Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS          88  73 844 701  0.012 81.114    7  0.036    7  0.081    4  0.127    7 0.5135    6  0.632    1  0.250   13  0.004   14  0.018
WHITE SOX     83  77 766 709 -0.011 79.291   12  0.004   12  0.024    9  0.052   13 0.5029    5  0.640    2  0.182   18 -0.079   22 -0.134
BREWERS      101  59 823 612  0.004 79.949    1  0.223    1  0.211    1  0.227    1 0.5331   21  0.442    3  0.175    3  0.280   12  0.052
DODGERS       98  62 792 596 -0.012 79.036    2  0.199    2  0.173    2  0.198    2 0.5267   22  0.431    4  0.135    5  0.261   15 -0.016
TWINS         76  84 731 787 -0.002 80.010   22 -0.007   22 -0.041   21 -0.059   22 0.4926    1  0.693    5  0.124   28 -0.242   18 -0.090
NATIONALS     76  84 814 804  0.017 81.122   18 -0.004   18 -0.028   15  0.011   18 0.4961    9  0.611    6  0.114   19 -0.092    4  0.277
PADRES        89  71 703 670  0.002 80.102    6  0.043    6  0.090   10  0.045    6 0.5136   11  0.569    7  0.107   15 -0.018   29 -0.331
CARDINALS     77  83 714 740  0.017 81.177   17 -0.002   17 -0.019   17 -0.017   17 0.4977    7  0.628    8  0.102   24 -0.136   27 -0.235
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.007 81.051   15 -0.001   15 -0.011   18 -0.020   15 0.4986    8  0.622    9  0.093   23 -0.133   24 -0.160
ASTROS        79  81 712 764 -0.039 77.675   20 -0.005   20 -0.034   23 -0.073   21 0.4939    4  0.642   10  0.059   26 -0.205   20 -0.122
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS  86  74 728 711  0.004 80.284   10  0.016   10  0.062   13  0.023   10 0.5094   12  0.539   11  0.058   14 -0.013   17 -0.068
TIGERS        75  85 717 645 -0.018 78.823   24 -0.013   24 -0.059    8  0.058   24 0.4907   18  0.487   12  0.045   11  0.071   23 -0.148
MARLINS       79  81 707 701  0.015 80.994   14  0.000   14  0.000   14  0.017   14 0.5005   17  0.497   13  0.013   12  0.021   19 -0.103
REDS          74  86 660 820  0.036 82.577   21 -0.007   21 -0.038   28 -0.140   20 0.4942    3  0.657   14  0.007   29 -0.287   25 -0.184
RAYS          97  63 721 642 -0.004 79.670    3  0.190    3  0.166    6  0.100    3 0.5253   24  0.384   15 -0.004    6  0.203   11  0.055
PIRATES       81  79 760 733  0.020 81.278   13  0.003   13  0.023   12  0.033   11 0.5041   20  0.446   16 -0.016   10  0.082    7  0.227
METS          73  87 688 724  0.025 81.704   23 -0.012   23 -0.054   20 -0.040   23 0.4920   15  0.521   17 -0.021   17 -0.058   16 -0.060
BRAVES        93  67 731 618  0.009 80.447    4  0.134    4  0.134    5  0.125    4 0.5208   26  0.332   18 -0.022    4  0.273    8  0.125
RANGERS       79  81 663 711 -0.037 77.783   19 -0.005   19 -0.034   22 -0.068   19 0.4945   13  0.535   19 -0.036   20 -0.099   26 -0.194
ANGELS        62  98 648 737 -0.026 78.546   29 -0.216   29 -0.194   27 -0.128   29 0.4702   10  0.597   20 -0.038   27 -0.217   30 -0.345
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       57 103 741 934  0.021 81.705   30 -0.224   30 -0.217   29 -0.195   30 0.4674    2  0.659   21 -0.046   30 -0.344    2  0.303
YANKEES       93  68 739 601 -0.006 79.981    5  0.102    5  0.120    3  0.141    5 0.5188   30  0.258   22 -0.066    1  0.348    6  0.235
GIANTS        65  95 665 751  0.009 80.781   27 -0.152   27 -0.141   25 -0.094   27 0.4786   14  0.529   23 -0.068   22 -0.119   21 -0.131
MARINERS      74  86 649 715 -0.032 78.121   25 -0.035   25 -0.080   24 -0.094   25 0.4877   16  0.517   24 -0.079   21 -0.108   28 -0.248
RED SOX       87  74 687 605  0.000 80.437    9  0.018    9  0.065    7  0.096    9 0.5105   29  0.260   25 -0.110    2  0.302    9  0.099
PHILLIES      87  73 705 683  0.014 80.886    8  0.028    8  0.077   11  0.043    8 0.5118   28  0.318   26 -0.116    7  0.201    5  0.243
BLUE JAYS     78  82 642 688  0.013 80.938   16 -0.001   16 -0.012   19 -0.026   16 0.4984   25  0.367   27 -0.144    9  0.091   13  0.032
GUARDIANS     84  76 665 659 -0.017 79.003   11  0.004   11  0.029   16 -0.010   12 0.5035   27  0.326   28 -0.162    8  0.143   10  0.055
ROYALS        68  92 682 797 -0.004 79.936   26 -0.108   26 -0.122   26 -0.115   26 0.4804   23  0.430   29 -0.179   16 -0.052    3  0.281
ATHLETICS     64  96 697 915 -0.024 78.737   28 -0.207   28 -0.175   30 -0.221   28 0.4723   19  0.464   30 -0.254   25 -0.188    1  0.565

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS       98  62 792 596 -0.012 79.036    2  0.199    2  0.173    2  0.198    2 0.5267   22  0.431    4  0.135    5  0.261   15 -0.016
PADRES        89  71 703 670  0.002 80.102    6  0.043    6  0.090   10  0.045    6 0.5136   11  0.569    7  0.107   15 -0.018   29 -0.331
DIAMONDBACKS  86  74 728 711  0.004 80.284   10  0.016   10  0.062   13  0.023   10 0.5094   12  0.539   11  0.058   14 -0.013   17 -0.068
ROCKIES       57 103 741 934  0.021 81.705   30 -0.224   30 -0.217   29 -0.195   30 0.4674    2  0.659   21 -0.046   30 -0.344    2  0.303
GIANTS        65  95 665 751  0.009 80.781   27 -0.152   27 -0.141   25 -0.094   27 0.4786   14  0.529   23 -0.068   22 -0.119   21 -0.131

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS          88  73 844 701  0.012 81.114    7  0.036    7  0.081    4  0.127    7 0.5135    6  0.632    1  0.250   13  0.004   14  0.018
BREWERS      101  59 823 612  0.004 79.949    1  0.223    1  0.211    1  0.227    1 0.5331   21  0.442    3  0.175    3  0.280   12  0.052
CARDINALS     77  83 714 740  0.017 81.177   17 -0.002   17 -0.019   17 -0.017   17 0.4977    7  0.628    8  0.102   24 -0.136   27 -0.235
REDS          74  86 660 820  0.036 82.577   21 -0.007   21 -0.038   28 -0.140   20 0.4942    3  0.657   14  0.007   29 -0.287   25 -0.184
PIRATES       81  79 760 733  0.020 81.278   13  0.003   13  0.023   12  0.033   11 0.5041   20  0.446   16 -0.016   10  0.082    7  0.227

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS     76  84 814 804  0.017 81.122   18 -0.004   18 -0.028   15  0.011   18 0.4961    9  0.611    6  0.114   19 -0.092    4  0.277
MARLINS       79  81 707 701  0.015 80.994   14  0.000   14  0.000   14  0.017   14 0.5005   17  0.497   13  0.013   12  0.021   19 -0.103
METS          73  87 688 724  0.025 81.704   23 -0.012   23 -0.054   20 -0.040   23 0.4920   15  0.521   17 -0.021   17 -0.058   16 -0.060
BRAVES        93  67 731 618  0.009 80.447    4  0.134    4  0.134    5  0.125    4 0.5208   26  0.332   18 -0.022    4  0.273    8  0.125
PHILLIES      87  73 705 683  0.014 80.886    8  0.028    8  0.077   11  0.043    8 0.5118   28  0.318   26 -0.116    7  0.201    5  0.243

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        79  81 712 764 -0.039 77.675   20 -0.005   20 -0.034   23 -0.073   21 0.4939    4  0.642   10  0.059   26 -0.205   20 -0.122
RANGERS       79  81 663 711 -0.037 77.783   19 -0.005   19 -0.034   22 -0.068   19 0.4945   13  0.535   19 -0.036   20 -0.099   26 -0.194
ANGELS        62  98 648 737 -0.026 78.546   29 -0.216   29 -0.194   27 -0.128   29 0.4702   10  0.597   20 -0.038   27 -0.217   30 -0.345
MARINERS      74  86 649 715 -0.032 78.121   25 -0.035   25 -0.080   24 -0.094   25 0.4877   16  0.517   24 -0.079   21 -0.108   28 -0.248
ATHLETICS     64  96 697 915 -0.024 78.737   28 -0.207   28 -0.175   30 -0.221   28 0.4723   19  0.464   30 -0.254   25 -0.188    1  0.565

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX     83  77 766 709 -0.011 79.291   12  0.004   12  0.024    9  0.052   13 0.5029    5  0.640    2  0.182   18 -0.079   22 -0.134
TWINS         76  84 731 787 -0.002 80.010   22 -0.007   22 -0.041   21 -0.059   22 0.4926    1  0.693    5  0.124   28 -0.242   18 -0.090
TIGERS        75  85 717 645 -0.018 78.823   24 -0.013   24 -0.059    8  0.058   24 0.4907   18  0.487   12  0.045   11  0.071   23 -0.148
GUARDIANS     84  76 665 659 -0.017 79.003   11  0.004   11  0.029   16 -0.010   12 0.5035   27  0.326   28 -0.162    8  0.143   10  0.055
ROYALS        68  92 682 797 -0.004 79.936   26 -0.108   26 -0.122   26 -0.115   26 0.4804   23  0.430   29 -0.179   16 -0.052    3  0.281

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.007 81.051   15 -0.001   15 -0.011   18 -0.020   15 0.4986    8  0.622    9  0.093   23 -0.133   24 -0.160
RAYS          97  63 721 642 -0.004 79.670    3  0.190    3  0.166    6  0.100    3 0.5253   24  0.384   15 -0.004    6  0.203   11  0.055
YANKEES       93  68 739 601 -0.006 79.981    5  0.102    5  0.120    3  0.141    5 0.5188   30  0.258   22 -0.066    1  0.348    6  0.235
RED SOX       87  74 687 605  0.000 80.437    9  0.018    9  0.065    7  0.096    9 0.5105   29  0.260   25 -0.110    2  0.302    9  0.099
BLUE JAYS     78  82 642 688  0.013 80.938   16 -0.001   16 -0.012   19 -0.026   16 0.4984   25  0.367   27 -0.144    9  0.091   13  0.032

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    434 369 0.540    1  0.080
NL CENTRAL 421 380 0.526    2  0.063
NL EAST    408 392 0.510    3  0.043
NL WEST    395 405 0.494    4 -0.006
AL CENTRAL 386 414 0.482    5 -0.020
AL WEST    358 442 0.448    6 -0.161

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.059 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Sep 26 05:30:14 2026
games through: Fri Sep 25 2026

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