Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        38 44 395 424 -0.003 41.495   23 -0.019   23 -0.034   22 -0.034   23 0.4883    1  0.857    1  0.319   30 -0.388   25 -0.195
NATIONALS    41 41 438 434  0.032 42.564   13 -0.002   13  0.012    8  0.022   11 0.5053    3  0.731    2  0.244   27 -0.199    3  0.255
CUBS         44 37 399 362 -0.018 40.394    7  0.007    7  0.032    6  0.031    7 0.5116    4  0.692    3  0.213   24 -0.152   18 -0.127
ANGELS       34 48 374 410 -0.003 41.553   29 -0.068   29 -0.077   23 -0.053   27 0.4799    2  0.764    4  0.203   29 -0.309   30 -0.300
BRAVES       48 31 385 293  0.001 39.914    3  0.096    3  0.096    4  0.118    3 0.5267    9  0.581    5  0.193   16  0.044   27 -0.270
WHITE SOX    41 38 364 367  0.007 40.228   12  0.001   12  0.019    9  0.013   13 0.5038    5  0.676    6  0.180   25 -0.155   29 -0.280
DODGERS      52 29 423 279 -0.022 40.071    1  0.171    1  0.120    1  0.174    1 0.5344   14  0.485    7  0.161    3  0.188   22 -0.174
CARDINALS    42 36 359 360 -0.005 39.360    8  0.006    8  0.031   13 -0.003    8 0.5088    8  0.654    8  0.141   23 -0.148   24 -0.190
ORIOLES      38 44 382 407  0.007 41.840   21 -0.017   21 -0.030   21 -0.027   22 0.4901    7  0.666    9  0.130   26 -0.184   13  0.061
BREWERS      49 29 407 284  0.008 39.543    2  0.156    2  0.116    2  0.171    2 0.5333   23  0.364   10  0.052    1  0.291   10  0.104
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      42 39 349 346  0.017 41.624   10  0.002   10  0.024   10  0.012    9 0.5075   11  0.543   11  0.051   18 -0.028   26 -0.250
ROCKIES      32 49 369 459  0.011 41.555   30 -0.097   30 -0.090   30 -0.113   30 0.4775    6  0.673   12  0.051   28 -0.277    7  0.217
ASTROS       40 43 372 410 -0.025 41.326   20 -0.015   20 -0.025   25 -0.060   21 0.4907   10  0.578   13  0.012   22 -0.132   12  0.092
PIRATES      41 40 409 382 -0.014 40.566   15 -0.005   15  0.001    7  0.025   15 0.5033   16  0.479   14  0.006   15  0.045    5  0.245
DIAMONDBACKS 41 39 346 366  0.001 40.608   14 -0.002   14  0.012   19 -0.017   14 0.5033   13  0.523   15  0.004   19 -0.038   17 -0.095
YANKEES      48 32 403 293 -0.033 39.301    4  0.056    4  0.077    3  0.125    4 0.5195   26  0.342   16 -0.012    2  0.263    4  0.254
REDS         37 42 331 381 -0.008 39.886   22 -0.017   22 -0.030   26 -0.064   20 0.4916   12  0.537   17 -0.030   21 -0.097   14 -0.018
RAYS         45 33 351 338  0.013 39.890    5  0.042    5  0.072    5  0.035    5 0.5171   20  0.410   18 -0.044    9  0.115   11  0.093
GIANTS       33 47 328 382  0.044 42.072   24 -0.040   24 -0.061   28 -0.066   24 0.4865   15  0.483   19 -0.082   20 -0.051   15 -0.022
TIGERS       34 47 325 332 -0.011 40.731   26 -0.059   27 -0.074   18 -0.017   29 0.4776   18  0.423   20 -0.086   13  0.052   19 -0.127
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      39 42 325 338 -0.020 40.423   18 -0.013   19 -0.024   20 -0.027   19 0.4935   19  0.416   21 -0.101   14  0.048   23 -0.188
RED SOX      33 46 313 317  0.012 40.442   25 -0.048   25 -0.067   14 -0.007   26 0.4801   21  0.382   22 -0.111   11  0.097   20 -0.151
PADRES       42 37 309 314 -0.021 39.392   11  0.001   11  0.021   16 -0.014   10 0.5064   22  0.377   23 -0.122   12  0.094   28 -0.271
ROYALS       34 48 350 399  0.010 41.965   27 -0.061   26 -0.073   24 -0.058   28 0.4786   17  0.424   24 -0.125   17  0.009    8  0.204
GUARDIANS    42 39 320 328  0.022 41.752    9  0.003    9  0.025   12 -0.000   12 0.5050   24  0.350   25 -0.132    6  0.131   21 -0.161
PHILLIES     45 36 359 355  0.007 41.251    6  0.018    6  0.052   11  0.009    6 0.5162   28  0.320   26 -0.147    4  0.165    2  0.272
BLUE JAYS    39 42 333 361  0.024 41.865   16 -0.008   16 -0.008   17 -0.015   16 0.4960   25  0.347   27 -0.149    7  0.120    9  0.143
MARINERS     41 41 331 327 -0.035 40.415   17 -0.009   17 -0.013   15 -0.013   17 0.4958   27  0.322   28 -0.167    5  0.142   16 -0.094
ATHLETICS    39 42 375 429 -0.017 40.585   19 -0.014   18 -0.022   27 -0.065   18 0.4936   29  0.313   29 -0.227   10  0.098    1  0.729
METS         34 47 328 375 -0.010 40.833   28 -0.065   28 -0.075   29 -0.075   25 0.4815   30  0.275   30 -0.268    8  0.118    6  0.242

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      52 29 423 279 -0.022 40.071    1  0.171    1  0.120    1  0.174    1 0.5344   14  0.485    7  0.161    3  0.188   22 -0.174
ROCKIES      32 49 369 459  0.011 41.555   30 -0.097   30 -0.090   30 -0.113   30 0.4775    6  0.673   12  0.051   28 -0.277    7  0.217
DIAMONDBACKS 41 39 346 366  0.001 40.608   14 -0.002   14  0.012   19 -0.017   14 0.5033   13  0.523   15  0.004   19 -0.038   17 -0.095
GIANTS       33 47 328 382  0.044 42.072   24 -0.040   24 -0.061   28 -0.066   24 0.4865   15  0.483   19 -0.082   20 -0.051   15 -0.022
PADRES       42 37 309 314 -0.021 39.392   11  0.001   11  0.021   16 -0.014   10 0.5064   22  0.377   23 -0.122   12  0.094   28 -0.271

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         44 37 399 362 -0.018 40.394    7  0.007    7  0.032    6  0.031    7 0.5116    4  0.692    3  0.213   24 -0.152   18 -0.127
CARDINALS    42 36 359 360 -0.005 39.360    8  0.006    8  0.031   13 -0.003    8 0.5088    8  0.654    8  0.141   23 -0.148   24 -0.190
BREWERS      49 29 407 284  0.008 39.543    2  0.156    2  0.116    2  0.171    2 0.5333   23  0.364   10  0.052    1  0.291   10  0.104
PIRATES      41 40 409 382 -0.014 40.566   15 -0.005   15  0.001    7  0.025   15 0.5033   16  0.479   14  0.006   15  0.045    5  0.245
REDS         37 42 331 381 -0.008 39.886   22 -0.017   22 -0.030   26 -0.064   20 0.4916   12  0.537   17 -0.030   21 -0.097   14 -0.018

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    41 41 438 434  0.032 42.564   13 -0.002   13  0.012    8  0.022   11 0.5053    3  0.731    2  0.244   27 -0.199    3  0.255
BRAVES       48 31 385 293  0.001 39.914    3  0.096    3  0.096    4  0.118    3 0.5267    9  0.581    5  0.193   16  0.044   27 -0.270
MARLINS      42 39 349 346  0.017 41.624   10  0.002   10  0.024   10  0.012    9 0.5075   11  0.543   11  0.051   18 -0.028   26 -0.250
PHILLIES     45 36 359 355  0.007 41.251    6  0.018    6  0.052   11  0.009    6 0.5162   28  0.320   26 -0.147    4  0.165    2  0.272
METS         34 47 328 375 -0.010 40.833   28 -0.065   28 -0.075   29 -0.075   25 0.4815   30  0.275   30 -0.268    8  0.118    6  0.242

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       34 48 374 410 -0.003 41.553   29 -0.068   29 -0.077   23 -0.053   27 0.4799    2  0.764    4  0.203   29 -0.309   30 -0.300
ASTROS       40 43 372 410 -0.025 41.326   20 -0.015   20 -0.025   25 -0.060   21 0.4907   10  0.578   13  0.012   22 -0.132   12  0.092
RANGERS      39 42 325 338 -0.020 40.423   18 -0.013   19 -0.024   20 -0.027   19 0.4935   19  0.416   21 -0.101   14  0.048   23 -0.188
MARINERS     41 41 331 327 -0.035 40.415   17 -0.009   17 -0.013   15 -0.013   17 0.4958   27  0.322   28 -0.167    5  0.142   16 -0.094
ATHLETICS    39 42 375 429 -0.017 40.585   19 -0.014   18 -0.022   27 -0.065   18 0.4936   29  0.313   29 -0.227   10  0.098    1  0.729

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        38 44 395 424 -0.003 41.495   23 -0.019   23 -0.034   22 -0.034   23 0.4883    1  0.857    1  0.319   30 -0.388   25 -0.195
WHITE SOX    41 38 364 367  0.007 40.228   12  0.001   12  0.019    9  0.013   13 0.5038    5  0.676    6  0.180   25 -0.155   29 -0.280
TIGERS       34 47 325 332 -0.011 40.731   26 -0.059   27 -0.074   18 -0.017   29 0.4776   18  0.423   20 -0.086   13  0.052   19 -0.127
ROYALS       34 48 350 399  0.010 41.965   27 -0.061   26 -0.073   24 -0.058   28 0.4786   17  0.424   24 -0.125   17  0.009    8  0.204
GUARDIANS    42 39 320 328  0.022 41.752    9  0.003    9  0.025   12 -0.000   12 0.5050   24  0.350   25 -0.132    6  0.131   21 -0.161

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      38 44 382 407  0.007 41.840   21 -0.017   21 -0.030   21 -0.027   22 0.4901    7  0.666    9  0.130   26 -0.184   13  0.061
YANKEES      48 32 403 293 -0.033 39.301    4  0.056    4  0.077    3  0.125    4 0.5195   26  0.342   16 -0.012    2  0.263    4  0.254
RAYS         45 33 351 338  0.013 39.890    5  0.042    5  0.072    5  0.035    5 0.5171   20  0.410   18 -0.044    9  0.115   11  0.093
RED SOX      33 46 313 317  0.012 40.442   25 -0.048   25 -0.067   14 -0.007   26 0.4801   21  0.382   22 -0.111   11  0.097   20 -0.151
BLUE JAYS    39 42 333 361  0.024 41.865   16 -0.008   16 -0.008   17 -0.015   16 0.4960   25  0.347   27 -0.149    7  0.120    9  0.143

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 213 184 0.537    1  0.069
AL EAST    203 197 0.507    2  0.048
NL EAST    210 194 0.520    3  0.038
NL WEST    200 201 0.499    4 -0.018
AL CENTRAL 189 216 0.467    5 -0.042
AL WEST    193 216 0.472    6 -0.094

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.050 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jun 26 05:30:07 2026
games through: Thu Jun 25 2026

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