Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.966    7  0.036    7  0.078    5  0.120    7 0.5129    5  0.625    1  0.239   14  0.001   12  0.030
BREWERS      114  61 891 651  0.013 88.265    1  0.241    1  0.262    1  0.255    1 0.5394   22  0.424    2  0.189    2  0.321   10  0.031
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.017 83.502   12  0.006   13  0.022   10  0.045   13 0.5027   10  0.610    3  0.149   17 -0.060   17 -0.073
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.007 80.879   22 -0.007   22 -0.046   21 -0.066   22 0.4922    1  0.695    4  0.121   28 -0.254   19 -0.093
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.009 84.703    6  0.067    6  0.103    8  0.065    6 0.5152   12  0.556    5  0.119   13  0.011   29 -0.295
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.013 82.093   18 -0.002   18 -0.032   15  0.003   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.110   19 -0.103    4  0.270
DODGERS      103  67 826 629 -0.001 84.922    2  0.210    2  0.176    2  0.202    2 0.5262   23  0.393    7  0.109    3  0.296   13  0.017
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.004 80.994   15  0.001   15 -0.014   18 -0.024   15 0.4981    6  0.625    8  0.095   24 -0.142   24 -0.163
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.021 82.601   17 -0.002   17 -0.028   17 -0.019   17 0.4969    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.133   27 -0.225
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.005 81.555    9  0.015    9  0.052   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.578   10  0.088   16 -0.059   20 -0.098
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.045 79.376   20 -0.005   21 -0.040   22 -0.067   21 0.4933    4  0.639   11  0.064   25 -0.199   21 -0.119
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.021 79.772   24 -0.014   24 -0.063    9  0.054   24 0.4903   18  0.487   12  0.044   11  0.064   23 -0.155
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.013 82.131   14  0.003   14 -0.002   14  0.014   14 0.5004   17  0.499   13  0.014   12  0.013   18 -0.093
RAYS         106  70 783 698  0.006 88.516    3  0.208    3  0.175    6  0.108    3 0.5255   24  0.380   14  0.004    6  0.211   11  0.031
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.722   21 -0.005   20 -0.040   28 -0.143   19 0.4944    3  0.645   15 -0.005   29 -0.280   25 -0.171
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.493   11  0.007   12  0.023   11  0.034   11 0.5041   20  0.442   16 -0.017    9  0.084    7  0.234
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.443    4  0.128    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.330   17 -0.020    4  0.272    8  0.104
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.756   23 -0.011   23 -0.057   20 -0.038   23 0.4919   16  0.515   18 -0.023   15 -0.053   16 -0.052
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.030 79.506   29 -0.228   29 -0.211   27 -0.141   29 0.4686    9  0.612   19 -0.035   27 -0.247   30 -0.356
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.041 78.701   19 -0.004   19 -0.038   23 -0.070   20 0.4941   13  0.535   20 -0.036   20 -0.104   26 -0.195
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.925   30 -0.231   30 -0.221   29 -0.197   30 0.4677    2  0.664   21 -0.041   30 -0.353    2  0.300
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.007 82.608    5  0.092    5  0.114    3  0.149    5 0.5175   30  0.240   22 -0.070    1  0.368    6  0.260
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.010 82.085   27 -0.177   27 -0.154   25 -0.100   27 0.4775   14  0.529   23 -0.072   22 -0.128   22 -0.140
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.039 78.878   25 -0.029   25 -0.077   24 -0.091   25 0.4884   15  0.519   24 -0.073   21 -0.110   28 -0.234
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.002 82.282   10  0.014   10  0.050    7  0.075    9 0.5080   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.268    9  0.086
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.801    8  0.029    8  0.074   12  0.032    8 0.5112   28  0.317   26 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.263
GUARDIANS     90  83 719 707 -0.015 85.793   13  0.006   11  0.023   16 -0.007   12 0.5029   26  0.361   27 -0.127    8  0.113   15 -0.028
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.006 81.682   16  0.000   16 -0.017   19 -0.032   16 0.4978   25  0.369   28 -0.146   10  0.082   14  0.015
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.008 80.842   26 -0.123   26 -0.128   26 -0.124   26 0.4802   21  0.433   29 -0.182   18 -0.066    3  0.284
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.029 79.670   28 -0.223   28 -0.191   30 -0.247   28 0.4705   19  0.463   30 -0.278   26 -0.215    1  0.563

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.009 84.703    6  0.067    6  0.103    8  0.065    6 0.5152   12  0.556    5  0.119   13  0.011   29 -0.295
DODGERS      103  67 826 629 -0.001 84.922    2  0.210    2  0.176    2  0.202    2 0.5262   23  0.393    7  0.109    3  0.296   13  0.017
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.005 81.555    9  0.015    9  0.052   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.578   10  0.088   16 -0.059   20 -0.098
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.925   30 -0.231   30 -0.221   29 -0.197   30 0.4677    2  0.664   21 -0.041   30 -0.353    2  0.300
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.010 82.085   27 -0.177   27 -0.154   25 -0.100   27 0.4775   14  0.529   23 -0.072   22 -0.128   22 -0.140

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.966    7  0.036    7  0.078    5  0.120    7 0.5129    5  0.625    1  0.239   14  0.001   12  0.030
BREWERS      114  61 891 651  0.013 88.265    1  0.241    1  0.262    1  0.255    1 0.5394   22  0.424    2  0.189    2  0.321   10  0.031
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.021 82.601   17 -0.002   17 -0.028   17 -0.019   17 0.4969    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.133   27 -0.225
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.722   21 -0.005   20 -0.040   28 -0.143   19 0.4944    3  0.645   15 -0.005   29 -0.280   25 -0.171
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.493   11  0.007   12  0.023   11  0.034   11 0.5041   20  0.442   16 -0.017    9  0.084    7  0.234

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.013 82.093   18 -0.002   18 -0.032   15  0.003   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.110   19 -0.103    4  0.270
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.013 82.131   14  0.003   14 -0.002   14  0.014   14 0.5004   17  0.499   13  0.014   12  0.013   18 -0.093
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.443    4  0.128    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.330   17 -0.020    4  0.272    8  0.104
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.756   23 -0.011   23 -0.057   20 -0.038   23 0.4919   16  0.515   18 -0.023   15 -0.053   16 -0.052
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.801    8  0.029    8  0.074   12  0.032    8 0.5112   28  0.317   26 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.263

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.045 79.376   20 -0.005   21 -0.040   22 -0.067   21 0.4933    4  0.639   11  0.064   25 -0.199   21 -0.119
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.030 79.506   29 -0.228   29 -0.211   27 -0.141   29 0.4686    9  0.612   19 -0.035   27 -0.247   30 -0.356
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.041 78.701   19 -0.004   19 -0.038   23 -0.070   20 0.4941   13  0.535   20 -0.036   20 -0.104   26 -0.195
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.039 78.878   25 -0.029   25 -0.077   24 -0.091   25 0.4884   15  0.519   24 -0.073   21 -0.110   28 -0.234
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.029 79.670   28 -0.223   28 -0.191   30 -0.247   28 0.4705   19  0.463   30 -0.278   26 -0.215    1  0.563

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.017 83.502   12  0.006   13  0.022   10  0.045   13 0.5027   10  0.610    3  0.149   17 -0.060   17 -0.073
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.007 80.879   22 -0.007   22 -0.046   21 -0.066   22 0.4922    1  0.695    4  0.121   28 -0.254   19 -0.093
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.021 79.772   24 -0.014   24 -0.063    9  0.054   24 0.4903   18  0.487   12  0.044   11  0.064   23 -0.155
GUARDIANS     90  83 719 707 -0.015 85.793   13  0.006   11  0.023   16 -0.007   12 0.5029   26  0.361   27 -0.127    8  0.113   15 -0.028
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.008 80.842   26 -0.123   26 -0.128   26 -0.124   26 0.4802   21  0.433   29 -0.182   18 -0.066    3  0.284

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.004 80.994   15  0.001   15 -0.014   18 -0.024   15 0.4981    6  0.625    8  0.095   24 -0.142   24 -0.163
RAYS         106  70 783 698  0.006 88.516    3  0.208    3  0.175    6  0.108    3 0.5255   24  0.380   14  0.004    6  0.211   11  0.031
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.007 82.608    5  0.092    5  0.114    3  0.149    5 0.5175   30  0.240   22 -0.070    1  0.368    6  0.260
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.002 82.282   10  0.014   10  0.050    7  0.075    9 0.5080   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.268    9  0.086
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.006 81.682   16  0.000   16 -0.017   19 -0.032   16 0.4978   25  0.369   28 -0.146   10  0.082   14  0.015

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    446 383 0.538    1  0.075
NL CENTRAL 437 388 0.530    2  0.066
NL EAST    417 403 0.509    3  0.037
NL WEST    406 418 0.493    4 -0.004
AL CENTRAL 400 428 0.483    5 -0.026
AL WEST    363 449 0.447    6 -0.165

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.056 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Oct 29 05:30:16 2026
games through: Wed Oct 28 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.