Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    45 64 480 609 -0.011 54.440   28 -0.080   28 -0.099   30 -0.136   28 0.4761   25  0.359   30 -0.264   16 -0.007    1  0.679
ROCKIES      42 67 515 628  0.016 55.604   29 -0.129   29 -0.118   29 -0.126   29 0.4742    5  0.669   15  0.029   28 -0.280    2  0.309
PHILLIES     57 52 473 488  0.013 55.324    9  0.004    8  0.030   15 -0.006    9 0.5062   26  0.327   27 -0.161    6  0.149    3  0.297
PIRATES      55 55 565 529  0.010 55.652   14 -0.001   14  0.005    9  0.037   12 0.5029   13  0.512   12  0.043   13  0.031    4  0.253
NATIONALS    55 55 600 573  0.015 55.876   13 -0.001   13  0.007   11  0.033   13 0.5020    3  0.703    2  0.222   26 -0.155    5  0.248
YANKEES      61 48 506 419 -0.001 54.565    6  0.023    6  0.064    4  0.094    6 0.5143   28  0.296   22 -0.087    1  0.275    6  0.225
METS         47 63 453 502  0.017 56.107   26 -0.033   26 -0.071   23 -0.052   26 0.4839   27  0.327   28 -0.207    9  0.104    7  0.212
ROYALS       46 64 459 553  0.008 55.716   27 -0.054   27 -0.085   27 -0.096   27 0.4804   18  0.470   24 -0.129   20 -0.063    8  0.186
BRAVES       64 45 531 434 -0.007 54.337    4  0.060    4  0.091    3  0.105    4 0.5199   19  0.460   11  0.064    7  0.145    9  0.091
CUBS         62 47 564 475 -0.008 54.306    5  0.030    5  0.071    5  0.079    5 0.5167    9  0.603    4  0.170   17 -0.012   10  0.022
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    50 59 430 490  0.021 55.749   23 -0.010   23 -0.035   22 -0.047   23 0.4918   23  0.410   26 -0.132   12  0.038   11  0.014
DIAMONDBACKS 57 52 492 492  0.017 55.505    7  0.006    7  0.032   12  0.013    8 0.5068   15  0.498   17  0.006   14  0.020   12  0.009
GUARDIANS    56 54 432 446  0.006 55.561   11  0.000   11  0.013   18 -0.017   11 0.5033   30  0.272   29 -0.217    4  0.183   13  0.000
RED SOX      57 51 454 404 -0.001 54.135    8  0.005    9  0.030    7  0.061    7 0.5071   29  0.283   25 -0.130    2  0.253   14 -0.001
BREWERS      67 41 546 414 -0.004 53.889    2  0.163    2  0.128    2  0.154    2 0.5296   20  0.443    9  0.098    3  0.210   15 -0.010
RAYS         64 44 481 438  0.005 54.371    3  0.082    3  0.101    6  0.070    3 0.5225   21  0.436   16  0.008    8  0.132   16 -0.012
GIANTS       47 62 461 505  0.013 55.399   25 -0.029   25 -0.068   24 -0.052   25 0.4848   16  0.476   21 -0.080   18 -0.025   17 -0.044
ORIOLES      53 56 501 525  0.010 55.201   19 -0.004   19 -0.011   16 -0.012   19 0.4969    7  0.650    7  0.124   25 -0.148   18 -0.056
TIGERS       51 58 473 435 -0.020 53.811   24 -0.012   24 -0.042   10  0.036   24 0.4906   22  0.431   18 -0.032   10  0.103   19 -0.080
RANGERS      55 54 456 478 -0.026 53.686   18 -0.003   18 -0.007   21 -0.034   18 0.4986   17  0.472   20 -0.065   15 -0.004   20 -0.091
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       55 55 505 546 -0.025 54.256   20 -0.004   20 -0.011   25 -0.060   20 0.4964    4  0.686    8  0.111   27 -0.231   21 -0.097
REDS         51 57 443 512  0.010 54.782   21 -0.008   21 -0.026   26 -0.072   21 0.4942   12  0.539   19 -0.042   22 -0.102   22 -0.106
DODGERS      69 40 562 402 -0.025 53.448    1  0.180    1  0.133    1  0.164    1 0.5306   14  0.501    5  0.160    5  0.168   23 -0.106
WHITE SOX    57 51 516 473 -0.015 53.559   10  0.003   10  0.024    8  0.040   10 0.5048    6  0.662    3  0.187   23 -0.108   24 -0.214
MARLINS      55 55 483 479  0.004 55.436   16 -0.002   16  0.002   13  0.001   16 0.5011   11  0.550   13  0.042   19 -0.040   25 -0.230
MARINERS     53 57 440 437 -0.028 53.995   22 -0.009   22 -0.032   19 -0.018   22 0.4931   24  0.395   23 -0.117   11  0.081   26 -0.233
CARDINALS    54 55 476 490  0.022 55.745   15 -0.001   15  0.005   14 -0.006   14 0.5017    8  0.616   10  0.097   24 -0.109   27 -0.265
TWINS        55 55 518 547 -0.010 54.860   17 -0.003   17 -0.005   20 -0.033   17 0.4987    1  0.816    1  0.272   30 -0.338   28 -0.272
PADRES       55 54 454 475  0.010 55.218   12 -0.000   12  0.010   17 -0.015   15 0.5015   10  0.562   14  0.037   21 -0.067   29 -0.325
ANGELS       42 67 464 535 -0.023 53.910   30 -0.173   30 -0.133   28 -0.101   30 0.4700    2  0.746    6  0.130   29 -0.333   30 -0.406

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      42 67 515 628  0.016 55.604   29 -0.129   29 -0.118   29 -0.126   29 0.4742    5  0.669   15  0.029   28 -0.280    2  0.309
DIAMONDBACKS 57 52 492 492  0.017 55.505    7  0.006    7  0.032   12  0.013    8 0.5068   15  0.498   17  0.006   14  0.020   12  0.009
GIANTS       47 62 461 505  0.013 55.399   25 -0.029   25 -0.068   24 -0.052   25 0.4848   16  0.476   21 -0.080   18 -0.025   17 -0.044
DODGERS      69 40 562 402 -0.025 53.448    1  0.180    1  0.133    1  0.164    1 0.5306   14  0.501    5  0.160    5  0.168   23 -0.106
PADRES       55 54 454 475  0.010 55.218   12 -0.000   12  0.010   17 -0.015   15 0.5015   10  0.562   14  0.037   21 -0.067   29 -0.325

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      55 55 565 529  0.010 55.652   14 -0.001   14  0.005    9  0.037   12 0.5029   13  0.512   12  0.043   13  0.031    4  0.253
CUBS         62 47 564 475 -0.008 54.306    5  0.030    5  0.071    5  0.079    5 0.5167    9  0.603    4  0.170   17 -0.012   10  0.022
BREWERS      67 41 546 414 -0.004 53.889    2  0.163    2  0.128    2  0.154    2 0.5296   20  0.443    9  0.098    3  0.210   15 -0.010
REDS         51 57 443 512  0.010 54.782   21 -0.008   21 -0.026   26 -0.072   21 0.4942   12  0.539   19 -0.042   22 -0.102   22 -0.106
CARDINALS    54 55 476 490  0.022 55.745   15 -0.001   15  0.005   14 -0.006   14 0.5017    8  0.616   10  0.097   24 -0.109   27 -0.265

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     57 52 473 488  0.013 55.324    9  0.004    8  0.030   15 -0.006    9 0.5062   26  0.327   27 -0.161    6  0.149    3  0.297
NATIONALS    55 55 600 573  0.015 55.876   13 -0.001   13  0.007   11  0.033   13 0.5020    3  0.703    2  0.222   26 -0.155    5  0.248
METS         47 63 453 502  0.017 56.107   26 -0.033   26 -0.071   23 -0.052   26 0.4839   27  0.327   28 -0.207    9  0.104    7  0.212
BRAVES       64 45 531 434 -0.007 54.337    4  0.060    4  0.091    3  0.105    4 0.5199   19  0.460   11  0.064    7  0.145    9  0.091
MARLINS      55 55 483 479  0.004 55.436   16 -0.002   16  0.002   13  0.001   16 0.5011   11  0.550   13  0.042   19 -0.040   25 -0.230

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    45 64 480 609 -0.011 54.440   28 -0.080   28 -0.099   30 -0.136   28 0.4761   25  0.359   30 -0.264   16 -0.007    1  0.679
RANGERS      55 54 456 478 -0.026 53.686   18 -0.003   18 -0.007   21 -0.034   18 0.4986   17  0.472   20 -0.065   15 -0.004   20 -0.091
ASTROS       55 55 505 546 -0.025 54.256   20 -0.004   20 -0.011   25 -0.060   20 0.4964    4  0.686    8  0.111   27 -0.231   21 -0.097
MARINERS     53 57 440 437 -0.028 53.995   22 -0.009   22 -0.032   19 -0.018   22 0.4931   24  0.395   23 -0.117   11  0.081   26 -0.233
ANGELS       42 67 464 535 -0.023 53.910   30 -0.173   30 -0.133   28 -0.101   30 0.4700    2  0.746    6  0.130   29 -0.333   30 -0.406

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS       46 64 459 553  0.008 55.716   27 -0.054   27 -0.085   27 -0.096   27 0.4804   18  0.470   24 -0.129   20 -0.063    8  0.186
GUARDIANS    56 54 432 446  0.006 55.561   11  0.000   11  0.013   18 -0.017   11 0.5033   30  0.272   29 -0.217    4  0.183   13  0.000
TIGERS       51 58 473 435 -0.020 53.811   24 -0.012   24 -0.042   10  0.036   24 0.4906   22  0.431   18 -0.032   10  0.103   19 -0.080
WHITE SOX    57 51 516 473 -0.015 53.559   10  0.003   10  0.024    8  0.040   10 0.5048    6  0.662    3  0.187   23 -0.108   24 -0.214
TWINS        55 55 518 547 -0.010 54.860   17 -0.003   17 -0.005   20 -0.033   17 0.4987    1  0.816    1  0.272   30 -0.338   28 -0.272

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      61 48 506 419 -0.001 54.565    6  0.023    6  0.064    4  0.094    6 0.5143   28  0.296   22 -0.087    1  0.275    6  0.225
BLUE JAYS    50 59 430 490  0.021 55.749   23 -0.010   23 -0.035   22 -0.047   23 0.4918   23  0.410   26 -0.132   12  0.038   11  0.014
RED SOX      57 51 454 404 -0.001 54.135    8  0.005    9  0.030    7  0.061    7 0.5071   29  0.283   25 -0.130    2  0.253   14 -0.001
RAYS         64 44 481 438  0.005 54.371    3  0.082    3  0.101    6  0.070    3 0.5225   21  0.436   16  0.008    8  0.132   16 -0.012
ORIOLES      53 56 501 525  0.010 55.201   19 -0.004   19 -0.011   16 -0.012   19 0.4969    7  0.650    7  0.124   25 -0.148   18 -0.056

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 289 255 0.531    1  0.071
AL EAST    285 258 0.525    2  0.062
NL EAST    278 270 0.507    3  0.030
NL WEST    270 275 0.495    4 -0.007
AL CENTRAL 265 282 0.484    5 -0.026
AL WEST    250 297 0.457    6 -0.130

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.049 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jul 31 05:30:06 2026
games through: Thu Jul 30 2026

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