Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    61 42 485 446  0.009 51.008    1  0.159    1  0.136    8  0.079    1 0.5230   17  0.413   15  0.026    8  0.132    5  0.217
CUBS         60 42 537 420  0.012 50.525    2  0.155    2  0.133    1  0.178    2 0.5223   11  0.584    4  0.279   11  0.076   12  0.052
BREWERS      61 41 489 391 -0.010 49.669    3  0.152    3  0.133    3  0.140    3 0.5220    6  0.649    2  0.304   18 -0.024   28 -0.435
ASTROS       60 43 451 390 -0.003 50.530    4  0.116    4  0.115    5  0.093    4 0.5200   18  0.398   14  0.027    4  0.159   20 -0.048
DODGERS      60 43 546 480 -0.020 49.794    5  0.100    5  0.107    7  0.081    6 0.5170   10  0.591    6  0.189   19 -0.028    3  0.303
TIGERS       60 44 495 430 -0.014 50.551    6  0.093    6  0.103    4  0.097    5 0.5174   14  0.545    9  0.162   15  0.031   16 -0.012
METS         59 44 451 406 -0.028 49.525    7  0.071    7  0.089   12  0.050    9 0.5134   21  0.357   19 -0.051    6  0.151   23 -0.084
PHILLIES     58 44 469 406 -0.028 48.998    8  0.066    8  0.083    6  0.089    8 0.5139   29  0.179   24 -0.155    1  0.334    2  0.457
YANKEES      56 46 530 424  0.008 50.414    9  0.055    9  0.075    2  0.154    7 0.5148    7  0.611    3  0.281   17  0.026   21 -0.071
MARINERS     55 48 474 455  0.023 51.641   10  0.035   10  0.061   13  0.039   10 0.5111    1  0.749    1  0.304   26 -0.225   29 -0.481
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED SOX      55 49 510 456  0.012 51.658   11  0.028   11  0.049   10  0.074   11 0.5074    9  0.591    7  0.183   20 -0.035   11  0.060
PADRES       55 48 414 400 -0.004 50.586   12  0.027   12  0.047   16  0.021   12 0.5073   28  0.281   23 -0.143    3  0.185   22 -0.082
GIANTS       54 49 431 412 -0.008 50.400   13  0.017   13  0.030   17  0.018   13 0.5048   26  0.322   21 -0.112    7  0.148   24 -0.093
CARDINALS    53 51 470 472  0.011 51.699   14  0.011   14  0.019   18  0.001   15 0.5026    8  0.602   10  0.120   23 -0.118   19 -0.031
RAYS         53 50 483 419 -0.002 50.540   15  0.011   15  0.019    9  0.077   16 0.5026   15  0.497   12  0.099   14  0.056   13  0.042
RANGERS      53 50 415 354 -0.015 50.037   16  0.009   16  0.013   11  0.070   14 0.5026   19  0.373   18 -0.017    5  0.157   30 -0.556
REDS         53 50 470 435 -0.014 50.134   17  0.008   17  0.013   14  0.033   18 0.5016   13  0.559   11  0.111   21 -0.046   25 -0.121
GUARDIANS    51 51 393 428  0.007 50.641   18  0.003   18  0.004   22 -0.050   17 0.5021   23  0.340   25 -0.166   13  0.065   18 -0.028
ROYALS       50 53 363 385  0.014 51.433   19 -0.003   19 -0.012   21 -0.043   19 0.4973   25  0.329   26 -0.167   10  0.081   26 -0.337
TWINS        49 53 434 443  0.004 50.380   20 -0.008   21 -0.026   19 -0.003   21 0.4964   20  0.364   20 -0.097    9  0.092    7  0.206
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       49 54 449 516  0.018 51.614   21 -0.008   20 -0.025   25 -0.084   20 0.4968   12  0.564   17 -0.001   24 -0.168    9  0.074
DIAMONDBACKS 50 53 522 508 -0.013 50.180   22 -0.009   22 -0.028   15  0.022   22 0.4950    4  0.696    5  0.234   25 -0.189   10  0.069
MARLINS      48 53 431 485 -0.011 49.441   23 -0.020   23 -0.043   24 -0.083   23 0.4915    2  0.748    8  0.180   29 -0.346   27 -0.383
ORIOLES      45 57 416 523  0.018 51.182   24 -0.047   24 -0.074   27 -0.138   24 0.4875   16  0.432   27 -0.175   22 -0.102    4  0.295
BRAVES       44 57 418 428 -0.018 49.121   25 -0.081   25 -0.101   20 -0.036   25 0.4827   22  0.352   22 -0.141   12  0.069   14  0.041
PIRATES      42 61 350 412  0.042 52.604   26 -0.094   26 -0.108   23 -0.069   26 0.4816   30  0.056   29 -0.404    2  0.267    8  0.171
ATHLETICS    43 62 443 586  0.024 52.950   27 -0.111   27 -0.117   28 -0.155   27 0.4811    5  0.668   13  0.028   28 -0.339    6  0.217
NATIONALS    41 61 440 550 -0.018 49.799   28 -0.173   28 -0.151   29 -0.188   28 0.4746    3  0.698   16  0.025   30 -0.401   17 -0.027
WHITE SOX    37 66 381 453  0.010 51.327   29 -0.228   29 -0.195   26 -0.114   29 0.4679   27  0.305   28 -0.259   16  0.030   15 -0.003
ROCKIES      26 76 369 616  0.022 51.602   30 -0.334   30 -0.344   30 -0.358   30 0.4410   24  0.335   30 -0.477   27 -0.238    1  0.588
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      60 43 546 480 -0.020 49.794    5  0.100    5  0.107    7  0.081    6 0.5170   10  0.591    6  0.189   19 -0.028    3  0.303
PADRES       55 48 414 400 -0.004 50.586   12  0.027   12  0.047   16  0.021   12 0.5073   28  0.281   23 -0.143    3  0.185   22 -0.082
GIANTS       54 49 431 412 -0.008 50.400   13  0.017   13  0.030   17  0.018   13 0.5048   26  0.322   21 -0.112    7  0.148   24 -0.093
DIAMONDBACKS 50 53 522 508 -0.013 50.180   22 -0.009   22 -0.028   15  0.022   22 0.4950    4  0.696    5  0.234   25 -0.189   10  0.069
ROCKIES      26 76 369 616  0.022 51.602   30 -0.334   30 -0.344   30 -0.358   30 0.4410   24  0.335   30 -0.477   27 -0.238    1  0.588

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         60 42 537 420  0.012 50.525    2  0.155    2  0.133    1  0.178    2 0.5223   11  0.584    4  0.279   11  0.076   12  0.052
BREWERS      61 41 489 391 -0.010 49.669    3  0.152    3  0.133    3  0.140    3 0.5220    6  0.649    2  0.304   18 -0.024   28 -0.435
CARDINALS    53 51 470 472  0.011 51.699   14  0.011   14  0.019   18  0.001   15 0.5026    8  0.602   10  0.120   23 -0.118   19 -0.031
REDS         53 50 470 435 -0.014 50.134   17  0.008   17  0.013   14  0.033   18 0.5016   13  0.559   11  0.111   21 -0.046   25 -0.121
PIRATES      42 61 350 412  0.042 52.604   26 -0.094   26 -0.108   23 -0.069   26 0.4816   30  0.056   29 -0.404    2  0.267    8  0.171

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         59 44 451 406 -0.028 49.525    7  0.071    7  0.089   12  0.050    9 0.5134   21  0.357   19 -0.051    6  0.151   23 -0.084
PHILLIES     58 44 469 406 -0.028 48.998    8  0.066    8  0.083    6  0.089    8 0.5139   29  0.179   24 -0.155    1  0.334    2  0.457
MARLINS      48 53 431 485 -0.011 49.441   23 -0.020   23 -0.043   24 -0.083   23 0.4915    2  0.748    8  0.180   29 -0.346   27 -0.383
BRAVES       44 57 418 428 -0.018 49.121   25 -0.081   25 -0.101   20 -0.036   25 0.4827   22  0.352   22 -0.141   12  0.069   14  0.041
NATIONALS    41 61 440 550 -0.018 49.799   28 -0.173   28 -0.151   29 -0.188   28 0.4746    3  0.698   16  0.025   30 -0.401   17 -0.027

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       60 43 451 390 -0.003 50.530    4  0.116    4  0.115    5  0.093    4 0.5200   18  0.398   14  0.027    4  0.159   20 -0.048
MARINERS     55 48 474 455  0.023 51.641   10  0.035   10  0.061   13  0.039   10 0.5111    1  0.749    1  0.304   26 -0.225   29 -0.481
RANGERS      53 50 415 354 -0.015 50.037   16  0.009   16  0.013   11  0.070   14 0.5026   19  0.373   18 -0.017    5  0.157   30 -0.556
ANGELS       49 54 449 516  0.018 51.614   21 -0.008   20 -0.025   25 -0.084   20 0.4968   12  0.564   17 -0.001   24 -0.168    9  0.074
ATHLETICS    43 62 443 586  0.024 52.950   27 -0.111   27 -0.117   28 -0.155   27 0.4811    5  0.668   13  0.028   28 -0.339    6  0.217

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       60 44 495 430 -0.014 50.551    6  0.093    6  0.103    4  0.097    5 0.5174   14  0.545    9  0.162   15  0.031   16 -0.012
GUARDIANS    51 51 393 428  0.007 50.641   18  0.003   18  0.004   22 -0.050   17 0.5021   23  0.340   25 -0.166   13  0.065   18 -0.028
ROYALS       50 53 363 385  0.014 51.433   19 -0.003   19 -0.012   21 -0.043   19 0.4973   25  0.329   26 -0.167   10  0.081   26 -0.337
TWINS        49 53 434 443  0.004 50.380   20 -0.008   21 -0.026   19 -0.003   21 0.4964   20  0.364   20 -0.097    9  0.092    7  0.206
WHITE SOX    37 66 381 453  0.010 51.327   29 -0.228   29 -0.195   26 -0.114   29 0.4679   27  0.305   28 -0.259   16  0.030   15 -0.003

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    61 42 485 446  0.009 51.008    1  0.159    1  0.136    8  0.079    1 0.5230   17  0.413   15  0.026    8  0.132    5  0.217
YANKEES      56 46 530 424  0.008 50.414    9  0.055    9  0.075    2  0.154    7 0.5148    7  0.611    3  0.281   17  0.026   21 -0.071
RED SOX      55 49 510 456  0.012 51.658   11  0.028   11  0.049   10  0.074   11 0.5074    9  0.591    7  0.183   20 -0.035   11  0.060
RAYS         53 50 483 419 -0.002 50.540   15  0.011   15  0.019    9  0.077   16 0.5026   15  0.497   12  0.099   14  0.056   13  0.042
ORIOLES      45 57 416 523  0.018 51.182   24 -0.047   24 -0.074   27 -0.138   24 0.4875   16  0.432   27 -0.175   22 -0.102    4  0.295

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 269 245 0.523    1  0.085
AL EAST    270 244 0.525    2  0.074
AL WEST    260 257 0.503    3 -0.010
AL CENTRAL 247 267 0.481    4 -0.034
NL EAST    250 259 0.491    5 -0.050
NL WEST    245 269 0.477    6 -0.061

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.077 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.012 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jul 25 05:30:07 2025
games through: Thu Jul 24 2025

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