Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      35 22 288 193 -0.042 27.721    5  0.086    5  0.095    4  0.162    5 0.5209   27  0.235   18 -0.040    1  0.363    4  0.377
BREWERS      34 20 264 185  0.039 28.053    3  0.147    3  0.138    3  0.187    3 0.5362   24  0.319   14  0.054    2  0.320   12  0.064
DODGERS      37 20 302 180 -0.026 27.969    4  0.146    4  0.136    1  0.218    4 0.5344   21  0.387    9  0.142    3  0.294   18 -0.096
BLUE JAYS    29 29 234 236  0.021 29.897   14  0.005   14  0.009   12  0.010   15 0.5011   29  0.186   26 -0.230    4  0.249    8  0.239
METS         24 33 223 250 -0.028 28.400   25 -0.078   25 -0.088   26 -0.090   26 0.4782   30  0.079   30 -0.410    5  0.229    3  0.386
PHILLIES     29 28 225 244 -0.008 28.781   15  0.003   15  0.006   20 -0.031   13 0.5035   28  0.197   28 -0.262    6  0.200    7  0.252
MARINERS     29 29 247 222 -0.033 28.611   17 -0.008   17 -0.013    9  0.024   17 0.4965   23  0.335   23 -0.095    7  0.144   16  0.004
PIRATES      30 28 282 258 -0.019 28.925   13  0.006   13  0.011    7  0.033   12 0.5083   20  0.401   16 -0.031    8  0.097    6  0.266
BRAVES       39 19 307 199 -0.012 28.862    1  0.180    1  0.166    2  0.199    1 0.5393   11  0.597    2  0.313    9  0.085   29 -0.433
GIANTS       22 35 210 266  0.034 29.843   26 -0.092   26 -0.097   29 -0.106   25 0.4792   26  0.259   29 -0.288   10  0.076    9  0.226
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         35 19 254 227  0.021 27.752    2  0.155    2  0.149    5  0.081    2 0.5391   12  0.495   12  0.100   11  0.061   17 -0.083
RANGERS      26 31 224 221 -0.014 28.617   21 -0.037   21 -0.047   13 -0.003   22 0.4859   19  0.408   20 -0.060   12  0.055   30 -0.436
ROYALS       22 35 212 267  0.021 29.545   27 -0.100   27 -0.103   27 -0.096   27 0.4715   25  0.305   27 -0.241   13  0.048   10  0.150
GUARDIANS    34 25 244 230 -0.019 29.447    6  0.053    6  0.069   11  0.017    6 0.5167   16  0.440   15 -0.013   14  0.047   26 -0.348
ATHLETICS    27 30 238 269 -0.017 28.632   18 -0.025   18 -0.031   23 -0.070   19 0.4907   22  0.341   25 -0.185   15  0.045    1  0.507
PADRES       32 24 221 220 -0.043 27.452    8  0.037    8  0.053   16 -0.011    9 0.5124   17  0.424   19 -0.055   16  0.033   24 -0.244
RED SOX      23 33 213 231  0.017 28.849   24 -0.067   24 -0.079   19 -0.030   24 0.4795   18  0.412   22 -0.085   17  0.024   23 -0.218
CARDINALS    30 25 241 250  0.028 28.538    7  0.038    7  0.054   15 -0.011    8 0.5146   15  0.442   17 -0.038   18  0.017   11  0.134
TIGERS       22 36 221 253 -0.025 28.930   30 -0.139   30 -0.128   24 -0.071   30 0.4667   14  0.466   21 -0.078   19 -0.064   19 -0.111
ROCKIES      21 37 237 312  0.023 30.187   29 -0.137   29 -0.127   30 -0.142   29 0.4703   13  0.467   24 -0.148   20 -0.136    2  0.401
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 31 25 261 248 -0.012 28.081   10  0.034   10  0.048    8  0.032   10 0.5108    7  0.665    4  0.211   21 -0.148   21 -0.160
WHITE SOX    30 27 266 265 -0.036 28.097   12  0.008   12  0.012   14 -0.004   14 0.5022    9  0.652    8  0.163   22 -0.171   22 -0.174
REDS         29 27 248 279 -0.043 27.523   16 -0.000   16  0.001   22 -0.067   16 0.5005   10  0.607   13  0.056   23 -0.190   13  0.063
MARLINS      26 32 248 263  0.037 30.319   19 -0.027   19 -0.035   17 -0.013   18 0.4923    5  0.672    7  0.173   24 -0.200   25 -0.264
TWINS        27 31 263 277 -0.014 29.140   20 -0.030   20 -0.039   18 -0.024   20 0.4898    4  0.685    6  0.175   25 -0.224   20 -0.133
ORIOLES      26 32 260 303  0.007 29.677   22 -0.040   22 -0.048   21 -0.067   21 0.4872    6  0.666   10  0.114   26 -0.247   15  0.005
ASTROS       26 33 262 300 -0.017 29.642   23 -0.055   23 -0.065   25 -0.075   23 0.4808    8  0.661   11  0.100   27 -0.250   14  0.046
NATIONALS    29 29 311 317  0.067 30.952   11  0.017   11  0.027   10  0.024   11 0.5090    3  0.772    3  0.312   28 -0.264    5  0.316
CUBS         31 27 277 259  0.040 30.297    9  0.036    9  0.050    6  0.045    7 0.5163    1  0.825    1  0.388   29 -0.298   28 -0.377
ANGELS       22 36 239 298  0.017 29.964   28 -0.115   28 -0.112   28 -0.106   28 0.4715    2  0.780    5  0.190   30 -0.402   27 -0.365

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      37 20 302 180 -0.026 27.969    4  0.146    4  0.136    1  0.218    4 0.5344   21  0.387    9  0.142    3  0.294   18 -0.096
GIANTS       22 35 210 266  0.034 29.843   26 -0.092   26 -0.097   29 -0.106   25 0.4792   26  0.259   29 -0.288   10  0.076    9  0.226
PADRES       32 24 221 220 -0.043 27.452    8  0.037    8  0.053   16 -0.011    9 0.5124   17  0.424   19 -0.055   16  0.033   24 -0.244
ROCKIES      21 37 237 312  0.023 30.187   29 -0.137   29 -0.127   30 -0.142   29 0.4703   13  0.467   24 -0.148   20 -0.136    2  0.401
DIAMONDBACKS 31 25 261 248 -0.012 28.081   10  0.034   10  0.048    8  0.032   10 0.5108    7  0.665    4  0.211   21 -0.148   21 -0.160

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      34 20 264 185  0.039 28.053    3  0.147    3  0.138    3  0.187    3 0.5362   24  0.319   14  0.054    2  0.320   12  0.064
PIRATES      30 28 282 258 -0.019 28.925   13  0.006   13  0.011    7  0.033   12 0.5083   20  0.401   16 -0.031    8  0.097    6  0.266
CARDINALS    30 25 241 250  0.028 28.538    7  0.038    7  0.054   15 -0.011    8 0.5146   15  0.442   17 -0.038   18  0.017   11  0.134
REDS         29 27 248 279 -0.043 27.523   16 -0.000   16  0.001   22 -0.067   16 0.5005   10  0.607   13  0.056   23 -0.190   13  0.063
CUBS         31 27 277 259  0.040 30.297    9  0.036    9  0.050    6  0.045    7 0.5163    1  0.825    1  0.388   29 -0.298   28 -0.377

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         24 33 223 250 -0.028 28.400   25 -0.078   25 -0.088   26 -0.090   26 0.4782   30  0.079   30 -0.410    5  0.229    3  0.386
PHILLIES     29 28 225 244 -0.008 28.781   15  0.003   15  0.006   20 -0.031   13 0.5035   28  0.197   28 -0.262    6  0.200    7  0.252
BRAVES       39 19 307 199 -0.012 28.862    1  0.180    1  0.166    2  0.199    1 0.5393   11  0.597    2  0.313    9  0.085   29 -0.433
MARLINS      26 32 248 263  0.037 30.319   19 -0.027   19 -0.035   17 -0.013   18 0.4923    5  0.672    7  0.173   24 -0.200   25 -0.264
NATIONALS    29 29 311 317  0.067 30.952   11  0.017   11  0.027   10  0.024   11 0.5090    3  0.772    3  0.312   28 -0.264    5  0.316

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     29 29 247 222 -0.033 28.611   17 -0.008   17 -0.013    9  0.024   17 0.4965   23  0.335   23 -0.095    7  0.144   16  0.004
RANGERS      26 31 224 221 -0.014 28.617   21 -0.037   21 -0.047   13 -0.003   22 0.4859   19  0.408   20 -0.060   12  0.055   30 -0.436
ATHLETICS    27 30 238 269 -0.017 28.632   18 -0.025   18 -0.031   23 -0.070   19 0.4907   22  0.341   25 -0.185   15  0.045    1  0.507
ASTROS       26 33 262 300 -0.017 29.642   23 -0.055   23 -0.065   25 -0.075   23 0.4808    8  0.661   11  0.100   27 -0.250   14  0.046
ANGELS       22 36 239 298  0.017 29.964   28 -0.115   28 -0.112   28 -0.106   28 0.4715    2  0.780    5  0.190   30 -0.402   27 -0.365

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS       22 35 212 267  0.021 29.545   27 -0.100   27 -0.103   27 -0.096   27 0.4715   25  0.305   27 -0.241   13  0.048   10  0.150
GUARDIANS    34 25 244 230 -0.019 29.447    6  0.053    6  0.069   11  0.017    6 0.5167   16  0.440   15 -0.013   14  0.047   26 -0.348
TIGERS       22 36 221 253 -0.025 28.930   30 -0.139   30 -0.128   24 -0.071   30 0.4667   14  0.466   21 -0.078   19 -0.064   19 -0.111
WHITE SOX    30 27 266 265 -0.036 28.097   12  0.008   12  0.012   14 -0.004   14 0.5022    9  0.652    8  0.163   22 -0.171   22 -0.174
TWINS        27 31 263 277 -0.014 29.140   20 -0.030   20 -0.039   18 -0.024   20 0.4898    4  0.685    6  0.175   25 -0.224   20 -0.133

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      35 22 288 193 -0.042 27.721    5  0.086    5  0.095    4  0.162    5 0.5209   27  0.235   18 -0.040    1  0.363    4  0.377
BLUE JAYS    29 29 234 236  0.021 29.897   14  0.005   14  0.009   12  0.010   15 0.5011   29  0.186   26 -0.230    4  0.249    8  0.239
RAYS         35 19 254 227  0.021 27.752    2  0.155    2  0.149    5  0.081    2 0.5391   12  0.495   12  0.100   11  0.061   17 -0.083
RED SOX      23 33 213 231  0.017 28.849   24 -0.067   24 -0.079   19 -0.030   24 0.4795   18  0.412   22 -0.085   17  0.024   23 -0.218
ORIOLES      26 32 260 303  0.007 29.677   22 -0.040   22 -0.048   21 -0.067   21 0.4872    6  0.666   10  0.114   26 -0.247   15  0.005

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 154 127 0.548    1  0.076
AL EAST    148 135 0.523    2  0.062
NL EAST    147 141 0.510    3  0.033
NL WEST    143 141 0.504    4 -0.006
AL CENTRAL 135 154 0.467    5 -0.072
AL WEST    130 159 0.450    6 -0.092

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.053 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat May 30 05:30:06 2026
games through: Fri May 29 2026

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