Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         1 0 11  7 -0.229  0.409    6  0.025    7 -0.005    7  0.001    7 0.5194    2  0.884    1  0.321   29 -0.319    1  0.272 P
PIRATES      0 1  7 11  0.121  0.569   28 -0.032   29 -0.037   28 -0.047   28 0.4751    1  0.884    2  0.274   30 -0.367   13  0.012 P
RAYS         0 1  7  9  0.036  0.526   20 -0.014   22 -0.031   12 -0.014   19 0.4868    4  0.830    3  0.248   26 -0.275   19  0.012 P
BREWERS      1 0 14  2 -0.416  0.326    4  0.034    6 -0.004    3  0.037    4 0.5252    6  0.779    4  0.245   23 -0.170    3  0.173 P
CARDINALS    1 0  9  7 -0.062  0.484   10  0.017    9 -0.007   14 -0.017    9 0.5146    3  0.830    5  0.244   27 -0.279    2  0.222 P
CUBS         0 1  4 10 -0.152  0.447   18 -0.012   25 -0.032   17 -0.022   24 0.4851    7  0.769    6  0.176   24 -0.220    4  0.165 P
NATIONALS    1 0 10  4 -0.006  0.511   14 -0.000   12 -0.013   23 -0.032   14 0.5057    8  0.769    7  0.166   25 -0.230   17  0.012 P
WHITE SOX    0 1  2 14  0.302  0.651   30 -0.041   30 -0.039   30 -0.084   29 0.4689    5  0.779    8  0.124   28 -0.292    8  0.012 P
DODGERS      1 0  8  2 -0.121  0.446    1  0.046    1  0.003    1  0.044    1 0.5354   20  0.592    9  0.066   10  0.022   25  0.001 P
TIGERS       1 0  8  2  0.003  0.509    8  0.019    8 -0.006    8  0.000    8 0.5186   12  0.613   10  0.042   13 -0.041   16  0.012 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    1 0  6  4  0.061  0.535    7  0.024    5 -0.003   10 -0.005    6 0.5218   10  0.617   11  0.040   15 -0.051   23  0.012 P
BRAVES       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   11  0.011   13 -0.015    6  0.001   12 0.5089   15  0.610   12  0.040   12 -0.038   18  0.012 P
BLUE JAYS    0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   12  0.009   14 -0.016    9 -0.003   13 0.5070   16  0.610   13  0.036   14 -0.042   20  0.012 P
MARINERS     0 1  4  6 -0.010  0.506   19 -0.013   24 -0.031   11 -0.012   23 0.4860    9  0.617   14  0.033   17 -0.058    5  0.024 P
PADRES       0 1  2  8  0.014  0.519   17 -0.011   19 -0.030   18 -0.023   20 0.4868   11  0.613   15  0.019   18 -0.064    6  0.020 P
ROYALS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   15 -0.006   15 -0.022   20 -0.028   15 0.4945   13  0.610   16  0.011   19 -0.067    9  0.012 P
MARLINS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   22 -0.016   16 -0.026   26 -0.043   17 0.4872   17  0.610   17 -0.004   20 -0.082   21  0.012 P
ATHLETICS    0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   23 -0.016   17 -0.026   27 -0.043   18 0.4869   18  0.610   18 -0.004   21 -0.082   22  0.012 P
DIAMONDBACKS 0 1  2  8  0.358  0.663   21 -0.015   18 -0.029   21 -0.029   16 0.4879   19  0.592   19 -0.007   16 -0.051   11  0.012 P
PHILLIES     1 0  5  3 -0.078  0.472    3  0.034    3 -0.001    4  0.011    3 0.5264   22  0.525   20 -0.029    9  0.052   26 -0.061 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   29 -0.039   27 -0.034   29 -0.080   30 0.4688   14  0.610   21 -0.041   22 -0.119   12  0.012 P
RANGERS      0 1  3  5  0.187  0.591   24 -0.017   20 -0.031   15 -0.019   22 0.4862   21  0.525   22 -0.059   11  0.022   10  0.012 P
YANKEES      1 0  7  0 -0.069  0.470    2  0.040    2  0.001    2  0.040    2 0.5325   23  0.451   23 -0.068    7  0.147    7  0.012 P
GIANTS       0 1  0  7  0.214  0.607   25 -0.019   23 -0.031   25 -0.041   25 0.4832   24  0.451   24 -0.148    8  0.067   27 -0.128 P
RED SOX      1 0  3  0 -0.049  0.485    5  0.029    4 -0.002    5  0.010    5 0.5245   29  0.248   25 -0.268    1  0.288   14  0.012 P
ASTROS       0 1  0  3 -0.119  0.460   16 -0.010   21 -0.031   13 -0.016   21 0.4866   25  0.263   26 -0.283    3  0.250   28 -0.298 P
ORIOLES      1 0  2  1 -0.145  0.449    9  0.017   10 -0.008   16 -0.019   10 0.5141   27  0.256   27 -0.290    2  0.253   29 -0.304 P
ANGELS       1 0  3  0  0.029  0.525   13  0.005   11 -0.010   19 -0.027   11 0.5092   26  0.263   28 -0.293    6  0.240   24  0.012 P
TWINS        0 1  1  2  0.022  0.523   27 -0.026   28 -0.035   22 -0.029   27 0.4795   28  0.256   29 -0.301    5  0.243   15  0.012 P
REDS         0 1  0  3  0.060  0.540   26 -0.023   26 -0.034   24 -0.035   26 0.4800   30  0.248   30 -0.313    4  0.243   30 -0.311 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      1 0  8  2 -0.121  0.446    1  0.046    1  0.003    1  0.044    1 0.5354   20  0.592    9  0.066   10  0.022   25  0.001 P
PADRES       0 1  2  8  0.014  0.519   17 -0.011   19 -0.030   18 -0.023   20 0.4868   11  0.613   15  0.019   18 -0.064    6  0.020 P
DIAMONDBACKS 0 1  2  8  0.358  0.663   21 -0.015   18 -0.029   21 -0.029   16 0.4879   19  0.592   19 -0.007   16 -0.051   11  0.012 P
ROCKIES      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   29 -0.039   27 -0.034   29 -0.080   30 0.4688   14  0.610   21 -0.041   22 -0.119   12  0.012 P
GIANTS       0 1  0  7  0.214  0.607   25 -0.019   23 -0.031   25 -0.041   25 0.4832   24  0.451   24 -0.148    8  0.067   27 -0.128 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      0 1  7 11  0.121  0.569   28 -0.032   29 -0.037   28 -0.047   28 0.4751    1  0.884    2  0.274   30 -0.367   13  0.012 P
BREWERS      1 0 14  2 -0.416  0.326    4  0.034    6 -0.004    3  0.037    4 0.5252    6  0.779    4  0.245   23 -0.170    3  0.173 P
CARDINALS    1 0  9  7 -0.062  0.484   10  0.017    9 -0.007   14 -0.017    9 0.5146    3  0.830    5  0.244   27 -0.279    2  0.222 P
CUBS         0 1  4 10 -0.152  0.447   18 -0.012   25 -0.032   17 -0.022   24 0.4851    7  0.769    6  0.176   24 -0.220    4  0.165 P
REDS         0 1  0  3  0.060  0.540   26 -0.023   26 -0.034   24 -0.035   26 0.4800   30  0.248   30 -0.313    4  0.243   30 -0.311 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         1 0 11  7 -0.229  0.409    6  0.025    7 -0.005    7  0.001    7 0.5194    2  0.884    1  0.321   29 -0.319    1  0.272 P
NATIONALS    1 0 10  4 -0.006  0.511   14 -0.000   12 -0.013   23 -0.032   14 0.5057    8  0.769    7  0.166   25 -0.230   17  0.012 P
BRAVES       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   11  0.011   13 -0.015    6  0.001   12 0.5089   15  0.610   12  0.040   12 -0.038   18  0.012 P
MARLINS      0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   22 -0.016   16 -0.026   26 -0.043   17 0.4872   17  0.610   17 -0.004   20 -0.082   21  0.012 P
PHILLIES     1 0  5  3 -0.078  0.472    3  0.034    3 -0.001    4  0.011    3 0.5264   22  0.525   20 -0.029    9  0.052   26 -0.061 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     0 1  4  6 -0.010  0.506   19 -0.013   24 -0.031   11 -0.012   23 0.4860    9  0.617   14  0.033   17 -0.058    5  0.024 P
ATHLETICS    0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   23 -0.016   17 -0.026   27 -0.043   18 0.4869   18  0.610   18 -0.004   21 -0.082   22  0.012 P
RANGERS      0 1  3  5  0.187  0.591   24 -0.017   20 -0.031   15 -0.019   22 0.4862   21  0.525   22 -0.059   11  0.022   10  0.012 P
ASTROS       0 1  0  3 -0.119  0.460   16 -0.010   21 -0.031   13 -0.016   21 0.4866   25  0.263   26 -0.283    3  0.250   28 -0.298 P
ANGELS       1 0  3  0  0.029  0.525   13  0.005   11 -0.010   19 -0.027   11 0.5092   26  0.263   28 -0.293    6  0.240   24  0.012 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    0 1  2 14  0.302  0.651   30 -0.041   30 -0.039   30 -0.084   29 0.4689    5  0.779    8  0.124   28 -0.292    8  0.012 P
TIGERS       1 0  8  2  0.003  0.509    8  0.019    8 -0.006    8  0.000    8 0.5186   12  0.613   10  0.042   13 -0.041   16  0.012 P
GUARDIANS    1 0  6  4  0.061  0.535    7  0.024    5 -0.003   10 -0.005    6 0.5218   10  0.617   11  0.040   15 -0.051   23  0.012 P
ROYALS       0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   15 -0.006   15 -0.022   20 -0.028   15 0.4945   13  0.610   16  0.011   19 -0.067    9  0.012 P
TWINS        0 1  1  2  0.022  0.523   27 -0.026   28 -0.035   22 -0.029   27 0.4795   28  0.256   29 -0.301    5  0.243   15  0.012 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         0 1  7  9  0.036  0.526   20 -0.014   22 -0.031   12 -0.014   19 0.4868    4  0.830    3  0.248   26 -0.275   19  0.012 P
BLUE JAYS    0 0  0  0  0.000  0.000   12  0.009   14 -0.016    9 -0.003   13 0.5070   16  0.610   13  0.036   14 -0.042   20  0.012 P
YANKEES      1 0  7  0 -0.069  0.470    2  0.040    2  0.001    2  0.040    2 0.5325   23  0.451   23 -0.068    7  0.147    7  0.012 P
RED SOX      1 0  3  0 -0.049  0.485    5  0.029    4 -0.002    5  0.010    5 0.5245   29  0.248   25 -0.268    1  0.288   14  0.012 P
ORIOLES      1 0  2  1 -0.145  0.449    9  0.017   10 -0.008   16 -0.019   10 0.5141   27  0.256   27 -0.290    2  0.253   29 -0.304 P

DIVISION   W L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    3 1 0.750    1  0.099
NL EAST    3 0 1.000    2  0.017
NL CENTRAL 2 3 0.400    3 -0.021
AL WEST    1 3 0.250    4 -0.056
NL WEST    1 3 0.250    5 -0.075
AL CENTRAL 2 2 0.500    6 -0.087

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.062 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Mar 27 05:30:04 2026
games through: Thu Mar 26 2026

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