 -0.334   27 -0.275
ROYALS        75  75 577 589 -0.001 74.287   15  0.001   15  0.000   18 -0.033   16 0.4993   25  0.408   26 -0.112   16  0.047   28 -0.287
MARINERS      82  68 705 654  0.010 74.781    9  0.047    8  0.085   10  0.062    7 0.5127    4  0.685    3  0.240   24 -0.116   29 -0.392
RANGERS       79  71 643 549  0.005 74.436   12  0.018   12  0.050    9  0.100   12 0.5077   19  0.449   12  0.056    4  0.143   30 -0.439
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       41 109 558 955  0.024 76.182   30 -0.394   30 -0.378   30 -0.433   30 0.4459   26  0.355   30 -0.559   28 -0.308    1  0.683
DODGERS       84  65 762 641 -0.034 71.508    8  0.048    9  0.085    8  0.105    9 0.5118   18  0.475   10  0.085    6  0.125    3  0.250
DIAMONDBACKS  75  75 743 720 -0.019 73.069   19 -0.002   19 -0.013   14  0.021   19 0.4979    7  0.611    8  0.127   23 -0.084    8  0.108
GIANTS        75  74 651 629 -0.010 73.152   16  0.001   16 -0.001   17  0.009   15 0.4995   22  0.416   22 -0.063   12  0.082   19 -0.020
PADRES        82  68 641 578 -0.025 72.635   10  0.023   11  0.062   11  0.055   11 0.5087   29  0.309   25 -0.108    2  0.218   20 -0.052

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS          74  75 665 645 -0.000 73.717   17  0.000   17 -0.006   16  0.018   18 0.4991   21  0.432   20 -0.041   13  0.076    9  0.073
PIRATES       65  85 540 610  0.013 75.154   26 -0.071   26 -0.104   23 -0.066   26 0.4851   30  0.191   29 -0.323    3  0.192   18 -0.013
CUBS          85  64 727 605 -0.002 73.412    4  0.109    4  0.118    3  0.133    5 0.5164   11  0.535    5  0.167    9  0.098   23 -0.065
CARDINALS     73  77 642 694  0.004 74.612   20 -0.004   20 -0.021   22 -0.056   20 0.4966    9  0.602   13  0.040   25 -0.153   25 -0.156
BREWERS       91  59 762 589 -0.008 73.524    1  0.213    1  0.175    1  0.188    1 0.5246    5  0.636    2  0.318   14  0.058   26 -0.217

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      89  61 728 603 -0.026 72.498    3  0.159    3  0.141    4  0.128    3 0.5203   28  0.319   16 -0.027    1  0.283    2  0.318
METS          77  73 704 658 -0.011 73.547   14  0.005   14  0.016   13  0.035   14 0.5020   15  0.491   14  0.029   17  0.041   12  0.035
BRAVES        66  83 646 692  0.002 73.972   25 -0.054   25 -0.094   20 -0.047   25 0.4864   13  0.506   19 -0.039   20 -0.055   15 -0.002
NATIONALS     62  87 637 811  0.001 74.132   28 -0.161   28 -0.142   29 -0.208   28 0.4798    3  0.687   17 -0.027   30 -0.388   16 -0.003
MARLINS       70  80 655 749 -0.006 74.078   24 -0.023   24 -0.061   26 -0.098   24 0.4907    1  0.743    7  0.139   29 -0.334   27 -0.275

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS     70  80 694 764  0.011 74.984   21 -0.014   23 -0.049   21 -0.049   22 0.4936    6  0.631   11  0.076   26 -0.173    7  0.131
ANGELS        69  81 639 770  0.029 76.142   23 -0.016   22 -0.049   28 -0.112   23 0.4929    8  0.604   15 -0.013   27 -0.210   14  0.024
ASTROS        81  69 635 615 -0.005 73.910   11  0.023   10  0.063   15  0.019   10 0.5094   23  0.413   21 -0.056   10  0.093   22 -0.064
MARINERS      82  68 705 654  0.010 74.781    9  0.047    8  0.085   10  0.062    7 0.5127    4  0.685    3  0.240   24 -0.116   29 -0.392
RANGERS       79  71 643 549  0.005 74.436   12  0.018   12  0.050    9  0.100   12 0.5077   19  0.449   12  0.056    4  0.143   30 -0.439

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS         65  84 632 721  0.002 73.998   27 -0.076   27 -0.106   25 -0.092   27 0.4846   17  0.486   24 -0.103   22 -0.081    4  0.134
TIGERS        85  65 729 634 -0.015 73.194    6  0.077    6  0.103    7  0.112    6 0.5146   14  0.491    9  0.106    7  0.118    5  0.133
WHITE SOX     57  93 600 683  0.014 75.252   29 -0.229   29 -0.192   27 -0.104   29 0.4725   20  0.434   27 -0.161   19 -0.047   17 -0.010
GUARDIANS     78  71 580 611 -0.006 73.489   13  0.010   13  0.035   19 -0.033   13 0.5046   27  0.332   28 -0.177    8  0.110   21 -0.058
ROYALS        75  75 577 589 -0.001 74.287   15  0.001   15  0.000   18 -0.033   16 0.4993   25  0.408   26 -0.112   16  0.047   28 -0.287

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       69  80 635 729  0.022 75.225   22 -0.015   21 -0.048   24 -0.087   21 0.4936   16  0.490   23 -0.094   21 -0.080    6  0.133
RAYS          73  76 667 618  0.014 74.511   18 -0.000   18 -0.008   12  0.046   17 0.4991   24  0.408   18 -0.034    5  0.125   10  0.070
BLUE JAYS     87  62 749 663  0.015 74.517    2  0.177    2  0.152    6  0.115    2 0.5220   10  0.571    4  0.183   15  0.048   11  0.055
RED SOX       82  68 736 632  0.010 74.692    7  0.049    7  0.086    5  0.116    8 0.5123   12  0.529    6  0.144   11  0.088   13  0.030
YANKEES       83  66 774 645  0.022 74.864    5  0.096    5  0.111    2  0.158    4 0.5165    2  0.694    1  0.344   18 -0.029   24 -0.124

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    394 352 0.528    1  0.092
NL CENTRAL 388 360 0.519    2  0.057
AL WEST    381 369 0.508    3  0.005
AL CENTRAL 360 388 0.481    4 -0.040
NL EAST    364 384 0.487    5 -0.050
NL WEST    357 391 0.477    6 -0.060

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.077 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Sep 15 05:30:12 2025
games through: Sun Sep 14 2025

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.