Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       40 20 316 207 -0.016 29.801    1  0.179    1  0.152    2  0.186    1 0.5384   11  0.576    3  0.275    9  0.097   30 -0.416
RAYS         36 20 262 243  0.007 28.497    2  0.145    2  0.132    5  0.059    2 0.5360   12  0.493   12  0.071   13  0.047   17 -0.059
BREWERS      35 21 268 194  0.030 28.933    4  0.129    3  0.125    3  0.163    3 0.5338   27  0.299   15  0.009    1  0.318   10  0.082
DODGERS      38 21 314 185 -0.033 28.847    3  0.130    4  0.123    1  0.214    4 0.5328   20  0.387    8  0.132    3  0.295   18 -0.072
YANKEES      36 23 305 207 -0.037 28.854    5  0.075    5  0.089    4  0.155    5 0.5209   26  0.312   14  0.011    2  0.299    6  0.287
CARDINALS    31 26 247 257  0.028 29.603    6  0.030    6  0.050   16 -0.011    7 0.5145   16  0.435   19 -0.050   14  0.029   11  0.072
CUBS         32 28 284 265  0.043 31.447    7  0.029    7  0.048    6  0.045    6 0.5171    3  0.761    1  0.316   26 -0.225   27 -0.305
GUARDIANS    34 27 249 248 -0.022 30.457    8  0.027    8  0.047   14 -0.008   10 0.5113   15  0.451   18 -0.034   15  0.018   26 -0.290
NATIONALS    31 29 324 323  0.062 31.906    9  0.022    9  0.040    9  0.035    8 0.5130    2  0.762    2  0.307   28 -0.238    5  0.300
PADRES       32 26 227 233 -0.033 28.713   10  0.019   10  0.036   17 -0.020   11 0.5090   21  0.385   22 -0.104   11  0.063   22 -0.205
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 31 27 264 256 -0.003 29.339   11  0.017   11  0.031   10  0.021   12 0.5069    9  0.603    7  0.135   20 -0.092   20 -0.113
PIRATES      32 28 301 270 -0.024 29.844   12  0.012   12  0.023    7  0.042    9 0.5116   18  0.412   17 -0.018    8  0.102    4  0.322
WHITE SOX    32 27 275 267 -0.046 28.859   13  0.012   13  0.023   12  0.007   14 0.5042    7  0.647    6  0.164   22 -0.151   23 -0.226
PHILLIES     30 29 230 256  0.005 30.148   14  0.005   14  0.011   19 -0.036   13 0.5046   29  0.192   29 -0.276    5  0.205    7  0.265
REDS         30 28 256 288 -0.029 28.860   15  0.002   15  0.006   23 -0.058   15 0.5020   10  0.581   13  0.035   23 -0.152   13  0.055
MARINERS     31 29 255 225 -0.029 29.735   16  0.002   16  0.006    8  0.037   16 0.5007   25  0.337   21 -0.087    7  0.161   16 -0.046
BLUE JAYS    29 31 244 251  0.009 30.706   17 -0.007   17 -0.012   13 -0.005   17 0.4959   28  0.254   27 -0.197    6  0.186    8  0.159
ATHLETICS    28 31 252 286  0.001 30.087   19 -0.017   18 -0.022   25 -0.060   18 0.4924   24  0.347   25 -0.175   12  0.056    1  0.563
RANGERS      28 31 237 230 -0.010 29.708   18 -0.016   19 -0.027   11  0.007   20 0.4904   19  0.398   20 -0.065   10  0.079   28 -0.330
ORIOLES      28 32 275 313 -0.002 30.496   20 -0.023   20 -0.032   22 -0.057   19 0.4907    6  0.663   10  0.115   27 -0.229   14  0.039
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      26 34 250 279  0.028 31.235   22 -0.036   21 -0.051   20 -0.043   21 0.4877    5  0.665    9  0.131   25 -0.217   24 -0.246
TWINS        27 33 275 296 -0.011 30.244   21 -0.036   22 -0.051   18 -0.035   22 0.4864    4  0.737    5  0.211   29 -0.281   21 -0.182
ASTROS       27 34 271 304  0.005 31.173   23 -0.037   23 -0.052   21 -0.053   24 0.4838    8  0.629   11  0.086   24 -0.193   15  0.029
RED SOX      25 33 231 236  0.010 29.693   24 -0.043   24 -0.060   15 -0.009   23 0.4840   13  0.490   16  0.000   18 -0.017   25 -0.283
METS         26 33 239 252 -0.032 29.292   25 -0.050   25 -0.068   24 -0.059   25 0.4823   30  0.074   30 -0.387    4  0.269    3  0.385
GIANTS       23 36 232 280  0.025 30.697   26 -0.084   26 -0.092   28 -0.096   26 0.4791   23  0.359   28 -0.201   16  0.009    9  0.140
ANGELS       23 37 255 306  0.026 31.222   27 -0.095   27 -0.100   27 -0.085   27 0.4738    1  0.824    4  0.252   30 -0.421   29 -0.402
ROYALS       22 37 221 280  0.020 30.592   28 -0.112   28 -0.111   29 -0.098   29 0.4681   22  0.382   26 -0.184   17 -0.013   12  0.063
ROCKIES      22 38 251 334  0.016 31.100   29 -0.126   29 -0.120   30 -0.141   28 0.4702   14  0.481   24 -0.141   21 -0.142    2  0.507
TIGERS       22 38 223 262 -0.025 29.981   30 -0.151   30 -0.134   26 -0.082   30 0.4635   17  0.426   23 -0.130   19 -0.035   19 -0.099

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      38 21 314 185 -0.033 28.847    3  0.130    4  0.123    1  0.214    4 0.5328   20  0.387    8  0.132    3  0.295   18 -0.072
PADRES       32 26 227 233 -0.033 28.713   10  0.019   10  0.036   17 -0.020   11 0.5090   21  0.385   22 -0.104   11  0.063   22 -0.205
DIAMONDBACKS 31 27 264 256 -0.003 29.339   11  0.017   11  0.031   10  0.021   12 0.5069    9  0.603    7  0.135   20 -0.092   20 -0.113
GIANTS       23 36 232 280  0.025 30.697   26 -0.084   26 -0.092   28 -0.096   26 0.4791   23  0.359   28 -0.201   16  0.009    9  0.140
ROCKIES      22 38 251 334  0.016 31.100   29 -0.126   29 -0.120   30 -0.141   28 0.4702   14  0.481   24 -0.141   21 -0.142    2  0.507

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      35 21 268 194  0.030 28.933    4  0.129    3  0.125    3  0.163    3 0.5338   27  0.299   15  0.009    1  0.318   10  0.082
CARDINALS    31 26 247 257  0.028 29.603    6  0.030    6  0.050   16 -0.011    7 0.5145   16  0.435   19 -0.050   14  0.029   11  0.072
CUBS         32 28 284 265  0.043 31.447    7  0.029    7  0.048    6  0.045    6 0.5171    3  0.761    1  0.316   26 -0.225   27 -0.305
PIRATES      32 28 301 270 -0.024 29.844   12  0.012   12  0.023    7  0.042    9 0.5116   18  0.412   17 -0.018    8  0.102    4  0.322
REDS         30 28 256 288 -0.029 28.860   15  0.002   15  0.006   23 -0.058   15 0.5020   10  0.581   13  0.035   23 -0.152   13  0.055

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       40 20 316 207 -0.016 29.801    1  0.179    1  0.152    2  0.186    1 0.5384   11  0.576    3  0.275    9  0.097   30 -0.416
NATIONALS    31 29 324 323  0.062 31.906    9  0.022    9  0.040    9  0.035    8 0.5130    2  0.762    2  0.307   28 -0.238    5  0.300
PHILLIES     30 29 230 256  0.005 30.148   14  0.005   14  0.011   19 -0.036   13 0.5046   29  0.192   29 -0.276    5  0.205    7  0.265
MARLINS      26 34 250 279  0.028 31.235   22 -0.036   21 -0.051   20 -0.043   21 0.4877    5  0.665    9  0.131   25 -0.217   24 -0.246
METS         26 33 239 252 -0.032 29.292   25 -0.050   25 -0.068   24 -0.059   25 0.4823   30  0.074   30 -0.387    4  0.269    3  0.385

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     31 29 255 225 -0.029 29.735   16  0.002   16  0.006    8  0.037   16 0.5007   25  0.337   21 -0.087    7  0.161   16 -0.046
ATHLETICS    28 31 252 286  0.001 30.087   19 -0.017   18 -0.022   25 -0.060   18 0.4924   24  0.347   25 -0.175   12  0.056    1  0.563
RANGERS      28 31 237 230 -0.010 29.708   18 -0.016   19 -0.027   11  0.007   20 0.4904   19  0.398   20 -0.065   10  0.079   28 -0.330
ASTROS       27 34 271 304  0.005 31.173   23 -0.037   23 -0.052   21 -0.053   24 0.4838    8  0.629   11  0.086   24 -0.193   15  0.029
ANGELS       23 37 255 306  0.026 31.222   27 -0.095   27 -0.100   27 -0.085   27 0.4738    1  0.824    4  0.252   30 -0.421   29 -0.402

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    34 27 249 248 -0.022 30.457    8  0.027    8  0.047   14 -0.008   10 0.5113   15  0.451   18 -0.034   15  0.018   26 -0.290
WHITE SOX    32 27 275 267 -0.046 28.859   13  0.012   13  0.023   12  0.007   14 0.5042    7  0.647    6  0.164   22 -0.151   23 -0.226
TWINS        27 33 275 296 -0.011 30.244   21 -0.036   22 -0.051   18 -0.035   22 0.4864    4  0.737    5  0.211   29 -0.281   21 -0.182
ROYALS       22 37 221 280  0.020 30.592   28 -0.112   28 -0.111   29 -0.098   29 0.4681   22  0.382   26 -0.184   17 -0.013   12  0.063
TIGERS       22 38 223 262 -0.025 29.981   30 -0.151   30 -0.134   26 -0.082   30 0.4635   17  0.426   23 -0.130   19 -0.035   19 -0.099

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         36 20 262 243  0.007 28.497    2  0.145    2  0.132    5  0.059    2 0.5360   12  0.493   12  0.071   13  0.047   17 -0.059
YANKEES      36 23 305 207 -0.037 28.854    5  0.075    5  0.089    4  0.155    5 0.5209   26  0.312   14  0.011    2  0.299    6  0.287
BLUE JAYS    29 31 244 251  0.009 30.706   17 -0.007   17 -0.012   13 -0.005   17 0.4959   28  0.254   27 -0.197    6  0.186    8  0.159
ORIOLES      28 32 275 313 -0.002 30.496   20 -0.023   20 -0.032   22 -0.057   19 0.4907    6  0.663   10  0.115   27 -0.229   14  0.039
RED SOX      25 33 231 236  0.010 29.693   24 -0.043   24 -0.060   15 -0.009   23 0.4840   13  0.490   16  0.000   18 -0.017   25 -0.283

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 160 131 0.550    1  0.076
AL EAST    154 139 0.526    2  0.059
NL EAST    153 145 0.513    3  0.032
NL WEST    146 148 0.497    4 -0.012
AL WEST    137 162 0.458    5 -0.064
AL CENTRAL 137 162 0.458    6 -0.091

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.063 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Jun  1 05:30:08 2026
games through: Sun May 31 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.