Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         18  9 115 109  0.024 13.894    2  0.071    1  0.065    8  0.020    1 0.5399   23  0.329   23 -0.132    8  0.172   11  0.190 P
PADRES       18  8 116  99 -0.034 12.726    1  0.071    2  0.064    6  0.035    2 0.5373   12  0.527   11  0.056   14  0.014   13  0.089 P
YANKEES      18  9 142  92 -0.028 13.194    3  0.061    3  0.058    1  0.094    5 0.5321   28  0.204   24 -0.159    2  0.347    2  0.493 P
BRAVES       19  9 160  99 -0.071 13.187    4  0.059    4  0.057    3  0.092    4 0.5344   22  0.343   20 -0.048    4  0.233    9  0.196 P
DODGERS      18  9 153  92 -0.055 12.893    5  0.055    5  0.054    2  0.093    3 0.5345   13  0.510    9  0.098   11  0.087   22 -0.157 P
CUBS         17 10 149 112 -0.039 13.076    6  0.039    6  0.042    4  0.058    8 0.5268    3  0.856    3  0.407   28 -0.291   26 -0.435 P
PIRATES      16 11 135 106  0.044 14.052    7  0.035    7  0.039    5  0.055    6 0.5310   21  0.443   13  0.000   10  0.109   20 -0.116 P
RAYS         15 11 128 131  0.069 13.858    8  0.031    8  0.037    9  0.014    7 0.5270    5  0.765    5  0.267   26 -0.240   21 -0.129 P
GUARDIANS    15 13 116 122  0.032 14.543    9  0.013    9  0.018   15 -0.003   10 0.5082   14  0.500   16 -0.006   16 -0.000   27 -0.440 P
RANGERS      14 13 112 103  0.045 14.101   10  0.009   10  0.013    7  0.028    9 0.5125   18  0.473   14 -0.000   13  0.056   28 -0.441 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    14 13 117 126  0.029 14.031   12  0.007   11  0.010   19 -0.014   12 0.5026   29  0.193   27 -0.275    3  0.247    1  0.556 P
DIAMONDBACKS 14 12 120 130 -0.022 12.960   11  0.007   12  0.010   18 -0.013   11 0.5062   16  0.483   17 -0.032   15  0.005    7  0.285 P
CARDINALS    14 12 123 137 -0.060 12.584   13  0.003   13  0.004   23 -0.034   13 0.5001   15  0.498   18 -0.040   18 -0.029   10  0.194 P
TIGERS       14 14 124 119 -0.021 13.915   14 -0.001   14 -0.004   12  0.008   15 0.4984   20  0.443   19 -0.046   12  0.062   18 -0.009 P
MARLINS      13 14 123 120  0.014 13.819   15 -0.004   15 -0.007   14 -0.001   14 0.4990    6  0.725    6  0.212   24 -0.213   24 -0.343 P
BREWERS      13 13 127 113 -0.062 12.485   16 -0.005   16 -0.009   13  0.006   17 0.4926    7  0.689    7  0.182   22 -0.171   23 -0.305 P
MARINERS     13 15 115 110  0.030 14.497   17 -0.006   17 -0.010   10  0.011   16 0.4947   25  0.255   26 -0.202    5  0.224   12  0.109 P
ANGELS       12 16 130 134  0.101 15.307   18 -0.009   18 -0.014   11  0.010   19 0.4917    4  0.768    4  0.267   27 -0.246   30 -0.536 P
ORIOLES      13 14 122 135 -0.051 13.158   19 -0.011   19 -0.016   21 -0.030   21 0.4910    8  0.674    8  0.131   23 -0.192    8  0.208 P
NATIONALS    12 16 154 170  0.075 15.066   20 -0.013   20 -0.018   17 -0.012   20 0.4915    2  0.937    2  0.425   29 -0.449    3  0.341 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS       12 15  91 111  0.015 13.926   21 -0.014   21 -0.019   22 -0.034   18 0.4920   30  0.030   30 -0.415    1  0.347   15  0.070 P
TWINS        12 15 130 128 -0.059 13.037   22 -0.024   22 -0.030   16 -0.011   22 0.4834   10  0.544   12  0.026   21 -0.048   16  0.064 P
BLUE JAYS    11 15 106 131 -0.033 12.904   23 -0.029   23 -0.033   26 -0.047   23 0.4780   19  0.466   21 -0.080   17 -0.013    4  0.301 P
ROCKIES      11 16 112 128 -0.021 13.554   24 -0.036   24 -0.040   25 -0.047   24 0.4758   27  0.214   29 -0.291    6  0.198    5  0.295 P
RED SOX      10 17 112 125  0.023 13.974   25 -0.042   25 -0.045   20 -0.024   25 0.4740   11  0.528   15 -0.002   19 -0.047   25 -0.349 P
WHITE SOX    11 16 112 140 -0.061 13.102   27 -0.045   26 -0.046   29 -0.069   26 0.4733    9  0.660   10  0.079   25 -0.216   29 -0.490 P
ROYALS       10 17 106 127  0.016 13.954   26 -0.044   27 -0.047   24 -0.037   29 0.4681   24  0.318   25 -0.198    9  0.124   14  0.080 P
PHILLIES      9 18 100 150  0.075 14.676   28 -0.052   28 -0.051   30 -0.075   28 0.4706   17  0.473   22 -0.102   20 -0.047   17  0.062 P
METS          9 17  91 116  0.025 13.541   29 -0.056   29 -0.053   27 -0.049   27 0.4714   26  0.236   28 -0.276    7  0.179    6  0.285 P
ASTROS       10 18 144 170 -0.045 13.762   30 -0.069   30 -0.062   28 -0.051   30 0.4598    1  1.004    1  0.462   30 -0.565   19 -0.075 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       18  8 116  99 -0.034 12.726    1  0.071    2  0.064    6  0.035    2 0.5373   12  0.527   11  0.056   14  0.014   13  0.089 P
DODGERS      18  9 153  92 -0.055 12.893    5  0.055    5  0.054    2  0.093    3 0.5345   13  0.510    9  0.098   11  0.087   22 -0.157 P
DIAMONDBACKS 14 12 120 130 -0.022 12.960   11  0.007   12  0.010   18 -0.013   11 0.5062   16  0.483   17 -0.032   15  0.005    7  0.285 P
GIANTS       12 15  91 111  0.015 13.926   21 -0.014   21 -0.019   22 -0.034   18 0.4920   30  0.030   30 -0.415    1  0.347   15  0.070 P
ROCKIES      11 16 112 128 -0.021 13.554   24 -0.036   24 -0.040   25 -0.047   24 0.4758   27  0.214   29 -0.291    6  0.198    5  0.295 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         18  9 115 109  0.024 13.894    2  0.071    1  0.065    8  0.020    1 0.5399   23  0.329   23 -0.132    8  0.172   11  0.190 P
CUBS         17 10 149 112 -0.039 13.076    6  0.039    6  0.042    4  0.058    8 0.5268    3  0.856    3  0.407   28 -0.291   26 -0.435 P
PIRATES      16 11 135 106  0.044 14.052    7  0.035    7  0.039    5  0.055    6 0.5310   21  0.443   13  0.000   10  0.109   20 -0.116 P
CARDINALS    14 12 123 137 -0.060 12.584   13  0.003   13  0.004   23 -0.034   13 0.5001   15  0.498   18 -0.040   18 -0.029   10  0.194 P
BREWERS      13 13 127 113 -0.062 12.485   16 -0.005   16 -0.009   13  0.006   17 0.4926    7  0.689    7  0.182   22 -0.171   23 -0.305 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       19  9 160  99 -0.071 13.187    4  0.059    4  0.057    3  0.092    4 0.5344   22  0.343   20 -0.048    4  0.233    9  0.196 P
MARLINS      13 14 123 120  0.014 13.819   15 -0.004   15 -0.007   14 -0.001   14 0.4990    6  0.725    6  0.212   24 -0.213   24 -0.343 P
NATIONALS    12 16 154 170  0.075 15.066   20 -0.013   20 -0.018   17 -0.012   20 0.4915    2  0.937    2  0.425   29 -0.449    3  0.341 P
PHILLIES      9 18 100 150  0.075 14.676   28 -0.052   28 -0.051   30 -0.075   28 0.4706   17  0.473   22 -0.102   20 -0.047   17  0.062 P
METS          9 17  91 116  0.025 13.541   29 -0.056   29 -0.053   27 -0.049   27 0.4714   26  0.236   28 -0.276    7  0.179    6  0.285 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      14 13 112 103  0.045 14.101   10  0.009   10  0.013    7  0.028    9 0.5125   18  0.473   14 -0.000   13  0.056   28 -0.441 P
ATHLETICS    14 13 117 126  0.029 14.031   12  0.007   11  0.010   19 -0.014   12 0.5026   29  0.193   27 -0.275    3  0.247    1  0.556 P
MARINERS     13 15 115 110  0.030 14.497   17 -0.006   17 -0.010   10  0.011   16 0.4947   25  0.255   26 -0.202    5  0.224   12  0.109 P
ANGELS       12 16 130 134  0.101 15.307   18 -0.009   18 -0.014   11  0.010   19 0.4917    4  0.768    4  0.267   27 -0.246   30 -0.536 P
ASTROS       10 18 144 170 -0.045 13.762   30 -0.069   30 -0.062   28 -0.051   30 0.4598    1  1.004    1  0.462   30 -0.565   19 -0.075 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    15 13 116 122  0.032 14.543    9  0.013    9  0.018   15 -0.003   10 0.5082   14  0.500   16 -0.006   16 -0.000   27 -0.440 P
TIGERS       14 14 124 119 -0.021 13.915   14 -0.001   14 -0.004   12  0.008   15 0.4984   20  0.443   19 -0.046   12  0.062   18 -0.009 P
TWINS        12 15 130 128 -0.059 13.037   22 -0.024   22 -0.030   16 -0.011   22 0.4834   10  0.544   12  0.026   21 -0.048   16  0.064 P
WHITE SOX    11 16 112 140 -0.061 13.102   27 -0.045   26 -0.046   29 -0.069   26 0.4733    9  0.660   10  0.079   25 -0.216   29 -0.490 P
ROYALS       10 17 106 127  0.016 13.954   26 -0.044   27 -0.047   24 -0.037   29 0.4681   24  0.318   25 -0.198    9  0.124   14  0.080 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      18  9 142  92 -0.028 13.194    3  0.061    3  0.058    1  0.094    5 0.5321   28  0.204   24 -0.159    2  0.347    2  0.493 P
RAYS         15 11 128 131  0.069 13.858    8  0.031    8  0.037    9  0.014    7 0.5270    5  0.765    5  0.267   26 -0.240   21 -0.129 P
ORIOLES      13 14 122 135 -0.051 13.158   19 -0.011   19 -0.016   21 -0.030   21 0.4910    8  0.674    8  0.131   23 -0.192    8  0.208 P
BLUE JAYS    11 15 106 131 -0.033 12.904   23 -0.029   23 -0.033   26 -0.047   23 0.4780   19  0.466   21 -0.080   17 -0.013    4  0.301 P
RED SOX      10 17 112 125  0.023 13.974   25 -0.042   25 -0.045   20 -0.024   25 0.4740   11  0.528   15 -0.002   19 -0.047   25 -0.349 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 78 55 0.586    1  0.093
NL WEST    73 60 0.549    2  0.032
AL EAST    67 66 0.504    3  0.006
AL WEST    63 75 0.457    4 -0.010
NL EAST    62 74 0.456    5 -0.038
AL CENTRAL 62 75 0.453    6 -0.092

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.065 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Apr 26 05:30:05 2026
games through: Sat Apr 25 2026

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