Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         20 12 175 139 -0.033 15.616    5  0.032    5  0.038    5  0.043    3 0.5300    2  0.929    1  0.478   29 -0.392   27 -0.458 P
ASTROS       12 21 169 197 -0.024 16.457   29 -0.057   29 -0.051   27 -0.044   30 0.4612    1  0.932    2  0.394   30 -0.482   20  0.001 P
NATIONALS    15 18 176 191  0.062 17.556   18 -0.007   18 -0.008   17 -0.011   17 0.4963    3  0.831    3  0.318   28 -0.339    4  0.322 P
ANGELS       12 21 153 165  0.041 17.278   28 -0.040   28 -0.042   18 -0.012   28 0.4716    4  0.795    4  0.278   27 -0.301   28 -0.567 P
DIAMONDBACKS 16 15 146 171  0.028 16.097   12  0.007   12  0.010   20 -0.020   12 0.5068    5  0.748    5  0.222   26 -0.262   15  0.090 P
MARLINS      15 17 140 140  0.064 16.983   16 -0.003   16 -0.002   11  0.007   16 0.5010    6  0.658    6  0.159   25 -0.144   24 -0.261 P
BREWERS      17 14 166 123 -0.030 15.196   10  0.010   10  0.013    4  0.048   10 0.5094    9  0.603    7  0.146   19 -0.051   21 -0.096 P
CARDINALS    19 13 162 160 -0.003 16.130    8  0.025    8  0.031   13  0.003    7 0.5193    7  0.642    8  0.140   24 -0.133   14  0.097 P
DODGERS      20 12 169 108 -0.053 15.323    6  0.031    6  0.036    3  0.071    5 0.5259   14  0.524    9  0.095   14  0.048   25 -0.393 P
PADRES       19 12 141 139 -0.042 15.126    7  0.026    7  0.032   12  0.006    8 0.5188   12  0.586   10  0.088   20 -0.076   17  0.076 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        14 19 157 156 -0.053 15.985   26 -0.029   26 -0.034   19 -0.012   27 0.4783   11  0.588   11  0.072   21 -0.096   10  0.171 P
RAYS         19 12 140 138  0.068 16.475    3  0.046    3  0.047    8  0.023    2 0.5354   13  0.546   12  0.068   17 -0.021   22 -0.100 P
WHITE SOX    15 17 137 155 -0.027 15.898   20 -0.012   20 -0.015   25 -0.032   19 0.4898    8  0.604   13  0.067   22 -0.131   26 -0.430 P
ORIOLES      15 17 147 164 -0.071 15.333   21 -0.015   21 -0.021   26 -0.033   22 0.4832   10  0.603   14  0.065   23 -0.132    7  0.202 P
RANGERS      16 16 125 116  0.046 16.712   14  0.005   14  0.006    7  0.024   13 0.5061   16  0.510   15  0.036   15  0.013   29 -0.615 P
GUARDIANS    17 16 131 136  0.041 17.237   11  0.009   11  0.012   14  0.001   11 0.5084   15  0.521   16  0.022   16 -0.021   30 -0.622 P
BRAVES       23 10 185 117 -0.066 15.614    1  0.075    1  0.060    1  0.083    1 0.5417   18  0.414   17  0.009    7  0.157   16  0.079 P
PIRATES      17 16 162 142  0.012 16.773   13  0.005   13  0.007    6  0.027    9 0.5115   19  0.411   18 -0.049   11  0.104   12  0.149 P
PHILLIES     13 19 124 168  0.030 16.760   23 -0.022   23 -0.027   29 -0.056   21 0.4857   17  0.471   19 -0.080   18 -0.032   19  0.036 P
TIGERS       16 17 146 138  0.044 17.218   15  0.001   15  0.001    9  0.022   15 0.5018   22  0.368   20 -0.091    8  0.136   18  0.061 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         20 12 134 145 -0.014 16.018    4  0.035    4  0.041   16 -0.010    6 0.5244   20  0.400   21 -0.096   13  0.076    5  0.318 P
BLUE JAYS    15 17 129 149 -0.022 15.956   19 -0.011   19 -0.014   24 -0.028   20 0.4861   21  0.379   22 -0.133   12  0.076    6  0.209 P
ROYALS       13 19 133 154  0.047 16.868   22 -0.020   22 -0.026   22 -0.023   26 0.4783   23  0.351   23 -0.150   10  0.105    9  0.175 P
RED SOX      13 19 126 140  0.015 16.425   24 -0.024   24 -0.030   21 -0.021   25 0.4784   24  0.346   24 -0.153    9  0.110   23 -0.253 P
YANKEES      21 11 160 108 -0.025 15.673    2  0.055    2  0.050    2  0.075    4 0.5297   28  0.213   25 -0.165    2  0.315    2  0.474 P
MARINERS     16 17 140 134  0.012 16.828   17 -0.003   17 -0.004   10  0.010   18 0.4946   25  0.281   26 -0.176    4  0.195   11  0.158 P
ROCKIES      14 19 143 152 -0.034 16.302   25 -0.027   25 -0.032   23 -0.027   23 0.4797   26  0.260   27 -0.229    6  0.175    3  0.330 P
ATHLETICS    17 15 136 144  0.023 16.499    9  0.011    9  0.014   15 -0.007   14 0.5046   29  0.201   28 -0.256    3  0.242    1  0.524 P
METS         11 21 110 144 -0.025 16.009   30 -0.069   30 -0.057   30 -0.058   29 0.4626   27  0.216   29 -0.296    5  0.180    8  0.179 P
GIANTS       13 19 104 133 -0.044 15.759   27 -0.034   27 -0.038   28 -0.054   24 0.4785   30 -0.008   30 -0.456    1  0.348   13  0.134 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 16 15 146 171  0.028 16.097   12  0.007   12  0.010   20 -0.020   12 0.5068    5  0.748    5  0.222   26 -0.262   15  0.090 P
DODGERS      20 12 169 108 -0.053 15.323    6  0.031    6  0.036    3  0.071    5 0.5259   14  0.524    9  0.095   14  0.048   25 -0.393 P
PADRES       19 12 141 139 -0.042 15.126    7  0.026    7  0.032   12  0.006    8 0.5188   12  0.586   10  0.088   20 -0.076   17  0.076 P
ROCKIES      14 19 143 152 -0.034 16.302   25 -0.027   25 -0.032   23 -0.027   23 0.4797   26  0.260   27 -0.229    6  0.175    3  0.330 P
GIANTS       13 19 104 133 -0.044 15.759   27 -0.034   27 -0.038   28 -0.054   24 0.4785   30 -0.008   30 -0.456    1  0.348   13  0.134 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         20 12 175 139 -0.033 15.616    5  0.032    5  0.038    5  0.043    3 0.5300    2  0.929    1  0.478   29 -0.392   27 -0.458 P
BREWERS      17 14 166 123 -0.030 15.196   10  0.010   10  0.013    4  0.048   10 0.5094    9  0.603    7  0.146   19 -0.051   21 -0.096 P
CARDINALS    19 13 162 160 -0.003 16.130    8  0.025    8  0.031   13  0.003    7 0.5193    7  0.642    8  0.140   24 -0.133   14  0.097 P
PIRATES      17 16 162 142  0.012 16.773   13  0.005   13  0.007    6  0.027    9 0.5115   19  0.411   18 -0.049   11  0.104   12  0.149 P
REDS         20 12 134 145 -0.014 16.018    4  0.035    4  0.041   16 -0.010    6 0.5244   20  0.400   21 -0.096   13  0.076    5  0.318 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    15 18 176 191  0.062 17.556   18 -0.007   18 -0.008   17 -0.011   17 0.4963    3  0.831    3  0.318   28 -0.339    4  0.322 P
MARLINS      15 17 140 140  0.064 16.983   16 -0.003   16 -0.002   11  0.007   16 0.5010    6  0.658    6  0.159   25 -0.144   24 -0.261 P
BRAVES       23 10 185 117 -0.066 15.614    1  0.075    1  0.060    1  0.083    1 0.5417   18  0.414   17  0.009    7  0.157   16  0.079 P
PHILLIES     13 19 124 168  0.030 16.760   23 -0.022   23 -0.027   29 -0.056   21 0.4857   17  0.471   19 -0.080   18 -0.032   19  0.036 P
METS         11 21 110 144 -0.025 16.009   30 -0.069   30 -0.057   30 -0.058   29 0.4626   27  0.216   29 -0.296    5  0.180    8  0.179 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       12 21 169 197 -0.024 16.457   29 -0.057   29 -0.051   27 -0.044   30 0.4612    1  0.932    2  0.394   30 -0.482   20  0.001 P
ANGELS       12 21 153 165  0.041 17.278   28 -0.040   28 -0.042   18 -0.012   28 0.4716    4  0.795    4  0.278   27 -0.301   28 -0.567 P
RANGERS      16 16 125 116  0.046 16.712   14  0.005   14  0.006    7  0.024   13 0.5061   16  0.510   15  0.036   15  0.013   29 -0.615 P
MARINERS     16 17 140 134  0.012 16.828   17 -0.003   17 -0.004   10  0.010   18 0.4946   25  0.281   26 -0.176    4  0.195   11  0.158 P
ATHLETICS    17 15 136 144  0.023 16.499    9  0.011    9  0.014   15 -0.007   14 0.5046   29  0.201   28 -0.256    3  0.242    1  0.524 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        14 19 157 156 -0.053 15.985   26 -0.029   26 -0.034   19 -0.012   27 0.4783   11  0.588   11  0.072   21 -0.096   10  0.171 P
WHITE SOX    15 17 137 155 -0.027 15.898   20 -0.012   20 -0.015   25 -0.032   19 0.4898    8  0.604   13  0.067   22 -0.131   26 -0.430 P
GUARDIANS    17 16 131 136  0.041 17.237   11  0.009   11  0.012   14  0.001   11 0.5084   15  0.521   16  0.022   16 -0.021   30 -0.622 P
TIGERS       16 17 146 138  0.044 17.218   15  0.001   15  0.001    9  0.022   15 0.5018   22  0.368   20 -0.091    8  0.136   18  0.061 P
ROYALS       13 19 133 154  0.047 16.868   22 -0.020   22 -0.026   22 -0.023   26 0.4783   23  0.351   23 -0.150   10  0.105    9  0.175 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         19 12 140 138  0.068 16.475    3  0.046    3  0.047    8  0.023    2 0.5354   13  0.546   12  0.068   17 -0.021   22 -0.100 P
ORIOLES      15 17 147 164 -0.071 15.333   21 -0.015   21 -0.021   26 -0.033   22 0.4832   10  0.603   14  0.065   23 -0.132    7  0.202 P
BLUE JAYS    15 17 129 149 -0.022 15.956   19 -0.011   19 -0.014   24 -0.028   20 0.4861   21  0.379   22 -0.133   12  0.076    6  0.209 P
RED SOX      13 19 126 140  0.015 16.425   24 -0.024   24 -0.030   21 -0.021   25 0.4784   24  0.346   24 -0.153    9  0.110   23 -0.253 P
YANKEES      21 11 160 108 -0.025 15.673    2  0.055    2  0.050    2  0.075    4 0.5297   28  0.213   25 -0.165    2  0.315    2  0.474 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 93 67 0.581    1  0.108
AL EAST    83 76 0.522    2  0.014
NL WEST    82 77 0.516    3 -0.023
AL WEST    73 90 0.448    4 -0.026
NL EAST    77 85 0.475    5 -0.036
AL CENTRAL 75 88 0.460    6 -0.042

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.075 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat May  2 05:30:06 2026
games through: Fri May  1 2026

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