Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       6 6 78 69 -0.139  5.353   18 -0.009   18 -0.012   11  0.006   23 0.4796    1  1.059    1  0.635   30 -0.623   16  0.061 P
NATIONALS    4 7 70 72  0.105  6.047   22 -0.022   22 -0.024   19 -0.010   21 0.4829    2  1.006    2  0.558   29 -0.577    3  0.358 P
RAYS         5 6 53 63  0.130  6.153   15  0.001   14  0.001   15 -0.004   12 0.5024    5  0.819    3  0.359   26 -0.366   12  0.082 P
MARLINS      6 5 52 49 -0.091  5.169   16 -0.001   16 -0.002   20 -0.015   10 0.5071    4  0.825    4  0.355   27 -0.384   28 -0.423 P
WHITE SOX    4 7 38 65 -0.081  5.371   28 -0.035   28 -0.037   30 -0.082   27 0.4701    3  0.843    5  0.306   28 -0.470   30 -0.685 P
PIRATES      7 4 52 40  0.025  5.633    7  0.024    6  0.025    8  0.016    4 0.5359    6  0.710    6  0.267   25 -0.235   24 -0.207 P
DODGERS      9 2 72 37 -0.048  5.211    1  0.067    1  0.061    1  0.083    1 0.5605    7  0.592    7  0.218   20 -0.053   25 -0.348 P
RANGERS      6 5 41 39 -0.033  5.400   11  0.006   12  0.005   14 -0.002    8 0.5162    8  0.590    8  0.131   23 -0.136   29 -0.596 P
BREWERS      8 3 70 41 -0.114  4.913    4  0.039    4  0.036    4  0.058    5 0.5345   11  0.487    9  0.097   14  0.019   22 -0.074 P
CARDINALS    6 5 53 61  0.016  5.649    9  0.009    9  0.008   21 -0.016   11 0.5060   10  0.537   10  0.068   22 -0.100   15  0.062 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS       4 8 36 57  0.068  6.477   26 -0.029   26 -0.031   26 -0.043   24 0.4780    9  0.563   11  0.065   24 -0.152   19 -0.018 P
TIGERS       4 7 47 46 -0.025  5.450   25 -0.028   25 -0.031   17 -0.009   26 0.4731   12  0.463   12  0.008   19 -0.026   11  0.117 P
DIAMONDBACKS 5 6 38 56  0.208  6.513   12  0.006   11  0.006   18 -0.010   14 0.5011   13  0.458   13  0.003   17 -0.022   10  0.126 P
ROYALS       5 6 43 47  0.163  6.298   13  0.002   13  0.001   12 -0.001   15 0.4986   15  0.439   14 -0.005   16  0.004    4  0.323 P
CUBS         5 6 50 42  0.003  5.531   17 -0.007   17 -0.009    6  0.022   17 0.4923   18  0.394   15 -0.021   13  0.065   20 -0.021 P
TWINS        5 6 49 48 -0.038  5.386   19 -0.012   19 -0.014   16 -0.007   19 0.4866   17  0.416   16 -0.031   15  0.017   23 -0.098 P
BRAVES       7 5 58 30 -0.052  5.691    8  0.013    8  0.013    3  0.061    9 0.5082   20  0.304   17 -0.058    6  0.180   26 -0.373 P
BLUE JAYS    4 7 37 60 -0.227  4.639   30 -0.042   30 -0.045   29 -0.064   29 0.4604   14  0.445   18 -0.063   21 -0.065    9  0.146 P
ATHLETICS    3 7 43 57  0.054  5.376   27 -0.034   27 -0.036   28 -0.048   30 0.4556   16  0.416   19 -0.072   18 -0.024    2  0.408 P
ANGELS       6 6 49 54  0.136  6.738   10  0.007   10  0.008   13 -0.001   18 0.4895   19  0.334   20 -0.096   12  0.093   18  0.000 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED SOX      3 8 39 55  0.053  5.831   29 -0.039   29 -0.041   23 -0.023   28 0.4656   21  0.298   21 -0.147   11  0.101    6  0.267 P
PHILLIES     6 5 42 52 -0.125  5.011   14  0.001   15 -0.000   25 -0.027   13 0.5022   22  0.278   22 -0.167   10  0.114   14  0.067 P
PADRES       5 6 38 46 -0.095  5.141   20 -0.014   21 -0.017   22 -0.018   22 0.4804   23  0.267   23 -0.167    8  0.131   21 -0.046 P
GUARDIANS    7 5 36 41  0.190  6.985    5  0.034    5  0.034    9  0.010    7 0.5238   26  0.215   24 -0.181    5  0.200   27 -0.398 P
ORIOLES      5 6 40 46 -0.073  5.255   21 -0.014   20 -0.017   24 -0.026   16 0.4939   25  0.240   25 -0.197    7  0.145    7  0.201 P
ROCKIES      5 6 44 42 -0.144  4.949   24 -0.025   24 -0.028   27 -0.045   25 0.4755   24  0.243   26 -0.214    9  0.124   17  0.019 P
METS         7 4 53 35 -0.043  5.310    6  0.025    7  0.023    5  0.034    6 0.5317   27  0.125   27 -0.226    4  0.293    8  0.157 P
MARINERS     4 8 40 39  0.121  6.631   23 -0.024   23 -0.026    7  0.020   20 0.4836   28  0.077   28 -0.275    3  0.315    5  0.267 P
YANKEES      8 2 52 25 -0.028  4.796    2  0.057    2  0.053    2  0.081    2 0.5503   29 -0.063   29 -0.311    1  0.473    1  0.536 P
REDS         8 3 34 33 -0.023  5.438    3  0.043    3  0.041   10  0.007    3 0.5462   30 -0.104   30 -0.412    2  0.426   13  0.078 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      9 2 72 37 -0.048  5.211    1  0.067    1  0.061    1  0.083    1 0.5605    7  0.592    7  0.218   20 -0.053   25 -0.348 P
GIANTS       4 8 36 57  0.068  6.477   26 -0.029   26 -0.031   26 -0.043   24 0.4780    9  0.563   11  0.065   24 -0.152   19 -0.018 P
DIAMONDBACKS 5 6 38 56  0.208  6.513   12  0.006   11  0.006   18 -0.010   14 0.5011   13  0.458   13  0.003   17 -0.022   10  0.126 P
PADRES       5 6 38 46 -0.095  5.141   20 -0.014   21 -0.017   22 -0.018   22 0.4804   23  0.267   23 -0.167    8  0.131   21 -0.046 P
ROCKIES      5 6 44 42 -0.144  4.949   24 -0.025   24 -0.028   27 -0.045   25 0.4755   24  0.243   26 -0.214    9  0.124   17  0.019 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      7 4 52 40  0.025  5.633    7  0.024    6  0.025    8  0.016    4 0.5359    6  0.710    6  0.267   25 -0.235   24 -0.207 P
BREWERS      8 3 70 41 -0.114  4.913    4  0.039    4  0.036    4  0.058    5 0.5345   11  0.487    9  0.097   14  0.019   22 -0.074 P
CARDINALS    6 5 53 61  0.016  5.649    9  0.009    9  0.008   21 -0.016   11 0.5060   10  0.537   10  0.068   22 -0.100   15  0.062 P
CUBS         5 6 50 42  0.003  5.531   17 -0.007   17 -0.009    6  0.022   17 0.4923   18  0.394   15 -0.021   13  0.065   20 -0.021 P
REDS         8 3 34 33 -0.023  5.438    3  0.043    3  0.041   10  0.007    3 0.5462   30 -0.104   30 -0.412    2  0.426   13  0.078 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    4 7 70 72  0.105  6.047   22 -0.022   22 -0.024   19 -0.010   21 0.4829    2  1.006    2  0.558   29 -0.577    3  0.358 P
MARLINS      6 5 52 49 -0.091  5.169   16 -0.001   16 -0.002   20 -0.015   10 0.5071    4  0.825    4  0.355   27 -0.384   28 -0.423 P
BRAVES       7 5 58 30 -0.052  5.691    8  0.013    8  0.013    3  0.061    9 0.5082   20  0.304   17 -0.058    6  0.180   26 -0.373 P
PHILLIES     6 5 42 52 -0.125  5.011   14  0.001   15 -0.000   25 -0.027   13 0.5022   22  0.278   22 -0.167   10  0.114   14  0.067 P
METS         7 4 53 35 -0.043  5.310    6  0.025    7  0.023    5  0.034    6 0.5317   27  0.125   27 -0.226    4  0.293    8  0.157 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       6 6 78 69 -0.139  5.353   18 -0.009   18 -0.012   11  0.006   23 0.4796    1  1.059    1  0.635   30 -0.623   16  0.061 P
RANGERS      6 5 41 39 -0.033  5.400   11  0.006   12  0.005   14 -0.002    8 0.5162    8  0.590    8  0.131   23 -0.136   29 -0.596 P
ATHLETICS    3 7 43 57  0.054  5.376   27 -0.034   27 -0.036   28 -0.048   30 0.4556   16  0.416   19 -0.072   18 -0.024    2  0.408 P
ANGELS       6 6 49 54  0.136  6.738   10  0.007   10  0.008   13 -0.001   18 0.4895   19  0.334   20 -0.096   12  0.093   18  0.000 P
MARINERS     4 8 40 39  0.121  6.631   23 -0.024   23 -0.026    7  0.020   20 0.4836   28  0.077   28 -0.275    3  0.315    5  0.267 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    4 7 38 65 -0.081  5.371   28 -0.035   28 -0.037   30 -0.082   27 0.4701    3  0.843    5  0.306   28 -0.470   30 -0.685 P
TIGERS       4 7 47 46 -0.025  5.450   25 -0.028   25 -0.031   17 -0.009   26 0.4731   12  0.463   12  0.008   19 -0.026   11  0.117 P
ROYALS       5 6 43 47  0.163  6.298   13  0.002   13  0.001   12 -0.001   15 0.4986   15  0.439   14 -0.005   16  0.004    4  0.323 P
TWINS        5 6 49 48 -0.038  5.386   19 -0.012   19 -0.014   16 -0.007   19 0.4866   17  0.416   16 -0.031   15  0.017   23 -0.098 P
GUARDIANS    7 5 36 41  0.190  6.985    5  0.034    5  0.034    9  0.010    7 0.5238   26  0.215   24 -0.181    5  0.200   27 -0.398 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         5 6 53 63  0.130  6.153   15  0.001   14  0.001   15 -0.004   12 0.5024    5  0.819    3  0.359   26 -0.366   12  0.082 P
BLUE JAYS    4 7 37 60 -0.227  4.639   30 -0.042   30 -0.045   29 -0.064   29 0.4604   14  0.445   18 -0.063   21 -0.065    9  0.146 P
RED SOX      3 8 39 55  0.053  5.831   29 -0.039   29 -0.041   23 -0.023   28 0.4656   21  0.298   21 -0.147   11  0.101    6  0.267 P
ORIOLES      5 6 40 46 -0.073  5.255   21 -0.014   20 -0.017   24 -0.026   16 0.4939   25  0.240   25 -0.197    7  0.145    7  0.201 P
YANKEES      8 2 52 25 -0.028  4.796    2  0.057    2  0.053    2  0.081    2 0.5503   29 -0.063   29 -0.311    1  0.473    1  0.536 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 34 21 0.618    1  0.104
NL EAST    30 26 0.536    2  0.053
AL WEST    25 32 0.439    3 -0.022
NL WEST    28 28 0.500    4 -0.031
AL EAST    25 29 0.463    5 -0.032
AL CENTRAL 25 31 0.446    6 -0.088

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.089 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Apr  8 05:30:04 2026
games through: Tue Apr  7 2026

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