Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       91  59 762 589 -0.007 73.500    1  0.210    1  0.175    1  0.188    1 0.5246    5  0.637    2  0.320   15  0.057   26 -0.219
YANKEES       83  67 774 652  0.021 75.324    5  0.084    5  0.105    2  0.147    5 0.5155    3  0.687    1  0.327   18 -0.033   24 -0.116
CUBS          86  64 731 605 -0.003 73.830    4  0.120    4  0.122    3  0.138    4 0.5171   12  0.523    5  0.161    8  0.115   21 -0.056
PHILLIES      90  61 734 608 -0.025 73.008    3  0.169    3  0.147    4  0.129    3 0.5211   28  0.321   18 -0.024    1  0.282    2  0.316
BLUE JAYS     88  62 751 664  0.016 75.001    2  0.185    2  0.157    5  0.117    2 0.5227   10  0.553    4  0.168   13  0.066    9  0.074
RED SOX       82  68 736 632  0.010 74.637    7  0.051    7  0.085    6  0.116    8 0.5123   11  0.529    6  0.145   11  0.087   13  0.031
TIGERS        85  65 729 634 -0.015 73.160    6  0.078    6  0.103    7  0.112    6 0.5146   14  0.492    9  0.107    7  0.117    5  0.134
DODGERS       84  66 767 647 -0.033 72.009    9  0.041    9  0.079    8  0.104    9 0.5110   18  0.476   10  0.084    6  0.123    3  0.252
RANGERS       79  72 646 555  0.006 74.948   12  0.013   12  0.044    9  0.096   12 0.5070   20  0.454   12  0.056    4  0.135   30 -0.443
MARINERS      82  68 705 654  0.010 74.742    8  0.048    8  0.085   10  0.061    7 0.5127    4  0.686    3  0.241   24 -0.118   29 -0.393
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES        82  68 641 578 -0.025 72.587   11  0.023   11  0.062   11  0.055   11 0.5087   29  0.307   25 -0.109    2  0.219   20 -0.052
RAYS          73  77 668 620  0.014 74.975   19 -0.003   19 -0.013   12  0.044   19 0.4984   25  0.407   20 -0.037    5  0.124   10  0.053
METS          77  73 704 658 -0.011 73.497   14  0.003   14  0.016   13  0.034   14 0.5021   15  0.490   14  0.027   17  0.042   12  0.035
DIAMONDBACKS  76  75 751 721 -0.020 73.446   18 -0.001   18 -0.008   14  0.029   18 0.4985    7  0.610    8  0.134   23 -0.076    8  0.106
ASTROS        82  69 641 618 -0.005 74.366   10  0.027   10  0.068   15  0.022   10 0.5101   23  0.414   21 -0.052   10  0.097   23 -0.060
REDS          75  75 676 651 -0.001 74.149   15 -0.000   16 -0.000   16  0.022   15 0.4999   19  0.456   16 -0.015   14  0.059   11  0.050
GIANTS        75  75 652 637 -0.009 73.699   17 -0.001   17 -0.006   17  0.002   17 0.4987   22  0.414   22 -0.072   12  0.075   17 -0.019
ROYALS        75  75 577 589 -0.000 74.262   16 -0.000   15  0.000   18 -0.032   16 0.4992   24  0.408   26 -0.112   16  0.047   28 -0.289
GUARDIANS     78  71 580 611 -0.005 73.466   13  0.009   13  0.035   19 -0.033   13 0.5046   27  0.334   28 -0.176    9  0.109   22 -0.060
BRAVES        67  83 657 695  0.001 74.335   25 -0.046   25 -0.089   20 -0.040   25 0.4872   13  0.518   17 -0.021   20 -0.059   16 -0.013
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS     70  80 694 764  0.011 74.940   22 -0.014   23 -0.049   21 -0.049   22 0.4936    6  0.630   11  0.075   26 -0.173    6  0.132
CARDINALS     73  78 648 705  0.004 75.074   20 -0.006   20 -0.027   22 -0.061   20 0.4957    8  0.604   13  0.038   25 -0.159   25 -0.131
PIRATES       65  86 540 614  0.013 75.658   27 -0.080   27 -0.109   23 -0.071   27 0.4844   30  0.188   29 -0.330    3  0.188   19 -0.024
TWINS         66  84 639 721  0.002 74.477   26 -0.063   26 -0.099   24 -0.082   26 0.4855   16  0.486   23 -0.093   22 -0.071    7  0.127
ORIOLES       70  80 639 730  0.021 75.637   21 -0.012   21 -0.042   25 -0.083   21 0.4944   17  0.483   24 -0.096   21 -0.069    4  0.141
MARLINS       70  80 655 749 -0.006 74.044   24 -0.023   24 -0.061   26 -0.098   24 0.4907    1  0.742    7  0.138   29 -0.333   27 -0.275
WHITE SOX     57  94 601 687  0.014 75.708   29 -0.232   29 -0.197   27 -0.108   29 0.4718   21  0.434   27 -0.164   19 -0.052   18 -0.020
ANGELS        69  81 639 770  0.029 76.089   23 -0.016   22 -0.049   28 -0.112   23 0.4929    9  0.603   15 -0.014   27 -0.210   14  0.025
NATIONALS     62  88 640 822  0.001 74.571   28 -0.173   28 -0.148   29 -0.215   28 0.4790    2  0.687   19 -0.035   30 -0.395   15  0.007
ROCKIES       41 109 558 955  0.024 76.151   30 -0.389   30 -0.378   30 -0.433   30 0.4459   26  0.354   30 -0.559   28 -0.308    1  0.684
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS       84  66 767 647 -0.033 72.009    9  0.041    9  0.079    8  0.104    9 0.5110   18  0.476   10  0.084    6  0.123    3  0.252
PADRES        82  68 641 578 -0.025 72.587   11  0.023   11  0.062   11  0.055   11 0.5087   29  0.307   25 -0.109    2  0.219   20 -0.052
DIAMONDBACKS  76  75 751 721 -0.020 73.446   18 -0.001   18 -0.008   14  0.029   18 0.4985    7  0.610    8  0.134   23 -0.076    8  0.106
GIANTS        75  75 652 637 -0.009 73.699   17 -0.001   17 -0.006   17  0.002   17 0.4987   22  0.414   22 -0.072   12  0.075   17 -0.019
ROCKIES       41 109 558 955  0.024 76.151   30 -0.389   30 -0.378   30 -0.433   30 0.4459   26  0.354   30 -0.559   28 -0.308    1  0.684

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       91  59 762 589 -0.007 73.500    1  0.210    1  0.175    1  0.188    1 0.5246    5  0.637    2  0.320   15  0.057   26 -0.219
CUBS          86  64 731 605 -0.003 73.830    4  0.120    4  0.122    3  0.138    4 0.5171   12  0.523    5  0.161    8  0.115   21 -0.056
REDS          75  75 676 651 -0.001 74.149   15 -0.000   16 -0.000   16  0.022   15 0.4999   19  0.456   16 -0.015   14  0.059   11  0.050
CARDINALS     73  78 648 705  0.004 75.074   20 -0.006   20 -0.027   22 -0.061   20 0.4957    8  0.604   13  0.038   25 -0.159   25 -0.131
PIRATES       65  86 540 614  0.013 75.658   27 -0.080   27 -0.109   23 -0.071   27 0.4844   30  0.188   29 -0.330    3  0.188   19 -0.024

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      90  61 734 608 -0.025 73.008    3  0.169    3  0.147    4  0.129    3 0.5211   28  0.321   18 -0.024    1  0.282    2  0.316
METS          77  73 704 658 -0.011 73.497   14  0.003   14  0.016   13  0.034   14 0.5021   15  0.490   14  0.027   17  0.042   12  0.035
BRAVES        67  83 657 695  0.001 74.335   25 -0.046   25 -0.089   20 -0.040   25 0.4872   13  0.518   17 -0.021   20 -0.059   16 -0.013
MARLINS       70  80 655 749 -0.006 74.044   24 -0.023   24 -0.061   26 -0.098   24 0.4907    1  0.742    7  0.138   29 -0.333   27 -0.275
NATIONALS     62  88 640 822  0.001 74.571   28 -0.173   28 -0.148   29 -0.215   28 0.4790    2  0.687   19 -0.035   30 -0.395   15  0.007

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS       79  72 646 555  0.006 74.948   12  0.013   12  0.044    9  0.096   12 0.5070   20  0.454   12  0.056    4  0.135   30 -0.443
MARINERS      82  68 705 654  0.010 74.742    8  0.048    8  0.085   10  0.061    7 0.5127    4  0.686    3  0.241   24 -0.118   29 -0.393
ASTROS        82  69 641 618 -0.005 74.366   10  0.027   10  0.068   15  0.022   10 0.5101   23  0.414   21 -0.052   10  0.097   23 -0.060
ATHLETICS     70  80 694 764  0.011 74.940   22 -0.014   23 -0.049   21 -0.049   22 0.4936    6  0.630   11  0.075   26 -0.173    6  0.132
ANGELS        69  81 639 770  0.029 76.089   23 -0.016   22 -0.049   28 -0.112   23 0.4929    9  0.603   15 -0.014   27 -0.210   14  0.025

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        85  65 729 634 -0.015 73.160    6  0.078    6  0.103    7  0.112    6 0.5146   14  0.492    9  0.107    7  0.117    5  0.134
ROYALS        75  75 577 589 -0.000 74.262   16 -0.000   15  0.000   18 -0.032   16 0.4992   24  0.408   26 -0.112   16  0.047   28 -0.289
GUARDIANS     78  71 580 611 -0.005 73.466   13  0.009   13  0.035   19 -0.033   13 0.5046   27  0.334   28 -0.176    9  0.109   22 -0.060
TWINS         66  84 639 721  0.002 74.477   26 -0.063   26 -0.099   24 -0.082   26 0.4855   16  0.486   23 -0.093   22 -0.071    7  0.127
WHITE SOX     57  94 601 687  0.014 75.708   29 -0.232   29 -0.197   27 -0.108   29 0.4718   21  0.434   27 -0.164   19 -0.052   18 -0.020

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES       83  67 774 652  0.021 75.324    5  0.084    5  0.105    2  0.147    5 0.5155    3  0.687    1  0.327   18 -0.033   24 -0.116
BLUE JAYS     88  62 751 664  0.016 75.001    2  0.185    2  0.157    5  0.117    2 0.5227   10  0.553    4  0.168   13  0.066    9  0.074
RED SOX       82  68 736 632  0.010 74.637    7  0.051    7  0.085    6  0.116    8 0.5123   11  0.529    6  0.145   11  0.087   13  0.031
RAYS          73  77 668 620  0.014 74.975   19 -0.003   19 -0.013   12  0.044   19 0.4984   25  0.407   20 -0.037    5  0.124   10  0.053
ORIOLES       70  80 639 730  0.021 75.637   21 -0.012   21 -0.042   25 -0.083   21 0.4944   17  0.483   24 -0.096   21 -0.069    4  0.141

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    396 354 0.528    1  0.090
NL CENTRAL 390 362 0.519    2  0.057
AL WEST    382 370 0.508    3  0.005
AL CENTRAL 361 389 0.481    4 -0.038
NL EAST    366 385 0.487    5 -0.050
NL WEST    358 393 0.477    6 -0.060

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.077 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Sep 16 05:30:15 2025
games through: Mon Sep 15 2025

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.