Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.019 80.701    5  0.135    5  0.136    5  0.127    5 0.5190   27  0.319   17 -0.022    1  0.277    3  0.251
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.609    9  0.038    9  0.080    8  0.076    9 0.5109   29  0.293   24 -0.094    2  0.246   21 -0.028
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.011 81.024   26 -0.061   26 -0.101   21 -0.057   26 0.4860   30  0.173   29 -0.322    3  0.209   17 -0.010
DODGERS      103  71  880  723 -0.015 84.747    3  0.169    2  0.154    3  0.152    2 0.5207   19  0.442    9  0.108    4  0.196    2  0.251
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.251   10  0.021   10  0.064   18  0.002   10 0.5079   28  0.299   28 -0.164    5  0.168   19 -0.016
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.401   11  0.019   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5076   21  0.417   15  0.005    6  0.138    4  0.209
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.004 84.137    6  0.098    6  0.118    4  0.146    6 0.5156   14  0.506    5  0.159    7  0.133   22 -0.047
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.458    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.114    8 0.5125   13  0.509    8  0.129    8  0.098   15 -0.004
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.015 81.133   21 -0.003   21 -0.033   14  0.026   19 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.041    9  0.093   10  0.056
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.263   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4984   25  0.393   22 -0.081   10  0.093   12  0.020
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      100  71  832  666  0.003 84.591    2  0.169    3  0.153    1  0.166    3 0.5205    9  0.571    4  0.239   11  0.093   24 -0.170
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.256   12  0.018   12  0.053   15  0.008   11 0.5077   24  0.407   20 -0.067   12  0.082   23 -0.051
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.007 79.641   16  0.003   16 -0.005   11  0.064   16 0.5002   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.076   30 -0.480
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.009 81.691   13  0.006   13  0.016   13  0.030   14 0.5022   17  0.458   16 -0.000   14  0.060   16 -0.007
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.818   15  0.005   15  0.006   19 -0.013   15 0.5003   23  0.411   23 -0.085   15  0.059   27 -0.209
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.377   14  0.006   14  0.014   12  0.035   13 0.5023   12  0.522   11  0.063   16  0.008   13  0.019
BLUE JAYS    102  73  881  779  0.021 87.872    1  0.183    1  0.163    6  0.123    1 0.5222    7  0.618    3  0.241   17  0.005   14  0.013
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.004 80.576   27 -0.092   27 -0.117   25 -0.090   27 0.4835   20  0.436   26 -0.140   18 -0.041    5  0.208
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.010 79.585   24 -0.017   24 -0.062   20 -0.015   24 0.4920   11  0.524   14  0.015   19 -0.045   20 -0.020
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.047    4  0.139    4  0.138    2  0.165    4 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.379   20 -0.048   26 -0.186
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.008 80.874   29 -0.221   29 -0.223   27 -0.120   29 0.4693   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.080   18 -0.015
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.749   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4929   15  0.481   25 -0.111   22 -0.091    7  0.102
MARINERS      96  78  815  751  0.002 86.166    7  0.051    7  0.093   10  0.066    7 0.5132    4  0.688    2  0.253   23 -0.121   29 -0.391
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.453   18  0.000   18 -0.020   16  0.006   18 0.4971    5  0.640    6  0.145   24 -0.133    8  0.071
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.002 80.422   23 -0.013   23 -0.054   23 -0.065   22 0.4930    8  0.599   13  0.034   25 -0.165    6  0.153
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.013 81.135   19 -0.002   19 -0.026   22 -0.059   20 0.4961    6  0.628   10  0.069   26 -0.187   25 -0.185
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.329   25 -0.046   25 -0.089   28 -0.153   25 0.4878   10  0.570   21 -0.081   27 -0.226    9  0.058
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.007 79.901   20 -0.003   20 -0.029   24 -0.089   21 0.4959    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.309   28 -0.276
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 82.016   30 -0.454   30 -0.413   30 -0.449   30 0.4442   26  0.351   30 -0.571   29 -0.327    1  0.659
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.448   28 -0.189   28 -0.167   29 -0.240   28 0.4770    3  0.694   19 -0.047   30 -0.432   11  0.023

NL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.013 80.609    9  0.038    9  0.080    8  0.076    9 0.5109   29  0.293   24 -0.094    2  0.246   21 -0.028
DODGERS      103  71  880  723 -0.015 84.747    3  0.169    2  0.154    3  0.152    2 0.5207   19  0.442    9  0.108    4  0.196    2  0.251
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.014 79.263   17  0.002   17 -0.010   17  0.006   17 0.4984   25  0.393   22 -0.081   10  0.093   12  0.020
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.011 79.453   18  0.000   18 -0.020   16  0.006   18 0.4971    5  0.640    6  0.145   24 -0.133    8  0.071
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.020 82.016   30 -0.454   30 -0.413   30 -0.449   30 0.4442   26  0.351   30 -0.571   29 -0.327    1  0.659

NL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.011 81.024   26 -0.061   26 -0.101   21 -0.057   26 0.4860   30  0.173   29 -0.322    3  0.209   17 -0.010
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.004 84.137    6  0.098    6  0.118    4  0.146    6 0.5156   14  0.506    5  0.159    7  0.133   22 -0.047
BREWERS      100  71  832  666  0.003 84.591    2  0.169    3  0.153    1  0.166    3 0.5205    9  0.571    4  0.239   11  0.093   24 -0.170
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.009 81.691   13  0.006   13  0.016   13  0.030   14 0.5022   17  0.458   16 -0.000   14  0.060   16 -0.007
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.013 81.135   19 -0.002   19 -0.026   22 -0.059   20 0.4961    6  0.628   10  0.069   26 -0.187   25 -0.185

NL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.019 80.701    5  0.135    5  0.136    5  0.127    5 0.5190   27  0.319   17 -0.022    1  0.277    3  0.251
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.011 79.377   14  0.006   14  0.014   12  0.035   13 0.5023   12  0.522   11  0.063   16  0.008   13  0.019
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.010 79.585   24 -0.017   24 -0.062   20 -0.015   24 0.4920   11  0.524   14  0.015   19 -0.045   20 -0.020
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.007 79.901   20 -0.003   20 -0.029   24 -0.089   21 0.4959    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.309   28 -0.276
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.002 80.448   28 -0.189   28 -0.167   29 -0.240   28 0.4770    3  0.694   19 -0.047   30 -0.432   11  0.023

AL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.256   12  0.018   12  0.053   15  0.008   11 0.5077   24  0.407   20 -0.067   12  0.082   23 -0.051
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.007 79.641   16  0.003   16 -0.005   11  0.064   16 0.5002   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.076   30 -0.480
MARINERS      96  78  815  751  0.002 86.166    7  0.051    7  0.093   10  0.066    7 0.5132    4  0.688    2  0.253   23 -0.121   29 -0.391
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.002 80.422   23 -0.013   23 -0.054   23 -0.065   22 0.4930    8  0.599   13  0.034   25 -0.165    6  0.153
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.015 81.329   25 -0.046   25 -0.089   28 -0.153   25 0.4878   10  0.570   21 -0.081   27 -0.226    9  0.058

AL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.251   10  0.021   10  0.064   18  0.002   10 0.5079   28  0.299   28 -0.164    5  0.168   19 -0.016
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.401   11  0.019   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5076   21  0.417   15  0.005    6  0.138    4  0.209
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.818   15  0.005   15  0.006   19 -0.013   15 0.5003   23  0.411   23 -0.085   15  0.059   27 -0.209
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.004 80.576   27 -0.092   27 -0.117   25 -0.090   27 0.4835   20  0.436   26 -0.140   18 -0.041    5  0.208
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.008 80.874   29 -0.221   29 -0.223   27 -0.120   29 0.4693   18  0.447   27 -0.159   21 -0.080   18 -0.015

AL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.458    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.114    8 0.5125   13  0.509    8  0.129    8  0.098   15 -0.004
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.015 81.133   21 -0.003   21 -0.033   14  0.026   19 0.4961   22  0.416   18 -0.041    9  0.093   10  0.056
BLUE JAYS    102  73  881  779  0.021 87.872    1  0.183    1  0.163    6  0.123    1 0.5222    7  0.618    3  0.241   17  0.005   14  0.013
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.047    4  0.139    4  0.138    2  0.165    4 0.5192    2  0.715    1  0.379   20 -0.048   26 -0.186
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.749   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4929   15  0.481   25 -0.111   22 -0.091    7  0.102

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    441 392 0.529    1  0.084
NL CENTRAL 428 401 0.516    2  0.058
AL WEST    412 410 0.501    3 -0.020
AL CENTRAL 392 429 0.477    4 -0.038
NL EAST    401 413 0.493    5 -0.045
NL WEST    398 427 0.482    6 -0.049

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.077 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Oct 26 05:30:11 2025
games through: Sat Oct 25 2025

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